1/1/1970

speaker
Operator

Hello and welcome to the AccuSment Holdings Corporation fourth quarter 2021 earnings call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star and the number 1 on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, press the pound key. Thank you. I would now like to turn the call over to Ms. Sandra Lennon, Vice President of Planning and Analysis and Investor Relations. Please go ahead ma'am.

speaker
Sandra Lennon

Good morning everyone. Thank you for joining us today for AccuSment Holdings fourth quarter and full year 2021 earnings conference call. Joining me this morning are David Marr, our President and Chief Executive Officer, and Tom Pachico, our Chief Financial Officer. Before turning the call over to David, I would like to remind everyone that we will be making forward looking statements on the call today. These forward looking statements are based on AccuSment's current expectations and are subject to uncertainty and changes in circumstances. Actual results may differ materially from these expectations. For a list of factors that could cause actual results to differ, please see today's press release, the slides that accompany our presentation, and our filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Throughout this discussion, we will be making reference to non-GAAP financial metrics, including items such as revenues at constant currency and adjusted EBITDA. Explanations of how and why we use these metrics and reconciliations of those items to a GAAP basis can be found in the schedule of today's press release. The slides that accompany this presentation and in our filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Please also note that when referring to -to-date or full year results or comparisons, we will refer to the 12-month period ended December 31, 2021, and the comparable 12-month period. With that, I'll turn the call over to David.

speaker
David

Thanks, Chandra, and good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining the call today. As we will share with you this morning, the Cushnet wrapped up a terrific year, exceeding fourth quarter expectations as our team once again delivered in a challenging supply-side environment. Tom and I will also outline our initial outlook for 2022 and address how the company is responding to leverage competitive advantages to meet strong demand while confronting supply chain complexities. First and foremost, we are encouraged by the game's momentum with U.S. rounds up 5% in 2021 and up 20% or almost 90 million rounds versus 2019. This increase over the past two years was aided by play from some 800,000 new golfers, with juniors and women the fastest growing segments as reported by the National Golf Foundation. Golf's participation story and trajectory outside the United States are similar, and we project rounds were up over 10% for the year in -U.S. markets.

speaker
Sandra Lennon

The Cushnet's business is

speaker
David

built around the needs and preferences of our target consumer, the game's dedicated player. This connection drives innovation and an organization-wide commitment to deliver products and services of the highest quality, which in turn fuels the company's sustaining growth. This focus on products and people continues to serve the company and our shareholders well. As was evident throughout 2021, the Cushnet team's creative spirit of innovation has powered the company's many successes, and I am especially appreciative of my fellow associates for their dedication and resilience during the past few years. The company's financial performance and growth are fueling strategic investments across the organization to fortify titleist and foot-ulate market leadership positions for the future. Investments in product development and golfer connection are at all-time highs. Our major capital investment in golf ball operations is well underway, and increased spending behind the company's digital platforms is strengthening our B2B and B2C capabilities, which will positively impact how trade partners and golfers interact with our brands. In affirming our disciplined approach to capital allocation, the company returned $115 million to shareholders in 2021 through our dividend and share repurchase programs, representing our largest annual return to date. Building upon this momentum, I am pleased to announce that a Cushnet's board of directors has approved a 9% increase to our quarterly dividend to $0.18 per share. The company has raised its dividend each year since initiating this program in 2017. And as we look to the future, we are confident that the company's strong balance sheet will fund ongoing investment in organic growth and continued support of our dividend and share repurchase programs, along with targeted M&A that leverages our expertise, infrastructure, and global reach. Now moving to our results, here on slide four, we outline fourth quarter and full year sales and earnings. For the quarter, sales of $421 million and adjusted EBITDA of negative $5 million reflect strong demand and our decisions to prioritize production capacity towards building inventory for 2022, as well as the planned decline in Q4 club sales, which copped against last year's TSI driver launch. For the full year, Cushnet revenues were up 33% to $2.15 billion with double digit gains in every segment and every region. Adjusted EBITDA increased 41% to $328 million and the company generated $314 million in operating cash flow. At the core of this growth is the momentum generated by new Pro V1 golf balls, TSI drivers, T-Series irons, FJ Premier and Hyperflex golf shoes, and many other successful new products. And as Tom will address, those margins held up well throughout the year as the tangible impacts of supply chain-related cost increases were more than offset by favorable sales mixes, higher ASPs, and reduced promotional activity. Now looking at our business by segment, Titleist golf ball sales of $668 million were up 32% on the year, led by record sales of new Pro V1 and Pro V1X models. The growth was led by the EMEA, U.S. and Japan markets, and we have been pleased to see demand for corporate custom golf balls begin to recover following the 2020 decline. Titleist clubs also finished the year up 32% led by new TSI medals and with gains in every product category, which is especially notable given our two-year product life cycles. In achieving this growth, our team has pushed the limits of supplier component availability and our own production capacity as we chase steady demand throughout the year. Titleist TSI drivers had an especially strong year and were the number one driver on the PGA Tour in 2021. And we are very pleased with the early response to our new T-Series ions as we enter the peak spring club fitting season. Titleist gear posted 29% gain on the year with growth in all product categories, as our team did great work to keep product flowing as we strive to maintain field inventories and keep pace with brisk demand. And foot choice business increased by near 40% led by footwear and apparel, which grew at accelerated rates. The FCA brand is healthy and vibrant, inspired by innovative footwear ranging from the classic inspired Premier, the Athletic Flex and Pro SL, the number one spikeless shoe in golf. And apparel and outerwear momentum, which is particularly strong in the US, in the A, and Korea. While not reportable segments, titleist apparel in Asia and shoes also posted robust growth for the year. Shoes was especially strong in the US market, which was up over 50%. Next to slide six and a quick look at our business by region. Here you see all markets were up over 20% for the year as demand for accursed products was consistent across regions. Typically, we see outlier markets for one reason or another, but this was not the case in 2021 as the accursed success story played out similarly across our largest markets in the US, EMEA, Japan, and Korea. This is a testament to the good work of our global sales and marketing teams in positioning our products and our supply chain leaders who effectively coordinated tight availability to best meet global demand. Now looking forward, we are encouraged by strong golfer participation and enthusiasm for the game, including the golfer base that grew in both 2020 and 2021. Market fundamentals are strong, trade partners are healthy, and channel inventories are generally lean. Looking inward, the Talented Acrusted team is motivated to build upon our momentum as we structure our business for continued growth in spite of supply chain limitations, which we expect will impact our business throughout the year. The professional game is off to a great start in 2022 with especially exciting starts on the PGA, LPGA, and DP World Tours. This energy around the tours, especially in the first quarter, is an important catalyst as the golf season ramps up to a full opening in Q2. Titleist golf ball momentum across worldwide tours is also strong, with usage at 75%, and Titleist golf balls winning 10 of the last 12 PGA Tour events and winning every tournament played on the LPGA Tour in 2022. We recently launched new Titleist ADX, Velocity, and True Field golf ball models, and are poised to also launch new Tour Speed and Tour Soft golf balls in Q2. You will note this launch timing is a change from prior years as we strive to make the most of site raw materials availability for the first half of the year. And similar to 2021, we expect that Titleist golf balls will be on trade allocations for much of the year. First half Titleist golf club introductions are on schedule, led by the launches of new Vokey SM9 wedges in March and new Scotty Cameron Fats and Putters in April. New Vokey wedges made their PGA Tour debut as the most played wedge at the Tournament of Champions in January and at the number one at every PGA Tour event this year. In the first two months of the year, Scotty Cameron Putters have won half the events on the PGA Tour and added wins on the DP World and LPGA Tours. As you might expect, we're excited about those product lines. And Footroy is off to a great start, led by their new Fuel footwear launch, and will soon introduce an expanded range of women's footwear and the new Tour Alpha Series in Q2. FJ Apparel and Outerwear also carry great energy into the new year, and trade response and bookings to our spring collections have been terrific. Lastly, we have high expectations for Shoes and look to build upon our golf momentum and expect the ski category will begin to recover later this year following two years of retail disruption. In closing, we are optimistic about the structural health of the game and golf industry. As golfers look into golf shops in the coming months, they will be enthused to see and try a wide range of exciting new acoustic products designed to help them play their best golf. Our team has a good handle on circumstances that are within their control, and I am confident they will continue to excel at adapting to the uncertainties that we are sure to confront as we navigate the coming months. Thanks for your attention this morning. I will now pass the call over to Tom. Thanks, David, and good morning, everyone. I would like to recognize all of our associates for the amazing efforts they put forth to manage through the continued impact of the pandemic and unprecedented supply chain challenges to deliver truly exceptional results for Acushnet in 2021. Starting with our Q4 results on slide 10, consolidated net sales for the quarter were $421 million, essentially flat to 2020 on a reported basis and up 1% level FX. Overall, strong demand continued, and this is a solid result, especially given the comp against our metals launch in Q4 of 2020. Gross profit for the fourth quarter was $204 million, down 7% versus last year, and gross margins were 48.6%, down 380 basis points. The key drivers here were higher inbound freight costs, which continue to escalate, higher materials and production costs resulting from supply chain disruptions, and lower sales volumes of golf clubs, partially offset by higher sales volumes in FlipJoy and higher average selling prices in golf balls. SG&A expense in Q4 was $209 million, up $35 million compared to 2020, and R&D expense was $15 million, up $1 million. Continued investment to take advantage of the increased levels of demand led to higher SG&A expense across all reportable segments, mainly in advertising, promotion, selling, and distribution. Income from operations for the quarter was a loss of $22 million, down $49 million from 2020. Other expense was $1 million, down almost $8 million from the prior year, primarily from the absence of the reversal of an indemnification receivable related to an audit settlement that was recorded in Q4 2020. An income tax expense was $700,000, up $9 million from the prior year, primarily as a result of the absence of the associated tax benefits on the other expense item, which was recorded in Q4 2020. Net income attributable to a cushion at holdings was a loss of $26 million, and adjusted EBITDA was a loss of $5 million. Moving to our full year results, consolidated net sales for the year were $2.15 billion, up $536 million, or 33% on a reported basis, and up 31% level FX compared to 2020. Gross profit was $1.12 billion, up 35%, and gross margins were $52.1%, up 60 basis points from the prior year. Gross profits were higher across all reportable segments, which comes primarily from higher sales volumes and higher average selling prices during the year, but partially offset by higher inbound freight across all segments and higher raw materials and manufacturing costs, primarily entitled with golf balls. SG&A expense for 2021 was $795 million, up 30% compared to 2020, and R&D was $55 million, up $6 million. Much like I mentioned for Q4, investments we made throughout the year to take advantage of the increased levels of demand led to higher SG&A expense across all reportable segments, mainly in advertising, promotion, selling, distribution, and information technology. In addition, our strong financial results led to higher employee-related costs for 2021. Income from operations was $260 million, which was up $114 million from 2020. Interest expense was $8 million, which was $8 million lower than 2020 on lower borrowings and lower average interest rates. Other expense was down $12 million, primarily due to the absence of the indemnification receivable reversal recorded in 2020 and a decrease in pension settlement charges. And income tax expense was $64 million, up $51 million, primarily because of higher income before taxes. Net income attributable to a cushion at holdings was $179 million, up $83 million, and adjusted EBITDA was $328 million, up 41%. There is a reconciliation of net income to adjusted EBITDA for Q4 and the full year in our earnings release, as well as in the appendix of the slide presentation. Moving to slide 11, we continue to benefit from the strength of our balance sheet. At the end of 2021, we had about $280 million of unrestricted cash on hand. Total debt outstanding was approximately $316 million, a decrease of $20 million from the end of last year. And we had $386 million of available borrowings under our revolving credit facility. Our leverage ratio was 0.8 times at the end of 2021, down from 1.6 times at the end of 2020. Consolidated accounts receivable at the end of 2021 was $174 million, down 13% from the end of 2020, on very strong cash collections during the fourth quarter. Our day sales outstanding were 52 days, which were down seven days compared to 2020. While continued strong demand and supply chain challenges impacted our inventory levels throughout the year, we were able to selectively build inventory during Q4 to better position our business for the upcoming season. At the end of 2021, consolidated inventories were $413 million compared to $358 million last year, up $56 million. The -over-year increase was driven by foot joy, which was up 34% across footwear, apparel, and gloves, and golf clubs, which was up 30%. Cash flow from operations was $34 million for Q4 and $314 million for the full year of 2021. This compares to $97 million and $264 million for the comparable period in 2020. And we continue to make investments in the business in the form of capital expenditures. We spent $18 million on CapEx during Q4 and $38 million for the full year, which was up $13 million from 2020. For 2022, we expect our capital expenditures to increase to about $60 million as the ways in receiving equipment caused by supply chain challenges shifted some of our 2021 CapEx into 2022. Turning to slide 12, our strong financial results have supported the continued execution of our capital allocation strategy. Our highest priority remains investing in the business with a focus on product innovation, golfer connection, and operational excellence. And we continue to pursue acquisitions that align with our focus on premium performance products that appeal to dedicated golfers. We believe these investments will advance our long-term strategy and drive growth at a favorable return. Our focus on generating strong free cash flow and returning capital to shareholders also remains a priority. In December, we paid our previously announced Q4 dividend, which increased our total dividends paid for the year to $49 million, up 7% compared to 2020. And as David mentioned, our board of directors today declared a cash dividend of $0.18 per share payable on March 25th to shareholders of record on March 11th, 2022. This represents a 9% increase in our dividend and an expected Q1 cash outflow of approximately $13 million. During the fourth quarter, we repurchased approximately 662,000 shares for a total of about $35 million. For the full year, we purchased approximately 1.4 million shares for a total of almost $66 million, which left about $98 million remaining on our current share repurchase authorization at the end of the year. Through February 25th, we had repurchased a little more than 1 million shares in 2022 for a total of about $53 million, including $37.5 million from FEDA completing the share repurchase agreement we announced in November. We expect to repurchase the remaining $45 million under our current share repurchase authorization between now and the end of 2022. Our capital allocation strategy is a foundational element of a Cushness Value Proposition, which we continue to believe creates a compelling long-term total return for our shareholders. Moving to slide 13, our outlook for 2022 reflects continued strong demand for golf and other products, a healthy pipeline of new product introductions, and the replenishment of lean field inventories. Our outlook also continues to be governed by supply chain limitations, which are causing raw material and component shortages and higher material costs across all of our businesses, which are driving up overall production costs. And we continue to face elevated inbound freight costs, which we expect to continue throughout the year. Taking these factors into consideration, we expect our full year 2022 consolidated net sales to be in the range of $2.175 billion to $2.225 billion. On a constant currency basis, consolidated net sales are expected to be up between 2.7 and 5.0 percent. And we expect full year adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $325 million to $345 million. Within this, we expect full year gross margins to be down about 20 to 30 basis points, and we expect full year OPEX to be higher than 2021. However, OPEX will grow at a slower rate than sales. These expectations assume no significant worsening of the impact of the pandemic, including additional supply chain disruptions and incremental closures of global markets. We expect the timing of our business in 2022 to have a more normal cadence after having been disrupted during the past two years. For the first half 2022, consolidated net sales are expected to be a little more than 50 percent of full year sales. And we expect first half 2022 adjusted EBITDA to be about 60 percent of the full year, down from about 80 percent in 2021. The decrease in first half adjusted EBITDA is mainly due to lower gross margins resulting from increased supply chains and freight costs, and from higher OPEX as we continue to make investments to support our higher level of sales and to maintain the leadership position of our brands. The second half adjusted EBITDA increase compared to 2021 comes from improvement in gross margins as we anticipate supply chain challenges begin to ease and from OPEX decreases relative to 2021. In conclusion, our associates and trade partners helped us manage through unprecedented supply chain and pandemic related challenges to deliver tremendous results for our question in 2021. Looking forward, while we expect supply chain challenges to continue throughout the year, we are confident we will meet our financial goals for 2022 and deliver a solid long term total return for our shareholders. With that, I will now turn the call over to Sandra for Q&A.

speaker
Sandra Lennon

Thanks, Tom. Operators, could we now open up the lines for

speaker
Operator

questions? At this time, I would like to remind everyone if you would like to ask a question, please press star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. Your first question comes from a line of great answers with KeyBank Capital Markets.

speaker
Brett

Hey, good morning guys. David, could you maybe dig a little more into your generally lean channel inventory commentary? I guess this is a multi-part question, but what do you see from a weeks on hand or a month on hand perspective? That's the first part. And then are there any differences in inventory levels, either geographically or by product category? I think you mentioned balls staying on allocation here. And then the last part is, how do you think channel inventory has really evolved throughout 2020? Do we get back to normal this year at some point this year, or do we go into the 2023?

speaker
David

Yeah, okay. Good morning, Brett. So, in most regions, really across all our segments, they're lean as we said. And I'd characterize that in the down 10 to 20 percent with balls and clubs most impacted, right? So we're a little better off with gear and footwear than we are with balls and clubs. You know, fair to say, we probably held ground in the fourth quarter in that any incremental production capacity was directed towards building our inventory levels for 2022. There are little to no discrepancies regionally, right? It's a consistent story around the globe. So that's really the framing of the inventory picture. Again, macro, call it down from our product, acoustic products down some 10 to 20 percent. And I'll remind you, you know, they're seemingly low right now, right? As they should be with so much of the golf market about to open up in March and April. I think you'll see the marketplace in good shape come March, April as us and others pipeline new products into the market. But I do think we're going to be strained throughout most of 2022. And it'll realistically be until the third quarter that we begin to get some semblance of normality as it relates to inventory. But we do expect to be tight throughout the first half of the year. I made the comment earlier that as an example with golf balls, we'll be allocated on all models in all regions for at least the first six months of the year.

speaker
Brett

Thank you for that. And then just thinking about the NIA and your exposure there, is there a way we can break out between maybe Eastern Europe and Western Europe? And have you factored in any supply or demand disruptions in the situation at this point, trying to get a sense of the broader exposure there?

speaker
David

Yeah, obviously, real time, what's happening over there, the immediate impact to our business, to the golf business is limited, if not minimal. How this spreads throughout the MEA is still, of course, to be determined. From a supply chain standpoint, the only thing we would point to is just the cost of oil right, which affects so much of our business. But beyond that, don't expect any supply chain disruptions that would be above and beyond what we've seen in the last couple of years. But the biggest variable here is certainly going to be what happens to the price of oil.

speaker
Brett

Thank you.

speaker
Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Daniel Embrow with Stevens Inc.

speaker
Brett

Yes, good morning guys, the rest of the quarter, and thanks for taking our questions. David, I want to ask one on the golf equipment and one on the apparel businesses. Starting on the golf equipment, obviously, you know the trend is strong, and it seemed like the beginning of this year, you're seeing continuation of those trends. I guess, as you're thinking about this year, what data points are you looking at to get comfort that we are seeing growth in that core dedicated golf or core worth that you mentioned, which obviously drives those super sales? And then, given what you're seeing, if we do see overall rounds played down this year, just if you get...

speaker
David

Yeah, good morning Daniel. So, when you look back at our business, we would say, of course, we're experiencing strong demand, and we know and expect that most of this comes from our core dedicated golfers. We know they're playing more, we know they're purchasing greater levels of equipment and apparel. And adding to that, we know the more golfers play, the more dedicated they tend to become, and we're seeing this also. And sort of, I think, fundamentally to your question, this is the group, these are the players which most often prioritize performance in their purchase decisions. And I think, fair to say, this group has grown proportional to the total golfer base. That's sort of broad commentary on how we think about the market today. As we look forward, and I tend to agree with your premise that, you know, hey, you're looking at 21 rounds that were at a record level. And I don't know that the 22 decline would be because of golfers getting in and out of the game. I think it's more going to be a function of just the evolution towards a new normal in society and, as folks transition, maybe from remote work to hybrid work. But I think at the end of it all, you're left with a game that's still going to be up double digits versus 2019, and we're just going to be left with the ebbs and flows of how society responds in year three of a pandemic. But I do think there are some really good habits and trends and fundamentals of the game that should stick. But again, to wrap it up, I agree that, hey, there should be some. It should surprise nobody if rounds apply or down a bit in 2022. You know, broadly equipment. Again, we like what we see. We like current demands. As I said a minute ago, inventories are leaning. We think we can get enough out of our supply chains to grow the business. That is a tall ask given the base we established in 21. But when you add it up, go for marketplace inventories demand, we think we're in a pretty good place as we head into the new year.

speaker
Brett

That's helpful. Thank you. And then on the apparel side, I think you mentioned spring. Three books are looking strong for foot, droid, and shoes right now. Any indication on the early kind of back-up selling season pre-orders? I think a lot of that pre-selling is going on right now on the apparel side. And are you seeing any outside strength in maybe different groups of customers, like resorts, versus Greengrass or any certain regions on the apparel side as you look at the back half, maybe pre-order book?

speaker
David

Yeah, I think a lot of our business, most of our business would tend to be embroidered Greengrass apparel. And you're right, bookings are strong for the first half of the year. They are strong. We're also balancing what we believe is the proper amount to put in the marketplace. You've got demand and you've got expected turn and sell through. So overall, the apparel space, which I think your question gets at the reality that it was probably, if equipment began to recover in the back half of 20 and had a strong 21, the apparel recovery really was a function of starting in 21. And that was because supply chains just couldn't catch up in 20, and you lost the spring season. So we are real optimistic about apparel as it relates to certain foot-shoe, shoes, and even our titleist apparel in the Asian markets. But I do think that the primary lead here, Daniel, is the first half story. And then there's going to be a bit of a wait and see as to what plays out in the second half. But initially, second half bookings are strong as well.

speaker
Brett

Great. Super helpful. And then Tom, just a quick clarifier on the model. In terms of your CapEx functionality, it looks like you stepped up pretty many things in the fourth quarter here. How do we think about the cadence of your CapEx guide for the year? Is it going to be more back half weighted or maybe more regular by quarter?

speaker
David

Yeah, Daniel, I think it will be more regular by quarter. The back half nature in 2021 was really a function of delays in the supply chain. We have a lot of orders out there now that are going to come in more evenly throughout the year.

speaker
Brett

Great. Thanks, Eric. Best of luck.

speaker
Operator

Thanks, Daniel. Your next question comes from online of Mike Schwartz for the securities.

speaker
Brett

Good morning, everyone. Just wanted to ask a quick question on guidance. I think you laid out the case that you're still seeing supply chain challenges and some inflationary headwinds, particularly through the first half of the year. Maybe give us a sense just in terms of magnitude of what that means, you know, but maybe how much that's holding back your guidance for the year.

speaker
David

Yeah. Hey, Michael. Good morning. So as we call it, our headwinds, they'll vary by category. And maybe I'll break it down by category to give you some color. With golf balls, it's really a story of limited raw material availability, and that's preventing us from operating our ball plants at full capacity, at least in the first half of the year. We do think that eases in the second half of the year. Different soil and clubs, which is more a function of component availability and largely steel shafts. Last year, you may recall, we talked about a grip shortage. Now we've got some constraints on steel shafts. And then custom production for us in golf clubs has been a capacity for quite some time. And we do expect this to continue through the spring, which really has an impact on lead times, which are improving, although not as fast as anybody would like. It's a different story as we get to footwear and apparel. You know, we've got a JV footwear partnership. But it continues to serve us very well, and our challenge is less about making product, producing product, more about moving it around the globe. And that's an especially acute issue in the U.S. And as an example, we've delayed the launch of a couple of footwear models by about two weeks in the U.S. just because of the complexities of port issues and congestion in our distribution network. Not the case outside the U.S. where things are on time. And I'd add in apparel and gear, it's similar to footwear. We're in decent shape from a production standpoint. The bottleneck is as much port-related, distribution network-related as most of that exists in the U.S. So those are a minimum bit of framing around how we think about some of the supply chain headwinds, I will say. Coming off a year where sales were up -some-odd percent, we think we did a pretty good job. We're managing those supply chain headwinds, and by virtue of us planning for growth, it should imply and does imply that we see a general sense of improvement in the supply chain environment, although still challenges and limitations.

speaker
Brett

Okay, thank you for that. And then maybe just talking about some of the investments that you referenced and that you laid out, a few of those that came through in the back half of 2021. But what we're seeing in the second half, is this incremental investment or is this a continuation of some of the investments you've made in capacity and product beginning last year?

speaker
David

Yeah, it's a continuation. The business has grown substantially from, say, 2019 levels, and there's a number of investments we've had to make and will continue to make to support the business at this level. And we continue to invest in our technology infrastructure to optimize our B2B and D2C platforms. And so the investments are going to continue. We think our OPEX is at sort of a new level. However, it has declined some relative to 2019, if you would, as a percentage of sales. So we are seeing leverage, but we are going to continue to invest at these levels.

speaker
Brett

Okay, great. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

Thanks, Michael. Your next question comes from the line of Joe Altobello with Raymond James.

speaker
Brett

Thanks, hey guys. Good morning. I just wanted to go back to the 22,000 percent, particularly since the sales guidance is in constant currency. It looks like you're assuming an increase of about 2% at the 2.7 to 5%. How much of that is coming from price increases? How much of that is coming from inventory replenishment? And how much of that is more underlying demand?

speaker
David

Good morning, Joe. Yeah, you know, that's pretty difficult to parse out at that level, especially when you think of our two-year product lifecycle cadence. You know, as an example, you've got a Pro V1 launch last year and a price increase. And as you think about 2022, no Pro V1 launch. It's in the second model year. So you would expect volumes to be down, but we're still going to benefit from the price increase. So as you think about that across the whole portfolio, with puts and takes, it gets difficult to

speaker
Brett

parse it out

speaker
David

into

speaker
Brett

those buckets. Okay, all right, that's fair. I guess kind of shifting over to capital allocation, you laid out your priorities nicely. But your balance sheet, you know, looks a lot different today than it did a couple of years ago. And I'm curious how that's impacted the way that you think about capital allocation going forward.

speaker
David

You know, at this point, I would say it hasn't impacted it very much. You know, our priorities and our strategy remain the same. You know, we are still coming out of, hopefully coming out of this pandemic cycle, and there's still a lot of uncertainty. So we will continue to operate, I'd say, cautiously. But, you know, we did, we did buy $65 million worth of shares last year, and we did, you know, pay our dividends at about $50 million. And we would expect in 2022 that, you know, the dividend would be a little larger. And we're expecting to complete our current share repurchase authorization, which would put us close to $100 million of share repurchases. So, as David mentioned in his remarks, we, we returned $150 million of capital to shareholders in 2021, which was a record. And we would expect that to be closer to $150 million in 2022. So we're going to continue to return capital to shareholders, and we're going to continue to look for, you know, M&A opportunities, similar to what we have in the past. But I would say, you know, despite the strength of our balance sheet at this point, we haven't had any significant changes to our strategy, capital allocation wise.

speaker
Brett

Okay. Thank you, guys. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Casey Alexander with Conflict Point Research and Trading.

speaker
Brett

Yeah, good morning. Most of my questions have been answered, but I do have one question in relation to SHUES, which you said had really strong growth in the last year. In North America or U.S. Given your strong penetration into the Greengrass Channel, is there an opportunity to introduce SHUES into the Greengrass Channel and continue to accelerate that growth?

speaker
David

Yeah, Casey, so I think really the bulk and the majority of SHUES' business is Greengrass. So that's, I don't know if that answers your question, but when we look at SHUES' U.S. business, I did make the comment it was up 50%. That's primarily a Greengrass story.

speaker
Brett

Okay, great. That's my only question. My other question is where I've answered. Thank you. Thanks, Casey.

speaker
Operator

Thanks, Casey. The last question comes from the line of Anna Graskin with Jeffreys.

speaker
Anna Graskin

Hi, good morning. Thanks for the question. Thanks for the color on inventory build by segments. Could you also provide some color on the build between existing products and preparing for launches for their new year or in the quarter?

speaker
David

Yeah, so I'll start with that one, Anna. You know, our launch schedule really for the first half is on track. As I noted, we have a couple of adjustments to our ball launch timing from what would typically be our approach in even numbered years. And to get a little more granular on that, new ADX Velocity True Field Golf Ball models launched in late January, and we expect to launch new Tour Speed and Tour Soft in May. And again, a normal year we would have launched all those together, but we felt this was the right approach as we manage type raw materials availability and try to make the most of our production capacity. So that's a change. We're about to launch new Vokey wedges in the next week, and we'll launch Scottie Cameron Putters in early April. Both of those are on track and in good shape. I mentioned Footjoy. I'm really excited about what's happening with Footjoy in the first quarter and into April, but a couple of footwear launches have moved down a couple of weeks in the U.S. And really, as Tom noted, you know, our inventory is up. It's in better shape this year than we were last year, up 15 percent, up over 50 million year end, 21 versus first year end, 20. We're obviously very pleased with this increase, but ideally it would be even higher, at a higher level, particularly in golf balls where we're most -to-mouth.

speaker
Anna Graskin

Great. Thanks. And then as the channel is replenished and you make progress with that for the year, are you expecting promotionality to re-approach prior levels or what's being baked in from that aspect in the growth margin?

speaker
David

Yeah, you know, the supply-demand relationship in the marketplace has been such for the last 18 months or so that there's been little to no promotional activity. I don't know that we're going to get to a point of seeing meaningful promotional activity, at least in the first half of the year. In time, you're certainly going to see it resume to some degree, but we think that's going to be later or not sooner and unlikely to see it, at least in the first half of the year.

speaker
Anna Graskin

Great.

speaker
David

Thanks. Thank you. And thanks everybody. As always, we appreciate your time and your interest in the acoustic company. I hope you all have a great spring and we look forward to catching you back up after the first quarter. Thanks again.

speaker
Operator

This concludes today's conference. You may now disconnect.

Disclaimer

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