8/4/2026

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Greetings and welcome to the WW Grainger second quarter 2026 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone should require operator assistance, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce Kyle Bland, Vice President, Investor Relations. Thank you. You may begin.

speaker
Kyle Bland
Vice President, Investor Relations

Good morning. Welcome to Grainger's second quarter 2026 earnings call. With me are D. Jimmy Fiersen, Chairman and CEO, and Dean Merriwether, Senior Vice President and CFO. As a reminder, some of our comments today may include forward-looking statements that are subject to various risks and uncertainties. Additional information regarding factors that could cause actual results to differ materially is included in the company's most recent Form 8K and other PIRAC reports filed with the SEC. This morning's call includes non-GAAP financial measures which reflect certain adjustments in previous periods as noted in the presentation. There were no adjusting items in the second quarter 2026 period. We have also included organic revenue adjustments in the presentation which normalized sales growth to reflect our exit from the UK market, including the Cromwell Divestiture and the closure of Zora UK, both of which were completed in the fourth quarter 2025. Definitions and full reconciliations of our non-GAAP financial measures with their corresponding GAAP measures are found in the tables at the end of this presentation and in our earnings release, both of which are available on our IR website. We will also share results related to Monotaro. Please remember that Monotaro is a public company and follows Japanese GAAP, which differs from U.S. GAAP and is reported in our results one month in arrears. As a result, the numbers discussed will differ from Monotaro's public statements. Now I'll turn it over to DG.

speaker
D. Jimmy Fiersen
Chairman and CEO

Thanks, Kyle. Good morning, everyone, and thanks for joining today. Building on our momentum from the start of the year, we delivered strong performance in the second quarter by executing well and delivering exceptional service to customers. Despite ongoing uncertainty, sales remained strong in both the high-touch and endless assortment segments, and core operating profitability was in line with expectations. While the external landscape remains fluid, we're confident in our ability to manage the impact We also saw a continued strength in the demand environment during the period, with most end markets showing acceleration. As I spend time with customers, I can see this playing out in the way we serve them on-site and inside their operations. Recently, I've visited several manufacturing customers where our teams are closely connected to the day-to-day work. We're helping them manage inventory in ways that fit their specific needs, and that is contributing to strong year-over-year growth at these locations. More and more customers are asking us to help them run their operations more efficiently and solve specific challenges, including areas like safety. And one customer or safety expertise was the catalyst for accelerating that partnership. We're also seeing solid growth from our national accounts in both the U.S. and Canada. On Canada specifically, we have seen tremendous improvement over the past several years as it seemed to stay focused on two things, serving customers well and building a stronger, more profitable business. They've made great progress improving service, Resetting their sales force and revamping their website while also diversifying their customer and markets and product offering. These efforts have driven strong sales growth and operating margin recovery to the highest levels we have seen in nearly a decade. Now, turning to our second quarter results. We delivered another quarter of strong growth and profitability. Results benefited from ongoing operational execution across both segments and an improving market, which helped accelerate volume growth in the period. We are pleased with what we are seeing from our high-tech growth engine and from our efforts within the EA segment to continue propelling the flywheel. Total company reported sales for the quarter were up 10.3%, or 13.7% on a daily organic constant currency basis. Operating margin was strong at 16.1%, and diluted EPS finished the quarter up over 20%, inclusive of the impact of IEPA tariff refunds recognized in the period. Operating cash flow came in at $444 million, which allowed us to return a total of $341 million to Grainger shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. Lastly, we are excited to announce that our new Northwest Distribution Center in Oregon began outbound operations in July. This new technology-enabled building gives us another way to get more of the products customers need closer to where and when they need them. Overall, we're encouraged by the progress we've made across the business, and after our strong first-act performance and continuing momentum, we are increasing our outlook for the year. With that, I'll turn it over to Dee for a closer look at our financials from the quarter.

speaker
Deidra Merriwether
Senior Vice President and CFO

Thanks, DeeDee. Turning to slide seven, you can see the high-level results we had in the second quarter with total company sales of 10.3% or 13.7% on a daily organic constant currency basis, which included strong growth across high-cut solutions and endless assortment. Growth margin for the quarter was healthy at 39.5%, up 100 basis points versus the prior year period as we saw expansion in both segments and recognized a 90 basis point tailwind from IEPA tariff refunds on products directly imported by Grainger. Operating margin was 16.1% up 120 basis points year-over-year as gross margin flow through and leverage in endless assortment contributed to results. Both gross margin and operating margin benefited from our exit of the UK market. If you were to normalize for the tariff refund benefit realized in the period, operating margins were in line with our verbal guide aided by better than expected top line leverage. Overall, results were strong for the quarter and we delivered diluted EPS of $12.01, which was up over 20% versus the prior year period. Moving to segment-level results, the high-touch solution segment delivered sales growth of 11.9% on a reported basis or 11.7% on a daily constant currency basis. Results were driven by strong volume growth and healthy price contribution to revenue and also benefited from some project-based spend. From an in-market perspective, MRO market demand continued to improve in the period. For Grainger specifically, we saw broad-based acceleration across nearly all customer groups with strong contributions from manufacturing and government sectors. This was alongside outsized growth in our contractor and retail end markets, which are both benefiting from data center activities as new facilities are stood up. On profitability, gross profit margin finished the quarter at 41.8%. of 80 basis points versus the prior year. Results were driven by the benefit from IEPA tariff refunds and slightly positive mix, although mix came in less favorable than expected on a higher volume of lower margin products and project-related spend. These impacts were partially offset by private label cost hit wins and unfavorable freight as we absorbed the higher cost in the period. Price cost was roughly neutral during the quarter. On SG&A, we delivered slightly year-over-year, as strong sales and productivity were offset by continued marketing investment and higher payroll and benefits expense, including higher incentive-based compensation, given our strong top-line results. Taking all of this together, operating margin for this segment finished at 17.3%, of 70 basis points versus the prior year quarter. All told, we are pleased with the continued strength across the high-touch segment as we move into the second half of the year. Now, focusing on endless assortment segments. Sales increased 13.5% on a reported basis or 20.6% on a daily organic constant currency basis, which normalizes for the closure of our Zorro UK business and adjust for the impact of the depreciated Japanese yen. Zorro U.S. was up 18.4% on a daily basis, while Monotaro achieved 24% growth in local days and local constant currency. At a business level, Zorro saw strong growth from its core B2B customers along with higher customer retention rates as our marketing program, both targeted and efficiency, continued to improve. The team remains focused on delivering our core foundational capabilities to improve the assortment, search experience, pricing, and delivery. At Monotarl, SilverStrong will continue growth from enterprise customers coupled with solid acquisition and repeat purchase rates with small and mid-sized businesses. Additionally, Monotarl benefited from customer pre-buying of certain petroleum-related products ahead of anticipated storage shortages due to the conflict in the Middle East. This behavior has fully subsided, and our updated guide reflects slower growth in the back half of the year as this benefit moderates. On profitability, operating margins increased by 160 basis points to 11.5%, with favorability across the segment. Monetarial margins were strong at 14% of 80 basis points, and Zorro Margins improved to 7.6%, up 180 basis points, with both businesses benefiting from healthy top-line leverage. Overall, another great quarter for the Endless Assortment team. As we look to the back half of the year, I want to share a brief update on the inflationary environment. We continue to manage the business with the goal of maintaining price-cost neutrality over time. With ongoing shifts in the tariff environment, we've had to remain nimble. With this, in the second quarter, we adjusted prices to reflect the changing tariff landscape, including the rollback of IEFA tariff pricing and offsetting Section 122 tariff impacts. While we made several changes across our assortment, our May pricing actions were net neutral in total. Also in the quarter, we recognized refunds from the federal government for previously paid IEPA tariffs where Grainger was the importer of record. The majority of this benefit was recognized during the second quarter as a reduction to our cost of goods sold, with a small remainder expected to flow through over the next couple of quarters. When considering these refunds, it's important to remember that they relate only to tariffs paid directly by Grainger and represent only a small portion of the many tariff costs that we faced over the last year and a half. Importantly, these refund proceeds and the price passed on these SKUs only partially offset the costs we absorbed in 2025 related to IEBA. Separately, we continue to face inflationary pressures from rising freight and product costs due to the conflict in the Middle East. As these pressures persist, we expect to take additional pricing actions in September to help mitigate this impact. Our September pricing actions will also reflect adjustments related to the recent Section 232 tariff modifications in addition to new Section 301 tariffs, though we anticipate that these tariff-related changes will be minimal. Following our September pricing actions, the majority of known cost increases will have been addressed. And although the situation remains highly fluid, our team continues to stay focused on adhering to our two core pricing tenets, to maintain market-relevant pricing and to achieve price-cost neutrality over time. Now turning to our guides. We are raising our guidance to reflect the strong sales momentum along with the impact of tariff refunds. On the top line, this translates to expected daily organic constant currency sales growth between 11.5 and 13%, reflecting our second quarter performance and expectations for continued solid MRO market demand in the second half. Our updated operating margin range has increased versus the prior guide to 15.8% to 16.2%. This includes the tariff refund benefit, most of which was recognized in the second quarter, and improved sales leverage but is partially offset by anticipated mixed headwinds and cost timing pressures as inflation builds ahead of our September pricing round. Rounding our guide, you can see EPS is expected to be between $45.50 and $47.25, or up over 17% year-over-year at the midpoint. This represents an improvement of over $1 at the midpoint versus the prior guidance range. We've also updated our supplemental guidance in the appendix, which includes a slight increase in total company operating cash flow at the midpoint, Thank you for joining us today. and Currency Headlines. We expect operating margins will be down sequentially in the third quarter compared to the second quarter, largely driven by the lack of tariff refunds. With this, we anticipate third quarter operating margins will be in the mid 15% range for the total company. I'll now hand it back over to DG for his closing remarks.

speaker
D. Jimmy Fiersen
Chairman and CEO

Thanks, Dee. To wrap things up, we feel good about how the business is operating and we're confident in our strategy. I'm encouraged by our ability to continue growing profitably in this ever-evolving environment while staying focused on creating value over the long term. Before I turn it over to Q&A, I want to take a minute to acknowledge the news we shared yesterday that Deidra Merriwether has made the personal decision to step down to pursue another opportunity, effective September 4th, 2026. On behalf of the company, I want to thank Deidra for her many contributions to Grainger. Deidra has been a trusted advisor guiding us with deep knowledge and sound judgment during her tenure. With this transition, Laurie Thomson, VP controller and principal accounting officer, has been appointed interim CFO, effective September 5th. She will also maintain her existing controllership responsibilities. Laurie brings strong financial expertise and guidance and I'm confident in her leadership. The transition has no impact on our day-to-day operations and Deidra and Laurie will partner in a smooth transition over the next couple of weeks. We will begin our search process for the next CFO immediately. We wish you all the best in the future, and I look forward to working with Laurie in the interim. And with that, we'll open it up for Q&A.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. And at this time, we'll conduct the question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate that your line is in the question queue. You may press star 2 if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. One moment, please, while we poll for questions. And your first question comes from David Manthe with Baird. Please state your question.

speaker
David Manthe

Yeah, thank you. Good morning, DG, and Dee, thank you, and best of luck. First question is on the refunds, of course. One thing you mentioned in the slide deck, I think you said the majority of refunds are reflected in the second quarter, but you didn't say all. So I'm just wondering if there's any kind of estimate you can give us on third quarter and fourth quarter potential refund benefits there so we can anticipate those?

speaker
Deidra Merriwether
Senior Vice President and CFO

Yeah, again, the vast majority, as we noted, would be... have been approved for and or received. And so in the back half, you know, we think it's going to be fairly immaterial based upon that. And it was very hard to estimate from a quarterly perspective. So we focused mostly on what we could estimate and what we felt was probable at this time. And that's what we booked in Q2.

speaker
David Manthe

Okay. And then thinking about the You mentioned a few of these things. I know we're splitting atoms here, but could you talk about the offsetting factors that caused you to raise full-year gross margin by less than the benefit that you got from the second quarter refunds alone?

speaker
Deidra Merriwether
Senior Vice President and CFO

Sure, you're talking about kind of decomposing the guide a little bit, right, as it relates to gross margins? And so, yeah, so if you kind of really just start with, you know, where we're at, we noted that the impact in the quarter was about 90 basis points. But if you look at it on a full-year basis, the tariff refunds account for, Call it 23 basis points on the year. That was offset by what you hear us talk about, higher volume on lower gross margin products or project-based sales that we're incurring with some of our new large customers as we ramp. That offsets that, so that nets to about 15 basis points. And then we see some continued net headwinds as we go through the year, mostly related to fuel and freight, related to the crisis. And then secondly, we do expect to have less of a mixed benefit in the second half. So we expect that to have some headwinds. And so that nets that benefit down that we're receiving from the tariff refunds.

speaker
D. Jimmy Fiersen
Chairman and CEO

I would just add that I think the mixed benefits oftentimes we see, if you look historically, when we are in really hot market times, big projects come through. We've seen quite a bit of that actually from customers, and so those tend to be at lower gross margin. They're strong contribution margin, so we expect that's a big part of the change actually that we're talking about and a bit of a drag on gross margin but not on profitability overall. and then the freight. If you thought about how we managed tariffs last year, we didn't increase price immediately. We were patient with customers. We started raising them in September substantially and we got sort of price-cost neutral by January. We're actually price-cost neutral in the quarter this time, but that same pattern will play out in September. We'll start to recover some of the headwind we're seeing from freight and Middle East products.

speaker
David Manthe

Thank you. I appreciate the detail.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Your next question comes from Jacob Levinson with Milius Research. Please state your question.

speaker
Jacob Levinson
Analyst, Milius Research

Hey, good morning, everyone, and the best of luck in your new role. I appreciate your help over the last couple of years.

speaker
Deidra Merriwether
Senior Vice President and CFO

Thank you.

speaker
Jacob Levinson
Analyst, Milius Research

Maybe just following up on David's question a little bit, I'm just trying to think about maybe putting a finer point on their pricing actions, because I know there's a lot of moving pieces between product prices going up and down, and I'm sure surcharges in there as well. But can you help us understand where we're going to shake out in the third quarter and into the first quarter? Because I'd imagine you're going to be exiting the year at a bit of a higher rate maybe than where we are today.

speaker
D. Jimmy Fiersen
Chairman and CEO

Yeah, so Dee talked about the puts and takes of May, and we basically had zero price change overall for May. We had some ups and downs. What we're doing in September, we'll add about a point annually, so less than that, obviously, for the balance of the year, maybe 40 basis points or something like that. And for the whole year, we'll be around 4%. We originally said 3% to 4%. We're going to be at the high end of that, given those increases.

speaker
Jacob Levinson
Analyst, Milius Research

Okay, that's awful. And I guess it was just a matter of time before you mentioned data center as a tailwind for you folks, but I'm just trying to get a sense of the materiality of that market over time because I'm sure there's a construction phase and then after that you've got those facilities that are going to be around for a long time. So I'm not even sure how you would think about sizing that potential over time. Is that...

speaker
D. Jimmy Fiersen
Chairman and CEO

Yeah, so let me start with, it shows up in maybe strange places. If you look at our comps, retail will include data centers because some of those companies actually have retail operations, even though the data centers aren't very retail-esque. Our exposure to data centers directly is probably less than a percent. We're seeing, obviously, strong growth there. But it's having a bigger impact on the ecosystem. I think for everybody, it's probably having a bigger impact. We see it in construction, different types of construction. We maybe see it a little bit in the general strength of manufacturing. Hard to quantify, though. So the direct exposure is pretty small, but the exposure overall is probably bigger than that as far as we can tell.

speaker
Jacob Levinson
Analyst, Milius Research

Helpful color, DJ. I'll pass it on. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Your next question comes from Ryan Merkel with William Blair. Please state your question.

speaker
Ryan Merkel
Analyst, William Blair

Hey, everyone. Thanks for the questions. I want to start on gross margin for the quarter. It looks like X, the tariff refund, it was a little bit below what you guys expected. So was the surprise the fuel and the freight? And maybe you could quantify what that impact was. And then it also sounds like maybe large projects and mix was the other reason.

speaker
D. Jimmy Fiersen
Chairman and CEO

Yeah, I'd say it's more mix actually than freight, but it's a little bit of both. So both of those were the complete The other thing is, arguably, we knew the tariff refunds were coming in. We did not want to get aggressive with freight increases because that doesn't make sense competitively. So we're holding that purposely, and we'll make that up as we go through the bounce of the year. But it mixes the bigger part of it, actually, with really big projects and product sales.

speaker
Ryan Merkel
Analyst, William Blair

Interesting. Okay. Thanks for that. And then SG&A, and I'm focusing on high touch, but it didn't lever in the quarter. And it sounds like maybe incentive comp is the main reason there. So that's the first part of the question. And then should you see better SG&A leverage in the second half? It looks like that's implied in the guide, but just want to know how you're thinking about it.

speaker
D. Jimmy Fiersen
Chairman and CEO

Yeah. So any year when we get the forecast incorrect and the market's stronger than we expected, We also spent more on marketing in the quarter. We're seeing good returns on that. So those are the three SG&A elements that were higher than we would have expected to start the year. None of them are concerning, to be frank. In the back of the year, we expect some moderation in the outsized cost there, and we expect to be more in line.

speaker
Ryan Merkel
Analyst, William Blair

Got it. All right. Thanks. Best of luck, D. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Your next question comes from Chris Schneider with Morgan Stanley. Please state your question.

speaker
Chris Schneider
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Thank you. I was just hoping for maybe a little bit more color on the sequential bridge from Q1 to Q2 just to better understand some of the moving parts. I guess it was down, I guess maybe like 140 BIPs sequentially, X. If we kind of adjust out the tariff refund, if my math's right. Just kind of wondering, you know, the seasonality on that mix. Anything you could just help us as we kind of think about the recovery opportunity into the back half. Thank you.

speaker
Deidra Merriwether
Senior Vice President and CFO

Yeah, as it relates to gross margin specifically, you know, we saw normal seasonality from a gross margin perspective related to, you know, price running off. But as we kind of talked about We've had some leakage related to fuel costs, so that also was a factor from Q1 gross margin to Q2, as well as additional private label inventory costs. We've had, as DG kind of articulated and as we talked about on the call, a lot of moving pieces as it relates to that, so that was also a negative impact. As you noted, you know, the tariff refunds were not known, you know, at the time. And so, you know, that was a benefit, but then that was offset by MIX. And so that gets us down, you know, about 50 basis points, Q1 to Q2.

speaker
Chris Schneider
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Thank you. I appreciate that. And then just any color, and I don't know if you talked about this when you were talking about, you know, some of the Q3 moving parts. But is there any color on the Q3 versus Q4 gross margin? You know, just as we kind of think through, I guess Q3 is behind on price-cost, Q4 catches up. I would imagine some of the mixed headwinds get better as the year goes on, just given, you know, the hard-to-predict nature of that. But I would appreciate any color on just kind of that back half gross margin. Thank you.

speaker
Deidra Merriwether
Senior Vice President and CFO

Yeah, you know, as we talked last time, we expect the U-shape to continue, you know, with our gross margins. And don't forget, you know, we won't have the tariff impact in Q3 that we have now. And then we'll pick up and have stronger supplier rebates as we end the year. Thank you. Goodbye. Yeah.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Your next question comes from Christopher Glenn with Oppenheimer & Company. Please state your question.

speaker
Christopher Glenn
Analyst, Oppenheimer & Company

Thanks. Good morning, everybody. I was wondering about how the private label headwinds in the cost of goods is phasing here. It's sort of a steady state from here. I know that there was an adverse bridge in the second quarter from the first. Just curious how long that lasts and if that starts to phase better later in the year.

speaker
D. Jimmy Fiersen
Chairman and CEO

Yeah, so it'll still be a headwind. It won't be much different than it was in the first quarter, first half of the year. The issue is, of course, to some degree, private brand has been hit by tariffs, but it's also compressed some of the cost. I would say we've launched the Grainger brand, and that has shown good growth. And so we're excited about what we're seeing in terms of private brand going forward with many of our products converting to Grainger branded items.

speaker
Christopher Glenn
Analyst, Oppenheimer & Company

DJ, could you spend a little bit more minute, another minute about that, like what private label brands are being retired? Is this more of a margin play or an incremental growth play?

speaker
D. Jimmy Fiersen
Chairman and CEO

Yeah, it's probably more of an incremental growth play, to be fair, but we had 14 brands previously that were sort of historical, built over decades and decades and decades, I guess. Some of them didn't have customer appeal or didn't even know that they were Grainger-related. And so brands like Dayton will certainly remain, but a lot of the other categories will shift to Grainger. We'll probably end up with four or five brands at the end of this process, but we're well into that shift at this point.

speaker
Christopher Glenn
Analyst, Oppenheimer & Company

Okay, great. And what's just the latest on the cadence of supplier price increase announcements of those stabilizers?

speaker
D. Jimmy Fiersen
Chairman and CEO

Yeah, I mean, those are consistent. And we'll start to get an idea about what the price requests are for next year now. So that is coming in. So we'll start to have a little more visibility. We won't talk about that until February. But there hasn't been huge changes. There's been certain categories where we've seen significant increases that are kind of Middle East-centric in terms of where the raw materials come from. But generally, it's been pretty stable the last couple of months.

speaker
Christopher Glenn
Analyst, Oppenheimer & Company

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Your next question comes from Dean Dre with RBC Capital Markets. Please state your question.

speaker
Dean Dre
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Thank you. Good morning, everyone, and I'll add my best wishes to Dee.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thanks.

speaker
Dean Dre
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Thank you. Hey, can we just circle back on the pre-buy impact for Zorro and Monotauro? Can you size it for us? And to be fair, you flagged this last quarter, so it shouldn't be surprising. Maybe the magnitude might be different, but just how did it play out? And did you see any pre-buy elsewhere, you know, let's say in the U.S.?

speaker
D. Jimmy Fiersen
Chairman and CEO

Yeah, no, we did not see any pre-buy in the U.S. We did not see any pre-buy for Zorro. It's all Monotauro. Given their reliance on the Middle East, there was a run on mostly PPE, natural go-up type products. It's roughly 45 million U.S. That was the total magnitude. You never know with a pre-buy how much of that actually plays out going forward. People can continue to buy even after pre-buying. You just never know. That's sort of the rough magnitude.

speaker
Dean Dre
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Good. But were you able to size it?

speaker
D. Jimmy Fiersen
Chairman and CEO

$45 million.

speaker
Dean Dre
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

$45. Okay, good. And then the second question, can you expand a bit on the project versus MRO? I mean, when we talk to investors, the differentiation for Grainger is you're primarily an MRO-focused model. When and how do the projects come up? Could you ever enter projects in a more deliberate way? And, you know, it would end up being a margin drag, we know, but increased volume. And just, like, what are the dynamics there and how you look at the project opportunity?

speaker
D. Jimmy Fiersen
Chairman and CEO

Yeah, so the way it typically plays out is if there's a customer that we have a relationship and we're actually providing them, and they have a product project, they will ask for help, and sometimes we provide that help. Like I mentioned, in times when there's a lot of activity in the market like there is right now, demand's strong, and particularly around data centers, we've seen significant projects and project business come through. And so it's been a tailwind on revenue. It's been a headwind on gross margin. That typically doesn't sustain at these levels. I would not say we are going to shift to be a project-focused company. but we do serve customers in a lot of different ways and we're always doing projects for customers. This year it's just a bit more given some of the market dynamics.

speaker
Dean Dre
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

That's really helpful. Thank you.

speaker
D. Jimmy Fiersen
Chairman and CEO

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Your next question comes from Guy Hardwick with Barclays. Please state your question.

speaker
Guy Hardwick
Analyst, Barclays

Hi, guys. Good morning. I wanted to maybe expand a little bit more about the impact of large projects. I mean, does that give you No, yeah, you got it right. They're diluted to gross margin, but they're not diluted to operating margin.

speaker
D. Jimmy Fiersen
Chairman and CEO

Part of the reason we're raising revenue, and I think maybe a lot of people are raising revenue right now, is because of the project spend and just the race to get a lot of data centers up and get the electrical infrastructure built. And so we are certainly seeing a part of that. Like I said, it's not really our focus, but we do support our customers in those efforts. It will be a tailwind from revenue for the remainder of this year, and I would argue maybe further than that, given the cycle that this is going to take.

speaker
Guy Hardwick
Analyst, Barclays

And Deidra, it looks like the full-year guidance implies maybe a 6% increase in SG&A, which kind of implies maybe 5% growth in the second half. What are the risks to achieving that 5%? I know you have an easy comparative to Q4 because you have some unusual healthcare expenses, but maybe you could expand a little bit on the dynamics of the second half OPEX trends.

speaker
Deidra Merriwether
Senior Vice President and CFO

I would say there's two things that we feel really comfortable with the guide, one of which you noted. The other one is, as you recall, we also had some slowdown in government business last year, and so we don't expect that because of the shutdown. We don't expect that to happen again this year or have no view of that in our guide, and so that will also help us from a leverage perspective.

speaker
Chris Dankert
Analyst, DA Davidson

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you, and a reminder to the audience to ask a question, press star 1 to remove yourself from the queue. Press star 2. Your next question comes from Chris Dankert with DA Davidson. Please state your question.

speaker
Chris Dankert
Analyst, DA Davidson

Hey, morning. Thanks for taking the question. I guess the point of clarification, Dean, apologies if I missed it, but on the third quarter guidance from a top-line perspective, can you just give us a sense for how July was trending on a preliminary basis versus that growth rate?

speaker
Deidra Merriwether
Senior Vice President and CFO

Yeah, we kind of noted on the call that we expect July to be up 13% and then on the quarter be up around 12%. Some of that is normal seasonality as we flow through the particular quarter on the top line basis, but we expect Q3 to still continue our strong performance. and that's on a daily cost and currency basis with the numbers that I just provided to you.

speaker
Chris Dankert
Analyst, DA Davidson

Thanks for the clarification there. I appreciate it. And then just on, if we could move to Zorro, the SKU optimization that we did about a year ago now, notice the SKU count is kind of drifting back up. Are we continue to prune at the same time? Are we trying to keep that assortment optimized or is this kind of just maybe just kind of give us some color on the SKU count over at Zorro?

speaker
D. Jimmy Fiersen
Chairman and CEO

Yeah, so a lot of the SKU pruning was around items that just never sold and weren't going to sell and that were not really core to what we're trying to do. We are in a constant pruning period now. We're growing SKU count not nearly as fast as we have at times in the past, but but we expect it to continue to grow for the next couple of years but just more modestly.

speaker
Chris Dankert
Analyst, DA Davidson

Understood. Well, thanks for the color and best of luck, Dee.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Tommy Mull with Stevens. Please state your question.

speaker
Tommy Mull
Analyst, Stevens

Good morning and thank you for taking my questions. Hi, Tommy. Deejee, I wanted to ask about some of the September pricing specifically around freight and fuel. Should we think of this as part of the regular cadence of negotiations you have with customers, or are these surcharges that may require some kind of force majeure discussion here?

speaker
D. Jimmy Fiersen
Chairman and CEO

These are mostly going to be normal course discussions, price increases with our customers. It's not going to be a force majeure.

speaker
Tommy Mull
Analyst, Stevens

Okay. And then on the competitive environment and share, noted we're not going to split hairs on how many bips of share in any given quarter, but I did just want to circle back in light of some of the strong top-line performance. Any anecdotes or update you could give us on how you think your share is trending, how the competitive marketplace has been, particularly on the high-touch side? Thank you.

speaker
D. Jimmy Fiersen
Chairman and CEO

Yeah, I mean, we think that we've gotten benefit on the top line from pricing from the market demand and from share gain, and we think All of those have been reasonably strong year-to-date. We would expect that to continue through the balance of the year. The market has turned from negative for several years to clearly positive and maybe low single digits, but maybe not so low single digits now. It's almost like you're trying to figure out where the puck's moving, but certainly it has gotten stronger as the year has gone along.

speaker
Tommy Mull
Analyst, Stevens

Thank you for the insight. I'll turn it back. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from Connor Cerniglia with Bernstein. Please state your question.

speaker
Connor Cerniglia
Analyst, Bernstein

Great. Thank you for having me. Earlier in the call, you mentioned that the IEPA tariff was a small impact, I guess, on the total tariff cost you've experienced. Is that more of a hint that you could see more refunds in the future beyond the $43 million you mentioned this quarter and I guess the next two quarters? I know it's probably pretty difficult to size, but do you expect more refunds from IEPA going forward?

speaker
D. Jimmy Fiersen
Chairman and CEO

No, no. We think that that was more just a point to make the point that the overall tariff increases were much larger than that that we've taken. So it's a small portion of the total that we took, but we don't think there's going to be a lot more refunds.

speaker
Connor Cerniglia
Analyst, Bernstein

Okay, helpful. And I guess switching back to data center large capital projects, have you all tried to attempt to size the contribution from a volume perspective from these large projects? Is it too small to size it or kind of any color or refine points on all the actual contribution of volumes for data centers could be helpful? Thank you.

speaker
D. Jimmy Fiersen
Chairman and CEO

Yeah, I mean, we think the project spend this year has been increased our growth rate about 90 basis points. Thank you so much.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you, and there are no further questions at this time, so I'll hand the floor back to D.G. Macpherson for closing remarks. Thank you.

speaker
D. Jimmy Fiersen
Chairman and CEO

All right, thank you. I appreciate everybody being on the call. I'll just reiterate, you know, we think that we are taking the right actions and making the right moves to continue to grow, gain share, grow profitably. There's always puts and takes in the external environment, but generally we try to focus on the long term. We continue to invest in creating better solutions for customers, and that's going to be our focus. And I'd like to thank Dee once again for her time and wish her luck. And I hope everybody has a great rest of this hour. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. This concludes today's call. All parties may disconnect. Have a good day.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

-

-