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spk06: hello and welcome to the jackson financial inc third quarter 2022 earnings call my name is alex i'll be coordinating the call today if you'd like to ask a question at the end of the presentation you can press star 1 on your telephone keypad if you'd like to draw your question you may press star 2. i'll now hand over to your host liz weiner head of investor relations liz please go ahead good morning everyone before we begin we remind you that today's presentation may include forward-looking statements
spk00: which are not guarantees of future performance or outcomes. A number of important factors, including risks, uncertainties, and assumptions, discussed in Risk Factors and Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition in the company's 2021 Form 10-K and 2022 Second Quarter 10-Q could cause actual results to differ materially from those reflected in the forward-looking statements. In this presentation, management will refer to certain non-GAAP measures which management believes provide useful information in measuring the financial performance of the business. A reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures to the most comparable GAAP measures is contained in the appendix to the presentation. With us today are Jackson CEO, Laura Prescorn, our CFO, Marcia Wadston, our Vice Chair, Chad Myers, the President of Jackson National Life Distributors, Scott Romine, our Head of ALM and Chief Actuary, Steve Ben-Yorris, and the President and CEO of PPM, Craig Smith. At this time, I'll turn the call over to Laura. Thank you, Liz.
spk01: Good morning, and welcome to our third quarter earnings call. Today, we will discuss our results, our continued capital return to shareholders, and our recent sales and distribution initiatives. Overall, our third quarter results continue to demonstrate Jackson's resiliency through periods of market stress. Through the first nine months of the year, we navigated ongoing volatility across markets and a decline in the broader equity markets of approximately 25%, building on our track record of effective risk management and operating profitability. Looking toward the end of the year, we remain confident in delivering on our 2022 capital return targets and in the long-term profitability of the business. Net income for the third quarter of 2022 was $1.5 billion, driven largely by the positive impact of rising interest rates. This contributed to growth in book value. It also further reduced our financial leverage, which remained well below our target range of 20 to 25% over the past two quarters. For the nine-month period, net income was $6.4 billion and adjusted book value reached $12.4 billion. We reported solid underlying operating results this quarter. Pre-tax adjusted operating earnings, excluding notable items, were $480 million. This is in line with the second quarter, despite market pressure on annuity account values. Jackson's operating efficiency remains a key contributor to profitability and reflects our culture of expense discipline. During the third quarter, our discipline risk management approach and our healthy in-force book drove solid capital generation at our operating company. As anticipated, rising interest rates were a benefit and our operating RBC increased significantly from the second quarter of 2022. The value of our hedging strategy is even more visible in volatile market environments, preserving the economics of our book as well as statutory capital. We remain balanced in our approach to capital management, maintaining a strong capital position and investing in our business while deliberately and consistently returning capital to shareholders. We're well positioned to meet our financial targets for 2022. Through the first nine months of the year, we've returned approximately $400 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. Our long-term confidence and the sustainability of our capital generation is reflected in our quarterly shareholder dividend, which will be 55 cents per share for the fourth quarter. We view our dividend as a differentiator and an important component of our capital return strategy. Market volatility has also impacted the dynamics of annuity activity. Excluding the business reinsured to Athene, our annuity net flows for the third quarter were flat as variable annuity net outflows were largely offset by the combined positive flows on RILA, fixed annuities, and fixed indexed annuities. Net flows were positive for the first nine months of the year at $400 million. Our third quarter RILA sales were $562 million, up from $490 million in the second quarter. Jackson continues to see RILA contributing to new and reengaged advisor relationships. As we mentioned last quarter, Jackson is well positioned during this period of market uncertainty thanks to our mix of retirement product solutions and award-winning service. We recently took pricing actions across our full annuity product spectrum as a result of rising interest rates and Jackson's focus on providing consumer value. We seek to provide flexibility in the solutions we structure for our policyholders with a prudent approach to pricing and product design. This approach has served us well over the long term, leading to an overall sustainable value proposition for our policyholders and a healthy, profitable book of business for our shareholders. Our product and channel diversification provides solutions that serve advisors and their clients through a range of market conditions. Jackson's variable annuity sales of $2.9 billion represent a quarterly decline that is consistent with industry trends. we remain committed to traditional variable annuities as a valuable consumer option that provides choice and customization. Our fixed and fixed index annuity sales are growing while continuing to reflect our pricing discipline. With our launch last October, our RILA product adds to the array of product offerings that address the needs of consumers. In October, we announced our growing distribution relationship with Halo, a technology platform serving the Registered Investment Advisor or RIA market. After a successful first year of offering fee-based FIA and RILA through HALO, we expanded RIA access to retirement solutions by adding variable annuities to the HALO platform. RIAs remain an underserved channel and annuities provide a long-term retirement income and savings solution that can complement existing portfolios. Beyond our initiatives to develop differentiated products and expand distribution, we are actively engaged with our peers and industry trade groups to support legislation like the RILA Act and Secure 2.0 to increase access to valuable retirement solutions for all Americans. Jackson's role as an industry leader is consistent with our long-term commitment to the market. Annuities are our primary business, and our strong culture of execution has positioned us well for navigating future change and evolving markets. As I mentioned earlier, we are confident in comfortably reaching our 2022 financial targets. We expect to be at or above the midpoint of the targeted capital return range and maintain one of the lowest levels of financial leverage among our peers. Our holding company cash position was nearly $800 million at the end of the quarter, and we are above our 500 to 525% targeted range for adjusted RBC under normal market conditions. In October, our commitment to maintaining a strong capital position was recognized by AMBEST when they changed Jackson's long-term issuer credit rating outlook from stable to positive. At this time, I'll turn the call over to Marcia to review our financial results in more detail.
spk03: Thank you, Laura. Turning to our results on slide five, lower equity markets in the quarter led to a decline in our adjusted operating earnings from the prior year's third quarter. Lower fee income from reduced separate account assets under management, as well as lower levels of limited partnership income, were partially offset by lower deferred acquisition cost amortization expense and lower commission expense. A portion of commissions are asset-based and partially offset the market impact to fee income, which helps dampen earnings volatility through market cycles. As a reminder, we believe Jackson has taken a conservative approach to the treatment of guaranteed fees within our definition of adjusted operating earnings, as all guaranteed fees are moved below the line with no assumed profit on guaranteed benefits included in adjusted operating earnings. In the third quarter, strong net income resulted in a higher adjusted book value, even after returning $88 million to shareholders in the quarter. This reduced our leverage ratio to 17.5%, which compares favorably to the industry and rating agency expectations. Similar to last quarter, We've included additional portfolio details in the appendix of our earnings presentation that provide portfolio breakdowns on both GAAP and statutory bases, excluding the assets reinsured to Athene. Jackson's investment portfolio remains conservatively positioned, with only 1% exposure to below investment grade securities on a statutory basis, along with an up in quality bias in structured securities and commercial mortgage loans. Furthermore, our earnings were not impacted by credit losses and impairments, as these were minimal in the quarter. In the second quarter, we provided preliminary estimates of the impact of long-duration targeted improvements, or LDTI, adoption on shareholders' equity as of the transition date of January 1, 2021. As of the transition date, we estimated a reduction of equity in a range of $2 to $4 billion. Given continued increases in interest rates, we now see the impact moving toward a positive balance sheet impact as of the end of the third quarter. For more transparency, we've included a slide in the appendix that provides some helpful directional guidance for the change in the LDTI-driven shareholders' equity impact from movements in various market factors. As a reminder, we complete our annual assumptions review process in the fourth quarter and disclose the results in our full year earnings release. This process is a thorough and comprehensive look at our assumptions and models that we perform every year. We are still completing this year's review, but we would note that it has been in line with our typical process, which historically has taken new experience data into account as it develops. Slide 6 outlines the notable items included in adjusted operating earnings for the third quarter, starting with limited partnership income. The third quarter of 2022 included lower levels of limited partnership income compared to the same period in the prior year. Results from limited partnership investments, which report on a one-quarter lag, were $54 million lower in the current quarter than they would have been had returns matched the long-term expectation. Comparatively, in the third quarter of 2021, LP income was well above the long-term expectation with benefit of $98 million to earnings, creating a comparative pre-tax negative impact of $152 million. Additionally, there were market-related impacts to DAC amortization expense in the third quarter of 2022. Operating DAC amortization has multiple components, which are outlined on page 16 of our appendix. The market-related impact on DAC includes both the current period return impact, as well as the impact from the drop-off of historical returns from the mean reversion formula as you move through time. The current period return impact was driven by a negative 4.5% separate account return in the quarter, which was below the assumed return. In the prior year's third quarter, the current year return impact was also unfavorable due to a negative 0.2% separate account return in that period, which was also below the assumed return. The stronger negative return in the current period drove a higher level of DAC acceleration expense of $72 million relative to prior year at $24 million. Looking at the drop-off return impact, This was a drag of $39 million per quarter in 2021, while in 2022 it was a benefit of $50 million per quarter. This explains why there was a comparative benefit in the current quarter for market-driven DAC despite the weaker separate account return figure compared to the prior year period. Considering both components, the market-driven DAC effect was a net positive impact of $41 million on a pre-tax basis when comparing the third quarter of 2022 to the prior year period. In terms of market-driven DAC acceleration or deceleration for modeling purposes for fourth quarter, we have provided additional details on the mechanics of the calculation within the appendix. This market-related effect is expected to change in the first quarter of 2023 with the adoption of LDTI, which adopts a more levelized amortization methodology. In addition to the notable items, The third quarter of 2022 had a lower effective tax rate than the prior year's quarter. Third quarter 2021 pre-tax operating earnings were higher than the current year quarter, which meant that in the case of tax benefits that were similar on a dollar basis in these two periods, the current period had a larger reduction to the effective tax rate. Adjusted for both the notable items and the tax effects, earnings per share was down from the prior year's quarter primarily due to the reduced fee income resulting from lower average assets under management. Slide 7 illustrates the reconciliation of our third quarter pre-tax adjusted operating earnings of $404 million to pre-tax income attributable to Jackson Financial of $2 billion. Net income includes some changes in liability values under GAAP accounting that we consider to be non-economic and therefore will not align with our hedging assets. We focus our hedging on the economics of the business, as well as the statutory capital position, and choose to accept the resulting gap below the line volatility. As we show in the appendix slide, which covers the gap below the line impact from macroeconomic factors under the current gap rules, higher interest rates and lower equity markets are a combination that leads to significantly positive net hedging results. As shown in the table, the total guaranteed benefits and hedging results, or net hedge result, was a gain of $774 million in the third quarter. Starting from the left side of the waterfall chart, you see a robust guarantee fee stream of $771 million in the third quarter, providing significant resources to support the hedging of our guarantees. These fees are calculated based on the benefit base rather than the account value, which provides stability to the guarantee fee stream and protects our hedge budget when markets decline. As previously noted, all guarantee fees are presented in non-operating income to align with the hedging and liability movements. There was a $253 million loss on freestanding derivatives, which was driven by losses on interest rate hedges in the rising rate environment. This was partially offset by gains on equity hedges in the quarter due to declining equity markets. There was a gain of $714 million on net reserve and embedded derivative movements, which were also driven by higher interest rates but partially offset by declining equity markets. In addition to the net hedge result, net income in the third quarter reflects $868 million of income from business reinsured to third parties. This benefit was primarily due to a gain on a funds withheld reinsurance treaty that includes an embedded derivative and the related net investment income, which do not impact our capital or free cash flow and can be volatile from quarter to quarter. As Laura noted, the high level of net income in the quarter helps to support our adjusted book value and improve our financial leverage ratio. Now let's look at our business segments on slide 8, starting with retail annuities, where we see continued growth in RILA and resilient overall net flows in the face of significant market volatility. Variable annuity sales are down industry-wide, which is consistent with prior periods of equity market declines. While Jackson's VA sales are down as well, we continue to produce significant volumes. Our RILA sales continue to grow, providing valuable economic diversification and capital efficiency benefits alongside our traditional variable annuities. Overall, sales without lifetime benefits as a percentage of our total retail sales increased from 34% in the third quarter of last year to 41% in the third quarter of this year. We expect this percentage to vary somewhat over time based on market conditions and consumer demand. Growing our fee-based advisory business remains a focus for us, and while sales of these products were down from the prior year's quarter due in large part to market conditions, we are optimistic about the long-term growth potential from this business. Looking at our total annuity market share, the recent decline is in line with the lower variable annuity sales I just mentioned. We would note that our strength in the market was not built on price competition, but rather on our consistent presence in the market a compelling retirement value proposition, strong distribution relationships, and our award-winning customer service. We have never explicitly targeted market share, and we see our long-term position as a market leader in the space as an outcome rather than a goal. The product changes Laura mentioned reflect our deliberate approach to updating product offerings as interest rates rise. Looking at pre-tax adjusted operating earnings for our retail annuities segment on slide 9, we are down from the prior year's third quarter. This was primarily the result of the decline in limited partnership income I discussed earlier, as well as the impact of reduced assets under management on fee income. Our efficient expense structure has helped support earnings in this declining AUM environment. As of the end of the third quarter, we have built up over $1.2 billion of account value on RILA. Because of the very early age of our RILA book, minimal surrender activity allows for sales to contribute to an immediate buildup in account value. We have a similar dynamic on our fixed annuity and fixed indexed annuity books. Although much of this business is reinsured to Athene, the account values remaining at Jackson grew during the period due to positive net flows. Our other operating segments are shown on slide 10. For our institutional segment, sales for the third quarter totaled $314 million and pre-tax adjusted operating earnings of $20 million were essentially flat compared to the prior year period. We see the value of the institutional business as broader than just GAAP earnings as it provides diversification benefits, is cost effective, and helps to stabilize our statutory capital generation. Lastly, our closed life and annuity block segment reported a decline in adjusted operating earnings compared to the prior year, reflecting lower levels of limited partnership income. Absent future M&A activity, the earnings for this segment should trend downward as the business runs off over time. Slide 11 summarizes our progress on capital return, as well as our balance sheet and capital position as of the third quarter. As Laura noted, we managed our exposure through a challenging market improved our capital position, and continued to make progress towards our 2022 capital return goals. Through the nine months, we returned $396 million to our shareholders, reflecting significant progress toward reaching our 2022 target of $425 to $525 million. In fact, the strength of our overall capital position has led us to anticipate ending the year at or above the midpoint of our target range. We have continued to remain active in share buybacks during the fourth quarter, with $25 million repurchased through November 3rd. Also, as Laura mentioned, yesterday we announced the approval of our fourth quarter dividend of $0.55 per share. We intend to provide updated cash return guidance beyond calendar year 2022 after our review of year-end earnings results. Our total financial leverage of 17.5% at the end of the third quarter was down from 18.5% as of the end of the second quarter. We believe that this level provides us the financial flexibility to navigate potential market volatility. Moving on to statutory capital, our primary operating company, Jackson National Life Insurance Company, reported a total adjusted capital position of $9.5 billion up from $8.7 billion as of the second quarter. our healthy book of business continues to generate strong base contract cash flows. When looking at our variable annuity guarantee results, the combined impact of reserve movements, hedge asset results, and guarantee fees were an overall boost to total adjusted capital. Importantly, despite the heightened volatility, our hedging spend was in line with the guarantee fees collected this quarter. As I discussed last quarter, interest rates are a key driver of hedging expenses, both in the cost of the hedging instruments used to protect our book, which is driven by short-term rates, and the volume of hedging necessary to stay within our risk limits, which is driven by longer-term rates. The increases in both ends of the yield curve benefited hedging expenses in the current quarter and has also allowed us to begin to increase the duration of our equity hedges. The statutory required capital, or CAL, was essentially unchanged during the quarter as the negative impact from the equity market decline was broadly offset by the benefit to CAL from higher interest rates. Considering both the TAC and CAL movements, the estimated operating company RBC increased significantly from the second quarter, which was already at a very healthy level of capitalization at the regulated entity. In addition to the healthy cash flows from the business, the RBC gain in the third quarter was further supported by benefits within VM21 for movements and interest rates, which were not as limited by the cash surrender value floor as they were earlier in 2022. The increase in operating company RBC under the circumstance we have seen in recent quarters is a testament to the overall resiliency of our in-force business and the effectiveness of our risk management. As we stated last quarter, an adjusted RBC target for normal market conditions is not intended to be an official barometer of Jackson's excess capital or ability to return capital to shareholders. While current levels of capitalization are an important input into our capital return considerations, long-term capital planning is also influenced by the expectations of future earnings on our healthy in-force block. At the end of the third quarter, the adjusted RBC ratio was up significantly and above the normal market target range. This was due to the increase in the operating company RBC exceeding the $88 million reduction in the level of holding company cash to support capital return to shareholders. Our holding company cash position is nearly $800 million and continues to be well in excess of our minimum buffer. At quarter end, this excess cash position represents between one and two years of holding company expenses and current level of shareholder dividends, and it provides significant flexibility should the current stress environment persist. In summary, we are pleased to have greater clarity on our full-year capital return expectations, a growing level of RBC, a significant excess holding company cash position, and a strong balance sheet with leverage below our target range. And with that, I will turn it back to Laura.
spk01: Thank you, Marcia. Slide 12 clearly depicts our consistent approach to shareholder capital return. Our total cash return since completing our separation now exceeds $650 million at the end of the third quarter and we anticipate ending 2022 at or above the midpoint of our target range. In summary, the third quarter demonstrated the continued resiliency of both our business and our balance sheet. It also marked the completion of our first full year as an independent public company. In mid September our associates were recognized for their collective accomplishments in celebration of this milestone. Our team's commitment to excellence and our strong momentum position us well for the remainder of the year, as we build on the successes of the quarter. We are optimistic about the future of our business as our focus strategy and resilience continue to power us forward to deliver value for all stakeholders. And with that, I'll now open up the call for questions.
spk06: Thank you. As a reminder, if you'd like to ask a question, you can press star 1 on your telephone keypad. If you'd like to withdraw your question, you may press star 2. Please ensure you're unmuted locally when asking your question. Our first question for today comes from Sunit Kamath from Jefferies. Sunit, your line is now open.
spk05: Great. Thank you, and good morning. Just wanted to start on the RBC. Obviously, it's good to see a strong and improving RBC despite the challenging equity market, but there has been a fair amount of volatility in the RBC this year on an absolute basis, and I would say relative to your peers. So have you given any thought to strategies that you could pursue to try to smooth out the RBC? So it feels like every time you guys report earnings, the stock is up or down a ton based on what the RBC is and any kind of transparency, I think, would be helpful to the volatility. But just any thoughts on that?
spk01: Yes, of course. Good morning. Thanks for the question, Sunit. We had mentioned in first quarter and second quarter that the rising rates would initially be an impact, a negative impact, and then in the second half of the year, we would expect to see the benefits come through. So we're in that point in the year, certainly, and I'll turn it over to Marcia to talk through the more specifics around the drivers.
spk03: Marcia Gooding- Sure. Thanks, Amy. So I think to understand the question about the volatility, I think the way we look at it, though, is that RBC volatility is not inconsistent with the ability to have stable cash return, and that is a priority for us. see RBC volatility as being a reasonable trade-off for a very high return business. And we manage that short-term volatility within our risk tolerances. So as we've said before, and I think, again, in the prepared remarks here, we don't see the 500 to 525 adjusted RBC as a measure directly of distributable capital. And it's not a minimum that would impede our ability to return capital. Just generally speaking, I think this is a business that we're managing over the long term, not quarter to quarter, and it's supported by a healthy book of business. So while we've managed the volatility in RBC over time, which is kind of a natural consequence to the market sensitivity in our business, we've got a good history of strong cash return to shareholders, both before as a private company and more recently as a public company. So we're comfortable that while we have volatility and market-driven volatility, we're comfortable with that level of volatility because of our risk framework, because of our hedging strategy, and just the strength of our balance sheet. And just we want to avoid spending money and destroying value if it's not economical and really in the best interest of the shareholders.
spk05: Okay, and then I guess on your comment about the the year end assumption review just wanted to confirm. First of all, that you guys don't have a big exposure to stu well and. So the industry study that has affected some of your peers this year and then sort of relatedly the other product that has been getting some attention. Is va particularly with respect to lapse rates so just curious, you know how is your lapse rate experience been versus your expectations and maybe. How does it compare to some of the industry studies that are out there?
spk03: Sure, thanks. So, yeah, you're right on the UL with secondary guarantees. Our exposure is minimal. We have approximately $1 billion of reserves for the, you know, kind of base contract and guarantees combined on either GAAP or stat basis. So definitely not a material block at all for us. With respect to VA LAPs, we – As I mentioned previously, I think last year at this time, and then, you know, earlier in the remarks, we have a really comprehensive process around our assumption review, so certainly LAPS, VA LAPS assumption is one that gets a lot of focus, and we have a ton of experience data to help support those, setting those assumptions. Our process is to make adjustments every year in response to any emerging experience. So that, number one, keeps us from having opportunity for larger changes as you're catching up to experience, because we're just kind of keeping up to it regularly. We've not seen anything significantly different this year and throughout 2022. Actual lapse rates have kind of been reduced in the way you would expect them to with markets. down and the money that's in the guarantees up. I think the behavior has generally been in line with what our dynamic lapse assumptions would assume. So naturally we'll make tweaks as we go through and complete the process to reflect the latest experience we have. But when you think about how we compare to industry, I would say a couple things. One, we take advantage of opportunities to look at all of the industry study data that we can we can get and we participate in some studies in order to have access to that. But the other key thing is really that we are, of course, along with others, subject to the standard projections testing within the statutory framework to ensure that, as a whole, our assumptions are not more aggressive than what the reserving and capital requirements would be under the prescribed assumptions. And we've historically never had to set up any additional reserves as a result of that test. So I think that indicates our assumptions are kind of reasonably aligned or in some cases maybe more conservative than what those prescribed assumptions would require.
spk05: Got it. And then just maybe if I could sneak one more in on LDTI. I think you alluded to this a little bit in your prepared remarks, but maybe we could flush it out a little bit more. One of your competitors talked about a pretty sizable hit to operating earnings from the adoption of LDTI. And I think the impact was sort of felt in the attributed fees. And so I know you guys treat your VA guarantee fees differently than some of your peers, but I just wanted to get a sense if you think just based on that different treatment, does that mean that you would have potentially less of an impact from LDTI in terms of your earnings or Any additional color on that would be helpful if you can provide it. Thanks.
spk03: Sure. So the main impact to our operating earnings for LDTI really will be, I think, driven by DAC, and that will be the absence of the market sensitivity that we have today. But when you think about the fees, we have, as you noted before, taken what we think is a conservative approach by putting the full amount of guaranteed fees below the line. Under our LDTI development work, we have to reassess those attributed fees under the LDTI framework, and that has resulted in continuation of the situation we had pre-LDTI, which is that our attributed fees in aggregate are less than the guaranteed fees that we collect. So we will be having no dependence on the fees that will be included in operating income to support the GAAP MRV liability. And as a consequence, we'll be able to make no change to our adjusted operating earnings definition with respect to guaranteed fees and kind of continue that conservative approach.
spk05: Got it. Thank you so much.
spk06: Thank you. Our next question comes from Nigel Daly of Morgan Stanley. Nigel, your line is now open.
spk04: Great, thanks and good morning. I wanted to touch on the capital return targets. Obviously good to hear that you expect to be at or above the midpoint of your expected range for 2022. How should we be thinking about pre-cash flow generation for 2023? Assuming no year-end actuarial reviews of prices, would a similar level be a reasonable goal or is that likely to be a little under pressure due to the market declines that we've seen this year?
spk03: Hi, Nigel. It's Marcia here. As we said, we'll have that finalized and come back after we've looked at our year-end results. But I think where we would sit today, we would kind of reiterate what we've said in the past, that our return target of 425 to 525 that we established for 2022 is in line with what we think is a reasonable long-term kind of level of capital return. So, you know, at this point, we've got nothing more specific to kind of define for 2023 yet, but I think that's just helpful context.
spk04: Okay, then just a numbers question, just on the tax rate. Historically, you've used a 15% guidance range. It's clearly below that. Is 15% still a good number to be normalizing to, or should we expect that to continue to be somewhat below that range for the foreseeable future?
spk03: Well, I think for just the coming quarter, I think we probably would have a continuation of a trend that's more similar to what we've been experiencing the last couple of quarters. As we move into next year with LDTI and thinking about operating profits under that, without the market sensitivity and DAC, I think we'll end up with just a bit more of a stable picture in terms of how operating income emerges. which will probably alleviate some of the tax rate variability that we've seen. But I think for as a placeholder, I wouldn't probably have any newer guidance than the 15% at this point. That's great.
spk06: Thanks. Thank you. Our next question comes from Tom Gallagher of Evercall ISI. Tom, your line is now open.
spk07: Good morning. Following this quarter's results, are your variable annuity statutory reserves floored out at zero again, or do you still have a considerable amount of reserves? Maybe give some quantification if you do still have reserves that you'd be able to release to the extent that equity markets ended up strong in 4Q when you had mark-to-market derivative losses. I'm just trying to understand what that dynamic is going to look like in Q4.
spk03: We did end the quarter with reserves up compared to where we would have been earlier in the year, just largely driven by the equity performance and what that meant for our separate accounts in the second quarter. So we are sitting as we enter Q4 with a higher level of reserves in place than we would have had in earlier periods this year or last year.
spk07: Can you give some dimensioning of that from a sizing perspective? I just want to get a sense for whether it would potentially be large enough to offset the mark-to-market derivative losses in Q4 to the extent that equity markets moved up a lot higher or even held their gains from where we are now.
spk03: At the end of the third quarter, we had about a billion dollars of reserves in excess of the cash surrender values. on the VA block.
spk07: That's helpful. Thanks. And then did I hear you correctly that you said you made some changes to your hedging, including increasing duration of equity hedges? Any color on how you either have been changing that portfolio and as you think about now with interest rates where they are? Are you thinking about adding more interest rate protection up here and any color for what you've done on the equity side as well? Thanks.
spk03: So I think first on the On the duration question, so with respect to the purchases we've made for equity options, the higher level of interest rates does make the longer dated options more economical. So we've been able to kind of shift as options have expired and we've had to rebalance. Is it taking the opportunity in this higher interest rate environment? Yes. to kind of extend the maturity a bit on some of those so that we have a little bit more stable coverage in that regard and have a little bit less role activity that we need to do. And then on interest rate hedging, we're always kind of looking at interest rate hedging with respect to kind of the cash flow profile and the risk profile of the business. So that is something that will just automatically be adjusted over time just based on the position we're in. And that's really kind of a second-order thing because initially it's the equity movements in the market that kind of define what the expected level of benefit payments will be in the future that need to be discounted, and that's what kind of gives rise to the interest rate risk. So as we move through time and either equity movement change the kind of profile there of those future payments or the interest rate levels are themselves different, that's gonna just dictate natural adjustments that we're gonna make. But they'll always be just with the lens toward keeping us within our risk framework and making sure that we're protected against any of the sensitivities that we're looking at to be in compliance with any of our risk limits.
spk07: That's helpful. And just one quick follow-up. The last time I checked, it looked like most of your equity options were about three months. Have you, so when you're talking about extending duration, have you been going six months or a year? Any color on that?
spk10: Hey, Tom, this is Steve. Yeah, many of our put options that we started to kind of starting in Q2 and into Q3, they were roughly one to two years in duration. So quite a bit longer than the trades we've historically done in the last five, six years with low rates.
spk07: OK. Thanks a lot for the color.
spk06: Thank you. Our next question comes from Eric Bass of Autonomous. Eric, your line is now open.
spk02: Hi. Thank you. I was just hoping you could talk a bit about your appetite for growing fixed annuity and FIA sales in this environment.
spk01: Good morning, Eric. We certainly have been paying attention to the rising interest rates and have taken opportunity for pricing actions across our entire annuity spectrum, which does include fixed in our fixed index annuity offerings as well. So we have seen an increase in sales in those products. But our, you know, prudent pricing certainly looks to strike a balance between, you know, our profitability targets and good consumer value. So we're happy to see the increase in sales and we'll, you know, continue to monitor rates and be disciplined in our product pricing going forward.
spk02: Got it. Thank you. I guess strategically, do you – Does it benefit you at all, or would you like to see a more balanced mix between spread-based products, including RILAs, FIAs, fixed annuities, and institutional with your traditional VAs over time? Or are you really agnostic and we'll just sell what the market is kind of bearing and where there's policyholder demand?
spk01: Yes, we'll stay consistent with our full annuity product offering. The growth in RILA sales certainly is where we see our best opportunity. We've mentioned before we get the economic offset with the RILA sales to our VA sales. So we're happy to continue to see momentum in the RILA sales. But we'll continue to be consistent and have our annuity offerings have products across the entire spectrum.
spk02: Thank you. If I could just ask one last one. Marcia touched on this, I think, in her prepared remarks, but can you just talk a little bit about why required capital was flat this quarter? And I guess just looking back to first quarter, equity markets were also down 5% and rates also up 80 basis points in that quarter. So I guess what was different now? Was it just a different starting point?
spk03: Yeah, it is primarily a different starting point, largely related to where we stand with the degree of cash value floor impact, because that does often kind of impact us far into the tail, even within the CT98 calculation that defines the required capital for VA. So it is just a different starting point, and as things played out this year, having come into this quarter, excuse me, having come into the quarter in a different position than we came into the first quarter, We just saw more kind of liability response that wasn't inhibited by the cash value floor impact. And so we ended up with a pretty offsetting impact between the equity decline and the interest rate rise for the quarter, kind of just balancing each other out pretty well to keep us at an overall level of required capital that was consistent with how we entered the quarter.
spk10: Got it. Thank you. Hey, Eric. This is Steve. Just to add one more thing. One thing we dealt with, did deal with in the first quarter was the mean reversion parameter did decrease, which would have come through in the CAL that was reported. You know, obviously that's a one-time-a-year look, and, you know, one of the things we keep on saying is rates continue to move up. You know, that's going to benefit us, and as things are tracking right now with, I guess, two months left in the year, when we flip the clock to the new year, the mean reversion parameter does look like it will unwind that drop that we've experienced at the beginning of this year and shift to a positive next year.
spk02: Got it. Thank you. Appreciate that.
spk06: Thank you. Our next question comes from Alex Scott of Goldman Sachs. Alex, your line is now open.
spk09: Hi. Good morning. First one I had was I just wanted to come back to the comments about operating earnings you made. I think as part of that conversation, you mentioned that attributed fees under LDTI, you expect to be actually lower than the actual fees that you're earning on the riders. And I just wanted to make sure I understood that correctly, because I think I think all of your peers so far have said that attributed fees are higher. I mean, one of the companies actually is included in operating and operating earnings is going down. But even the company that operating earnings is not changing, they said on their call that attributed fees were well higher than actual fees. So this would be something that I think is very unique and differentiated about you all if that's true. So I wanted to sort of unpack that a little bit and understand that comment.
spk03: Sure, Alex. This is Marcia. That is correct. That is the way the results are coming through for us under LDTI. I mean, I think it's a combination of a few different factors. Our book of business is different than some others in terms of either the nature of guarantees and even the time period over which they were written. So the calculation of attributed fees is going to be defined by the conditions at policy issue. And so take into account what level of guaranteed fees have we priced to. I think we've historically said that we've been generally not a price leader. We've been kind of taking a conservative approach and made sure that we were really pricing in a disciplined manner to cover kind of tail type scenarios. So we feel like our pricing has been solid and that's, generated the level of fees that we charge. And then when you go to calculate the attributed fees, one of the things that is different for some companies that may have had a heavier concentration of benefits that would have been previously or currently under SOP03-1 and shifting over to FAS 157 under the LDTI changes, that would be GMI and death benefits, which we have as well. But I think our block wouldn't have any significant exposure to GMIB, having been more predominantly GMWB. A lot of that was already under FAS 157. So I think maybe just there are differences in the hooks of business between product mix and just the level of profitability, I guess, or strength of the of the fees to cover off the requirements under GAAP.
spk09: Got it. Okay. I'm going to have to give that some thought. The other question I wanted to ask you, you know, is I've looked at the last few quarters and tried to follow what you're saying. I've realized I really don't know what your hedge target is on your variable annuities. it doesn't sound like it's market neutral just based on what you're saying about volatility under LDTI and so forth and wanting to retain more economics. I think based on the last few quarters, it's clearly not statutory accounting. Could you maybe just try to help me think holistically? How do you hedge your variable annuities? What is the target? What is this risk framework that you talk about? What is that target?
spk03: I'll start off and then probably have Steve jump in as well. But the way we look at the hedging is our economic view is focused on the underlying cash flow. So it's not a market consistent type, which would be more in line with GAAP. We are looking at the cash flows of the business. And so that is, in a sense, more aligned with statutory, as statutory is more just cash flow based type of a view. But statutory has various statutory-specific limits and nuances to that framework, which requires us to sometimes be doing additional hedging to protect that. And we do have this statutory element to our considerations for hedging. As we talked about before, kind of more of an economic view, cash flow-based economic view is the kind of primary view. And then we have a statutory overlay if needed in terms of a macro hedge if there's additional hedging needed to protect that capital. But we're also not, in either case, either on an economic basis or a statutory basis, doing kind of like an immunization strategy where we're trying to exactly match movements, either both in the economic view or stat. We recognize there can be some degree of volatility around there, and we're trying to strike a good balance between the amount that we spend on hedging, not overspending and destroying value by taking an immunization approach and having some leeway in there, And that leeway is really what's guided by our risk framework and our ability to make sure that we're staying within our risk limits under stresses.
spk10: Yeah, and then I'll just add, you know, obviously, you know, these are volatile quarters and, you know, we continue to perform pretty well in terms of how the hedging is coming through. And, you know, our strategy is consistent. It's not something that's you know, adjusted over time. It doesn't change with markets. It's, you know, very strategic. I would say it's not a tactical hedging approach where, you know, depending on where the level of rates are, we'll take a view on where rates will go. It's really dictated by our framework and our profile. That dictates the types of hedges we'll do. And obviously rates have gone up quite a bit this year. We're benefiting from that. And as I highlighted earlier, one of the things that comes through is, you know, we've been able to extend the duration of some of our equity trades, which is, you know, definitely helpful. a little bit less role risk in kind of rebalancing the book that we've had to deal with for many years now. So we are seeing the benefits of higher rates coming through in terms of the volume of hedging we have to do and then obviously the cost associated with those trades as well.
spk09: Got it. Yeah, I think maybe it's just an issue of being on the outside looking in. It makes it very difficult. I mean, if there's at any point something you're able to disclose to us around that hedge target and help us think through that a bit more, I think would maybe help us understand that the story is potentially not as volatile as it seems looking in from the outside. So anything you can do to help with that over time would be very appreciated. Thank you.
spk06: Thank you. Our final question for today comes from Ryan Kruger of Stateful. Ryan, your line is now open.
spk08: Hi, good morning. I had a couple questions on hedging also. First, could you give us any sense of where your annual hedge costs are running at now that you're putting on hedges in a better rate environment relative to your guarantee fees?
spk03: Hi, Ryan. For the third quarter and kind of our run rate that we're at currently, has our hedge costs fairly in line with our guarantee fees? That is, it's important to note that we are still in a high volatility environment. So that is something that is a factor in and of itself that will increase the cost of hedging. And we've been benefiting, as Steve said earlier, with regard to higher interest rates. I think as we go forward, at least in the near term with rates being at these more elevated levels, If we see volatility kind of subside, then I think we would certainly expect to find ourselves in a situation where we would be, as we've oftentimes in the past been, where our hedging costs could be below guaranteed fees.
spk08: Got it. Thanks. And then last question is on interest rate hedging. I understand your comment on how you view interest rate hedging relative to long-term potential claims. but the one to two year duration on equity hedges still exposes you to a lot of rollover risk over the long term versus the long duration of the liabilities. Why not do increased interest rate hedging to protect the actual cost of the equity hedges? Because I think that's still one of the biggest variables in your long-term cash flows. And given how much more attractive the rate environment is, it would seem like that would reduce some of the long-term role risk on hedging costs.
spk10: Yeah, Ryan, I think it's a good question. I mean, if you go back to, you know, it's going way back to pre-global financial crisis, you would have saw us buy trades in the three to five-year kind of duration, right? And so we have moved them up from shorter durations to, as I mentioned, one to two years. The one thing that we saw in that time period was higher interest rates. We have that today, but we have very low volatility at that point in time. I think implied vols were sub-18% for long-duration trades. We're not there today. The volatility is still elevated. So we're seeing some benefits of the rates, right? So that's allowing us to extend our trades a little further out. Tad Piper- You know, would we like to maybe get a little longer yeah that might be ideal, but again we've dealt with the role risk for 10 plus years now so it's something we're good at, and so we are benefiting from slightly longer durations and the other thing too is. Tad Piper- I think there's only so far, you want to go out in terms of trades, you know we as Marshall mentioned, we do get assumption updates, you know our experience comes in, we have a very large pocket experience. You know, every time we kind of update that, we're seeing, you know, emerging experience come in slowly over time. So, you know, I don't know if you necessarily want to lock in a 10-year duration trade. In fact, if you're saying, I think I know what, you know, policy or behavior experience is going to be for the next 10 years, and I don't think anybody can be that precise on it. I think we take a view on it, obviously. But, you know, we're adjusting our experience. So it's kind of a balancing act between, you know, not going too far out and letting the experience emerge at the same time.
spk08: Okay, got it. Thank you.
spk06: Thank you. We have no further questions for today, so I'll hand back to Laura Prescorn for any closing remarks.
spk01: Thank you. We appreciate your participation in our call and your interest in Jackson. Thank you for joining us this morning.
spk06: Thank you all for joining today's call. You may now disconnect.
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