AG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc.

and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc. Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After management's remarks, there will be a question and answer session. In order to ask a question during the session, please press the star key followed by the number one on your telephone. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. If you require any further assistance, please press star, then zero. I'd now like to turn the call over to Jenny Neslin, General Counsel for the company. Please go ahead.

Thank you. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the third quarter 2025 earnings call for AEG Mortgage Investment Trust. With me on the call today are T.J. Durkin, our CEO and President, Nick Smith, our Chief Investment Officer, and Anthony Rossiello, our Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, please note that the information discussed in today's call may contain forward-looking statements. Any forward-looking statements made during today's call are subject to certain risks and uncertainties, which are outlined in our SEC filings, including under the headings cautionary statement regarding forward-looking statements, risk factors, and management discussion and analysis. The company's actual results may differ materially from these statements. We encourage you to read the disclosure regarding forward-looking statements contained in our SEC filings. including our most recently filed Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2024, and our subsequent reports filed from time to time with the SEC. Except as required by law, we are not obligated and do not intend to update or to revise or review any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. During the call today, we will refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures, please refer to our SEC filings for reconciliation to the most comparable gap measures. We will also reference the earnings presentation that was posted to our website this morning. To view the slide presentation, turn to our website, www.agmit.com, and click on the link for the Q3 2025 earnings presentation on the homepage. Again, welcome to the call, and thank you for joining us today. With that, I'd like to turn the call over to TJ.

Thank you, Jenny. I'm pleased to report MIT's third quarter results in which the company had one of its most active and successful quarters in recent memory. During the third quarter, we were able to increase our bulk value from $10.39 to $10.46, inclusive of our previously announced strategic acquisition of an additional 0.4% of ARCOM through the issuance of approximately 2 million shares, creating a one-time dilution event of 1.8%. while also fully supporting our 21-cent dividend. The company continues to provide stability and book value performance, navigating both challenging markets and executing on growth initiatives like the one I just mentioned. We continue to believe growing the company's size and flow is in the long-term best interest of its shareholders. Moving on to earnings, we increased our EAD to 23 cents per share, driven by strong earnings from our core investment portfolio. in this first quarter with our larger ownership percentage of our home we are happy to report it contributed three cents towards EAD as the business continues to execute on its growth and profitability objectives lastly it is important to note we were able to deliver this growth in EAD despite turning off the accrual of our legacy WMC CRE loans this year as we work through the monetization process So as we look forward, the ability to rotate this equity capital currently invested in the CRE loans into our residential securitization strategy, combined with ARCOM's profits, should enable us to unlock even more earnings power from our portfolio in the coming quarters. I'll now turn the call over to Nick. Thanks, TJ.

The company had an extremely active quarter. We have made significant progress in rotating equity into core strategies, growing investment portfolio, de-risking and optimizing financing, and accelerating growth at our portfolio company, ArcHome, along with other significant steps forward. Getting into specifics. Starting with rotation. We monetize close to $55 million market value of legacy WMC securitized non-QM positions. after restructuring these holdings and unwinding expensive and under-advanced debt that came with the WMC acquisition. I will speak more about this later. An additional 11 million of equity came back from a legacy WMC CMBS position that paid off at par. In aggregate, the company freed up nearly 66 million of equity for redeployment. With this capital, we significantly increased the investment portfolio by over 20% this quarter. we acquired over 1.7 billion of residential mortgage loans. Approximately 900 million was allocated to agency-eligible investor loans and over 800 million to home equity loans, including both closed-end seconds and HELOCs. Most of these acquisitions were immediately financed into four separate securitizations. We'd like to point out that this significant growth was achieved without incurring risk to the company through outsized gestation periods or warehouse financing exposure. Likewise, the company's leverage increased modestly from 1.3 to 1.7 turns quarter over quarter, which we see as more normal levels. Moving on to the company's financing activity. As alluded to earlier and mentioned briefly in our previous quarter's prepared remarks, we refinanced high-cost, inefficient debt backed by retained interest in WMC-issued non-ANC securitizations. This refinancing freed up $55 million of equity to redeploy and materially lowered the cost of capital while significantly increasing the market value advance. This quarter's EAD was boosted by approximately $0.03 by this refinancing, which normalizes to $0.04 to $0.05 for a full quarter looking forward. Moving on from financing to ARK Home. Simultaneous with the announcement of last quarter's earnings, we acquired an additional 21.4% ownership of ARK Home. We are happy to report earnings of over $2 million this quarter, which contributes approximately $1.2 million to MIT, the highest since the end of 2021. In September, they achieved record lock volumes. We believe this growth and profitability is sustainable as the non-AC market continues to increase its share. Before passing the call over to Anthony, I'd like to touch upon an item others have been addressing, call rights. Prior to quarter end, we initiated the sale of the underlying collateral to a third party in connection with the termination of a transaction issued in 2022. We see significant value in call rights from transactions issued in 2022 and 2023. We expect the termination of this transaction along with others in the future to return capital that can be opportunistically redeployed into our core higher returning investment strategies. Over to you, Anthony.

Thank you, Nick. And good morning. The third quarter was a pivotal one for MIT. We rotated a significant amount of capital from legacy WMC assets, boosting our earnings power, executed four securitizations, acquired an additional 21.4% interest in our home, and delivered EAD in excess of our dividend. During the quarter, book value rose 0.7% to $10.46 per share. Including our dividend of $0.21 per share, we generated a 2.7% economic return for our shareholders. It's worth noting that our book value grew even after accounting for 1.8% dilution from the shares issued for the additional ARC home interest, which underscores the strong performance of our investment portfolio. Gap net income available to common shareholders was $14.6 million, or $0.47 per share. Strong asset appreciation driven by spread tightening on residential mortgage loans and non-agency RMBS offset the dilution from ARC home and unrealized losses on commercial investments. Residential investments continue to drive earnings with net interest income increasing by 1.7 million or 9% from prior quarter resulting from refinancing high cost legacy WMC debt and rotating a significant portion of capital into higher yielding assets. EAD increased to 23 cents per share from 18 in Q2. Net interest income, including interest from our hedges, was 67 cents per share and exceeded our operating expenses, income taxes, and preferred dividends of 47 cents, resulting in net earnings of 20 cents per share. In addition to EAD growth from our investment portfolio, our home contributed 3 cents per share to EAD, supported by continued growth in originations and margins. We grew our investment portfolio by 21% to $8.8 billion through securitization activity and continue to operate with a low level of economic leverage at 1.7 terms. During the quarter, we purchased and simultaneously securitized $764 million of agency-eligible loans and $647 million of closed and second liens. We also securitized $301 million of HELOCs held on warehouse at June 30th and purchased an additional $122 million to continue growing that portfolio. Since expanding into home equity in the fourth quarter of 2024, our investment portfolio includes $1 billion of loans and $52 million of non-agency RMBS, collateralized by home equity loans, now representing 30% of our equity allocation. As mentioned earlier, we acquired an additional 21.4% interest in our home for $16 million, bringing our ownership to 66 percent this investment was completed through the issuance of 2 million shares of restricted common stock and as discussed last quarter will continue to be reported as an equity method investment at fair value lastly we ended the quarter with total liquidity of approximately 104 million consisting of 59 million in cash 44 million of committed financing available on unlevered home equity loans and 1 million of unencumbered agency rmbs This concludes our prepared remarks, and we now like to open the call for questions.

Certainly. At this time, if you would like to ask a question, please press the star then 1 on your telephone keypad. You may withdraw your question at any time by pressing star then 2. Again, it is star then 1 to ask a question. Take our first question from Doug Harder with UBS. Your line is open.

Thanks. I'm hoping, Nick, hoping you could expand a little bit more about the call rates, either kind of the amount of capital that could be freed up, or how do you think about the return differential on the called deals versus freshly deployed capital?

Certainly. So near term, we see, call it 15 to 30 million of equity that can be re-deployed. More of an intermediate term, call it three to four quarters, that could be 50 plus million. If you think about sort of 2022 and 23, the capital markets were fairly inefficient. Spreads were relatively wide. So given sort of where interest rates have retraced along with credit spreads, we see a good amount of upside to be able to unlock that and redeploy. um the equity obviously we could we could just refinance those um but i think our current strat you know given sort of how those those loans have performed well um there's a good chance that you know we'll we'll look to recycle that equity via the sale of loans but are open to other alternatives but either way accretive uh versus how we currently hold those positions

Great. And then can you give us an update on the CRE loans, the non-accrual? What's their status, potential for timing of resolution?

Yeah, sure. So the hospitality loans are still progressing towards our original resolution plan. At this point, we think it's realistic to have that capital return in the first half of 2026. um so that's just kind of going through the original motions i think the retail property actually just hit its maturity date this quarter and so we're in the early stage of say working through the options there on that note i would say doug it's important that that note is actually still cash flowing um from the underlying property so um i think we have some more options there as well and can you just remind us the amount of capital that could come back on the hospitality uh what's 30 million on the total um i think it's about 23 on the hospitality and then seven and a half great appreciate it great appreciate it thank you and we will move next to crispin love with piper sandler your line is open

thank you uh good morning everyone um first can you talk a little about securitizations just how the receptivity has been you did four in the quarter um and just as you look forward what do you think a normal cadence could be on the securitization side yeah the expectation going forward forward is probably not as many as we did this quarter but it's probably more like one to two a quarter um the securitization markets themselves are healthy um if anything you know we've sort of transitioned into

your positive net supply and, if anything, the inflows across different investment-type vehicles companies have been robust and have met that supply. We are off of sort of the beginning of the year's tights at the top of the capital stack, but the bottom of the capital stack is a good amount tighter. We see issuance as a relatively healthy period.

Okay, perfect. Just if you could just share your thoughts on credit broadly. And then within MIT, there started to be some concerns from banks, albeit that some fraud involved, some weakness in the consumer. But curious on your thoughts on credit and then drilling down into MIT, whether it's non-QM or other areas. I know that still increasing metrics are still fairly low, but just want to get your sense there.

Are you focusing on performance or the fraud issues?

Performance.

Performance.

On the performance side, we've had a differentiated strategy. Our book has outperformed both on the agency-eligible investor side and non-QM side, along with the home equity side. I think it's worth noting, and we've thrown these statistics out in the past, that our agency-eligible investor book is actually performing better than Prime Jumbo. and our non-QM continues to outperform the broader markets issuance. So I think there's a credit selection story there. We have seen some slight weakness um in other in other people's production um but we feel like that's isolated and you know I feel like the housing story is is well telegraphed that you know while there is some weakness geographically it's it's in places where you know supply has mean mean reverted or gone through sort of 2018 19 20 levels um but we believe that can is contained and we you know feel strongly about our our current position and our current portfolio

Great. Thank you. I appreciate you taking my questions.

And we will go next to Bose George with KBW. Your line is open.

Good morning. Given the timing of the purchase of the ARC, the incremental piece, did you guys get the full quarter of this quarter, or is there sort of a catch-up on that as well?

No. The transaction was executed on August 1st, so it's really only two months of that

that ead that you see coming through so to the extent performance continues to have a pickup in our quarters um okay and this your commentary suggested that the ead there you know should be should be flat up up going forward just given the trends you've seen there that's right okay great and then um can you give us an update on book value quarters today

Yeah, it was just given where we are in the process. We don't have an update for you today.

Okay, and then if you guys noted that growing the company is in the best interest of shareholders, which definitely makes sense, you know, what are some of the options? And is it is buying in more of ARCA possibility? Can you just talk about potential options for you guys?

Yeah, I mean, I think we're very inquisitive on other types of opportunities to, you know, build a more robust investment platform for the company. So whether that's working with other originators, other platforms, you know, obviously being conscious of dilution, et cetera. But I think, you know, we're certainly open to other ideas.

Okay. Great. Thank you.

As a reminder, it is star than one to register for a question today. We will move next to Trevor Cranston with JMP. Your line is open.

Hey, thanks. Good morning. Can you just give us an update on kind of where you guys see the ROE and, you know, economics on doing new securitizations, you know, given the spread tightening we saw during the third quarter and how it compares to kind of where things were earlier in the year? Thanks.

So probably where you can place debt versus the tightening still shakes out to largely similar equity returns. Obviously, that matters on what part of the capital stack you're attaching to and the amount of leverage you take. Given our current leverage profile and the assets that we're trafficking in, we still see comfortably equity returns with modest leverage in the mid-high teens.

Got it. Okay. And then with the rally we've seen in mortgage rates, have you guys seen any kind of notable increase in prepay speeds on either the non QM or the agency eligible part of the portfolio? And does that have any sort of meaningful impact on the expected returns on those retained investments?

Yeah, so we have seen some uptick in prepayments, albeit modest and albeit relatively early on. From a return standpoint, we feel like the portfolio was well-balanced between the derivative portions and then the credit portions, and don't expect book value to be materially impacted by large pickups. In prepayments, it is worth noting that there are large portions of the portfolio that even into a pretty meaningful rally are still wildly out of the money, which provides a good amount of stability even into a rate rally. Okay. That makes sense. Thank you. And there are no additional questions at this time. I'd like to turn the program back over to Jenny Neslin for any closing remarks.

Thank you, everyone, for joining us and very much appreciate your questions. Look forward to speaking to you again next quarter. Have a great day.

Thank you for your participation. This does conclude today's program. You may disconnect at any time.