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spk06: Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by and welcome to the LabCorp second quarter 2021 earnings conference call. At this time, all participant lines are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star then one on your telephone. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. If you require any further assistance, please press star then zero. I would now like to hand the conference over to your host today, Chas Cook, Vice President, Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
spk08: Thank you, Operator. Good morning and welcome to LabCorp's second quarter 2021 conference call. As detailed in today's press release, there will be a replay of this conference call available via telephone and internet. With me today are Adam Schechter, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, and Glenn Eisenberg, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. This morning in the Investor Relations section of our website at www.labcorp.com, We posted both our press release and an investor relations presentation with additional information on our business and operations, which include a reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measures to the GAAP financial measures discussed during today's call. Additionally, we're making forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to the estimated 2021 guidance and the related assumptions, including the projected impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the company's businesses, operating results, cash flows, and our financial condition, our responses to and the expected future impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on our business more generally, as well as on general economic, business, and market conditions. Each of the four looking statements is based upon current expectations and is subject to change based upon various factors, many of which are beyond our control, that could affect our financial results. Some of these factors are set forth in detail in our most recent annual report on Form 10-K, and subsequent quarterly reports on Form 10-Q and in the company's other filings with the SEC. We have no obligation to provide any updates to these four looking statements, even if our expectations change. Now, I'll turn the call over to Adam Schechter.
spk03: Thank you, Chas, and good morning, everyone. It's a pleasure to be with you this morning. We remain committed to using our extensive diagnostics and drug development capabilities to advance our mission of improving health and improving lives around the world. Innovation, technology, and science remain at the forefront of all we do to benefit patients, providers, and shareholders. To that end, the second quarter of 2021 was very strong across both diagnostics and drug development. Revenue totaled $3.8 billion, a 39% increase from the same period in 2020. Much of this growth was driven by the continued strength in our base businesses. Adjusted EPS reached $6.13 versus $2.50 from the prior year. Pre-cash flow was $390 million in the quarter versus $272 million in 2020. The strong performance in the quarter and the improved outlook for the year result in us raising full-year guidance for revenue, EPS, and cash flow. Glenn will review the new guidance with you in a moment. Our base business continued to recover and grew 51 and 32 percent for diagnostics and drug development, respectively. The drug development trailing 12-month book-to-bill remained strong at 1.41. This performance was driven by patients and providers returning to routine healthcare checkups and pharmaceutical clients resuming their important research activities at an even faster pace than expected. I'll now turn to the company's continued response to the pandemic. Our organization's collective strength and scale have allowed us to play a substantial role in the fight against COVID. Although much progress has been made, it is clear that there's still a lot of work to do in the US and around the world. LabCorp remains vigilant and stands ready to help wherever and however we can, as we have since the earliest days of the pandemic. To date, LabCorp has performed over 50 million COVID tests. In the quarter, a steady decline in positive cases drove an overall decrease in COVID testing, with an average of 54,000 PCR tests per day. The month of June was lower than the quarter average. However, testing started to increase again in recent weeks. We continue to monitor developments in the United States and around the world, and are watching the Delta variant closely. To support the CDC in tracking and monitoring the Delta and other variants, this quarter we announced an extension to our contract to provide genetic sequencing from positive PCR test samples. It is difficult to predict exactly what COVID testing demand will look like for the remainder of the year as variants continue to spread and we enter the flu season. Therefore, we will maintain our ability to scale testing capacity quickly and expand access for communities and individuals in need. At the same time, our drug development teams continue to be involved in many studies on potential vaccines and treatment for COVID around the world. Our new automated clinical trial kit production facility in Belgium is up and running, which will double our automated kit production capacity over time. This will allow us to better serve our pharmaceutical clients and study investigators in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. Other COVID-related actions this quarter include the collaboration with the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services to raise awareness of monoclonal antibody therapies. And at state and local levels, we expanded notable partnerships in places like Massachusetts and North Carolina to facilitate mass vaccination programs and expand access to at-home test collections for underserved populations. In addition, we continued our collaboration with Walgreens. Pixel by LabCorp test kits are now available in 6,000 Walgreens stores and through on-demand delivery services like DoorDash and Instacart. Importantly, our scientists use data available through our robust testing infrastructure to contribute to essential research. In the quarter, we released the results of one of the largest COVID-related studies of its kind, which analyzed the tests of more than 39,000 patients. This offered useful detail on the body's reaction to natural infection as we worked to learn more about the nature of the immunoresponse. We are also building upon our portfolio of serology testing, including semi-quantitative analysis and T cell memory. We remain proud of our significant contributions towards stemming the spread of COVID and in the development of treatments and vaccines, all of which are intended to assist people to safely go back to work and normal life activities. Now I'll provide updates to our strategy. We are focused on leveraging our industry-leading positions to drive growth, enhance customer and patient experiences, and advance science and healthcare. We seek to intensify customer focus and integrate data and digitalization across our business. As part of that objective, we announced plans to add a state-of-the-art bioanalytical laboratory in Singapore, expanding our global drug development offering and elevating our clients' experience through faster turnaround times in Asia. In the United States, we continue to improve our patients' experience in our service centers, focusing our efforts to create a seamless digital journey from appointment scheduling to result delivery. With an average of 3 million patients served in a given week, we are striving to enhance their experience using our digital channels. In the first half of the year, users of our website totaled 22 million, a 20% increase over last year. And adoption of our patient application is growing, approximately 300,000 users per month. I'll now turn to oncology. we made significant strides in oncology, led by a highly trained, multidisciplinary team. We launched several new oncology tests, including OmniSick Insight, a pan-cancer tissue-based sequencing test for patients with advanced solid tumor cancers. The test, specific to an individual's molecular and immune profile, provides clinical decision support that helps medical professionals identify the most appropriate treatment options for a patient as well as to identify potential eligibility for clinical trials. We also launched a companion diagnostic test to identify patients with non-small cell lung cancer who are eligible for a new treatment option developed by Amgen. This important test helps physicians identify patients who may benefit from the treatment, promoting personalized precision medicine. Our work in oncology has created meaningful business relationships across the healthcare ecosystem that we will continue to enhance and grow. An important opportunity presented itself with OmniSeq, a longtime oncology partner and a pioneer in solid tumor profiling. As announced today, we recently exercised our option to acquire the remaining stake in the company. Adding OmniSeq enhances our integrated oncology platform, expanding LabCorp's extensive oncology diagnostics testing portfolio, and opening the door for more patient participation in clinical trials. We continue to concentrate on identifying and engaging in high growth opportunities. We announced we're acquiring an autoimmune business unit from Myriad Genetics, including Vectra, rheumatoid arthritis assay. This will strengthen our position in RA, which the CDC predicts will impact roughly 25% of adults in the United States by 2040. Additionally, we agreed this week to acquire the outreach laboratory business of Minnesota-based North Memorial Health and will provide management services to its inpatient lab. Our pipeline of acquisition and investment targets is robust, and we believe there are meaningful business development opportunities this year to enhance growth and our strategy moving forward. Finally, I want to touch briefly on the board and management team's ongoing review of Labcorp's structure and capital allocation strategy that we announced in March of this year. Working closely with our advisors, we are making progress to identify the best path forward to position Labcorp to unlock shareholder value while continuing to support our patients and customers around the world. Though we won't have further updates today, We look forward to sharing our conclusions once our review is complete. We expect to do so in the fourth quarter. In conclusion, the quarter was strong across both diagnostic and drug development businesses. Significant progress was achieved on our strategy and our mission to improve health and improve lives of people around the world. And we will continue to support efforts to stem COVID however we can. I am very optimistic about the future growth opportunities before us and our continued success. I want to thank all of our colleagues around the world for their tireless efforts to help center COVID while also maintaining focus on our strategy and our underlying business. Now I'll turn the call over to Glenn to review more details of our second quarter performance.
spk07: Thank you, Adam. I'm going to start my comments with a review of our second quarter results, followed by a discussion of our performance in each segment, and conclude with an update on our full year guidance. Revenue for the quarter was $3.8 billion, an increase of 38.7% over last year, due to organic growth of 35.5%, acquisitions of 1.2%, and favorable foreign currency translation of 200 basis points. Our organic base business increased 42.4% when compared to our base business last year, while COVID testing revenues of $444 million were flat with last year. Operating income for the quarter was $704 million, or 18.3% of revenue. During the quarter, we had $92 million of amortization and $43 million of restructuring charges and special items. Excluding these items, adjusted operating income in the quarter was $840 million, or 21.9% of revenue compared to $381 million or 13.8% last year. The increase in adjusted operating income and margin was primarily due to organic-based business growth, acquisitions, and launchpad savings partially offset by higher personnel costs. During the second quarter, interest expense was $78 million, up from $53 million last year. The increase was due to one-time costs associated with the company's refinancing of $1 billion in senior notes that were due to mature in 2022, taking advantage of the historically low interest rate environment. Excluding these one-time costs, interest expense would have been down $7 million versus last year due to lower debt levels and interest rates. The tax rate for the quarter was 28.1%. The adjusted tax rate excluding restructuring charges, special items, and amortization was 25.1% compared to 23.9% last year. The higher adjusted tax rate was primarily due to the geographic mix of earnings. We continue to expect our full-year adjusted tax rate to be approximately 25%. Net earnings for the quarter were $467 million, or $4.76 per diluted share. Adjusted EPS, which exclude amortization, restructuring charges, and special items, were $6.13 in the quarter, up from $2.57 last year. Operating cash flow was $487 million in the quarter compared to $371 million a year ago. The increase in operating cash flow was due to favorable working capital partially offset by lower cash earnings. Capital expenditures totaled $97 million or 2.5% of revenue compared to $99 million or 3.6% of revenue last year. As a result, free cash flow was $390 million in the quarter compared to $272 million last year. During the quarter, we used $300 million of our cash flow for our share repurchase program. Now I'll review our segment performance, beginning with diagnostics. Revenue for the quarter was $2.4 billion, an increase of 39.7% compared to last year, due to organic growth of 37.8%, acquisitions of 1.1%, and favorable foreign exchange translation of 90 basis points. Organic-based business growth was 51.2% compared to our base business last year, while COVID testing revenues were flat versus last year. Relative to the second quarter of 2019, the compound annual growth rate for the base business revenue was 4.5%, primarily due to organic growth. Total volume increased 39.6% over last year, primarily due to organic volume growth of 38.7%. The increase in organic volume was due to a 39.4% increase in the base business, partially offset by a reduction in COVID testing of 0.7%. As a reminder, we do not include hospital lab management agreements in our volume, which would have added approximately 3.3% to our organic base business volume growth. Price mix increased 0.1% over last year due to currency of 0.9%, COVID testing of 0.7% and acquisitions of 0.2%, partially offset by organic-based business of minus 1.7% due to mix associated with the volume recovery. Of Diagnostics' organic-based business revenue growth of 51.2% compared to its base business last year, 48.2% was driven by volume, while 3.1% was from price mix, which was due to an increase in test per sessions. Diagnostics adjusted operating income for the quarter was $663 million, or 28% of revenue, compared to $309 million, or 18.2% last year. The increase in adjusted operating income and margin was primarily due to organic base business demand and launchpad savings, partially offset by higher personnel costs. Relative to the second quarter of 2019, base business margins were down slightly due to the negative impact from PAML. Diagnostics margins were down in the second quarter of this year compared to the first quarter due to lower COVID testing, while base business margins increased. Diagnostics three-year launchpad initiative remains on track to deliver approximately $200 million of net savings by the end of this year. Now I'll review the performance of drug development. Revenue for the quarter was $1.5 billion, an increase of 36.7% compared to last year, due to organic growth of 31.8%, acquisitions of 1.3%, and favorable foreign currency translation of 370 basis points. Drug development delivered broad-based revenue growth across all businesses, including COVID vaccine and therapeutic studies. Relative to the second quarter of 2019, the compound annual growth rate for the base business revenue was approximately 15%, primarily driven by organic growth. Adjusted operating income for the segment was $221 million, or 14.8% of revenue, compared to $113 million, or 10.3% last year. The increase in adjusted operating income and margins were primarily due to organic base business demand and launch pad savings, partially offset by higher personnel costs. Relative to the second quarter of 2019, base business margins were up approximately 200 basis points. While second quarter margins this year were lower than first quarter, we expect our second half base business margins to be up versus the first half. We also expect our full year margins this year to be up over 2020, which was up over 2019. For the trailing 12 months, net orders and net book to bill remain strong at $7.9 billion and $1.41 respectively. Backlog at the end of the quarter was $14.3 billion, an increase of approximately $300 million from last quarter. We expect approximately $4.9 billion of this backlog to convert into revenue over the next 12 months. Now I'll discuss our 2021 full-year guidance, which assumes foreign exchange rates effective as of June 30th, 2021 for the full year. We are raising our full-year guidance to reflect the company's strong second quarter performance, and improved outlook for the remainder of the year for both our diagnostics and drug development-based businesses. We expect enterprise-level revenue to grow 6.5% to 9% from prior guidance of 2% to 6.5%. This includes the benefit from foreign currency translation of 100 basis points. This guidance range also includes the expectation that the base business will now grow 17% to 19%, while COVID testing is expected to be down 38% to down 33%. We are raising our expectations for revenue and diagnostics to minus 1% to plus 2% from prior guidance of minus 5% to flat. This guidance range includes the expectation that the base business will now grow 15 to 17% while COVID testing revenue is now expected to be down 38% to down 33%. We're also raising our growth expectations for revenue in drug development to 17 to 19% from prior guidance of 12 to 14%. Our current guidance includes the benefit from foreign currency translation of 200 basis points. This guidance range also includes the expectation that the base business will now grow 19 to 21%. Given the improved top line growth expectations of our base businesses, we are raising our adjusted EPS guidance to 21 and a half to $25, up from prior guidance of 20 to $24. Free cash flow is now expected to be between $1.95 to $2.15 billion, up from prior guidance of $1.8 to $2 billion. Our earnings guidance assumes we will use our free cash flow for acquisitions and share repurchases, which we expect to accelerate in the second half of the year. We expect that capital expenditures will be approximately 3.5% to 4% of revenue, driven by investments to support base business growth and productivity. For additional comparison purposes, we have also included in the supplemental deck on our investor relations website a view of 2021 second quarter results and full year guidance compared to 2019 results. In summary, the company had another quarter of strong performance. We remained focused on performing a critical role in response to the global pandemic while also growing our base business. As we progress through 2021, we expect to drive continued profitable growth in our base business, while COVID testing volumes are expected to decline in the second half. We expect to continue to use our free cash flow generation for acquisitions that supplement our organic growth, while also returning capital to shareholders through our share repurchase program. Operator, we will now take questions.
spk06: Thank you. As a reminder to ask a question, You will need to press star then one on your telephone. To withdraw your question, please press the pound key. We ask that you please limit yourself to one question. Then you may rejoin the queue for any additional questions. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Our first question comes from the line of Brian Tanquillette with Jefferies. Your line is now open.
spk01: Hey, good morning, guys. Congrats on a strong quarter. I guess my first question will be on Covance. Obviously, seeing some good strength there and margins will be strong. Just wanted to hear your thoughts and how are you thinking about sustainability of margins and the growth outlook and your ability to maintain that high pace of growth going forward just for the Covance business?
spk03: Thank you. Hi, Brian. Thanks very much for the question. Covance had a very strong quarter again. And if you look at our LabCorp drug development business in total, we had progress in all parts of the drug development business. So all three grew strong in the double digits. And as I look at the margins going forward, I've always said be careful to look at any one quarter of the margin, especially as we're going through COVID. There are certain areas where we continue to maintain people and when we maintain those people, We're doing it because we're going through COVID, and we know we're going to need them for after COVID. So some of our margins look a little bit odd from quarter to quarter. We're also seeing a slight increase in material costs and in labor costs, which people are seeing in almost every industry. But we're going to continue to offset that with things like our Launchpad initiatives. So I would look at the margin on a yearly basis, and we believe that this year will be better than last year, which was better than the year before. And I would expect as we go into next year in our drug development business, the margins will look better than this year. So we are going to continue to find ways to expand our margins moving forward.
spk01: Awesome. Thanks.
spk06: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Jack Meehan with Nefron. Your line is now open.
spk09: Thank you. Good morning. I wanted to focus on capital allocation. I was curious if you think Is the strategic review having any influence over the timing of how you redeploy capital? You have $2 billion of cash on the balance sheet. Net leverage of a turn is below kind of the three turns you've been at historically. Within this second half acceleration, just any additional color on kind of the pacing of or magnitude of what you're looking to redeploy?
spk03: Yeah. Hi, Jack. I'll start and I'll ask Glenn to jump in. So first of all, two separate thoughts. One is we continue to execute on our strategy, and we continue to do our capital allocation. And we've always said our allocation is focused on strategic acquisitions. You saw one of those where we purchased the remaining interest in OmniSync this quarter. So oncology is a strategic area. We're looking for ways to enhance our strategic capabilities. And then we've said we're going to look to do more hospital, regional, local acquisitions. laboratory acquisitions, and you saw one of those this quarter with what we announced we were doing with one of the hospitals in Minneapolis area, Minnesota. So those are the types of acquisitions we're going to continue to do. What I would say is the pipeline is as robust as I've ever seen it. And frankly, I thought we'd have a couple more closed this quarter, but I feel confident we're going to close more of those as we go through this year. Separate and distinct from that, we continue to make progress on our strategic review. And we're going to do the strategic review. Once we reach the conclusions, we'll look forward to sharing those with you, and we expect to do that in the fourth quarter of this year.
spk07: Glenn? Yeah, no, Jack, the only thing I'd add is, as you're right, our targeted leverage has been the two and a half to three times, and a couple things are going. Obviously, we have the benefit of the COVID testing, which has generated and helped our free cash flow this year, which has helped improve it. But also when you look at the improvement in our EBITDA because of COVID testing, it's higher than normal. So as you do look at our leverage relative to call it pre-pandemic, you know, using a pro forma 2019, you'd get that our leverage currently gross debt to EBITDA is towards the upper end of our range. Having said that, as Adam commented on, we expect to use our free cash flow this year for M&A and share repurchases. The midpoint of our range, a little bit over $2 billion. We spent around $400 million so far in the first half of the year, so needless to say, it implies that the second half you'll see more capital allocation given to both share repurchases and M&A. Adam spoke to the strength of our M&A pipeline, which again gives us a lot of confidence we'll be able to deploy more towards M&A than we've done in the first half, but we'll continue to use our share repurchase program as well.
spk09: Great. Looking forward to the updates. Thanks.
spk07: Thank you.
spk06: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Kevin Caliendo with UBS. Your line is now open.
spk14: Thanks. I want to talk a little bit about Covance. Revenues were up sequentially, yet the margins fell by about 150 basis points sequentially. Is there any seasonality there? Is there anything related to COVID potentially that would cause that? I guess really ultimately what I'm trying to figure out is what is the right way to think about margins for that business going forward?
spk07: Yeah, Kevin. Yeah, Adam actually commented a little bit in his remarks also that, you know, looking quarter to quarter, obviously, you know, you do have issues on seasonality and just timing-related things and that the comparison year over year gives you a pretty strong view of how our margins are doing, which, again, in both businesses, from a base business standpoint, are up nicely. When you look at Covance, though, to your point, sequentially, you move from kind of the first quarter to the second, margins were down. Principally related to COVID testing was down within that segment. The level of COVID vaccine and therapeutic studies was down compared to the first quarter. We had higher pass-throughs in the second quarter versus the first, and obviously the tight labor market also impacting it. So a lot of things that will impact a quarter to quarter kind of change. What we commented on is that the second half margins within drug development, we expect to be higher than the first half, and that for the full year, we expect it to be up over the prior year. So we feel good about how the business is leveraging the top-line growth from the base business standpoint.
spk14: As just a quick follow-up to that, how much is wage pressure impacting both segments of the business, and do you expect that How are you contemplating that within the guidance or how impactful has that been to your guidance so far?
spk03: Yes, of course, we look at that closely. We've included what we think are the range of potential things that could occur within the guidance that we provided today. I think everybody's facing a tough labor market in most industries as we speak. And we're just going to have to continue to find ways through Launchpad and other ways to reduce costs to cover that in the future. So we'll continue to find ways to take out costs in other areas through things like virtual clinical trials and those types of things.
spk14: Thank you.
spk06: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Ricky Goldwasser with Morgan Stanley. Your line is now open.
spk04: Yeah, hi, good morning. So a couple of questions here. First of all, when we think about the comparison for the base business for core testing versus 2019, I think you said it's up in the second quarter was up 4.5% versus 2Q19 baseline. Can you maybe give us a little bit more details on how it progressed on a monthly basis and what are you seeing in the July run rate and what's embedded into second half guidance? And then secondly, you talked about the increase in labor costs and offset with Launchpad. Any updates on what's going to affect Launchpad 2.0? I think that Launchpad ends at 2021. What are your plans for the next round of cost savings?
spk03: Yeah, so let me start, Ricky, with the base business. So in the diagnostics, we saw the base business rebound nicely. And one thing is to look at revenue, which is what you stated, but the other thing is to look at volume. And for the first time since the pandemic, we saw the volume increase in June of this year compared to June of 2019. So, you know, that's a good sign and it shows continued recovery. As we look at July, it's still too early to give, you know, any sense of that. But our expectation throughout this year is that we will see continued volume and revenue growth versus 2019, and that will continue throughout this year.
spk07: Yeah, Ricky, maybe just a couple of follow-up comments, because as Adam said, we crossed over where our revenue and diagnostics-based business really in the fourth quarter of last year was favorable to 2019 levels, but that was driven off of the price mix. We were seeing more tests per session that was making up for the volume shortfall, so June was a signal month for us, if you will, as we now have crossed over with volume now comparing favorably as well as price mix continues to be higher than normal. But as we continue to progress through the rest of this year and obviously going forward, expect those to fall more in line with kind of the historical patterns. You know, as your comment on Launchpad and really with the tight labor market in particular, but, you know, both businesses have Launchpad initiatives. You know, we completed the drug development one at least publicly last year, and this year we'll wrap up our diagnostics business. But that's part of an ongoing business process improvement initiative of the company every single year. We know we have just high inflationary costs as we go into every year, and Launchpad is really set to offset, mitigate those rising costs. So continue to see a lot of opportunities to continue to drive productivity through technology, through labor efficiency that will continue to help mitigate those costs going forward.
spk04: Thank you.
spk06: Thank you. Our next question comes from a line of Ralph Jacobi with Citi. Your line is now open.
spk12: Thanks, good morning. Certainly understand the fluidity of the backdrop, you know, but the guidance range is pretty wide for having seen the first half. I guess why keep it so wide and maybe help on assumptions, particularly on the lower end that seem pretty hard to get to. And then just quickly, Also wanted to ask about, I think you mentioned the number of average COVID tests per day in the second quarter was 54,000. Just hoping you can give us, you know, where the midpoint of guidance assumes for the back half around that. And if any color you can give on what you've seen over the last couple of weeks in terms of average tests per day on COVID. Thanks.
spk03: Yeah, I'll start with the test question and we can give you some context on the ranges. As we said, the average number of tests per day in the second quarter is 54,000. And if you look at the month of June, it actually was lower than the average of the 54,000. If you would have just trended based upon the June data, you would have been in the 35% to 50% reduction that we had been quoting for the beginning of the year in terms of tests. But we saw a slight change with the Delta variant, and we also saw the extension of the government saying that we're going to continue to be in an emergency situation. And those two things gave us confidence that the reduction in COVID tests would be less than what we originally had in the plan. And that's why we lowered and narrowed the guidance for COVID testing to 33% down to 38% down. So we really did narrow that and provide some additional guidance there. If you look at those numbers, I know it's still a fairly wide range, going from 33 to 38, but there's a lot of different ways that you can actually get there. One is by number of pass. And if you start to think about the variant and what we're seeing, will that continue? If you start to think about what could happen if there's a strong flu season or masks are mandated again in certain states, maybe the flu season will be very light like it was last year. And then the other is obviously price. And the question is, Will there continue to be an emergency declaration as we go into the fourth quarter of this year? So what we've tried to do is kind of triangulate in all those different variables, and that's why we give you the range of 33% to 38%, which I think is a good, reasonable range for us to be in with the uncertainties that still exist.
spk07: Yeah. Ralph, the only thing I guess I would add to that is that, you know, ranges we don't disagree this year are kind of wider than they would be in a normal year. and just reflects the lack of visibility and the uncertainty that's ahead of us. Having said that, with the new guidance that we provided, we've narrowed the ranges, so we've shrunk the range given that we have six months remaining. We give annual guidance. And more importantly, we've increased the call at the midpoints of all the key financial metrics that we guide to, so reflecting the company's performance. So when you look at the midpoint of a range, as you would expect, that's kind of where we see things if we were to have to kind of put in a point but we then give the ranges around it because there's a lot of things that on the positive or the negative side that could occur overall. And as Adam said, with regards specifically to the COVID testing, again, narrowing the range and improving it. But what we did see, which was the first time, which we didn't have when we gave our guidance last quarter, was that we've seen a sequential decline in COVID testing each month as we've gone through the year. As Adam said, with June being the lower than the average for the quarter. For July was the first month, frankly, that we've seen the level of COVID testing higher than the prior month. And so obviously with the advent of the Delta virus, the advent of the extension of the public health emergency gives us reason to feel now better about where we are with COVID testing for this year than we did just a quarter ago, but still with a lot of uncertainty that's ahead of us.
spk12: Okay, that's helpful. Thank you.
spk06: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Pito Chickering with Deutsche Bank. Your line is now open.
spk10: Hey, good morning, everyone. This is Justin Bowers. I'm from Pito. Just shifting back to the diagnostics business. How should we think about 3Q versus 4Q in the base business? It sounds like you're back to at or above pre-COVID volumes, but the question really is, does the guide kind of assume like normal kind of historic seasonality patterns or something different? And I'm asking because we're just hearing divergent messaging from you know, hospitals and med tech companies. So trying to figure out where you guys stand on that.
spk07: Yeah, no, I think from our standpoint and why we kind of focus on the 2019 comparison, just to kind of get back to more normalcy, if you will, we're still obviously seeing a strong recovery as we compare to 2020. But similarly, when we look at a comp relative to 2020, Last year, we saw the trough really being early in the year with the pandemic, and then it got better throughout the year. But we continue to expect to see good growth and favorable margins year on year compared to 20. So really kind of taking a look back to 19, and to your point, diagnostics definitely has seasonality to the business. So when you look at sequentially, you really have to look at holidays and where the days lay. So we do expect normal seasonal patterns to occur within diagnostics, again, especially when you look at it relative to 19, more normal times. So from a, call it a margin standpoint, while we expect margins to be up year on year, we expect them to be flat to slightly down compared to 2019 because of the negative impact of PAMA. As far as just the revenue growth, we feel good that the volume, you know, again, revenues have been up even compared to 19, but we're seeing the volumes pick up. So volumes will be positive, which will be a continued trend. Pricing mix should start to come down from where it's been, again, as volumes pick up to get back to that more normal pattern. But, again, good growth expectations for the second half of this year from volume and from favorable mix. And, obviously, as we go into 2022, expect that to continue.
spk10: Thank you. I'll hop back in queue.
spk06: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Tycho Peterson with JP Morgan. Your line is now open.
spk13: Hey, thanks. A couple follow-ups on the COVID outlook specifically. Are you able to quantify where you ended July on tests per day? I'm just curious what that, you know, step-up looks like. And then does the outlook bake in any, you know, back-to-school testing? I'm curious if you're starting to have discussions around, you And then lastly, I'm just curious on serology. Ladies thinking there are obviously a lot more discussion lately on antibodies potentially wearing off. And how are you thinking about an uptake in serology in the back half of the year?
spk03: Thank you for the question, Tygo. I think they're all important questions as we go through the rest of this year to next year. I'll start with the serology first. At the moment, we have the ability to do as many serology tests as we would need to do. The CDC has not come out to recommend utilization of serology to try to understand titers, so therefore not many people are going for serology tests, although we continue to do several thousands every day. But we're prepared to do as many as we may need, but we're also developing and have the ability to do T-cell memory testing as well as semi-quantitative testing, which ultimately might be helpful if you start to think about a titer that you might need to understand the waning of effectiveness of vaccines over time. So what I would say is we are prepared for whatever might be necessary, and we're building capacity to be ready for whatever that could be. My personal point of view is that I believe that serology testing over time will be more important, particularly if vaccination is not going to be every single year. If it could be less or more than a year, and if it could be different by individuals, then I think you're going to need significant serology testing. And that's why we continue to develop it. With regard to back to school, we're having a lot of discussions about back to school. We're prepared to do as many PCR testing as we may need for back to school, whether it be through individual tests or through pooling. But to be honest, they've really been discussions. We haven't seen a lot of schools willing to pull the trigger and say, we're going to put in a significant back to school testing program. So we're going to have to wait and see. And even though we're having a lot of discussions, within the range that we provided of the down 33 to down 38 percent, you know, there's multiple different ways you can get there. One would be a lot of back-to-school testing, but a lower price. Other ways would be not much back-to-school testing, but you could continue to have growth in other areas. And then the last thing I would say is, you know, it's truly to give the end of July, but as we look at the first couple weeks of July, we're certainly starting to see numbers that are not yet there but closer to the average that we had for the last quarter versus where we ended for the month of June.
spk13: Okay, that's helpful. And then maybe one follow-up just on the broader kind of decentralization scheme. Obviously, there's been a lot of capital placed, you know, over the past year in hospitals and smaller labs and physician offices. Can you maybe just talk, you know, on the competitive dynamics, you know, whether you see that as a potential longer-term risk as they, you know, have to, you know, fall back on non-COVID testing and think about, you know, broader manufacturing?
spk03: Yeah, you know, again, if you look at COVID testing or molecular tests, and if you look at the number of molecular tests that we do as a percent of the total 530 million or so tests that we perform every year, it's still a very, very small amount. So even though there might be additional capacity in hospitals or laboratories to for molecular types tests, it wouldn't have a significant impact on our overall business, frankly.
spk13: Okay. Thank you.
spk03: Sure.
spk06: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Derek DeBruin with Bank of America. Your line is now open.
spk02: Hi. Good morning. Hey, good morning. Good morning. So I know that, I mean, I know it's tough enough to predict the second half of 20, let alone, I'm sorry, 21, let alone the looking at 22. But I just was wondering, you know, if sort of your initial thoughts on sort of where the consensus estimates are. I mean, if I look at earnings estimates and just were to have grown EPS by 10% off of your 2019 base, that gives you something around a $15 number for 22. In earnings, the street's around $16, assuming you know, some COVID and some other ones like that one. I mean, is that, are you comfortable with sort of like where the consensus estimates are right now and just any sort of initial color on what you sort of think about the 22 at this point?
spk03: So the first thing I'd say, Derek, is that, you know, we're still working through 2021. We're obviously not planning today for 2022. But the reason we're trying to break out our base business versus our COVID testing is is to really give you a better sense of how to start to think about 2021. And if you think about a base business, we expect to get back to normal growth rates that you would have seen prior to the pandemic. The part that we're still trying to figure out is what could COVID testing look like as we go to 2021? And that's the entire reason that we're giving you the different pieces to try to help you think about it as we get there next year.
spk10: Great.
spk02: If I can ask one follow-up, can you talk a little bit more about your oncology testing and going on with that? Is that back as well? I know you talked about routine testing being back. Is oncology back? Also, we're hearing some mixed things in the market about demand at some of the other companies.
spk03: Yeah, you know, what I would say is if you look at esoteric testing, which includes oncology, that actually went down less than the other testing that we did, more routine testing at the beginning of the pandemic. But as we stand here today, they've both come back, and, you know, it looks about what you would expect. It's about a 60 to 40 breakout of our business, 60% on the more standard testing and revenue and about 40% on the esoteric, including oncology. So we see them both coming back. Thank you. Sure.
spk06: Thank you. Our next question comes from a line of Matt LaRue with William Blair. Your line is now open.
spk11: Hi, good morning. You mentioned a test per session, again, where a driver, but curious how that trended sequentially, because you mentioned that as a driver in Q1 as well. I guess I'm just trying to get a sense for whether things are normalizing or whether there's still some catch-up going on as patients, you know, visit physicians potentially for the first time in quite a while.
spk03: Yeah, I'll let Glenn give some specific, but in general... We expect the test per session to come back to pre-COVID levels over time, and we're already starting to see that a bit. But, Glenn, maybe you can give some additional context.
spk07: Yeah, no, it's exactly right. Sequentially, the test per session impact was less than it was in the first quarter, but obviously the volume levels were much higher in the second quarter than the first quarter as well. So you will ultimately get back to that more sense of normalcy over time.
spk11: Okay, now just on PIXL, you've given some good data points here over the last couple quarters on access and how that's improved. Can you share any data around what the patient uptake, either volume or revenue contribution has looked like? And then maybe what the margin profile of PIXL would look like relative to your traditional business?
spk03: Yeah, so if you look at PIXL, it ranges anywhere from 4% to maybe 8% at the peak of the percent of total PCR tests that we do. So it's a part of the armamentary we have. People that use it really appreciate it. It's now available in 6,000 Walgreens stores and things like DoorDash and Instacart. But it's been relatively consistent at about 4% or so of the total tests that we do. And the margin isn't that different than other margins.
spk11: OK.
spk06: Thanks, Adam.
spk03: Sure.
spk06: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Erin Wright with Credit Suisse. Your line is now open.
spk00: Great, thanks. What are you seeing in terms of the industry fundamentals across the Covance clinical business in terms of site accessibility, RFP flow, and the nature of new business wins in the quarter? What was still COVID-related work? And you did mention the labor costs at Covance, but I'm curious if you anticipate seeing some any partial offset from some of the disruption associated with some of the consolidation across your peers in this space, and curious if that's something that's coming up with customers as well. Thanks.
spk03: Sure. I'll give you some additional context on the business. The first thing I would say is about 80% of sites are currently open, so we still have sites around the world that have not yet fully opened to allow us to go in to help them enroll patients. But you know, we would expect continued improvement there as we go through the year. I would say, though, I would have thought it would be a little bit further than where it is at the 80 percent right now. But the good news is the RFP flow is very strong, and we continue to see a significant number of RFPs. I think we have a good chance to win many of those, and it's a very healthy flow of the RFPs that we're getting. And just to give you a sense, I mean, we were really pleased with our 1.41 trailing 12-month book to bill. And if you look at that, I mean, you kind of bring it to our backlog. Our backlog was $14.3 billion, and that was an increase of $300 million from the first quarter. It was also a 21% increase year over year. If you looked at our trailing 12-month net orders, they were almost $8 billion, and they were up almost 30% year over year. So, you know, with that performance and the continued RFPs that we're seeing, we believe that there's continued significant growth opportunities before us. And then, Glenn, I don't know if you want to talk any more about the labor costs that we're seeing, but we're seeing that and we're hearing that not just in drug development, but across different industries, diagnostics, drug development. It's something that we're dealing with. I think we're doing a good job dealing with it, but we're going to have to continue to find ways to reduce costs in other areas as we go through. And then the last thing I would say is if you asked about COVID and the percent of our net orders, it's still relatively small. It's less than 3% of our backlog, and it's about 7.5% of our net orders over the past four quarters. So overall, it's small.
spk00: Okay, great. And just one quick follow-up on the PLN and preferred lab networks. Can you give us an update on that front and how that's helping to potentially kind of steer lab volume? Thanks.
spk03: Yeah, so we're added to the PLN for the third year in a row. Unfortunately, with COVID, I don't think there's been a ton of progress made in the PLN. It makes a lot of sense, and I believe over time it'll be the right thing to do and our customers will move in that direction. But, you know, I've been saying for a couple years now that, I believe we'll have a better answer at the end of the year. And then with COVID and everything else, it's been very difficult to measure or to actually execute on. So we'll continue to provide updates when it becomes meaningful. At this point, we're glad that we're on there. We have a great relationship with our colleagues at United, and we'll continue to work with them any way we can to help reduce costs and give high-quality diagnostic testing.
spk00: Okay, great. Thank you.
spk06: Thank you. Our last question comes from the line of Anne Hines with Mizuho. Your line is now open.
spk05: Great. Thank you. I just want to know if you can give any detail on revenue per test for PCR testing and also serology. Also, there is increased speculation that the public health emergency might be extended into 2022. If so, do you think labs can maintain elevated COVID pricing in that scenario? Thanks.
spk03: Yeah. Hi, Anne. Thanks for the question. You know, if you look at our domestic testing that we do, the price is still, you know, in the high 80s, just below 90, frankly, so we continue to maintain a very good price in the United States. You know, if the emergency does move into next year, I think it will help us with price. Price is going to continue to be under pressure. It's under pressure now. We continue to have a lot of discussions with our colleagues and payers. But having the emergency declared is certainly a help and enables us to continue to provide the testing that we need. You know, the one thing that's interesting, I mentioned before that we continue to keep the capacity that we have, despite the fact that it impacts our margins to some degree. And, you know, part of the way we're able to do that is because of the emergency and the pricing that we're able to get for this test. If we were in a normal time period, we might have reduced certain things as we saw the total number of tests through the second quarter decline every month. I'm so glad we didn't do that because when all of a sudden there was a significant increase because of the Delta variant, we were able to respond immediately. We kept our one-day on average turnaround time, and we're going to continue to do that. But the emergency declaration and the price certainly is helpful for us to be able to do that.
spk05: And just one follow-up. I know that the school opportunity is still an unknown, but if it comes to fruition, I'm assuming that that revenue per test would be a little lower. Do you have a range what that would be just for modeling purposes if we wanted to put anything in our models?
spk03: Yeah, I would say, you know, it depends. If it's a pool test, you could put, you know, 10 people in one test. That would be different than if it's an individual test. So really, it would depend on the type of testing they would want to do. But I would agree with you that if you're doing surveillance, then it's harder to have the same pricing than when you're actually testing people that are exposed or that have symptoms.
spk05: All right. Thanks.
spk03: Sure. Okay. So I want to thank everybody for joining us this morning and spending time with us. I mean, it's clear that the second quarter was a very strong one across the enterprise. That enabled us to increase our full-year guidance. I want to thank all of our dedicated employees around the world. I mean, their tireless efforts and their pursuit of answers really have demonstrated our mission to improve health and improve lives around the world. And I'm very grateful for the colleagues that we have that are doing that. As the Delta variant continues to progress and other variants emerge, I encourage everybody to get vaccinated. I really encourage people to get vaccinated as quickly as possible if you're eligible. and to stay diligent and vigilant about the disease and the pandemic. We're all in this together. So I look forward to talking to you soon, and everybody have a great day. Thank you.
spk06: Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.
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