AG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc.

Q1 2024 Earnings Conference Call

5/3/2024

spk04: Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the AG Mortgage Investment Trust first quarter 2024 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After management's remarks, there will be a question and answer session. In order to ask a question, please press the star key followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. If you require any further assistance, please press star zero. I'd now like to turn the call over to Ginny Neslin, General Counsel for the company. Please go ahead.
spk00: Thank you. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the first quarter 2024 earnings call for AEG Mortgage Investment Trust. With me on the call today are T.J. Durkin, our CEO and President, Nick Smith, our Chief Investment Officer, and Anthony Rossiello, our Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, please note that the information discussed in today's call may contain forward-looking statements. Any forward-looking statements made during today's call are subject to certain risks and uncertainties, which are outlined in our SEC filings, including under the headings Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements, Risk Factors, and Management Discussions and Analysis. The company's actual results may differ materially from these statements, we encourage you to read the disclosure regarding forward-looking statements contained in our SEC filings, including our most recently filed Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2023, and our subsequent reports filed from time to time with the SEC. Except it's required by law, we are not obligated and do not intend to update or to review or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. During the call today, We will refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures. Please refer to our SEC filing for reconciliations to the most comparable GAAP measures. We will also reference the earnings presentation that was posted to our website this morning. To view this live presentation, turn to our website, www.agmit.com, and click on the link for the Q1 2024 earnings presentation on the homepage. Again, welcome to the call, and thank you all for joining us today. With that, I'd like to turn the call over to TJ.
spk06: Thank you, Jenny. Good morning, everyone. Last quarter, we were able to walk you through the merits of the WMC transaction, but with only less than a month of true financial impact. I'm excited to report our first full quarter post-merger, which we believe gives a clear picture of the compelling benefits. Walking through MIT's financial position as of March 31st, we grew adjusted book value from $10.20 to $10.58, while paying our $0.18 dividend, producing a 5.5% economic return on equity for the quarter. While still preliminary, we see estimated book value for the end of month April to be roughly flat from quarter end. The company now has an equity base of $540 million and $140 million of liquidity, with only 1.4 turns of economic leverage to end the quarter. With market expectation for rate cuts in the near term tempered, Our first quarter results demonstrate our ability to grow earnings power in this higher for longer interest rate environment while protecting book value. During the quarter, we earned $18.2 million of net interest income, $0.55 of earnings per share, and $0.21 of EAD per share, covering our dividend by $0.03. Since closing the WMC transaction on December 6 and through quarter end, approximately $50 million of assets have already been monetized to be rotated into our core strategy of newly originated residential mortgage loans. In terms of capital markets activity, we completed one GFC eligible securitization and more notably issued approximately $35 million of investment grade unsecured bonds, addressing a sizable portion of the legacy WMC convertible notes, which are due this coming September. And like I said last quarter, the team and I are very excited to be able to finally discuss with the market the successful acquisition of WMC this past December and the future prospects for MIT going forward. We believe the WMC acquisition was another substantial step in further positioning MIT as a premier pure-play residential mortgage REIT. And we have confidence in our ability to continue to deliver on strong earnings off the investment portfolio while seeking ways to continue enhancing scale and G&A efficiencies. Demonstrating my confidence, I was pleased to personally purchase another 50,000 shares in NIT following last quarter's earnings release, strengthening the alignment of interest with our shareholders as we continue to execute on our mission. I'll now turn the call over to Nick.
spk05: Thanks, TJ. In the first quarter, the company grew the investment portfolio by 4.8%, delivered an economic return of 5.5%, and reduced economic leverage. The 3.7% book value increase was driven by continued flattening of the credit curve underpinned by strong performance and risk assets, continued strength in housing fundamentals, and limited supply of residential credit. The company securitized $377 million of residential home loans, acquired another $285 million of home loans, and built a current pipeline of additional $284 million from Arc Home and other third-party originators. In addition to that pivot in loans, we promptly rotated additional assets acquired from WMC bringing the aggregate equity return to approximately $36 million. We anticipate being in the market with our second securitization of this year in the coming weeks. While credit specs have tightened into the end of last year and throughout this past quarter, equity returns in the mid to high teens post-securitization remain. While the origination landscape continues to be challenging, Arc Home's Q1 lock volumes were $687 million, with continued strength in April of approximately $300 million. Notably, funding volumes increased over 40% from the first quarter of the previous year. While this increase is over two and a half times the increase in originations seen for the industry over the same period, we expect these increases to keep pace or increase over the next year as we continue growing our footprint in both wholesale and correspondent channels. Now I'd like to turn the call over to Anthony.
spk01: Anthony Rossi Thank you, Nick, and good morning. In December, we closed the WMC acquisition, helping to grow MIT's investment portfolio and equity base while improving scale for the company. Further, MIT immediately began to benefit from the substantial synergies we previously highlighted in our announcement of the transaction, which is evident through our performance this quarter. During the quarter, We recorded gap net income available to common shareholders of $16.3 million, or $0.55 per share. Our book value of $10.84 per share and adjusted book value of $10.58 per share increased by approximately 3.7 percent from December. The book value increase was driven by mark-to-market gains on our investment portfolio from credit spread tightening, gains on our hedge portfolio from rising rates, and improvement in our earnings available for distribution, or EAD. ARC Home had a neutral impact on book value this quarter as mark-to-market gains on its MSR portfolio, driven by rising interest rates, all set losses from EAD. We generated EAD of 21 cents per share for the first quarter. Net interest income, inclusive of interest earned on our hedge portfolio, was 69 cents per share, which exceeded our operating expenses and preferred dividends of 44 cents, generating earnings of 25 cents per share. This was offset by a loss of 4 cents contributed from our company. During the quarter, net interest income, including swaps, increased by 4.1 million, resulting from a full quarter of earnings from the acquired WMC portfolio, while operating expenses only increased by 1.4 million. As discussed on our previous earnings call, we estimated that approximately $5 to $7 million of operating expenses would be removed on an annual basis upon combining MIT and WMC. These synergies are now being realized with annual operating expense savings trending toward the higher end of our estimated range. Lastly, we ended the quarter with total liquidity of approximately $140 million. This concludes our prepared remarks, and we now like to open the call for questions.
spk04: Thank you. If you would like to ask a question at this time, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. You may remove yourself from the queue at any time by pressing star 2. Once again, if you would like to ask a question, please press star 1. Our first question comes from Doug Harder with UBS. Please go ahead.
spk08: Thank you. Good morning. I'm hoping you could talk about your outlook for incremental new investments, you know, how we should think about the pacing of that and, you know, kind of your plans to fund that either through recycling of capital, or do you have any plans to kind of raise new capital?
spk05: Thanks, Doug. This is Nick. So we, for the most part, recycle capital that we have, particularly given the flattening of the credit curve that we mentioned. I think that builds an opportunity to, you know, sell down positions that have done well and reinvest. Pace-wise, you know, there's still plenty of opportunity in the market. I mentioned, you know, growth in the checkbook channels at Arc Home. certainly the sort of availability of credits in the market and where you can buy them will not be the constraint.
spk02: Great.
spk08: And, you know, I guess, how are you thinking about what is the return differential between, you know, call it the legacy WMC assets that you have you know, that you're selling and where you think you can put that money to work today in work home production?
spk05: Yeah, so a lot of that paper has seasoned out and as the credit curve flattened, you know, we're talking some of the paper we were selling was, you know, high 100s, low 200s type spread, I think we can double those sort of spreads or more via recycling. And then obviously with the modest deployment of back-ended leverage, get you to the mid to high teens returns.
spk04: Great. Thank you, Nick. Thank you. Our next question will come from Jason Weaver with Jones Trading. Please go ahead.
spk03: Hi, good morning. I was wondering, can you talk a bit about where you see the origination capacity that is, you know, personnel-wise at ARCOME looking out further into the year? Are you preparing for, you know, more volume if we do see a decline in rates in the back half?
spk05: I think ARCOME is well positioned for the current environment. when we think about rallies and rates, um, you know, we think a lot more about seasonality than what a hundred basis point, 200 basis point rally and rates will do to volumes. Um, and sort of given that outlook, we think, you know, the staffing's well positioned, um, and we put a lot of work into, um, making the company more and more efficient. Um, so, so that, um, you know, if we see increases that those can be, you know, readily handled.
spk03: Thank you. And then more of a clarification, just given the volatility we saw starting in April, would you say that the bid for securitization really hasn't been materially affected?
spk05: Yeah, I don't think it's been materially affected. In fact, if you look at a lot of the inflows across bond funds, you know, those supply-demand technicals are well-supported for continued issuance. You know, there still tends to be less supply than demand.
spk03: Great. Thank you very much.
spk04: Thank you. As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 at this time. We'll take our next question from Bose George with KBW. Please go ahead.
spk07: Hey, guys. Good morning. Can you talk about the sustainability of the current level of the EAD you reported this quarter? And then just on a related note, I guess you had a little over $100 million of cash. Can you remind us how much of that is cash you want to keep and how much of that we think of as kind of deployable?
spk06: So in terms of the cash question, I mean, we've got – $140 million listed on page five. I think when we think about where we've been running leverage over the recent quarters or so, I think we have an ability to probably deploy you know, 40 to 50 million of that. We obviously have the maturity coming up in September on a convertible note. It's payable starting in June, so we're obviously managing cash into that maturity. In terms of EAD, I think the way we think about things is if you were to go back to when rates really started moving in 2022, I think we've done a really good job of protecting book value on the investment portfolio. And the ROEs that we've been putting up there, I think, have been able to capture these higher rates. And so I think that's sort of a tailwind. I think our headwind has been twofold. One has been just the kind of core earnings at ARK Home contributing and offsetting the kind of higher ROEs we're producing on the investment side, and then obviously just scaling G&A. And so I think as we look forward now with one quarter behind us, I think you're clearly seeing the GNA synergies, which Anthony mentioned, and we'll have to go into more detail there in terms of how that's penciling out. And then I think we show on page Nine, Boaz, I think, you know, the arc home sort of negative contribution to EAD has gradually been kind of working towards breakeven and obviously with the goal of towards the back half of this year kind of crossing into a positive. So I think when you put all that together, I think we feel pretty good about sort of EAD in this higher range on a more sustainable basis. We don't view this as one time.
spk07: Okay, great. Thanks. And then actually just on acquisitions, obviously, I mean, this was a We see it as a very positive transaction. How do you think about potential future transactions? Obviously, where you're trading makes it somewhat challenging, but how much energy is focused on that as a potential?
spk06: I think we're still very open to other acquisitions, other ways to, I would say, enhance the scale of the company. I think the manager has shown to be very supportive in continuing to grow MIT. So we're definitely open for business and fielding calls about opportunities. And we don't view WMC as sort of one and done. I think it was a building block for hopefully future growth.
spk04: OK, great. Thanks. Thank you. Our next question comes from Eric Hagan with BTIG. Please go ahead.
spk02: Hey, thanks. Good morning. Hey, any perspectives on the support for agency and non-agency MBS spreads following the Fed meeting this week? Any catalysts you see for MBS spreads to tighten from here? What do you guys feel like is the upper bound for MBS spreads, just given some of the news that we've received recently? Thank you.
spk05: Look, we pay close attention to the agency basis and non-agency basis. Obviously, we're not in the agency markets as sort of the core business. That being said, you know, we look at agencies as being, you know, generally fairly valued in here. You know, if vol comes off, agency spread should do better. But I do think that our bulk is largely insulated from what goes on in that market. I think you can look at even this past quarter quarter's performance, and you can see that sort of credit outperformed a lot of the parts of the capital stack that are more impacted by IT spreads and interest rate volatility.
spk02: OK. That's helpful. Hey, lots of capabilities around distressed credit at Angelo Gordon and TPG. I mean, are there any opportunities you guys are seeing out there yet that could Yeah, speak to that opportunity.
spk06: I mean, certainly not in any sort of scale on the residential side at this point. I mean, I think there's way more opportunity sort of focusing on new origination. Probably don't see that changing, honestly, in the short to medium term either.
spk04: OK.
spk02: Thank you, guys.
spk04: Thank you. At this time, we have no further questions in queue. This will conclude today's AG Mortgage Investment Trust first quarter 24 earnings conference call. You may disconnect your line at this time and have a wonderful day.
Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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