Louisiana-Pacific Corporation

Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Q1 2024 Louisiana Pacific Corporation earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, please press star 1 1 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star 1 1 again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Aaron Howald, LP's Vice President of Investor Relations and Business Development.

Thank you, Operator, and good morning, everyone.

Thank you for joining us to discuss LP's results for the first quarter of 2024, as well as our updated outlook. My name is Aaron Howald, and I am LP's Vice President of Investor Relations and Business Development. With me this morning are Brad Southern, LP's Chief Executive Officer, and Alan Hockey, LP's Chief Financial Officer. After prepared remarks, we will take one round of questions. During this morning's call, we will refer to a presentation that has been posted to LP's IR webpage, which is investor.lpcorp.com. Our 8K filing, earnings press release, and other materials are also available there. Today's discussion contains forward-looking statements and non-GAAP financial metrics as described on slides two and three of the earnings presentation. The appendix of the presentation also contains reconciliations that are further supplemented by this morning's 8K filing. I will incorporate those materials by reference rather than reading them.

And with that, I'll turn the call over to Brad. Thanks, Aaron. Good morning, and thank you for joining us to discuss LP's results for the first quarter and our ongoing growth, innovation, and efficient capital allocation. LP's siding and OSB businesses got off to a strong start in 2024 by launching new products, gaining share in new construction and repair and remodeling, and growing strategic partnerships with our customers. all of which contributed to outstanding results in the first quarter. I'm confident that both businesses are poised to build on these gains in the second quarter and beyond. In the first quarter, LP generated $724 million in sales, a 24% increase over last year. LP earned $182 million in adjusted EBITDA, $116 million more than in Q1 of 2023. Leverage from growth in siting and the combined effect of higher prices and record operating efficiency in OSB drove improved margins. With the completion of capacity investments in Holton, Segola, and Bath, our strong balance sheet has allowed us to resume share repurchases consistent with our capital allocation strategy. Alan will discuss our results in greater detail in a moment, but first, I'll provide the operational and strategic highlights for the quarter across our businesses. In the OSB business, commodity prices were meaningfully higher than last year, contributing $62 million in EBITDA. This is, of course, outside our control. However, I am proud to say that the OSB team made the most of this strong demand environment by operating efficiently and safely while delivering a strong mix of value-added structural solution products. For example, the OSB business achieved a record for operating efficiency in the first quarter which helped boost sales by about 150 million square feet compared to last year. More than 75% of this incremental volume was structural solutions. More importantly, the OSB business delivered these results safely with a total recordable incident rate under 0.3. I also want to take the opportunity to thank the teams that are Peace Valley British Columbia and Maniwaki Quebec Mills for leading the way with outstanding safety, efficiency, and cost control. Siding revenue grew by 9% in the first quarter, which was the compound effect of 5% higher net selling prices and 4% higher volume. Prices were higher due to rapid realization of our annual price increase, plus mixed uplift, primarily from expert finish. Higher capacity utilization from increased sales volume helped Siding achieve a 25% EBITDA margin in the quarter. As a result, the Siding business exceeded the high end of our guidance ranges for growth and margin. The chart on the left of page six shows normalized growth in Siding volume, Siding net sales, and total U.S. housing starts of 2010 as the common baseline. The 2024 estimate for siting reflects the midpoint of LP's updated full-year guidance, which Alan will get to in a moment. As you can see, the siting business is backed with historic growth trajectory after the destocking cycle that normally follows the end of a managed order file. In fact, the midpoint of our full-year guidance represents sales volumes above 2021's level and net revenue above 2022's all-time high. By contrast, housing starts reached $1.6 million in 2021, and if the current consensus is accurate, will have fallen by about 9% to $1.45 million in 2024. Nearly 30% cumulative sighting revenue growth over a period in which the underlying market contracted clearly demonstrates pricing power and share gains in the market we serve. The chart on the right shows Expert Finish as a percentage of overall siding volume and revenue. Starting from zero in 2019, Expert Finish has grown to 9% of volume and nearly 14% of revenue in Q1 of this year. If you were able to join us at the International Builder Show in Las Vegas, you saw our newly launched Brush Smooth Trim and Siding, Pebble Stucco Panels, Nickel Gap, and many other new products. all of which should add to the ongoing price mix uplift of expert finish and help drive growth in new residential construction and R&R. Our siding business is clearly back to our normal growth footing, and LP is leveraging the power of our specialized portfolio to drive additional growth and share gains. For example, we recently announced a strategic partnership with Lennar, one of America's leading and most respected homebuilders. Through this partnership, LP will provide Lennar with a uniquely broad array of sustainable siding structural solutions and OSV products. We also expanded our partnership with the Home Depot, extending the availability of SmartSide trim to Home Depot stores nationwide. These partnerships enhance our strategic customer's ability to build high quality and beautiful homes for homeowners and make SmartSide available for more R&R contractors. This, in turn, leads to continued growth, share gains, and innovation in siting and OSB. I should mention that the impacts of the Lennar partnership, newly launched products in siting, and the meaningful increase in OSB prices late in the first quarter had a relatively modest impact on our Q1 results. These factors were largely befell in the second quarter and beyond, with continued growth driving additional leverage in siting. Accordingly, while macroeconomic uncertainty remains, we are increasing our guidance for growth and margins in the second quarter and full year. With that, I will turn to Alan for more detail on the quarter and our updated outlook before we take questions.

Thank you. As Brad said, this was a strong quarter. Higher market prices for OSB drove significant cash generation, while the leverage from increased volumes in both OSB and siding delivered healthy incremental margins. EBITDA of $182 million generated $105 million of operating cash flow. And with the capacity investments in Holton, Segola, and Bath behind us, LP returned $32 million of this cash flow to investors in the first quarter through dividends and resumed share repurchases. The waterfall on page 7 shows the year-over-year comparison for the siding business. average selling prices were 5% higher than last year, adding $15 million of EBITDA. Roughly three points of the five points are the result of robust realization of the annual price increase, helped by our minimization of pre-buy late last year. Expert Finish and other recently launched products have also seen encouraging uptake, with the resulting positive mixed effects on price contributing the remaining two points of the five points. Sales volumes increased by 4% to 399 million square feet, which I should note is higher than any quarter of last year. The bulk of 4% volume growth came from residential construction and repair and remodel customers. Builder Series, which is driving share gains with America's largest home builders, and Expert Finish, our pre-finish siding designed for repair and remodel contractors, both delivered record quarters for volume and revenues. This volume growth added $15 million in revenue and $4 million of EBITDA. Now, this is slightly lower incremental EBITDA margin than we might expect from additional volume, largely due to record expert finish volumes. As a reminder, expert finish margins are lower than primed margins. Well, they are for now. While they may be lower, they are improving. The addition of the highly automated BAT pre-finishing facility to LP's expert finish network in addition to other efficiency gains in manufacturing, contributed to a meaningful improvement in the margin for expert finish compared to this time last year. And of course, as we grow expert finish volumes, further improvements in utilization rates and manufacturing efficiency should continue this positive margin trend. As discussed on prior calls, we are continuing to invest in selling and marketing, incurring an incremental $2 million a year, from which we believe we are already benefiting. This is more than offset by the $4 million benefit from the non-recurrence of last year's mill conversion investments. Freight costs and raw material prices continue to moderate from last year's levels, with NDI resin being the largest single component of a $10 million EBITDA tailwind from improving raw material prices. And while unit costs for paint may have risen, substantial efficiency gains from more automated painting processes at Bath reduced unit paint usage more than enough to offset this. The only red bar on the waterfall is the $7 million of increased malaria overhead. This is simply the addition of Segola and Bath to the network, as neither were fully staffed or operational in the first quarter of last year. But with Segola and Bath now fully up and running, as demand grows to fill that capacity, we should see those costs more than offset by the high incremental margin of additional volume. So the $90 million of EBITDA represents a margin of 25%. We've often compared the side in EBITDA margin over time to a rising sine wave with peaks at times of high capacity utilization and low investment and troughs at times of high investment and low utilization as that new capacity comes online. We believe that what we saw in the first quarter is entirely consistent with this principle, with the business rebounding from last year's trough and growing towards a new higher peak as we fill recently added capacity. Shifting to OSB on page 8, the waterfall is once again dominated by price. Compared to last year, average selling prices were 38% higher, adding $62 million of EBITDA. I should point out that the commodity price gain of 51% is higher than the 25% increase in structural solutions prices, mainly because commodity prices start from a lower base. However, in general, OSB prices climbed significantly at the end of the first quarter, and remained elevated through most of April until their recent pullback. Given the duration of our order files, higher prices at the end of the first quarter have been realized mostly in the second quarter. Sales volumes are also higher in OSB. A record quarter for OAE allowed production increases to meet stronger customer demand. And as Brad said, more than 75% of the incremental OSB volume sold was in structural solutions, which accounted for 52% of total OSB sales volume. up six points from last year. If you'll indulge me, let me use the data in this chart to briefly demonstrate the value of structural solutions in a different way. Using the price, volume, and EBITDA data on this chart to compare commodity to structural solutions, you'll see that the selling prices for the incremental structural solutions volume, if you do the math, were on average about $55 per thousand square foot higher, and structural solutions EBITDA per thousand square foot was about $25 higher than it was for commodity. Of course, this analysis is imperfect, as it's only the year-over-year incremental changes, not the entire population. But it does directionally demonstrate the incremental margin uplift that structural solutions delivers, and therefore it reinforces our strategy of ongoing specialization. As in the siding business, deflation in raw material prices contributed $7 million of EBITDA, For OSB, the other bucket is mostly the non-recurrence of last year's aggressive cost control efforts in the face of very weak demand and depressed prices at that time, including the deferral of most non-essential maintenance and capital work. And while this may have kept the business EBITDA positive a year ago and demonstrated impressive operational flexibility, we are now back on a more regular footing for operations. As a result, we have resumed more normal maintenance spending. The $90 million of EBITDA generated in the quarter coincidentally the same as the siding business, represents an EBITDA margin of 29%. Slide 9 shows substantially improved year-over-year cash flow. The operating cash flow this year is almost equal and opposite to this time last year, with an inflow of $105 million this year compared with an outflow last year of $119 million. And this boils down to two obvious factors, higher EBITDA and significantly less working capital build. And when it comes to uses of this improved operating cash flow, the completion of the Segola and Bath investments resulted in substantially lower capital investments this year. So consistent with our stated capital allocation strategy, and as Brad stated, we're generating cash and have resumed share repurchases. Speaking of which, as of May the 8th, we've spent $50 million in share buybacks so far in 2024, including the $13 million spent in the first quarter. And LP's Board of Directors has approved an increase of $250 million to our remaining authorization, bringing the total authorization for share repurchases to $400 million as of today. And with roughly $800 million in liquidity, LP has more than enough tripartite to support future growth and shareholder returns. Which brings me to our updated guidance on slide 10. Of foresighting, the strong first quarter demand has continued into the second quarter and even accelerated. As a result, we now expect revenue in the second quarter to be in the range of $380 to $400 million, representing revenue growth of somewhere between 20% and 25%. I'm sure you'll remember, and we can scarcely forget, that the second quarter of last year represents the weakest comparable for the year, and therefore magnifies the rebound somewhat. This incremental volume would sustain EBITDA margins in the order of 25%, resulting in EBITDA for the quarter of $95 to $105 million. Accordingly, we're raising our guidance for full-year revenue growth by 300 basis points for a range of 11% to 13% and increasing our full-year EBITDA expectations to the $340 to $360 million range for an EBITDA margin of around 23%. For OSB, if we assume OSB prices remain at current levels, we would expect EBITDA in the range of $125 to $135 million in the second quarter. For the four-year guidance, we're modeling, but not predicting, cycle average for the second half of the year. As a result, our four-year EBITDA guide of $315 to $325 million is the sum of the first quarter actuals, the second quarter guidance, and then the second half of cycle average as defined on slide 10. Basically the same method we introduced last quarter, but with updated numbers, obviously. Assuming for simplicity that LPSA and corporate net to zero, this brings our full year EBITDA guidance to $655 to $685 million. Oh, about $150 million higher than our previous full year outlook. So in summary, it was a strong quarter and a strong start to the year that leaves both businesses exceptionally well positioned to continue executing our strategy of growth, specialization, and transformation. And with that, we'll be happy to take your questions.

Thank you. As a reminder, to ask a question, please press star 1-1 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star 1-1 again. One moment for questions. Our first question comes from with DA Davidson. You may proceed.

Great. Thanks, and good morning, everyone. I just wanted to start off on siding. I guess if volume's kind of the biggest lever on margins, and we see kind of a sequential uplift, Q2 versus Q1, what kind of constrains additional margin expansion versus what we just saw? And I guess as you look into the back half as well, based on the implied guide, Anything to keep in mind from a cost of production or maybe SG&A perspective that we didn't kind of fully realize in Q1?

Yeah, hey, good morning. This is Alan speaking. Well, nothing really. There are a few product introductions, you know, Brush Smooth and Never Gap Siding will be increasing the volumes of those, and they will be slightly inherently less efficient than the current primed production. We are growing expert finish, and as we've said, the expert finish margins are themselves lower than primed. And to be honest, We like to give ourselves, we'll call it the operating room to swing for the fences, and if that means, as an example, adding additional selling and marketing spend, which we may choose to do, or with this kind of volume growth, possibly accelerating some of the preparation for the restart of Wawa, this 23% EBITDA margin guide gives us the room to do that, and still, we believe, hit that commitment.

Got it. Okay, that makes sense. Thanks for that, Alan. And then second, just on the Lennar announcement, was hoping you could talk a little bit more about what type of opportunities you see this opening up for siting specifically. And, you know, we've kind of seen some testimonials around, you know, the business you do with them in the Midwest. I believe you guys do well here in the Mountain West as well. I guess, how should we think about kind of what's incremental related to what you've announced?

Well, there's a significant piece of incremental volume over what we've done with them from a siting perspective historically. And so basically what's happening, Kurt, is we were assigned new geographies that we're currently servicing with our siting portfolio. And that pretty much across the country, but obviously not every region, not every sub-region was converted, but a significant amount of the volume was. So the opportunity for us is just to expand the geographic reach of particularly our new construction products into the field, into distribution, as Lennar comes in the main vehicle to drive demand for that builder series portfolio. So there's certainly a volume uplift that we're beginning to realize with the Lennar orders, but also as we It's experienced a geographic expansion that this opportunity provides, and it'll provide for even more growth of builder series as we pick up accompanying diggers, lumber dealers that have to carry the product in order to service Lenore.

Got it. Okay. Well, that's great to hear. Appreciate the color, guys, and good luck here in Q2.

Thank you. Thanks, Bert.

Thank you. One moment for questions. Our next question goes from Mark Weintraub with Seaport Research Partners. You may proceed.

Thank you. First, congrats. Obviously, very good quarter. In fact, I think a lot better than you had originally anticipated. And so I'm sort of wanting to get a little bit more color if possible. On the siding EBITDA margin, I think you've been guiding something below 20% and you end up basically at 25%. What was different? What played out differently than you had expected?

I'll take this one. The answer is almost everything. Pricing was certainly better in the sense that both in terms of mix and in terms of the impact that I mentioned in my prepared remarks with the effect of the pre-buy. But also, we've spent the whole of last year talking about carrying the investment of additional mills. through into 2024. And the benefits of that showed in that when we had a minor uptick in volume, there was essentially no real change in labor to absorb that volume. So we got, at least during Q1, we got additional revenue at what I'll call throughput, revenue minus material costs because the label was already in place. And so that's not necessarily an easy thing to manage or manage. or predict, but fundamentally that's one of the features that happened in Q1, which is one of the collateral benefits of us doing all of that preparation for what we call in quotes the upswing through 2023. So position does really well to make maximum use, maximum value out of the revenue. We also had better than expected raw material performance. So pricing, Efficiency, raw materials. In other words, almost everything. And when we were on the call three months ago, this trend was just beginning to emerge, but it was not fully apparent at that time. But it was certainly emerging, which I think we tried to convey a degree of what's called confidence in our number.

Great. And obviously the right way to go in terms of versus guidance, et cetera. Maybe just following up a little bit on Kurt's question. I mean, you are embedding what would be a relatively sharp decline in margins in the second half. And you alluded to some types of actions, kind of, I guess, prep work that might be entailed. Can you maybe give us a little bit more color on that? Or is there also a relatively good chance that we end up with some upside surprises we saw in the first quarter as we think about the second half of the year? Sorry, in EBITDA margins for a second.

The short answer is yes. The longer answer is that The one we just gave to Kurt, fundamentally, yes. It gives us the operating room to swing for the fences, and we're confident that we'll hit at least 23%. And that's fundamentally it, Mark. So the answer is yes.

All right. I appreciate it. Thank you. Thank you. One moment for questions. Our next question comes from Susan McClary with Goldman Sachs. You may proceed.

Thank you. Good morning everyone. My first question is just on broader demand trends in siting. Can you talk a bit about how the quarter came together and you know this relative strength that you're seeing into the spring feels like it's a bit in contrast to what we're hearing in some of the other larger ticket discretionary type product categories. I guess can you talk a bit about how much do you think is company specific and relative to some of the new products in the initiatives that you have versus the broader siting space, and how do you think about the sustainability of this as we go forward into the back half of the year?

Yes, Susan, great question. So, we feel really good, certainly given the guidance we've put in place for Q2 about the sustainability of this, you know, for the short term anyway. But let me tell you why I'm equally excited about the long-term sustainability of the growth. And look, I do want to caveat that. I believe in a first signing order file, we're back into a normal cadence of seasonality. That's going to play into the quarter-over-quarter type of comparisons. But fundamentally, what's happened over the last 18 months or so are three things. One, the new product development has been real and we've launched products that our customers have been asking for, the type of products. Alan mentioned this as far as the pricing, the success of those product launches from a demand standpoint has been resounding. And those new products open up new opportunities for demand that wasn't there before. When you don't have smooth expert finish and somebody wants smooth, you're locked out of that market. So that has expanded our market just through the new product development. And let's keep in mind that in our world, expert finish and builder series are still relatively new to what we're doing from a demand standpoint. So having access to the big national builders with a builder series and then having a viable nationwide expert finish product offering, it really creates demand opportunities that didn't exist in the business, say, three years ago. Second to that is the work we have done in repair and remodel to establish contractor and distribution relationships in support of the go-to-market strategy for expert finish. Repair and remodel has been a relatively new endeavor for us. And in that space, there are still one-step distribution regions where we have been under-penetrated. And we have built out that infrastructure to a large extent last year. And now we're able to leverage that. And there are still opportunities there. That's why we've done what we've done geographically, putting these expert finish facilities in market. And then finally, we're just getting started with the big builder. you know, the NAR deal certainly is a watershed moment for us, but there's, you know, 20 other targets that we have that we're actively working on, and we see opportunities to continue to gain market share in that space as well. So, it's, you know, it certainly feels very sustainable. Now, just let me round off that answer by saying, and right now for this year, shed has really not been a driver to incremental volume growth this year and kind of the way inventory situation worked out last year. So we're expecting some pickup in shed, certainly over where we were the first three or four months of this year, the remainder of the year, which add a little bit of fuel to our order file as well, because that has been a weak spot So, you know, we feel good about sustainability. There'll be, you know, there'll be rocks in the road as we get maybe to Q4, Q1 next year. People begin to manage inventories, you know, with a little more aggressiveness as they approach year end. But, you know, we feel good about what we saw in Q1 being sustainable growth, not just any kind of one-off trend.

Okay. That's great color. Thank you, Brad. And then just following up on siting, the sales and marketing spend actually came in well below what we had anticipated. I guess, can you just talk about what drove that? And are you still expecting the $15 million to $20 million in marketing for the full year?

Yes. And look, those are Those costs are ramped up, too. You just can't turn the spigot on immediately. So programs get built and then executed as we get closer to the building season. And then as probably all companies that you cover face, as we try to add salespeople, it's easy to budget for that. It's a little bit harder to find the talent, onboard the talent, and start paying the salaries. So that's the sales part. Organizational ads that we have in place have gone slower than we would have liked, and then from a marketing standpoint, we're building up to the spend levels that we've talked about on prior calls.

That's essentially a more detailed version of the answer I tried to give around EBITDA margin in the second half. Hopefully, we will succeed in spending the selling and marketing dollars that we are planning to do so, which has a bit of a margin drag compared to Q2 of this year when

Q1 of this year, where so far we haven't spent as much as you might have expected or that we would have liked.

Okay. All right. That's great, caller. Thank you both, and good luck with everything.

Thanks, Susan. Thank you.

Thank you. One moment for questions. Our next question comes from Ketan Mamtoro with BMO. You may proceed.

Thank you, and congrats on a strong quarter. Maybe the first question, can you talk a little bit about sort of how big is Builder Series today? I would imagine fairly small. But where do you expect it to be over the next, let's say, three years? And similar for, you know, for Expert Finish, how big do you expect that to be as well?

Yeah, Keaton, you're correct. Builder Series is smaller than Expert Finish. you know, on the order of a couple of percentage points of volume. How big we expect it to be remains to be seen, but there may be a hint of that in the earnings deck that Brad referred to earlier. Export finish started at zero in 2019, and it was 9% of revenue this quarter, 14% – sorry, 9% of volume, 14% of revenue. Builder Series is at a different price point, and so it won't have quite the same mix effect, but it is another example of new product development in the siding business that reaches new customers in new markets, and we fully expect the take-up for that to continue to grow.

And the good thing about Builder Series, as we've mentioned before, it drags along a whole host of other highly profitable products as well.

So it creates its own halo.

Yep, no, that makes sense. And then, Alan, you talked about sort of export-finish margins being below primed, you know, for now at least. So as we look out, and this is not a next quarter or 2024 question, but as you think about the next two, three years, when do you think that relationship flips, you know, with export-finish margins?

You threw me a softball there, so I'm going to say yes in the next two to three years, I hope. That's a reasonable, if rather bland, goal. But yeah, there is still work to be done, and we're still in the process of automating. that we have a highly competent leadership in that group making great strides. I mean, the variable margin, as I said, which I'm not going to disclose at this point, but the variable margin that we earned on expert finish in this first quarter was significantly higher in the first quarter of last year. And again, to sort of return to one of the earlier themes, we didn't bank on that when we gave our Q1 guidance, and so that aspect of the business actually performed slightly better in our Q1 reporting performance than we expected. We're making strides, but as you can imagine, it will be a situation of two steps forward, one step back. So we don't necessarily take all of the improvements in Q1 and kind of project them in perpetuity.

So it is an ongoing process of learning how to do this. But I'm delighted with the progress we're making so far.

Got it. Okay. That's very helpful. Good luck. I'll jump back in the queue.

Thank you.

Thank you. One moment for questions. Our next question comes from Mike Roxland with Truist Securities. You may proceed.

Thank you, Brad, Alan, and Eric for taking my questions. Congrats on a solid quarter. Thank you. Thanks, Mike. Just want to get a sense, you know, can you talk about the degree to which you produced OSB through siding, if any? Because I recall at your investor day in February, you mentioned some optionality to increase production of OSB. you know, should market conditions warrant, you know, I think you mentioned 50% of your sodding mills have that capability or ability to produce OSB. So given the run-up in OSB prices and the more modest, okay, the more modest ramp in sodding capacity, I'm wondering if you took advantage of that capability.

Yeah, let me speak to that. strategically, so as you know, over a multi-year period, we've converted OSB mills to siding. In the larger OSB mills that we've converted, we tend to retain the ability to produce OSB. And the reason for that is when a new siding mill comes online in our network, we don't typically have the immediate demand to fill the facility up. And so while we may not maintain the ability to make OSB in the current meal we're converting, we do maintain it in our system. And so we retain that as a mechanism to basically cover the semi-fixed cost in a facility where we have staffed up for siting production so that we have the plant and the network capability to take advantage of what happened in Q1 and what we foresee happening in Q2. And we're able to fill the idle time with OSB production. So it is done primarily as a cost optimization, say, in our siting business so that we don't have idle assets or idle labor costs waiting on the order file for siting to improve. And just to ease any concerns there, and just let me go a little bit more detail how that's handled internally. We transfer that OSB production to our OSB segment at standard cost. And so the revenue for that OSB is recognized in our OSB business, but obviously, and the OSB segment cost is at standard cost of manufacturing siding. So we want to try to, because we're trying to keep the segment revenue cleaned by product, not by location of manufacturing. So in the first quarter, so we are making, we did make OSB in our siting network in the first quarter. In the big picture, it's a minimal amount. This is from memory, but most all that production goes into the north central region where we don't have, currently have, OSB assigned capacity. So we're selling into a market where we would not normally be present if we were relying only on our OSB network. And it is not opportunistic based on OSB pricing. It is opportunistic based on capacity availability and a siting network so that we can cover the semi-fixed cost, as I mentioned earlier, and keep the labor force active doing something constructively. I'm happy to take a follow-up question, Mike, if that didn't cover the nature of your question, but just wanted to provide a kind of a little bit of a detail around why we do that strategically.

No, it's extremely helpful, Brad. Thank you. Just one question, if one could follow up on that. So the way it's booked is that using the cost structure of the siting mills, but you're capturing the revenue. The revenue is reported within the OSB, but using the cost structure out of the sitings.

segment yes exactly the revenue and any more can gain over standard cost is recognized in OSB and then and then but it certainly like we get a you know the reason we do it is that there is a cost reduction or whatever comes in at the all cost offset that happens in our siding business that provides a you know, it helps the EBITDA margin in our siting business because, you know, we're getting that cost transfer at standard, and that is helpful. So it's a cost, you know, optimization, cost help in our siting or EBITDA margin help in siting, and then depending on the pricing of OSB, it can be a significant, you know, add to our OSB EBITDA. I also think that

By virtue of doing this, you know, we don't have to reconfigure the siting network and the staffing as much as we would otherwise do. And we can, you know, the idea of the siting business is it's a growth business. When we hire people at the mills, the idea is that, you know, you come and work at a siting mill and the shift pattern never goes down and that we continue to recruit people. And we like to try and stick to that. And then we can gain experienced... crews capable of then doing exactly what we just described happened in Q1, which is adding additional siding volume and not needing to add shifts because the shifts are trained and capable and they can pump out volume when it comes in. So it's got a great sort of collateral benefit to the future efficiency of the siding business because it set itself up for that success.

Yeah, that's a great point. And just to add a little detail. On these mill conversions that we've experienced recently and the cost associated with that, there's a great deal of training that goes into those transitions because when you're manufacturing OSB, there's not an aesthetic quality parameter within the realm of reason for OSB. It's a big part of the cost of downgrade in a siding mill. So the training that happens in those facilities is a major investment. So we're making a major investment in the workforce. So just to be simplistic about it, what we don't want to do is convert a mill and then not have the immediate siding volume to run the mill and have to do a shift for the staff reduction to meet that demand. So OSB helps us retain some consistency in operations at these facilities.

with the conversions and you know invest today and I and what we're meeting with investors and you guys personally will talk about why we think the whole is greater than the sum of the parts if you use some of the parts analysis this is one of the reasons that the each business has can can the weekend there's a symbiotic benefit and be able to do this it's one of the reasons why the whole the sum of the parts it's great one last question is divine and I'll turn it over

Do you recall then, just when you look at your OSB segment, how much of the revenue or EBITDA came from running the signing mills on OSB to accomplish that? And would it be fair to say that as you progress through the duration of this year, the contributions of the signing mills should lessen as you run more signing product itself?

Yeah, Mike, I would say that the amount of the year-over-year volume increase in the OSB business enabled by OSB production in the siding mills was pretty minimal. It was between a quarter and a third of the year-over-year increase, and so it has a positive impact but not a dramatic one. I guess I would characterize the siding impact the same way. It helps us be ready for the upside, but – You know, it's not a huge amount of volume, and mostly the increase in the OSB business was enabled by the combination of very strong OEE operating efficiency, as well as a fair amount of overtime in those facilities. So the bulk of the uplift came from OSB, and obviously that's where the benefit accrues as well.

Michael, let me just add one level of detail to your question. to the answer to your question. We do tend to contract that volume out of siting just because we want to know there's a market there. So typically once we've done that for the year, that volume is pretty consistent quarter to quarter. Now, if we get into a situation where siting demand requires full production, we can do some things in our OSP business to cover that contract volume, but it is, It should be expected that we would run some OSB in our siting system the rest of this year. Then we get to next year and we look at that volume and say, what do we need? But typically we do contract that volume just to make sure we have a home for it and we're not having to put all that volume on the open market.

Got it. Extremely helpful. Thank you for all the coloring and good luck in 2Q.

Thank you. Thanks, Mike.

Thank you. One moment for questions. Our next question comes from Steven Ramsey with TRG. You may proceed.

Hey, good morning. This is actually Brian Byros on for Steven. Thanks for taking my questions. First one on siting. Any commentary on the channel inventory there of, you know, the product smart side, expert finish, builder series? Is it healthy for this time of year for the RAIDs outlook, or is this kind of maybe a tailwind to help 2H?

I would say the inventories, look, it's hard to remember what normal was, you know, after COVID and then coming off the order file. But even with my, you know, memory cells not being what they used to be, we are back to a normal seasonal pattern on inventories. And so I would characterize today's inventory levels as normal, but normal being a little high because distribution has certainly brought in products like expert finish in anticipation of a strong, you know, summer season. So, you know, typically, historically, distribution builds inventory beginning February through April, May, and then that inventory's worked down, you know, until October timeframe. But, you know, we feel really good that the product's moving through. There's no, you know, strange order inventory build anywhere in the channel. But I just want to be transparent about that means probably a little higher levels than it will be in November, but healthy for the level of demand that we're experiencing in our order file. So we do not have concerns about any inventory build in the channel affecting, I mean, certainly next quarter. which we've guided to.

Okay, understood. And then maybe secondly, on the setting margins of, I think it's 23% now versus 20% prior, really a major jump sales guide going from 1.45 to I think 1.5 now. You repeatedly stated before volumes obviously have a major impact on margin. I guess how much of that margin raised here is volume and mix helping the sales or anything else as a kind of initiatives and better efficiencies at the plants and things like that.

Thank you. Production volume is a huge driver to these margins, let's be clear. And so as we continue to at least outperform our expectations around sales volume and lever that into incremental production at our facilities, there's tremendous, that's very beneficial to our margins. And then as Alan mentioned, You know, we've given the health of the order file, you know, our sales, our price increase that we implemented January went through really quickly and has held very strong, you know, very, you know, has some stickiness to it. So we're confident there. And then, you know, somewhat unexpectedly, the level of resin MDI price fall has been added as well. So, but look, any kind of long-term view of margin for this business is gonna be primarily driven by our ability to get price, our ability to improve mix, and our ability to run these facilities full or close to full. And just keep in mind, like with Segola, when Segola's up and fully running and functional and optimized out, that is a big, exciting mill. So these siding mills that we add to our system lower our average cost because of the scale they provide. Similar things happening in Bath on expert finish. And so, you know, we're in a growth phase and have been for a while where the incremental growth can still come with incremental margins because of the efficiency that's inherent in these large mill conversions and ultimately inherent in us filling up the system.

Thank you.

One moment for questions. Our next question comes from Sean Stewart with TD Cowan. You may proceed.

Thanks. Good morning, everyone. A couple of easy ones for you. With siting momentum clearly very much on track, any updated thoughts on Wawa in terms of timing and capital costs to move that project forward?

Yeah, thanks, Sean. The update is that we continue on a weekly basis to evaluate our expectations for demand growth. It's never a perfect process of timing new capacity additions to perfectly match demand, but it is something we evaluate very, very frequently and consistently. I think really the only thing concrete we can give you is that certainly our expectation is earlier than it was six months ago. And the more we see uptake of the volume and the faster we build SOGOLA and the faster we build that, the sooner we're going to want more capacity.

Probably with no impact on CapEx this year. You know, our guidance has stayed the same. So there'll be nothing significant from a CapEx perspective this year.

Understood. Second question is just on OSB. industry capacity growth. There's still a lot on deck the next two to three years. And Brad, be interested in any updated thoughts you have on the likelihood that all these projects come to fruition and constraints on bringing that supply into the market at the pace that's been suggested by all these announcements, capital constraints, labor constraints, other issues along those lines. Yeah.

Yeah, I'll just say that, you know, in our own experience, too, it takes longer than planned initially when you talk about the complexity now of getting the permitting and some of the social issues related to mill locations. So, I mean, and then secondly, the market has to be there. One would think for all of these to go forward as planned. So we're keeping an eye on it. You know, we can't control, obviously, what our competitors do with capacity expansion, but I do kind of take the long view on some of these more, you know, ones that are on the board and don't have a lot of momentum behind them yet. But, you know, there are a couple coming online that's going to have some volume in the market later this year, but, you know, we feel good about the rest of the year in our OSP business and we'll manage our capacity to meet our customers' demand in the most efficient way we can. I just don't want to speculate too much about what our competitors are going to do because I don't know for one thing, but I will say so far it's taken longer than initially announced and planned on by all the folks that have tried to bring capacity online.

Yeah, understood. That's all I have. Thanks very much, guys.

Thanks, Sean.

Thank you. One moment for questions. Our next question comes from Matthew McKellar with RBC Capital Markets. He may proceed.

Hi, thanks. Good morning. Could you provide any color on how much of the bump to your siding sales guidance for the year is you would attribute specifically to the partnership with Lennar you announced last month and maybe the expansion and trim at Home Depot you noted versus a broader outlook for stronger sales across the business?

I would say both of those were in our thinking when we originally gave guidance back last quarter. And so we haven't really added because of those two areas. things that I mentioned in my script. We haven't added demand because of that. It's just what we're responding to is the overall strength in our order file up until last Friday, the last time we got a report. And that demand that we're feeling is across basically all sectors with a little bit of not so much in shed as I mentioned earlier. It's just across the board. orders from distribution that is, you know, creating the optimism that we have about, you know, the outlook for siding. But we did not up it, just to be specific, that the guidance increase was not because we signed the Lenar deal or we signed the Home Depot deal. You know, those deals are a long time coming, and, you know, we had some visibility into that when we guided last quarter.

Thanks. Very helpful. The rest of my questions have been asked. I'll turn it back. Thank you.

Okay, thanks, Matt. Thank you. One moment for questions. Our next question comes from George Staffos with Bank of America. You may proceed.

Hi, this is actually Lucas Hudson on for George Staffos. He is currently traveling. Congrats on the quarter, guys, and thank you for the details. If you guys could just walk me through the sighting trends and how they vary between pro contractor and do-it-yourself, along with...

home center and distributors please hey that was a little bit hard to understand the question but let me say it back to you that so the the different um routes and markets or what differences are we seeing from a demand standpoint across those different routes to market is that the question yeah yeah just the just overall demand trends between a pro contractor do-it-yourself home center and distributors please okay So home center demand for the new products that we have put in place, particularly things like trim, very good. Panel business, not a driver to incremental volume, but a strong basis for volume, which, by the way, most of our home center volumes, to be clear, is panel. So that's kind of reflective of what we're seeing in shed. For new construction, Where we have had market access, it is strong. Where we are opening new regions as a result of the deals we've discussed, it's high percentage growth off of a low base. So a lot of opportunity there. And then for repair and remodel, I feel really good about that. But that is kind of like one of these compounding incremental opportunities for as we add more contractors and we add access to market through one-step distribution, that kind of builds upon itself as far as compounding growth. So that's certainly, as represented in the expert finish numbers, a key driver to the incremental volumes that we're seeing. So let's take a step back and say good new construction growth, both at the distribution and end-user area, good growth, and repair and remodel at the contractor and distribution level there as well. And then for the home centers, kind of steady as it goes, but not with new products, which are really moving well through the consumer retail channel.

Okay. Thanks for the color. That's all I have. So thank you, and good luck in Q2. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you.

Thank you. I would now like to turn the call back over to Aaron Howald for any closing remarks.

Okay. Thank you, everyone. That concludes our prepared remarks and a round of questions and answers, so we'll bring the call to a close there. Thank you for joining us to discuss Q1 results and our updated outlook for Q1 and for the full year of 2024. Stay safe, and we'll look forward to connecting again soon.

Thank you. This concludes the conference. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.