7/30/2026

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Welcome to the Invitation Homes second quarter 2026 earnings conference call. All participants are in listen-only mode at this time. Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing the star key followed by zero. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Scott McLaughlin, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

speaker
Scott McLaughlin
Senior Vice President of Investor Relations

Thank you, Operator, and good morning. Joining me today from Invitation Homes are Dallas Tanner, our President and Chief Executive Officer, Tim Lobner, our Chief Operating Officer, Jon Olsen, our Chief Financial Officer, and Scott Eisen, our Chief Investment Officer. Following our prepared remarks, we'll open the line for questions from our covering sell side analysts. During today's call, we may reference our second quarter 2026 earnings release and supplemental information. We issued this document yesterday afternoon after the market closed and it is available on the investor relations section of our website at www.invh.com. Certain statements we make during this call may include forward-looking statements relating to the future performance of our business, financial results, liquidity and capital resources and other non-historical statements which are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual outcomes or results to differ materially from those indicated. We described some of these risks and uncertainties in our 2025 Annual Report on Form 10-K and other filings we make with the SEC from time to time. Except to the extent otherwise required by law, we do not update forward-looking statements and expressly disclaim any obligation to do so. We may also discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures during the call. You can find additional information regarding these non-GAAP measures including reconciliations to the most comparable gap measures in yesterday's earnings release. With that, I'll turn the call over to Dallas Tanner.

speaker
Dallas Tanner
President and Chief Executive Officer

Go ahead, Dallas. Thanks, Scott. Good morning, everyone. It's been a busy peak season for us. Before getting into the quarter, I want to thank our residents for the trust they keep placing in us and our field teams for how they've handled the pace. Together, we delivered a strong second quarter. Average occupancy held above 97%. New lease rate growth accelerated for the sixth month in a row, and we grew core FFO per share by 5%, and AFFO per share by just under 6%. Tim and John will get into the details, but it's a great foundation heading into the second half of the year. I'll kick off my comments by talking about the 21st Century Road to Housing Act. The law was enacted earlier this month, providing greater clarity for our business and the broader housing industry. Among other things, The act includes some meaningful provisions into speeding up and encouraging new construction. That's a goal we fully support, since we've long known that better housing affordability is achieved by increasing new supply. In fact, that's been precisely our approach at Invitation Homes, growing through new construction and home builder partnerships. We're pleased that the law lets us keep doing what we do best, offering a valuable housing solution to the millions of Americans who choose to lease. while helping deliver the new supply this country needs. And that commitment goes well beyond supply. For our residents, that means continuing free, positive credit reporting, helping them build credit simply by paying their rent on time. For policymakers, it means staying closely engaged with Treasury and HUD and others as these new regulatory guidances take further shape. Beyond the legislative backdrop, demand for our homes remains healthy. According to the latest data from John Burns, On average, it's over $1,000 per month cheaper to lease today and to own a similar house in our markets. Based on our average resident tenure of just now over 40 months, that adds up to more than $40,000 in total savings for a typical family. That is a compelling value proposition, along with favorable demographics and the convenience of leasing will continue to support our demand. Turning now to capital allocation, the story during the second quarter was similar to the first quarter. Stock repurchases remained among the most attractive uses of our capital. During the second quarter, we bought back another $100 million of stock, which brings us to $600 million in stock repurchase since December at an average price of a little over $26 per share. These share repurchases have been funded in large part by home sales priced well above where the public market is valuing our assets. We are also starting to see early signs of a thaw on the acquisition side. Yield flow has been relatively stagnant over the first six months of 2026, thanks to the legislative uncertainty. But with the Road to Housing Act now settled, more sellers are coming to market, including some attractive smaller portfolios. It's still early, but encouraging, since it gives us another lever for accretive capital deployment. Similarly, we see opportunities in our development and our lending channels. ResiBuild's pipeline has re-accelerated following some disruption earlier this year when the bill was still in flux. And on the lending side, construction loan commitments, including some still in diligence, now total just under $350 million, with about 10% of that funded so far. As a reminder, these loans typically yield in the high single digits and give us the opportunity to purchase the community once they're built. Zooming out, at our Investor Day last November, we talked about building the best-run SFR platform in the country. It's disciplined on cost and capital, also focused on the resident experience. That discipline has been on full display in three ways so far this year. First, capital allocation. Selling homes at a premium, redeploying that capital into creative opportunities. Second, growth. supporting our platform through the acquisition of ResuBuilt and the expansion of our construction lending business. And third, in residence satisfaction, reflected in the renewal and retention numbers Tim will walk through shortly. In short, we're doing exactly what we said we were going to do. Combined with what Tim and John are about to cover, our first half performance gave us confidence to raise our full year guidance. I'll let John cover the specifics here. But the takeaway is that Invitation Homes continues to generate strong and stable cash flows. Selling homes at a premium to where the market is valuing our assets and recycling that capital accretively create value for our shareholders. Tim, over to you.

speaker
Tim Lobner
Chief Operating Officer

Thanks, Dallas, and good morning, everyone. I'll start with the headline. New lease rate growth accelerated every month from January through June, capping off peak leasing season on a high note. Our second quarter same-store renewal rate was approximately 77%, and average length of stay for our residents remained over 40 months. The data points reflect high level of resident satisfaction with both our homes and our service. Turning now to our second quarter same-store results. NOI grew 1.5% year-over-year, driven by 1.6% for revenue growth, who are operating expense growth of just 1.9%. I'll touch on a few more details behind each of those items. On the revenue side, renewal rent growth rose through the quarter from just over 3% in April and May to 3.7% in June, averaging 3.3% for the second quarter. Second quarter new lease rent growth was 1.1% find that resulted in second quarter blended lease rent growth of 2.7%. Turnover improved 50 basis points year over year to 5.7%. And average occupancy for the quarter landed at 97.1%. Both strong results for the summer season. On the expense side, the best news is on the controllables, where expenses we manage on a day-to-day basis were down 1% year over year. It's a really good reflection how our teams are running the business. Fixed costs, including property taxes and insurance, increased by only 3.5% year over year. We're pleased to see both controllable and fixed expenses tracking in line with our expectations here to date. Supply backdrop across our markets is telling a similar story. Build-to-rent deliveries have continued to decline and while SFR listings remain elevated, the pace of new supply growth has slowed sharply since the start of this year. In addition, according to John Burns, the markets that were the most oversupplied are now seeing the sharpest drops in unsold inventory of new homes. There's still a bit of supply to work through in some markets, but the trend has clearly been moving in the right direction. We'll continue to keep a close eye on this as we move through late summer and into the fall. This slower supply growth, the steady demand that Dallas described, and strong execution from our teams are all showing up directly in our numbers. New lease rate growth picked up every month through this year through June for easing, as we'd expect for late summer, 1.2% in July. Renewals followed their own path, staying in the low 3% range for April and May, before accelerating to 3.7% in June and 4.3% in July. That brings our preliminary blended lease rate growth for July to 3.4%, while average occupancy for July, 96.5%, reflecting normal seasonality from summer move-outs. Taken together, this was a strong operating quarter. We headed into the back half of the year with real momentum on renewals, Well-managed expenses, a healthy demand and improving supply backdrop. Proud of how our teams have shown up for our residents this year and how their efforts have made results like these possible. John, I'll hand it over to you.

speaker
Jon Olsen
Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Tim. Today, I'll cover our second quarter financial results, capital allocation activity, the balance sheet, and our updated guidance. Starting with our results. Second quarter core FFO per share was 51 cents, up 5% year over year, and AFFO per share was 44 cents, up nearly 6% year over year. The capital side, during the second quarter, we sold 657 wholly owned homes, primarily to end users, for gross proceeds of about $309 million. And we bought 196 homes, all from our home builder partners, for about $74 million. Combined with our first quarter activity, this pace of dispositions has run well ahead of our original expectations, which is why we increased our full year disposition guidance for wholly owned homes by $300 million at the midpoint to $850 million. Our acquisitions guidance remains unchanged with midpoints of $250 million for wholly owned homes from our home builder partners and $100 million through our joint ventures. We also deployed another $100 million for stock repurchases in the second quarter, for a total of $600 million of share repurchases since we started the program late last year. Since that time, we've repurchased approximately 22.8 million shares at an average price of $26.30 per share. For reference, this average repurchase price represents an implied value of just over $270,000 per wholly owned home. That's a significant discount compared to our year-to-date actual average sale price of $450,000 per home. We used proceeds from this quarter's asset sales, along with free cash flow, to reduce our revolver balance from $560 million as of March 31st to $280 million as of June 30th. As a result, we ended the second quarter with a net debt to trailing 12-month adjusted EBITDA ratio of 5.4 times. or just below our five and a half to six times target range. Turning to the balance sheet more broadly, it remains in great shape. We ended the quarter with over $1.5 billion of available liquidity. Substantially, all of our debt was at fixed rates or swapped to fixed rates. Approximately 90% of our wholly owned homes were unencumbered. We also took steps to strengthen that balance sheet profile even further, taking advantage of favorable market conditions earlier this month to issue $500 million of senior notes maturing in 2032 at a 4.95% coupon. We used the net proceeds to prepay approximately half of our 2017-1 securitization, which had a $988 million balance outstanding as of June 30th that matures next summer. Because the offering and prepayment both occurred in July, their impact isn't reflected in our June 30th financial statements or supplemental schedules. and we've provided the pro forma impact on certain metrics in a footnote to supplemental schedules 2B and 2C. Reflecting on our year-to-date operating results and the benefit of this year's stock buyback activity, we raised full-year core FFO and AFFO per share guidance this quarter, with midpoints up a penny each to $1.95 and $1.65 respectively, alongside the disposition guidance increase I mentioned earlier. With the first half of the year now behind us, we also narrowed our same-store core revenue and NOI growth guidance ranges around unchanged midpoints, reflecting improved visibility into the balance of the year. All told, we have a strong balance sheet, good operating momentum, and multiple ways to keep creating value for our shareholders. This concludes our prepared remarks. Operator, please open the line for questions.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. If you have dialed in and would like to ask a question, please press the star one on your telephone keypad. And if you would like to recall your question, please press the star one again. Just a reminder to limit yourself to one question only. If you have additional questions, please rejoin the queue. Your first question comes from the line of Eric Wolfe, Good City. Please go ahead.

speaker
Eric Wolfe
Analyst, Good City

Hey, thanks. You mentioned that you were starting to see some smaller portfolios come to market. Could you talk about how you think those portfolios will price from a cap rate and unlevered IRR perspective? Assuming you take part in any of these deals, how would you fund them?

speaker
Scott Eisen
Chief Investment Officer

Thanks for the question. This is Scott. Yeah, in terms of the market right now, we're not seeing any large transactions at this point. We've probably seen some smaller portfolios in the sub $100 million, maybe slightly bigger than $100 million size range. I think it's too early to really talk about price guidance and returns on it because we really haven't seen a lot of transaction activity. But I would say that post-Road to Housing Act, if for the first six months of the year things were really quiet just because people were waiting to see where the legislation turned out, I think now that the act has been passed, I think we're seeing some capital start to open up again and start to test the waters and see where the market is. So it's too soon to say exactly where we think transactions are going to price. But I would definitely say that that activity has sort of picked up since the legislation got that.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And your next question comes from the line of Jamie Feldman with Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

speaker
Connor
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Hi, thank you. You've got Connor on with Jamie. Could you provide an update on July new renewal and blended lease rate growth? And as we think about the second half of this year, what are you assuming for those metrics and especially with the seasonal moderation of new leases? particularly given the easier comps and more first half-weighted expiration schedule.

speaker
Tim Lobner
Chief Operating Officer

Hey, Connor. Great question. Thank you. This is Tim speaking. As discussed in our prepared remarks, let me run through what we had in July. July, our renewals was at 4.3%, really happy with that. That accelerated out of our Q2 number, which was 3.3%. On the newly side, we are at 1.2%. That's coming off a 1.8% in June. We saw a nice acceleration through Q2. And then on the blended side, that was 3.4%. And as I shared also in the prepared remarks, we were really pleased with how the year has progressed and continues to progress. Every month on the blended side, we've seen favorable upward movement. And look, as you think about the back half of the year, as we share at several of the investor conferences, there's a regular cadence to how the industry moves, right? You know, let's just start with occupancy because that also informs us on how we go about our rent rate. Occupancy, like you start the year and you continue to grow into peak season, right? During peak season, you see a lot of households move out, typical time for families to move out of houses. So you see occupancy moderate a bit. And then towards the very end of the year, you see it pick up, and then that puts us back into the new year. As it relates to rent growth, let me break it down. Obviously, the blend is really just a reflection, like a 75% reflection of the renewal side of the house and about a 25% reflection of the Newleys. Newleys, you saw our numbers from Q1. We started out negative. That kind of picks up as you go through the year. That positive number held out. We saw it go and actually plateaued in June, which was really strong. It's later in the year than we saw in 2025. And we expect that to moderate through the balance of the year. On the renewal side, that's probably the most consistent part of our business. We typically see over the course of the year, it varies between 3.5% to 4.5%, which, again, is really important because that's 75% to 80% of the bulk of business. So that's how we expect to see it for the balance of the year, and we're really liking how we've seen the year shape up so far. And as for August, obviously we don't know what new lease growth will be for August, but renewals in August are shaping up much like July, so we're really happy with how The portfolio is performing and how the teams are executing.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from the line of Steve Sakwa with Evercore ISI. Please go ahead.

speaker
Steve Sakwa
Analyst, Evercore ISI

Yeah, thanks. I appreciate all the comments on the revenue side. Maybe just touching on expenses, which I think, you know, moderated a bit Q1 to Q2. Maybe just, you know, what are some of the puts and takes as you look in the back half of the year? And if you think about kind of your overall 26 number and we sort of start to think about next year, I guess, what are the puts and takes we should be thinking about to next year's expense growth?

speaker
Jon Olsen
Chief Financial Officer

Yes, Steve, I think the big one is obviously always property tax. You know, we have probably three, four weeks before we start to get preliminary views on value and then, you know, maybe another 30 days Thank you for joining us. I think we're really pleased that total turn costs are looking quite favorable. So as I think about puts and takes, to me the big question mark at this point in the year is always property tax. I think vis-a-vis the rest of the expense line items, we are really happy with what we're seeing and we're really pleased with where we are in the year, recognizing there's still a good bit of the year yet to go.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Yana Galan with Bank of America. Please go ahead.

speaker
Yana Galan
Analyst, Bank of America

Thank you. Good morning. John, on the guidance increase, can you speak to any one-timers that may have benefited the second quarter or any offsets you expect in the second half of the year that cause the FFO run rate to come down?

speaker
Jon Olsen
Chief Financial Officer

I think with respect to the guide, I guess I'd point out a couple of things. As I just said, firstly, we have half a year to go, and the second half of the year presents potentially a higher degree of execution risk just based on the fact that, as Tim outlined, this is normally the seasonal period where you see turnover tick up a little bit. The quantum of homes that we're taking back that we need to get turned and back out into the market and released is something we're going to be really focused on as we think about defending occupancy in the second half of the year. Secondly, as we've talked about a lot of times, higher turnover in the second half of the year has the potential to impact both the revenue and expense side of the P&L. Obviously, any turnover we experience in the second half does create some degree of execution risk given that the supply backdrop, while improving, remains elevated. So we want to be mindful of that. Thirdly, as I just outlined with Steve, at this point in the year, property taxes are still largely unknown. As a reminder, the three largest states are California, Georgia, and Florida. California and Georgia are both around 14% of total property tax. Florida is about 41%. So those three states are 70% of a line item that represents about 55% of our total OPEC. So that is always going to be a consideration when that's still kind of waiting for further clarity. Lastly, and I think what's maybe most notable, is given the disruption that some of the earlier versions of the Road to Housing Act caused, we do expect the ResiBuilt contribution to 26 earnings is going to come in a bit behind our original expectations. Projects that were in flight continued, but there were a number of projects that were scheduled to start in the first half that were delayed, and in some cases even canceled. So we're going to have a little bit of a shortfall that we want to try to overcome there. I think the good news is the team is doing a really great job of refilling that pipeline now that the uncertainty overhang has been removed, but it remains to be seen how much of that benefit can be recouped in the second half of 26 versus rolling into 27. So When we put all those considerations together, we think our guidance continues to reflect cautious optimism while at the same time acknowledging that there are some unknowns and some execution risks and a decent chunk of the year yet to go.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Buckhorn with Raymond James. Please go ahead.

speaker
Buckhorn
Analyst, Raymond James

Hey, thanks. Good morning. Congrats, guys. I just got a question from a higher level. One of your multifamily beers, Sunbelt, highlighted that in quarter over quarter, they saw a big in-migration of new leases coming from out of market. I was wondering if you guys might have detected or tracked anything similar in terms of new lease demand kind of migrating into some of your Sunbelt markets from out of markets.

speaker
Dallas Tanner
President and Chief Executive Officer

Insightful question, Buck. This is Dallas. And Tim, if you have anything to add, feel free to add in. It's interesting. We survey going in and going out. And in our second quarter surveys, roughly 85% of our move-ins were in-state move-ins in the second quarter based on that survey data. So it's not like we're seeing any major dislocation or out-of-state folks coming in. It's usually about 50% of those, by the way, are moving sort of city to city. So they're trying out a new area. They want to be close to job corridors, transportation corridors. They're testing out a neighborhood before they buy. So we haven't seen anything that's sort of dramatic in terms of, call it, net migration shifts. Tim, would you add anything to that?

speaker
Tim Lobner
Chief Operating Officer

I wouldn't add anything specific to our survey data as it relates to our residents, but I think there is a... A good story here that we see in third-party data regarding migratory patterns. And if you look at about 65, 70% of our markets, we are seeing projected net favorable migration into our markets, and those are primarily Sunbelt markets, which I think is favorable for the long-term prospects of our portfolio. So, yeah, I think you touched on the IH decision-making that goes into where people are living, but I think the broader macroeconomic migratory patterns are favorable as well.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from the line of Amy Provent with UBS. Please go ahead.

speaker
Amy Provent
Analyst, UBS

Hi, thanks. Other core revenue declined in the quarter after being up over 10% in the last quarter, so I was wondering what are the moving pieces within this line item, and how do you expect it to trend for the remainder of the year?

speaker
Jon Olsen
Chief Financial Officer

Hey, it's John. Thanks for the question. I think it's important to remember that other property income is comprised of both lease fees and value-add service revenue. So the decrease this quarter was driven primarily by lower lease fees, including lower late fees and other administrative charges. Value-add service income was actually up about 9% year-over-year, and we continue to see that as an area of growth for us. So year-to-date, other property income has increased almost 5%, and we do expect to continue to see strong growth from that line item the rest of the year.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. And the next question comes from Brad Hepburn with RBC. Please go ahead.

speaker
Brad Hepburn
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Yeah. Hey, everybody. Just a follow-up question on the blends. You know, you almost always see third quarter lower than second quarter just given new lease pricing falls off. This year, you know, the July blends are obviously up. It sounds like renewals will continue to be strong and above second quarter level. So just wondering if we should expect blends to buck the normal seasonal trend and increase in the third quarter.

speaker
Tim Lobner
Chief Operating Officer

Yeah, look, we generally don't give too much of our projection numbers before it happens, right? But as I mentioned earlier, our renewal numbers that we're seeing in August look much like our July numbers. So we're really happy with the strength of what we're seeing in the marketplace. Typically, you do see the blended rate come down in Q4. You see that kind of taper off. But that's a function also of filling the portfolio. So again, we're really happy with that. Thank you. And the next question comes from John Polosky with Green Street. Please go ahead. Hey, good morning.

speaker
John Polosky
Analyst, Green Street

John, can you speak to the third-party management business as well as construction lending? Are those business lines and the contribution to earnings trending better or worse than you expected? And any color to the drivers would be appreciated.

speaker
Jon Olsen
Chief Financial Officer

Sure. Yeah, that's a good question, John. I think they're trending generally in line with our expectations. We are seeing... I think year-to-date about $4 million lower on 3PM fee income. That's driven primarily by the fact that we sold a number of homes on behalf of Starwood. And so it's really just a function of a lower average home count as well as the fact that we had about $2.8 million of non-recurring disposition fees in 2025. And so that is also coloring kind of the year-over-year comp. As far as the lending business goes, and Scott should chime in with anything he thinks I've overlooked, we're actually really pleased with how that is going. Things got pretty quiet while the Road to Housing Act was underway, but similar to what we're seeing on the acquisition side, since clarity has been sort of realized, I think there's a lot more interest in inbound activity. The team continues to originate... What we think are really interesting deals on real estate that we have a high degree of conviction around. It continues to be, I think, a really compelling area of growth for us. We're actually a little bit ahead of where we thought we would be at this point in the year, which is great considering that we had about six months of dislocation in the marketplace.

speaker
Scott Eisen
Chief Investment Officer

The only thing I'd add to that is the program is going accordingly. Right, and as Dallas said at his introduction, we're on track for, you know, based upon what's either closed or under commitment right now, call it approximately 350 million loans. And again, first principles are still the same. We want strong sponsors with BTR development in communities where we have boots on the ground, we have local market knowledge of those, you know, areas and communities that, you know, potentially we could purchase upon stabilization. So nothing has changed in terms of the design of the program. Nothing's changed in terms of the buy box. We're going to do the right deals in the right markets. We're being measured on our pace. And we're going to, you know, do the right loans with the right counterparties when the time is right. But we're on track and we're pleased with the program.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Handel St. Joseph with Missoula Securities. Please go ahead.

speaker
Handel St. Joseph
Analyst, Missoula Securities

Hey, guys. Good morning and thanks for taking the question. I wanted to go back to Eric's earlier question about portfolios. I know that you're not seeing any larger portfolios out there today just yet, but I'm curious how you were weighing those opportunities potentially against other capital allocation options on the menu today. Where would pricing for some of these portfolios need to be for you to be interested? I think a few years back, pricing for larger portfolios were in the low to mid-five. I think you did your last larger portfolio deal back in 2023 with Starwood. I'm curious overall how You know, kind of thinking, assessing the opportunity, and where it kind of stacks up versus the other options. Thanks.

speaker
Dallas Tanner
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, good question, Handel. And this is something that we debate internally and with our board as we think about capital allocation sources and uses. And if you look at the first part of the year, and we've been pretty clear about the fact that we saw, you know, highest and best use of capital really in the share repurchase programming. If these discounts continue to proceed, we're not going to be afraid to continue to purchase shares. That being said, Scott is starting to see unique opportunities where maybe going in cap rates are sort of similar or in the same zip code of where we may have a view on where share prices could be trading. So it is an ongoing discussion, something that we'll evaluate. It has to be accretive. is sort of the simple answer at the end of the day, right? If we're not looking to grow for the sake of growing, we certainly want to grow. We're doing a really nice job of harvesting gains off of assets that we don't view as maybe core to our portfolio over a long period of time. We can continue to do some of that in the foreseeable future if needed. And I think that we'll just balance it out in terms of sort of growth opportunities, things Scott's seeing on the development side, We are starting to see some things that could make sense there that can compete with sort of a share repurchase, sort of cost of capital. We're also seeing, and I think Scott was really smart to say this, it's really early. We don't want to say that we're seeing big opportunities in M&A or any of these other sort of scenarios, but you're starting to see sellers poke their eyes up from above the 21st Century Road to Housing Act and sort of say, What should I be doing here? Is my cost of capital changed? Are my opportunities for growth a little bit different than maybe they were? And I think Scott's taking some of those calls. So look, I think we'll keep you guys posted. There's nothing to talk about yet. And my guess is this will drip out pretty slowly throughout the year.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from the line at Boston Rushman with KeyBank Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

speaker
Boston Rushman
Analyst, KeyBank Capital Markets

Yeah, thanks. John, Tim, you know, just curious, so lease rate growth is tracking, you know, low to mid single digit range for the first half of the year, I think around 2.3%. The start of the year, you were targeting around a mid single digit growth. Any changes to the composition of same store revenue growth? And if so, just how are you thinking about that balance between occupancy and rate growth?

speaker
Jon Olsen
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, it's a good question. I would say, you know, no real change. You know, we continue to be focused on The tradeoff between rate and occupancy. I think what's been really striking to me and something that I feel really good about is I do think that the operations team is striking a better balance between how much occupancy we give up in the course of going out to capture rate I think the execution continues to improve, and I think it's reflected in kind of the reacceleration we've seen in renewal rate growth, which has been really strong these last couple months, and as Tim mentioned, is trending favorably as we look forward to August. So we are continuing to focus on making sure we drive to Thank you for joining us. despite, you know, kind of striking those trade-offs, we continue to see really strong renewal rate growth, which is obviously the primary driver of revenue growth for us.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Peter Abramowitz with Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.

speaker
Peter Abramowitz
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Yes, thank you for taking the question. I just wanted to ask about Northern California in general. Bay Area has kind of been on fire from a multifamily standpoint. But it's actually lagging Southern California in their portfolio from a revenue growth standpoint. So just kind of curious, did you talk through trends you're seeing there, how AI tailwinds and job formation are kind of impacting renter dynamics? And is it maybe a different demographic that's causing lower growth there versus some of the multifamily peers?

speaker
Dallas Tanner
President and Chief Executive Officer

Hey, great question and really an important question. Thank you for joining us. sort of performance. And so our Northern California book is operating, you know, as we would sort of expect it, very strong renewals. I would tell you that on the newly side, it tends to be a bit trickier than maybe our Southern California business, but very steady nonetheless. It's a good customer. It's a great book of business. When we go to sell homes in that part of the country, they sell very quickly. So, but just please don't, you know, confuse that with Bay Area multifamily. They're very different portfolios.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Adam Kramer with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

speaker
Adam Kramer
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Great. Thanks. When you look at some of the softer new lease markets, some of the Florida markets, Phoenix, Texas, are there sort of unifying themes, factors sort of across these markets, you know, sort of driving a little bit of a softer performance relative to maybe the Midwest, right? Is it elevated supply still? Is it consumer uncertainty? Maybe some of the migration stats that you guys walked through earlier. I'm just sort of wondering if What is your defining theme across these software new lease markets?

speaker
Tim Lobner
Chief Operating Officer

This is Tim. Good question. We track this topic closely. Pricing always is a function of supply and demand. And on the supply side, the recovery that Dallas talked about, the moderating higher supply levels year over year, it hits markets, different markets in different ways. and there are certain markets that are recovering faster. We're seeing some really nice supply reduction in markets like Tampa, Orlando, Phoenix. There are other markets that are a bit slower and the market's not perfectly efficient in terms of how you capture that rent growth as that supply eases, but we are taking advantage of that when we can. The good news is that demand has stayed in really healthy shape this year. If you look at the overall gross number of leads, we're seeing really healthy volume. If you look at the external funnel, we use Google Analytics, we use Google search terms like houses for lease. That's actually up a hair year over year. So we know that there's a lot of people that are still looking for single family rental homes, especially in our markets. One of the things that we're happy about on the internal side is that we're able to convert a lot of these people. We're seeing better conversion rates year over year. And I think that's in large part due to two things. One, our teams are, I think, better equipped with technology that we're providing. We're launching right now and have launched in a couple of our markets a new customer relationship management platform. It's allowing us to really provide better service on the front end of the business as people are searching. And then we're also making some really nice enhancements to our digital shopping experience. and it's allowing people to self-select and we're getting higher quality leads that we can work more effectively. So we like what we're seeing on the demand side. We like what we're seeing on the supply side. Cautiously optimistic that we continue to see the supply levels moderate over the course of the year. And you're going to see variability across markets as it shows up in the form of new lease and renewal lease rent growth. So appreciate the question. We're deadly focused on it.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Julian Lewin with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

speaker
Julian Lewin
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Yeah, thank you. Maybe digging into that last answer a little bit more and specifically looking at your Florida markets, it really looks like from some of the data we look at that the headwind from rental home listings has eased meaningfully over recent months, which I think you referenced. And it does look like market rent growth has started to inflect in your Florida markets. I guess, can you dig into the drivers of that? How much of that is driven by home builders pulling back on deliveries versus how much of it is demand on the for lease or the for sale side starting to clear the available product? And then how sustainable do you think that sort of rent growth improvement we started to see will end up being?

speaker
Tim Lobner
Chief Operating Officer

Look, it's a number of different factors. There's no single driver of it. It's a good question. I think if you look at some of the migration data, we use Oxford Economics as our source, but you look at some of the projections from 2026 and, you know, you take it, for example, like a market like Orlando, really nice numbers there. You take a look at Tampa, another market with really nice numbers there projected for 2026. You look at John Burns' data that we reference frequently. Most recently, the June numbers show that, you know, continue to validate that builder rent deliveries are in the rearview mirror. So you look at those factors along with, you know, the various components of what constitutes supply in the market. And what you'll see in our data shows, it's third-party data showing, you know, what are the listings that of Homes for Lease. We're seeing the mom-and-pop number, again, non-institutional, which drove the big buildup in supply over the last, call it, 24 months. That's also where we're seeing the supply easing if you were to assign or ascribe value to certain cohorts. We're continuing to watch that. We don't have a projection for the future, so I can't tell you exactly where we think supply goes over the next six months. But, you know, all the driver's of the market or our operations fundamentals are looking pretty strong. We like it. Again, cautiously optimistic as we navigate the back half of the year.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from the line of Jesse Letterman with Zellman & Salce. Please go ahead.

speaker
Jesse Letterman
Analyst, Zellman & Salce

Hey, thanks for taking the question. A question here for Scott. Looks like there's only about 100 homes left in the forward purchase pipeline for 27, so I'd love to get your thoughts on Maybe discussions you're having with builders, either on forward purchase agreements or what you're seeing on builder tapes and what we should expect in terms of the composition of your external growth moving forward from your various end channels. And also like a slight two-parter, slightly related, any timing on self-performance from ResiBuild? Thanks.

speaker
Scott Eisen
Chief Investment Officer

Sure. Great question, Jesse. Thank you. In terms of what we're seeing from the builders, obviously, you know, you've seen, I think at its peak, our builder backlog on forward purchases was at about 2,700 homes. And that's down now to about 300 for, you know, what's in the backlog. And again, those are forward purchase commitments that we had done over the last two to three years that have taken time to essentially be delivered where the pace was 10 a month. We obviously haven't made any new commitments year to date, which is why that backlog has declined as quickly and meaningfully as it has. I think where we're seeing the most interesting opportunity is we talked about this on our Investor Day in November where we continue to get monthly tapes from the builders on standing inventory of homes that can be delivered in a 60-90 day time frame instead of a 12-18 month time frame. We're still seeing opportunities that we talked about previously that are super interesting to us in the college 20% discount, 6% cap rate range. You know, we've not, you know, meaningfully leaned into that, but we're starting to see some interesting opportunities that we're evaluating again. But I think in terms of that near-term composition, you'll probably more likely see us do short-term acquisitions from builder tapes in the short run as opposed to the long-term forward commitments. We still see forwards. I think the valuation and pricing just hasn't been as attractive, and we're more attracted to the short-term builder tape stuff. In addition on ResiBuilt, it's now been about six months since the integration. They're out in the market looking for new opportunities for us. As Dallas said earlier, we're evaluating some things as we speak. We're not really ready to sort of talk about where we are in that process, but I think generally speaking, we've seen some great opportunities. Their market presence, as you probably know and we've discussed previously, is in Georgia, North Carolina, and Florida. I think we've seen some interesting opportunities that we're evaluating in the Carolinas and Atlanta. And, you know, when we look at these investments with ResiBuilt, you know, we would be doing them both for ourselves and for our joint venture partners, of which we have two today, and they are in constant dialogue with us on opportunities. So we're still looking at opportunities, evaluating it, and we're trying to figure out what makes most sense. Thanks, Jessie.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from the line of Rich Hightower with Barclays. Please go ahead.

speaker
Eric Wolfe
Analyst, Good City

Hey, good morning, everybody. Thanks for all the details so far. Back to sort of the fallout or the pro forma coming out of road to housing. You've got a lot of these sort of in-betweener, you know, more than the 350 threshold, but, you know, people that don't own tens of thousands of homes along the scale of invitation and the largest players in the sector. So just, you know, broadly speaking, what's your outlook for Those in-betweeners and, you know, in terms of competition, you know, lacking the scale that you do operationally, you know, in reference, you know, does it eventually become more of a consolidation opportunity in your opinion? Just what are your general thoughts there?

speaker
Dallas Tanner
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, Rich Dallas here. Look, generally, we line up with what you said there at the very end. Like, we just believe there'll be, you know, sort of an evolution here where you'll see more consolidation opportunities. and particularly I think you'll see a lot more of it around BTR. BTR had sort of a healthy pipeline of new entrants and capital formation kind of going into it pre the Road to Housing Act. I think we mentioned it in our remarks like it definitely froze capital and I don't want to give the impression that capital is thawed but it's starting to poke its eyes up and sort of say okay how can we participate in this sector and How could we be meaningfully committed to creating new supply? Which all lines up with our business plan of what we laid out in November at our Investor Day. We definitely want to be, if not the largest, the best operator of build-to-rent communities in the country. That's definitely a goal of ours. We now, I think, between what we operate and own and NJVs are probably getting close to almost 100 communities. We have expertise here. in a similar way that we're doing it on the scattered side. So I think as these smaller operators, these small portfolios, smaller pools of capital are looking for sort of a way to either enhance returns through third-party management or look for an exit partner, I think Invitation Homes could fit that bill nicely. It'll still come down to cost of capital and where we think our cost of capital is. Scott talked about being active with JVs and in partnerships. That's easier for us in this environment right now. It requires less out-of-pocket costs and we make actually a better ROI for our shareholders when you consider the fees and the structures that are in place in those agreements. I think as it relates to the balance sheet, we'll weigh it out relative to share or purchase and other things that we're looking at. The lending business has been really accretive were pleased with what that's doing. It's also a conduit for new activity for the company, both in the built-to-rent space and in the 3PM sort of, you know, what I would say ecosphere. And so Scott and the team are doing a really good job of just balancing it. I think, you know, if there's anything we want people to take away from the call is our approach on capital allocation, how we think about growth. The word is balance, like just having really sophisticated balance and how we think about both deploying capital, whether it was through M&A or growth, in lending or in share repurchase. We're just going to be really disciplined capital allocators. And I think the streets sort of respected what we've done over the last six, seven, eight months. We've been smart about when to do it and why. And our approach and our conversations both in our management investment committees and with our board will continue to be the same.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Jade Romani with KBW. Please go ahead.

speaker
Jason Satchel
Analyst, KBW

Thanks for taking the question. This is Jason Satchel on for Jade. So just out of curiosity, how much of the new lease rate growth do you think is seasonal versus improvement in underlying conditions? Because the typical cadence is for there to be an uplift from 1Q to 2Q. Thanks.

speaker
Tim Lobner
Chief Operating Officer

Yeah, hey, great question. You know, our perspective is that we are seeing improving market conditions. Obviously, we know that there's a degree of seasonality to New lease gross, and we talked about that at investor conferences and on past calls. But if you look at the supply data, again, the unique listings in each market of four lease properties, that number's coming down. And remember, pricing is a direct reflection of supply and demand, demand remaining healthy, supply coming down. So we believe that the fundamentals are actually in our favor right now. Again, we're cautiously optimistic. about how the rest of the year proceeds. But again, it is panning out as we expected. And as I mentioned earlier, we're liking the setup for 2027.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. We do have a follow-up question coming from Amy Proband with UBS-Discohead.

speaker
Amy Provent
Analyst, UBS

Hi. Thanks for the follow-up. Following the resolution on the road to housing, do you think that your scatter site infill portfolio becomes relatively more valuable given that it can't really be replicated at this point? And if so, does that change your view on capital recycling from those scatter site homes?

speaker
Dallas Tanner
President and Chief Executive Officer

Look, I think our view on all of the grandfathered assets as it relates to the new legislation obviously have sort of a premium valuation tied to it in the sense that you're an operator operating those assets. I wouldn't say it's absolute in terms of how you think about your asset management strategies, what you want to sell versus what you want to hold, what you want to reinvest in, but there certainly is value to it. I think it's smart to recognize that there are a number of operators that are going to have a grandfathered sort of edge to the portfolios. And look, taking another step back, the bill certainly, in our understanding, allows for growth in a scattered sense so long as you're doing it with builders going forward and it's new product or newer product as it's called in the bill. Now, there's still rulemaking and things like that, but what Scott's doing right now in participating in these communities with a number of both private, regional, and public builders is another way that will enhance our scattered footprint. We're huge believers in the scattered footprint thesis in terms of both how it works for the families and the residents that live there. They love being in communities where their neighbors are homeowners and their stability and and kids are growing up in similar neighborhoods with other families. And we also like it from an operational perspective because it's part of our edge. We're really good at operating a scattered site. And so I think both the value of our legacy portfolio, portfolios we'll look at in the future and how we will design our aggregation of capital and how we will invest capital in the foreseeable future, scatter will be a large part of it.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Our last question comes from Brad Heffern with RBC Peace. Go ahead.

speaker
Brad Hepburn
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Hey, yeah, thanks. Appreciate the follow-up. Can you talk about on ResiBuilt, what sort of NOI we can expect that to generate? Looks like it was about 12 million in the first half. I'm sure it'll bounce around just given the nature of the business, but is that a good run rate or is there a different way we should think about it as it potentially transitions to more development specifically for invitation?

speaker
Jon Olsen
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, I mean, it's a good question. I think it's a little early to answer. As I mentioned earlier in some of my Q&A responses, You know, the disruption in the market, sort of the chilling effect on capital formation that we saw for about, you know, five of the first six months of the year, you know, is going to cause us to have to overcome a little bit of a gap in terms of what we expected to come off. Look, to be clear, we view that as a strategic acquisition that provides us a lever to continue to grow via a channel and a capability that we didn't possess previously. So I'm not prepared to say what I think the earnings contribution may be over time, but I would say that we are really excited about what we're seeing. Fee building is going to continue to be a big part of our strategy going forward. That is a very accretive, profitable business, and the ResiBuilt team is exceptionally good at that. And then, as Dallas mentioned earlier, we are looking at more opportunities. Scott's seeing more things with the ResiBuilt team that may eventually make sense to do either on balance sheet or with joint venture partners. But our expectation is that this is going to be a growth engine for our business over time and distance.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. And that concludes our question and answer session. I would like to hand it back to the President and CEO, Dallas Tanner, for closing remarks.

speaker
Dallas Tanner
President and Chief Executive Officer

We want to thank everyone for participating today. We look forward to seeing everybody this fall. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you, presenters. And ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect.

Disclaimer

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