2/27/2025

speaker
Teleconference Operator
Conference Moderator

Greetings and welcome to the Lifetime Group Holdings Q4 2024 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. If you require operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce you to your host, Connor Weinberg, VP of Investor Relations and Capital Markets. Thank you, Connor. You may begin.

speaker
Connor Weinberg
VP of Investor Relations and Capital Markets

Good morning, and thank you for joining us for the fourth quarter and full year 2024 Lifetime Group Holdings Earnings Conference Call. With me today are Barah McCrotty, Founder, Chairman, and CEO, and Eric Weaver, Executive Vice President and CFO. During the call, we will make forward-looking statements which involve a number of risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those forward-looking statements made today. There is a comprehensive discussion of risk factors in the company's SEC filings, which you are encouraged to review. The company will also discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures, including adjusted net income, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted diluted EPS, net debt to adjusted EBITDA, or what we refer to as net debt leverage ratio, and free cash flow. This information, along with the reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP measures, are included, when applicable, in the company's earnings release issued this morning, our 8K filed with the SEC, and on the investor relations section of our website. With that, I will turn the call over to Eric.

speaker
Eric Weaver
Executive Vice President and CFO

Thank you, Connor, and good morning, everyone. As always, we appreciate you joining us for our business and financial update. 2024 was an exceptional year for our company. We achieved many significant milestones and exceeded our expectations with our strong financial results. Starting with our fourth quarter results, total revenue increased 18.7% to $663.3 million, driven by an 18% increase in in our membership dues and enrollment fees, and a 19.4% increase in our in-center revenue. Our comparable center revenue of 13.5% was the largest of the year. This was a result of both membership dues and in-center revenue having the largest comparable center revenue growth of the year in Q4, which is a direct result of the significant engagement we are seeing from our members. Center memberships increased 6.4% compared to last year to end the quarter at more than 812,000 memberships. When combined with our digital on-hold memberships, total memberships ended the quarter at approximately 866,000. Average monthly dues were $201, up approximately 10% from the fourth quarter of last year, and average revenue per center membership was $796, up 12% from the prior year quarter. Net income was $37.2 million, up 57%, and adjusted net income was $60.3 million, up 59% from the prior year quarter. Adjusted EBITDA was $177 million, up 28.5%, and our adjusted EBITDA margin of 26.7% increased 210 basis points versus the fourth quarter of 2023, as we achieved leverage in both our center operations and general administrative and marketing expense from increased revenue. Net cash provided by operating activities increased approximately 24% to $163 million, as compared to the fourth quarter 2023. For the third consecutive quarter, we achieved positive free cash flow. Free cash flow was approximately $27 million, and we had no sale leaseback proceeds in the fourth quarter. For the full year, total revenue increased 18.2% to $2.621 billion, driven by a 19.1% increase in membership dues and enrollment fees and a 16% increase in in-center revenue. Average revenue per center membership was $3,160, up 12.5% from the prior year. Net income increased 105% to $156.2 million and adjusted net income increased 55% to $200.5 million. Adjusted diluted earnings per share was 95 cents compared to 64 cents per share for the prior year. In addition to an increase in income from operations in 2025, we expect net income to benefit from reduced cash interest expense due to our reduced debt levels and the refinancing we completed in the fourth quarter. Based on recent SOFR rates, we expect net interest expense of $90 to $94 million. Adjusted EBITDA increased 26.1% to $676.8 million, and our adjusted EBITDA margin of 25.8% increased 160 basis points compared to the full year 2023. As a result of our intentional and strategic repositioning of the company in prior years, which included the rewiring of our operations, we have continued to expand our operating margins and now expect to achieve adjusted EBITDA margins in excess of 26%. With that, I will now pass the call over to Brahm.

speaker
Barah McCrotty
Founder, Chairman, and CEO

Thank you, Eric. Based on the strength of what we have seen so far this year, we raised both our revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance for 2025, from what we had pre-announced in mid-January. Our revenue guidance is now $2,925,000,000 to $2,975,000,000 and adjusted EBITDA guidance is now $780 to $800,000,000. Our core business continues to deliver impressive results. The main driver of our success has been delivering on our incredible member experience. This has resulted in the best retention in our 32-year history, which is one of the most important key performance indicators. We continue to fine-tune our operations to improve the desirability of our places, programs, and performers, and therefore, we expect to exceed the 2024 retention levels in 2025. In connection with our record membership retention, we're seeing record levels of revenue per membership driven both from dues and in-center businesses. Additionally, our new club pipeline is as robust as it's ever been. We expect to open 10 to 12 clubs in 2025, with the ability to extend the number of openings for 26 and 27 given the depth of our pipeline. We intend to maintain our current debt levels of approximately $1.5 billion while we continue to grow revenue and EBITDA. This implies a net debt leverage ratio of less than two times by the end of this year. As a reminder, that number was just 2.28 times at the end of 2024, as you saw in our press release. We plan to use our operating cash flow and any proceeds from Southeast BACs to accelerate the number of new club openings in the future, taking advantage of our robust pipeline. Our lifetime brand is providing significant additional asset-light growth opportunities. First, LT Digital, our free digital subscription, which we launched last February, now has more than 1.7 million subscribers, and it's growing more than 100,000 subscribers per month, naturally and without any marketing effort. LTH nutritional supplements are seeing strong growth month after month, and Miura, our health optimization and longevity offering, is progressing forward as planned, and we are about to open our second location next week. With that, we're ready to answer your questions.

speaker
Teleconference Operator
Conference Moderator

Thank you. We will now be conducting a question-and-answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. A confirmation to indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. One moment please while we poll for questions. Thank you. Our first question comes from the line of Brian Nagel with Oppenheimer. Please proceed.

speaker
Brian Nagel
Analyst, Oppenheimer

Hey, guys. Good morning. Good morning, Brian. Congratulations on a fantastic quarter, fantastic year.

speaker
Barah McCrotty
Founder, Chairman, and CEO

Thank you.

speaker
Brian Nagel
Analyst, Oppenheimer

So I have a couple questions. First, I guess this is just more of maybe a growth question, Baram. So in your outlook here, you're talking about 10 to 12 new centers for 2025. So with the balance sheet where it is now, you know, you've done a great job of getting the debt ratios down to, I mean, frankly, below what you initially even targeted. But I guess, how were you thinking about the funding of that expansion? And particularly, I guess the question I'm asking is, with regard to the sale-leaseback market, which you've been more active in lately.

speaker
Barah McCrotty
Founder, Chairman, and CEO

Yeah. Thank you so much, Brian. We just, I just had a conversation with our the CEO of largest partner of ours on sell-lease-back a couple days ago. We have agreement for them to step in. They want about $240 to $250 million worth of sell-lease-back from us for this year. And they're just phenomenal partners. We have incredible trust relationship. And so that is just one of the incoming demands for our buildings. As I've mentioned before, Brian, there aren't that many opportunities to lease large square footage from singular tenant net lease where you have had a tenant who has basically continually paid rent even through the COVID period. So we have significant amounts of demand for our real estate. I think the $250 to $300, $350 million sell is back. It's sort of easily in the expectation for this year on the low end. We expect to sort of spread that out so that we take the money, the net proceeds from the Selly SPAC, and basically apply it to additional growth. The pipeline, as I mentioned in my remarks, it has never been as strong as it is today. We literally have opportunities coming everywhere, urban, suburban, semi-urban, buildings with apartments, buildings with office, They need lifetime traffic and brand to sort of improve the returns on those. We have just the traditional suburban sites in incredibly robust demographics. So we just basically are balancing. As I mentioned, our expectation is to – we have about $1.5 billion of debt as we expect – sometime this year to actually receive our WB rating for at least one more agency. We have positive conversations with them. With that, and with where the SOFR will be, our expectation is the cost of that debt is roughly 6%, so really, really great debt. With having $3.5 billion worth of owned market value real estate, $1.5 billion of debt, is, you know, virtually could either apply that way or less than two times that to EBITDA. So we don't need to reduce that debt at this point. With the potential we have in our pipeline, we would like to just use all the free cash flow we generate after interest payment and modernization and maintenance capital, take all of that plus any proceeds from sell these bags, and just continue to grow the business. We are having amazing results on our same stores. We have amazing results on all of our new clubs. So we're really, really happy with the way the business is functioning, and it's just really pacing correctly and managing the growth of the business correctly, but we have plenty of opportunity there.

speaker
Brian Nagel
Analyst, Oppenheimer

That's very helpful, Baram. And before I jump to my follow-up question, just quickly on that. So, and I know this is a big focus for investors broadly, but I mean, how are you thinking about on the sale-leaseback? So the market's clearly wide open to you and there's a lot of demand. How do you think about the rates?

speaker
Barah McCrotty
Founder, Chairman, and CEO

Rates are, it's so, you know, it actually is crazy to me. Since we went private, the blended average of everything we've done somewhere like six and a half to six seven six eight and I expect everything will happen in that same like a six and a half to seven it won't touch seven but in that same range so it's and frankly if it was 25 reasons higher or lower it virtually has zero impact on the total economics of business EBITDA margin for the business right now is so strong relative to our banner year of 2019. It's 600 basis points better. So you're paying a quarter more on rent or something, you know, 25 basis points more on rent. It's irrelevant. So we really aren't hindered by, you know, By that, we can just take these, sell these SPACs with the right partners, so long-term right partners, and just, you know, pace them in as we want to bring that cash. And there's no reason to do them too fast. You know, if we can deploy that capital back into the market, there's really no value in doing it. But there is... zero concern from my side that we would want to do a sell this back, then there wouldn't be somebody taking it in the cap rate range that is acceptable to us.

speaker
Brian Nagel
Analyst, Oppenheimer

That's very, very helpful. So my second question, maybe more for Eric, but you look at that. So you pre-announced positively Q4 results in maybe basically mid-January. So here we are. a month later, a little bit more than a month later, and you're lifting guidance again, or you're lifting guidance, I guess, for 25 on the top line, but particularly on the EBITDA line. So I guess the question is, as you look at the business, is there anything particular that changed over the last several weeks?

speaker
Eric Weaver
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, I mean, actually, as we started 25, we saw a couple of things. We saw very strong membership dues, and that's really a result of continued strong average dues. Retention has been incredibly strong. So for that to hit the top line has been better than our expectations. And we've also been very good on cost control.

speaker
Teleconference Operator
Conference Moderator

Yep. All right. Our next question comes from the line of Megan Clapp with Morgan Stanley. Please proceed. Hi.

speaker
Megan Clapp
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Good morning. Can you guys hear me?

speaker
Eric Weaver
Executive Vice President and CFO

We got you.

speaker
Megan Clapp
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Awesome. Okay. First question is just a little bit of a clarification. to some of the comments, Brahm, you made on leverage expectations and sale leaseback. So I think in the release, the guide, you called out maintain leverage at or below 2.25 times. Brahm, I think you said in your prepared remarks it would imply less than two times by the end of the year. So I just want to be clear on what exactly is your expectation as it relates to where leverage should end the year, presumably you know, the level you're growing EBITDA at, unless there's some other cashflow dynamics going on, leverage should come down to end the year, but just want to make sure that I'm totally clear on that. And is sale-leaseback something you're embedding in your cashflow expectations today, or that's, you know, would be incremental?

speaker
Barah McCrotty
Founder, Chairman, and CEO

Great question. So what I said was that our expectation is to make sure we keep our debt to EBITDA under 2.25 times. That's the goal, is to stay under 2.25 times. That's the number that we understand we need to be to make sure we stay in that double B zone from the agencies. And that's the number I believe would be perfectly fine for the company to maintain anything under 2.25. In my remarks, I merely suggested that based on where we expect the EBITDA to finish end of the year, and if you maintain roughly that 1.5 billion of debt, you're going to end up naturally just under two times debt to EBITDA. So those are the goal is to stay under 2.25. And the forecast is going to be if we keep the 1.5 billion of debt, then we should be under two times debt to EBITDA. That's the first part of your question for clarity. Is that helpful, Megan?

speaker
Megan Clapp
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Yep, crystal clear. Thank you.

speaker
Barah McCrotty
Founder, Chairman, and CEO

So now as far as the SELIS facts, so, you know, as we've run through the math, it looks like roughly around $500 million of cash flow generated, give or take $50 million or whatever. So you have that generated from the core business after debt and modernization and maintenance capex. So that $500 million plus any proceeds from sell-lease-backs allows us to just fund the continued growth of the build out. When we lease things upfront, the capital to spend in those is not more than $25 million on average that we've talked about before. When we build from scratch, ground up, those will cost more on that $25 million. But when you're recycling the SELISPAC dollars, you could basically, for simplicity, take that $25 to $30 million per opening and just apply that to however many. And then we just, if they cost more than that on a ground up, you can expect that piece of it, that this more than $25 to $30 million is coming from recycled capital from SELISPAC. I am trying to make this as simple as possible for everyone to follow is how we think about staying cash. At this point, we don't need to be significantly free cash flow positive after growth, after all the growth, because the debt levels, as we mentioned, is in the right place. So now we want to have sort of a cash flow positive to neutrality, more or less, in that range for the debt standpoint, and then take all the rest of the opportunity and apply it to growth.

speaker
Megan Clapp
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Maybe if I could just follow up on EBITDA margins. So 26.7%, I think, for the year, and you're guiding to that again in 25. So it was a couple quarters ago, I think, where... you were really sticking to 26%. And I think at the time, you commented on maybe not wanting to squeeze more and start hurting the member experience. So obviously, the business has performed well. And it's nice to see the leverage you've gotten as that's occurred. But how are you thinking about margins today, close to 27%? Does that comment still apply of, you're not going to try and squeeze the business for more? Are there areas where You'd look to invest a bit more. Just how should we think about kind of how you're thinking about the EBITDA margin outlook broadly going forward?

speaker
Barah McCrotty
Founder, Chairman, and CEO

Once again, another great clarification question. I always said to you guys, here's what we would like you guys to sort of put in your models. I never said it can't be more. I did tell you guys it can be more. Just don't model more because we want to have the flexibility to invest in the quality of our offering. As the company is doing bigger dues, bigger revenues, bigger in-center, we are not compromising at all anything that this customer experience to generate more margins. The margins are beautiful. They're fantastic. I think that I would be happy to have any business to generate north of 25% EBITDA margin. But it doesn't mean we can't do more. I just don't want to keep being pushed by the streets to have to do more, more, more, because eventually you're going to hurt your business. We're not going to allow that to happen. So for right now, what we are telling you is the margin for 2025, I think is a very healthy margin. It possibly could be slightly more as time goes on, but we just want to make sure we keep everybody's expectations in check.

speaker
Megan Clapp
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Understood. Thank you.

speaker
Teleconference Operator
Conference Moderator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Alex Perry with Bank of America. Please proceed.

speaker
Alex Perry
Analyst, Bank of America

Hi. Thanks for taking my questions here, and congrats on a really strong quarter. I guess just given some of the commentary in the press release, is it Is it fair to say that the comp center sales are sort of running above the 7% to 8% for the year in the first quarter, sort of giving you lifted your guide versus the pre-announcement just over a month ago? And then I think you raised your sort of implied EBITDA guide by 60 basis points versus your pre-announcement. What is the key driver there? I think the EBITDA guide sort of came up a bit more than the revenue guide. Can you just talk about how you're thinking about that? Thanks.

speaker
Eric Weaver
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, I think you've got it right there, Alex. The 7% to 8% is kind of the full year there, and we're still lapping some of the strategic things that we did. So the expectation is that that would be a little bit higher in Q1. So that slope, you're thinking about that exactly right. So we would expect Q2, Q3, Q4. Again, in terms of how we started the year, just what we're seeing in the flow, the strong flow through from the revenue. We're seeing strong average dues. We're seeing strong retention in both Jan and Feb. So that's really part of that flow through directly attributable to the increased margin.

speaker
Alex Perry
Analyst, Bank of America

Thank you. And then my follow-up question is maybe to piggyback on on Megan's question from earlier, do you, in managing the club experience, do you have a desired club capacity number for your large format clubs? And then, you know, how do you think about sort of the pricing opportunity as you start to approach that? You know, what you see is the, you know, desired club capacity. It looks like you're starting to implement enrollment fees on, in a lot of your clubs. Um, You know, is there a lot of, you know, continued embedded pricing opportunity as we look into the business this year? Thanks.

speaker
Barah McCrotty
Founder, Chairman, and CEO

Alex, as always, you have great questions, great insights. So let me help out to everyone with your question here. Really, when you think about a club, there is a certain amount of visits you can generate within a particular club. not necessarily just based on square footage. It's based on all kinds of things, based on the flow of the club, the design of the club, the parking lot, and just basically whatever is your bottlenecks, your biggest bottlenecks in a particular location is basically creates a natural number of how many people can visit a club successfully to our you know, sort of an incredible experiential visit for that customer. And that becomes your limiting factor on how many visits you have. And then if you take that number, say, okay, it's 12 visits a month, 13 visits a month, right, per customer. It just gives you a number for how many members you can have in that club and deliver the four seasons, the Rich Carlton quality, the lifetime, always good. delivers to do that basically gives you that number. Now, your opportunities come very differently in different locations. If a particular club is significantly below that maximum comfort swipe number on a monthly basis, then you can work on your programming, on your talent that you bring in, to try to have more visits in that particular club, which results in more members. If you have reached a point where your club is saturated from that number of swipes, number of visits per day, now you have pricing opportunity. you have your wait list, then you start adding enrollment fees and you raise the dues to find the right equilibrium in that club. And then that will add more of that what we have talked to you guys about. It's interesting to me, a year and a half ago, we were having these conversations and with, what, $17 million worth of dues per month if we had taken everybody who was not paying the RAC rate to the RAC rate. During this last 18 months, we have raised dues on those legacy customers, the people who are paying below, and now we're up to $20 million plus of dues per month, which is the gap, because as we've been managing the right value proposition in each club to make sure we give the right experience, those rack rates naturally have come up, which then has not, you know, basically expanded that difference between, the differential between the non-rack paying customers to the rest. So now, when you look at our company, and we look in the next several years, you know, three years, four years, five years, we expect that just the natural flow of the dynamics of everything we told you is going to generate strong same-store growth on the do's side. And then very, very interestingly, as we are focusing on this more affluent, sophisticated customer who really is only interested in the best experiences, which is what we are just very strategically getting more and more of that type of customer in the club. We have experienced the lowest attrition rates with this customer base, and we're experiencing the highest in-center spend on top of their dues. So right now, all the strategies we have implemented over the last five years they are working individually and collectively. And so we have a strong momentum on the business. And we think we have so much momentum that even if there is some macroeconomic compression, which is likely to happen at some point, it wouldn't be felt through our numbers because of the backlog of opportunity, if that makes sense.

speaker
Alex Perry
Analyst, Bank of America

Yep, that's very helpful. Best of luck going forward.

speaker
Barah McCrotty
Founder, Chairman, and CEO

Thank you so much, Alex.

speaker
Teleconference Operator
Conference Moderator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of John Hickenbockel with Guggenheim Partners. Please proceed.

speaker
John Hickenbockel
Analyst, Guggenheim Partners

Hey, Bara, I wanted to start, you know, you now have, you don't lack for capital, right? So, If you think about gating factor, which is people, so how do you think about managing that, you know, higher level and then at the club level? And then your thoughts on org structure, operational org structure, and if you may want to make some changes there such that you tighten up span of control, right, to safeguard, you know, the people aspect of growth.

speaker
Barah McCrotty
Founder, Chairman, and CEO

It's an interesting question, John. Look, we have two elements that we have to be cognizant of. Number one, I don't think anybody is asking about our company, which is interesting because I'm sure you're not thinking this is a tech business. But I have been driving AI relentlessly for the last couple of years to our company. And my belief is if you are not implementing strong AI in every part of your business, you're gonna fall behind miserably. So then that breaks down to two categories with AI. AI as it relates to efficiency of operations and executing what you do, and those all will have impact on cost efficiencies. And then AI as it relates to the customer experience, which is our LACI, which I simply cannot wait till sometime this summer should we hold the investor conference to basically unveil what our digital platform coupled with LACI, our Lifetime AI Companion, can do for customers and how it can serve as a gateway to healthy living and healthy aging for all people. So we are in a moment in time, I believe it's revolutionary, not evolutionary, in the next decade in how we can think about everything we do. So I don't necessarily believe that you need to have more people or more layers to deliver the best experiences to the customer. And it's basically you have to have a vision for what that ultra high-end experiential delivery is and then figure out how you can deliver that most efficiently. And frankly, sometimes having significantly less layers actually improves the customer's experience, which is what has happened at Lifetime over the last four years. We have, like I mentioned before, there's only three, my expectation, there is only three people to any decision. No more than three layers. More than that, you're just slowing things down, and I don't think you get anything for it. So we are, John, we're in a really, really great place. We have tons of initiatives internally on, you know, taking advantage of all that is happening with the technology, both on customer experience and efficiencies in the company.

speaker
John Hickenbockel
Analyst, Guggenheim Partners

And then my follow-up is when you think about the 143 visits per year, I'm not sure what the best or the most loyal members, where they're at. I don't know if they're at 160, 170, 180, but any thoughts on that? And then I sort of keep waiting, right, for the in-center revenue spent per month, you know, to start to accelerate, right? Because you've got all this traffic and you're improving DPT and other things, and the wallet is there. I know you've wanted to do that organically, right? Let them find... you know, these services. So do you think the potential is there, but it's going to be slow, or does anything accelerate that?

speaker
Barah McCrotty
Founder, Chairman, and CEO

Well, John, if you look at the same store business of fourth quarter and why we are raising the guidance again just after five weeks, it's because of what you just said. We are seeing more throughput right now with our in centers as well as the dues we have record numbers on PT we have record numbers of dynamic personal trainers that they are super engaged we have we have record amounts of applicants high high-end best performing talent in health and wellness wanting to come join Lifetime because of the strength of our brand and our position. So I expect we grow dues, and I expect we grow incentives.

speaker
Eric Weaver
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, and if I could just add to that, just to back up what Rob said there, if I look at just PT comparable revenue for Q4 this year versus last year, this year that metric is nearly tripled. So it's not a small thing. And again, those are in our comparable store. So really, really large growth there.

speaker
Barah McCrotty
Founder, Chairman, and CEO

There's two things that I mentioned in my remarks that we aren't interested in hyping our business, as you guys know, and you call me a sandbagger. I appreciate that, John. But we don't want to give... some sort of a hype to the investors or analysts about things that might happen. That's not an engineer's mind. We need to deliver results when we have mathematical projections, then we can give you guys some, I expect by the summer, we can show you guys again not only the growth of that digital. The digital has grown from zero, this is not existing members. So if you take our members using the app, that's probably a million and a half, a million and six total members on that 800 and some thousand memberships. Put that aside, in addition to that, within a year we have acquired 1.7 million subscribers free subscribers, we expect that number to get to three to four million by end of this year. That foundationally is helping once again make the brand reach to a much broader number of eyeballs. Out of that comes some actual regular members who are coming out of that group naturally without spending any money, creating more demand for the lifetime membership. That's the biggest win. But what's yet to come is as you see the MIORA rollout over the next two, three years in the clubs, in addition to LTH growth, these are additional opportunities that will continue to improve the opportunity to do more in-centers, so in-center revenue. So we're... As you guys can imagine, we're not sitting on our rear end and thinking, oh, results are good, so they're going to stay good. We are thinking, okay, what else can we do for our customer to make their life better, to create more of a one-stop shop for all aspects of their healthy living, healthy aging, health tracking in and out of our clubs, even if they're away from Lifetime. So all of that has incredible momentum. And again, we're super eager to find a day that makes sense sometimes this early, you know, sometimes early summer to get everybody together and share the new things that are above and beyond the current business model. Thank you.

speaker
Teleconference Operator
Conference Moderator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Michael Hirsch with Wells Fargo. Please proceed.

speaker
Michael Hirsch
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Thank you for taking my questions. Just to touch on your last point there, you're hinting at an investor day or something like that in early summer. So I'm wondering, are you looking to talk about maybe updated long-term targets or what are you hoping to accomplish with that?

speaker
Barah McCrotty
Founder, Chairman, and CEO

What I'm hoping is to introduce the new opportunities that they're asset light that we've been working on for the last several years. But we should be at a point, there would be no point having an investor day unless we are, we're not going to just have people come in here, analysts coming, investors coming in to give them that regular opportunity. update on the business moving forward nicely. That we do just like we're doing right now. We would be unveiling new opportunities out of the Lifetime brand that, as I mentioned to you, we expect to deliver the perfect gateway for all people on health and well-being. So that's what we are working on and I hope that we are at a place that we can, I'm fully expecting that we would announce something for first week of August. That's my goal right now, but we have to, we have to fine tune that and confirm it. But that's our expectation at this point.

speaker
Michael Hirsch
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Okay. And then you've spoken about the LT digital app quite a bit. So do you anticipate, monetizing this app or beyond getting some incremental members from it? How should we think about the opportunity from the app?

speaker
Barah McCrotty
Founder, Chairman, and CEO

That's exactly what we want to unveil to you in the summer time frame. We are building the ecosystem for that. That digital platform, my expectation is that It will be able to help you register for any athletic events. It will allow you to track your health data. It will have knowledge of how you use the club if you're a member, if you're a non-member, your other activities. And it basically will become your companion by guiding and helping you on your health and wellness journey. with the expectation that we will deliver everything you would want from streaming to on-demand, podcast, education, a real, real companion to help you with all of your health and wellness journey. Well, then how do you monetize that? I mean, the objective is to have something that is a one-stop shop for all people. And then monetization will happen naturally as you build the most, definitely most trusted nutritional products for me, which I take not 50, but 80 to 90 supplements a day. So I have energy for you, Michael. So I want to make sure what goes in my body has gone for the last 15, 20 years. It's something that has, No negatives. It has all the right stuff. So we have been relentless on quality of LTH products for 20 plus years. But now, under the LTH brand and the month-over-month growth we're seeing, we expect that business to be a billion-dollar revenue business in the years to come. And the LT Digital, which tens of millions of subscribers on it over the next four, five, six years will become an easy, natural foundation for the people to find the LTH product and be able to just easily buy it. And LACI will help them answer any question they have about any product, coupled with understanding of who they are, how they're using their, you know, all their activity levels. So all of this has been being built for the last several years quietly. We are at a point that I think we can demonstrate this and get you guys all super excited about it.

speaker
Michael Hirsch
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Thank you.

speaker
Teleconference Operator
Conference Moderator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Owen Richter with Northland Securities. Please proceed.

speaker
Owen Richter
Analyst, Northland Securities

Hey, Brian and Eric. Once again, congrats on the quarter in 2025 looking to be pretty great. But can we just dive a little bit deeper into this 1.7 million app subscriptions? I guess, how do these figures compare to your club membership numbers? And are they separate or overlapping?

speaker
Barah McCrotty
Founder, Chairman, and CEO

What a great question. No, that's all incremental to the club members. Those are not any... customer who is paying dues to use the club? So that's that question. That number is just free digital subscribers, non-members, non-access free subscribers to the app. And it's just a platform to bring in people in and give them the best on-demand content, the best streaming content, the best educational content, information on their health and wellness, you know, and under the profile. It's basically, it's all one-stop shop. Again, I call it, you know, my partner, John Donhock, will call it the gateway to healthy living, healthy aging. I like that. It's basically a gateway to everything for your health and wellness.

speaker
Owen Richter
Analyst, Northland Securities

Perfect. That's, clarified a lot. And then on another note, our new center opening, you know, the 10 to 12 this year, still skewed more towards those asset light opportunities versus ground up builds. And then should we still expect that dynamic to shift more towards ground up builds in 2026?

speaker
Barah McCrotty
Founder, Chairman, and CEO

Yeah, you know, our pipeline is so robust right now on both fronts. Like literally, it's significant Like, we could do a lot more clubs in 26 or 27 if we didn't want to demonstrate the discipline of staying within that $1.5 billion of debt, right? And having the right experience to the customers Right, but we, again, as an investor, I think about it, do they have a chance that they can deliver enough growth? Of course there is a chance, it's just not probable. We have such a pipeline and we can mix and match between some of the ones that they're basically going into already existing spaces and the ones we build from ground up. Frankly, I don't think we should try to guide to so many of this and so many of that at any given time because it has no value in it. I think we really need to make sure we help the analyst to figure out a way that basically they think about the total score footage growth and then the relative membership growth to that score footage and dues growth, etc. But we really have significant opportunity on all fronts.

speaker
Owen Richter
Analyst, Northland Securities

Awesome. Thanks so much for the color, guys.

speaker
Barah McCrotty
Founder, Chairman, and CEO

Thank you.

speaker
Teleconference Operator
Conference Moderator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Jessalyn Wong with Evercore ISI. Please proceed.

speaker
Jessalyn Wong
Analyst, Evercore ISI

Hey, thanks, guys. Congrats on the results. Just to follow up on Alex's questions on comms, I mean, we saw accelerating of comms each quarter into the fourth quarter there. Based on your comments, it seems to suggest that year-to-date trends have been strong. Just curious, has comms accelerated year-to-date there? And when I think about the bull case, what's stopping the company to deliver low-double comparable growth in 2025? Or maybe just another way to think about it, what is baked in your assumptions for comms to slow down to 7% to 8% in 2025?

speaker
Eric Weaver
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, so I can take that. Yeah, our comps, to your point, have been accelerating, you know, as we talked about with Q4 obviously being the strongest, and we saw that really more strongly across our incident businesses, but also with dues. So, you know, we're guiding, like we've said, to 7% to 8%. And, you know, on the do side, you know, we're lapping some of the initiatives that we had done over the past year or two. So on the do side, you would expect that to, you know, come down a little bit. But, look, there's nothing to say that there's additional growth accelerators. Bram's talked about them, things that we can do, you know, to increase those. But right now, where we're comfortable guiding is into that 7% to 8% range.

speaker
Jessalyn Wong
Analyst, Evercore ISI

Sorry, Andrew?

speaker
Barah McCrotty
Founder, Chairman, and CEO

It doesn't mean there isn't more opportunities. Again, there's always a balance between giving you guys a number that is certain and then beyond that, it's extra potential. Exactly. We are generally extremely conservative on what we commit to.

speaker
Jessalyn Wong
Analyst, Evercore ISI

Got it. Just a follow-up on other revenues. I know it's a really small part of the business there, but it grew really well this quarter, up 32% there. What's driving that, and how should we think about this line item in terms of growth into the next year?

speaker
Eric Weaver
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, I mean, that line is going to include things like our lifetime living, our lifetime work, and a lot of our athletic events. So that can be a little bit lumpy just given the timing of events. You know, we've kind of just penciled in roughly, you know, 5% to 6% growth. But, again, that can be a little bit lumpy just given the time of year and the timing of those events.

speaker
Jessalyn Wong
Analyst, Evercore ISI

All right. Thank you, guys, and good luck.

speaker
Eric Weaver
Executive Vice President and CFO

Thank you.

speaker
Teleconference Operator
Conference Moderator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of John Boggarden with Mizuho Securities. Please proceed.

speaker
John Boggarden
Analyst, Mizuho Securities

Good morning. Thanks for the question. Maybe in terms of the next steps for growth, I'm wondering, Ram, if you could discuss a bit of the opportunities for recovery, which seems to be a topic of increasing interest for folks in the wellness space. We've seen the news of the rollout of the cold plunge. I'm curious if you can discuss your vision for the recovery space overall, where you believe Lifetime could take that, the intensity of CapEx required, and how do we think about recovery as a contributor to recovery either in-center revenue or even a new driver for memberships growth going forward?

speaker
Barah McCrotty
Founder, Chairman, and CEO

Yeah, it's a great question. Look, it's really an interesting business wherein the customer is in front of you going through their experiences. So you can actually just observe and watch and see what are the things the customers are really interested in. We have been rolling out All of the last couple of years, the recovery space, every new club has recovery. All the old clubs have been getting the recovery space. We are systematically putting in cold plunges into the clubs as we can roll them out and pace them out correctly, depending on the opportunity of each club. We are very, very... optimistic on Miura, our longevity business. It has literally been a very, very fast pace of my expectation. We opened Miura last year, but we took till September to hire the physician assistants to actually have the teams and have them fully trained, then delivered that customer experience that was exceptional. by September, we did that. By December, we were looking for a business that is generating substantial revenue and margins, and since then, we still, January was bigger month over December, February is growing over January, despite lower number of days. That business is moving exactly as we had hoped, and it proves to be a business that can long-term, if it doesn't do what our personal training business will do, I think long-term that business can do at least 50% of our revenue of our personal training incrementally in our clubs. So we are constantly digging to find out how else we can make the life of our member, their health and wellness journey, more complete so they can do more of the things they want to do related to health and wellness in one place with one trusted brand. So I fully expect we will continue to grow our in-center revenue from the more nutritional products, more recovery, more dynamic stretch, more Miura. But we're not going to bombard our customer by pushing promotional nonsense. We deliver the best experiences for them. We deliver the best programs. We deliver the best service. And they come to us naturally. There's tons of companies who are trying to do this longevity thing. remotely or whatever, but their attrition rate is ridiculous. And our attrition rate on our Miura customer is substantially below the attrition rate of our customer right now, which is the best it's ever been in 32 years. So we are really, really encouraged with the strategy that my team has put together and the execution of that strategy, and it's 100% focused from the customer point of view. We've been committed to that for 30-some years. Customer point of view, so our inventions, our creations, is how do we make your life as a member better, and then that's the results that you're receiving right now, induce growth and incentive, penetration is just because of our direct focus on making that experience more comprehensive and better for the customer.

speaker
John Boggarden
Analyst, Mizuho Securities

Thanks for that. And then as a follow-up, coming back to the digital investments, the LACI, a lot of discussion this morning around the vision. But I'm curious what you're seeing already. The downloads have been very strong. At this point, can you parse anything out in terms of activity or engagement between members versus non-members? Maybe what features are seeing the most traffic, whether it's the online store, the health advice? Any takeaways thus far? Yeah.

speaker
Barah McCrotty
Founder, Chairman, and CEO

It's growing fast. We are adapting it fast. And we are learning in an incredible pace. We would love to take the next... five or six months, continue to improve not only the number of subscribers, that's going to grow significantly by the time we see you, we hope to be at 25, two and a half million, three million subscribers. Then we like to have, show you all the breakdown, what percentage of these people come in, how often they come in. What are they interested in? How do we incorporate LACI for them to be completely and entirely customized to each individual subscriber with incredible AI attached to it? I am incredibly excited about it. We're working relentlessly on it. And I don't want to speak out of turn. I think summer is when we will be able to really put on a demonstration that would be satisfactory to me. And you will get all these great questions you're asking. We will be able to give you answers with enough data that that data is meaningful. We need a lot more number of We just need a lot more engagement, a lot more data. We need a lot more. So those statistics are legitimately accurate. Does that make sense? It's a little early right now, but the early results are amazing. That's all I can say to you. Thanks, Ron.

speaker
Teleconference Operator
Conference Moderator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Alex Fruman with Craig Hallam Group. Please proceed.

speaker
Alex Fruman
Analyst, Craig Hallam Group

Hi, everyone. Thanks for taking my question and congratulations on a really strong year. I wanted to ask about your kids offering. You have a really unique offering in the marketplace for families. I'm curious if you could kind of help quantify for us how many of your members or how much of your business is associated with members who have a kids membership associated with that member and how much of an opportunity is that going forward?

speaker
Barah McCrotty
Founder, Chairman, and CEO

Yeah, Alex, that's a great observation. It's a incredible part of our business. It always has been a part of the strategy to create unmatchable environments for families with children. And our kids camps, summer camps, kids academy, parents night out, all the different things we do in there are humongous part of Lifetime's overall success. We have never broken that information out to go ahead and pass it on. We, of course, have it, but we do not share that information. We haven't. We've got to be conscientious of how many different information we share on a regular basis. because it can honestly become confusing to the potential investors. The overall factor, things I can tell you, is that our family memberships have the highest utilization, as a utilization per membership, obviously, and they have the highest retention. And it's more or less... part of the overall strategy that we laid out 30 years ago to create a facility that was the best experience for singles and the best experience for couples and even better experience for families with kids. It's part of an overall strategy of Lifetime.

speaker
Eric Weaver
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, if I could just add to that, I mean, it's a big differentiator for Lifetime, but You know, Bram did mention we don't break out statistics, but what I can tell you is, you know, this year from an engagement standpoint, a penetration standpoint, you know, some of the camps and things we do around our kids' programming, we had some, you know, record participation. So it's just another component of the engagement we're seeing.

speaker
Barah McCrotty
Founder, Chairman, and CEO

Yeah, and most of, like the summer camps, pretty much universally are sold out. We sell out long ahead of this. the season starting. So, you know, when we are seeing a stronger trend right now than last year and last year was an incredible year. So everything looks, everything is looking great, Alex.

speaker
Alex Fruman
Analyst, Craig Hallam Group

That's great to hear. Really appreciate all the color.

speaker
Barah McCrotty
Founder, Chairman, and CEO

Thank you.

speaker
Teleconference Operator
Conference Moderator

Thank you. Our last question comes from the line of Chris Warnack with Deutsche Bank. Please proceed.

speaker
Chris Warnack
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Okay, thanks. Hey, guys, thanks for squeezing me in. So my question, I know there's been a lot covered, but I don't know that we talked a lot about the pretty recent launch of the online supplement sales and the in-center supplement sales. And, you know, Baram, I think it was about three or four months ago that you expanded the launch. And I'm just curious as to how you look at it now, if it's going according to plan or or better, and what kind of next phases of growth are for that segment? Thanks.

speaker
Barah McCrotty
Founder, Chairman, and CEO

I believe it will be an incremental game changer for a lifetime. In the next two to three years, you're going to see explosive growth out of LTH. I would say we are in the super, super early stages of building the ground for work the the basically the root system for all systems for lth to go but we're seeing strong like 25 percent month over month like you know right now february is 25 percent uh more than it was february of 2024 but but uh you know i expect that number to get to 100 percent uh by sometimes this year versus what we were doing the same month the year before. So it's moving a full system. All systems are going on that, and it will be a huge growth factor for a lifetime and years to come. Great. Thanks, Param. Thank you so much.

speaker
Teleconference Operator
Conference Moderator

Thank you. There are no further questions at this time. I'd like to pass the floor back over to Connor for any closing remarks.

speaker
Connor Weinberg
VP of Investor Relations and Capital Markets

Yeah, thank you, everybody, for joining us today. We look forward to seeing you at the upcoming Bank of America and UBS consumer conferences. Otherwise, we'll see you at our next quarterly earnings call.

speaker
Teleconference Operator
Conference Moderator

This concludes today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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