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spk06: Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to Masco Corporation's second quarter conference call. My name is Ludi, and I'll be your operator for today's call. As a reminder, today's conference call is being recorded for replay purposes. To ask a question, please press the star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, please press the star, followed by the number two. I will now turn the call over to Robin Sondervan. Vice President, Investor Relations, and FP&A of Masco Corp, you may begin.
spk00: Operator, and good morning, everyone. Welcome to Masco Corporation's 2024 Second Quarter Conference Call. With me today are Keith Allman, President and CEO of Masco, and Rick Westenberg, Masco's Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Our second quarter earnings release and the presentation slides are available on our website under Investor Relations. Following our remarks, we will open the call for analyst questions. Please limit yourself to one question with one follow-up. If we can't take your question now, please call me directly at 792-5500. Our statements today will include our views about our future performance, which constitute forward-looking statements. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking statements. We described these risks and uncertainties in our risk factors and other disclosures in our Form 10-K and our Form 10-Q that we filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Our statements will also include non-GAAP financial metrics. Our references to operating profit and earnings per share will be as adjusted unless otherwise noted. We reconcile these adjusted metrics to GAAP in our earnings release and presentation slides, which are available on our website under Investor Relations. With that, I will now turn the call over to Keith.
spk12: Thank you, Robin. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today.
spk09: As we sit here midway through the year, I'm pleased with our performance. Despite a challenging macroeconomic environment, we have delivered solid financial results with our continued focus on operational excellence, brand, service, and innovation. Additionally, the strength of our repair and remodel oriented product portfolio has enabled us to drive operating profit margin expansion in the first half of the year better than we expected, despite a decrease in sales. Turning to our second quarter results, please refer to slide five. Demand continued to stabilize as net sales decreased 2% in line with the prior two quarters. Second quarter sales performance was primarily impacted by lower volume and mix. In the quarter, our gross profit grew $16 million and gross margin rose 140 basis points to 37.6% as a result of our ongoing initiatives to drive operational efficiencies and achieve cost savings. Our solid execution resulted in operating profit of $399 million and operating profit margin of 19.1%. In addition, our earnings per share grew 1% to $1.20 per share. Moving to our segments, plumbing sales increased 2% overall and 1% excluding the impacts of acquisitions and currency. In local currency, North American plumbing sales increased 5% overall and 2%, excluding the impact of acquisitions. In international plumbing, sales decreased 1% in local currency, demonstrating continued signs of stabilization, particularly in Europe and China. Operating profit for the segment was up $4 million to $249 million, and operating margin was 19.9%. largely in line with the prior year, driven by our pricing discipline and operational performance as we continue to focus on productivity, efficiency, and cost savings. We are pleased with our performance in the plumbing segment throughout the first half of the year as our teams, both in North America and international, continue to leverage our operating system and execute on our strategic priorities. Lastly, in plumbing, Delta Faucet was awarded the J.D. Power Customer Service Distinction for the third year in a row. This award recognizes our outstanding customer service and reinforces our commitment to industry-leading service. Moving to our decorative architectural segment, sales decreased 7% in the quarter. Overall, paint sales were down high single digits as DIY paint sales decreased low double digits while propaint sales grew mid-single digits. In propaint, we continue to execute on our strategic initiatives to grow share with our partner, the Home Depot. Our partnership dates back over 40 years, and together, we are focused on meeting the needs of our customers through quality, service, brand, and performance. We are proud of our sales growth and market expansion with the propainter, and we are continuing to invest to drive additional growth going forward. Operating profit for the segment decreased $6 million to $174 million, while operating margin was up 80 basis points to 20.8%. For the first half of this year, demand in our decorative segment overall was generally in line with our expectations. However, DIY paint was more challenged than expected, partially offset by stronger performance in propane. Turning to capital allocation, we continued to generate strong free cash flow during the quarter and maintained a solid balance sheet. As a result, we executed on our capital deployment strategy and returned $206 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. Now for a few comments on our outlook for 2024. Overall, sales for the total company were largely in line with our expectations for the first half of the year at down low single digits. As uncertainty within the broader macroeconomic environment has continued, we are tempering our expectations for sales in the second half of the year from up low single digits to roughly flat, leaving our full year sales within our previously guided range of plus or minus low single digits. However, We are raising our full-year operating margin expectation to be within the range of 17% to 17.5%, driven by the strong first-half performance in the plumbing segment. We remain confident in our ability to drive margin expansion through our continued execution of our operating system. Additionally, with our strong focus on our cost structure and productivity, we are well-positioned to leverage volume growth when the market returns to normalized growth rates. We now anticipate adjusted earnings per share for 2024 to be in the range of $4.05 to $4.20 per share, narrowed from our previous expectations of $4 to $4.25 per share. We continue to believe that the long-term fundamentals of our repair and remodel markets are strong, and that structural factors, such as age of housing stock, consumers staying in their homes longer, and higher home equity levels, will drive increased repair and remodel activity in the mid to long term. With these favorable fundamentals, the continued successful execution of our strategic initiatives, and our disciplined capital deployment, we are well positioned to drive shareholder value creation. We will continue to invest in our brands, capabilities, and people to outperform the competition and deliver double-digit EPS growth through cycles for our investors. Now I'll turn the call over to Rick to go over our second quarter results and 2024 outlook in more detail.
spk12: Rick. Thank you Keith and good morning everyone.
spk10: Thank you for joining. As Robin mentioned, my comments today will focus on adjusted performance, excluding the impact of rationalization charges and other one time items. Turning to slide 7, sales in the quarter decreased 2% year over year. or 1% excluding the unfavorable impact of currency. Our acquisition of SANA 360 in the third quarter of last year added 1% of growth to our second quarter results. In local currency, North American sales decreased 1% or 2% excluding acquisition. In local currency, international sales decreased 1%. Despite modestly lower sales level, Our initiatives to drive operational efficiencies and our favorable price cost performance in the quarter contributed to significant gross margin expansion of 140 basis points to 37.6%. SG&A as a percent of sales was 18.5% and was impacted by higher employee-related costs. Overall, our operating profit was $399 million in the quarter, down slightly year over year, driven by lower sales. However, our margin remained strong at 19.1%. Our strong margin performance was primarily driven by cost savings initiative and a favorable price-cost relationship. We also grew EPS during the quarter by 1% to $1.20 per share. Turning to slide 8, plumbing sales increased 2% in the quarter, or 3%, excluding the unfavorable impact of currency. Volume in our plumbing segment was flat year over year for the first time since the second quarter of 2022, demonstrating encouraging signs of stabilization. Pricing actions increased sales by 2% and acquisitions contributed another 2% to growth year over year. This was partially offset by unfavorable mix in currency, which reduced sales by 1% each. North American plumbing sales increased 5% including 3% related to acquisitions. Delta Faucet delivered another quarter of low single-digit sales growth, and our Watkins Wellness spa business returned a year-over-year sales growth, before factoring in the benefit of the Sana 360 acquisition. In local currency, international plumbing sales decreased 1%, driven by unfavorable mix, partially offset by pricing actions, and favorable volume, as we continue to see signs of stabilization in our key markets of Europe and China. Segment operating profit in the second quarter was up $4 million, or 2% year over year, and operating margin was 19.9% in line with the prior year. This operating profit performance was driven primarily by cost savings initiatives and a favorable price-cost relationship, partially offset by unfavorable mix and higher employee-related costs. Turning to slide 9, decorative architectural sales decreased 7% for the second quarter. In the quarter, total paint sales decreased high single digits due to lower volume and price. Pro paint sales were up mid-single digits, and DIY paint sales decreased low double digits. A portion of this DIY decrease was driven by timing of sales across the first half of the year. For the first half of the year overall, we saw total paint sales decrease mid-single digits, with pro paint sales up low single digits and DIY paint sales down high single digits. As we continue to experience overall softness in the DIY market, we now anticipate our full year DIY paint business to be down mid-single digits versus our previous expectation of down low single digits. In our propane business, we continue to expect sales to increase low single digits. Operating profit was $174 million, down slightly year over year. However, operating margin was up 80 basis points to 20.8%. Operating profit was impacted by lower volume and an unfavorable price-cost relationship, partially offset by cost savings initiatives and the timing of marketing spend. Turning to slide 10, our balance sheet remained strong with gross debt to EBITDA at two times at quarter end. We ended the quarter with $1.4 billion of liquidity, including cash and availability under our revolving credit facility. Working capital as a percent of sales decreased 50 basis points to 18.4% as we continued to stay disciplined on our working capital levels. During the second quarter, we repurchased 2 million shares for $143 million and paid a dividend of $64 million to shareholders. As we previously guided, we continue to anticipate deploying approximately $600 million during the year towards share repurchases or acquisitions.
spk12: Now let's turn to slide 11 and review our outlook for 2024. For total MASCO,
spk10: our top line for the first half of the year came in largely as expected. While we previously expected sales growth in the second half of the year, we are moderating our view and now anticipate sales to be roughly flat in the second half of the year and for our full year sales to remain within our previously guided range of plus or minus low single digits. With our strong first half execution and operating margin performance in our plumbing segment, We now expect full year operating margin to be approximately 17% to 17.5% increased from our previous guide of approximately 17%. And while we are seeing increased commodity and ocean freight costs across both of our segments, we expect to continue to deliver operating margin expansion in the second half of the year, with most of this to occur in the fourth quarter. In our plumbing segment, we are maintaining our top line expectation of full year 2024 sales to be plus or minus low single digits versus the prior year. Based on strong execution in the first half of this year, we are increasing our expected full year operating margin to approximately 19% up from our previous guide of approximately 18.5%. In our decorative architectural segment, we are lowering our 2024 sales expectation to be down low single digits year over year versus our previous guidance of plus or minus low single digits. This change is primarily due to continued softness in the DIY paint market. Despite lower expected sales, we are maintaining our anticipated full year operating margin of approximately 18%. This would be up from our prior year margin of 17.8% and primarily driven by cost savings initiatives. Finally, as Keith mentioned earlier, we are narrowing our 2024 EPS estimate to be in the range of $4.05 to $4.20 per share. This assumes a $220 million average diluted share count for the year and a 24.5% effective tax rate. Additional financial assumptions for 2024 can be found on slide 14 of our earnings deck.
spk02: With that, I would like to open up the call for questions. Operator?
spk06: Thank you. In order to ensure that everyone has a chance to participate, we would like to request that you limit yourself to asking one question and one follow-up question during the Q&A session. To ask a question, please press the star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, please press the star followed by the number two. Once again, please limit yourself to asking one question and one follow-up. Your first question comes from the lineup, Matthew Boulay with Barclays. Please go ahead.
spk07: Good morning, everyone. Thank you for taking the questions. We will start on decorative. Thinking about the guidance for a low single-digit decline for the year, And you're obviously tracking down kind of mid-single digits in the first half. Did I hear you correctly that you were saying paint would be down mid-single digits for the year? Just if you could clarify that relative to the total segment of down low single digits, and I might have misheard you. But in general, the question is around what's happening in DIY with this kind of deceleration here in Q2. And what are you assuming to expect some level of acceleration there in the second half to get to the full year guide? Thank you.
spk09: Good morning, Matt. Keith here. Thanks for the question. I think when we think about the DIY, specifically DIY paint subsegment, I think it's well known that that subsegment tends to be more sensitive than other segments, sensitive to economic conditions, sensitive to affordability, sensitive to consumer confidence overall. So when you think about what's happened in the market with regards to the price that's been put in, I think over the last couple of years, we're knocking on 40% price increases across our total company on average. So there's a lot of pressure that's been put on that sensitive segment. rates being high overall affordability and that whole consumer basket from gasoline to groceries to everything so it's it's well known that that's a a sensitive segment we expected it to be down I think when we look across regionally it's pretty consistent so it's it's a little bit more pressured than we expected I think we highlighted that in our remarks looking forward Why we have the guide where we have it is based on really three fundamental things. One is our comparables. When you look at the first half over the second half, our comparables soften a little bit, and that'll be some tailwinds. Secondly, we've talked about some of our SG&A spend being transferred from last year where it was in the second quarter to the third quarter this year. We're going to be using that to drive demand principally through advertising. We obviously have a lot of experience in that. We know what to expect. And then lastly, I would say that our guide contemplates, well I'm not going to get into the specifics, our guide contemplates what we're seeing in recent demand trends as we exit the quarter.
spk10: Matt, the only thing I would add to that, just to clarify the guide for the full year, what we indicated is that the DAP segment overall would be down low single digits for the year. within that we indicated that propane would be up low single digits and DIY paint to be down mid single digits we didn't give an overall paint guidance but you can assume that it's in line from a total paint perspective in line with the overall segment of download single digits I think Matt when you think about how we've performed in this volatile time not only in our decorative architectural segment but across the company and you see what we've been able to do in
spk09: with our margins as it relates to driving sticky and sustainable productivity enhancements across the P&L statement and what we've been able to do with regards to price, which is an opportunity we have given our strong brands and our innovation pipeline. This business has really handled this volatile market well, and we are in good shape. And what's What's exciting is about what we have to look forward when this demand does return to more stabilized and more normal growth rates. We have this business dialed in to really contribute incremental earnings on that incremental volume. So feel real good about both of our segments in terms of what we've been able to demonstrate in terms of performance.
spk07: Got it. Okay. Thank you for all that color and detail and for clarifying the guidance there. And then so, you know, maybe shifting to plumbing, certainly the top line result there in the second quarter, I mean, you did see, I guess I would call it acceleration in organic growth, U.S. and international. I mean, maybe across both U.S. and international, you know, what exactly is driving that? I mean, you gave some great color there on why you know diy paint is having a specific issue but perhaps here on the plumbing side you saw some better trends so um just kind of any color on on sort of the shape of demand and how you're envisioning demand continuing to involve uh evolve in the plumbing segment thank you if you think about i'll talk globally now international versus domestic we we've started to see some demand challenges early last year in international or in domestic
spk09: and then international lagged a couple quarters. Last call, I talked about how I felt strongly that we've come to a stabilization point in North America, and whilst we were seeing signs of stabilization in Europe, I was a little reticent to call that a stable at that point, but it was moving in the right direction. I'll tell you that we continue to see more signs of stabilization international, and I feel that We are in that period of stabilized demand internationally. So that goes for our key markets in Central Europe, Germany in particular, and China. So it feels very much like it did a quarter or two ago in North America. Internationally, the team at Hansgrohe continues to do a wonderful job, and we are clearly taking share there. And that's wallets. I've been consistent in talking about how it's difficult to nail down market size, specifically quarter to quarter, but when you look at our performance vis-a-vis our major competitors on the continent, we're doing a very good job and we're gaining shares. So it's a combination of the market starting to come around, stabilization of demand, strong initiatives with regards to share gains and organic growth. And a little bit of a slight bit of some pricing tailwinds where we've had some carryover pricing from last year. And that's some incremental spot pricing in parts of our assortment this year. In North America, I can't say enough about the team in North America, continuing to do a very strong job of organic growth. with influencer advocacy development that we've been focused on for about a decade, frankly, and that just continues to pay off. And we view that as a factory where we're producing advocates through our influencers where there is an assisted sale and showrooms, for example. Our product assortment and our product launches and our spa business has been wonderful, and we've got a great assortment that continues to and will continue to roll out. So we've returned to growth in our spa business. That's over and above the benefits of the acquisition of Sauna360. We think Sauna360 has some nice legs to it as we start to leverage our outstanding dealer network and get that brand more and that assortment more available here in North America. So good hard work and we anticipate that continuing. And again, like my comments on your paint, question or on your decorative question the margins are indicative of how well we're doing in operating our operating system we have a pipeline of Kaizen and continuous improvement activities that that is across our P&L you know we're working on variable cost productivity with the labor productivity scrap rate reductions overall equipment effectiveness improvements we're working on variable cost productivity with with regards to trying very hard and keeping a close eye and putting taking shifts offline and combining shifts maybe even working some overtime to to enable us to take a shift offline so we can drive that sort of productivity those are sticky initiatives so looking forward when this when this demand does return to normal we're excited about the prospects of earnings and what it can do for shareholder value excellent well thanks guys and good luck thank you matt
spk06: Your next question comes from the line of Stephen Kim with Evercore ISI. Please go ahead.
spk08: Yeah, thanks very much, guys. Appreciate all the color. Had a couple of longer-term questions for you, though. I guess the first one relates to what adjustments you might make in the event that there's an abrupt change in tariff policy. And if there are any lessons you learned from last time this happened that you would expect to apply in the future if needed.
spk09: Yeah, I think when you think about tariffs, the original Trump tariffs when they were enacted, we've been working very hard with our suppliers. I would tell you, Stephen, that in terms of moving to alternative sourcing solutions that would avoid tariffs, We've been able to reduce our exposure by approximately 30%. So that's a big number. We've obviously been driving margin improvement initiatives that I've already talked about. I won't go into that as much. And we've demonstrated the ability to manage through it. And I think that's the best indicator of future performance is what we've been able to do in the past. And our margins are above pre-pandemic levels. So it took some time, but we've been able to manage it. So should those tariffs come back into play, we have incentive systems that we've learned from how to appropriately guide the behaviors of our teams to address these issues in a quick fashion. We're starting from a better spot where we have 30% less of our buy tariff exposed. So that's a big help. And we'll continue to execute much of the same playbook that we did In the past, I think we'll do it more effectively. We'll do it more judiciously and faster based on our experience. But all of our key management teams have been through this and we're keenly aware of it.
spk08: Yeah, that's very helpful. Thanks very much for that. And then a broader question about your product portfolio. I was wondering whether you're actively seeking to broaden or narrow your product portfolio at this time. Anything specific that you might talk about And as you look out over the next few years, how do you assess the key strengths that NASCO brings to the table that make you a better owner of certain assets?
spk09: So in terms of our product portfolio and the question of broadening or narrowing, I think there's a couple components to that. First, we begin with the consumer, and we look at pain points that the consumer is experiencing and try to find ways that we can resolve those pain points. And we continue to drive that. So that's not so much with a lens on broad or narrow. It's more with a lens of can we meet an unmet need and do it efficiently and rapidly, get it to market, hopefully wrap some IP around it so that we can have some protection and then move on to the next innovation. So, you know, things as simple as how... consumers clean their glasses in the sink and what we can develop to help them do that. How we can work with better technology to avoid germs on your hands and how we can activate various technologies to enable consumers to have their problems solved in the kitchen. We certainly are looking at environmental issues in our ESG, and you may have seen it in our sustainability report, where we're working hard on water conservation and how to utilize technology to give a better shower experience at lower flow rates, for example. So it's really about customer-backed innovation to meet an unmet need. and to continue to leverage our brand, build our brand, and give us that pricing power that must have position in the shelf. So that's really the fundamental nature of where we're focusing our innovation. In terms of narrowing, 80-20 is a fundamental component of our operating system, and we look at the long tail, and we understand the costs associated with that, and we know and we believe that. There's no line item on the P&L that says complexity, but there is a cost to complexity. And so we're keenly aware of cutting that long tail to be as productive as we can and save those costs to put back in to a combination of more growth and higher margins. So it really is a two-edged sword of unmet customer need and complexity reduction. In terms of the key strength of MASCO, really there's Brand service and innovation are the strengths that we bring to the market. And coupled with that is strong customer and channel knowledge that we leverage across our product assortment. So when you look at our portfolio, you see that we've, as we've talked before, Steve, that we've really pruned our portfolio down to where we now have very similar businesses that perform very similar in terms of margin profile, their capital requirements, low ticket, And we're able to leverage our channel expertise and our expertise as it relates to supply chain management across these businesses to make what we believe is our portfolio is more valuable because they're part of our portfolio. And that's our view.
spk03: Okay. I appreciate that very much, guys. Best of luck with the rest of the year. Thanks, Steve.
spk06: Your next question comes from the lineup, John Lovallo with UBS. Please go ahead.
spk14: Good morning, guys. Thanks for taking my questions as well. The first one, Keith, just talking about some of the cost savings initiatives and efficiencies that have been in place. I'm curious how you guys think about the sensitivity of your EPS guide to the top line. And what I mean is that if sales were to come in at the lower end of the range, do you think you could still sort of achieve the midpoint, maybe even the higher end of the EPS range, just on the cost saves and execution?
spk09: Yes, I do. And the reason, John, is because of the nature of the improvements that we've done. We're not hoping on things to happen in the future to enable us to hit our margin targets. We are confident in being able to hit our margin targets because of the pipeline we have for execution going forward and because of what we've done and completed. And those are things that are sticky, that the teams have done an excellent job of executing against and we remain confident in. We do have a demonstrated ability over time to price and to get a fair price, and we've earned that with our expense and our spend on brand, our innovation pipeline, how we do in terms of service. our advocacy with the channels that we've driven to help us get that kind of must have position on the shelf. So yeah, we're confident we will hit our margin targets.
spk10: Yeah, and John, the only thing I would add is, as you obviously saw from our comments this morning, we've tempered our expectations for the second half of the year, and that's factored into our guide. And even in spite of, despite the lower tempered expectations for sales, we've narrowed our guide, keeping that midpoint. We're confident we'll land within that EPS guide range.
spk14: Okay, that's helpful. And then can you guys comment on the June exit rates for both businesses? It seems like plumbing may have actually been positive as things exited. Any kind of help you can give us on what July trends are? And then within that, why is propane hanging in there so strongly, given the softness and some of the overall economic metrics and things of that nature?
spk09: John, I'll comment on the exit rates coming out of the quarter. When you look at quarter versus prior year quarter and what happens on the edge of one quarter in the following quarter one year and then the previous quarter the next year, that in itself can throw some complexity and some murkiness into how we look at the business. When you start parsing out to how we exit quarters and where the months are and what happens in our quarter, that gets even worse. So we don't do that. But I will tell you that our exit rates and our run rates at the end of the quarter through July are contemplated in our guide. So those are factored in. Can you help me out with that second question you had, John?
spk14: Yes. What is keeping pros so strong in your opinion?
spk09: I think it's a couple things. One is is the nature of the consumer who uses the pro versus the DIYer and how sensitive they are. And we're seeing that, call it a mixed dynamic. In this case, it's a, call it a mix of who does your installation, you or you hire a pro. We're also seeing that in terms of the high end of our assortment in plumbing and in some of the high end assortment in deco where it's just less sensitive. So people who tend to use a pro are less sensitive to some of the macroeconomic uncertainties and consumer confidence issues that are around. They're a more robust consumer because they're a little more affluent. So I think that's a piece of it. The other piece is our performance and our share gain, which we continue to drive and to hold. So I think that really sheds a little bit light from my perspective on why Pro is performing a little bit better than DIY, why the upper end of our assortment across the whole business is hanging in there a little bit better than the lower end of our assortment. It really has to do with the subsegment of the consumer base and how sensitive they are. Okay.
spk03: Thank you, guys.
spk06: Your next question comes from the line of Adam Baumgarten with Selman & Associates. Please go ahead.
spk12: Hey, good morning, everyone. If we think about DIY, where do volumes currently sit compared to pre-COVID levels in pain?
spk10: So Adam, it's Rick. So DIY volumes are below where we were pre-pandemic. Pro volumes are above where we were pre-pandemic. And so overall, we're relatively consistent in terms of pre-pandemic. Obviously, the mix has changed. And as Keith, you know, as obviously we articulated, DIY is more challenged given the factors that Keith articulated. But Pro is performing, and as you may recall, we had incredible growth in Pro really from 2020 to 2023, really 60% stacked comp in terms of growth, and that's really more or less offset the DIY headwind that we're facing. That said, we've been able to really hold on to our margins in that environment, and we're really positioned well both in Pro and DIY from when the market turns to growth again.
spk09: Adam, I might add on to that and expand a little bit on your question, which was specifically on propane pre-pandemic to now and back up and take a broader look at our entire company and our whole assortment as it relates to our performance pre-pandemic to where we are today. And I do so because I think it tells a very interesting story for our investors. When you look at pre-pandemic levels of volume and you extend that out at a traditional growth rate of, say, 2.5%, you get to where we are today. What you'll see, and a little bit of timing differences, but broadly speaking, when the pandemic hit, we had a very substantial bump in our demand, and then that demand went below the historical run rate extended from pre-pandemic levels, and we went through that pull forward, if you will. And when you look at where we are now in terms of volume, and you inflation adjust that COVID bump because there was significant pricing in there, so you really look at where the volume is, What you see is a deferral of demand, we believe. And the size of that deferral, that area under the curve, is roughly the same as what we saw post-pandemic inflation adjusted. So our view is that we really are seeing a deferral of spend in the DIY space. And that's exciting for us because, as we've talked quite a bit already today, our business is tuned in. And the measure of that is our margins. And we have a state-of-the-art new paint plant coming up in Ohio, and that ramp-up is going fabulously. The team's doing a great job. We have a significant, very large plumbing manufacturing plant in Serbia that's coming online. And again, same story. All things are going well, and that plant's coming up nicely. So as this demand starts to return to normalized levels, We've got the business tuned with regards to our cost control. We're watching our SG&A spend closely on the growth investments. And our capacity is in great shape to be able to support it, including some surge capacity for selling seasons on our paint side. So this business is ready to do some exciting stuff when this market turns.
spk12: Okay, got it. Good to hear. And then just in plumbing, a couple questions. Just
spk09: could walk through kind of how north american growth trended across retail and wholesale and then you mentioned negative mix in the segment maybe what drove that uh a couple components we we are seeing some trade down in the assortment while the upper end of the assortment is holding on very well as i as i talked a little bit earlier there is a little bit trade down from mid to the lower part of our assortment understanding we don't play in the very low piece of the assortment So there's a bit of trade down, and then there was also a bit of geographic mix, where earlier on we're seeing it more stable now for sure, but China was challenged for a couple quarters, and China, for us, with our Hansgrohe and Axor brand, tends to be a higher-end consumer. So as geographically as China goes down, that's a natural mix. Now, having said that, Rick, I don't think we're really calling for much of an impact in mix for the year.
spk10: Thank you. Adam to your question about channel performance there's a bit of noise quarter to quarter from a comparable perspective so I'd like to think about it really from a first half perspective and really we saw you know solid kind of low single digit growth and kind of the wholesale trade and retail held up actually reasonably well and we're expecting that trend to continue in the second half of the year as we've guided for the segment overall plus or minus low single digits so we're seeing and also on top of that some pricing that is led to some favorable price-cost relationship as well that's adding to our margin expansion for the year.
spk02: Okay, got it. Best of luck. Thanks, Adam.
spk06: Your next question comes from the line of Michael Rehout with JPMorgan. Please go ahead.
spk12: Hi, everyone. Thanks for taking my questions. This is Andrew for Mike. I just wanted to ask maybe high-level thinking about your repair and remodel outlook with some potential rate cuts here and some pressure on existing home sales. Just curious if you're leaning more towards the upside or downside on that outlook. Thanks.
spk09: Not really leaning either way. We're kind of right in the middle.
spk12: We're calling R&R to be flat to down low single digits, and I think that's the right place to be.
spk02: Got it.
spk12: And then in terms of commodity volatility, just curious on how you're thinking about input costs and across segments and, you know, pricing to offset that.
spk10: Sure. Go ahead. Yeah, sure, Andrew. It's Rick. So from a commodity perspective, I'll take a step back overall. Really in Q2, we didn't see a significant driver one way or the other. In the first half of the year, we saw commodities be a slight tailwind to our performance. And in the plumbing segment, we had positive price-cost relationship. As we think about where we sit here today, as I think we've all observed, we've seen a bit of an uptick with regards to the metal prices, so copper and zinc. It has trailed off a bit, but still elevated, as well as some of the pain inputs, so TiO2 and resin. There's some pressure in that. So we see that as As I mentioned in my opening comments, we see that as a bit of a headwind in the second half of the year. Now, granted, it takes time for the commodity costs and ocean freight costs, for that matter, to work its way through our inventory and hit our P&L. But given the inflation that we saw really during the quarter, we do expect to have that be a bit of a headwind in the second half of the year, really later in the year. Despite that, we actually are, as you know, expecting margin expansion in the second half of the year, really in both of our segments. And so we're able to overcome those headwinds. We're monitoring them very closely and we're taking action accordingly. But we do expect to have margin expansion in the second half of the year and margin expansion overall. And thus, we've raised our operating profit margin expectations for the year.
spk12: Really appreciate that additional color. Thanks so much. Good luck.
spk06: Your next question comes from the line of Anthony Fettinari with City Group. Please go ahead.
spk12: Good morning. For DIY paint year to date, do you think your volume performance has been sort of in line with kind of the underlying DIY market or have your volumes maybe tracked a little bit better or a little bit worse than the industry? And if there's any sort of variance there, what do you think is driving it?
spk09: Anthony, and I've talked about this really across our entire company, but particularly when you talk about getting into sub-segments of DIY that go through multiple channels and it's very difficult to accurately pin down market size, particularly from one quarter to the next. So that's a major caveat here. But when we look at where we performed in the first half of the year, because there was a little bit of some system fill volume that last year was in the very beginning of the second quarter that this year was in the end of the first quarter. So when you look at it for the first half, and we look at how we are performing versus what we can tease out from what we hear from our competition, and that's not easy as well. Sometimes you have to really listen hard to understand what is DIY versus what is in a particular segment, how much of DIY is in another segment, et cetera. But we think we're right there. We think we're holding share. And that's attributable to a couple things. Obviously, we have an outstanding partner in the Home Depot who does a phenomenal job of generating foot traffic and of merchandising. And with our partnership of some 40 years, It's very productive as we're both focused on the same thing, which is serving the customer So that's that's a big piece and then their brand when you look at the bear brand I can make a very strong argument that we are the best DIY brand out there and that's based on corroboration from outside sources whether you look at quality or service or brand in terms of both awareness and equity. So I feel extremely good about our business, knowing full well that the DIY channel is a bit challenged now. And again, as I've said before, when this starts to turn around, we're ready with surge capacity, we're ready with a tuned-in cost structure as demonstrated by our margins, and the team is fired up. So I think we're holding our own. And certainly when you look at the pro side of the business, not only gained some significant share over the years, but demonstrated the ability to hold it. And with, frankly, our lower piece of the total market, we have a lot of white space and a nice value proposition that we're going to continue to invest in.
spk12: Okay, that's very helpful. And then just, you know, we've seen existing home sales fall below $4 million, you know, really historically low levels. And I'm just wondering how that is impacting different parts of your business. If you can just kind of remind us maybe which parts of Masco are most impacted or maybe least impacted by the slowdown in existing home sales in the U.S.
spk09: You know, more existing home sales is better for us than less, particularly when you talk about paint and people paint their homes before they sell it. The new owner paints it to their taste. But when you really peel back the numbers, it's not much of an impact, really. I mean, you're talking about four or five million existing home sales on 130 million base. And when you have a existing home turnover, that might, I think the number is somewhere around 25, 30 percent increase in DIY spend for that period during the transition. So you take, you know, four out of 130 and you get a 20 percent bump on those. It's very, very, really very low impact. We're a small ticket repair and remodel portfolio, purposefully tuned into that to give stability and resilience through cycles and to deliver double digit EPS through cycles for the investors. And the key correlation there is consumer confidence, existing home equity, and that's why we feel so good about it. So yes, obviously more is better in terms of existing home turnover, but it's not that material for our business when you really look at the numbers.
spk02: Okay. That's very helpful. I'll turn it over.
spk05: Your next question comes from the line of Mike Bell with RBC. Please go ahead.
spk13: This is Chris on for Mike. Just going back to the DIY paint comments, I think earlier you said you made a comment around a more sensitive consumer. In DIY, how would you characterize the dynamics in DIY today relative to what you saw last quarter? And then within the download double-digit sales decline in 2Q, any way you could break out what price versus volume looked and your expectations on both those drivers in the back half, that would be helpful. Thanks.
spk09: I don't think there's really any difference in the DIY perspective this quarter from last quarter. I don't have any technical numbers on a quarter by quarter basis to say that, but just talking and being in the channel and getting exposed to our business, I really don't see a difference as far as the low double digit down in DIY. You really have to look at the half, as I said, because there was some volumes that straddled one quarter versus the other quarter when you look here over here.
spk10: Yeah, Chris, I mean, just to add, More perspective. That's why we look at it really. We think it's appropriate to look at it from our first half perspective. And as we mentioned, DIY was down high single digits in the first half of the year. And that was, you know, there wasn't really any trend per se within the half to focus on. I think to your other question, as it pertains to volume and price, we haven't broken down specifics, but they were both headwinds. Price was a little single digit down and then volume was the remainder. And as I know we've articulated in the past, We've got a relationship with the Home Depot in terms of an agreement, in terms of price, commodity cost neutrality. And so what we saw is we saw commodity cost decrease in the second half of last year. And as a consequence, as we mentioned previously, we provided some price downs as part of that. And so that's what you see manifesting itself this year. It's really the carryover price implication. And we'll see that kind of carry through the second half of the year. But as articulated, we do see... improvement in DIY paint as we enter the second half of the year. Some of it's a comp dynamic. Some of it's really actions taken by the team. And we do expect that ultimately for the year, DIY would be down mid-single digits based off of those actions.
spk13: Understood. That's helpful. And then just shifting over to plumbing, how do the channel inventories look today? Is there any notable restock or destock dynamics that we should be aware of?
spk09: No, I mean, there's always seasonality adjustments to get ready for selling seasons, but nothing really out of the ordinary.
spk02: Appreciate the call.
spk05: Your next question comes from the line of Sam Reed with Wells Fargo.
spk06: Please go ahead.
spk11: Thanks, everyone. I wanted to talk about the DEC-ARC segment, but maybe focus on the lighting business for a moment here. I think you made some moves to stabilize this last quarter. Looks like growth might have improved sequentially in lighting, if my math is correct. Just remind us what you've been doing here. You've done streamlining the sub-segment. And what are the opportunities to kind of further stabilize top line here?
spk10: Yeah, Sam, appreciate the question in good memory. So with regards to the lighting business, the team has taken some really proactive actions with regards to opportunistic pricing. streamlining lines of business, exiting lines of business that had less profitable dynamics to them, and of course, cutting costs, and really has positioned the business for success going forward. We don't provide, as you know, breakdowns of financials within our segment. What I would say is the top line performance has improved sequentially, and we're expecting that the lighting and hardware business, which are the complements to paint in the in the DAP segment to be really going forward that performance top line to be in line with the R&R industry expectations, which is, as Keith articulated earlier, would be flat to down low single digits. But we're definitely seeing a positive trajectory relative to where we were, let's say, a few months ago.
spk12: That's helpful.
spk11: And then I wanted to switch gears and dig a little deeper on plumbing really quickly, but maybe in the context of pricing. Were there any noticeable differences in pricing between channels? So I'm thinking wholesale versus retail here. And then thinking in terms of kind of what's embedded in your outlook for 2H, kind of any divergence in pricing we should be thinking of from a channel perspective, again, kind of retail versus wholesale. Thanks.
spk10: Yes, Sam. I would say from a pricing perspective we can speak overall, which was it was for plumbing For the segment, it was a positive 2% contributor in the quarter. From a channel perspective, we don't get into that specifically. I would say that from a trade perspective, it's pretty robust. But I would say that the team is really focused on taking price in reflection of our strong brands and our product portfolio and really capturing that value. But we generally work hand-in-hand with our our customers to make sure that we've got really profitable growth across the ecosystem. But I would say I would stick to in terms of our expectations, our results, and our guidance really at a segment level, and that's positive low single-digit pricing this quarter and for the year.
spk02: Thanks so much. I'll pass it on.
spk06: Your next question comes from the line of Susan McClary with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.
spk04: Thank you. Good morning, everyone. Good morning. My first question is, you know, you mentioned that you did see some benefit on the cost savings and some of those broader initiatives that you've been working on in the quarter across both of the segments. Can you just talk a bit more about what some of those were, how they've come together? And I guess as you think further out, the ability to continue to realize those benefits as you try and close that margin gap with where we are today relative to the longer term guide?
spk09: So to give you a little bit of flavor for it, because our pipelines are very large and we measure the mescal operating system measures and drives our performance this way by taking down a gap that we want to attack and putting it into a module of continuous improvement that we can execute on. We call it a Kaizen event. And we measure those in terms of where they are in the pipeline in a five-step process and how we drive them through. We look at size and we look at flow through and then we have finance validate what the actual benefit is so we make sure that we're putting it into the P&L. So they're pretty small and discrete items. And the benefit of that is that the ability to manage these improvement initiatives through the system is what our leadership profile is really about. So it's not only helping to develop our business in terms of margin and performance, but it's also developing our leaders. So my point is they're pretty small modules. So things like identifying a capacity constraint in a particular area of our business where demand has taken off more than expected and being able to drive improvement in that capacity so that we are more efficient and that the rest of the factory isn't waiting on that output. That's a big thing. output from a small event that we've done over time multiple events so that's on equipment productivity on people productivity it's about balancing shifts and taking shifts instead of running a half shift on second shift which takes maintenance personnel and supervisory personnel we jam that into into one shift and then we're able to get more productive on the semi-variable overhead and then do a series of kaizen events on that shift that's working overtime to sustain to get us off over time that sort of thing. On the top line, it's coming in with growth initiatives and how we can execute better through Salesforce execution, whether it's better segmentation or better standardization of how we make our sales call so that we are more effectively highlighting the benefits versus the competition. And these are all things that we can train to in our leadership and in our salaried folks so that, as I said, it's developing our leaders as well. So it's a series of small steps that we click through and then work very hard to avoid backstepping.
spk04: Okay, that's great, Culler. And then turning to capital allocation, you still are on track for that $600 million of repurchases or bolt-on M&A. Any comment on M&A, how that pipeline is looking, anything of note there?
spk09: Not a whole lot of change from the last quarter. I would say we are feeling that there's It's still a little quiet out there with where rates are and where valuations are and where people who are ready to sell aren't so ready to sell and a little bit of a deflated, what we're seeing to be a little bit of a lower valuation sort of period. But there's plenty of work that we're out there for us and we're evaluating it. I'll tell you, Susan, that our capital allocation strategy has not changed. We're focused on paint and plumbing and looking for businesses that we can learn from and that we can leverage. I think SANA 360 is a great example of what we're looking for. It was a smallish, call it $100 million business in that range, but one that when we are able to look at that technology and what they offer, we can bring a significant amount of value creation to that business through our extensive dealer network in the United States. That's the sort of thing that we continue to work on, and I would say deal flow is about the same as it was before.
spk04: Okay, that's great color. Thank you. Good luck with everything.
spk02: Thank you. Thank you.
spk06: Your next question comes from the line of Keith Hughes with Truist. Please go ahead.
spk01: Thank you. Earlier in the call, you had discussed some inflation, input inflation coming. In terms of offsetting that, do you think we'll be using price increases? And you can talk about that in paint versus the plumbing segment.
spk10: Yeah, good morning, Keith. Sure. So as you alluded to, and I mentioned in my opening comments and during an earlier Q&A, we do see some commodity inflation and ocean freight, elevated ocean freight here that is going to be serving as a bit of a headwind as we enter the second half of the year. Specific to your question, we do see pricing in the plumbing segment as an offset to that. Really, we're continuing to take low single-digit price increases with regards to our plumbing segment. We'll continue to lever that. But really, that's a plumbing dynamic. As it pertains to the coatings, it's really going to be a balance between where we end up relative to commodities, our input costs, and our net price with regards to our retail partner in that regard. So really no comment there. I would say, though, in addition to price, as Keith has alluded to a couple of times, The team has done tremendous work with rare earths, driving operational efficiencies and cost down. So with regards to offsetting that commodity headwind, it's certainly price is part of the equation, but it's not exclusively price. It's also operational efficiency, cost reduction, and running the business tighter. And we're seeing that here in the first half, and we'll continue to drive that in the second half of the year to deliver the margins overall that we've guided to.
spk02: Okay. Thank you. We'd like to thank all of you for joining us on the call this morning and for your interest in MASCO.
spk00: That concludes today's call. Have a wonderful day.
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