2/13/2025

speaker
Kristi Masoner
VP of Investor Relations

Welcome to GoDaddy's fourth quarter and full year 2024 earnings call. Thank you for joining us. I'm Kristi Masoner, VP of Investor Relations, and with me today are Iman Bhutani, Chief Executive Officer and Mark McCaffrey, Chief Financial Officer. Following prepared remarks, we'll open up the call for your questions. If you'd like to ask a question on today's call, please use the raise hand feature in the webinar to be added to the queue. On today's call, we'll be referencing both GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures and other operating and business metrics. A discussion of why we use non-GAAP financial measures and reconciliations of our non-GAAP financial measures to their GAAP equivalents may be found in the presentation posted to our Investor Relations site at .ed.net or in today's earnings release on our Form 8K furnished with the SEC. Growth rates represent -over-year comparisons unless otherwise noted. The matters we'll be discussing today include forward-looking statements, such as those related to future financial results and our strategies or objectives with respect to future operations. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that are discussed in detail in our periodic SEC filings. Actual results may differ materially from those contained in forward-looking statements. Any forward-looking statement that we make on this call are based on assumptions as of today, February 13, 2025, and except to the extent required by law, we undertake no obligation to update these statements because of new information or future events. With that, I am pleased to introduce Aman.

speaker
Iman Bhutani
Chief Executive Officer

Good afternoon, and thank you all for joining us today. At GoDaddy, our mission is to empower everyday entrepreneurs and make opportunity more inclusive for all. Our strategy is relentlessly focused on creating customer value and transforming it to shareholder value through better conversion, attach, and retention. This is the driving force behind our profitable growth model, propelling us towards our North Star of maximizing free cash flow over the long term. Our team demonstrated strong execution in 2024, with annual results that are tracking ahead of our investor day targets. We drove top-line bookings growth of over 9% and expanded our bottom-line normalized EBITDA margin to 31% for the full year. Our impressive 21% growth in applications and commerce bookings alongside our nearly 400 basis points margin improvement were strong contributors to a 25% increase in free cash flow for the year. Equally exciting, GoDaddy crossed a significant milestone this year, delivering our first 5 billion of annual bookings. On our key initiatives from investor day, we continued to make great progress in pricing and bundling, seamless experience, commerce, cost optimization, and strong traction in GoDaddy Arrow. I am excited to share these updates with you today. Pricing and bundling delivered impactful results throughout 2024 that were higher than our expectations. This bolstered our 21% applications and commerce bookings growth from focused efforts in productivity. We have shared that this is a multi-year journey and our confidence in this initiative continues to grow. In 2025, we are targeting a meaningful contribution to growth from this initiative. We will focus our 2025 efforts on our presence products and specific customer populations within our hosting business. This continues to spread this initiative across applications and commerce and core platform. In parallel, we are working on the next evolution of this initiative for 2026 and beyond. Our seamless experience initiative also exceeded expectations in 2024, improving conversion, renewal rates, and engagement across products. In Q4, we launched a redesigned managed WordPress platform with two times faster performance and enhanced security. Additionally, we started testing Arrow Site Designer for WordPress, an AI-powered web design tool. This initiative will continue in 2025 with similar goals to reduce friction, enhance performance, and improve customer experience. Our aim is to help customers save time and focus on what they love, running their businesses and engaging with their own customers. Our commerce initiative is performing well and annualized gross payment volume is growing at a fast pace. While our focus in 2024 was on profitable growth through the creation and merchandising of our commerce subscription products, we also drove growth in our transactional payments business with annualized gross payment volume increasing 55% to $2.6 billion. In addition, we launched new innovations such as GoDaddy Capital, a merchant cash advance program that helps our customers more easily access working capital, manage cash flow, and invest back in their business. As we look to 2025, our teams are focused on delivering more new and innovative capabilities for our commerce customers, such as expanded payments processing options, as well as same-day payouts which give customers rapid access to their funds. On our cost optimization initiative, we drove measurable impact across the organization, from continued simplification of our integrated platform and global talent recruitment across multiple functions to better technology and tooling. In 2025, we plan to maintain our disciplined approach across our cost structure and drive opportunities with technology and AI to provide better experience and service to our customers at lower costs. Last but not least, GoDaddy Aero continues to transform the customer experience and reposition where our customers start with us. Aero is quickly gaining traction and we view it as a key driver of future growth and customer lifetime value. Throughout 2024, Aero has shown promising results with discovery and engagement. We have also made great progress in expanding Aero across more customer entry points and plans. Website building remains the biggest beneficiary of Aero engagement, and Aero continues its in becoming the largest funnel for websites plus marketing, with 50% of paid subscriptions originating with the Aero experience. We are excited to enter the monetization phase for Aero earlier than planned across two pathways, Aero and Aero Plus. Aero has resulted in a combination of increased customer spend and better product attach, and with the first Aero cohort reaching the 13-month mark, we are seeing green shoots in terms of improved renewal rates for both domains and websites plus marketing. Aero Plus takes the Aero experience to the next level with advanced logos, AI-powered marketing tools, and enhanced site building capabilities. We began testing Aero Plus as an independent SKU in the fourth quarter. We also launched a -of-site experience in connection with our Super Bowl ad that highlights Aero and all of its capabilities. Our ad accomplished what we set out to do, bring broad awareness to the full breadth of Aero's capabilities to a massive audience. We want the world to know about Aero, and the Super Bowl is one of the largest stages. Our Aero landing page jumped dozens of spots to become a top six page on our website on Sunday, telling us that customers were looking for Aero. This also kicked off our 2025 marketing campaign, which will continue to highlight Aero's capabilities to take the guesswork out of building a successful online venture and showcase the unstoppable confidence Aero inspires in small businesses. In 2024, Aero demonstrated the power of our integrative platform, the value of automation, and the abilities generative AI can bring to our customers. As we look forward into 2025, Aero will take more leaps forward, with personalized inputs for each customer that drives a new level of AI-driven personalization. The first tests using this technology on Aero Domain Search beat the most recent generative AI-based winning model, opening a new vein of improvement that our teams can pursue. We will also see the introduction of agentic AI across our platform, and within the Aero experience, creating simplification for our customers and new engagement surfaces that lead to monetization. With these and many other improvements on our roadmap, I'm excited by the innovation at the company and the focus on creating value for customers. In closing, I want to highlight that 2024 was a year of exceptional execution by the GoDaddy team. A year ago, we shared clear goals and strategic priorities at our Investor Day, and I'm proud to say that our team has driven great performance across the board, growing bookings over 9%, revenue at 8%, almost 400 basis points of normalized EBITDA margin expansion to 31%, and $1.4 billion in free cash flow. Our strategy is steadfastly focused on the entrepreneur's wheel across identity, presence, and commerce, and it is working. The relentless focus of our operations continues to be to accelerate the pace of execution, to create customer value, and successfully transform it to long-term shareholder value. With that, here's Mark.

speaker
Mark McCaffrey
Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Amman. Throughout the last few years, we've focused on creating significant value for our customers by integrating our platform to deliver seamless technology and provide -stop-shop solutions that drive conversion, attach, and retention. Our strong financial results are a testament to the continued disciplined execution of our strategy as we drive towards our North Star. In the fourth quarter, we supported this goal through our delivery of 8% revenue growth and normalized EBITDA margin expansion to 32%. Beginning with Q4 results, total revenue grew on a reported and constant currency basis to $1.2 billion, exceeding the high end of our guided range. Consolidated annual recurring revenue grew 8% to $4 billion. For a high margin application and commerce segment, we drove 17% growth in revenue to $441 million on continued strong performance from our key growth initiatives. ANC bookings grew 17% on the strength across all products within this segment, including our proprietary websites with marketing, managed WordPress, and commerce, as well as our productivity solutions. Segment EBITDA margin also improved to 47%. Our core platform segment delivered revenue growth of 4% to $751 million. Driven by strength in domains from pricing and units, this growth was slightly tempered by our proactive strategic initiatives around platform integration that included divestitures, migrations, and product -of-life efforts in our hosting business. Core platform bookings grew 4% and segment EBITDA margin expanded to 34%. We grew normalized EBITDA ahead of expectations, increasing 19% in the fourth quarter to $385 million and delivered an expanded margin of 32%, up nearly 300 basis points. Favorable product mix and continued operational discipline were the main drivers of expansion, while we simultaneously increased marketing expense in support of the broader launch of our innovative arrow experience. On cash, unlevered free cash flow for the quarter grew 9% to $379 million, and free cash flow grew 12% to $342 million. This is supported by the $1.2 billion of bookings in the fourth quarter, representing 9% growth on both a reported and constant currency basis. Moving on to our annual financial results, we delivered $4.6 billion in revenue, representing growth of 8% on a reported and constant currency basis. ANC revenue grew 16% to $1.7 billion, and core platform revenue grew 3% to $2.9 billion. Bookings rose 9% with a slight currency headwind. Full year normalized EBITDA grew 23% to $1.4 billion, representing a 31% margin, up almost 400 basis points over the prior year. Since 2020, we have driven cumulative expansion in normalized EBITDA margin of nearly 900 basis points, an impressive feat that we plan to continue building on. We also continue to demonstrate normalized EBITDA to cash conversion of approximately one to one. Unlevered free cash flow for the year grew 20% to $1.5 billion, exceeding our guide for the year, and free cash flow grew an impressive 25% to $1.4 billion, also exceeding our guide. Over the last few years, we have pivoted our -to-market efforts to attract high-value customers and build profitable cohorts through seamless technology and enhanced experiences. By year end, nearly all customers are now on our integrated platform, which boasts an impressive 85% plus retention rate, despite our overall company retention rate dipping slightly to 84%. This focus on quality over quantity has increased our model's resilience, profitability, and cash flow. By eliminating deep discounts, completing targeted divestitures, and migrating certain offerings, our customer base declined to $20.5 million. That said, these efforts are working. Our newer cohorts are delivering exactly as intended with higher attach and conversion. Average order size, a leading indicator, is 16% higher, while ARPU is also up 8% to $220. Additionally, the percentage of customers purchasing 2 Plus products has trended upwards, and over 50% of our total customers subscribe to multiple products with us. This highlights successful efforts to boost cross-selling and bundling on our integrated platform, reinforcing our strong profitability and cash flow generation opportunities for years to come. Moving forward, we remain confident in our trajectory and anticipate a return to customer growth in 2025, underpinned by our enhanced value proposition and strategic focus on high lifetime value customers. Turning to the balance sheet, we exited the year with $1.1 billion in cash and total liquidity of $2.1 billion. Net debt was $2.8 billion, representing a net leverage of $1.7 million on a trailing 12-month basis. Last year, we bought back 5.2 million shares, totaling $668 million, and an average purchase price per share of about $129. Overall, we drove a 23% reduction in gross shares outstanding since January 2022, three points ahead of our three-year target of 20%, and at the quarter end, 145 million fully diluted shares remained outstanding. Shifting to our outlook for Q1 2025, we are targeting total revenue of $1.175 to $1.195 billion, representing 7% growth at the midpoint of the range. Within that, we expect ANC revenue growth of mid-teens and core platform growth of low single digits. We anticipate elevated spending for marketing, focused on our broader arrow launch, as well as typical seasonal expenses in the first quarter. We project a normalized EBITDA margin of about 30%, an expansion of about 200 basis points over last year. For the full year, we expect total revenue to be within a range of $4.86 to $4.94 billion, representing growth of 7% at the midpoint of the range. We expect revenue growth in the U.S. to outpace international growth by approximately 200 basis points, primarily on currency headwinds that are expected to be more prominent in the first half of the year. In ANC, we expect revenue growth of mid-teens, and in core platform, we expect revenue growth of low single digits. To be clear, as Amman said, we are excited about the arrow experience and the longer-term accelerant it represents for our business. In the near term, including 2025, the financial benefits are expected to be more modest, as monetization begins to take hold in the form of bookings before being recognized as revenue in later periods. Looking back on the incredible progress of our ANC business, we take immense pride in its rapid growth, rising from 30% of our overall revenue just three years ago to an expected $1.5 billion, which is nearly 40% by year's end. This achievement reflects our relentless focus on innovation, execution, and customer impact. As we move forward, we remain committed to driving meaningful, profitable growth, and we have an exciting road ahead, and we are just getting started. As our record of accomplishment demonstrates, we remain dedicated to maintaining our operational discipline and looking for opportunities to gain further leverage. Looking ahead, we expect to drive this leverage through continued infrastructure simplification and global talent recruitment, while also making long-term strategic investments in product innovation and marketing. In 2025, we expect normalized EBITDA margin expansion of approximately 100 basis points, and we remain on track to deliver our investor day target of 33% by 2026. For the full year of 2025, we are targeting free cash flow of at least $1.5 billion, representing growth of over 11%. We expect capital expenditures of $30 million, cash interest payments of $150 million, and $30 million in cash taxes, primarily to foreign jurisdictions. With that, our disciplined capital allocation approach remains unchanged, and we plan to evaluate all opportunities for shareholder return according to our rigorous and returns-based framework. On our buyback program, we are committed to, at a minimum, covering dilution from share-based compensation over the year. We are pleased with our strong 2024 performance and our progress towards our investor day target of $4.5 billion plus in cumulative free cash flow generation, underpinned by 6% to 8% annual revenue growth, and expansion of normalized EBITDA margin to 33% by 2026. Before we go to Q&A, I want to emphasize that our path ahead is clear, and we remain dedicated to executing our strategy to deliver durable top-line growth alongside expanded profitability. Balancing the two drives us towards our north star of maximizing free cash flow. With that, I'll hand it over to our vice president and head of investor relations, Kristi Mastner, to open up the call for your questions.

speaker
Kristi Masoner
VP of Investor Relations

Thanks, Mark. As a reminder, if you'd like to ask a question, please use the raise hand feature at the bottom of the webinar screen to be added to the queue. Our first question comes from the line of Vikram Kesevovotla from Baird. Vik, please go ahead.

speaker
Vikram Kesevovotla
Analyst at Baird

Hey, thanks. Can you hear me? Hey, Vik. Hey, great. Hey, thanks for taking the questions. My first one is on pricing and bundling. You talked about focusing this year on presence products and specific customer populations within the hosting business. Just wondering if you could elaborate some more on the strategy there. Why are you choosing to focus on those areas, and how impactful do you think that could be relative to your work last year and productivity? And I think you mentioned the next evolution in 2026. Just wondering if you can share any color on what those next steps could look like. My second question is on the customer count. Mark, you reiterated the confidence in returning to customer growth in 2025. Just what are the drivers that you think will help you get there, and what does the timeline look like in terms of returning to growth on a quarter over quarter basis and year over year? And maybe associated with that, just what are you seeing at the top of the funnel right now? And I'll leave it there. Thanks.

speaker
Iman Bhutani
Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Vik. I'll start with pricing and bundling. Continue to be very excited about that program. It delivered ahead of our expectations in 2024, and we have a very material target for it in 2025 as well. I feel like we've put the breadcrumbs in place on the evolution of this program, so there isn't a hard cut over in 2026 or anything. Where we started with pricing and bundling is looking at our products, bundling them with other products, and looking at unique value-based offers for our customers. And what we learned through 2024 is that there is a better path to approaching customer cohorts rather than a product-centric lens. So what we're talking about here is that continued evolution where, of course, we focused on productivity solutions in 2024. In 2025, you'll see us continue to focus on some of our presence products, and that was the more product-led mindset or approach to pricing and bundling. But then the customer cohort-based lens is starting in 2025 as well, in the first place we're going is a customer cohort in the hosting business. And what it's based on is the continued experimentation with customers, continuously looking at what bundles makes the most sense, where is the significant customer surplus, and where can we price up a little bit and ship some of that value to the firm and shareholders. And I think for customer account, Mark, I'll turn it to you.

speaker
Mark McCaffrey
Chief Financial Officer

Absolutely. And Vick, thanks for the question. Just a reminder, our focus is on high-quality customers, and we want customers that are coming in with intent. So our goal is really looking at the metrics around what is the average order size at the initiation with that customer, how are they attaching, how is it ultimately impacting our retention rate. So the drive to getting customers is more in line with getting the high-value customers versus just getting any customer. And having said that, we had some headwinds, and we've talked about them around our customer count. We had divestitures, we ended deep discounting at the top of our funnel, we had migrations, all of those created a drag on certain customers, certain brands that we had. And we are now getting through the majority of that work, and we're looking at that starting to abate from a comparison basis. Now, funnel, you asked about, we're still seeing at the top of funnel, very solid traffic coming into our funnel. We're seeing customers attaching faster, all the positive signs, all the positive signs around the narrow that we are part of our strategy. So at the end of the day, we feel our strategy is working.

speaker
Vikram Kesevovotla
Analyst at Baird

Okay, great, thank you. Thanks, Rick. Thank you.

speaker
Kristi Masoner
VP of Investor Relations

Our next question comes from the line of Ken Wong from Oppenheimer. Ken, please go ahead.

speaker
Ken Wong
Analyst at Oppenheimer

Can you guys hear me?

speaker
Mark McCaffrey
Chief Financial Officer

Hi Ken.

speaker
Ken Wong
Analyst at Oppenheimer

Great. I just wanted to maybe dive in a little bit on the revenue growth for next year. I think we were generally expecting some convergence between revenue and bookings, and we are seeing a little bit of that. Just wondering if there's any kind of one-off headwinds that we should be aware of, any quantification of how FX might have impacted that number?

speaker
Mark McCaffrey
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, thanks Ken. And we're still seeing great momentum in bookings, and obviously depending on the terms, transactional versus subscription, that's gonna impact revenue in different periods. But on an overall basis, bookings is gonna outpace revenue and continue to see that momentum going through 2025. FX, we did see, I would say, a small impact on FX in bookings towards the second half of the year. Not much now, it hits us in bookings first, then it rolls out into revenue, so it is very much in our model for 2025. But I would say at this juncture, it's relatively small overall.

speaker
Ken Wong
Analyst at Oppenheimer

Okay, perfect. And then, last year you guys more or less deliberately fired customers with the base falling 20.5 million. You guys have been talking up investments in terms of customer acquisition for 25. How should we think about the contribution to growth from that aspect of your focus?

speaker
Mark McCaffrey
Chief Financial Officer

I'll start and then maybe, Man, you could jump on. So we're looking this year, and we've talked about our investment in marketing around Arrow and bringing people into the Arrow experience. And with that, we are starting to enter the monetization phase. But the monetization phase takes a while to build and goes to bookings first and ultimately to revenue. So for this year, I would say modest impact of the Arrow launch and some of the efforts we're making around attracting customers into that experience. But as we go out, obviously, we expect that to increase.

speaker
Iman Bhutani
Chief Executive Officer

And maybe I'll just quickly add, Ken, maybe two parts to it. One is Mark already talked about, which is attracting the higher value customer, the higher intent customer. And the second is that we want them to start with us in a different place. Years ago, a customer comes to GoDaddy, they started with domains. Well, more and more today, a customer comes to GoDaddy and they start with Arrow. And Arrow is a collection of products, collection of services that adds value to them immediately. And that's super important to us because it allows us to reposition the company and the starting point of the company with the customer.

speaker
Ken Wong
Analyst at Oppenheimer

Thank you, guys.

speaker
Kristi Masoner
VP of Investor Relations

Our next question comes from the line of Josh Beck from Raymond James. Josh, please go ahead.

speaker
Josh Beck
Analyst at Raymond James

Yeah, thanks so much for the question team. Amman, I want to go back to some of your comments about kind of pursuing the monetization vectors or phase, if you will, of Arrow and Arrow Plus. It sounds like you're entering that phase maybe earlier than you had planned, say, 12 months ago. So just kind of curious what triggered that change and really what was behind that.

speaker
Iman Bhutani
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, happy to talk about that. Definitely, we brought Arrow to market in November, December for the first time with a small cohort of customers and that's 2023. And then over the last year, we expanded it. And in our regional estimates, and I think I've talked about it many times, the idea very much was that the focus was on discovery and engagement and then monetization. And we really wanted to solidify discovery and engagement because we want to change the base that people started with GoDaddy on. And what's happened in 2024 is that discovery and engagement have gone very well. Obviously, we've shared metrics of millions of customers discovering Arrow and then half of them engaging with Arrow. And now we've continued to share the metric of how Arrow has become the path where people started GoDaddy and then find their way to websites, right? With the Arrow path sort of providing 50% of website starts. So that's very good discovery and engagement metrics. And what it's done is it's sort of bolstered our confidence and pulled forward some of the Arrow monetization, which of course, Mark talked about the positive of Arrow in terms of just some green shoots on retention rates, some product attach, all of that's fantastic. Some conversion improvements too. But what happens now is that a skew appears, which is a monetization skew, which is Arrow Plus that we launched in Q4. And you're going to start to see us fold in a number of the new and very innovative products on the Arrow platform as Arrow Plus to the customer.

speaker
Josh Beck
Analyst at Raymond James

Super helpful. And then maybe just a quick follow-up on the GPV. I think it was 2.6 billion growing mid 50s. And obviously the comps are also very high with respect to growth. So I guess how much penetration do you see in the years ahead? Obviously you've had tremendous success getting to this point. Is that something where, yeah, there's still a lot of low-hanging fruit and gains to be had, or should we be thinking about growth, maybe slowing there? Any guidance would be great.

speaker
Iman Bhutani
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, I continue to be very excited about GPV growth. And I think we want to continue it at a fast pace, but our model is a profitable growth model. So what we did in 2024 is not just grew GPV very fast. What we did is we started to launch SaaS offerings as well, which has helped the higher margin revenue getting out there. And in terms of penetration into the base, I would say still the largest contributor to our GPV growth is our base of customers. And I'm afraid to even say we're getting started. We have penetrated such a small percentage of our base and I feel there's so much more to go in front of us. That's what we're after.

speaker
Mark McCaffrey
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, and even adding to that, as new customers have come into the funnel and started using payments over the years, they will grow and add to that GPV as well. So there is plenty of runway on our GPV growth going forward. Great, thank you both. Thank you.

speaker
Kristi Masoner
VP of Investor Relations

Our next question is from the line of Aaron Kessler from Seaport Research. Aaron, please go ahead.

speaker
Aaron Kessler
Analyst at Seaport Research

Great, let me unmute there. Perfect, a couple of questions. Maybe back to the arrow. I think you said 50% of bookings for web presence, which is pretty impressive. Any thoughts on maybe how much those are kind of incremental versus in terms of that uplift, do you have a sense for that? And then maybe talk about some of the internal efficiencies and I was kind of a longer term process, but that you're gaining from AI and then what would you expect from 2025 as well from any sort of internal efficiencies you're getting? Thank you.

speaker
Iman Bhutani
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, on the first part, without breaking every piece of it down, overall, Aero has demonstrated higher conversion, higher product attack and just now starting to show better renewal, not just for domains, but for websites. And when we talk about Aero website, what we're really talking about is people starting with the Aero experience and then sort of launching into the website experience. And that's what's reached 50%. So Aero has become a very large funnel and obviously now is going to be the largest funnel for websites. But Aero is helping across all these metrics. But even as I talk about them, I have to sort of mention these are green shoots, right? Aero is an infant, it's about one year old and its first cohort just came up for renewal for the first time. So we have so much more to do here, but the real excitement for me here is that, we are starting the customer with something different at GoDaddy and that different vehicle is Aero and it offers us lots and lots of opportunities. And on the, Mark, did you

speaker
Mark McCaffrey
Chief Financial Officer

want to? Yeah, no, and Aaron on your incrementality, it's always hard to measure whether they would have gone to websites or they went to websites because of Aero. Having said that, the metrics we're tracking are things like average order size when they're initiating. Those are indicators to us that they're coming in and doing more than they previously did. And those are all very positive in the early stages of what we're saying.

speaker
Iman Bhutani
Chief Executive Officer

And then on the question on internal efficiencies, obviously I'm super excited about AI and we continue to invest in AI, machine learning, generative AI and now agentic AI as well. And we think there's great room for innovation for internal efficiencies that sort of across the company. And our model in some of the places, for example, in care is a little bit different than other companies, but we've continued to make progress. For example, we've talked about Gabby, we've also talked about our conversational bot and those tools continue to do better and better. And I dare say a year from now, we'll be talking about them a lot more. Great, thank you.

speaker
Kristi Masoner
VP of Investor Relations

Our next question comes in the line of Trevor Young from Barclays. Trevor, please go ahead.

speaker
Trevor Young
Analyst at Barclays

Great, thanks. On the EBITDA margin guide, one queue implying about two part points expansion year on year, meanwhile, only committing to a hundred bips for the full year. If I heard you correctly, the marketing spend is also gonna be concentrated in one queue. So just help us understand, is there some additional spend layering in later in the year that we should maybe be contemplating as we think about margin progression? And then similarly, is there any sort of FX headwinds, any nuances between where RevRec is and where costs lie that could be weighing on margin as well?

speaker
Mark McCaffrey
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, thanks, Trevor. On the margin, as we say, every quarter is gonna be a little bit different for us. And so looking at Q1 versus the entire year gets a little tricky, but we do have a seasonality related to it. Now, having said that on the hundred basis points, it's just following the model that we've talked about. We're seeing the upfront benefit last year from things like infrastructure simplification, global talent recruitment. Those were very front-end loaded for us. And now it's generally the tailwind related to the continued growth in ANC at a higher segment EBITDA margin. There's nothing in particular that we haven't called out. We have talked about marketing, we have talked about product innovation, but generally it's staying within the parameters that we've talked about within the model that we've talked about. And we're heading towards the 33% in 2025, sorry, 2026. Great,

speaker
Trevor Young
Analyst at Barclays

thank you, Mark.

speaker
Kristi Masoner
VP of Investor Relations

Our next question comes to the line of Robert Colbrith from Evercore. Robert, please go ahead.

speaker
Robert Colbrith
Analyst at Evercore

Sorry. Great, thank you for taking our question. I wanted to ask a little bit more about the renewal rate improvement you're seeing on the very early arrow cohorts, particularly in relation to domains. So I was wondering if it's just because they're doing multi-product attach at a higher rate or maybe the improvement in relation to domains conveys that there's something more unique about the arrow renewal motion. And then associated with that, are you seeing an opportunity for higher expansion at renewal from customers who have received the arrow experience or engaged with it? And does that potentially portend opportunity to put arrow in front of the broader installed customer base of renewal in the future? Thanks.

speaker
Iman Bhutani
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, thank you. When we talk about the arrow cohort for domains, these are customers that bought a domain and were immediately sort of engaged with the arrow experience, right? They were surrounded by the SOAR that chose to engage with it. And what we see there is that because arrow offers eight to nine, what we call cards or areas for customers to engage where they can turn that domain into a pail link, they can do a little bit of social marketing or they can create a logo or they can get a one page website that arrow just creates for them, right? This is before they go build a full website. All of these other interactions happen for free for these customers that have just bought a domain. And our hypothesis is that because the customer now has greater value that over time, that should lead to a little bit higher retention rate. Now it's gonna be different from our two plus products and such because they're what we're talking about is two paid products. But what we have here is customer using multiple products and that should lead to better renewal rate. In terms of expansion of other opportunities for arrow customers, that is what we're after. We want to start the customer with a set of products and we want to keep adding to that value over time. So you'll keep seeing us add more and more capabilities to arrow. But as they start using it, expose them to a logo builder or an image creator, that's much better than what came naturally with arrow or a marketing tool, a marketing consultant, or the digital marketing tool we have, which do a much better job. And then the customer can opt in and sort of sell themselves into arrow plus.

speaker
Robert Colbrith
Analyst at Evercore

And then maybe the last piece, just the opportunity to perhaps at renewal, put arrow in front of customers who haven't seen it before versus new customers.

speaker
Iman Bhutani
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, we continue to work on taking arrow into the broader base of customers. I think I've talked about a little bit in the past too, our learnings from taking websites and then the productivity solutions and now commerce into the basis that that go to market motion tends to be a bit different than new customers. So it tends to come a few quarters after we've nailed a new customer side. But we're continuing to work on that. We're very excited about full base of customers continuing to be a very exciting place. Where if you're on the site, you'll see arrow in arrow plus over the next few months. Arrow is already on many of the surfaces, but you'll actually see arrow plus start popping up for existing customers too.

speaker
Robert Colbrith
Analyst at Evercore

Okay, great, thank you.

speaker
Kristi Masoner
VP of Investor Relations

Next question comes from the line of Chris Kuntarek from UBS, Chris, please go ahead.

speaker
Chris Kuntarek
Analyst at UBS

Great, thanks for taking the question. I just wanna go back to the comment, Mark, that you had made on the 16% average order growth. Could you give us a sense for what that was growing in 2023?

speaker
Mark McCaffrey
Chief Financial Officer

We don't have it disclosed that back to 2023. So, I would say it's a year over year comparison at 16%. Remember we were in a different environment in 2023. So we're comparing it to post arrow to pre arrow. So again, we'll continue to update that as we go forward, but right now it's at 16%.

speaker
Chris Kuntarek
Analyst at UBS

Got it, yeah, I think that was really what I was trying to get at here was, was that average order growth accelerating in the order of magnitude of 5% mid singles, high singles here, just as a proxy for what that performance improvement was coming from arrow.

speaker
Mark McCaffrey
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, Chris, we haven't gone out and given numbers like that back that far. So we can take it offline, but we're making it at 16%.

speaker
Chris Kuntarek
Analyst at UBS

Got it, and just maybe on arrow plus, curious how you're thinking about that product. You're obviously doing independent skew tests now at this point. Is this something we should be looking for? Is something that you're going to be putting marketing dollars behind this year?

speaker
Iman Bhutani
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, we're going to test it first, Chris, and your customers are going to start to see it on the site. And only once that testing is complete, you'll see you have you tested pricing and so on. As we get to confidence on its performance, then likely you'll see some marketing on it. As Mark has talked about, we are putting marketing dollars behind arrow. We think it's a fantastic experience and the world needs to know about. Got it,

speaker
Chris Kuntarek
Analyst at UBS

thank you.

speaker
Kristi Masoner
VP of Investor Relations

Our next question comes from the line of Egal Aronian. Egal from Citigroup, Egal, please go ahead.

speaker
Egal Aronian
Analyst at Citigroup

Hey, good afternoon, guys. First, just going back to the full year revenue guidance and that kind of point on convergence from 2024 bookings to 25 revenue. Maybe you can just help paint a little bit of what's embedded in the range of the guidance. Like what would it take to get to the lower end of your guidance, meaning 6% revenue growth coming off a year of 9% bookings growth? Just what's the right way to think about that?

speaker
Mark McCaffrey
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, Egal, thanks. And we continue to make great momentum and the revenue growth comparison, obviously trails the booking comparison and we're comparing it against different years, different periods, different aspects. We feel really good about where we are in the range, but there are transactional ends of the business that we continue to monitor. There are, you know, impact, not only our core platform, they can also impact our ANC. So we try to build that range to take into consideration that, you know, what is the volume? What are the units coming in? And what are the different ranges there? So I would say if you really wanna see that what can get us from one poll to the other poll, you have to look at the transactional business because the bookings takes a period of time to get revenue on subscriptions.

speaker
Iman Bhutani
Chief Executive Officer

And I think we could go a little color and say transactional businesses, you're talking

speaker
Mark McCaffrey
Chief Financial Officer

about the aftermarket business being a big part of that. That is the biggest part of it. We did have the return to, you know, some larger transactions last year, making this year, you know, a tough compare in the aftermarket. As we always say, we don't anticipate those larger transactions. So that is always gonna be a bit of a swing for us, depending on what we see out there.

speaker
Egal Aronian
Analyst at Citigroup

Okay, that's helpful. And another one for you, Mark, on capital allocation. So it's been a couple quarters now with not a lot of buybacks, or certainly less than, you know, what you've been buying kind of run rate previously. You're building cash, you're below your leverage targets here. Just give us an updated thought of buybacks, capital allocation, is the M&A environment any different or your approach to M&A stuff? How do we think about that as your cash consumers grow

speaker
Mark McCaffrey
Chief Financial Officer

here? Thanks. It got no change to our approach. You know, we were ahead of where we had targeted coming out of 2024. We, you know, we bought back through Q3. And like I said, never look at any particular quarter for a trend. We continue to evaluate on our quarter by quarter basis. And we continue to look at what the right rate of return is for all of our capital allocation. Overall, no change in how we approach it, no change in how we look at things. And we'll continue to apply that very disciplined approach going forward. Thank you. Thanks, Bill.

speaker
Kristi Masoner
VP of Investor Relations

Our next question comes in the line of Elizabeth Porter from Morgan Stanley. Elizabeth, please go ahead.

speaker
Elizabeth Porter
Analyst at Morgan Stanley

Great, thank you so much. First, we generally think of websites as a pretty sticky market. And with the opportunity to drive more website attach, should we think about the opportunity as really skewed towards the new customer side or do some of the products like site optimization allow you to actually dip back into that install base of customers that may be leveraging a different website builder and provide an opportunity to drive it attached to a GoDaddy website? Thanks.

speaker
Iman Bhutani
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, Elizabeth, you're right on the spot. Yes, you know, there is the opportunity with new, but site optimizer is built to help reach existing customers that could renew their sites, that could do a better job. I think we've shared publicly that, you know, while site optimizer is still being tested with a smaller cohort of GoDaddy customers, as a technology, it's built to make any site better in the world.

speaker
Elizabeth Porter
Analyst at Morgan Stanley

Great, and then just as a follow-up, the pricing and packaging in 2025 seems to be more focused on web presence and cohorts and hosting. How should we think about the relative benefit of the strategy to these areas in 2025 compared to the impact the strategy had on productivity in 2024? Productivity just in general seems to be a bigger contributor with an ANC, and we know hosting's gotten a little bit smaller with divestitures. So can you just help us understand how big of an opportunity these areas represent?

speaker
Iman Bhutani
Chief Executive Officer

Pricing and bundling continues to be a multi-year opportunity, and we feel very good about the transition of it being a product-led lens to pricing and bundling, to moving to a customer cohort-based lens. And we think the opportunity is very large over multiple years. In terms of contribution, you know, that I had wanted to share, which is why we included it, is that we have a very material contribution from pricing and bundling in 2025 as well. And I think there's a bit of confusion for people because there's too much focus on productivity rather than looking at GoDaddy's very large customer base and all sets of products that they have, and also the products that we can bundle with those products to create these new value-based softwares. That's really the scope that we should be looking at versus looking at, you know, one specific product within our P&L, if you will.

speaker
Kristi Masoner
VP of Investor Relations

Great, thank you so much.

speaker
Iman Bhutani
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Elizabeth.

speaker
Kristi Masoner
VP of Investor Relations

Our next question comes from the line of Mark Zagudowicz from Benchmark. Mark, please go ahead.

speaker
Mark Zagudowicz
Analyst at Benchmark

Thanks, Kristi. I appreciate it. Mark, just maybe a follow-on to Trevor's question on the margin guidance. I'm curious what your A&C and core platform, Adjust City, Bidab Margin, expectations are for 25. And the question stems from, I would just expect to see perhaps more leverage than the 100 bips just given the mix shift to A&C. So that's where that question stems from. And then also notice that there was some de-leverage in corporate quarter over quarter and fourth quarter, and wondered if any of that, I guess what drove that and what, if there's any of that lingering into your 25 margin guidance. Thanks.

speaker
Mark McCaffrey
Chief Financial Officer

And thanks, Mark. Real quick on the margin guidance, you know, we were very front-end loaded when we went from 23 to 24 with some of the actions we had taken. We talked about the three buckets and each of them having a certain contribution, and the first two were very front-end loaded. We feel really good about our pace towards the 33. And the 100 bips of improvement are based on the fact that we are now going to be seeing more of the tailwind related to the A&C growth. And that'll help in that segment, Bidab Margin, and that will help be that tailwind that helps us get there. Now at the same time, you know, we are continuing to look at marketing investment around Aero and product innovation. So we're investing in the long-term. And we feel good about our path to get there. You know, and I always say our North Star is free cashflow. So we are well on track on the free cashflow targets coming out of the year. And we continue to have that great momentum to get there. On the second question, and I'm going to say- De-leverage on- De-leverage on, yeah, nothing to call out. We were finishing up some infrastructure projects towards the end of Q4, but there's nothing specific or nothing lingering into 2025 to call out. We're on a good track to continue to get operating leverage on our P&L.

speaker
Mark Zagudowicz
Analyst at Benchmark

Okay, great. And then just one last question. You touched on it a little bit, but aftermarket, you had a nice acceleration in 4Q and I'm just curious what drove that and what your assumptions are with aftermarket in 1Q and in 425, thanks.

speaker
Mark McCaffrey
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, we continue to see it as a low single digit grower. And we're seeing good volume at the, I would say, the base level of the smaller transactions. Like I said, we don't build in any of the larger transactions, which can create some volatility. And that pattern seems to be holding. Every quarter may be a little different up or down, depending on some of that, but that's what we build into our model going forward.

speaker
Mark Zagudowicz
Analyst at Benchmark

Okay, got

speaker
Mark McCaffrey
Chief Financial Officer

it. Thanks guys, appreciate it. Thanks.

speaker
Kristi Masoner
VP of Investor Relations

Our next question comes from the line of Alexi Gogolev from JP Morgan. Alexi, please go ahead.

speaker
Ella Smith (for Alexi Gogolev)
Analyst at JP Morgan

Hi, this is Ella Smith on for Alexi. Thank you so much for taking our questions. So, hey, so maybe first with Aero, how many of Aero users are existing GoDaddy customers versus how many are new customers? And how do you think about that distinction in customer groups moving forward?

speaker
Iman Bhutani
Chief Executive Officer

Currently, more, the greater percentage of Aero customers are going to be in the new because all new customers are getting exposed to Aero and we see great engagement from them with new customers. On existing customers, the -to-market is a bit different, but that is an area of larger opportunity over time. Also the new continues to sort of weave into the base as well. So over time, you're going to see the base become larger and larger in terms of Aero customers. And we have a lot more to do on that and a lot of great ideas to bring to customers.

speaker
Ella Smith (for Alexi Gogolev)
Analyst at JP Morgan

Got it, thank you, Amman. That makes a lot of sense. And for a quick follow-up, how did your GMV fare in 2024? And looking ahead, do you still expect GPV to outpace GMV growth?

speaker
Mark McCaffrey
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, Ella, we've strayed away from GMV and just the disclosures around it only because it's not a clear indicator of how it translates directly into our revenue. GPV is the number we base it on. And obviously we talked about the growth in the GPV. So nothing to really call out in GMV related to GPV at this time.

speaker
Ella Smith (for Alexi Gogolev)
Analyst at JP Morgan

Got it, thank you, Mark, appreciate it.

speaker
Kristi Masoner
VP of Investor Relations

Our next question comes from the line of Alec Rondolo from Wells Fargo. Alec, please go ahead.

speaker
Alec Rondolo
Analyst at Wells Fargo

Hey, thank you so much. Maybe two from me. On Aero Plus, I think all of the AI products in the bundle right now are built by GoDaddy. How do you think about potentially adding a third party AI products to that subscription tier over time? And then maybe secondly, if I had to characterize Aero Plus, there's the logo maker, there's the enhanced website building tool and I think it's a marketing product. Do you think you found like the killer feature or tent pole feature for the bundle at this point in time? Thanks.

speaker
Iman Bhutani
Chief Executive Officer

On the third party products for Aero Plus, just like we included a product within Aero that was third party, we're very curious about third party products and we actually test with a number of our partners. When we find something, you'll see it emerge sort of within the product with the right packaging and such. And in terms of the second part of the question, when I think about sort of a tent pole feature or something really good, what I would say is we have great sort of starting point with Site Optimizer and the marketing suite, the digital marketing suite. We know from early testing that those two products, products that attract customers. So, we're really double down on those to get those to a very large group of customers and we don't necessarily need a fourth, fifth one, new one right now. Thank you. Thank you.

speaker
Kristi Masoner
VP of Investor Relations

Our next question comes from John Bayoune from Jefferies. John, please go ahead.

speaker
John Bayoune
Analyst at Jefferies

Is John being for Brent Filler?

speaker
Mark McCaffrey
Chief Financial Officer

John.

speaker
John Bayoune
Analyst at Jefferies

You hear me okay?

speaker
Mark McCaffrey
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, we can hear you.

speaker
John Bayoune
Analyst at Jefferies

Okay, I heard some echo. First question is, both of them are on AI, but for Aero Plus, it's been out a couple of months, but just curious what you're seeing in terms of acquiring paying subs. I mean, I know we're still testing it. And then second on agentic AI, just wondering how they might look. I don't know if there's any examples you could share of what they might be. Thanks.

speaker
Iman Bhutani
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, John, super early for Aero Plus, but we'll definitely talk about it more in future earnings call. And in agentic AI, without giving away any competitive info, what I would just say that from last year, what you saw in Aero was the power of automation and generative AI. And if you look at some of the capabilities that Aero already automates and does, agentic AI has the opportunity to really superpower even what Aero does. So that's, in terms of the use cases, there are lots and lots of use cases, but if you look at the core use cases that our customers are already using, agentic AI and Aero can do them a lot better.

speaker
John Bayoune
Analyst at Jefferies

Great, thank you very much.

speaker
Iman Bhutani
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you.

speaker
Kristi Masoner
VP of Investor Relations

Our next question comes from line of Navid Khan from V. Riley. Navid, please go ahead.

speaker
Navid Khan
Analyst at V. Riley

Great, thanks. I have a clarification before I ask my question. So just on the guide, Mark, for the full year, are you making any kind of impact from FX in your guide? And then I have some questions.

speaker
Mark McCaffrey
Chief Financial Officer

Navid, we are seeing some, but it's small at this point. It's a little bit of a headwind we came out in our bookings that'll roll over into the first part of the year, but nothing really significant.

speaker
Navid Khan
Analyst at V. Riley

Okay, and then two part of the question. One is, we are seeing the cost of using generative AI models, kind of getting cheaper and cheaper with models like DeepSeq. How should we think about the P&L impact of this kind of development? And then the other question is just around customer growth. So now that the noise from the divestiture is going to be behind us in 2025, do you expect to return to positive customer growth?

speaker
Iman Bhutani
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, on the cost of generative AI, Navid, I just pointed to sort of our commentary over the last couple of years. We've been very judicious in terms of costs on generative AI. I've been a huge proponent of generative AI. I do feel that as the platforms get out there and we have more and more people are going to build better models, models that are trained faster, that are trained cheaper. But we already are very careful about that. If it gets cheaper and better, that's only good for our customers and good for us. So that's fantastic.

speaker
Mark McCaffrey
Chief Financial Officer

And then the customers, just a reminder, we're focusing on high valued customers and we're making sure that we're getting those customers into the funnel. Having said that, we are starting to move past a lot of the efforts we've made around consolidating our technology stacks and we're seeing strong top of the funnel. So we do expect customer accounts to return to positive and we'll continue our focus on our strategy because it's working.

speaker
Navid Khan
Analyst at V. Riley

Great, thank you.

speaker
Kristi Masoner
VP of Investor Relations

Next question comes in line of Brad Erickson from RBC. Brad, please go ahead.

speaker
Brad Erickson
Analyst at RBC

Thanks. Thanks for putting me on. I got the echo too, sounds like. Can I guess start with, can you give your latest thinking around how you think about your marketing tools, comparing the tools on some of the big walled gardens out there? I know this isn't like a new topic, but just curious to get your latest thinking on that dynamic given how quickly it's evolving. And then maybe a follow-up from Noved's question on DeepSeek. I'm just curious, like in your management conversations across companies, et cetera, are you feeling like there could be infrastructure efficiencies over time? And clearly that's where it points, but just pragmatically, what do those conversations sound like as you have them? Thanks.

speaker
Iman Bhutani
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, on the marketing tools, Brad, we have very early stage products on marketing tools, but our tools are custom built for our customer, which is the micro business. Third of them are sole openers. These are very, very small businesses. So our tools are really factored and built for that customer. We think of ourselves at the base of the pyramid and only place for us to go is up. And that's fantastic. So we're just starting out on those. And in terms of AI and infrastructure costs and discussions internally on infrastructure, this is a quickly evolving situation. Like my view is AI is moving so quickly. Most people have no idea or think we can't really guess how different things are gonna be in three to six months. So while we wanna stay on top of it, our real focus is how do we take AI, create value for customers, and then transform that value to shareholder value in terms of greater attach upsell pricing as well.

speaker
Kristi Masoner
VP of Investor Relations

Our next question comes from the line of Deepak Anthavanan from Cantor Fitzgerald. Deepak, please go ahead.

speaker
Deepak Anthavanan
Analyst at Cantor Fitzgerald

Hey guys, thanks for taking the question. I'll ask a couple of ones. First, can you just talk broadly about the macro trends in early 2025? How is the top of the funnel trends, particularly in the context of new business formation that's driving your business? And then the second question, obviously earlier in the year, there was a lot of news flow around WordPress. Are you seeing any tailwinds to certain products or maybe to your customer growth or maybe migrations from WordPress, to some of your sort of like DIY products at this time, any color you can share, that would be helpful. Thanks so much.

speaker
Iman Bhutani
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, Deepak, with a minute left, I'm gonna be quick on this one. On business formations, we've talked about how business formation data doesn't fully correlate to GoDaddy. But what I will say is that our customer continues to be resilient. They gotta put food on the table and these people have shown the creativity under different economic conditions and happy to talk about that more. But I think we've talked about that quite a bunch. And on WordPress, super excited about WordPress. New version that we've launched is twice as fast. Fantastic product. And I'm looking forward to sort of getting to market very broadly, but we've just launched it recently.

speaker
Kristi Masoner
VP of Investor Relations

I'll now turn the call back over to Amman. Thank you.

speaker
Iman Bhutani
Chief Executive Officer

All right, well, thank you all very much for joining. And a big thank you to all GoDaddy employees for a fantastic 2024.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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