7/28/2022

speaker
Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for attending today's Q2 2022 Kilroy Realty Corporation earnings conference call. My name is Tia, and I will be your moderator for today's call. All lines will be muted during the presentation portion of the call with an opportunity for questions and answers at the end. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. I will now pass the conference over to your host, Bill Hutchison, Senior Vice President, Investor Relations and Capital Markets. You may proceed.

speaker
Bill Hutchison

Thank you, Tia. Good morning, everyone, and thanks for joining us. On the call with me today are John Kilroy, our Chairman and CEO, Tyler Rose, our President, Rob Peratt, our Executive Vice President of Leasing and Business Development, and Elliot Trencher, our CIO and Interim CFO. At the outset, I need to say that some of the information we will be discussing during this call is forward-looking in nature. Please refer to our supplemental package for a statement regarding the forward-looking information on this call and in the supplemental. This call is being telecast live on our website and will be available for replay for the next eight days, both by phone and over the internet. Our earnings release and supplemental package have been filed on a form 8K with the SEC and both are available on our website. John will start the call with second quarter highlights, and Elliot will discuss our financial results and provide you with updated 2022 earnings guidance. Then we'll be happy to take your questions. John?

speaker
John Kilroy

Thanks, Bill. Hello, everybody, and thank you for joining us today. I'm going to begin with some big picture comments and then review highlights from the quarter. The economy during the second quarter continues to show fits and starts. Elevated risks exist given stubborn inflation levels, bearish equity markets, and heightened geopolitical tension. On the other hand, unemployment remains low, the dollar is strengthened, commodity prices are starting to decline, and public capital markets remain open and functional. The economic signals are mixed and in some ways complicated. In periods of uncertainty such as this, we believe it is prudent to err on the side of caution. Despite the mixed macro trends, the technology and life science sectors continue to demonstrate encouraging signs. VC capital deployment remains robust. In the first half of 2022, $144 billion was invested, which roughly matches the full-year deployment levels for both of 2018 and 2019. While IPO exits for VC-backed companies have been slow, it has not impacted capital raising in most cases when compared to historical volumes. Funds have raised $122 billion year-to-date, which is on pace to be the best year by a significant margin. The labor market also remains competitive. Nationally, there are twice as many job postings as unemployed people. In our market, postings are up roughly 40% year-over-year for large-cap tech companies. highlighting the continued need for talent on the West Coast and in Austin. While leasing in periods such as these is understandably choppy, we remain confident about the long-term health of these critical industries and are cautiously optimistic on the continued demand for space at our properties. The progress on return to office continues across our portfolio with some differences across geography and industry. Austin and Southern California have been geographic leaders, while professional services, fire category, and life sciences have been the industry leaders. Noticeably, these sectors have contributed to more activity in our leasing pipeline, highlighting the appeal of our properties to a range of tenants. Physical occupancy in our portfolio and the overall market continues to improve, and based on conversations with our customer base, we remain optimistic this trend will continue. In light of the current economic uncertainty and the potential impacts on the labor market, the power dynamic is shifting to employers who have consistently expressed a preference for in-person work. Additionally, it's worth noting that based on return to office data aggregated by Google, the UK, Germany, Japan, and Hong Kong are 13 to 30 percentage points ahead of the U.S. suggesting there is upside to physical occupancy in the short and medium term. Notwithstanding varying rates of preoccupancy in our market, tenants continue to show their commitment to the office by leasing space. According to JLL, second quarter office leasing nationwide was up slightly from last quarter, the sixth consecutive quarter of increasing volume, with technology representing the largest industry of demand. While some companies are showing or rather are slowing their decision-making, others including Google, Apple, and Amazon saying major leases in our markets this quarter. The headlines that many technology thought leaders are still figuring out what hybrid works like for their employee base and real estate requirements is accurate. To that end, some users are slowing down their build-outs in order to experiment with different layouts and configurations. While this may create some noise in the short term, it sets companies up to make better long-term decisions which should ultimately benefit high-quality and efficient buildings like those we own. Political winds in our markets are also shifting. The actions taken by San Francisco voters over the past several months, starting with the recall of three Board of Education members, and most recently, last month's recall of former District Attorney Bo Deen, is a clear sign that people have had enough. The subsequent appointment of a law and order DA, District Attorney Jenkins, combined with major changes of her staff and increased budget for police funding so that increasingly disgruntled voters are demanding accountability from their elected officials. And we're happy to see that. These changes in San Francisco come on the heels of Seattle voters taking action late last year when they elected a business-friendly law and order mayor and city attorney. In Los Angeles, similar movements are afoot. The theme we continue to consistently see across markets is the preference for high-quality office space. Tenants have more choices today, and they want to be in newer and highly amenitized buildings. Leasing the best product in desirable locations is critical for companies to attract their employee base back to the office. The data backs this up. According to CBRE, effective rents in top-tier office buildings nationwide are up roughly 8% since 2020, while lower-tier office rents are down 3% over the same period. As more and more companies want the newest and best buildings, we believe our modern and sustainable portfolio, with an average age of 11 years, is well-positioned to capitalize on this trend. Turning to highlights from the second quarter, we signed roughly 250,000 square feet of leases, with cash spreads in the stabilized portfolio of plus Subsequent to quarter end, we signed an additional 73,000 square feet in the stabilized portfolio, highlighted by a five-and-a-half-year renewal of a financial services tenant in Menlo Park. On our last earnings call, we referenced 350,000 square feet of deals in late-stage negotiations. As of today, we have executed on more than 90 percent of that number, with much of the balance remaining in ongoing discussions. The activity combined with our modest rollover increased our percentage lease by 60 basis points from last quarter to roughly 94%. Looking forward, demand in the leasing pipeline is solid, both in our core portfolio and also for our projects under development. We have a number of transactions across the stabilized portfolio in various stages of negotiation and expect to have continued activity over the balance of the year. Our development pipeline also has strong interest, specifically in 2100 Chetner, Indeed Tower, and KOP Phase II. Demanding is coming from life science, technology, finance, and professional services. Negotiations continue to progress despite recent market volatility. While there can be no guarantees until leases are actually signed, we are really encouraged by the many negotiations and our advanced discussions and expect this to translate into good news. On the capital allocation front, we intend to use caution when evaluating new investments and new development starts. The bar for us to make meaningful acquisitions or start something new on a speculative basis is higher than three months ago. Having said this, we maintain high conviction in our recent acquisitions of the site in Austin for the development of our stadium tower project and expect to begin construction later this quarter. The Austin market remains strong and capable of supporting new development. The area around Stadium Tower is one of the most vibrant in the region, anchored by companies including Meta, Amazon, and most recently PayPal, who just signed 60,000 square feet this month. The light rail that will service the area is fully funded and hosted a groundbreaking last week. Our nearly 500,000 square foot project will be state-of-the-art with the most desirable floor plates in the sub-market, multiple terraces, outdoor amenity areas, and 50,000 square feet of walkable retail. Construction is projected to take 30 months, and the project will be ready by the first half of 2025. Now let's shift to the real estate capital markets. Volatility in the debt market has made it tough for borrowers to get quotes, and has limited price discovery. Additionally, landlords are much better capitalized today than in prior cycles, so there are not many forced sellers. As a result, very little is traded. While we are maintaining our 2022 disposition guides of $200 million to $500 million, we'll only proceed with sales if we feel it is the appropriate capital allocation decision. In summary, the company is very well positioned for both defense and offense. Our downside is protected by our strong balance sheet, minimal lease and debt maturities, diversified tenant credit, and top-notch portfolio quality. And when the time is right, we expect that our development pipeline and capital allocation abilities will generate upside and create meaningful value for shareholders. That completes my remarks. Now I'll turn the call over to Elliot.

speaker
Bill

Thank you, John. FFO was $1.17 per share in the second quarter. This includes roughly two pennies of non-recurring items from tenant catch-up payments and retail tenants going back onto accrual accounting. The increase in FFO relative to last quarter was mainly driven by the balance of 333 Dexter coming into service in mid-April. On the same store basis, second quarter cash NOI was up more than 10%. The growth was driven by free rent burn-off for some larger office leases, improved parking revenue, and higher occupancy at one Paseo residential. GAP same-store NOI was up 3.5%. At the end of the quarter, our stabilized portfolio was 91% occupied and 94% leased. The increase in occupancy from the prior quarter was due to the balance of 333 Dexter coming into service and the transition of our 26th Street property in Santa Monica into the future development pipeline. The increase in percentage leased was driven by the deals we signed during the quarter, specifically in Long Beach and the I-15 corridor in San Diego. Turning to the balance sheet, our liquidity today stands at approximately $1.2 billion, including roughly $120 million in cash and full availability of our $1.1 billion revolver. Our cash on hand, unused line capacity, and projected dispositions are more than sufficient to fund the balance of our projects under construction. Net debt to 2Q annualized EBITDA was six times, and we have no debt maturities until December of 2024. Now let's discuss our updated 2022 guidance. To begin, let me remind you that we approach our near-term performance forecasting with a high degree of caution given all the uncertainties in today's economy. Our current guidance reflects information and market intelligence as we know it today. Any COVID-related impacts or significant shifts in the economy, our markets, tenant demand, construction costs, or new supply going forward could have a meaningful impact on our results in ways not currently reflected in our analysis. Projected revenue recognition dates are subject to several factors that we can't control, including the timing of tenant occupancies. With those caveats, our updated assumptions for 2022 are as follows. As always, no acquisitions are forecasted. We continue to assume $200 to $500 million of dispositions, so we are now expecting the majority of these sales to happen in the fourth quarter. As John mentioned, if the capital markets are not supportive, we are not going to force the issue in 2022. Development spending for the balance of the year is expected to be $300 to $350 million, a decrease from our prior full-year forecast due to the expectation of fewer new starts. We expect to commence revenue recognition for 250,000 square feet of life science redevelopments during the fourth quarter of this year. Year-end occupancy is projected to be 91% to 92% for the office portfolio, and residential occupancy is projected to stay around the current level of 94%. It is important to note that 2100 Kettner will be coming into the stabilized portfolio next quarter. As the building is not yet leased, stabilized occupancy for the company will be impacted for the balance of the year. As a result, we expect to be at the lower end of the occupancy range. Same-store cash NOI growth is still expected to be between 5% and 6%. As implied by our guidance, same-store will decrease in the back half of the year due to some tenant concessions that kick in and some one-time items in the prior period. Putting this all together, our updated 2022 FFO guidance is projected to range between $4.53 and $4.63 with a midpoint of $4.58, which is a seven cent increase compared to our prior guidance. The increase is due to the solid second quarter results and the adjusted timing on our dispositions. Similar to what we discussed last quarter, guidance implies a drop of roughly four cents from the $1.17 achieved in the second quarter. These four cents can be broken down as follows. Two pennies from non-recurring items previously discussed and two cents from dispositions. That completes my remarks. Now we'll be happy to take your questions. Tia?

speaker
Operator

Absolutely. We will now begin the question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star followed by one or your touch-tone keypad. If for any reason you would like to remove that question, please press star followed by two. Again, to ask a question, press star one. As a reminder, if you are using a speakerphone, please remember to pick up your handset before asking your question. We will pause here briefly to allow questions to generate and queue. The first question is from the line of Nick Ulico with Squasha Bank. You may proceed.

speaker
Nick Ulico

Hi, everyone. First question was just in terms of Oyster Point. Maybe you could frame out, you know, where you're seeing leasing demand in that market right now because I know there's been a sense that, you know, what's going on with the biotech index and VC funding, etc., There's been maybe a slowdown in demand, but hopefully you can just kind of frame out how you're seeing demand in that market, let's say now versus earlier this year.

speaker
VC

Sure. Nick, this is Rob Peratt. How are you doing? So recently, within the last 20 days, two leases in the South San Francisco region, life science leases, have been signed that total in excess of 435,000 square feet. Both are great tenant names. And I think that's an indicator of where the market is for very high quality space. As John mentioned in his comments, we're seeing a lot of activity at Kilroy-Easter Point phase two. Our team there is actively engaged. We had meetings yesterday with a large user. We have a few users that could take entire buildings that we're talking to. And we're also speaking to tenants that could take portions of buildings. For the product we have and the type of tenant we're seeking, our activity still remains very encouraging. Physically on the site, tower cranes will be up and visible from the freeway within the next 30 to 45 days. So a lot is happening on site, and just the visibility of what's happening on site is having an impact on the conversations we're having with tenants.

speaker
Nick

Okay, thanks, Robin. And a follow-up on that is I think the stabilization date got pushed out a bit farther on the project this quarter. Can you talk about what drove that?

speaker
Bill

Hey, Nick, this is Elliot. I can take that. The reason for the adjustment was because there was a change in the timing tied to the removal of an existing gas line by the utility company. They just took a little bit longer. to remove the gas line than we had anticipated. So one of the buildings, because remember there's three buildings they're going to deliver in stages. So one of the buildings will come in a little bit later because of that adjustment. The other two are not going to be impacted to the same degree. And as a reminder, our stabilization dates have 12 months of lease up baked into them. I guess the takeaway here is it was more tied to that removal of a gas line than our view on the market. Okay, thanks.

speaker
Nick

Just one last question.

speaker
Nick Ulico

As we're thinking about heading into next year, major expirations you have to deal with next year, is there any update you have there on leasing traction, just as we're trying to think about how occupancy could trend? next year. I know it's early, but some companies are starting to give a little bit of a feel for that. Thanks.

speaker
VC

Yeah. Hi, Nick. It's Rob again. So we have four expirations in 23 that are over 100,000 feet. Three of them we're in active negotiations with, and the fourth one, which is the smallest of the four, we expect will be a move out, but that's not 100% certain yet.

speaker
Nick

Okay, thanks, everyone.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of John Kim with BMO Capital Markets. You may proceed.

speaker
John Kim

Thank you. I was wondering, John, with the pullback in tech hiring and potentially office space, do you think the newer non-headquarter markets like in Austin will be impacted more if there's a retrenchment? Would the loss would be more significant in Silicon Valley just given the higher cost structure?

speaker
John Kilroy

I don't know. I mean, I circulate a lot, but I just don't know. I mean, you know, the things that we're hearing right now is that people want to be back in the office. They want to be in these areas where they can attract people. the talent that they need. In Austin, we know of a number of companies that are looking to either expand dramatically or move into Austin. That is Indeed Tower, and we're seeing that in our early stage negotiations, or I shouldn't say negotiations, but RFPs and so forth in connection with our to-be-built stadium tower. I think that market's going to do just fine. It's everything we're hearing there. People are continuing to expand. When we talk to law firms and others that are there, some of them are VCs in connection with Indeed Tower. They're projecting their business activity, their book of business in Austin is going to increase. So I think that feels pretty good. In terms of the city, you know, there's a lot of stuff going on, meaning San Francisco, some recent... headlines about people both expanding as well as some to put stuff on for sublease. It's just really hard to say. But trend-wise, I think that we're going to continue to see a repopulation of buildings in downtown San Francisco and elsewhere. We're seeing big growth in San Diego and more to come. We're seeing big growth, as I said, in Austin. In LA, it's Things have ticked up. There's been a bunch of lease deals done. It's just kind of all over the map and it remains to be seen. But I am cautiously optimistic because we are seeing more tours by big users and seriously interested in property. I will say the decision timing for a lot of these companies has been elongated. There are more hurdles that they've got to go through to justify stuff. And as I mentioned in my formal remarks, they're trying to figure out exactly how they're going to improve their space, you know, which model is going to be the model that they're going to utilize. And we've seen a couple of tenants reconfigure their designs for space they're going to occupy and make significant changes. So there's just a lot of things at play. Not all is positive, but incrementally I'm seeing more positive now than I saw last quarter and so forth. So I think the trend is going to be better. If you look at a stock market chart, even if it's going up, it doesn't go up every day. It goes up and down. We'll see what happens.

speaker
John Kim

I appreciate your honesty and your color. My second question is on bonds. Blackstone, they've had a position in your company for the last couple of years. And I'm wondering if you had any direct conversations with them either as a long-term shareholder or potentially as a strategic partner.

speaker
John Kilroy

I'm sorry, John, for some reason you cut out a lot on that and I'm not sure I got your question. Could you restate it please? Sure.

speaker
John Kim

Uh, Blackstone, they've been a shareholder of your company for a while. I'm wondering if you've had any direct conversations with them either as a shareholder or as a partner.

speaker
John Kilroy

I'm not aware of any.

speaker
Nick

I think that is enough.

speaker
John Kilroy

Thank you. Well, I only say that. It's sort of a question. I don't think anybody else in the company, anybody else from Kilroy on the call had any conversations with them? I haven't. I haven't heard of any. No. No.

speaker
Michael Griffin

Thanks.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Jamin Feldman with Bank of America. Please go ahead.

speaker
Jamin Feldman

Thank you. Just starting with 2100 Kettner, I mean, can you talk about the potential pipeline for that project? And do you think it's the location? Do you think it's the timing? I know it's kind of a new sub-market for you guys. Just want to get some more thoughts.

speaker
VC

Hi, Jamie. It's Rob. Let me answer the last part first, which is timing. The project really was ready for tenant improvements in the midst of the pandemic, which didn't help. But that said, toward the end of the pandemic and into this current quarter, we've had continued activity and interest from a variety of tenants, whether it's professional services or technology. And I think because this little Italy sub market borders downtown San Diego, which has just in general, those two markets have been slower to repopulate. That's impacted some of the leasing demand, not only at Kettner, but elsewhere at Diamond View and other other projects in downtown San Diego. All that said, we've made meaningful progress with a very well known company um i don't want to go further than this comment about it but um we feel like we're making very good progress with them and uh more will be we'll be able to share more with you uh in the near future okay thank you and maybe just i mean san francisco i'm sorry go ahead maybe yeah sorry this is john um

speaker
John Kilroy

The other thing is, and I think I've talked about this before, but originally we thought we would end up with a likely big tenant that we were talking with with regard to that property. Their requirements were bigger than what we could deliver, and we've made the decision to break it up and go multi-tenant, which is kind of the same path we went down when we came on stream or when we were under construction in late stages with or want the sale office space. Of course, we didn't have the pandemic to deal with for those buildings. But it's a very similar path, and I'm confident we're going to end up with really very successful rental rates and client base at $2,100 each. Okay.

speaker
Jamin Feldman

And when do you have to stop capitalizing that project, assuming you don't have a tenant?

speaker
Bill

It's going to come into service next quarter, so by next quarter.

speaker
Jamin Feldman

Okay. So if it's still at 4Q, you're no longer capitalizing? Correct. Okay. And then maybe just to shift gears to CBD San Francisco, I mean, we all see the headlines. I know you made some comments that it's slower, but, I mean, can you just give more color on what it's really like to try to do business there right now? I know you've got a high-quality portfolio there. Just any more information on how you're thinking about how that market's going to look the next six or nine months?

speaker
VC

Sure, Jamie. This is Rob again. I'll answer that. Let's frame up Kilroy's position in San Francisco, first of all. Right now, we're 95% leased in San Francisco, our portfolio is. And I'd remind everybody that we have very minimal role between 23, 24, 25, averaging about 7%. So I'd just like to set that as sort of the groundwork. Leasing volume in the second quarter in San Francisco rebounded up to about 1.7 million square feet. And I think two very notable transactions happened within the last, again, 20 to 25 days. One is Google taking 295,000 square feet of very high-quality sublease space in Soma. And secondly, Wells Fargo Bank renewing 661,000 square feet in San Francisco CBD. So those are two very notable transactions. And again, I think you have to separate what the headlines say into the facts about specific submarkets. But I think those are very indicative. The best buildings in San Francisco have an 11.6% vacancy rate. So meaning the premier assets in the city are 11% versus the 20% vacancy rate reported by brokerage firms. So on the ground, how things are feeling, as John said, it's sort of up and down. It's not linear. Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday are very busy. Last week at 101st, where Bill and I are speaking to you today, one of our tenants had a major event for their employees. The elevators and the lobbies were completely full. With people, they looked like they were having a really good time. That spilled over into Thursday. And so we're seeing that not only at 100 First, but in other parts of our portfolio. And as you know, we've said on previous calls or at NAREID or what have you, that a lot of this year is going to be focused on making coming back to work fun. So you'll see a lot of, aside from bringing teams back together to actually do work, you're going to see a lot of entertainment and hospitality type focus. The last thing I'd say is that the streets in the CBD in South of Market and parts of North of Market are in much better shape than they have been. And I think that's a function of more people being back in the CBD, as well as increased police activity and enforcement. OK.

speaker
Jamin Feldman

And then just going back to the four large explorations next year, can you remind us where they are? And then the one that sounds like could be a move out, can you give us more color on that one?

speaker
VC

I don't really want to give more color. It's in the smallest of the four that we think may be a move out. It's in San Francisco. The others are, you know, in Southern California, kind of spread throughout the portfolio.

speaker
Jamin Feldman

Okay. All right. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Brian Spong with Evercore ISI. You may proceed.

speaker
Brian Spong

Hi, thanks. Just going back to the stadium project, John, I was wondering if you could talk to what's given you the confidence in starting this project, just given the economic slowdown and what you're seeing on construction costs and the growing competitive supply pipeline down in Austin?

speaker
John Kilroy

Yeah, I think we have a pretty good mousetrap, and we have a lot of conversations going on with full floor users, a handful of those that are all big names. And I think we'll end up in a very good timeframe versus where competitors are delivering space, either those that are underway or those that would follow, assuming they start. So that gives us confidence. You have to make choices, and we have postponed the start of Santa Fe Summit down in San Diego. We've taken a pause on that. We're ready to go whenever we want to push that button. We're entitled and pretty much ready to go with 26th Street in Santa Monica. It's a smaller project, maybe a couple hundred thousand square feet. And we think Austin is, at that location, is going to be a winner. And so that's our thinking.

speaker
Brian Spong

Got it. Okay. And just on the disposition target for the year, Elliot or John, can you just talk to your confidence level in hitting that number where we're at? You haven't done any so far this year. And maybe just more broadly, what interest are you seeing in the transaction market today for office products?

speaker
Bill

You want to take that, Elliot? Yeah, sure. So I think kind of breaking it down into pieces, we, as we sort of described in our remarks, we're in the market with various transactions. We are adjusting the timing of them. In terms of the confidence, we're kind of approaching it as if we see that there's a market that we like and there's enough depth to it that we think we're executing at prices that are commensurate with where values ought to be, then we're pretty confident we can, you know, get 200 to 500 million done. But, you know, we obviously are not, we obviously are adjusting the timing. So we'll have to see how that plays out. And if it doesn't make sense to sell, we're not going to sell. So we're not going to force the issue. And we're kind of seeing the market real time and evaluating it. I think bigger picture, there is still a bid for lots of different types of assets. And I think it's a little bit stronger for those that are all cash buyers. The levered buyers are a little bit more reliant on the debt markets. And as John described, the debt markets are changing by the day.

speaker
Brian Spong

Thanks. That's it for me.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Michael Griffin with Citi. You may proceed.

speaker
Michael Griffin

Hey, thanks for taking the question. Just wanted to go back to the 26th Street redevelopment, adding it into the pool this quarter. Sort of kind of what drove that and sort of what are expectations for that going forward?

speaker
John Kilroy

For the start of it, the construction? Yes. Yeah. Well, the L.A. market, the West L.A. market is cleaning up pretty nicely. You know, you just have to make decisions from as a capital allocation from capital allocation standpoint. And I feel like this is kind of similar to a period that, frankly, the markets were in better shape. But. You might recall that we had the exchange under construction, which was three-quarters of a million square feet in South San Francisco. We were looking at starting, and I think we had Dexter, which is roughly 700,000 feet up in Seattle under construction. We didn't have either lease, and we were being asked, would we start 100 Hooper, which my point was, well, it's the same market as the exchange. We'll start it if we have a tenant for it or if we've made significant leasing at the exchange, but we're not going to just add another 400,000 feet on top of 700,000 square feet that was underway in the same market spec. And so I look at it, I say to myself, from a company standpoint, we've got KOP. We're confident we're going to lease that up, but that's a big project. That's roughly 900,000 feet. We've got Kettner down in San Diego. We're starting a stadium. We've delayed Santa Fe Summit. and we're going to delay the project you've inquired about, 26th Street, and they'll come on stream. I mean, we'll start at some point. It's just that we don't feel compelled to start anything. We're in great shape in our balance sheet. We're not like a merchant builder that if you don't build it, you're not going to get your fees or whatever. We'll just let the market continue to improve, and we'll pull the trigger when we think it makes sense, both with regard to that specific project and looking at the company in its total context.

speaker
Michael Griffin

Thanks for that. I appreciate the color on it. And then, John, just going back to what you mentioned in your prepared remarks about sort of political winds shifting in a lot of your markets with the recall of the VA in San Fran and the runoff for mayor in Los Angeles coming up, I'm curious if you believe that this will be a big driving factor to people feeling more comfortable coming back in the office, or do you think that it's too quick a shift and then it might take sort of longer to play out.

speaker
John Kilroy

I think it's a major component of the solution. I mean, there's a lot of things going on, as you know, and if you have all this homelessness and all this lawlessness, I was looking at the statistics the other day that were put together and I don't have them with me, but in order of magnitude, and I might be off 10 percentage points, you know, on any one of these, but directionally, you know, murder is up in every major city hugely this year. Violent crime is up major in every major city. Car theft is up in every major city. They don't even, in most cities, deal with any thefts or snatch and grab under $1,000. So those statistics I think it'd be off the charts. People are sick and tired of this stuff. They're sick and tired of it. In San Francisco, the four Republicans that live there probably voted for this. But I say that kiddingly. There may be a few more. But the reality is this is a broad-based disenchantment with this woke sort of stuff. And people are pissed off and cleaning up the streets. And for companies seeing that streets are starting to clean up, for companies seeing that law and order is being on the forefront of people's minds and being restored is a major part of the equation. It's not the only thing, of course. There's the whole work from home situation. But I think this is a component of that. So I'm very encouraged by the fact that it's not one political group. It's a broad group. swath of people, every age, every background, uh, every, not every, but most political affiliations or, or whether they're some of them of course are like me and they're independent. But the fact is you needed to get people pissed off in the change and stuff. And I'm really encouraged by it. It's not going to happen overnight. So what companies, what I'm hearing is that we're very encouraged by seeing that it is moving forward. There's a lot of work to be done. But it's a huge first step. And it's not going to mean that crime goes away day one. It won't, because there are a lot of bad people out there, and they need to be dealt with.

speaker
Michael Griffin

Great. That's it for me. Thanks for the time.

speaker
John Kilroy

You're welcome.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Blaine Heck with Wells Fargo. You may proceed.

speaker
Blaine Heck

Great, thanks. Good morning out there. I was hoping you guys could give us an update on the mark-to-market in each of your markets and whether you've seen any change in that metric recently, especially in Los Angeles, where you have a pretty large proportion of your expirations in the next several years.

speaker
Bill

Hey, Blaine, this is Elliot. I can handle that. No material change in our mark-to-market from what we've talked about previously. It kind of ranges on the West Coast between 10% and 20% by market. In Austin, it's 30% mark-to-market, and it kind of blends somewhere in that 10% to 15% range.

speaker
Blaine Heck

Okay, great. Second question is, it sounds like the beat this quarter was largely due to early revenue recognition at 333 Dexter. And we looked back and saw that revenue recognition on development has been earlier than guidance four times in the last two or three years. Obviously, this has a positive impact on actuals versus guidance, which is great, but I'm wondering if there's anything specific going on that's enabling you guys to consistently beat your expectations for the timing of revenue recognition on developments, or is it just a matter of staying kind of conservative on guidance and building in a bit of a cushion for those moving? Yeah, this is John.

speaker
John Kilroy

Go ahead, Elliot. Go ahead, but I want to make a comment afterwards.

speaker
Bill

Sorry. Yeah, there's definitely, you know, we talk, we give a lot of the disclaimers in our prepared remarks about calculating the timing of revenue recognition, because there's definitely a lot of art behind it. So, you know, we try our best and to try to project when the TIs will be spent by tenants in place and that we can actually start to recognize revenue. But there's certainly, there's no exact science that goes to it. And we've been fortunate, as you point out, to have beaten it in the last few instances. But, you know, that doesn't necessarily mean it'll happen next time, but we're certainly going to try our best to do better.

speaker
John Kilroy

Yeah, when I make this, John, I make this comment on Justin Smart, our EVP, now president of construction and development at Kilroy, and his team, his group, they're the best I've ever seen. They really, really work with the tenants along with the rest of our yield-making squad to move these things along and make things easier for tenants to decide on. I kind of think that that could – I don't know if we'll have the success that we've had in the past with that. We'll see. But, you know, companies are experimenting more with the way they are using space. So sometimes they're slower now in moving forward with their improvements because they're all scratching their heads saying, is this mix now the right mix or should we try something else and maybe do a pilot and then see about the rest of the space? So it could bounce around.

speaker
Blaine Heck

Got it. That's helpful color. Thanks, guys.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Bikram Mahortra with Mizuho. You may proceed.

speaker
Bikram Mahortra

Hi. Thanks for taking the question. Sorry if I missed this. I just wanted to go back and maybe get some more color on your thoughts around capital deployment. You mentioned the higher bar for assets. Just Can you maybe give us a bit more specifics? What are you changing in terms of underwriting or maybe what you're looking for? And then given the quality divide that you highlighted, any thoughts on where the value differential is for, say, high-quality A-grade office versus the average product out there?

speaker
John Kilroy

Yeah, those are good questions. You know, the fact is that as people are utilizing space differently now, there's probably an increased element or view towards do buildings, I've always said do buildings have a physicality for the modern tenant? You know, you may need to improve things, but do they have the physicality, the actual dimensions and whatnot? That's probably ratcheted down to a a ratchet up rather to a higher threshold of what is acceptable physically. But the other thing is that, you know, it's just to me doesn't make a lot of sense to buy stuff today, assuming you're going to have big rent increases over the next several years, which we did see. That punctuated most of our markets for the last several years. And in periods like this, it could be that we don't see the level of rent increases. So your underwriting is going to be more conservative. And then you're taking a look at if you – we always look at if you were to sell the asset, what's the pool of buyers and so forth. The flight to quality is not just a tenant-based phenomenon. It is an investor-based phenomenon. The sophisticated investor is looking to deploy – capital to assets that have a lot of running room that are going to be performing well for many decades. Much of the existing stock doesn't have that. So there's just a higher bar in the context of demand, in the context of underwriting rental increases, and in physicality and so forth. With regard to development, The nice thing about development is that we generally get to develop pretty much what we want, and we're pretty good at developing excellent properties. But we also have to take a look at where construction costs are, and they vary dramatically between our markets. Everything we have on our construction from a development standpoint, we have a guaranteed max price with the contractor. We're very comfortable with that. Same thing on major tenant improvement work. We have that, for example, at the Stadium Tower that we want to build out at the domain in Austin. In other areas, and we had that, by the way, at Santa Fe Summit in the project we elected to slow down and not proceed with right now. But, for example, in Seattle, construction costs have probably been higher there than any other area. the increase is higher there than any other major market in the United States. That's because of all the construction of Amazon and others, primarily in Bellevue. And to us, it makes no sense. Notwithstanding whether the market makes sense or doesn't, it makes no sense to go out and start a building when you're at your all-time peak in construction costs and labor costs. We think those will moderate. So we're also going to look at how we time things, not only based upon, you know, demand, visible demand, but also based upon what costs are going to be and whether we think those costs might go down. So there's a lot of different things. And then finally, it's just about capital allocation. We don't want to sell stock. We don't want to have a lot of debt. And so the likelihood of having a whole bunch of acquisitions and development going forward is also more remote. So those are the big factors that are in our thinking.

speaker
Bikram Mahortra

That's helpful. And just talking of timing, you highlighted the robust demand still for quality life sciences, the two big users or two big opportunities I think you referenced. Just thinking about the opportunities in life science and the Sunbelt, you clearly made the push there in Austin. I'm just, just wondering like, are there specific life science oriented opportunities, um, that, that you can share with us?

speaker
John Kilroy

No. And I say that not to be a smart aleck, just because we don't have any in the hopper right now. And, uh, the life science, while there's some tremendous, uh, you know, cancer research and so forth down in Houston and whatnot. It's an emerging area in much of the South. So, of course, you've got a lot of activity down in North Carolina, but we're not down there. So we don't have any plans right now on life science in those markets. Might we in the future? Quite possibly, but nothing in our consciousness right now.

speaker
Bikram Mahortra

Okay, great. Thanks so much.

speaker
John Kilroy

You're welcome.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. There are no additional questions at this time. I will pass it back to the management team for closing remarks.

speaker
Bill Hutchison

Thank you very much for joining us and for your interest in Kilroy.

speaker
Operator

That concludes today's conference call. Thank you. You may disconnect your line.

Disclaimer

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