5/1/2025

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I'd now like to turn the call over to your host, Anuri Naughton, Senior Director of Investor Relations for the Hershey Company. Thank you. You may begin.

speaker
Anuri Naughton
Senior Director of Investor Relations

Thank you, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us today for the Hershey Company's first quarter 2025 earnings Q&A session. I hope everyone has had the chance to read our press release and listen to our pre-recorded management remarks, both of which are available on our website. In addition, we have posted a transcript of the pre-recorded remarks. At the conclusion of today's live Q&A session, we will also post a transcript and audio replay of this call. Please note that during today's Q&A session, we may make forward-looking statements that are subject to various risks and uncertainties. These statements, including expectations and assumptions regarding the company's future operations and financials. Actual results could differ materially from those projected. The company undertakes no obligation to update these statements based on subsequent events. A detailed listing of such risks and uncertainties can be found in today's press release and the company's SEC filing. Finally, please note that we may refer to certain non-GAAP financial investors that we believe provide useful information for investors. The presentation of this information is not intended to be considered in isolation or as a substitute for the financial information presented in accordance with GAAP. Reconciliations for the GAAP results are included in this morning's press release. Joining me today are Hershey's Chairman and CEO, Michelle Buck, and Hershey's Senior Vice President and CFO, Steve Boskell. With that, I will turn it over to the operator for the press release.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Once again, as a reminder, it's Star 1 to join the question queue. We ask that you please ask one question and one follow-up. Our first question comes from the line of Ken Goldman with J.P. Morgan. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Ken Goldman

Hi. Thank you. And I appreciate the help on your 2Q tariff expense. Just, you know, appreciating the fluidity of the situation and that you're taking some, you know, mitigating actions, including trying to get an exemption. Is there a rough way for investors to think about the risk ahead if an exemption doesn't immediately come through? And I guess I'm trying to quantify what might not be currently quantifiable, but I guess any help in thinking about the level of risk in 3Q and 4Q, you know, might help to diminish some of the uncertainty on the stock.

speaker
Steve Boskell
Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Do you want to take that one? You bet. Thanks for the question, Ken. Yeah, so for Q2, I think we have enough clarity to share that 15 to 20, as you'd expect. We've got a lot of inventories, so that mitigates some of the impact for Q2. As we look to the back half, as you said, I'll start by saying it changes constantly, and that's part of the reason for not sharing it in the release. But if we look at the unmitigated impact for Q3 and Q4, and, of course, we are going to mitigate. We'll talk more about that in a minute. But the unmitigated impact could be up to $100 million per quarter, for quarter three and quarter four. If you break that down, two-thirds of it are either COCO or the Canadian retaliatory tariffs. And those are the two areas where, as you can imagine, we've got the most effort focused on influencing government action, using every lever at our disposal to get those tariffs changed, particularly with respect to COCO. But that's the impact of unmitigated. And as we've talked about in the past, that we're going to use a sign from the lobbying and the influencing and so forth, we're going to use every lever in the toolbox for whatever amount of tariffs remain as we go forward in the back half of the year. And we'll be in a position to share more specifics about those actions as we kind of get to the mid-year mark. But as we've said before, all of the levers are on the table as we look at mitigating both COCO and that incremental tariff component.

speaker
Michelle Buck
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, and can I just add, and all that work is well underway, exploring every level. Productivity, pricing, sourcing, manufacturing changes, all of that.

speaker
Ken Goldman

Got it. Okay, that's very clear. Thank you. And then a quick follow-up. You said to expect 2Q EPS to decline by less than 1Q, you know, just on the Easter season timing and some ERP reversals. 1Q was down, you know, obviously pretty heavily, over 30%. But the streets modeling 2Q down less than 2%. Again, I know there's some uncertainty here, but how would you like us to think about the magnitude of that decline, just in light of some of the tailwinds and headwinds you mentioned?

speaker
Steve Boskell
Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, so I'll give you a couple things. In total for the first half, we expect ETFs to be down about 30%. And so if you kind of take the full year guide and down mid-30s, you know, also implies the back half probably down about 40%. If we go a little bit deeper on the second quarter, as you mentioned, you know, the net sales side will be very strong with the long Easter, the last of the deload last year with the ERP change. For the second quarter, we expect gross margin to be down about 700 basis points. And that includes that small tariff component that I mentioned earlier. And we also expect SG&A dollars will be up meaningfully. And part of that is Last year, we didn't spend much on marketing and so on as we came out of the ERP transformation. So you can expect that this year we'll have quite high team year-over-year SG&A growth in the second quarter, just reflecting that bigger lap. So gross margin was probably the biggest change relative to the Q2 outlook. And as you mentioned, there's some noise there with the new ERP system and basically how we manage commodity costs to the P&L across the quarters. But on a full-year basis, it has no impact.

speaker
Easter

Thanks so much. I appreciate it. You bet.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Andrew Lazar with Barclays. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Andrew Lazar

Great. Thanks so much. Last quarter in the prepared remarks, you mentioned an outlook for balanced top and bottom line growth in 26. And on the call last quarter, I think you mentioned an expectation for earnings growth next year, even at current COCO levels. In today's prepared remarks, you do mention some actions that you'll take next year, but don't go as far as to discuss earnings next year. And I'm just curious if your thinking on that front has changed.

speaker
Steve Boskell
Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, I would say our thinking hasn't changed. We still see a path to earnings growth next year, even with tariffs, as we currently understand. And now I will say, you know, the next breath, that path is narrower. It's more challenging, and it's going to point to the importance of the mitigations the actions that we're going to take as we get further into this year. But we still see a path to earnings growth next year and that balanced growth formula. Got it.

speaker
Andrew Lazar

Got it. Okay. Thank you for that. And then, you know, I know your pricing actions this year have been a bit more nuanced, right, in an effort to sort of gain some incremental shelf placements, maybe especially in the instant consumable space. And I'm curious if you're seeing any benefits there as of yet. And if so, you know, how do you, I guess, or how should we think about the progress you expect on market share as a result of that, specifically in CMG in the coming quarters? Thank you.

speaker
Michelle Buck
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Sure. So, Andrew, thanks for the question. I guess a couple components of that. First of all, if we think about instant consumable, you know, we have seen already some improvements in trips in C-Store. So, January and February were the worst months. Then we started to see a little bit of moderation. In April, we started to see some green shoots on our instant consumable business as we started to see some signs of incremental merch placement that are having an impact. And as we've said, more of that to come as we approach the back half of the year. We have visibility to some incremental programming as we look forward into the summer and fall. And we also, of course, know that we have very strong, robust innovation that will really help to drive the business. So while we haven't built into our numbers any other further potential upsides, we do think as the consumer continues to be more pressured and air travel pulls back, we will likely see some increase in car travel, which could benefit C-Store, though we haven't built that in. As we look at market share, yeah, we're very pleased with where we are on a year-to-date basis. We had anticipated all along that Q1 would be a little bit softer, Q2 stronger, given the shift of Easter. We're really pleased that our year-to-date share is now positive, as we've captured that positivity of the later Easter. And we continue to expect share to be neutral to up in the second half, driven by our continued outperformance in sweeps, where we're really pleased with the momentum we've got there. Our business was up 10%, up 100 basis points in share. And then we've seen continued strength in seasons, and we anticipate continued improvement in the trends in chocolate and refreshment given the programming to come.

speaker
Easter

Thanks so much.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Max Gumport with BNP Paribas. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Max Gumport

Thanks for the question. There might be some rounding involved with this question, but at the midpoint, your guidance seems to apply that pre-considering tariffs, your expectation for EBIT has gone up modestly. So if that's correct, just any factors you're seeing that have made you a bit more optimistic on the base business, or really is there just some rounding going on in terms of what we might be seeing in the guidance? Thanks very much.

speaker
Steve Boskell
Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, thanks for the question, Max. It is really rounding. You know, fundamentally, we're still aligned with the outlook for the change.

speaker
Max Gumport

Great. And then on the U.S. consumer and snacking pressure in particular, so the prepared remarks had comments about the softening consumer sentiment and value-seeking behaviors you're seeing, and it sounds like that's really what you would attribute the weakness in snacking that we're currently seeing. But I'm wondering if you're also seeing any impact from changing consumer preferences and healthier eating. I think those are the types of dynamics that have helped inform some of your recent M&A actions. I'd be curious to get more color on what you're seeing on that front. Thanks very much.

speaker
Michelle Buck
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, so let me start by saying yes. Overall, certainly we're seeing elite consumer, consumer confidence down. Fortunately, we aren't really seeing that impact show up in our categories. CMG has held up incredibly well. Part of that is, of course, chocolate in particular plays a very important emotional role in people's lives, the connectivity they have to the brands, especially in troubled times, and especially in our season business. As we look at Salty, certainly the business has held up really well relative to it being premium and permissible. And we've also been really very pleased to see that elasticities have held up really well in the category. On a year-to-date basis, everyday chocolate pricing is up 8%. Volume is down 4.5%. So, we think that's really another good indicator of the category holding up incredibly well.

speaker
Easter

Great. Thanks very much. I'll pass it on.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of David Palmer with Evercore ISI. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
David Palmer

Thanks. Good morning. It looks like seasonal chocolate's going to be strong in the first half as you had expected. I wonder, you know, it looks like you have bigger plans for everyday chocolate heading into the second half. I think you mentioned that you expect improvement there. Do you think you can get to growth in your non-seasonal chocolate business in the second half?

speaker
Michelle Buck
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Yes, we are feeling good based on the plans that we have that that is going to come through. We've mentioned before very strong innovation that we haven't yet announced in the back half of the year that we think is going to be certainly a key driver. We have and are expecting low single digit growth in everyday TMG.

speaker
David Palmer

That's great. And then on non-chocolate or sweets, you're doing really well there. I'm sure, you know, maybe now you wish you were bigger in that category at this very moment, but I wonder how you're thinking about that strategically. Is that category having a moment with perhaps some new forms out there really driving growth for you and, and, and you're gaining a lot of share or, or, you know, maybe do you think this is, this is a platform that has legs like long-term that this isn't just a moment where you're getting some, some hits with forms, but rather this is a category that should outperform chocolate over the long-term and I'll pass it on.

speaker
Michelle Buck
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Yep. So I absolutely believe that this is not just a moment in time on sweets. It has long-term growth potential. Some of what we're seeing is a strong interest in consumers and in their palates for these types of products. Some components of that are generational and demographic, as we see younger consumers and also young diverse families being big consumers of this segment. And I think we've also seen in this segment the power of great innovation and really creating growth. whether it's the new brands that we've put in the marketplace like Shaq, new forms like JR Ropes or Freestride, and we have further plans to continue to grow and innovate there.

speaker
Easter

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Robert Moscow with TD Cowan. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Robert Moscow

Hi, thanks. You know, I saw the news about the ribbon cutting at the Reese's chocolate processing facility, and I know that you're now at the tail end of your billion dollar expansion plan for chocolate expanding capacity. But Michelle, you know, with Cocoa Futures really stubbornly high and a weaker consumer environment, I would imagine the volume outlook for chocolate must be lower than what was originally expected a few years ago when the capacity expansion started. So, so forgive me if you've talked about this before, but, but if you and Steve could, could help us square those two things, like if, if the plan was say to expand capacity on chocolate by 10%, but volume is, you know, it's gotta be lower than what you thought. Um, how, how do you, uh, still make that capacity expansion work for you, uh, financially?

speaker
Michelle Buck
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Yep. So this new plan really allows us to be much more agile and gives us flexibility across the network. And what we are producing at this plant is chocolate paste, which gives us stronger control over our supply chain and more vertical integration. So, you know, we came into COVID capacity constrained, and as you know, we had several periods of time where we weren't able to meet demand, especially in seasons. And the billion-dollar investment really helped to get us caught up. And we're already seeing that benefit show up in seasons where our growth has been significantly higher because we've really been able to capture some of that. And that's what's been able to gain share every season for the last eight. And also on REITs, that's where we were most underdeveloped or underleveraged on capacity. We're now able to invest for even bigger innovation. Okay.

speaker
Easter

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Jim Solera with Stevens, Inc. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Jim Solera

Thanks for taking our question. I wanted to maybe drill down on something that we've been hearing recently from HHS in talking about potentially putting some restrictions on what people can buy with SNAP dollars. It's a two-part question. One, are you able to quantify what percentage of your sales are purchased with SNAP dollars? And then do you have a sense for how wide ranging some of those restrictions might be? Because it seems like the administration's focus is really around, you know, artificial ingredients or highly processed food. And if I just think about the ingredients in Hershey's Kiss or a milk chocolate bar, there really aren't that many. And so while it might fall under, you know, candy, it might still be included given that it's basically natural. Do you have any thoughts on there? And if you could quantify, you know, what the potential impact that might be. Thank you.

speaker
Michelle Buck
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, absolutely. So first of all, we're watching how the implementation plays out to get, you know, full clarity on exactly how it will work. But based on our current understanding, we don't anticipate a material impact to our business. First of all, we don't over-index. to SNAP relative to the category of food in general. In fact, only about 2% of SNAP purchases are candy, which is well below many other categories like soda, salty snacks, desserts. And so we see pretty similar buying patterns between SNAP and non-SNAP households. And certainly in SALTI, our portfolio is premium and permissible, so we don't anticipate that while the overall category may have an impact, we don't think that that will impact us. And as it relates to kind of the broader, your question around natural ingredients and kind of the MAHA components of all of this, you know, our highest priority is always around safety and quality of our products. proactively tried to stay ahead of where regulation might be headed. And we've been ahead of some of the changes that have been needed, like propylparaben, that ban in California. We were ahead of red dye number three. So we've had work underway on natural coloring for quite some time. Chocolate should be less impacted. You're correct if you look at the ingredient labels. A lot of our products really are pretty simple, natural ingredients. some of the areas that might be impacted by this are mostly in the sweets portfolio.

speaker
Jim Solera

Okay, great. And then maybe just as a follow-up to that, in your conversations with your retail partners, do you get a sense that when they're putting together the planograms, that they kind of have an eye towards maybe favoring products that would broadly fall under kind of snack food, but have less exposure to artificial ingredients or things like that? And could that potentially be a benefit as we think about, you know, shelf resets as we move into the back half of the year?

speaker
Michelle Buck
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

And I think, you know, it could be. I think they're always going to look at what is going to have the highest velocity and make their shelves as productive as possible. You know, perhaps some of it could be can every manufacturer move as quickly as needed to to be on top of the changes? But they will always focus on what consumers want. And we know that the importance of focusing on health and wellness and functionality as well as the value of indulgence will continue.

speaker
Easter

Great. Thank you. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Peter Galbo with Bank of America. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Peter Galbo

Hey, good morning, Michelle and Steve. Thanks for the questions. I just wanted to circle back actually on Ken Goldman's initial question around kind of the tariff thinking. And Michelle, maybe just even from reading in the prepared remarks, it reads to me like maybe there was a big internal debate as to whether to include the impact of tariff for full year in the guidance versus just for 2Q. So just maybe help us understand the thinking a bit more around what the internal discussion was on, you know, just 2Q versus the full year and kind of how you came to this conclusion relative maybe to some of your peers who have put it in for the full year.

speaker
Michelle Buck
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

I wouldn't say that we had, we certainly had discussion, but I wouldn't say we had massive internal debate. Steve, maybe you want to talk about it a little bit more.

speaker
Steve Boskell
Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, no big debate. And as I said, peers have done a lot of different things. So there isn't one formula for how this has been handled. I think the challenge in discussing, A, we always want to be transparent. And so, you know, that goes to the answer to Ken's question, visibility to everything we know at the moment, knowing that it's subject to a lot of change, particularly on this front. And the second piece was the mitigation activity. You know, it's one thing to talk about an unmitigated tariff impact. It's another to talk about a, you know, fully, you know, mitigate, work with our mitigation actions in here and contributing. And so without those two pieces matched up, it's sort of a partial story. And so we want to give you the pieces as best as we know them. And as we get to the mid-year mark, we'll talk more about that mitigation and probably have a better view of the net impact as we go forward. And then in the meantime, hopefully some legislative action will make that unmitigated impact fall lower anymore.

speaker
Peter Galbo

Got it. Okay. No, thanks for that. That's helpful. And Steve, I think in your prepared remarks, there's some moving pieces just as we try and think about revenue phasing, maybe more so in the back half of the year, but I think if I read it correctly, you know, snacks kind of on an unimpacted basis exited at a pretty healthy rate. I know there's some wonkiness in the comps on confectionery and 2Q, but maybe you can just help us on the revenue phasing in the back half of the year. Thanks very much.

speaker
Steve Boskell
Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

I don't think there's anything surprising in the back half of the year relative to the profile on the top line.

speaker
Anuri Naughton
Senior Director of Investor Relations

Should be it. in line with the long-term low of 2 to 4% across the quarters in the third and fourth quarter. And, you know, in line relatively across the segments as well.

speaker
Easter

Okay. Thanks very much. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Alexia Howard with Bernstein. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Alexia Howard

Good morning, everyone.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Morning.

speaker
Alexia Howard

Good morning. Hi, so can I ask first of all about the more precise timing of this big innovation in Reese's in the fall? When is that due to happen? And you mentioned that you expect it to be the biggest innovation ever on the brand. I mean, that's a pretty big statement. You probably can't tell us what the innovation is, but what is it that gives you confidence that it might be the biggest innovation ever for that brand?

speaker
Michelle Buck
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Well, we are consistently innovating and investing in our iconic brands specifically to give consumers what they're asking for. And sometimes they know what they want. Other times we're trying to provide them things that we think they will want, but this innovation is something that they've been asking for for quite a long time. So, and based on all of our early planning around that, all of the research that we've done gives us a pretty good feel for size of innovation um that's what gives us the confidence uh relative to the size relative to timing um stay tuned it will be hitting in the fall and uh we're really anxious for all about it and try it great thank you and then just a follow-up on the um the additives question uh i know for example you have red number 40 in twizzlers still

speaker
Alexia Howard

can you quantify what proportion of your overall sales still have additives in them that would be on the list that's going to be, um, I guess, banned in 2027?

speaker
Michelle Buck
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, it's largely going to be our suites portfolio. Um, some refreshments, um, and then anything else that's coded, um, So if you think about Cadbury eggs, for example, fall into that bucket. So that should give you a feel for the size. And then relative to, you know, the ingredients, obviously, it's a relatively small total percent of our ingredient costs. But we feel good about our ability to be compliant based on all of the work that we have under way already.

speaker
Alexia Howard

Great. Thank you very much.

speaker
Easter

I'll pass it on.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Michael Avery with Piper Sandler. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Michael Avery

Thank you. Good morning. Good morning. As you talk about readying some of the options, just, you know, at least contingency or hypothetical planning for 2026, you called out pricing, price pipe architecture. demand shaping and sourcing strategies. The price pack architecture and pricing are fairly straightforward. Can you just maybe give a sense of what some of the demand shaping and sourcing strategy changes might look like?

speaker
Michelle Buck
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, certainly. So, we really think about some of the mixed opportunities. So, as we're looking at demand shaping, often inflation of cocoa certainly we have options across our portfolio in sweets in salty in parts of the portfolio that are less cocoa intensive and so those are you know there's some places that that we focus from a sourcing perspective we are already doing work in that area for competitive reasons we don't want to get in too much detail in that area but we have options in terms of how we source that also help us to gain advantage in price, basically generate savings.

speaker
Michael Avery

Okay, that's helpful. And just on salty snacks, you've announced the lesser evil deal. That would add a little bit to your scale. In the commentary after the the Mars-Kelanova deal was announced, the Mars CEO pointed to one of the benefits being diluting their exposure to cocoa by adding a large salty snacks portfolio. That's from a company that also already has a pet food business. It would seem like some of that logic could apply to your case as well. Do you have sort of any scale ambitions, maybe almost for their own sake, in salty? I know you laid out some of your M&A criteria at Cagney. that touched at least a little bit on that. But how do you think about just, you know, how that business might evolve?

speaker
Michelle Buck
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Sure. So, you know, this really goes back to back in 2017 when we laid out our vision to be a snacking powerhouse. And really what that was all about is how do we really leverage our core capabilities to maximize incremental, get to incremental consumers and incremental snacking occasions? And we do that really by leveraging white spaces that we think are on trend with consumers. So we have a large, you know, chocolate business. We love our chocolate business and we want to continue to grow that. But we also know that if we get into white spaces like sweets, better for you and salty, it adds incremental consumers and occasions. So that's really the role and what it plays. Certainly within that, as we've said, we're always looking for really great brands that we think can be sustainable and grow over time that are high margin and high growth. We feel really good that we have a good track record of finding those given the scale that we've achieved with Skinny Pop, with Dots. And we like that Lesser Evil specifically is very focused on new benefits. ingredient-focused snackers, and it extends our reach with younger, more diverse demographics, especially young families, which opens up a whole new range of opportunity for us. So we see it being a better-for-you platform that can really be extended and scaled across categories and forms.

speaker
Easter

Okay, great. Thanks so much.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Megan Clapp with Morgan Stanley. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Michelle

Hey, good morning. Thanks for squeezing me in. I guess, you know, I wanted, if we were to put tariffs aside, maybe a follow-up to Andrew's question earlier in 2026, I just maybe wanted to take your pulse on, you know, whether or not if we put tariffs aside, you would feel, you would have felt better about the ability to grow EPS next year. And I guess I ask because In the prepared remarks, you know, COCO is still high, but it has retreated, and it doesn't seem like your stance on the outlook for COCO prices has changed at all. And then, Michelle, I think you did mention elasticities have been a lot better than the minus one you were assuming in the guide. So, you know, if we were to put tariffs aside, again, I know it's challenging and who knows what will happen, but I guess in the base business, you know, do you feel better about the ability to grow earnings in the base business absent tariffs?

speaker
Steve Boskell
Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

It definitely feels better without tariffs. I'll say that equivalently. Do we still see a path, though, and feel a level of confidence about a path to earnings growth if we take tariffs to the side with the base business? I think yes, based on where COCO prices are today. And again, that's going to require some aggressive action. As Michelle said earlier, those actions are teed up. We'll talk more about that as we get further into the year. But from a base business standpoint, our view hasn't changed for 2016.

speaker
Michelle

Okay, that's helpful. Thanks. And then maybe just a quick follow-up. As it relates to tariffs, the $100 million that you cited unmitigated, does that assume that we, for COCO in particular, does that assume we stay at that 10% paused tariff rate for, you know, some of the countries were a bit higher initially? So can you just clarify whether that would assume we stay at the 10% rate?

speaker
Easter

Yes, it does.

speaker
Michelle

Okay, great. Thank you so much.

speaker
Easter

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Tom Palmer with Citi. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Tom Palmer

Good morning, and thanks for the question. Steve, if I heard right, I think when you were answering Ken's question about tariffs, you noted that two-thirds of the exposure is cocoa in Canada. And some color on the other areas where you would see impact and to what extent you think there could be, I guess, exemptions or whatnot for those types of items? Because it sounded like the exemption discussion was more around cocoa and perhaps Canada. Thanks.

speaker
Steve Boskell
Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, you bet. So we have other raw material inputs that are imported aside from cocoa. China for us is not huge, but China is still in that calculation as well. And so those by comparison to cocoa in Canada are meaningful, but so much smaller. So I said we're looking at exemptions everywhere we can, but focusing on the most impactful pieces first. But we do have raw materials that come from other countries as well that also still have some tariff impact.

speaker
spk07

And they're not off the table from mitigation. It's just we're looking first where the biggest impacts are.

speaker
Tom Palmer

Okay. Thanks for that. In salty snacks, there was a, in the repair marks, a note about a 5 to 6 percent volume headwind from fewer shipper days, excuse me, fewer shipping days, and also a planned reduction in private label. I don't think that private label commentary had been in previous, so is this a new headwind to think about in 2025, and just any framing of the impact, just given the shipping date timing, it seems like this could be maybe approaching a mid-single-digit headwind, at least in one queue. Thanks.

speaker
Steve Boskell
Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, we do some some private label manufacturing in the popcorn space, but it's sort of subject to what we're doing in Skinny Pop and the branded business. And so to the extent that business ended for the first quarter, it continues to grow strongly. Then by design, we do less private label and redirect that manufacturing towards our branded product. So it's part of the longer-term strategy as that business grows. So it's a headwind of a sort, but it's also a reflection of the

speaker
Easter

course something is growing. Okay, thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Leah Jordan with Goldman Sachs. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Easter

Good morning. Thank you for fitting me in. I just wanted to ask about international as it came in ahead of your expectations. When we talked last quarter, it seemed like that competition was increasing in several regions, and we had heard recently that not all players were passing along costs. So just seeing if you could provide an update on the competitive environment there, and has anything notably changed?

speaker
Michelle Buck
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, as we look at our business, certainly we've seen strong growth on races, which has been a key investment for us in those international markets. So we're seeing strength behind media activation and distribution wins in particular. We also saw strong organic sales growth in Brazil, where we were up double digits behind a strong Easter and innovation. And the competitive environment there really did tend to normalize. So that was, you know, it's certainly still very competitive, but it, you know, it normalized. It didn't get worse. And so I think that helped some of the strengths that we've seen in some of the markets. And we also just performed really well. We had share gains in India and Brazil and our Mexico spicy business.

speaker
Easter

Great. Thank you. And just one follow-up. In the prepared remarks, you also noted that you're not planning any buybacks for this year. I know it's very dynamic. We've talked about a number of things around tariffs and your mitigation efforts. But Should the year play out better than expected and the tariff headwind goes away, what's your appetite for reengaging on buybacks versus other investments in the business as you think about capital allocation this year?

speaker
Steve Boskell
Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Sure. I mean, buybacks remains in our capital allocation philosophy. It's good because it puts tension on all of the other choices. So from a long-term capital allocation strategy, no change in terms of the role it plays. In the near term, you know, M&A is episodic. We have opportunities when they come up. It's not always that frequent. And so this year we've put the focus on that. But going forward, as we look more broadly, long-term share or purchase will continue to play a role. And if I can go back, I just mentioned Tom's question on a private label. I said Skinny Pop capacity, but it's actually Dots capacity in pretzels that we were talking about there. So my apologies.

speaker
Easter

Yeah, that's enabling the private label deprivatization. That's right.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Chris Carey with Wells Fargo Securities. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Chris Carey

Hi. Good morning, everyone. I wanted to ask about the efforts that you're making on reformulation and priceback architecture, which certainly seem interesting. Can you expand a bit, maybe give us some early insights on the evolution of your thinking over the past few months, what's worked, what hasn't, and perhaps maybe give some insight on where you think you can perhaps gain some advantages out of this. Maybe price pack architecture allows you to offer more value and drive some more consumption. Maybe there's ingredient changes you can make to capitalize on new trends. And so really just looking for a bit more insight on successes you've seen and where you expect to press on reformulation. And also just, again, from a more proactive perspective, you know, how can this turn into a bit of an advantage for you potentially?

speaker
Michelle Buck
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, so we have price type architecture actually going into the market now. So we're continuing to work on more, but I don't want to give the impression that that hasn't been a lever that we've already pulled. I think one of the benefits of price pack architecture, as you mentioned, is it's not a direct price point increase, but rather it's kind of a combination of sizing and price, which can tend to offer perhaps a better value perception for consumers. So I think that's always an opportunity if done well, and we always try and balance how much of our price realization should come from that lever versus a straight price increase. So that was really just part of our earlier August 24 pricing announcement that we did some PPA. We'll share more about our future plans on our full plans going forward. And if we think about, I guess, the competitive advantage component, the investments we've made in our supply chain really do enable us to have a lot of agility and flexibility. both in terms of being able to execute PPA, which involves sometimes the changes in packaging and being able to efficiently do that. Also lets us really look at the formulations to make sure that we're providing the highest quality products at the best cost possible. So that would be a competitive advantage is using our R&D folks, our supply chain, to make sure that we can really deliver those reformulations, get them in the market as quickly as possible. and do them incredibly well to continue to satisfy consumer demand.

speaker
Chris Carey

One quick follow-up would be just around the evolution of your thought process on mitigation tools. As you noted, there was probably a bit more focus on RGM and other revenue growth management and other mitigating factors. But as COCO has lingered, you know, how does pricing, you know, come into the equation? You know, has there been any evolution in your thinking of, you know, how large the sorts of tools that you'll need to kind of mitigate this over the next 18 months, you know, have become? So just any evolution of thought process there over the past few months would also be helpful. Thank you.

speaker
Michelle Buck
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

So I guess I'd start by saying, for the very beginning, we have taken a holistic approach. It was evidenced by the transformation program that we put in place, which was really about attacking costs. So we did some of that already over these past couple of years. We did take pricing, but we also did take a measured approach to balance the short and the long term. We didn't want to overprice. You know, if COCOA were to take a massive retreat, but for us it's never been a concern about an ability to price. So, we've always had confidence in that. It's just kind of wanting to balance that short and long-term component, the top and bottom line across the P&L. So, we're encouraged that we've seen some retreat of COCOA, but clearly COCOA hasn't retreated as much as we would all like. And so at this point, you know, we're ready to activate even more of the levers that we've been doing work against and have had underway. And we look forward to sharing more about that over the summer.

speaker
Easter

Okay, thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Scott Marks with Jefferies. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Scott Marks

Hey, good morning. Thanks so much for fitting me in. Um, first question, um, would be based on commentary. It obviously sounds like you're expecting cocoa, um, you know, prices to either remain status quo remain elevated. Um, you know, let's say for instance, cocoa prices in the market do come down, whether it be next year or the year after, how would you think about reinvesting in the business to ensure, um, long-term health of, of the chocolate category?

speaker
spk07

Yeah, so we will, again, that's my dream come true, right?

speaker
Steve Boskell
Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

If total prices come down sharply and that's the choices that we have. And so we always invest behind our brands and want to make sure that we're investing in, you know, capabilities, technology, the brands, relevant marketing and innovation. So that hasn't been curtailed in this environment. And certainly if we came out and when COVID falls, we'll revisit that to make sure we're doing our best to invest in those areas. But they haven't been shortchanged here. And then we'll have the opportunity to deploy cash back to shareholders, as we talked about earlier, have more opportunities for capital allocation. So that's how we're thinking about it. We look forward to having that opportunity.

speaker
Michelle Buck
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

And even with the cost cutting we've done to date, we've done some of that with a lens of where can we get net savings, but at the same time be investing in technology and capability that let us emerge even stronger. So tools that let us be even more efficient in terms of how we're spending our investments in the business and marketing and in trade. Those types of things that both save money, but also give us kind of a longer term benefit. So we look forward to those as well.

speaker
Steve Boskell
Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

All of that will allow us to emerge even stronger than we were when we came into the commodity pressures.

speaker
Scott Marks

Understood and then 2nd question for me, you've spoken a bit about some of the, the C store trends wondering if you can just share anything on maybe performance or trends you're seeing across other channels as it as it relates to your categories.

speaker
spk07

Thanks so much.

speaker
Michelle Buck
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, I would say we're continuing to see a consumer focus on value. um that's showing up in areas like migration to club certainly dollar continues to be really strong online because of the value that it offers so depending on who the consumer is all consumers looking for value each of them in different ways that best suit their specific needs but we haven't really seen a significant change in some of those channel trends aside from the ups and downs that we see in CSTOR. I think take home overall as a segment has across the board been quite strong with single digit growth there.

speaker
Easter

Got it. We'll pass it on. Thanks so much.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Bingqing Su with Redburn Atlantic. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Bingqing Su

Hi, Major Steve. Thanks for taking my question. I have a question about the competitive landscape escape in the US chocolate. I think in the previous order, the quarter before, you mentioned the intensified competition from smaller player. Can you comment and provide more color on what you see in terms of the competitive situation in the US chocolate, both from the smaller player, private label, and maybe even signing a premium player there, please, and not have a follow-up? Thank you.

speaker
Michelle Buck
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, I would say we haven't seen significant change in the competitive landscape versus what we have been tracking throughout the year. You know, we had expected some increased competition, certainly from the largest players, In terms of innovation, you know, we knew that there will be some of that coming. You know, smaller players in private label have been softening a little bit in terms of the momentum in the marketplace. They're certainly still out there. But in aggregate, there's been a little bit more internal sourcing across them. And then certain brands like Feastables and Tony's have been a bit more stable. But then again, they're sourcing more amongst that set of smaller brands. So we continue to track that over time. But overall, no significant changes that I would really highlight.

speaker
Bingqing Su

Okay, thank you. Then a follow-up, if I can come back to a pricing point, please, because your pricing in Q1 North America confectionary is 3%. That's lower than the market pricing. I think you're close to the 8%. Obviously, you have the price pack architecture, but with the cocoa price pretty much blocking in 2025, and from what you said, elasticity is a bit better or in line with your expectation. Do you see the possibility of having further pricing increase in the rest of the year to not only mitigate COCO inflation, but potentially some tariff impact. Thank you.

speaker
Michelle Buck
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

So you will see prices go up in Q2 and Q3 as more of our seasonal pricing and price pack architecture kicks in from announced pricing actions that we've already taken. Obviously, we can't talk about any future pricing intentions in advance. But, you know, we'll give you more color on both COCO and tariffs and our holistic plans as we get into the summer.

speaker
Easter

Yeah, thank you. Very helpful.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes our question and answer session. I'll turn the floor back to management for any final comments.

speaker
Anuri Naughton
Senior Director of Investor Relations

Thank you, everyone, for joining us this morning, and we look forward to catching up with many of you throughout the day. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. This concludes today's conference call. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.

Disclaimer

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