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Genius Sports Limited
8/6/2025
Thank you for standing by. My name is Van, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Genius Sports Second Quarter 2025 earnings results call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers remarks, there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, press star one again. Thank you. I would now like to turn the call over to Genius Sports. Please go ahead.
Thank you and good morning. Before we begin, we'd like to remind you that certain statements made during this call may constitute forward-looking statements that are subject to risks that could cause our actual results to differ materially from our historical results or from our forecast. We assume no responsibility for updating forward-looking statements. Any such statements should be considered in conjunction with cautionary statements in our earnings release and risk-factic discussions in our filings with the SEC, including our annual report on Form 20-F filed with the SEC on March 14th, 2025. During the call, management will also discuss certain non-GAAP measures that we believe may be useful in evaluating Genius' operating performance. These measures should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for Genius' financial results prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable U.S. GAAP measures is available in our earnings press release and earnings presentation, which can be found on our website at .geniusforces.com. With that, I'll now turn the call over to our CEO, Mark Webber.
Good morning, everyone, and I hope you're enjoying the summer. Today, I'm pleased to report another quarter of strong financial results, further demonstrating the operating leverage and predictability of our business model. In the second quarter, we achieved a 24% growth in group revenue and a record high, a group adjusted EBITDA margin of 29%. We're also excited to share that we're raising our full-year guidance this quarter, driven by continued momentum in the underlying business, as well as a few major deal we've announced recently. We now expect to generate group revenue and adjusted EBITDA of $645 million and $135 million respectively. These recent commercial wins highlight our favorable misses model and reflect a strong validation of our strategy and the progress we've made executing against it. Over the last few years, I've been clear about my ambition to distribute our technology across the globe in as many stadiums and with as many leagues as possible and why it is so strategically important. The recent successes from this quarter are clear examples of how we're shaping the future of league partnerships and why we're even more confident about our path forward. First, our Genius IQ platform was on full display for the FIBA Under 19 Basketball World Cup last month. As part of our long-standing partnership with FIBA, dating over 20 years, we're now delivering computer vision and AI technology to power the next generation of fan engagement. For instance, this tournament included real-time optical tracking data, augmented broadcasts to deliver immersive viewing experiences for fans and rich performance insights for coaches and players to optimize training and game strategies. Genius IQ is a single platform utilizing computer vision, AI and machine learning to power many solutions for leagues and teams, sportsbooks, broadcasters and advertisers. This technology is integral to FIBA's operations and plays a critical role in unlocking new monetization opportunities for the next 10 years of our exclusive partnership with global basketball. Genius IQ is also playing an increasingly central role in the world of soccer. Whether it's power and coaching tools, broadcast augmentations, bet vision or semi-automated offsides, our technology is helping to modernize the game. We're addressing critical needs for leagues and rapidly scaling these innovations across the globe. It is also what makes us an indispensable partner to leagues and federations and extremely difficult to replace. This technology is a clear differentiator and a key reason why we have won major rights deals in the last few weeks. I'll quickly highlight a few high-profile examples to demonstrate how our strategy is working. First, we've just won the exclusive data and streaming rights to Serie A, the top professional soccer league in Italy and among the highest quality content globally. And for those less familiar with the European sports betting landscape, Italy is the largest market in Europe in terms of annual GGR, making Serie A one of the most valuable rights in Europe. These rights became available after stats performed withdrew from its contract last year. Serie A ultimately chose genius sports based on a more holistic partnership centered around technology capabilities rather than rights fees alone. For instance, we now plan to launch Betvision for Serie A, driving even greater fan engagement and betting volume through a differentiated immersive interface. This further illustrates the difference in our strategic approach and why we are winning major rights deals on a cost-effective basis. We've also just signed a deal to provide Belgian Pro League with semi-automated offside technology, further expanding our global distribution of Genius IQ. This deal also marked an important launch pad to a much larger partnership with the European leagues, which brings me to the next major announcement. Our technology has just won us the exclusive rights to the European leagues from IMG Arena. There are several reasons why I'm excited about this and why we believe it marks a critical turning point for Genius. First, this gives us exclusive rights to thousands of top tier soccer events, spanning 18 different member competitions across Europe. This, along with Serie A and our existing portfolio, including the English Premier League and several others, has tipped the scales and given Genius a leading position in European soccer. We've won these rights because of our differentiated technology, resulting in reduced rights fees that are just a fraction of what IMG Arena had previously paid. This also sets the foundation for a long-term collaborative partnership with the European leagues as Genius IQ will become the new technology infrastructure to support several future initiatives. As our technology is deployed across hundreds of venues, these leagues and teams will begin to rely on the technology and rely more heavily on this, making Genius IQ incredibly sticky and difficult to replace. This creates a sustainable long-term model with high barriers to entry and lays the groundwork for additional monetization opportunities for many years. This partnership further demonstrates how we are fundamentally transforming the traditional rights model. By leveraging our technology to secure rights bills, we are reducing rights costs while deepening our competitive mode and paving the way for future technological advancements. The evolution of the rights market is shifting the competitive dynamics in our favor and these deals continue to validate our strategies. And finally, we've also extended and expanded our partnership with the NFL. Over the last four years, we've delivered on several tech initiatives and we continue to expand our product roadmap to support some of the NFL's next strategic opportunities. This reflects our strong relationship that we've built over the past four years and represents a natural evolution of our continued collaboration. This deal now extends our exclusive betting data rights through to the 2030 Super Bowl. We've also extended our watch and bet rights for in-market and national NFL games on phone and tablet to be co-terminus with our data rights, allowing us to continue providing bet vision to the global sports betting market for at least the next five NFL seasons. Bet vision has proven to drive more interactive engagement and live betting over the last two seasons and we're excited to continue innovating this product even further. On that note, this expanded partnership also gives us exclusive rights to sell select in-game advertising inventory on bet vision. This unique inventory can only be accessed through Fan Hub and further strengthens our value proposition to advertisers. In fact, this inventory has already been sold out up front of the upcoming NFL season, a clear signal of demand for this type of offering. We are now feeling more confident than ever about Fan Hub's continued growth potential in the second half of this year. As such, we now expect four-year media revenue growth of at least 20% up from our initial forecast for low to mid-teens growth for the full year. We continue to make key advancements to the Fan Hub platform, giving advertisers more tools to manage and measure digital advertising campaigns and targeting sports audiences. Additionally, we've maintained a consistent presence at industry events and even hosted our own new front in New York City, attracting over 300 attendees, including several agencies and direct brands. As a result, we've signed several deals with well-known brands this year, including Walmart, Pepsi, Dairy Queen, and Yeti, just to name a few. We've also just announced a major deal with a major advertising agency, PMG, who represents some of the biggest brands in the world, including Apple, Nike, Best Western, Turbo Tax, Beats by Dre, and several others. Our media business has substantial long-term growth potential as we continue to broaden our customer base to include non-vetting brands and agencies. Fan Hub is gaining significant traction as evidenced by our recently announced partnerships. With advertisers increasingly allocating budgets to live sports, Genius is well positioned to capitalize on this growing market opportunity. In summary, the key takeaways from this quarter are simple. We're seeing strong momentum across all aspects of the business. We've won major deals that will drive additional revenue in both betting and media, allowing us to raise our guidance for the year. We're leveraging our technology to win key rights deals in a cost-effective manner, while shifting the competitive dynamics in our favor and widening the competitive moat. Our technology is differentiated and difficult to displace, further solidifying our long-term position with leagues and federations on a global scale. This technology is also unlocking additional monetization opportunities, enabling us to maintain consistent long-term revenue growth. And we now have certainty of our largest fixed costs over a multi-year period, paving a clear path for continued EBITDA margin expansion to our long-term target of at least 30%. We are well positioned for continued near-term and long-term financial success, and I will now turn to Nick to discuss the quarter's results in more detail. But first, I'd like to acknowledge the CFO transition we announced this morning. As we have indicated in the last few calls, the gravitational center of the business is shifting to New York, as the U.S. becomes an increasingly important part of our strategy. We have expanded our U.S. senior leadership team, as previously announced, and we are excited to now welcome Brian Castellani, who will join Genius Sports in New York as chief financial officer. Brian brings over 20 years of experience across some of the most distinguished media organizations in the world, including ESPN, the Walt Disney Group, and more recently, Warner Music Group, where he served as CFO. I'd like to sincerely thank Nick for his dedication to Genius Sports over the last six years, as he has been an integral part of our growth and transformation as a public company. Nick will remain actively engaged to help facilitate a smooth and orderly transition. We wish Nick the best of luck in his next endeavor and look forward to formally introducing Brian on our next call.
Thank you, Mark. The past six years have been an incredible journey, and I'm really confident that Brian and the entire team are well equipped to drive continued growth, operating excellence, and long-term value creation for the shareholders. Now, continuing to the results. Q2 is typically a straightforward quarter for us, given the quieter sporting calendar this time of year. As such, most revenue in the quarter was derived from fixed-fee sportsbook contracts outside of the U.S., where we have much higher predictability, so our results were largely in line with expectations. Betting revenue increased 30% -on-year to $88 million. This increase was largely the result of price increases from contract renewals and expansion of value-added services and products, like Betvision for Soccer, for example, which was launched in the quarter. Media revenue returned to growth this quarter, increasing 4% -on-year to $19 million. Again, given the quieter sporting calendar in the summer months, we expect most of this year's growth will occur in the second half during the peak season for sporting events. As Mark highlighted, we have also just signed an exciting new deal with PMG, which should contribute near-term revenue and further support this growth. With this in mind, we are now tracking above our initial expectations of -mid-teens media revenue growth for the full year, and we now expect growth in the low 20s. Our sports tech revenue increased 22% -on-year to $13 million. As you've heard Mark discuss, leagues and federations across the globe are utilizing genius IQs to empower many key objectives, ranging from automated officiating, coaching tools, broadcasting technology, and much more. This technology is gaining strong momentum. And is now driving meaningful revenue growth as we continue to scale this globally. Turning quickly to costs, we continue to take a disciplined approach in managing cash operating expenses. That said, you will see a one-time increase in stock-based compensation in the NFL as part of our expanded partnership, which rested upon announcement. To be clear, the equity component of our NFL partnership is unique, and we do not expect to offer equity to any other leagues in the future. Otherwise, we want to emphasize that this is a non-recurring increase, and our cost base remains well controlled, and we continue to demonstrate strong operating leverage. To further illustrate our operating leverage, we have now generated over $47 million of group revenue and added $26 million of group-adjusted EBITDA through the first half of the year, representing a 55% incremental margin. In Q2 specifically, our group revenue growth contributed to adjusted EBITDA at a 57% incremental margin. This resulted in group-adjusted EBITDA growth of 64% -on-year to $34 million. This also translated to 700 bits of margin expansion, setting a new quarterly record margin of 29%. Given the exciting developments you've heard from Mark, we are now raising our group revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance to $645 million and $135 million respectively. This equates to 26% group revenue growth, 57% growth in adjusted EBITDA, and over 400 basis points of EBITDA margin expansion to 21%. To be clear as it relates to FX, our reiterated guidance from the Q1 earnings call in May assumed some level of appreciation of the sterling against the US dollar through the year. Based on our current forecast, the difference in our estimates using today's exchange rate is immaterial, and therefore, our increased guidance is a function of our newly announced partnership and the strong underlying business performance rather than any FX impact. Our increased guidance for the year is primarily driven by betting in media. As I said, we expect our full year media revenue to increase -on-year to the low 20% range and our betting revenue to increase by about 30% consistent with the last two years. We also expect to increase our annual cash flow in the year with most of the cash inflow occurring in the second half of the year, which again is consistent with prior years. As we conclude our prepared remarks, it is worth reiterating our confidence in both the near-term and long-term model. We remain very well positioned for continued margin expansion and cash flow growth for the next several years, especially as we've just extended our largest rights agreement through the end of the decade on a fixed cost basis. This gives us even greater visibility and predictability moving forward. We are also continuing to validate our core strategy through consistent execution, giving us strong momentum as we enter the peak sporting calendar in just a couple of months. We look forward to updating you again next quarter, and in the meantime, we now conclude our remarks and open the line to Q&A.
At this time, I would like to remind everyone in order to ask a question, press star then the number one on your telephone keypad. Please limit your question to one and one up. We will pause for just a moment to compile the Q&A roster. Your first question comes from the line of Jordan Bender from Citizens. Please go ahead.
Hi, everyone. Good morning. I assume the tie-up between ESPN and the NFL can have some sort of positive impact on the business. Mark, I'm wondering if you can maybe give your view on where you believe it enhances any of your
ideas. Clearly, we see this as a positive thing for the business. We've been investing heavily in media tech around this space for a long time. Obviously, it's pretty early days, so we don't want to comment too far. Clearly, the areas of our investment, what you've seen through things like bet vision, some of the augmentation that we've done, as well as some of the ad visioning that we've been investing in and monetizing recently, we expect to be having positive conversations with them around that. Thank you.
I just want to follow up on Fan Hub and the marketing platform. I think people generally have a hard time translating maybe the earnings power of some of the recent announcements with Fan Hub to the business in the medium and long term. I was wondering if you could maybe just elaborate on that revenue potential, whether it's the size of the opportunity over time or how big of that piece can be an overall part of your business, just any color that can help us model that out over the next couple years.
Sure. It's pretty simple. The way we think about it is we think about it in terms of spend and customers. The number of customers that we've got exposure to and the amount of spend that the advertising community wants to put through to those specific sports fans. The media business is performing, as you can see, much better than the last quarter. I think we were a little behind where we wanted to be, if we're honest. That's rebounded back very nicely. Again, we're seeing strong growth coming out of that over the rest of the year. We expect the media business size-wise to be at least the same sizes and frankly longer term in excess of the size of the betting business on a medium to long term basis.
Great. Thank you. Nick, best of luck. Thank you, Nick. Your next question
comes from the line of Barry Jonas from Truist. Let's go ahead.
Hey
guys.
Yesterday, a competitor noted they couldn't make the math work for Syria and the European leagues. Appreciate the very helpful comments so far on the call, but maybe walk through a little more your financial or ROI expectations for those contracts. Thanks.
Yeah, look, we've got pretty high bar for making these deals. Give us a positive return. We've been pretty clear about historically that we've got all the rights that we need and would only enter into deals if those rights deals generated positive returns. We've had that focus. The specific deal I think you're referring to meets all of those criteria and it's something that we feel very positive about. Clearly, the business has invested a lot over the last few years in technology and we've been pretty clear that over the course of that investment that we would be seeing reduction in rights fees and our ability to trade technology for improved commercial deals. It's something that we're starting to see across all of the rights deals that we're doing and all of the relationships with the sports leagues that we're having. We feel very positive about the deals that we've done. They meet the criteria that we've been very, very clear about with you guys in the past. It's pushing up our EVIC DAH, it's pushing up our revenue and they're immediately accretive. Again, it really is proving the model that we've been championing for a long time and the investments that we've been making in that technology and our ability to secure those deals on very favorable terms.
Got it. That's really helpful. Then just given the flurry of announcements that have come out, curious, are there any other material rights deals you're eyeing to compete on in the near term?
No, again, I don't want to really repeat myself, but we've got everything that we really need and we have had for a while. We'll always look at new rights deals. There's quite an interesting dynamic in the market. The market has consolidated quite a lot over the last while, obviously IMG and stats and really the geopolitical nature of the market, has become very clear to everybody. Obviously reading the commentary and a lot of the press that's out there from you guys is showing that that's become really well understood. I think as time goes on, the rights market becomes even more rational. I think it's rationalized a lot recently. I think we and our competitor have shown good financial discipline in the rights deals that we've done. I suspect that will continue over the coming future.
Your next question comes from the line of Ryan Singhal from Craig Harlem Capital Group. Please go ahead.
Hey, good day guys and all the best, Nick. I want to stay on the new awards. I appreciate all the commentary about the economics and what you guys are providing versus previous. Can you comment? The guidance increase assumes 40% incremental margins on the upside, but several of those seasons are starting. I think in the back half of this year will impact. How much is in guidance for Syria and the European leagues?
We'll maybe start there.
Hey
Ryan,
it's Nick. Thanks. Effectively, all those three announcements that we've made this week are in guide together with the underlying momentum within the business. You're right, some of the Euro leagues have actually already kicked off and Syria starts in a couple of weeks. The commercial guys have got some fun and games over the next month or so. They're all built into the guide. As you say, it's at a 40% drop through. Just to reiterate, Mark said actually a second ago in relation to those new deals, they are immediately accretive to us from an EBITDA perspective. You're seeing that in the updated guide that we've just given
to you. Very good. Then you mentioned that the NFL ad inventory is sold out ahead of the season already. That's fantastic at this point. Curious how much more opportunity there is to add more placement slots or build on that or is it what's sold is sold at this point?
Yeah, it's a really good question. It's obviously a focus for us. As that product develops, there are a couple of levers for growth there. One is around additional sports and scale. We're adding, as you would have seen, new sports to that product set. That rollout, as you can see from some of the deals that we've recently announced, that rollout is being, we're a long way down the road of that and it's looking very positive. The specific NFL inventory is something that we're obviously very aware of. We're working closely with our partners to find additional ways of making sure that we're creating monetization opportunities through that. Suffice to say, it's a fairly large focus for the team to make sure that we're optimizing those relationships and the products that we've got.
Thanks, Mark. Best wishes, Nick. Very nice job,
guys. Your next question comes from the line of Ben Miller from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.
Taking the questions. Just on the updated guidance again, I'm just curious if you could expand on the bridge for the increased guidance. How much of that is specifically related to the in the betting segment in the back half and then obviously the strong second half media segment expectations?
Hey, Ben. I think we said the prepared remarks. Certainly, if we look at it, I think there's clearly some momentum in the second half of the year with our media business, not just the deals that we've announced, including this PMG deal that we announced last week, but also as Mark talked about in the prepared remarks in relation to the additional products and the inventories that came in the back of the NFL extension. So it's both effectively. What we've said is we expect media as a whole to be low 20% grower for the year, which obviously is where we sit today, is an acceleration. We talked about it earlier in the year and obviously we've got more visibility of that position today. On the betting side, and you can see that the in H1 shows significant momentum with the growth, 30% growth in the first half of the year. We always said that that growth would slow down a little bit in the second half because if you remember, we were growing at sort of -46% at the back end of 2024. But these new deals, as I said, into the early question to Ryan, I think it's that they're immediately accretive and therefore expecting betting as a whole to be around about 30% up when you look across the year.
Great. And then just as a follow up on the commentary around the expansion of value added services and products, can you provide any color on what attach rates look like today and where you think that can get to to help frame the potential for further monetization aside from the like for like price increases that might come through over time?
Yeah, I guess as you know, we have a huge suite of products and as you see from our announcements, they continue to grow week by week. I mean, taking Betvision, obviously we've talked to you guys a lot about, it's a really good example when you talk about adoption rates, as you know, within the US, we've had some significant success with our NFL Betvision product over the last two years, and we're very excited about the upcoming season and all the product advances that you'll see through the 25-26 NFL season for that. As we've talked about in the past few months, we're also very excited about the rollout of Betvision for other sports and much more sort of mass participation and a higher number of events, obviously with specifically talking about soccer and basketball. We're beginning to see some really good uptake there, but that's where we expect to see some real sort of rubber hitting the road effectively on those two sports over the course of the next six months. So I'd anticipate seeing a lot more uptake on Betvision for those two sports for the rest of 2025.
Great, thanks so much.
Your next question comes from the line of Jed Kelly from Oppenheimer. Please go ahead.
Hey, great. Thanks for taking my question. Just on the recent contract wins, you know, you've obviously boosted your European football portfolio. Is there a timeline on when you do negotiations with some of the European sportsbook operators we should be watching? And then I have a follow-up question.
Yeah, hey, Jed. Yeah, we're obviously under contract with, you know, I'll say most of the operators in Europe. And this is if the question is, you know, related to the sort of, you know, the way that that revenue flows through, these contracts are additional to the existing contracts that we've got. So, you know, whilst there's a sort of, I guess, a mother contract, if you like, these are additional products that we'll be selling to those sportsbooks. And, you know, then that comes as part of the new deals that we've just announced and is happening, as Nick said, now.
Great. And then just as a follow-up on some of the new fan hub contracts, is that going to be more of the traditional managed spend or is there going to be more self-service? And, you know, it will be, you know, kind of booked on the financials as like revenue versus gross.
Thanks. Great, Jed. It's Nick. I mean, firstly, obviously, we're very excited about announcing the agency deals. You know, as we've said before, that this is really unlocking incremental media spend from customers. And it's a really good proof point about how we're progressing on that basis. I think, as Mark said earlier, you know, one of the key things is innovative opportunities in sports are becoming increasingly important to the major agencies are looking at how they can target the sports customers in new ways. And obviously, we, Jed, sit right in the heart of that. In terms of that specific deal, if you're doing it at the PMG deal, you know, it was only announced last week. We're talking with them and their brands about really the whole suite of our media products. And obviously, on an ongoing basis, once we get into that, once we get some of those months behind us, just from an accounting perspective, Jed, that's what you're alluding to. You know, when we get into the self-serve, that's like to be on a net basis. And when we continue to do some programmatic marketing on a managed basis, that will be on the gross basis, is how we've always accounted for.
Yeah. And I think, I think strategically, from our point of view, these, Nick used the word proof point, I think that's a really important focus. You know, as a business, you know, we've been working hard on developing the product set. And the goal has been the distribution of this product set to the brands. And the best way to do that is in partnership with the agencies. So this is a very important deal, is a very important step in our growth, as it allows those major brands that we mentioned to have access to the inventory and to our portfolio of products, which clearly, from a strategic point of view, and frankly, a future revenue point of view, is critically important. So we're very, very excited about this. It's a really good proof point. And, you know, it puts us in a very strong position with our new product set. Thank you.
Your next question comes from the line of Bernie McTernan from Needham. Please go ahead.
Great. Thanks for taking questions. And just first, Nick, it's been great working with you and all the best. I wanted to follow up on media. I know it's been a big focus of the call, but, you know, my back of the ample of numbers suggests media revenue should be up about 60% in the back half of the year. And Mark, given your comments that eventually over the long term, you think media could be larger than betting revenue, how linear should we expect media to be from here? And are there any major bottlenecks, whether it's ad inventory or anything else we should be thinking about in order to get to those ultimate goals?
Hey, Ben, it's Nick. Thanks for your comments. Just so everyone's aware, obviously, you know, I'm around really, and I'm delighted Brian's joining. You know, you've seen his experience. He's going to add an enormous amount of value to this organization. But you haven't quite got with him yet. I'm going to be around until till certainly through the fall and indeed probably attending some of your conferences in that time anyway. Anyway, onto the more important stuff around your media question. So yeah, you're right, Bernie, your back of the envelope maths is impressive. I think we're looking at roundabout Q3 and Q4, both at around about 60% major increase year on year. I look in the short term, that's really a layering impact of all the tailwinds that we're seeing in there. As you know, we're always back half, and we said in the last quarter, we're going to be back half loaded. And as you know, we always start with a really good base of minimum media contracts through our sports deals. Of course, we're entering those second sports, second year of those deals in the kickoff of the season shortly on NFL. But it's not just that, you know, obviously, we've talked about the agency deals, Mark's just talked about that and the importance of those that just announced and the inventory we talked, I think, on Ryan's question in relation to all the products and all the inventory. So if you layer all of those, you really start seeing that acceleration of growth on the media position for 2025. On a long term basis, and I'll hand over to Mark in a second to add any color on this, look on a long term basis, you know, we are extremely well set up from a technology perspective, from a partnership perspective, and from a sports perspective. Sports in itself, as I'm sure as you guys know, when you're speaking to brands themselves, is absolutely in the sweet spot of where people are wanting to advertise and looking for innovative ways to reach the sports target audience. And Genius is absolutely at the think of that. We've seen that when we did our new front event, which I think a few of you attended back in May. We saw that we're attending Cannes-Lyon this early this year, so we're feeling very good about it.
Your next question comes from the lion of Stibb-Witzel from Deutsche Bank. Let's go ahead.
The mix of betting tech revenue. So the fixed revenue did accelerate materially in the quarter. Can you talk about how we should think about the fixed revenue growth moving forward?
Hey, Steve, it's Nick. Yeah, Q2 specifically, obviously, is a little bit more weighted to non-US because of the sports calendar. And as you know, traditionally, and we continue to do outside of the US, we tend to have more sass-style, -eat-style contracts. You're seeing that growth coming through from Europe. You'll see that in European numbers. It's worth reminding everyone the call that I know we concentrate a lot on our US deals, and we've seen a significant ability to take price and indeed provide additional products to European sportsbooks as well on the back of not just our NFL deals, but our extension of things like UK soccer that we now have until the end of the decade.
Okay, thanks. And then just to follow up on the balance sheet, I think you have about 222 million of cash now plus positive free cash flow moving forward. Can you talk about the options of what you're going to do with that?
Yeah, hey, Steve, it's Nick again. Yeah, as I reiterated in the prepared remarks earlier, we expected to be positive cash position. What are we looking at? We were very clear around potential M&A positions for 2025. We're continuing to be very disciplined in that area and looking to get the right product, but we are absolutely looking right now, albeit, as we said to you before, Steve, we don't need anything. We're just looking at things that we feel can accelerate the growth of our business. So that's absolutely the key focus of our cash positions. As housekeeping, we also announced a share buyback position last quarter. As I said, that's far less a priority than M&A, but it's something that's another string to our boat that we have.
Yeah, it's probably worth mentioning on the M&A point. We've been pretty busy looking at quite a lot of businesses, as you expect, over the period. The bar, however, that we have is extremely high for these deals. There's not a lot of businesses that meet our growth requirements, frankly, the cash flow and EBITDA requirements that we have for the business. So there's not a huge number of those businesses that actually achieve that. But again, it is a focus for the business. I think the other thing to say is that our organic investment is working. You're seeing that in the reduced rights fee. I guess the change in the structure of the rights deals that we're starting to see and the change in the way that those models are operating with that investment that we've been making in the business over the years is coming through. So we're feeling good about our ability to invest with the right level of ROI and have a high bar and a high focus on getting the right returns on that basis as well.
Okay, great.
Appreciate it. Your next question comes from the line of Josh DeCalls from B Riley Securities. Please go ahead.
Yeah, great to see the accretive lead partnerships and the raise guidance here for 25. I just wanted to ask, how do you think, how much exactly has the company's market share really increased now with these new partnerships when you look at European software relative to what it was and how long is it going to take to get Genius IQ fully deployed across all these new European leagues and are there any key milestones we should be tracking as you progress on that front?
Hey, Josh, it's Nick. Mark and Chay are always difficult ones to answer because different peers have different products and sports folks work with all of us. I think you raise a good point though in terms of soccer, particularly European soccer. We're in a very strong position there. When you think about what our portfolio adds and the European leagues as well as the Syria, the European leagues adds also significant quantity of events around about 8,000 events as well. So we're really happy with that position. That undoubtedly helping our relationships with the European sports folks. In terms of rollout, you're right to call that out as an important part of the deal on the European deals. We have now the ability, I think it's north of 400 stadiums on a European soccer basis to put Genius IQ in there. What I would say is we have the ability to do that at the pace that we choose to do it at, I think is an important part. So we can manage that effectively where we get it right strategically, but at the same point in time, we are managing investors' expectations, streets' expectations, and investment expectations. So I would be expecting us to start rolling that out at the back end of this year. We're very excited about what the technology rollout will be able to bring on a long-term basis.
I think all market share is also, I mentioned it earlier, but reiterating here is the market is consolidating to the dual ballistic focus here. So market share by definition is something that is increasing and you're seeing that coming through the numbers. I think the focus that we've had around the data rights deals, the EPFL, Syria, is that data is a prerequisite. You need to have the data. It's not a must-have. So we feel good about our position in terms of the way that market shares are increasing.
Thank you. And then last question for me, as you start to deploy Genius IQ across all these European stadiums, what do you think is the highest value opportunity in terms of incremental platform service revenue beyond this core betting data? And typically, how do those unit economics compare to traditional betting fees that you guys get?
Yeah, hey, Josh. The great thing about the technology is the technology you're putting in Genius IQ has so many different user cases. You've heard us talk about some of the things we do in relation to broadcasters and augmentation, what we do in relation to clubs and performance, what we're doing in terms of coaching tools with leagues. Indeed, what we're doing with semi-automated offside with the Premier League, for example. The great news is that for us is that all of those user cases comes off the back of the same technology. And therefore, there'll be some leagues who we think certain products are more appropriate than to other leagues and some that are more cost effective for us to use than other leagues. So it's not one size fits all. But what I'd say is getting that, you've heard Mark before about getting that out there, getting our tech into these stadiums is an important proof point of us, again, over the course of the next 18 months. And this is a great deal where we can effectively capture large parts of the European soccer market.
Appreciate the context. Thank you.
Your next question comes from the line of Mike Hickey from Benchmark. Please go ahead.
Hey, Mark, Nick, Brandon, Charles. Nice quarter, guys, and great guide. Two topics from us. First, on the CFO departure, obviously, Nick. Glad to see you go. Clearly, you're going to steady hand here and strong partner for all of us during a very pivotal phase here for a genius. So good luck to you and thank you. That said, Mark, what skill set or experience were you most focused on when you're selecting Brian as the new CFO? And sort of how do you see his background helping genius in the next chapter here? I'm going to have a follow up.
Yeah. Hey, Mike, I'll let Nick give his swan song in a second. We're super excited about Brian's, you know, joining us. His background in media is something that was, you know, a big focus of his. I mean, Nick sort of mentioned this before. There's been quite a shift to the US. Nick, I think, I've heard him a thousand times say that at some point we'll see a New York based CFO. And that's indeed his prediction of the future was correct. That's exactly what we're seeing. Brian's history in media coming from, you know, Warner and Disney. He's got a very strong understanding of the global rights market, understanding of the media space, good understanding, obviously worked with ESPN and good understanding of that history. That just sort of consolidates a lot of our strategy that we've got. On top of that, you know, he's got a ton of experience. He's obviously worked in the public markets. He's, you know, one of the phrases, you know, when we look at our business is, you know, we always want to be better and we always want to, you know, know what good looks like. And he certainly knows what good looks like coming from, you know, from some of the businesses he has. So we're very excited about the next step in the evolution of the business, you know, that Brian can bring and, you know, his transition with Nick, we think will, you know, be over a sort of two, three month period. And I'll let Nick, you know. Yeah,
no, nothing to add to that. I mean, thanks Mike, for taking time to say that. And as I said earlier, I think to Bernie is that, you know, I'm not going anywhere. I'm around for several months. There'll be a very smooth transition and I'll be interested as a shareholder of Genius and as massive supporter of Mark, Charles and Brandon and the team, Brian, to see where the business goes.
Nice. Well, good luck, Nick, and we'll be excited to see where you head in the future. Next topic, Nick, on end game as we sort of head pretty soon here, we've got a month and we're in the NFL season. I think we're all really excited and end game is obviously, you know, ending last year. There's a lot of energy, a lot of growth there and you are a big part of that with your Bet Vision product. And I think Nick, you expressed sort of maybe it was last call, rather modest growth expectations in end game despite that enthusiasm from operators and certainly also from players. Just checking on your updated guidance here, if that's still the case. And then depending upon sort of how you approach that modeling opportunity, do you see a scenario here where that energy we saw at the end of last season in terms of end game participation from players, if that stronger engagement in part through Bet Vision could drive upside to your current performance expectations? Thank you guys.
Yeah. Hey, Mike. So I think you quite rightly call out, you know, we've been saying this for a number of years that effectively in game betting is coming, but it needs to be a product led evolution. And we've seen that and we continue to see that. And the last NFL season was successful for us, as you say, from Bet Vision. We're in the vanguard of that move and we expect to continue through the 25, 26 season as we add more product down the pipes of the US Sportsbooks. You know me, I've been relatively conservative in the guide that we've just given you. Obviously, if it moves significantly in the end of the season, then they'll be upside to genius at that point. Let's wait and see. We'll know a little bit more in about four weeks,
Mike. Thank you guys. Good luck.
Your next question comes from the line of Chad Bainan from Macquarie. Let's go ahead.
Good morning. Thanks for taking my question and best of luck, Nick. Just one for me. We've talked a lot about some of the recent wins and some of these major mature but growing leagues and markets. One thing we haven't talked about is some of the emerging markets that you've discussed in the past, whether it's India or Africa or Brazil. Where are we with some of these emerging markets? Are there big opportunities for you to implement your technology into those and do what you've done in some of the bigger ones? Thank you.
Yeah, it's a good question. I mean, as you'll see, I can't remember what slide it was, but we put it out there as a 43% from growth and rest of the world in revenue. We see big opportunities in those markets. Obviously, Brazil, we've talked about sort of fill ad infinitum. It's a big opportunity, but there's a lot of the same sportsbooks. We have relationships with a lot of those guys and that's something that is obviously a focus for the business and I think we've talked about historically. But on a global basis, with a strong eye on regulated markets, there's interesting developments and again, we're seeing strong growth from that, as you can see from the numbers and we expect that to continue. Again, coming back to Europe, Europe is still a very big focus for us. We've got 26% growth in Europe. We see a lot of opportunity, an awful lot of opportunity actually in Europe for continued growth and continued product distribution and investment. It's an exciting market. I know we always spend a lot of time talking about America, but we do have a lot of focus on that European growth metric as well.
Thank you, Mark. Appreciate it.
Your last question comes from the line of Greg Gibas from Northland Securities. Please go ahead.
Hey, Mark and Nick. Thanks for taking the questions. Congrats on the results and the recent rights deals. I wanted to ask on the estimated timing of bed vision rollout for additional sports and whether maybe your guidance assumes it's launched for anything incremental in the back half regarding growth in the number of bed vision events?
Hey, Greg. Soccer's live right now. Obviously, some of the announcements we've made over the last week or so, we're expecting, I would anticipate, that vision to be rolled out to Syria. For example, as really important content for European sportsbooks. Anything like that is effectively built into the guide. It's part of the accretion in the guide. Basketball, I think, we're going live in this quarter. Expect to hear more through this quarter and probably at the Q3 earnings announcement.
Okay, great. Then a quick follow-up just regarding your commentary on changes and FX-related impacts. Could you maybe specify or remind me the dollar impact or so on the change and your assumptions?
Yeah, Greg. Is that what you're talking about in the quarter just being or in the forecast going forward?
In the forecast, please.
Yeah. We updated actually the market at the end of last quarter. We had assumed an appreciation of the sterling against dollar in that forecast and again have done for the second half of the year. Therefore, effectively, the current spot rate is effectively what we've used going forward and has always been in our guide. What we're seeing is that that 25 revenue increase and the 10 EBITDA increase are effectively outside of foreign exchange and all about momentum in the underlying business.
Understood. Thanks very much.
Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes today's call. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect.