Luxfer Holdings PLC

Q2 2022 Earnings Conference Call

7/27/2022

spk07: Good morning. My name is Katie, and I will be your conference operator today. Welcome to Luxfer's second quarter 2022 earnings conference call. All lines have been placed on mute. After the speaker's prepared remarks, we will hold a question and answer session. Now, I will turn the conference over to Mike Gaydon, Vice President of Investor Relations and Business Development for Luxfer. Mike, please go ahead.
spk01: Thank you, Katie. Welcome, everyone, to Luxfer's second quarter 2022 earnings call. With me today is Andy Butcher, Luxfer's chief executive officer, and Steve Webster, Luxfer's chief financial officer. On today's call, we will provide details of our second quarter and year-to-date 2022 performance, as detailed in the press release issued yesterday. Today's webcast is accompanied by a presentation that can be accessed at Luxfer.com. Please note any references to non-GAAP financials are reconciled in the appendix of the presentation. Before we begin, a friendly reminder that any forward-looking statements made about the company's expected financial results are subject to future risks and uncertainties. We undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. Please refer to the Safe Harbor Statement on slide two of today's presentation for further details. Now, I will turn the call over to Andy for his summary comments on the quarter, after which Steve will provide details of our financial results. Following Steve's remarks, Andy will provide additional details about Luxfer's growth outlook before Q&A. Andy, please go ahead.
spk05: Thank you, Mike, and welcome, everyone. Please turn to slide three. I'm pleased to share with you details of our second quarter performance, which resulted in sequentially improved revenues and profits. I want to start, though, by expressing my thanks to the entire Luxor team, who once again worked through a challenging supply chain backdrop to deliver for our customers. Our team's focus and dedication helped build on the momentum seen in our Q1 results. On this slide, I want to highlight three key messages. Firstly, regarding our financial performance, we delivered more than 10% year-over-year sales growth in the second quarter, continuing the double-digit percentage gains also realized in Q1. Our Q2 top-line expansion was driven by our ongoing success in passing through cost inflation as well as increased volumes. Our Q2 adjusted diluted earnings per share of $0.36 steadily advances our progress towards our previously outlined guidance for the full year. Our electron segment led our overall performance with increased profit and sales strength notable in many areas. We are also encouraged by Gascylinder's sequential improvement in sales and profitability, as well as the order inflow for alternative fuel systems. Our capital position remains solid, with a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.2 times, helped by a return to free cash flow generation. Secondly, we continue to see healthy levels of demand in Q2. Revenue in a broad range of our major end market categories increased versus prior year. the more than 25% revenue growth in our transportation market and 14% growth in industrial end markets was particularly pleasing. We also continued to implement actions to offset the inflation of our input costs. Although our supply chain has improved from year end, as expected, we are still dealing with some areas of availability and logistics challenges, which continues to inhibit our ability to grow volumes further. Thirdly, Our solid first half performance and sound backlog position us to achieve our 2022 adjusted diluted EPS guidance of $1.35 to $1.50. Moreover, our year-to-date results and broader outlook reinforce our confidence in achieving our longer-term 2025 EPS goal of $2 or more. Turning to slide four, I would like to provide more details on current business conditions. During the second quarter, we sustained a healthy pace of orders, increasing our backlog and reflecting broad-based customer demand across our business units. Performance was strong in both our transportation and industrial end-user segments, although defense and first response was lower due to a slower demand for flameless ration heaters. We were pleased by strength in aerospace and automotive markets, as well as with commercial magnesium revenues. and in alternative fuels, we are encouraged by increasing hydrogen systems orders in Europe, following the success of earlier prototype deliveries. This development further reinforces our positive long-term view of the growth opportunities in hydrogen. Supply chain conditions remain uneven. The rate of raw material price increases has reduced, bringing some improved near-term visibility on cost, which is helpful. At the same time, We continue to grapple with recurring material availability constraints, long supplier lead times, and logistical bottlenecks. These same conditions also continue to impact some of the key industry customers we serve. So, for example, some parts of the automotive industry remain constrained by component shortages, and we see ad hoc delays in other sectors as well. The force majeure condition remains ongoing at U.S. Magnesium, and the labor market remains tight. Given these supply conditions and the backdrop of an evolving macro environment, monitoring market developments and close coordination and communication with customers and suppliers remain top priorities. We continue to review both macroeconomic and local end market indicators amid the sustained demand we see for our portfolio. While our demand remains relatively strong, I want to take a brief moment to discuss how we expect our business to perform if macroeconomic conditions slow. From a revenue perspective, our balanced portfolio holds many diversification benefits. Substantial portions of our business hold reduced direct ties to cyclical economic influences, including defence, first response and healthcare. Further, underlying demand for a number of our products comes from recurring replacement cycles, while other portions of our business, for example alternative fuels, are driven by secular tailwinds, including regulatory, legislative and social mandates. From a cost perspective, we are undoubtedly well positioned today thanks to our simplified footprint with lower operating costs and flexibility to adjust capacity. We also sit well positioned from a balance sheet perspective with low leverage levels and high available liquidity and ability to adjust capital in expenditure levels as warranted. Overall, we believe we are appropriately positioned to deal with evolving macro conditions. Given the current strong demand though, we remain highly focused on successful execution. Having a customer first discipline alongside our highly engineered product lines provides us a competitive advantage and allows us to offer responsive lead times while passing through material inflation costs. Our manufacturing plants are flexible and our footprint allows us to balance supply from different facilities. and our ability to execute has been assisted by our long-term relationships with many of our suppliers and the targeted inventory that we put in place earlier in the year. All of these factors give us optimism in Luxfors' ability to meet the needs of our customers and advance towards our financial objectives. Now, let me turn the call over to Steve for details on our second quarter financial performance.
spk06: Thanks, Andy. I'll begin on slide five with a summary of our performance by end market. As a reminder, we classify our sales into three key end markets. Defense, first response, and healthcare. Transportation, which includes alternative fuel, aerospace and automotive, and general industrial. On this slide, we've included quarterly and year-to-date numbers for 2022, as well as the two preceding full financial years. The commentary on the slide references the current quarter only. In the defense first response and health care end markets, sales decreased by 4.8%, largely due to lower replenishment orders for flameless ration heaters, which we attribute to lower levels of U.S. troops deployed in the field, a trend we expect to continue throughout quarter three. However, similar to quarter one, in quarter two we realized strong demand for magnesium powders used in military flares, while first response and health care revenues remained solid. Quarterly sales in transportation expanded 26.1% following Q1's 11.6% increase. We continued to benefit from the recovery in demand for aerospace products, including our magnesium alloys used in helicopter gearboxes, as well as cylinders used in the deployment of aircraft escape slides and delivery of cabin oxygen. Demand for automotive products also performed well, especially magnesium billet for alloy wheels, as well as our autocatalysis lines, And, while alternative fuel sales were lower in the quarter, we are encouraged by the acceleration of hydrogen systems orders, as Andy mentioned, which support our optimism for this exciting future growth opportunity. Sales in the general industrial end market increased 13.8% for the quarter, on the heels of quarter one's 28.4% increase. Electron again drove this performance, with sales in nearly all commercial categories demonstrating growth, amid our actions to pass through rising cost inflation. Commercial magnesium powders, graphic arts, and zirconium oxides led this broad-based strength. Overall, we are encouraged by quarter two's revenue performance, which enabled us to further advance toward our 2022 financial targets. Now please turn to slide six for a summary of our second quarter results. Second quarter sales of $109.5 million increased $10.5 million or 10.6% from the prior year. Our quarterly revenue benefited from $13 million of price actions taken to address input cost increases and enjoyed $1.3 million of volume growth. We experienced foreign exchange headwinds of $3.8 million, meaning sales revenues increased by 15% excluding FX. Consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $16.9 million for the quarter decreased $0.4 million, or 2.3%, from the prior year. Though we enacted additional price actions, as anticipated, this effort did not fully offset the aggregate impact of cost inflation and other supply chain disruptions. As we implement further price adjustments in the second half, we remain confident in our ability to pass through cost inflation to our customers, where not limited in the near term by contract. Overall, we are pleased with our performance in quarter two amid dynamic operating conditions. Let's review our segment results on slide seven. Electron revenues of $63.4 million rose 20.8% from the prior year, driven by our timely efforts to pass through input cost inflation, as well as strong demand in our aerospace, automotive, and industrial end markets. Our electron EBITDA of $13.2 million increased by 10.0%, helped by cost pass-through and modest foreign exchange gains. Gas cylinders segment sales of $46.1 million decreased a nominal $0.4 million, or 0.9%, from the prior year quarter. Excluding the $2 million adverse foreign exchange impact, underlying revenues increased by $1.6 million, or 3.6%. EBITDA of $3.7 million declined from the prior year's $5.3 million, hampered by input cost inflation and near-term contractual limitations on pass-throughs. Given the sequential financial improvements and our continued healthy order backlog, we remain confident in the outlook for this segment. Now let's turn to our key balance sheet and cash flow metrics on slide 8. Luxor's capital position continues to serve as one of our core strengths. our balance sheet health has enabled us to better support our customers amid some ongoing challenges to the broader supply chain. We delivered $0.6 million in free cash flow for the quarter, improving from the $10.3 million outflow seen in quarter one. While our working capital at 26.6% of annualized sales exceeds our 21% to 23% target, we believe our short-term investment in inventory serves as a key differentiator in our long-term customer-first strategy. As in quarter one, our accelerating sales volume within the quarter further contributed to the elevated working capital position at period end. We remain committed to our 21% to 23% working capital target and expect progress back toward this level as supply chain conditions normalize. With net debt of $70.6 million, our net debt to EBITDA ratio measured a modest 1.2 times. and I'm pleased to report that on a trailing 12-month basis, we delivered 14.5% ROIC based on adjusted earnings. We expect this balance sheet strength to serve us well in both the near and long term. Let's now review our current 2022 financial guidance on slide nine. With our quarter two performance in line with expectations, we remain on track to deliver adjusted diluted EPS of $1.35 to $1.50 this year. We continue to expect revenue growth of 12% to 20% to underpin this earnings forecast. We are encouraged by strong demand levels backed up by healthy order flow across most of our product lines, while carefully monitoring the broader macroeconomy. At the same time, we anticipate that some near-term softness affecting defense, including flameless ration heaters, will likely cause our second-half earnings to be more weighted to the fourth quarter. Also, on foreign exchange, the strength of the US dollar represents a translation headwind to UK sales at a rate below $1.30 to the pound. At a profit level, however, a weak pound is generally favourable to our UK businesses, since a sizeable portion of sales are invoiced in currencies other than sterling, complementing a lower operating cost base when translated in dollars. As mentioned earlier, we continue to address the challenges brought by cost inflation with our efforts to pass through these increases to customers. Our work in this area will be further enhanced when some of our existing contract terms enable increased cost pass-through at the start of next year. While these same supply chain pressures have driven our working capital levels higher, we remain focused on free cash flow conversion and expect significant improvement in the second half. but recognise that our 100% free cash flow conversion target may be pressured this year. That said, as a reminder, we will benefit from no anticipated pension contribution in 2022, compared to our $18.2 million contribution in 2021. We also expect to make the remaining cash payment later this year, associated with the French manufacturing facility that we closed in 2019, after which we do not anticipate further significant restructuring outlays. Next, I would like to review our capital allocation priorities on slide 10. We continue to emphasize a balanced approach to redeployment of free cash flow back into our business. First and foremost, we are reinvesting in our organic growth opportunities, such as hydrogen systems and zirconium applications. We view this activity as both the highest return and lowest risk of our cash flow. We will also continue to return a portion of our free cash flow to shareholders. Earlier this year, we increased our quarterly dividend by 4% to $0.13 per share. And during the second quarter, we took advantage of the broader weakness in the equity markets to repurchase $2.2 million in shares, accelerating from $1.5 million in quarter one and adding to last year's $6.4 million of repurchases. Over the medium term, we aim to supplement these two areas of activity with select bolt-on M&A opportunities that add to our growth and return objectives to create additional shareholder value. We are evaluating our acquisition candidate pipeline for opportunities to intelligently complement our organic growth strategy, but doing so cautiously in the current environment. In summary, we expect to generate significant free cash flow over the next several years, which we will invest in line with this balanced approach to capital deployment. And now I'd like to turn the call back over to Andy to talk about our longer-term objectives. Andy.
spk05: Thank you, Steve. Before concluding our prepared comments, I would like to update you on the development of our growth strategy, as shown on slide 11. Over the last two months, Steve and I have spent a significant amount of time evaluating our business with the rest of the Luxor executive leadership team. Together, we've visited our major business units in both North America and Europe. We have met with a significant number of investors and potential investors. We have engaged with our customers, and we have reviewed growth strategies with each of our local management teams. Most importantly, we have listened to our customers, to our employees, to our shareholders, and other stakeholders. In turn, we leaned in, asked more questions and dug deeper. A number of key areas of business strength were identified from this dialogue. We are encouraged by our technical expertise in high performance materials. We are excited about the range of product developments underway. We are pleased to see the flexibility of our global operations We've been inspired by the enthusiasm of our employees and their commitment to our customers. And our whole leadership team is optimistic as we embrace the challenge to unlock shareholder value through delivering profitable growth. So now we are formulating a concentrated approach to delivering that profitable growth. Firstly, we are focusing on opportunities where we enjoy tailwinds in clean energy, in light weighting, and in safety, health, and technology. Secondly, we're enhancing our internal operating model to support our growth strategy. This model is based on six critical processes, strategy deployment, lean operations, new product development, commercial excellence, sustainability, and people excellence. And thirdly, all of these efforts are underpinned by a strong focus on investing in our people. We firmly believe that our human capital will prove critical to our success today and in the years ahead. And now I would like to conclude by summarizing our strong positioning for value creation on slide 12. Luxford's mission is to help to create a safe, clean, and energy efficient world. We're a global industrial company with market leading products. We work with high technology materials, and target value-added niche applications. We participate in attractive end markets, and we are aligned with the secular growth in clean energy, in lightweighting, and in safety, health, and technology. We deliver leading returns on capital with a strong balance sheet and consistent cash conversion. We realize healthy margins and take a balanced approach to capital allocation. We are primed for growth with a broad pipeline of new products. We have many compelling commercial opportunities, and we are committed to unlocking shareholder value. There is a bright future ahead of us. To conclude our prepared comments, we are pleased with the Q2 results that we have shared with you today. We are optimistic about the new opportunities for 2023 and beyond, and we look forward to providing further updates as we progress. Now, I would like to turn the call over to the operator to begin the Q&A session. Katie, please go ahead.
spk07: Thank you, sir. At this time, if you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your touchtone phone. You may remove yourself from the queue at any time by pressing the pound key. Once again, that is star 1 to ask a question. We'll pause for a moment to allow questions to queue. Thank you. Our first question will come from Chris Moore with CJS Securities. Your line is now open.
spk00: Hey, good morning, guys. Thanks for taking a couple questions. Good morning, Chris. Good morning. Maybe start with, you know, kind of order growth versus backlog growth. How would you characterize, you know, kind of the trend in each? I know you don't give specific numbers, but can you talk maybe about order growth year over year, backlog growth year over year?
spk05: Yes, the order intake was strong during quarter two, and we now hold a higher order backlog than we did at the end of quarter one, and indeed higher than at the same time last year, even allowing for the increase in prices. We've seen higher volumes as well, so we're pleased with that. We do have a slight weakness in flameless ration heaters, as we mentioned, where demand is now weighted towards quarter four. And that's a little unhelpful. As a result, I think we expect our earnings, Chris, to be weighted towards quarter four, as we indicated. And at this point, I would think our Q3 EPS could look more like Q1 EPS. But, of course, we're maintaining our full-year guidance. And overall, we're pleased with the order strength in a wide range of areas, magnesium plates, alloy wheels, medical cylinders, that initial serial supply of hydrogen vehicle cylinders for trucks. So while we watch the global macroeconomic backdrop carefully, we like the demand picture we have in many areas of the business.
spk00: Got it. I appreciate that. So the revenue growth guide is staying, you know, 16%, I think, midpoint. Volume was up slightly, Q2, down in the first half overall. Can you maybe just talk about that volume assumption that's embedded into the revenue growth guide?
spk05: Yes. So 12% to 20% volume, 12% to 20% revenue growth, More of that's going to come from the changes in price than in volume, but we are going to see some stronger volumes for the full year, so we're pleased about that. Now, I think that volume growth would be higher were we not wrestling with some of those supply chain struggles. They're improved since what we were seeing at the start of the year, but that is still hampering our execution in a number of areas. And so we look for that to improve further as we run through the year and into 2023.
spk00: Got it. And last one for me. Maybe we can talk a little bit more about the cost pass-throughs on the gas cylinders and the contractual arrangements that, you know, have kept you from catching up as quickly as you would have liked if What's the timing there and kind of what are some of the mechanisms there on the contractual arrangements?
spk05: Yeah, let me talk broadly to that. We are passing through our material cost increases to our customers wherever allowed by contracts and agreements, of course. And I would like to say that while we're seeing some changes in demand associated with that pricing, that's a relatively muted level so far, which I think speaks well to our differentiated and niche application products. Now, as you say, in some cases, there are timing elements in our contracts that determine the rate of that cost path through. And that's most notable, yes, with our contracts or agreements in cylinders and with automotive catalysts. So you'll have seen that 88% of our cost inflation in quarter two is being recovered. So we're encouraged by that, but not satisfied with it. So there are further cost pass-throughs planned in Electron in the second half of this year, and there is more work on material cost pass-through in cylinders as contracts unwind. Some of that goes through in the second half of 2022, but that especially takes effect as we enter 2023, Chris.
spk00: Got it. Okay, so a little bit of improvement there in late 22 and more in 23. All right, helpful. I will leave it there. I appreciate it, guys.
spk07: Thank you. Our next question will come from Phil Gibbs with KeyBank Capital. Your line is now open.
spk02: Hey, good morning.
spk05: Morning, Phil.
spk02: Well, in terms of the second half, you gave us some pretty good color generally there. Is the idea that the third quarter is going to have a weak mix within Electron of defense business in terms of both the MRE and the flares? And essentially, you think some of that begins to come back from a timing perspective in Q4?
spk05: Yes, so we've got quite good order strength as we go into quarter three and quarter four with some good momentum, we think. The order bank's solidly ahead of last year. But yes, a significant portion of our flameless Russian heaters, where we do have orders, is weighted towards quarter four. And to a certain extent, that's true of some of the chemical detection kits as well. So that's unhelpful. But concentrating on electron in particular, the magnesium photoengraving plate looks strong. We're seeing increasing momentum for that as we go towards the end of Q3 and into Q4. We've got stronger demand for alloy wheel billets. and Solumag remains steady as well. So that's a breakout of the mix in Electron.
spk02: Okay, terrific there. And then the management team effectively has turned over over the course of the last several months, and you outlined a number of things or objectives that you have for the company looking ahead. Is this consistent with the prior management style or objectives, or have there been alterations to that view?
spk05: That's a great question. Thank you for that, Phil. This is very much an evolution, not a revolution, a continue of the game plan that the company has been following for some years. completing the execution of our work on simplification, and now moving into a growth phase. So Steve and myself, who've been with the company for a significant length of time, are continuing to drive forward with that, perhaps with a higher emphasis on growth at the moment, a renewed commitment to strengthening our internal operating system, But I think you should see this as a continuation and a reinvigoration of our long-term growth strategy.
spk02: Thank you. And then just lastly, maybe reiterate what you said on pension contributions and then timing and size of cash restructuring payments that may come this year. Thank you.
spk06: Yes, Phil, I'll take that. Yeah, pension contributions, I think if you recall, on the UK, we made a special one-off contribution last year. So that was really driving the total contribution up to the $18 million or so I said in the remarks. So the agreement that we have with our trustees in the UK is that it's unlikely we'll have to make any further payments over the next three years. And, of course, that pension plan in the UK is now in a surplus position, and it has historically been in deficit. So we're pretty comfortable on that. We've got a much smaller plan in the U.S., a DB plan, which we are in the process of basically buying out that liability. We think that should happen probably in quarter one of next year. So we're not anticipating cash outlay this year. That would be of the region of maybe $3 to $5 million, I think, in quarter one of next year to get that completely off our books. So I think really positive there on the pension in terms of the absence of cash. So restructuring, yes. So I said in the remarks that we should be done with France this year. We did spend $6 to $7 million in quarter one on France. There's been a small amount of restructuring cash I think in quarter two, around about $500,000, $600,000. We think the final payment for France should go through quarter three, quarter four this year. In total, it would be no more than around $3 million. So total cash for restructuring this year, I think, as we've said previously, would be around about $10 million.
spk03: Thank you.
spk07: Thank you. Once again, if you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your touchtone phone. Our next question will come from Chip Moore with EF Hutton. Your line is now open.
spk04: Good morning. Thanks. Just wanted to follow up on supply chain and raw material availability, I guess. Magnesium, obviously, you know, we're well aware of the issues there, but curious on carbon fiber and zircon sand and some of the other key inputs.
spk05: Yes, thanks, Chip. Good morning. Overall supply chain improved from year end, certainly. Continue to see some challenges, so very much an area that demands our attention. On magnesium, as you say, no significant update from the last quarter. On carbon fiber and indeed on other fibers, pricing remains elevated. Supply is constrained. There are some specialist fibers, such as aramid fibers, which are highly constrained. That's a product that gets used on our slides and oxygen deployment in aerospace. But overall, on carbon fiber, we're getting decent availability from our long-term partners, and we have put in place some targeted inventory. On sand, coming mainly out of Richards Bay in South Africa, the mine reopened, of course, as we reported in last quarter's call, which is positive. Now, the nearby port there is facing significant bottlenecks at the moment, which is due to the large amount of material that's now awaiting export on the other side of that outage. So, we are working to not only receive shipments from Richards Bay, but also to qualify and utilize alternative zircon sand suppliers elsewhere in Africa as well as in Asia. So that will ensure greater supply robustness over the medium to long term and ensure we can meet our growing demand expectations. Until those are in place, Zircon sand supply does remain an area of elevated concern. So overall, improved from year end, but still a continued challenge, Chip.
spk04: Yeah, that's helpful. Is there a sense of how much sales might have been restrained this quarter or any stock outs or anything like that continuing?
spk05: Yes, it's really hard to quantify that, but we would say kind of low single million dollars of revenue associated with that. Perfect.
spk04: And then just one more from me, just sort of longer term. You talked about sort of the product pipeline and you know, some growth-focused areas and maybe focusing a bit more on growth. Maybe just kind of expand on some of the products that you're excited about.
spk05: Yeah, I mean, we're excited about the long-term growth opportunities in those secular growth areas of clean energy, of lightweighting, safety, health, and technology. Where there's some nice tailwinds from regulatory, legislative initiatives, social mandates, And I just feel Luxfer holds a great opportunity to address some of the key challenges facing our world in sustainability and safety and technology. So we talked quite a bit about hydrogen, and we remain really excited about that. The elevated hydrocarbon pricing and awareness of energy security is only helping underline that case. And we're really, really pleased that two of our hydrogen customers are about to enter low-volume production now with medium and heavy-duty trucks in Europe. We secured an important follow-on production order from a European bus manufacturer. So we like hydrogen. We like CNG. But we also like some of the electron products around clean energy. the magnesium powder technology that we're looking at with lithium ion batteries, some possible use of zirconium in fuel cell membranes. So, yes, I could go on and on. We like our positioning for secular growth in clean energy, lightweighting, and safety, health, and technology. Excellent.
spk03: Okay, very good. Thanks. I'll hop back into you. Thank you. Thanks, Chip.
spk07: Thank you. An encore recording of this conference call will be available in about two hours. A link to a recording of the webcast will be available on Luxfor's website at www.luxfor.com. Thank you for joining us today. The next regularly scheduled call will be in October of 2022 when the company discusses its third quarter 2022 financial results. This ends the Luxfor conference call. Have a great day.
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