Acushnet Holdings Corp.

Q4 2022 Earnings Conference Call

3/1/2023

spk01: Good morning or good afternoon all, and welcome to the Acushnet Company 4Q 2022 Earnings Call. My name is Adam and I'll be your operator for today. If you'd like to ask a question during the Q&A portion of today's call, you may do so by pressing star followed by one on your telephone keypad. I will now hand the floor over to Sandra Lennon to begin. So Sandra, please go ahead when you are ready.
spk10: Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us today for Acushnet Holding Corp's fourth quarter and full year 2022 earnings conference call. Joining me this morning are David Marr, our President and Chief Executive Officer, and Tom Pacheco, our Chief Financial Officer. Before turning the call over to David, I would like to remind everyone that we will be making forward-looking statements on the call today. These forward-looking statements are based on a Cushnet's current expectations and are subject to uncertainty and changes in circumstances. Actual results may differ materially from these expectations. For a list of factors that could cause the actual results to differ, please see today's press release, the slides that accompany our presentation, and our filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Throughout this discussion, we will make reference to non-GAAP financial metrics, including items such as revenues at constant currency and adjusted EBITDA, explanations of how and why we use these metrics, and reconciliations of these items to a GAAP basis can be found in the schedules in today's press release, the slides that accompany this presentation, and in our filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Please also note that references throughout this presentation to year-on-year sales increases and decreases are on a constant currency basis unless otherwise stated. As we feel this measurement best provides context as to the performance and trends of our business, And when referring to year to date or full year results or comparisons, we will refer to the 12 month period ended December 31st, 2022 and the comparable 12 month period. With that, I'll turn the call over to David.
spk08: Thanks, Sandra. And good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us on today's call. As Tom and I will outline, Acushnet wrapped up a terrific year with a strong fourth quarter. helping our brands carry nice momentum into 2023. I will begin by acknowledging and thanking the talented Acushnet team for their hard work and great results. Their creative spirit of innovation and commitment to delivering the highest quality golf products and services are creating shareholder value, empowering the company's sustaining growth. Now to our results. Acushnet sales increased 11% in 2022 to $2.27 billion. All operating segments and geographic regions posted year-on-year gains, with golf clubs leading all segments up 16%. EMEA was our fastest-growing region, up 20% versus 2021. And Acushnet's business in the U.S. and Korea was also especially strong, both increasing 9% on the year. The company generated adjusted EBITDA of $338 million, a 3% increase over prior year. For the fourth quarter, revenues were up 14% to $447 million as Titleist golf clubs, gear, and golf balls all grew double digits. An adjusted EBITDA of $25 million represents a $30 million increase for the period. In summary, the strong fourth quarter finish to a very positive trending year for Acushnet. In addition, our teams have also made several operational enhancements as we invest to position the company for future success. Heading into 23, our golf ball supply chain is more expansive and diverse as our primary raw materials partner has grown its capacity and capabilities, and we have also added dynamic new suppliers. We believe these enhancements will invite new innovations while protecting our access to raw materials in uncertain times. Custom club production capacity in the U.S. and abroad have been increased to meet growing demand for Titleist golf clubs and deliver leading service levels. We have expanded footwear production into Vietnam to support growth and strengthen and diversify our supply chain. One of the keys to FJ's sustaining success is the synergistic and mutually beneficial relationship we have had with our longtime JV Footwear manufacturing partner, who shares FJ's commitment to quality and has seamlessly implemented this capacity expansion. To keep pace with rapid demand for our apparel lines, we have increased our customization capabilities in the U.S. and U.K., where club logos are most prevalent. This expansion positions both foot joy and shoes to be more agile and responsive to future growth opportunities, while helping to protect lead times and service levels. And we are optimistic about the enhancements we are making across our global distribution network to increase our ability to process inbound and outbound shipments and meet our high service standards. These investments will reduce the company's exposure to distribution bottlenecks caused by recent global supply chain disruptions. In addition to these important infrastructure investments, the company also accelerated capital returns in 22, returning more than $240 million to shareholders through our dividend and share buyback programs. And building upon this commitment, I am pleased to announce that we have increased the company's quarterly dividend by 8% to 19.5 cents per share. The company has increased our dividend each year since its inception. Now looking at our business by segment, as you see, golf ball sales were up 12% in the quarter and 6% for the full year. Titleist golf balls are the overwhelming choice across worldwide tours, and Pro V1 golf balls were the winning choice of Masters champ Scotty Scheffler, PGA champion Justin Thomas, U.S. Open winner Matt Fitzpatrick, and Open champion Cam Smith. In addition to winning all four majors in 22, Titleist was also the golf ball of choice of 95% of the players who competed in the NCAA Women's Golf Championship. These achievements, we believe, validate the Titleist Golf Ball performance, quality, and consistency advantages and are foundational to our number one ball and golf positioning. New PRO-V1 and PRO-V1X models launched in late January and deliver advanced performance achieved through innovative new core technology and advanced aerodynamic properties. We are pleased with initial consumer response to what we believe are the most advanced PRO-V1s we have ever launched. And after a two year hiatus, we have recently reopened Titleist Ball Plant 3 for tours and encourage interested golfers to join Team Titleist to experience firsthand all that goes into making Pro V1, Pro V1X and AVX and my teammates relentless commitment to product quality and process excellence. Titleist golf clubs continue to excel with fourth quarter and full year sales of 32% and 16% respectively. Titleist Golf Clubs are well positioned for 23 as we build upon our momentum with new TSR1 drivers and TSR hybrids, a full range of new Scotty Cameron Super Select putters, and new SM9 lightweight wedges. A Kushnitz gear business also added to the Titleist brand momentum with revenues up 26% in the quarter and 13% for the year. Our gear team has done good work to expand customization capacity to meet strong demand and has front-loaded inventory receipts to ensure that we are able to meet peak demand levels in the first half of the year. FootJoy sales were up slightly in the quarter and grew 12% for the year with gains coming from each of our footwear, glove, and apparel categories. The ongoing success of FJ's Premier Series footwear line reflects the brand's commitment to performance, style, and comfort. In addition, today marks the official launch of the all-new Hyperflex collection, which showcases the brand's leadership in the premium athletic footwear space. FJ Apparel also carries great momentum into 2023, coming off another year of double-digit growth as our design team excels at delivering performance and style across our men's and women's collections. While Foot Joy is fully focused on the future, this year marks a proud milestone as we celebrate the brand's 100th anniversary. Foot Joy is golf's most authentic and enduring footwear brand, the number one shoe in golf for over 75 years and counting. Foot Joy gloves are among the highest market share products in golf, and apparel and outerwear momentum add to the brand's energy and enthusiasm. Foot Joy's future has never been brighter. And rounding out Accushnet Brands, our shoes business increased by more than 25% in 2022, and our golf business has nearly doubled since our 2019 acquisition. We are enthused about the road ahead as our talented team is committed to building the shoes business for long-term, sustaining success. Now here you see that all regions posted healthy gains in 22, led by EMEA, which was up 20%. For the fourth quarter, you see double-digit growth in Japan and the U.S. Japan's outsized gains reflect the timing of our TSR driver launch, which was skewed towards Q4 in Japan and Q3 in all other regions. Key takeaways from this slide are Akushnet's ability to execute across varying marketplaces and the health of the Gulf consumer that we are seeing in all major regions. Now, looking forward, We remain encouraged by strong golfer participation and enthusiasm for the game, including a golfer base that grew for the fifth consecutive year in 2022. Global rounds of play were resilient last year, copping against record numbers in 2021. U.S. play was down slightly, and we estimate rounds outside the U.S. increased in the low single-digit range. Market fundamentals are strong. Trade partners are financially stable. and Titleist and Footjoy channel inventories are healthy across global markets. The professional game is off to a compelling start in 23, and this energy around the tours is an important catalyst as the golf season ramps up to the Masters and a full global opening in Q2. Our Titleist, Footjoy, and Schuss brands are vibrant and healthy, and we are enthused about our vast new product pipeline for 2023. We expect growth from each of our reportable segments in spite of continued currency headwinds. In addition to ongoing investments in our core businesses, we have also made recent acquisitions which are great fits and compelling long-term value creation opportunities for Acushnet. The first is our majority investment in TPI and long-term partnership with founders Dave Phillips and Dr. Greg Rose. TPI is the leading provider of golf-specific health, fitness, and swing advice available through the MyTPI website. Dave Phillips and Dr. Rose are the preeminent experts in the field of biomechanics and body movement specific to golf and other rotational sports. Their work is directed at helping athletes achieve peak performance while reducing pain and the risk of injury. They have had a profound impact on the professional game as the majority of leading tour professionals works with a TPI certified trainer. The Titleist TPI relationship goes back more than 20 years and with this new partnership we will invest in TPI to expand its reach and activate Dave and Greg's expertise across our player development and R&D engines. And last month we announced the acquisition of the Club Glove brand, the industry leading provider of golf travel gear. Club Glove is known by dedicated golfers in the U.S. to be the leader in golf travel products and is the preferred choice by the overwhelming majority of PGA Tour, LPGA Tour, and PGA Club professionals. Club Glove's patented travel gear has long been recognized among the industry's most innovative and reliable products. and given the brand's reputation for product and service excellence, we see this as an ideal fit within the Acushnet portfolio of brands. Club Glove Sounders will continue to operate the business at least through the end of the year, and we look forward to further developing this leading brand for years to come. In summary, we are optimistic about the structural health of the golf industry, the great momentum behind our Titleist, Foot Choice Shoes, TPI, and Club Glove brands, and the resilience and engagement of the game's dedicated golfer. And we are confident that recent investments in supply chain, technology, and infrastructure will benefit golfers and our trade partners and position the company for continued market leadership and sustaining success. Thanks for your attention this morning. I will now pass the call over to Tom.
spk07: Thanks, David, and good morning, everyone. I also would like to begin by recognizing our talented associates for the tremendous effort they put forth to deliver a great year for Acushnet in 2022. Starting with our Q4 results on slide 10, consolidated net sales were $447 million, up 6% reported and up 14% level FX versus 2021. Overall, our momentum continued with all reportable segments showing growth in the quarter on a constant currency basis. Gross profit for the fourth quarter was 224 million up 19 million or 9% versus the prior year and gross margins were 50% up 140 basis points. The increase in gross profit and gross margin was driven by golf clubs and golf balls as a result of higher sales volumes primarily tsr metals and clubs and across all models and balls and by lower inbound free costs. SG&A expense in Q4 was $196 million, down $13 million, or 6%. And R&D expense was $14 million, down $2 million, or 10% compared to the prior year. SG&A for the quarter was down across all reportable segments and across all expense categories, except for distribution, where we continue to make investments to increase our throughput while maintaining high service levels. Income from operations for the quarter was 12 million up 34 million or over 150% from 2021. Interest expense was 5 million up over 4 million on higher interest rates and higher outstanding borrowings and income tax expense was 2 million up 1 million from the prior year, primarily as a result of a shift in our mix of jurisdictional earnings. net loss income attributable to Accushnet Holdings was up 26 million compared to 2021, and adjusted EBITDA was 25 million, up 30 million from the prior year. Moving to our full year results, consolidated net sales for the year were 2.27 billion, up 122 million, or 6% on a reported basis compared to a record 2021. Consolidated net sales were up 11% on a constant currency basis. Gross profit was 1.18 billion up 61 million or 5% and gross margins were 51.9% down 20 basis points from the prior year, despite higher sales volume and higher ASPs and many product categories, primarily as a result of higher inbound freight, the negative impact of currency and higher input costs. SG&A expense for 2022 was 833 million, up 38 million or 5% compared to 2021. The increase came from higher selling expenses due to an increase in sales volumes, higher distribution costs as we enhance our fulfillment and customization capabilities, and higher G&A costs, mainly from investments we are making in technology, all of which were partially offset by reductions in A&P and employee-related expenses. R&D was 56 million, up 1 million compared to the prior year. income from operations was 282 million up 22 million or 8% from 2021. Interest expense was 6 million higher with about two thirds of the increase coming from higher interest rates and one third coming from higher debt balances. And our effective tax rate was 20.9% compared to 25.7% in 2021 as a result of a shift in the mix of our jurisdictional earnings. net income attributable to a Cushnet Holdings was 199 million, up 20 million, and adjusted EBITDA was 338 million, up 10 million, or 3% compared to 2021. There is a reconciliation of net income to adjusted EBITDA for Q4 in the full year in our earnings release, as well as in the appendix of the slide presentation. Moving to slide 11, we continue to benefit from the strength of our balance sheet, At the end of 2022 we had about 57 million of unrestricted cash on hand total that outstanding was approximately 568 million and we had approximately 417 million of available borrowings under our revolving credit facility. Our leverage ratio was 1.4 times at the end of 2022. Consolidated accounts receivable was 217 million up 42 million from the prior year. and our day sales outstanding were 52 days, the same as the end of 2021. Inventory at the end of 2022 was $675 million, up $261 million from the prior year, and our day sales and inventory were 176 days. We are comfortable with our overall inventory levels as we enter 2023. And I will point out that the comparison to last year can be misleading as our year-end 2021 inventory levels were unusually low for our growing sales base. The composition and level of our inventories varies by segment. Golf ball inventories remain lower than we would like as we continue to catch up from last year's raw material shortage. Golf club inventories are well positioned for upcoming product launches and to meet expected demand with DSIs in line with pre-pandemic levels. Gear and foot joy inventories are strategically elevated in advance of upcoming product launches to mitigate fulfillment risks in the early part of the year. There is some level of excess footwear and apparel inventory. However, we are confident in our plans to sell this inventory during the first half of 2023. And given the changes in our business, we expect inventory will come down in the first half at a faster rate than prior years returning to more normal seasonal levels by mid-year. Cash flow from operations for the fourth quarter of 2022 was an outflow of $9 million, and for the full year was an outflow of $68 million. This compares to inflows of $34 million and $314 million for the same periods in 2021. The decrease in cash flows from operations for both periods comes primarily from increases in working capital, mainly inventory. And we continue to make meaningful capex investments in our business we spend 28 million on capex during Q4 and 61 million for the full year, which was up 24 million from 2021. For 2023 we expect our capital expenditures to increase to about 75 million as some capex shifted out into 2023 and some is being pulled forward to accelerate the realization of the benefits of those investments. Slide 12 provides highlights of our recent acquisitions and capital allocation activities. In November, we acquired an 80% interest in TPI for $18 million. TPI is a leading supplier of online educational programs, certifications, and live seminars, primarily for dedicated golfers. The impact of TPI sales in EBITDA were de minimis on our financial results for 2022, and for 2023, We expect TPI to add less than $10 million in sales and to initially be EBITDA neutral. TPI's results will roll up into our golf club segment in our external reporting. And in February of 2023, we acquired the Club Glove brand, including all relevant trade names, domains, and products from West Coast Trends Inc. for $25 million. Club Glove is a highly respected performance leader in premium golf travel products. West Coast trends will continue to operate and service club club as a licensee of a cushion it through the end of the year, while we set up our internal operations. While under this structure, we would expect the club club brand to add a very limited amount of royalty revenue and EBITDA to our results. Once we are running the business internally, we would expect initial annual club club branded product sales to be under 20 million and for EBITDA to be accretive. The financial results of the Club Glove brand will roll into our Titleist gear segment in our external reporting. Additionally, in December 22, we acquired trademarks related to our putter business for cash consideration of $65 million. Prior to this transaction, we had been accessing these trademarks through a licensing arrangement. In terms of capital allocation, our strong financial results support the continued execution of our capital allocation strategy. Our highest priority remains investing in the business in the form of OPEX and CAPEX with a focus on product innovation, golfer connection, and operational excellence. We will continue to evaluate potential acquisitions and other investments that align with our focus on premium performance products that appeal to dedicated golfers. We believe that these investments advance our long-term strategy and drive growth at a favorable return. Our focus on generating strong free cash flow and returning capital to shareholders continues to be a high priority. In December, we paid our previously announced Q4 dividend, which increased our total dividends paid for the year to $52 million, up 6% compared to 2021. And as David mentioned, our Board of Directors today declared a quarterly cash dividend of 19.5 cents per share, payable on March 24th to shareholders of record on March 10th. This represents more than 8% increase in our dividend and an expected Q1 cash outflow of approximately 13 million. During the fourth quarter, we repurchased about 1.1 million shares of our common stock for approximately 51 million, bringing our full year repurchases to just over 4 million shares for a total of 191 million. These repurchases reduced our share count by about 5% over the course of the year. At the end of 2022, we had about 157 million remaining under our share repurchase authorization. Between January 1 and January 13, 2023, we purchased an additional 168,000 shares of our common stock on the open market for 7.4 million, triggering the closing of our most recent share repurchase agreement with Magnus. As a result, on January 23, we purchased about 2.2 million shares of our common stock from Magnus for $100 million to complete the agreement. This further reduced our share count by an additional 3% for a total decrease of 8% from the beginning of 2021. On February 9, 2023, our Board of Directors authorized us to repurchase up to an additional $250 million of our outstanding common stock bringing the total authorization up to $700 million since our share repurchase program was established in 2018. Our capital allocation strategy is a foundational element of Acushnet's value proposition, which we continue to believe creates a compelling long-term total return for our shareholders. Moving to slide 13, our outlook for 2023 reflects continued strong demand for golf and Acushnet products and a healthy pipeline of new product introductions. As you would expect, our outlook is tempered somewhat by caution, given the overall economic environment. While we expect that currency will continue to be a headwind, mostly in the first half of the year and more so in Q1 than in Q2, we expect all segments to show growth on a constant currency basis for the full year. And while we expect to benefit from lower inbound freight rates and reduced air freight utilization, we expect some headwinds from higher input costs and from the return of promotional activity, albeit at lower than pre-pandemic levels. Taking these factors into consideration, we expect our full year 2023 consolidated net sales to be in the range of $2.325 to $2.375 billion, up 3.5% on a reported basis at the midpoint. This includes a negative impact from foreign currency of about $60 million. On a constant currency basis, consolidated net sales are expected to be up between 5 and 7.2%. And we expect full year adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $345 million to $365 million, up 5% compared to 2022 at the midpoint. Within this, we expect full year gross margins to be up slightly, and we expect full year OPEX to grow slightly faster than reported sales, As we continue to make investments to support the significant growth, we have seen in the business over the past few years, this outlook includes the full year impact of the acquisitions I previously discussed. We expect the timing of our business in 2023 to be similar to 2022 with first half 2023 consolidated net sales expected to represent just above 55% of full year sales. and first half adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of 65% to 70% of full-year adjusted EBITDA. In conclusion, our associates and trade partners enabled us to deliver strong results for Acushnet in 2022. While we are cautious given current economic uncertainty, we are pleased by the structural health of the industry, the momentum of our brands, and the investments we are making in the business. We are confident we will achieve our financial goals for 2023 and beyond and deliver a solid long-term total return for our shareholders. With that, I will now turn the call over to Sandra for Q&A.
spk10: Thank you, Tom. Operator, could we open up the line for questions, please?
spk01: Of course. As a reminder, if you'd like to ask a question today, please press star followed by one on your telephone keypad now. When preparing to ask your question, please ensure your headset is fully plugged in and unmuted locally. That's star one to ask a question. And our first question today comes from Brian Harbert from Morgan Stanley. Brian, please go ahead. Your line is open.
spk02: Hi, this is Matt. I'm from Brian. Thanks for taking the question. Maybe first, it looks like some of the golf equipment entry data has softened a little bit in recent months. What do you think was the driver of that and any color on why it looks like it didn't have much of an impact on your results?
spk09: Good morning, Matt. Matt, can I just ask you to clarify that, the golf equipment entry data? Help me understand that question.
spk02: Yes, at least through golf data tech, it looks like the industry sales data softened a bit in recent months. I'm not sure if that's what you're seeing.
spk08: Okay, got it. You know, the way we look at certainly the past December, Q1, January, February... You know, I'll go back to holiday sales were in our minds healthy. What we certainly have seen is some swings, some regional swings based on weather patterns. You know, you look at rounds of play. They were down double digits in California. They were down double digits in Arizona, high double digits in California due to weather. They were up in Florida. So there's some regional swings that we've seen. But we haven't seen any meaningful blips one way or the other over the last several months.
spk02: Great, thanks. And then maybe you're on SG&A. It looks like it's been favorable and maybe somewhat restrained. Can this continue into 23, and is that a key driver of the guidance?
spk07: So our SG&A, particularly in Q4, was down. That's as much a story about our accelerated investments in Q4 of 21 as much as it is the result in Q4 of 2022. Going forward for 2023, we expect OPEX will grow slightly faster than sales, which it did not do that in 2022. And we expect some growth in each quarter of next year. So that trend will not continue. Q4 is a bit of an anomaly. Great.
spk02: Thank you.
spk01: The next question comes from Daniel Imbrow from Stevens Inc. Daniel, please go ahead. Your line is open.
spk03: Good morning, everybody. Thanks for taking our questions. David, I want to start on the demand side. You know, obviously you mentioned participation numbers are rising and kind of looking through whether you guys feel pretty good about the industry, but obviously we're coming off some strong years. So if you can take a step back, you know, what gives you guys confidence that this will continue? And then when I think about the six and a half percent constant currency guide, you know, what are you anticipating for core golf equipment growth? What's coming from foot joy shoes? You know, I think, uh, Tom mentioned maybe $10 million from TPI. Maybe you could walk through the building blocks there of the guide in the context of your overall industry outlook. Yeah, hey, good morning, Daniel.
spk08: You know, at a high level, the golf equipment apparel markets are healthy. Courses, off-course retailers are healthy. And as we're seeing in rounds of play data, when weather cooperates, golfers – golfers are getting out and playing. Step one would be we've got a healthy golf marketplace. General inventories are in a good place. They're not where they were 18 months ago, which was very tight, but they're in a healthy place as compared to historic levels. We then point to two other Contributing factors, one is broader consumer spending, which experts will tell you is projected in the flat to low single-digit range. And then you layer on weather projections, which long ago we realized you don't project weather, so we tend to think of weather as being flat, surrounds being flat, with the understanding you're going to be wrong in one direction or another. And then getting into our businesses, right? You know, if I look at it through its parts and pieces, we've got enthusiasm and excitement around a new Pro V1 launch that brings great energy to the ball business and brand. We're enthused about our driver success with TSR starting in the fourth quarter and heading into its first spring season. And we look at our gear and our foot joy business, and we look internally at our products and our pipeline. And we have cause for optimism. To maybe the root of your question, right, the caution, if there is any and there always is, the caution is always around the consumer and where goes the consumer in 2023. But where we stand today, the factors I just walked through are effectively the baseline and foundation for our guide. As to segment, I'll pass that over to Tom for his thoughts.
spk07: Well, Daniel, what we've said as it relates to segment is we do anticipate growth on a constant currency basis across all of our segments. So it is across the board. From an earnings perspective, there are lots of puts and takes that we all know about. We're seeing a reduction both in freight rates and the utilization of air freight, but there are also some headwinds, particularly from input cost and currency, and potentially the return of some promotional activity. So all in all, we anticipate that our gross margins will be up slightly across all of our markets. segments and that our OPEX is going to grow a little bit faster than sales.
spk03: Thank you, guys, for the color. I made a follow-up on that last point. I'm thinking about the promotional cadence. Which part of the business do you expect to see that show up most in? Is it equipment? Is it apparel? And then maybe related, you guys launched your TSR. It went really well last fall, but obviously your peers now have launched competitive product, and it's a pretty full channel. Based on what you're hearing out of the industry, is inventory heavy with any one OEM? Is there a risk of any OEM getting promotional on the club side this year? If you could expound on that, that would be great.
spk08: Yeah, I'll touch on that, Daniel. So to your first question, you know, balls for us. We're feeling like we're finally caught up from an inventory standpoint. So we think that category, it's not oversupplied. unlikely it would get overly promotional. Our club business, in some respects, beats to its own drum. We're so custom-fitting oriented that we're confident that we're not going to get caught up in excess inventories. I think we may have said this on the last call. The categories that might be the most susceptible to promotional activity would be footwear and apparel. And really that traces back to, they were, they were industry-wide the most disrupted last year in the, in the second quarter and the first and second quarters because of the supply chain disruption. So you had a lot of spring products that simply came in late and didn't get out the door. So those, those categories we've been watching carefully. Um, uh, and again, I think if, if, if you're looking for where is the, um, highest likelihood of promotional activity, that's where you'd see it, uh, apparel and footwear. Now, again, in the context of where that sits historically, I would say below historical normal levels, but certainly above what we've seen in the last couple of years. As to your second question about competition, we like where we are. Again, I mentioned we've got a Pro V1 launch here, a lot of great energy and enthusiasm there. The driver realities you mentioned, that's an annual occurrence, right? We go when our competitors go when they go. So I think what you'll see right now is, again, we're early days, but you should see full channels, right, as everybody gears up and as our greengrass and retail partners gear up for the season ahead. that question may have a better answer two, three months from now after we've seen the beginning of the season play out. But from what we can see now, we're seeing channels beginning to fill up in anticipation of the season. And as we look at that again, it's not a perfect balance between supply and demand, but we don't see any outliers that give us cause for concern at this point.
spk03: Great. I really appreciate all the color and best of luck. Thanks, Daniel. Thanks, Daniel.
spk10: Thanks, Daniel. Operator, next question, please.
spk01: The next question is from Mike Swartz from Travis Securities. Mike, your line is open. Please go ahead.
spk04: Hey, good morning, everyone. Just maybe first question. At the 30,000-foot level around a lot of the investments you've made, David, I think you called them out at the beginning of the call around capacity and capabilities. I guess, where do we stand if we use the kind of the baseball metaphor? Where do we stand? Which inning are we in in really this investment phase? Because it sounds like there is going to be some increased investment in 2023 as well.
spk09: Yeah.
spk08: Hey, Michael. You know, I would say on one hand, it never stops, right? You're continually investing in your capabilities and infrastructure sometimes for growth, sometimes for efficiency, sometimes for quality. But we are comfortable that we're some 40 plus percent bigger than we were a handful of years ago. And we are comfortable that from a capacity expansion standpoint, we are where we need to be. As I've mentioned, most of our businesses were in a pretty good place From a supply and availability standpoint, the two outliers might be balls and gloves. And the ball story really less predicated on our capacity and more a function of our suppliers' inability to get us the raw materials we needed. And we're long past that point. So hopefully that gives you a sense for where we're at.
spk04: Yeah, and I guess where are the future investments really oriented as we talk about 23?
spk08: Well, the one call out I'll make is, you know, we're continuing to invest in technology to enrich the consumer experience, to enrich our trade partner experience, and to just create better markets. architecture throughout our organization to be more effective and efficient. So as we think about the investments, that's area one. Area two, and we've touched on this a little bit, we continue to invest in distribution around the world. We made some moves last year with apparel to expand our distribution capabilities. We have some opportunities in all markets outside the U.S. to to rethink and reimagine how we distribute products in and through our warehouses around the world. So that's an area that we're paying attention to as well.
spk04: Okay, great. Maybe just a follow-up on Balls. When the Pro V1 relaunched this year, you're taking the 10% price increase, which I think is one of the largest price increases you've taken in that business. You've got a lot of competition and obviously competitors have been doing very well on the ball side the past couple years. What gives you the comfort or confidence in taking that level of pricing?
spk08: Fair to say pricing was driven by input costs that we've seen across all areas of our business. We've always been comfortable at a premium to the competition based on the performance and quality attributes of our product, and that's what we're seeing now. We're also seeing the introduction of some or the return of some programs. Our loyalty program is back, which golfers are great fans of. And important to note, as well that you know our pricing journey is a long road in the sense that our two-year price like life cycles we don't take a lot of moves and this one reflects it's been a couple of years number one and number two we've incurred and absorbed a good amount of input costs over the years so there's a bit of a catch-up baked into where we are but again we've always been comfortable at a premium versus the competition as warranted, we think, by the product, by our leading shares, by our leading usage throughout the pyramid. And any time you take a price increase, it ups the ante in the sense that you've got to work extra hard to show consumers that your product is worth it. And that's what our team is committed to as they seek to show how our products outperform the competitive sets. We're comfortable where we are. We don't take price increases lightly. We never have. But we think we've got the parts and pieces in place to be effective. And we think golfers understand where we're coming from, one, given our long historical journey as it relates to pricing, and two, given the realities of some of the price increases we've dealt with in the past couple of years and, in some respects, absorbed in the last couple of years.
spk01: Thanks, David.
spk10: Thanks, Michael. Operator, next question, please.
spk01: The next question is from Joe Altobello from Raymond James. Joe, your line is open. Please go ahead.
spk05: Thanks. Hey, guys. Good morning. I guess just to kind of follow up on that point, you know, it's been a while since we've had a garden variety recession, if you will. But historically, what have you seen in terms of overall spending in the category of and on your brand, is there any trade-down given the premium positioning of your brand? And I guess in a recession, do golfers play fewer rounds, or do they use cheaper balls, or do they stay in the same regimen?
spk09: Yeah, maybe Tom and I will both get at that.
spk08: High-level, Joe, what we've seen, golfers tend to keep playing. They may prolong their life cycles, right? So that's the first takeaway from what we've seen in the past. Historically, and I think we've noted this before, the company has fared well. While we're not recession-proof, we've fared well in downturns going back to the subprime and going back to the dot-com. I may pass that one off to Tom for some specifics. on those events. So, Tom, I'll kick that one over to you.
spk07: Sure, Joe, and I think we've talked about this before. Back in, you know, the 2008-2009 timeframe, when you look at our business, excluding Cobra, which did not focus on the dedicated golfer and which we later sold, you know, our core business, if you will, was down about 8%. And if you look at, you know, a basket of leisure and recreation product companies within the consumer discretionary segment, they were down more than 15%. So as David said, our business fared far better than some of our peers. I appreciate that.
spk08: And Joe, just the final observation, Joe, is you made a comment about trade down. We haven't seen a lot of that. Again, it tends to be more just extended life cycles, but we haven't seen a lot of trade down. I think that speaks to more than anything, the makeup and demographic and avidity of our dedicated player.
spk05: Thanks for that, David. And I guess just to follow up on that, when we were down in Orlando at the PGA show a few weeks ago, your overall outlook on the industry was about flattish in 2023. So maybe could you help us square that outlook with the 5% to 7% constant currency sales growth you provided today, how much of that growth is coming from share gains and replenishment on the ball side in particular?
spk08: Yeah, I would say it's born of brand momentum and product enthusiasm across our pipelines. Step one. Step two, there's a bit of replenishment that will play out in Q1, and then I think we're there from an inventory standpoint. We're where we want to be, right? We were a little leaner on the ball side in particular. So I think by the end of April is probably a better way to think about it when we've loaded up the channels. I think the replenishment is complete. There's a little bit of pricing in there as well. So, yeah, your take on macro market, what we said in January, is for us the right way to think about it. We're thinking about this year as generally flat from a marketplace perspective. But, again, there are some parts and pieces within our business that give us confidence that we can outpace that growth.
spk05: Got it. Thanks, guys.
spk10: Thanks, Joe. Operator, next question, please.
spk01: The next question comes from George Kelly from Roth Capital. George, please go ahead. Your line is open.
spk06: Hey, everybody. Thanks for taking my questions. So most have been asked and answered, but just a couple for you, I guess. The trademark, I think it was a $65 million transaction in the fourth quarter. Could you give a little more detail on that, and is that providing a material benefit benefit to EBITDA in 23 and beyond?
spk08: Yeah, hey George. This is something that we've been looking at for a long time as we feel it's very important for the company to own certain trademarks and certainly we do own the vast majority of our trademarks. Our putter business is in great shape and we see this as an important step to protecting this business for the very, very long term.
spk07: As it relates to EBITDA, this is really a trading, if you will, from a royalty model to an own model. We will end up putting an intangible asset on the balance sheet and amortizing that over a 20-year period. that swapping of those costs, if you will, amortization gets added back for EBITDA purposes, so it'll have an impact on operating income, but it'll be a tailwind for EBITDA.
spk06: Okay, that's helpful. And then next question, just curious if you could be more specific, if you could quantify The impact of the acquisitions you've made on your guidance for fiscal year 23 specific to revenue. Sure.
spk07: So, you know, what we've said is – so TPI is an acquisition in the traditional sense. And we anticipate that it will add, on the top line, less than $10 million, so reasonably small acquisition there. From a Club Glove perspective, that was more of an acquisition of intangibles, whether it be... you know, trademarks and things of that nature. So we are in the process of setting up that business internally so that we can run it internally. So for the balance of 2022, West Coast Trends will continue to operate the business and support the brand on a license basis. And so we'll, for 2023, recognize royalty income on that, and that'll be a very small amount. So both of those transactions and the impact are included in our guidance.
spk06: Okay, that's really helpful. And then last question for me. With this re-upped share repurchase authorization, I believe you said $250 million. Is the plan to continue aggressively doing that? Is that something you could work through over the next three or four quarters?
spk07: As you know, we've been pretty aggressive buying back shares. We expect to continue to buy back shares. We will obviously monitor the economic situation and market conditions and adjust accordingly. But we would, absent any changes in those factors, we would anticipate utilizing that $250,000 maybe by the middle part of next year.
spk06: Okay, excellent.
spk08: Thank you.
spk10: Thank you, George.
spk08: Thanks, everyone. As always, we appreciate your interest in the company. Hope you have a great day, and we look forward to catching up with you on our next call.
spk01: This concludes today's call. Thank you very much for your attendance. You may now disconnect your lines.
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