5/1/2025

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to KKR's first quarter 2025 earnings conference call. During today's presentation, all parties will be in the listen-only mode. Following management's prepared remarks from the conference will be open for questions. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star and zero on your telephone keypad. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I will now hand the call over to Craig Larson, Partner and Head of Investor Relations for KKR. Craig, please go ahead.

speaker
Craig Larson
Partner and Head of Investor Relations, KKR

Thank you, Operator. Good morning, everyone. Welcome to our first quarter 2025 earnings call. This morning, as usual, I'm joined by Rob Lewin, our Chief Financial Officer, and Scott Nuttall, our Co-Chief Executive Officer. We would like to remind everyone that we'll refer to non-GAAP measures on the call, which are reconciled to GAAP figures in our press release, which is available on the Investor Center section at KKR.com. And as a reminder, we report our segment numbers on an adjusted share basis. This call will contain forward-looking statements, which do not guarantee future events or performance. Please refer to our earnings release and our SEC filings for cautionary factors about these statements. I'm going to begin this morning by reviewing our results for the quarter before Rob walks through the current environment, its impact on our key business drivers, as well as our strategic positioning longer term. Scott will then finish with some closing thoughts. So beginning with our headline financial results for the quarter. Fee-related earnings per share came in at 92 cents up 22% year-over-year. Total operating earnings of $1.24 per share are up 16% year-over-year. And adjusted net income of $1.15 per share is up 19% compared to a year ago. All of these figures are among the highest we reported as a public company and are reflective of a diversified and global business model built over the last decade plus. Going into our quarterly results in a little more detail. Management fees in Q1 were $917 million, up 13% year-over-year, driven by fundraising and deployment activities. If anything, management fee growth in the quarter feels understated relative to the breadth of the $31 billion of new capital that we raised in Q1. The largest component of this $31 billion was capital raised for North America 14. the latest vintage of our flagship North America private equity strategy, which had not turned on as of March 31st and therefore did not contribute to management fees in the quarter. Rob's going to give a little bit of a more fulsome update on America's 14 in a few minutes. Total transaction and monitoring fees were $262 million in the quarter. Capital markets transaction fees were $229 million. driven primarily by activity and new and existing portfolio companies within both private equity and infrastructure. Fee-related performance revenues were $21 million in the quarter. So altogether, fee-related revenues came in at $1.2 billion. That's up 22% year over year. Turning to expenses, fee-related compensation was right at the midpoint of our guided range at 17.5% of fee-related revenues. Other operating expenses were $168 million for the quarter. So in total, fee-related earnings were $823 million, or the $0.92 per share that I mentioned a moment ago, with an FRE margin of 69%. Insurance saving and operating earnings were $259 million, and strategic holdings operating earnings were $31 million, both of which were in line to modestly ahead of our recent guidance. In terms of our strategic holding segment, we've closed on our purchase of additional stakes in three existing core private equity businesses as we introduced on our call last quarter. We continue to feel that our strategic holdings business is a real differentiator for us, and these transactions are a further accelerant for the segment. Today, our share of annual revenue and EBITDA across the 18 company portfolio is approximately $3.8 billion and $920 million respectively. Again, that's our share. And since quarter end, we've announced the acquisition of a new core private equity investment, KRO Healthcare, which will bring our strategic holdings portfolio to 19 companies. So altogether, total operating earnings were $1.24 per share. As a reminder, total operating earnings is comprised of our fee-related earnings together with our insurance and strategic holdings operating earnings, which represent the more recurring components of our earnings streams. Over the last 12 months, total operating earnings comprised nearly 80% of total segment earnings. So said differently, nearly 80% of our pre-tax earnings over the last 12 months were driven by our more recurring earnings streams highlighting the durability of our business, especially during periods of volatility. Turning now to investing earnings within our asset management segment. Realized performance income was $348 million and realized investment income was $218 for total monetization activity of $566 million. That's up almost 40% year over year. This quarter activity was largely driven by the annual crystallization of carry from core PE, as well as other monetization events across traditional PE, as well as growth equity. Turning to investment performance and looking at page 10 of our earnings release. The private equity portfolio was up 4% in the quarter and up 11% over the last 12 months. This was a quarter where investment performance was undoubtedly helped by the geographic diversification of our firm, as European and Asian equity indices were both up in the quarter. In real assets, the opportunistic real estate portfolio was up two in the quarter and up five over the LTM. Infrastructure was up four in the quarter and appreciated 13% over the LTM. And in credit, the leveraged credit composite was flat in the quarter and up seven over the last 12 months. And the alternative credit composite was up three in the quarter and up 11 over the last 12 months. And finally, consistent with historical practice, we increased our dividend to 74 cents per share on an annualized basis or 18 and a half cents per share per quarter, beginning with this quarter. This is now the sixth consecutive year we've increased our dividend since we changed our corporate structure. increasing our annualized dividend from 50 cents per share to 74 cents over this period of time. And with that, I'm pleased to turn the call over to Rob.

speaker
Rob Lewin
Chief Financial Officer, KKR

Thanks a lot, Craig. And thanks everyone for joining our call this morning. We've all experienced some real volatility, particularly since early April. It is in this type of environment that our business model and collaborative culture uniquely positions us. And we are using that to lean in and source attractive investment opportunities around the globe for our clients. As we navigate this volatility, there are a number of themes and questions that we have consistently been hearing from our shareholders and clients. So I thought I would spend my time this morning walking through a number of common areas of focus. The first is the impact of tariffs on our existing portfolio. As a starting point, it is important to remember that tariffs and supply chain diversification and resilience have been front of mind topics for our investment, public affairs, and macro teams dating back to the global pandemic. As a result, for five plus years now, this has been a standard topic of conversation. Taking a look at our global private equity portfolio today, this includes traditional, core, and growth. Based on our initial findings, we estimate that 90% of our AUM has limited to no first order impact from the announced tariffs. Importantly, This figure does not include identified mitigating measures that we are actively implementing. And specifically, our core private equity portfolio and our strategic holding segment are not expected to have any material impact from tariffs. Across our infrastructure platform, the vast majority of our companies have either contractual protections that insulate KKR returns or minimal estimated exposure. Looking at our infrastructure deployment over the last five years, approximately 70% has been in Europe and in Asia. And as we look at our credit portfolio, there will be pockets of exposure, but we believe the opportunities, and we really do think this is a credit picker's market, will outweigh the downsides. So while we expect there will be individual instances of direct tariff impact in parts of the portfolio, based on how we understand tariffs today, We feel well equipped to manage these challenges and on the whole feel very good with how our portfolio is positioned. The second theme that I wanted to cover this morning is the effect on both the deployment and the modernization environment. We find ourselves in the fortunate position of being ready as a firm to play offense on behalf of our clients. Volatility brings opportunity and we benefit from the global and connected nature of our firm. We've closed or committed to over $30 billion worth of new investments since the start of the year. Within private markets, these investments are diversified across geographies, with more than half coming outside the U.S. Notably, multiple of these investments are in Japan, where we continue to be at the forefront of activity, including the purchases of Fujisoft and Topcon in our private equity strategy. Looking only at investments that we announced over the last month, So when the tariff-related volatility began, we committed over $10 billion of equity. This includes $7 billion in private markets across global opportunities in traditional PE, core PE, infrastructure, and tech growth, to name a few, and another $3 billion in private credit across direct lending, high-grade ABF, and junior debt. Moving next to monetizations, we think we remain really well-positioned here. Our discipline around investment pacing and linear deployment has definitely contributed to the overall strength and maturity of our portfolio. At quarter end, our gross unrealized performance income stands at $8.7 billion. It's a high point for us and up over 25% year on year. I think this number in particular stands out given our healthy level of monetizations over the past 12 months. As a result of our mature and global portfolio and strong investment performance, we are better positioned than some might expect in terms of realization activity, even in the face of the market volatility. To give you a sense, looking at our pending modernizations, so this is based on transactions that are signed but not yet closed, we have direct line of sight to north of $800 million of modernization-related revenue, most of which will be performance income. This includes exits of Seiyu in Japan, Keto Crosby in the U.S., and four infrastructure investments to name a few of the key drivers. Of that 800 plus million, we expect at least 250 million to be generated in Q2. It's a very healthy figure for us as we stand here in just early May. The third theme that I wanted to hit on is the impact on our capital raising efforts. We are actively engaged with our clients. Part of this is making sure they know what is happening with their portfolios. But a lot of it is discussing how to invest into these markets and ways that we can work together. We've heard a range of responses, and they are evolving with the market. While it may be early as we see how this all plays out, today there are no changes to our targets, and we have continued conviction in our fundraising outlook. Total new capital raised in the quarter was $31 billion, and it's worth spending a minute on our North America private equity strategy. In April, we completed the initial close period to North America 14 at $14 billion. It's a great first step for us and reflects, in our view, the strong investment returns we've delivered on behalf of our clients alongside a differentiated return of capital profile. And remember, our approach here stands in contrast relative to many in our industry as we raise traditional PE funds focused across North America, Europe, and Asia. compared to the global funds you often see from our competitors. This approach, we think, has allowed us to raise more capital. As of 3-31, we had over $40 billion of committed capital across our active traditional private equity flagship funds, and has also allowed for more diversified carried interest profile at the same time. And this doesn't include committed capital across core private equity, mid-market, and our growth strategies. Looking at another important piece of capital raising, private wealth. Our K-Series suite of vehicles continue to maintain traction. Across the four investing verticals, AUM was at $22 billion, including activity that closed April 1st, 2025. This compares to $9 billion a year ago. Our North Star for the K-Series suite continues to be focused on building vehicles that we can be proud of 10 plus years from now. As a result, recognizing that we don't read too much into the month-to-month sales, we continue to be encouraged by our performance, deployment, and the capital raising activity. And earlier this week, the two public-private credit solutions created in exclusive partnership with the Capital Group have launched. We are similarly focused on building these products for long-term success. And as we look ahead to the second half of the year, we would expect to give you an update on the private equity and real asset product launches. In addition, work is underway to extend access for individuals interested in private markets through model portfolios and target date funds. Turning next to insurance, we are now a year plus into owning 100% of Global Atlantic, and we are progressing well on our path to modestly evolving how we source both liabilities and assets, including raising more third-party capital, elongating our liability profile, and sourcing additional alternatives. This addition of longer dated alternatives to the portfolio, where we think that we have a differentiated sourcing advantage, will drive up overall returns while at the same time naturally reducing leverage over time. Financial performance here begins with insurance segment operating earnings. In Q1, as you would have heard from Craig, we reported $259 million. which was in line with our expectations. And consistent with our comments last quarter, I would expect insurance operating earnings to stay in that $250 million plus or minus level during the next few quarters. This line item alone does not capture, though, how our model works and the overall impact of our insurance-related economics. A lot of it appropriately shows up in our asset management segment. Firstly, management fees from our IV sidecar vehicles as well as strategic partnerships. This capital allows us to grow GA in a very capital-efficient way, and there is more to come here. As an example, Japan Post Insurance announced in Q1 their intention to expand our existing strategic partnership and make a new $1 to $2 billion investment here. Number two, capital markets fees, where we've just begun to scratch the surface. We see the potential to generate several hundred million of additional annual revenues over time. In 2024, that number was closer to $50 million. And finally, the management fees charged for our investment management agreement with Global Atlantic. Critically, even while we are in the process of shifting our strategy to emphasize longer duration and more private market assets, our all-in pre-tax ROE of our insurance business is approaching 20%. With a clear path to 20-plus percent returns, as we get all the elements of the business working well together. The last theme that I want to go through before handing it off to Scott is around the durability of our model, which provides us with a significant amount of both stability and visibility. Over 90% of our capital is perpetual or committed for an average of eight years or more. Today, we have $116 billion of committed but uncalled capital. And if you look at our management fees, they are largely calculated on committed or invested capital and therefore not influenced by marks and corresponding NAVs. And finally, we have a record amount of capital on which we're not yet earning fees with $64 billion committed with a weighted average management fee rate of about 100 basis points. That turns on when the capital is either invested or enters its investment period. Just to put that $64 billion figure into perspective, it is up almost 50% compared to one year ago. So we benefit from real stability of management fees and increased visibility on how they will grow. And finally, our business is global and diversified. Almost half of our investment professionals sit outside of the US. And looking specifically at our management fees, they are well diversified across asset classes. Over the last 12 months, management fees across private equity, real assets, and credit and liquid strategies were each over $1 billion, and in aggregate have grown at a high teens CAGR over the past three years. We don't think that there are any asset management firms that combine our scale, growth profile, and diversification. Now I'll end where I started. This is an environment where our people and our model really should excel. With that, let me hand it off to Scott.

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