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spk01: Good day, everyone, and welcome to the Money to Walk second quarter 2022 earnings call. For information, today's call is being recorded. At this time, for opening remarks and introductions, I'd like to turn the call over to Mr. Ion Warner, Vice President, Marketing and Investment Relations. Please go ahead, sir.
spk00: Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the Manitowoc conference call to review the company's second quarter 2022 financial performance and business update as outlined in last evening's press release. Participating on the call today are Aaron Ravenscroft, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Brian Regan, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Today's webcast includes a slide presentation, which can be found in the investor relations section of our website under events and presentations. We will reserve time for questions and answers after our prepared remarks. I would like to request that you limit your questions to one and a follow up and return to the queue to ensure everyone has an opportunity to ask their questions. Please turn to slide two. Please note our safe harbor statement in the material provided for this call. During today's call, forward-looking statements as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 are made based on the company's current assessment of its markets and other factors that affect its business. However, actual results could differ materially from any implied or actual projections due to one or more of the factors among others described in the company's latest SEC filings. The Manitowoc Company does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement whether the result of new information, future events, or other circumstances. And with that, I will now turn the call over to Aaron.
spk12: Thank you, Ion, and good morning, everyone. Please turn to slide three. Our financial results in the second quarter were relatively in line with our expectations. The team made monumental efforts to deliver just shy of $500 million in revenue and over $36 million of adjusted EBITDA. These results reflect the team's hard work to find solutions to our part shortages, implement price increases, and manage costs. I am very proud of our team's mettle in an extremely difficult operating environment. Day-to-day execution in our business remains challenging, and the team continues to face a multitude of logistical and supply chain constraints. I would like to take the opportunity to thank the Manitowoc team for going above and beyond to achieve these results. On the demand front, although markets such as the Middle East are continuing to gain strength, the overall global crane market is clearly slowing. When surveying our customers, there are anecdotal signs that crane activity is strong and rental rates are inching higher. However, inflation and rising interest rates have significantly tempered the momentum that had been building the previous 18 months for new equipment. Price elasticity for new machines has reached an inflection point, but I'll save my detailed comments for my closing statements. As portended in last earnings call, orders softened in the second quarter, reflecting the wait-and-see approach customers are taking as they react to the standoff between inflation and extended lead times. Our backlog remains healthy, although this quarter represents the first decline in two years. Turning to Crain's Plus 50, I'm very pleased with our progress. For the quarter, we grew our aftermarket business by 21% versus the same period a year ago. This growth was mainly driven by the acquisitions of the H&E crane business in Aspen. With the integration phase behind us, we are turning our attention to growing these businesses, which includes proactively engaging key accounts, expanding our service tech population, growing service contracts for crane repairs, and penetrating underserved territories. For example, we are in the process of expanding Aspen into Missouri with a new location in Kansas City. Lastly, before I hand it over to Brian, I would like to highlight our continuous improvement efforts. I'm incredibly proud of how our team continues to lean in the Manitowoc way. Please turn to slide four. I recently visited our facilities in Porto, Portugal, and Niella, Italy. When I first joined Manitowoc, we had two pretty disappointing factories in Porto that were reminiscent of the 1970s. There was virtually no real fixturing for welding. We had a paint booth with a conveyor system that employees had to physically push to operate, and I think every machine that we owned was older than me. Fast forward to today, and we have a world-class factory with dynamic manipulators for fixturing, robotic welding, a new paint system, and a team culture that would make any CEO envious. The organization embodies the Manitowoc way. Additionally, to reduce natural gas consumption, the team recently retrofitted the paint booth and reduced the size of the room that is used to dry parts for just 9,000 euros with an immediate payback. As part of their efforts to reduce their landfill waste, the team found a nearby foundry to repurpose our shop last waste. Again, an immediate payback. And in the fabrication area of the factory, driven by TPM, the team held a SMED Kaizen to machine the cab mast as one assembly rather than two assemblies. This resulted in a 15% reduction in cycle time and the changeover time dropped from 90 minutes to 30 minutes. Finally, as anyone that has visited the factories with me would know, one of my biggest pet peeves on the shop floor is forklifts. Every factory has too many forklifts, and they typically look like they've been through a demolition derby, not to mention they're a potential safety hazard. Not so at our Portugal facility. Our forklifts are 5S'd, TPM controlled and they have a digital safety log system to track who's using them and how they are using them. A big kudos to our team in Porto and a special obrigado to Pedro Ezevedo Vieira. I was equally pleased with our team's work in the Italy. Demand for self-directing cranes has been strong, which has significantly reduced our tech time at the factory. In accordance with Murphy's Law, this is also where we have the most part shortages within the tower crane business. Nevertheless, the team has worked diligently to improve flow throughout the factory to meet the lower tack time. During the August shutdown, the team will move four sub-assembly production lines, and they will add two stations to our main assembly line, advancing their mission to achieve standard work. During my visit, I was most impressed with their prototype data logging system for managing and controlling manual welding machines. Although still in the test phase, by using a low-cost black box and some smart programming, the machines can be automatically put to sleep when they aren't in use. We have more than 50 welding machines on site, so reducing their power consumption has a meaningful cost and environmental impact. In addition to using the same technology, the team has some great concepts for improving welding quality by analyzing wire usage and welding times. A big thank you to the team, and best of luck to Alessandro, Duto, and Diego this month with their line moves. With that, I'll turn the call over to Brian to take us through the financials.
spk03: Thanks, Aaron, and good morning, everyone. Please move to slide five. Our second quarter orders totaled $434 million, a decrease of 19% from a year ago. The year-over-year decrease was driven by lower demand in all of our segments. Additionally, foreign currency impacted orders unfavorable by approximately $23 million. As Aaron mentioned, the global crane market is clearly slowing, which is reflected in our orders for the quarter. Our June 30th backlog was down $86 million sequentially to $948 million and unfavorably impacted by approximately $24 million from changes in foreign currency exchange rates. Backlog remains healthy. However, this was buoyed by delays in our shipments. Net sales in the second quarter of $497 million increased 7% from a year ago. The year-over-year increase was driven by the stronger shippable backlog entering the quarter, primarily in the Americas and URF regions, and incremental sales from our acquisitions. However, revenue continues to be negatively impacted by supply chain constraints, resulting in shipments shifting to the right. We estimate the revenue impact of this to be approximately $40 million. Net sales were also unfavorably impacted by $28 million from changes in foreign currency exchange rates. SG&A expenses increased by approximately $6 million year over year, primarily related to our acquisitions and partially offset by favorable foreign currency exchange rates. Our adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter was $36 million, a decrease of 11% year over year. As a percentage of sales, adjusted EBITDA margin was 7.3%, a decline of approximately 150 basis points over the prior year. This decline was primarily due to the price-cost dynamic discussed in previous calls. Second quarter depreciation and amortization of $17 million increased $7 million compared to the prior year, which was driven again by the acquisitions. Moving to income taxes, on a GAAP basis, we actually had a benefit in the quarter of $7 million due to the release of a tax reserve in the US. On an adjusted basis, our income tax expense was $3 million. As a reminder, we have tax valuation allowances established for certain countries, and therefore losses in those countries are not available to offset income tax expense in profitable jurisdictions. Our gap diluted income per share in the quarter was 42 cents. On an adjusted basis, diluted income per share was 21 cents, a decline of 39 cents from the prior year. Net foreign currency exchange losses contributed 16 cents to the year-over-year decline. Our net working capital year over year increased $92 million primarily due to the acquisitions, increased volume, supply chain disruptions, and inflation. This increase is net of $22 million from favorable changes in foreign currency exchange rates. Moving to cash flow, we broke even on cash from operating activities in the quarter in spite of the working capital challenges. Capital spending was $8 million, of which $3 million was for the rental fleet. As a result, our free cash flow in the quarter was a use of $8 million. During the quarter, we repurchased 150,000 shares for $2 million to offset our share creep. The remaining balance under our authorization is just shy of $9 million. We ended the quarter with a cash balance of $43 million, a decrease of $9 million from last quarter. Total outstanding borrowings under the ABL was $80 million and total liquidity remains strong at $268 million. Looking at the full year, we expect adjusted EBITDA to be at the low end of the guidance range. Additionally, we anticipate interest expense to be higher at approximately $33 million, mainly from the higher interest rate from our ABL borrowing. As it relates to free cash flow, we expect to be breakeven to slightly positive for the year. From a timing standpoint, we estimate working capital will peak in the third quarter and begin to trend down in the fourth quarter. With that, I'll now turn the call back to Aaron.
spk12: Thank you, Brian. Please move to slide six. Roughly 18 months ago, commodity prices, steel in particular, exploded and began the runaway inflation train, which we've been chasing with numerous price increases ever since. Interestingly, commodity prices have finally started to capitulate, However, my concerns for inflation have concurrently shifted to wages, energy prices, and component pricing. The fact is that labor and parts shortages have disrupted the supply and demand equilibrium. When demand outstrips supply, prices go up. And when we look at our list of shortages, you can pretty well match it up with our input cost increases to our components. With respect to energy, particularly in the EU, this apple cart was clearly upset by Russia's aggression towards Ukraine, and there is no predicting when the situation will begin to improve. All of that being said, I am less concerned with inflation than the potential impact price elasticity and FX have on demand. For sure, we haven't seen the end of inflation, but the current nature of inflation is far more manageable than when we had steel prices tripling overnight. Strangely, inflation has become more predictable, which makes it more manageable. Moving to price elasticity, we've implemented price increases in the range of 20% over the last 18 months. The Fed has finally made meaningful increases to interest rates in an attempt to squash inflation. It's unfortunate, however, that the combination of higher prices and higher interest rates makes financing an expensive asset like a crane more difficult. Just consider the math. If you financed 25 100-ton rough-terrain cranes 18 months ago, Today, that same buying power would only get to 18 cranes. It's tough to beat the math. Demand for cranes will be inhibited by this dynamic. The second shoe to drop is FX. While I've been cheering for the interest rate increases to slow inflation, this has also significantly strengthened the dollar, which creates a disadvantage for US manufacturers to compete with imports. Fortunately, we have a few levers to pull given our strong manufacturing base in the EU. Nevertheless, we are closely tracking how some of our foreign competitors are behaving relative to the strong dollar. So far, everyone has been rational. Trade and omics continue to evolve as I anticipated during the first quarter conference call, increasing uncertainty amongst our customers with slowing demand. Looking at the major geographic regions, Europe is my biggest concern. There's simply no way around it. Europe is on edge. Everyone is nervously speculating how the Russian gas situation will evolve. In response, we have accelerated solar panel investments in Portugal and Italy to help mitigate our risks around electricity availability and costs. With respect to the German tower crane market, which is normally the most stable market in our portfolio, it showed some signs of an inflection point during the second quarter. Several factors are delaying construction projects, resulting in intense renegotiations throughout the value chain. Likewise, the French tower crane market is facing its own challenges. Paris has been under construction for the last several years as the city prepares for the 2024 Olympics, which has been great for the tower crane business the last couple of years. Unfortunately, however, projects are beginning to wind down and many top-slowing tower cranes are starting to come off rent. The European mobile crane market is currently rather muted. Despite good utilization and talks of rising rental rates, the market is likely to remain quiet in the coming quarters. Moving to the U.S., the market is filled with conflicting good news and bad news. On one hand, fleet utilization is favorable as usual during the summer months, and there's even chatter about rental rate increases. This, however, will be a slow process. Activity in places like Florida also remains robust. On the other hand, oil patch activity, though improved, is nowhere near the expected levels given the current oil prices. Moreover, residential construction is cooling. As for our dealer inventories, I would describe our channel inventory levels as reasonable. The actual level of inventory at dealers today is on the low end, but this is largely a reflection of supply chain challenges and our related delays to ship backlog. When I overlay open orders with dealer inventory, I believe that our dealers are in good shape for the next six months. As I always say, the crane business is built on confidence. And there is a lot of uncertainty at the moment in the EU and the United States. Looking at some of the other markets, I remain positive on the Middle East, led by Saudi Arabia. The Chinese construction market remains sluggish due to its zero COVID policy and persistent lockdowns. South Korea continues to hold up, and we are beginning to see encouraging activity levels in Southeast Asia. And last but not least, Australia remains in good shape. As I pointed out last quarter, endurance is the name of the game for 2022. Although some of our backlog isn't ideally priced, we have enough to cover the remainder of the year. With the global economy struggling to find its footing, the team at Manitowoc remains laser focused on what we can control, namely continuing to execute on our four breakthrough initiatives while delivering on our Cranes Plus 50 goals. Please move to slide seven. With BAMA just around the corner, I would like to highlight our progress on our breakthrough initiative for all-terrain cranes. Due to the delay of the show, we've launched a few cranes ahead of the big event, but we still have a couple surprises. Last quarter, we began shipping the 5150XL, which is a five-axle crane with an extra long boom, as well as the GMK 6400-1. The 6400 was originally launched in 2011. On paper, it was one of the best cranes that we've ever launched with outstanding lifting power on six axles. Unfortunately, this crane has become infamous for its long list of quality problems rather than its stout lifting capabilities. Since then, we've adopted the Manitowoc way and applied a strict towgate system to our NPD process that ensures successful product launches. In addition to implementing all of our lessons learned from the legacy model, We've incorporated our new MaxBase variable outrigger positioning system for improved load charts, increased speeds on the hydraulic system, and incorporated CCS in the refreshed GMK 6400-1. This crane is the strongest and the most versatile crane in its class, and the initial feedback has been outstanding. During the third quarter, we will begin to ship the GMK 5120L, a light five-axle crane. This model is designed to increase customer productivity for taxi work, improving the rotability of the crane. Heading into VAMA, we have one additional new all-terrain model to unveil, and it will feature our new Grove Connect telematics solution. We look forward to another great reception for this model, and we hope to see you at the show. In closing, the Manitowoc team continues to deal with inflation and supply chain shortages, both of which will persist into 2023. There is, however, a lot of optimism about the long-term outlook. Over the coming years, customers will begin to refresh their aging fleets, many of which are heavily populated with the cranes purchased during the market boom from 2004 to 2008. I expect this pending replacement cycle to be a crane renaissance, a significant multi-year tailwind for our business. While this is inevitable, crane renaissance draws near. Manitowoc will continue to strengthen its product offering and aftermarket focus, fueling our long-term growth and driving shareholder value. With that, operator, please open the lines for questions.
spk01: Thank you very much, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, if you'd like to ask an audio question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. Please also ensure that your mute function is not activated until you see the future equipment. So once again, ladies and gentlemen, please press star 1. Today's first question is coming from Mr. Jamie Cook from Credit Suisse. Please go ahead, sir. Your line is open.
spk04: Hi. Good morning. Good morning, Jamie.
spk01: Hi, Jamie.
spk04: I guess I'm a mister now. But anyway, question. Understanding you guys kept your guidance the same in terms of using the low end of EBITDA. I'm wondering if the puts and takes to get there are different because I guess I was encouraged that You know, the aftermarket business was up 21%. Perhaps you're assuming lower sales with the weakening in orders. And then just what are your expectations now on price costs in the back half of the year if they've changed with the price increases and with, you know, commodity costs coming down to some degree? Thank you.
spk03: Hi, Jamie. So looking at the second half in particular around the price cost, you know, there is still a decent amount of headwind coming from costs. in the back half. We're estimating that the full year is close to 60 million of inflation impact, negatively impacting us. Q2, we did see a better mix, as you mentioned, related to non-new machine sales as well as just the new equipment mix as well. So the 7.3% margin is a bit favorable. And remember, Q3, we have the shutdowns in Europe, which impact our margin as well. So But thinking about the full year, we're still pretty comfortable about the 130 at the low end of the guidance, and there's opportunity there just based on the volume.
spk12: And I'd add, Jamie, commodity prices are down, but the issue we have is energy, particularly in Europe, is up. Components continue to show inflation increasing. And the other thing is a lot of times the steel that comes in is actually fabrications, a lot of fabrications we get from Eastern Europe. So with all the things happening with the Russia Ukraine situation, there's been a fair amount of inflation that we're still battling on that front.
spk04: Okay. And then could you just talk to, um, you know, I guess, Aaron, how do you think about assuming we, you know, we, we are going into a downturn, um, is there any change in the resilience of Manitowoc's earnings given, you know, the focused on, you know, with help from some of the M&A that you've done and the focus on growing the aftermarket business?
spk12: Yeah. I mean, I think the difficulty in answering your question is just, we still sit this crossroads where we're not through all the inflation. If you think about what we've gone through the last 18 months, we had two big waves that we've been battling, but I mean, I mean, my hope is that we get through this issue of getting through, you know, I call it rinsing the backlog that's in there and get to a more normalized basis. But I feel good in terms of our ability to challenge costs. The team's really done a good job of managing it along the way. So, yeah, I think I'm hopeful that we get to, even if it's a predictable inflation, which is what we're seeing now rather than what we saw with the big spike on steel and the big spike on coming out of the Russian invasion. that we get back to a more normalized business. But that's definitely, you know, we're still battling this into the first half of next year, I think.
spk03: Yeah, and the supply chain constraints is keeping it moving to the right. Yeah.
spk04: Okay, thank you. I'll get back to you.
spk01: Thanks, Jamie. Thank you, Ms. Cook. I'm very sorry about that, Ms. Cook. The next question is coming from Stephen Volkman, calling from Jeffries. Please go ahead.
spk11: Morning, Steve. Hi, Steve. Hi. Good morning, guys. Always a pleasure to follow Mr. Cook. And I guess I'm going to just go right off those questions if I could. You know, again, if we are going to have some sort of a downturn in 23, I guess I can see a lot of crosscurrents because my guess is price cost for the year should probably be a little bit better. You should catch up on that. Supply chain probably gets a little bit easier. helps with some productivity issues. Mix might even be a little bit better because of the work you're doing on service. So I guess I'm just trying to figure out, is it even possible in your mind, Aaron, that we could actually have margins sort of flatter up in a modest downturn?
spk12: I think it's too early to predict that. I think the other thing to keep in mind, Steve, is in a normal supply chain situation, we'd be eating through our backlog significantly faster than we are at the moment. So I think that helps soften the challenges that we may see in 23.
spk08: Okay. And then...
spk11: Just sort of on end market demand, are there any areas which are still feeling pretty robust to you? I know you sort of called out Europe on the downside, but anything to call out on the upside?
spk12: Yeah. I mean, Saudi Arabia is going gangbusters right now with all the infrastructure projects they have, particularly the city of Nome and their investments in the Red Sea. So I think that looks great for all the businesses.
spk08: And it's a nice turnaround from where we've been the last six years in Saudi. Great. Thank you. Thanks, Steve.
spk01: Thank you, sir. We'll now go to Tammy Zakaria calling from JP Morgan. Please go ahead. Morning, Tammy.
spk05: Hi, morning. How are you? Thanks for taking my question. So I have a couple of quick ones. The first one, so you said price increases you think have hit an inflection point. So can you remind us what has been the cumulative price increase over the last two years, the math that I'm doing? You said 25 cranes now, 18 cranes cost the same as 25 a few years ago. So that's like a 40% inflation on cranes. Is that math directionally correct?
spk12: Yes. So the math is 100% correct because it incorporates what we've implemented in terms of price increases, but it also incorporates inflation. the financing that we offer through Manitowoc financing. So we know what the interest rate changes have been for folks that are using that. In terms of our overall price increases, we've done somewhere between 15% and 20% over the last 18 months, just depending on what the product line is. So that's sort of looking backwards. And when I look forwards, We've been trying to be restrictive in terms of how long out we'll take an order, and we use provisional pricing to help folks get onto the build schedules, which means their prices will change along with different commodity changes and overall components and all the things that we're seeing. And then even within sort of that six- to nine-month window, we've got some small price increases that we've started to implement for stuff that will be shipped in the first quarter. So I say it's an inflection point because for us, having to endure what we went through with steel 18 months ago. And then with the Russia situation back in February, it's felt like we're constantly chasing to catch up. We're now, hopefully, fingers crossed, we're in a situation where we see the inflation coming a little more, a little better than we did in the last couple of months.
spk05: Got it. So just to clarify, the 40-ish percent is sort of split between actual price increase and the increased financing costs from the customer's perspective? That's correct. Yep. Got it. Got it. And so along the same lines, of that 15% to 20% pricing you took, how much of that is, let's say, raw materials, inflation-driven versus labor-driven versus just demand outpacing supply?
spk12: I would say the majority of it would have been driven by just inputs of raw materials. I think the wages, that's the big challenge that we're going to battle over the next 12 months.
spk03: Yeah, I think wages and then other components, the inflation on other components, whether it be related to energy in Europe or just overall labor inflation is another component.
spk05: Got it. If I can squeeze one more. Sure. Orders were down 19%. I think XFX down 15%. Are you able to quantify how much orders were down by product and by region?
spk03: We generally don't give that level of detail. So, I think if you look at the overall, you know, we mentioned that it was down throughout our regions.
spk12: So, I think... Yeah, all three of the regions that we reported, they were down. So, I mean, we're seeing weakness across the board. The one thing I'd say, Tammy... It's been interesting. I mean, normally every month we have our normal monthly seasonality, and there's ups and downs throughout the years. However, if I look at the last six months, we've been pretty consistent, and I'm including July in sort of that 140, 150 range, which is, well, if I look at 2021, I think our average per month was 181. But ironically, when I look at the charts, it's not normal in our business that it's sort of flat over a six-month period or at least consistent maybe is a better word. You know, there's always ups and downs, and I think it's at least been consistent. I think, you know, I think a lot of that has to do with the fact that the way we've been managing the prices as well.
spk05: Okay, got it. Thank you so much.
spk01: Thanks, Jamie. Thank you, ma'am. When I go to make the break, calling from R.W. Baird. Please go ahead.
spk02: Hey, good morning, guys. It's Joe Grabowski. I'm from MIG this morning. Hey, Joe. How you doing? Doing well. Thanks for taking my question. So the delay in shipments in the second quarter, $40 million, I guess that was slightly worse in first quarter, better than fourth quarter, but pretty constant amount of orders getting moved to the right. Maybe just talk about the supply chain issues and part shortages you saw in the quarter. Are they similar to the issues the prior two quarters, or maybe are the are the headaches kind of moving around a little bit?
spk12: Yeah, the headaches continue to move. I would actually argue that the supply chain situation was worse during this quarter than the past two quarters. So if I look at it by a line item standpoint, yeah. So it's definitely not getting better.
spk03: Yeah, and the $40 million missing revenue is based on our re-forecast. So there was already an expectation that something, you know, the billable revenue sorry, the shippable backlog, some of it was already moving to the right. So the $40 million is really based on what our expectations were going into the quarter.
spk02: Got it. Okay. Thanks for that, Collar. And I guess my follow-up question, when you kind of talked about different end markets, you didn't really mention infrastructure. U.S. infrastructure were nine months past the signing of the infrastructure bill. Have you heard any discussions about some infrastructure projects that are going to start to gain traction, and then maybe on top of that, there's been some talk, I think Caterpillar mentioned it this week, about maybe an infrastructure program in Europe. Are you hearing anything about that?
spk12: Yeah, I mean, there's lots of discussions out there, and the engineering houses always have lots of projects to review, but nothing is starting to break loose, so it's still, I'd say, too early to make any significant comments around. With respect to Europe, you know, they had some different programs that they ran 12, 18 months, 24 months relative to depreciation rates and taxes. But again, we're not really seeing anything clearly in terms of infrastructure projects from some sort of stimulus program yet.
spk02: Got it. Okay. Thanks, guys. Thanks for taking my questions.
spk12: Thanks, Joe.
spk01: Thanks, Joe. We'll now go to Seth Weber calling from Wells Fargo Securities. Please go ahead.
spk10: Hey, guys. Good morning. Hey, good morning. Thanks for taking the question. I wanted to ask on the 20% growth in the non-new sales, can you just break out how much of that is organic, backing up the acquisitions, and then how much of that is from used crane sales? I'm just trying to get a sense for you know, underlying parks and service revenue, traditional kind of aftermarket revenue growth. Thanks.
spk12: Yeah, it's primarily driven from the acquisitions, and we don't break out the different components of that number.
spk08: Okay. All right.
spk10: And can you just comment on your CapEx expectation for the year? Sorry if I missed it, but I think previously it was $85 million, and that included... $25 million for the European Tower business. Are you continuing to go forward with that $25 million number and just maybe just talk about your CapEx expectation for the year? Thanks.
spk03: Yeah, right now we're thinking about $65 million of CapEx, but we can flex that based on how the year goes. plays out relative to cash. As I mentioned, from a free cash flow standpoint, I think we're going to be flat to slightly positive for the year. So the 65 is really what we're currently targeting. Of that, about 20 to 25 million relates to the rental fleet.
spk10: Okay, thank you. And then just maybe if I could squeeze one last one in. Are you actually seeing cancellations of Or is it just the new orders aren't coming in at this point?
spk12: Yeah, there's nothing material. It's all new orders coming in.
spk09: Okay. All right, guys. I appreciate it. Thank you. Thanks, Seth. Thanks, Seth.
spk01: We'll now go to Stephen Fisher calling from UBS. Please go ahead, sir. Hi, Stephen.
spk08: Steve.
spk07: Regarding your European concerns, to what extent do you separate the demand concerns from energy costs of your own manufacturing? And how much of your energy bill can you mitigate with solar investments?
spk12: So first, the demand is just, it's not driven necessarily by our ability to produce. It's driven just by the concerns that folks have for just the impacts of And there's been a lot of stories out there in Germany right now they're trying to preserve everyone showering in cold showers because they're trying to preserve energy for the winter that's coming. So I think that's the sort of thing that's driving everyone to be cautious. In terms of the solar panels, we continue to move a couple of those projects forward, particularly in Portugal and in Italy where it's a struggle to lock down pricing. But it's not enough to offset the overall impact because it's not just electricity, it's also energy. It's also the gas. We use a lot of gas in our paint booths.
spk09: Okay.
spk07: And then maybe just to follow up on the earlier question about the U.S. market, I appreciate that there's some cross-currents in the U.S. at the moment, and maybe you're not seeing the infrastructure yet, but why isn't the outlook that we have for There's a lot of big industrial projects going on right now that are just getting started. And, you know, clearly there's all the infrastructure funding. Why isn't that enough to make the U.S. crane market kind of more of a having more of a confident growth path?
spk12: Yeah, I think some of that is just we had low utilization of cranes. So at the moment, everyone's just getting their existing fleets utilized. It's not above and beyond this really start to drive demand. So I think there's sort of two elements there. It's actual crane usage on the front end, which from all my conversations with folks, utilization is pretty good and rates are inching up and things are moving in the right direction. But everyone's pretty cautious relative to price increases and lead times and interest rates to how they're going to actually grow their fleets. So that's where we see the concern.
spk07: Okay. Very good. Thanks a lot. Thanks, Steve. Thank you, sir.
spk01: We'll now move to Timothy Tain calling from Citigroup. Please go ahead.
spk13: Thanks. Good morning. First question is a bit kind of longer term, a question on the cycle. And, you know, you alluded to earlier that you've got this, you know, all the assets that eventually will need to be replaced from the big big years in the early 2000s when we had that kind of the commodity super cycle. It's obviously a totally different business, but a lot of the mining equipment companies have kind of been banking on that same dynamic playing out just based on the historical patterns or rules of thumb in terms of when their customers would replace their assets. But you know, it's kind of lagged expectations, not kind of, it has lagged expectations just because the miners have found various ways to kind of extend their trade cycles. I'm curious, I presume a similar dynamic may be employed by your customers, maybe not. What are you seeing in terms of, you know, has there been a push out of historically they've replaced them on years X and now it's
spk12: x plus um but just just how reliable is that i guess the root of the question how reliable is that that kind of that age component yeah i speak anecdotally and not with i'd say specifics but for sure i mean if you just look at our t cranes the quality of our t cranes today versus where they would have been say 2005 is it's drastically different when we review warranty. I mean, all these new products that we launched, we compare ourselves to the former models and competition, and then there's significant improvement. So I think that's the sort of thing that allows folks to continue to push out and manage the business a little bit. I think the other side of it is when you look at the crane business, like on crawler cranes, you got an asset that'll last 30 years. So do I push it one year or two year? That's very doable for those sorts of cranes.
spk09: Yeah. Yeah. Okay.
spk13: And then, you know, going back to the point about the inflation on the new side, just as you've had that, you know, that dynamic, as you've had just slower and less output from your factories, presumably those dynamics are helping to support used prices and such, you know, as from a trade differential standpoint, maybe there's been some help, but I don't know, maybe I'm wrong on that. Maybe just comment on just the overall used market and is that providing any cushion in terms of, yes, the new stuff's going up, but it's also being, it's helping to pull up used.
spk12: Yeah, I mean, I think it just depends on the models, quite frankly. I mean, there's certain models that for sure that it's helped with and, you know, it's not unlike the automotive industry where there's certain models that folks need and they're willing to pay more because they can't get their hands on a new machine. But, yeah, I think it's this balancing act. There are certain older models that are, I don't want to say that they're just obsolete for, you know, the top class work that you see out there. And those just don't get the values that you would think they would, where there's some other frames out there that there is a need for, and they do.
spk13: Got it. All right. Thanks a lot.
spk09: Thank you. Thanks.
spk01: Thank you, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, once again, if you have questions, please press star one. We'll now go to Larry Demaria calling from William Blair. Please go ahead. Morning, Larry. Hey, guys.
spk14: Good morning, everybody. I'll just stand on that same line there. I'm curious, this EU weakness, does it imply that residual values and huge pricing risk and kind of wondering if that's the next shoe to drop and how that's going to implicate pricing? Because really, I guess the spirit of the question is, I'm trying to get at what your view of pricing next year and if it's going to inflect negatively with lower materials, lower demand, opening supply change, and lower residual value. So just kind of, I know you don't have guidance, but just high-level thoughts on the idea that new equipment pricing will inflect negatively in part because of potentially residual value weakness.
spk12: No, I don't think that. I don't see prices going down. I don't see residual values going down. I think folks are just smartly managing through the current scenario when they're concerned about what may happen in the next six or 12 months with this Russia-Ukraine situation and gas. And all the utilization rates are good. I hear probably more progress in Europe on increases in rental rates than I do in the US. And I don't think that there's risk to residual values, at least not in the foreseeable future.
spk14: And therefore, also, you don't see a big risk in negative pricing for new equipment?
spk12: No. I don't see. I don't see. I mean, we still have a lot of inflation, even when you look at wages. I mean, we have our normal cycle in the first quarter. I would say the negotiations we had in the first quarter were still not representative of the situation, if you think about it, because the negotiations happened at the same time in February, March. But now when you start, I mean, petro for a gallon of petro in Europe is $9.50 a gallon. So it's those things and the food that's going to start driving wages.
spk14: Right. Okay. And then if I could also just follow up on the infrastructure bill. Obviously, as has been mentioned, of course, current's out there. This has to be a potential upside, you know, maybe not now, but next year. Have you guys looked at, you know, the bill, the amount of activity that's going to come over the next few years And think about a bottomed up approach to what demand might look like, because I have to think it's going to be a fairly nice tailwind. But, you know, it sounds like there's a lot of doom and gloom out there, too.
spk12: Yeah, I mean, I think we're optimistic about it. That's why we think there's a crane renaissance between that and just the normal replacement cycle that should all work to our favor. And I'll be honest with you, Larry, the thing that I don't understand, and we see a lot of discussions more on the electrical side and building out. network in terms of getting all this electricity where it's going to be used, but there's still an issue around production because solar and wind is never going to produce the amount of electricity is actually required if the country is going to make the change that the politicians are talking about. I know nobody's talking about nuclear, but at some point someone's going to have to have a serious conversation about how they produce significantly more. I mean, the utility companies can produce 10% more and you can use solar and wind to help a little bit, but At some point, you're going to have to do something to significantly increase the amount of electricity in the United States. So that would be huge for the crane business, quite frankly. But I think as we get into this and folks really start to understand the math behind how much electricity it takes to charge Class A trucks, you're going to realize that we've got a huge shortage in the United States over the next 20 years. So I think all that is good news for the crane business. It's early. It's a long process. It's only been a couple months since the infrastructure bill was signed. Everyone's thinking about the midterm election, so I think there's enough distractions out there to really see it catch on yet.
spk14: All right, fair enough, and thanks for the call. Good luck. Thanks, sir. Thank you.
spk01: Second one, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, as a final reminder, if you have any questions, please do press star 1 at this time. As we do not appear to have any further questions, I turn the call back over to Mr. Warner for any additional or closing remarks. Thank you.
spk00: Thank you. Before we conclude today's call, please note that a replay of our second quarter 2022 conference call will be available later this morning by accessing the investor relations section of our website at www.manitowoc.com. Thank you, everyone, for joining us today and for your continuing interest in the Manitowoc Company.
spk09: We look forward to speaking with you again next quarter.
spk01: Thank you very much, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, that will conclude today's conference. We thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect. Have a good day and goodbye.
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