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Vail Resorts, Inc.
3/9/2026
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Good afternoon and welcome to the Vail Resorts Fiscal Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. Today's conference is being recorded. Currently, all callers have been placed in a listen-only mode, and following management's prepared remarks, the call will be open for your questions. If you would like to ask a question at that time, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. If you need to remove yourself from the queue, press star 2. To get to as many questions as time permits, we ask that you please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. At any time, if you should need operator assistance, press star zero. I will now turn the call over to Connie Wang, Vice President of Investor Relations at Vail Resorts. You may begin.
Thank you, Operator. Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to Vail Resorts' Fiscal 2026 Second Quarter Earnings Conference Call. Joining me on the call today are Rob Katz, our Chief Executive Officer, and Angela Korch, our Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, let me remind you that some information provided during this call may include forward-looking statements that are based on certain assumptions and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties as described in our SEC filings, and actual future results may vary materially. Forward-looking statements in our press release issued this afternoon, along with our remarks on this call, are made as of today, March 9, 2026, and we undertake no duty to update them as actual events unfold. Today's remarks also include certain non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations of these measures are provided in the tables included with our press release, which along with our quarterly report on Form 10-Q were filed this afternoon with the SEC and are also available on the Investor Relations section of our website at www.valeresorts.com. I would now like to turn the call over to Rob for opening remarks.
Thanks, Connie. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us for our second quarter earnings call. This quarter and our full year outlook reflect the challenges we face this season, including the most difficult weather environment in the Rockies we have ever seen, with snowfall and snowpack at or near all-time historic lows, even worse than fiscal year 2012, which had previously been our season with the worst conditions in the Rockies. Our second quarter was significantly impacted by these unprecedented weather challenges in the Rockies, which weighed on visitation and overall performance. In addition to Rocky snowfall through February being at historic lows, it's also been the warmest winter to date on record for Colorado. For example, February was nine degrees warmer than average in the Rockies, which has dramatically impacted our ability to open terrain. This season saw the latest opening of the back bowls at Vail Mountain and Imperial Lift at Breckenridge, and only 70% to 80% of acres opened through the end of February at our resorts in Colorado and Utah. The Rockies are the largest driver of resort EBITDA for the company, and as such, the poor weather had an outsized negative impact on our results this year. While these conditions weighed on our results, they also underscore the importance of our advanced commitment strategies. While past units may have declined a couple of points over the past few years, it's important to highlight that we've grown our past units by 55% over the past five years, with past holders now making up approximately 75% of our annual visitation, providing meaningful stability, especially in a year like this. Over the past decade, we've also meaningfully expanded the geographic diversity of our portfolio to help mitigate regional weather impacts. While that benefit is less evident this year given the severity of conditions in the Rockies, diversification has provided more support than it did historically, and it will continue to play an important role over time. We're proud of the resilience of our business model that is now more durable, more diversified, and well-positioned for our next phase of growth. We continue to advance strategic initiatives to optimize visitation, supported by enhanced marketing initiatives and new products. We saw the first signs of that last fall as we materially changed the trajectory of past sales post-Labor Day, which was critical heading into this season. We also launched past sales for the 2026-2027 season last week with new products and targeted pricing adjustments. Most notably, we introduced new pricing for skiers and riders ages 13 to 30 at 20% less than standard pricing. providing a more accessible pathway for the next generation of skiers who are the future of our sport. This incentivizes young adults, those ages 18 to 30, who tend to be more price sensitive and likely were more impacted by the price increases we took over the past four years. We supported this new product with our enhanced marketing strategy, including the launch of a new campaign this week called Epic Passions. which leans into the emotional connection skiers and riders, particularly Gen Z, have with the sport. This campaign exemplifies our evolved marketing approach of supporting new products through integrated investment and messaging across channels, including a social-first and influencer-driven approach to content to reach younger guests and drive awareness and conversion. For our broader array of passes, we announced 3% to 4% price increases for Epic and Epic Local passes before taxes. Combined with our new 20% discount for young adults, price changes we made to Epic Day Passes and other unlimited regional products, this results in an approximately 3% to 4% blended price increase before the impact of any mixed changes. Additionally, this year, we are passing through the sales and lift tax the company pays to local communities on multi-resort passes in the same way we do for lift tickets and all of our other mountain products. The tax rate for most of our passes is approximately 3%. Lastly, as part of the broader integrated approach across lift tickets and passes, we also made targeted updates to pass pricing, including adjustments to epic day pass pricing to incentivize greater frequency, resulting in higher increases on one to two day passes and year-over-year decreases on six to seven day passes. These are key steps in advancing our portfolio of products to address our largest opportunities to drive revenue growth. Moving on to our lift ticket initiatives, we are seeing positive early reception to our Epic Friends and advanced lift tickets introduced this season, both of which are especially noteworthy in light of the soft weather conditions we've had this year. Epic Friend ticket redemption rates are up over the legacy passholder benefit tickets and showing growth in visitation compared to declines across traditional ticket types. demonstrating that this product is both delivering meaningful value to pass holders while also expanding a key top of funnel audience. Similarly, our one-month advance lift tickets are showing positive signs of moving guest purchasing behavior earlier, despite the uncertainty this year around weather. We are also encouraged by the results from our off-peak pricing strategy at select resorts. It's been a difficult season to truly evaluate performance of these products, given the magnitude of the weather overhang, but these initial results give us confidence that these products are expanding our reach and strengthening the funnel into our past business. Most importantly, in the face of very challenging conditions, we achieved record high system-wide guest satisfaction scores this season, including increases year over year in Colorado and Utah, which is a direct reflection of the caliber of our team members and their exceptional execution throughout the season. want to extend my sincere appreciation to our frontline teams for their unwavering commitment to our guests, which was critical during this time. Overall, the collective strength and focus of this organization are evident. As I mentioned up front, this year underscores the stability of our advanced commitment strategy, what it provides. We have purposely built a model that has been designed to withstand challenging weather years through regional diversification, pre-commitment of roughly 75% of visits through our past products, and continued investment in snowmaking, and that's just part of the story. Combined with new lift ticket and past initiatives launched this season and our reimagined marketing approach and significant investments in guest-facing technology and an opportunity to completely reimagine the gear business, I'm confident we are setting ourselves up for the next phase of growth. Looking ahead, we are well-positioned to continue elevating the guest experience, executing with discipline, and delivering sustainable long-term value for our shareholders. With that, I will now turn the call over to Angela to review our financial results and outlook in more depth.
Thanks, Rob. Good afternoon, everyone. I'll now walk through our second quarter financial results, season-to-date metrics, and our updated outlook for fiscal 2026. Starting with the second quarter results, as Rob mentioned, historically challenging conditions in the Rockies significantly impacted performance in the quarter, with rocky snowfall down 43% year-over-year. Conditions in Whistler and Tahoe have also been variable, while conditions in the east were strong this season, providing a partial offset and highlights the geographic diversification of our portfolio. Q2 total net revenue declined approximately 5% in the second quarter compared to the prior year, driven by unfavorable weather conditions that negatively impacted visitation and ancillary spending for both local and destination guests. Total Q2 lift revenue declined approximately 3%, despite visitation being down 13%. This performance reflects the stability provided by past sales, which were up approximately 3% heading into the season. Q2 resort reported EBITDA declined approximately 8% compared to the prior year, as weather-related headwinds were partially offset by a disciplined cost management and continued savings from our resource efficiency transformation plan. Turning to season-to-date metrics, through March 1st, skier visitation declined approximately 12%, consistent with the ongoing weather impacts we saw during the second quarter. Lift revenue declined approximately 4%, as growth in pass revenue was partially offset by declines in non-pass lift ticket revenue. To highlight the magnitude of the conditions impact, even our most committed pass visitation declined approximately 14%, while non-pass lift ticket visitation declined approximately 6%. Ancillary revenue trends improved compared to January metrics, though they remain down versus the prior year due to lower visitation, partially offset by increased yield per visit. Moving to our fiscal 26 full-year outlook, persistent challenging weather conditions through February in the Rockies continued to limit terrain availability, and we are reducing our fiscal 2026 net income and resort reported EBITDA guidance. We now expect net income attributable to Vail resorts in the range of 144 million to 190 million and resort reported EBITDA in the range of 745 million to 775 million. With the reduction in earnings, we now expect cash taxes for the year to be approximately 95 to 105 million. Given the unprecedented conditions in the Rockies, we are pleased with the stability provided by our past program and resource efficiency transformation savings. To put the magnitude of the conditions impact into context, Rocky's snowfall this season is approximately 40% lower than fiscal 2012, which was historically the year with the most unfavorable weather conditions until now. We acknowledge that given challenging conditions persisting this late into the season, There is greater variability in our guidance for the year, despite limited time left in the season. Our updated guidance range reflects our assumptions outlined in the press release, including the conditions for the rest of the season are consistent with the current levels in North America. Turning to our resource efficiency transformation plan, we now expect to exceed the initial $100 million annualized savings target by approximately $6 million by the end of fiscal 2026. This program continues to drive improvements in organizational effectiveness and operating leverage. For fiscal 2026, we expect to deliver approximately 42 million of incremental savings versus the prior year, before approximately 15 million of one-time operating expenses. Finally, turning to liquidity and capital allocation. Despite the difficult operating environment this year, we remain confident in the strength of our cash flow generation and the stability of our business model. Our balance sheet remains strong as we ended the quarter with a liquidity of approximately 1.1 billion in net leverage, 3.1 times trillion 12 months EBITDA. During the quarter, we retired our convertible debt of 525 million using a combination of net proceeds from our delayed draw term loan in cash on hand. On February 9th, we amended our credit agreement to extend the maturity date to 2031, revised the pricing levels, and slightly increased the facility size. On capital allocation, our priorities remain unchanged. We continue to prioritize reinvestment in the business and balance sheet flexibility to pursue attractive acquisition opportunities. We then look to return capital to shareholders. We reaffirmed our calendar year 2026 capital plan with core capital expenditures of 215 to 220 million and total capital spending in the range of 234 million to 239 million with a continued focus on technology investments that can be deployed at scale across the enterprise. We also maintain the quarterly dividend at $2.22 per share and will remain opportunistic on buybacks as evidenced by repurchasing 0.3 million shares for a total of $45 million year-to-date. In light of the results from this year, we re-evaluated the current dividend level and elected to hold our quarterly dividend flat as we do not believe This year's cash flow decline is indicative of the long-term cash generation potential of the business. We always take a long-term view when investing in the business and setting the level of the dividend, knowing that we may have variations due to weather like we experienced this year. And we built a business model with strong cash flow generation and a balance sheet to withstand those fluctuations and stay focused on the future. To close, while this season has unfolded in an unusually difficult weather environment, The quarter reinforced the resilience of our business and the benefits of the strategic choices we've made over time. The stability provided by our advanced commitment strategy, the progress we're making across lift ticket and pass initiatives, along with our resource transformation plan, have all helped mitigate the impact of extremely challenging conditions this year. We remain confident in the actions we're taking, the durability of our cash flow profile as conditions normalize, and the strength of our balance sheet to support both reinvestment in the business and returns to shareholders. With that, I'll turn the call back over to the operator for Q&A.
At this time, if you wish to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. You may remove yourself from the queue by pressing star 2. Again, please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. We'll take our first question from Sean Kelly with Bank of America. Your line is open.
Hi, good afternoon, everyone, Rob and Angela. Just wondering, Rob, if we could start off by, you know, I think usually right around now is when we flip the script and start talking about next season as hard as that is. And I know they're still a bit ahead of work for everybody at the team to do. But can you just talk about sort of how that conversation with your consumer audience is evolving in a, you know, sort of a season like this? And specifically, you know, we read a lot about unusually warm temperatures in the base communities around, you know, areas like Denver and Salt Lake. So just kind of how do you think, you know, this ultimately impacts, you know, renewals and the look to next year in some of these local communities that were hit hard by weather this year?
Yeah, I think... You know, I think it's certainly something that people will take into account, but I think what we've seen historically when there are big aberrations like what we saw this year in terms of weather, we saw this, you know, I think back in 2012, we saw this, you know, I think the following year in 2012-13 for Tahoe, which had a pretty tough year. I think what we see is that people tend to look at this in terms of how many times they may have used their past, as also an aberration, that it's not really that they don't love skiing. It's not that they're not as connected to the sport, but just that the weather didn't show up this year like they may have hoped. But I think everyone also knows that that doesn't really change the likelihood that next year could be an amazing season, even in this year where we had tough conditions out west. We obviously had really strong conditions in the northeast. So I think people understand that there is a little variability to that. That's one of the reasons why we do provide our passes at a low price so that it's something that people can plan on year after year through good years and bad. Not to say, obviously, since we haven't seen a year like this, it's hard to know exactly how this will play out, but I don't think this is going to impact kind of long-term engagement in the sport.
Great, thanks. And then maybe just as a short follow-up more on the numbers, Angela, I've got a couple questions regarding sort of just the flow-through assumption here. So we look at the change from where you started the season in revenue relative to the change in EBITDA. It's quite high. I mean, it's roughly 80%, which I think when we think about locking in a lot of the lift revenue would hopefully be a little bit of an offset. But can you just talk us through that, maybe where the delta in expectation was to your model and why that flow-through is as elevated as understanding that you're obviously a fixed-cost business?
Yeah, I mean, that is the punchline, Sean. I think we have this high flow through when, yeah, of course, our guidance already had the past revenue piece. So what you're seeing in the change here is really the parts during the season, right, that's turning from demand, from the conditions that's impacting revenue. There is a high flow through, right, because we are doing everything we can to, right, operate as much terrain and operate our resource to the highest guest experience level as we can, which you did see in our kind of guest experience scores. And we don't change that, right? We don't pull back on those types of things. And so, yeah, there is a high flow through when you see this large a visitation change and the impact that has to revenue during the season.
Thank you.
We'll move next to David Katz with Jefferies. Your line is open. Hi.
Good day, everyone. Thanks for taking my question. Rob, I wanted to go back to one of the issues that we, you know, you've talked about a bit, which is, you know, the marketing efforts, particularly the social presence. And, you know, any, you know, feedback, results, input, impact, you know, or updates there would be helpful.
Sure. You know, I think we started to see, I think, the real benefits of that in the fall of last year with pass sales. where we really saw that kind of big change in trajectory of past sales, you know, which, you know, through Labor Day and then post Labor Day. And I think we've continued to see that this year. I think some of our kind of social first content, influencer content, has been some of the best performing content we've had throughout the year, which I think highlights the strategic change, right? That, you know, which I think is, again, not about Vail Resorts, but the broader marketplace where people are looking for more authentic, more real-time content, They're looking for more voices than just the company amplifying that content. And quite frankly, you know, they are, yeah, they want to see us show up in the places that they are engaging, which I think we have been this year. And so we are feeling, we do feel very good about all the both media spend and channel shifts that we made this year. because we are tracking kind of the incremental return that we're getting from that spend, and it's all been very good. Now, unfortunately, that, of course, is not enough to overcome some of the other dynamics we're talking about with weather and visitation. But so far, in terms of what we've seen, we feel like it was absolutely the right choice and something we're going to continue going forward.
I appreciate that. And I wanted to, just as my follow-up, at the risk of you know, trying to steal some thunder from, you know, the analyst meeting, you know, we've seen a couple of, you know, buddy programs, you know, Epic discount programs, the Gen Z program, you know, is this the direction, you know, we should expect you to continue progressing, you know, which is to offer very specific kinds of discounts in the interest of, you know, driving some visitation with, with the hope of ancillary spending and return.
Yeah, and yeah, we'll share a little bit more at the investor conference, but I would say that it isn't necessarily like the strategy that we're going to take is about discounting. I think what you're going to see from us is constantly looking at where we think we can optimize price, optimize features and benefits and performance, and we're going to make whatever moves we think are the right moves for the business and the program for that. And so, you know, what you saw with our, you know, kind of Gen Z effort, young adult effort, was really seeing that, yeah, when we look back over a number of years, we saw a growth in a lot of different segments of our past business, but the area that we were showing the most struggles was in this age group. And I think when you look back over the past price increases that we've had, those were taken, I mean, you could look at it as a discount today, or you could look at it that hey, we provided price increases over the last four years across the board in the program, that probably hit folks who were earlier in their career, so to speak, harder. And so I think what we're doing is kind of resetting a little bit from that based on looking at all the data and all the information we have. And we do think it's critical that we keep the engagement of these folks in the sport for the future. But as we go forward, you'll see other adjustments where we may increase prices pass-through prices, you know, other things that we think make more sense in terms of how we drive overall revenue, which is really just the ultimate goal here.
Appreciate the call.
Yeah, sure.
We'll move next to Patrick Scholes with Truist. Your line is open. Hi.
Thank you. When I think back to the most recent weak snowfall season, that being 2017 to 2018. After that season, you went very heavy on the CapEx and upgraded your systems for snowmaking. Is something like that being contemplated for after this season in light of the very weak snowfall? Thank you.
Yeah, I can't exactly remember. I'd have to go back and look at exactly what we did after that year. But I would say that the plans that we make for capital start, you know, so we're currently spending money in what we call capital year 2026. We start planning for capital year 2026 in the spring of 2025, or sometimes even earlier. and making commitments on those plans, you know, maybe in September, late summer, September 2025. So what I'd say is really make snowmaking investments based upon the results of that year because it's too late. You know, once we're going down that road, we also typically would need long, you know, permits and other things. So what I'd say is we have a long-term commitment to upgrading snowmaking as part of that guest experience. I think we actually did see, again, hard to see through all the challenge of this year, but Keystone had a strong year, which I think was absolutely because of the investments that we made in snowmaking there. And I do think that even the investments we made at Vail a number of years back, as you're pointing out, I think really helped us. So that is absolutely something we're going to continue to look at as we go forward. And I would say it's not that this year will change that. I think we understand, having been in the business for a long time, yeah, that this is the nature of the business. And so, you know, we're going to prioritize those types of opportunities as we think they make sense.
Okay. Thank you.
We'll take our next question from Matthew Boss with JP Morgan. Your line is open.
Great. Thanks. So, Rob, maybe just trying our best to parse through some of the most difficult weather conditions this season for your business, as you cited. Could you elaborate on traction that you're seeing with the proactive actions that you've put in place to accelerate visitation? Or how would you rank order maybe some of the green shoots?
Yeah, I mean, you know, again, it is hard to parse through this year because obviously it's such a unique year. But we highlighted obviously the actions we took to drive past sales, which clearly made a difference. and I think were really helpful as we went into the season. We talked about that in December and what we did in the fall and we did see those shifts. I think on the three kind of lift ticket initiatives that we launched, Epic Friends, yeah, a ticket type that performed was up when every other ticket type was down and obviously meaningfully down. So that tends to indicate that yeah, people are of course you know, interested in going there and that the lower price made a difference. We also saw a lot of folks going into Epic Friends who, you know, right, came from a lot of different, you know, kind of corners, so to speak. And so we felt like that was a real positive. The, you know, one month advanced discount that we offered, same thing. People, you know, we saw that grow quite a bit. Again, when a lot of other, all of our other advanced ticket, you know, types were down. And we saw a lot of prospects coming in, people who were new to the database, so to speak, from this one month advance ticket. And again, I would say for that product in particular, unusual that you would see people in a year like this with so much weather instability that they would commit a month in advance. So I think that was also helped by the fact that we had a greater call to action on the website kind of a month out when people are really in their kind of looking and booking, you know, timeframe for making a vacation. So we feel really good about that. And we definitely saw, you know, some of the resorts, you know, like Keystone, which had good weather, but, you know, good, better conditions, but honestly, you know, really outperformed. And I think that was also because of the changes that we made to the off-peak ticket prices there. And even if you compare kind of the off-peak to off-peak or peak-to-peak for the exact same resorts, what we saw was that in a year like this, yeah, the lower prices really made a difference. None of this is that shocking. I think we understand that bringing those prices back in line are important, but I think all of those we do see as green shoots because they're things that we're going to continue to build on for next year. Now, I will say that that doesn't mean that we're going to go around just discounting. It is really this kind of... more sharpshooter approach, right, where we're not, you know, I think what we were probably doing before was a little bit more peanut butter as it related to pass and as it related to lift tickets because we were trying to move everybody from lift tickets to pass. But at this point, right, we're now kind of coming back and really picking apart each and every product and time period to decide, you know, what's the best way to optimize it.
Great. And then, Angela, with resort EBITDA forecasted roughly $100 million below initial expectations for this year, under normal weather conditions, if that played out, I mean, what do you see as the recapture opportunity next year? And are there any reinvestments for us to consider as it relates to bottom line?
Yeah, thanks, Matt. The changes from this year are all weather-related, as we noted, right? So all of this we see is Yeah, the visitation impact that was obviously not part of our original guidance and very stark visitation obviously had the large revenue impact that we were just talking about with Sean. And so, yeah, that is all things that we would say was very unusual related to weather for this year.
Helpful, Cutler. Best of luck. Thanks.
We'll move next to Jeff Stanchel with Stiefel. Your line is open.
Great. Good afternoon, everyone. Thanks for taking our questions. Maybe following up on Sean's question and then Matt's question just now, Rob, so obviously a chunk of the past sales historically has come from cross-selling skiers over that purchased a window ticket in the prior year season. Can you just remind us sort of years like this, really bad weather conditions, what have you seen in terms of the impact of that overall? overall funnel? How does that play into pass sales? And sort of has that factor in your expectation for this year?
Yeah, no, there is no doubt that I think when you see less usage, whether it's lift tickets or passes, that it does have an impact. I think the question is like how much of that, you know, for folks, typically it's because people, you know, are just choosing not to ski, you know, for some reason. And I think in those situations, yeah, sometimes it's that kind of person who's either maybe not going to renew, not going to buy, or buy less frequency products or something like that. But this, I think, when you get to a year like this, it's almost more like a life event that happens. So if somebody, for instance, gets injured, well, their skiing might go to zero, but that doesn't have any impact on the following year if they're now healthy, or a life event like children and things like that. So in other words, Those are things that happen that people understand are really outside of this question that people go through about, like, well, do I really like skiing, and how much am I going to ski, and all that. So a year like this, I think, has a lot of that. Now, that said, there's no doubt that it absolutely means that we have to work hard to reach people who may not have come as much or may not have come at all or didn't buy a lift ticket. So there's no doubt about that. And that's where I think we feel good about some of the moves that we've made going into this year in terms of the broader marketing, the increased investment, the different channels that we're reaching out to people, the young adult discount, the Epic Friends discount, and the promotion. We've been promoting Turning Your Ticket all season long, which is new for us because we typically didn't do that. So we do see all of those things as tailwinds. There's no doubt that the conditions and visitation is a headwind.
That's great. Thanks for that, Rob. And then maybe switch gears over to Angela or Rob, whoever wants to take this on the operating expenses side of things. Can you just remind us how much of the expense base here is utilities and just how to think about sensitivity in the model to higher energy costs, given everything going on from a geopolitical perspective? And that's all from us. Thanks.
Yeah, we have not disclosed the exact percent that's utility or energy. Obviously, we do have utility costs at all resorts, and energy at this point in the season, though, that's dramatically ramping down. So, yes, and we do also lock in some long-term contracts at a lot of our resorts. And so, yeah, we don't expect that the energy piece is not part of kind of our changed outlook for the year, and it's something we'll monitor as we go into next year.
Thank you both.
We'll move next to Arpine Cocharian with UBS. Your line is open.
Hi, thank you very much. My question is on the past product pricing for the upcoming season. Sounds like the actual price increase is around 7% or so if you look at it like for like basis after taxes. And I understand there was a difference last year the way that was, you know, I think taxes were included. At the same time, it seems like most of your initiatives, recent initiatives, are really focused on pricing, mostly targeting discounting for both Lyft and past offering for the upcoming season. I'm just trying to understand the 7% for like pricing better. Is there a segment of your consumer that is not that price sensitive and you can better segment more price sensitive consumer by raising sort of overall cost to the core consumer in that segment? 7% range, which to me was not that different to the pricing versus the pricing increase you had the prior year?
Yeah, so what I would say is I think, first of all, we obviously are providing a pretty big discount to a big chunk of our pathholders through this new young adult pricing program. So I think what you have to look at is everybody, it isn't a one price fits all to everybody. So for those they're obviously seeing a pretty significant decline in pricing. And we do think that that is, you know, is our most price sensitive guess, especially those really 18 to 30. And so I think when you look at it that way, you know, we are essentially segmenting the customer base in a way. It's also consistent with what we've seen over the last four years in terms of performance of all of that. And I do think, yeah, I think we do charge tax on all of our products. And I think historically, just because network was growing, it was moving around, we just hadn't added it here. But we do think it's time. And we do think a lot of consumers understand, look at it a little bit differently. They understand that that is what they should expect when they purchase almost any product, and certainly any product in travel. So yeah, it did give us comfort that on an overall basis, you know, we felt good about the moves that we were making going into the past selling season for next year.
Thank you. Helpful. And then you mentioned there's greater variability in your guidance. Could you zoom on that a little bit more? What is driving that variability on the guidance that you just issued? What needs to happen for you to come in at the higher end versus lower end of that guidance range?
Yeah, I just think at this point in the season, I would say typically because the snowpack is lower, the conditions are more variable now than it has been different times. If I look back over the last 10 years on this same date, I think because the snowpack is higher, the conditions don't change as much between now and Easter or early April. Where here, actually, if we get a storm that comes through, that could really improve the conditions. If we don't get a storm and it's You know, the temperature goes up five degrees. That can hurt conditions. So I just think we're at a point in time that's, yeah, obviously, as we've mentioned a few times on this call, for the Rockies, pretty much no one's ever seen. So I think that creates, yeah, more uncertainty as to what we're going to see for the rest of the year.
So it's entirely weather-driven. There's no sort of current macro or geopolitical. No, no.
Thank you very much. All weather-driven.
Thank you.
Thank you. We'll take our next question from Ben Chaikin with Mizuho. Your line is open.
Hey, how's it going? Thanks for taking my questions. Robin, in the past, we've kind of talked about adding benefits to the past, both ski and non-ski, to reduce weather dependency and drive year-round engagement. Clearly, you've been moving fast product side with the friend ticket, the advanced purchase, the lift ticket conversion. As you sit here today, you know, using your words, you know, arguably the worst Rocky Mountain season ever, Does that accelerate or change your thinking on past benefits, or do you feel the product is largely where you want it? Thanks.
I think we're always looking at past benefits, and I think that's something, yeah, we'll definitely be taking a look at as we go into next year for sure. And, you know, there could definitely be things we add. There could be things we add for next season. There could be things we add for the, you know, FY28 passes that will go on sale, you know, in March of 27th. I would say, though, I think in the end the primary benefit, I think that will just be a nice add-on, but the primary benefit of the past is still going to be winter-focused, and we do think from all the research we've done, that is the thing that most people are saying that they want from the past. Now, it's not to say that they wouldn't like to have some other benefits and perks and things like that, and we'll do that, but for us, you know, yeah, the What we constantly hear is, yeah, they want us to make the winter season, you know, better for them, whether it's benefits, perks, what they get, pricing, discounts, all of that. But that said, like, yeah, there are probably ways that we can absolutely just improve the overall package by adding things that, yeah, might be useful in the summer. But I don't know that that changes, like, the weighting of winter, summer, the way people think about it.
Understood. And then as you think about the overall structure of your path, is the young adult cohort largely a single-day guest today, again, on kind of a relative basis, as you think about the buckets? Meaning, do you expect this purchase to be largely an incremental path, though? Thanks.
Oh, well, wait, sorry. You said, yeah, you said, are they a single day? They're definitely, no, they're, you know, they're, they frequent, and they ski quite a bit, and so I wouldn't say that, but I But in terms of whether we think that this new pricing will help get new people into the program, absolutely. And we do think it makes a difference. And we think that, yeah, being more aggressive to this cohort, especially right now, we think can make a real difference in terms of the people that we bring into our program and into the sport.
Got it. I didn't necessarily mean one day. I meant like a window ticket versus a pass is maybe a better way to phrase it.
Yeah, I would say both. I think we, yes, not window, but lift tickets, yes. I think they definitely, we do see a lot of these folks not wanting to make that commitment. But I think it's broadly. It's also just, yeah, that they, you know, they may, if the pricing gets too high, they just may not engage, right, overall in the sport or engage as much.
Thank you.
We'll move next to Laurent Vasilescu with BNP Paribas. Your line is open.
Hi, guys. It's Zion on for Laurent. Could you talk a little bit more about what went into the decision in terms of getting to the 20% discount for Gen Z? Maybe talk a little bit about elasticity kind of studies that you were looking at with that cohort. And then maybe more broadly also, How do you think about the past pricing relative to lift or window ticket pricing?
Yeah, so I think the good news for us is that we have a lot of data on the behavior of our guests, and we have a lot of data that includes both lift ticket data across all of our resorts and past purchase and visitation. We've been at this a long time, and so we're basically looking at yeah, what we think are the price elasticities of these different groups and cohorts, and we're looking for prices that we think ultimately optimize the total revenue for us. And when we look at that, we do include, it's not just lift revenue, we also include all of our ancillary revenue, and we also include, you know, what we think, you know, getting them into a pass does in terms of return rate, and therefore the long-term value that we're creating. And so that's how we got to that discount. And it is, yeah, it's not just a swag. Like, it's, we spend a lot of time trying to, you know, identify what we think is the best opportunity. And then, sorry, your second question was?
About kind of maybe how you're thinking about past pricing versus the lift ticket. Oh, lift ticket. Yeah, I think, yeah.
Yeah, we think there is definitely a gap there that was created, I think, back four years ago in terms of when we reduced PATH pricing 20%. So it has given us some room to move lift ticket pricing down without, in our minds, really affecting PATH pricing or PATH demand. But I think in this cohort, yeah, I think we were really more looking at what the PATH prices were for this cohort over the last four years and what we saw in terms of their demand and performance over the last four years. That's really what drove that decision. Less about actual lift ticket pieces, but we do think, yes, that obviously some of the other things that we're doing, including Epic Friend tickets and our one-month advance ticket, all of that also we think are good opportunities for this cohort as well. Okay, great. Thank you.
We'll move next to Brant Montour with Barclays. Your line is open.
Great. Thanks, everybody. So, Rob, you described young adults as being a big chunk of the guests. It seems like you're expecting a fair amount of elasticity to come from this program. That would, to us, imply perhaps a mixed shift toward a lower-value guest. Even if it's a higher LTV, it's perhaps a lower-value guest in the medium term. Is that true, right, one? And then two is how should we think about how sensitive the model might be to that shift?
Yeah, I would say by definition, yeah, there are folks, but this would be true for every travel company, I think, which is typically folks in their 20s have less disposable income than folks in their 40s and 50s and 60s. But that doesn't mean that it may be that on a relative basis, That's true, but it doesn't mean that they're not highly value-add to our model and to the business and wanting to be a part of the program and the sport. So, you know, in our minds, we're really not looking at kind of the, you know, yield per guest because in a fixed-cost business, right, there's a lot of flow-through that comes from adding people onto our mountains, and we have some of the largest mountains right in the world. And so for us, we really look at it as, Yeah, you know, how do we make sure that we're optimizing that equation for each age group? And I think as we look at the model going forward, no, we think it's accretive to the model going forward. We don't think it takes away anything. It's certainly true that it's possible that they may spend less on the mountain than other people, but that doesn't mean, again, that in total it's not going to be highly accretive.
across business, it's all incremental, adding those folks to the mountain, but you are limited in throughput for the infrastructure that you have in place, obviously. And so the question would be, you know, if you do get a, you know, a targeted boosting visitation from this program, and let's say, you know, and again, hopefully this doesn't happen, but you go into winter next year and it looks kind of like 21, 22, that obviously had COVID problems, but let's say you have limited acreage, Do you still have structure in place to be able to limit, let's say, non-pass guests or what have you to make sure that you can protect the guest experience for those high-value guests if there is, again, more lower-value units sold going into next year? Hopefully that all makes sense.
Yeah, yeah, but I would say it's really important to highlight that in 21-22, that was not an issue of that we had too many people. It was an issue we didn't have enough employees. And it was an issue of, yeah, that we had so many people out from COVID. It was right in the global labor shortage, and we literally, you know, Christmas was like the peak of that. I would say that while it's true that on any given day, in any given moment on a mountain, you could have lines, But we see that as relatively transitory. And I think when you look across our mountains, yeah, that we do have lots of access capacity. And so, yeah, we view this as highly incremental. And certainly we don't see this as in any way pushing, you know, other guests out. I mean, it's not – we don't see it as a zero-sum game at all. And, by the way, you know, there are other pricing – points in the rest of the vacation that tend to stabilize or balance that out in terms of the price of lodging, right? So if you're at a peak week between Christmas, lodging is very expensive, airfare is very expensive, everything is very expensive. So to the extent you have more price-sensitive guests, they tend to come in other times. And actually, if you look back over the last couple of decades, what you've seen is that the past program and this broadening of people in the program has actually smoothed out the visitation and has not really added to the peak. And so, yeah, we see this as just positive if we can do it successfully and not necessarily taking away from some other part of the revenue opportunity.
Very helpful. Thanks, all.
Thanks.
We'll move next to Chris Waronka with Deutsche Bank. Your line is open.
Hey, good afternoon, guys. Thanks for taking the question. Not to beat the dead horse at this point, but circling back to the Gen Z young adult pricing strategy, is there any concern, or have you done the math on cannibalization of folks who might have walked past anyway? Secondarily to that, do you worry at all that if cost is an issue for some of these younger skiers, that it's more of an all-in cost, right, if they have to get out if they're taking a destination trip and they're going out to Colorado or Whistler Park City, et cetera, that maybe the airlines aren't giving them the same discount or maybe they're not getting the same hotel discount. Is there any thought that this will be enough to get them over the finish line to buy a longer duration pass?
Yeah, so what I'd say is two things. One is, yes, of course, when we're doing any kind of analysis like this, we're looking very closely at, what we think is the cannibalization in terms of, hey, wait, we had a bunch of folks buying this today, and now we're giving them a discount, and so we're going to lose revenue on those folks who are going to buy it anyway, and we have to make up in that with volume elsewhere. But I think it's important to remember that that same dynamic is true in reverse. So ultimately, like when you raise price, you have to realize that some people are not going to keep paying those prices. And you're right that, of course, all of this happens on the margin, so it's not like, you know, there's like a bunch of people who all of a sudden say, oh, you know, we're not going to do it, but it's on the margin, and I think, you know, based on what we've seen historically, that has allowed us to assess, right, you know, what the pricing dynamic is here, so to the extent that we saw people coming out of the program from this cohort but not in other cohorts, and we were taking price up quite a bit over the last four years, yeah, you start to realize that that may have had an impact, and And, yes, it's true that folks, you know, you could say that there are other parts of the vacation that may not have, you know, come down right now, but there are other parts of the vacation that were the same over the last four to five years. So when we're looking at it, you know, I think one of the things that we have learned over the last, you know, couple of decades is that, you know, past pricing in general is quite elastic. Yes, there is a group of people, it's true, that, you know, yes, it doesn't really matter to them in some cases because we've just taken the overall price down for where it was, you know, $1,600 20 years ago and might have been $2,500 today. Yeah, so those people who are at the very top of the income, yes. But actually what we've seen is when we've moved past pricing in the past, we do see volume going up and down. I think one of the things we saw this year with lift tickets was some of that price elasticity as well. That's not a bad thing. You know, I think people feel like, oh, well, if you have price elasticity, does that mean you don't have pricing power? No. I think what we feel is that we just have to – it's constantly optimizing it to make sure that we're setting the right price, which, of course, is what we did way back when, when we introduced the Epic Pass in the first place.
Okay. Yes. Fair enough. Fair points. Thanks, Rob. You know, just as a follow-up, it's kind of another, I guess, customer research question for you, but do you – when you think about reasons – Someone's not taking a ski vacation this year. Obviously, weather is a good reason, but there could be other reasons. Do you look at something like the cruise industry? Do you guys study that and get a lot of information on that? Do you worry that you're losing customers to that industry and maybe not entirely related to the weather when you think about price points and multi-gen family travel, things like that? Thanks.
Yeah, I mean, I think the cruise industry clearly has done well, but when I look at overall visits to ski resorts right last year, actually they were pretty good. One of the better years right on record ever. And so I think that's in the face of the cruise industry being fully back or whatever. And so I don't see that necessarily as Yeah, that people are going out. I think it's really for us more about overall weather is definitely a factor, the overall cost of vacation, people's willingness to ski in general. But I don't know that the cruise industry per se is taking from us. But I do think that our sport has to stay competitive and aggressive. And I think that one of the things that I think the cruise industry does, and we do look at the cruise industry quite a bit, And I would say one of the things they do well is they are really strong marketers with all kinds of different offers to different groups all the time, slicing and dicing their market, their experiences, what they're providing, the cross-sell, up-sell technology. I think we've seen some really strong results there, especially from Royal Caribbean. And I think that's all stuff that I think we can learn from, which I think you're seeing us kind of use in how we're trying to pivot the company right now.
Okay, super helpful. Thanks, Rob. Thanks.
We'll move next to Stephen Grambling with Morgan Stanley. Your line is open.
Hey, thank you. I realize most of the questions have been around pricing, but when we think about what's in your control from a customer experience standpoint, what initiatives are you most excited about, Rob, as we get ahead of next season?
Yeah, I think the thing that I'm most proud about is, yeah, it's just the talent and the staffing that we have, our team members, you know, on the ground at the resorts who I think are doing an incredible job. And I think I've heard that, you know, anecdotally, and it's showing up in the actual results that we're seeing. They make a big difference in the guest experience. And in my mind, You know, that started, I think, as we made investments in, you know, frontline wages back in 2022. And I think we've become much more selective. You know, we're at the top of the funnel in terms of our recruiting and using technology across our HR system to bring people in and then be able to select who we think are best aligned with the values that we have. We're then seeing, right, higher seasonal employee return rates and engagement scores and retention rates. And that's now, we're seeing this now after, you know, kind of three, four years. And all of a sudden, I think it's really coming together. So when I think about next year, I think that's a huge opportunity for us as we go forward. I think the other piece is technology, you know, guest-facing technology, where I think there's really an opportunity with rentals, with the MyEpic app, with the stats that we're providing, with the digitized engagement that we're providing in ski school, by adding commerce onto the app. All of these things are things where we're pretty far out in front in many cases, like mobile pass, where you don't need a Lyft ticket or card on your neck anymore. Your phone acts as that. So it's kind of like we're creating an ecosystem where, yeah, I think that and we're bringing our employees in on the technological ecosystem that we're creating. I don't think we're totally there yet. I think we've got another, yeah, absolutely couple of steps until we're where we want to be, but we're seeing really good, strong results right now. I mean, candidly, in a year like this, yeah, to have record guest satisfaction scores across the system, yeah, highly unusual. You know, and to have guest satisfaction scores up in Colorado and Utah, yeah, you know, and again, Utah, obviously, Park City's up because we had the strike last year, but it's up even when you're looking back over two years. And so in our minds, like, that speaks, when conditions aren't good, usually we see that go down. So the fact that we're seeing it up, you know, we really say, yeah, that is the whole system working well, which, yeah, starts and ends with the folks on the ground who have the connection to our Gov.
Thanks. And Rob, you mentioned the technology side, and I think last quarter you flagged content management system being rolled out as well and kind of alluded to it on this call. But is that fully implemented? And how do you think about the path to offering more personalized, not only pricing, but even some of those experiences and promotions, are there still systems that need to be implemented, or is there an iteration that we should be thinking about over a couple of years?
Yeah, so, no, that new content management system, or CMS, we're putting it in now, so it's in capital year 2026, but it'll be in place for next year for 2026, 2027. And, yeah, that will absolutely allow us much greater access personalization and agility in how we manage that system. Obviously, we're putting new functionality into the app. And so when you combine that, yes, it does allow us to be much more personalized with people. I think there's another couple of steps for us to get to because we ultimately want to get, for next year, we'll have lift tickets and passes, you know, in the commerce in the app. But we ultimately want to have rentals. We ultimately want to have, right now, they're pop-outs where, you know, you can still do it, but it's not the same experience. and obviously ski school. And at that point, we really have an incredibly cohesive guest experience, including kind of an FAQ bot of sorts that we have early stages of now where people can get their questions answered and things like that. So I think next year will be a big step forward, and two years from now really will be in an outstanding spot.
Thank you.
This concludes the Q&A portion of today's call. I would now like to turn the call back over to Rob Katz for closing remarks.
Thank you, Operator. To wrap up, this season reinforced the resilience of our model and the importance of staying focused on what we can control. We remain confident in the long-term outlook and our balance sheet strength, and I again want to thank our frontline teams for their exceptional dedication and execution this season. Thank you all for your interest and for your time.
This concludes today's Vail Resorts Fiscal Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call and Webcast. You may disconnect your line at this time and have a wonderful day.