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spk03: Welcome to MassTech's third quarter 2022 earnings conference call, initially broadcast on Friday, November 4th, 2022. Let me remind participants that today's call is being recorded. At this time, I'd like to turn the call over to our host, Mark Lewis, MassTech's Vice President of Investor Relations. Mark?
spk12: Thanks, Elena, and good morning, everyone. Welcome to MassTech's third quarter call. The following statement is made pursuant to the safe harbor for forward-looking statements described in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These communications, we may make certain statements that are forward-looking, such as statements regarding MOSFET's future results, plans, and anticipated trends in the industries where we operate. These forward-looking statements are the company's expectations on the day of the initial broadcast of this conference call, and the company does not undertake to update these expectations based on subsequent events or knowledge. Various risks, uncertainties, and assumptions are detailed in our press releases and filings with the SEC. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should any of our underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may differ significantly from results expressed or implied in today's call. In today's remarks about management, we'll be discussing adjusted financial metrics, reconciling yesterday's press release, and supporting schedules. In addition, we may use certain non-GAAP financial measures in this call. A reconciliation of any non-GAAP financial measures not reconciled in these comments to the most comparable GAAP financial measure can be found in our earnings press release. With us today, we have Jose Mas, our CEO, and George Pita, our Executive Vice President and CFO. The format of the call will be opening remarks and analysis by Jose, followed by a financial review from George. These discussions will be followed by a Q&A period, and we expect the call to last about 60 minutes. We have another good quarter and a lot of important things to talk about today, so I'll turn the call over to Jose so we can get going. Jose?
spk11: Thanks, Mark. Good morning, and welcome to MOSTECH's 2022 third quarter call. Today, I'll be reviewing our third quarter results, as well as providing my outlook for the markets we serve. I'd like to thank you for joining us today, and before getting into the quarterly details, I'd like to offer my perspective on where I think MOSTECH stands today. Just two short years ago on MOSTEC's 2020 third quarter call, we laid out a long-term goal of achieving annual revenue of $10 billion plus. It's important to remember, at that time, MOSTEC was on pace to generate just over $6 billion of revenue in 2020, with 28% of that coming from our oil and gas business. Still somewhat unsure of where the COVID pandemic would take us, we had seen a significant impact to our oil and gas business and the demand outlook for pipeline projects entering 2021. Our ability to provide our $10 billion outlook was dependent on the strength we were seeing across our non-oil and gas businesses and our ability to expand our footprint and capabilities to capitalize on those markets. Considering 56% of our operational EBITDA in 2020 came from oil and gas, the growth of these other markets needed to happen not only quickly, but profitably. As a result, we focused heavily on growing our communications, power delivery, and clean energy businesses. Combined with investing heavily in growing our resources and capabilities organically, we made a number of acquisitions that have effectively transformed Maastricht into a leader in the energy space. With the acquisitions of Intran and Henkels & McCoy in 2021, And with the recent addition of IEA, we've positioned ourselves at the forefront of markets that have significant demand and growth opportunities. While we faced a number of challenges during this transformation, I truly believe that our third quarter results begin to show the potential of MOSTEC's long-term earnings power. I'd like to highlight some key financial accomplishments during the quarter. We now expect revenue to approach $9.7 billion in 2022, a 22% year-over-year increase, and are confident 2023 revenues will approach or exceed $13 billion, far exceeding our ambitious $10 billion goal set just two years ago. Our non-oil and gas segment revenues were up 38% year-over-year and represented 85% of revenue and 80% of operational EBITDA for the third quarter, significantly diversifying both our revenue and earnings mix. Our non-oil and gas segments achieved double-digit EBITDA margins, improving 250 basis points year over year and 370 basis points sequentially. Communication and power delivery EBITDA margins both exceeded 12%. While clean energy and infrastructure EBITDA margins were below our expectations, they did improve 170 basis points year over year and 550 basis points sequentially. And finally, backlog, not including IEA, is at record levels, and our second to third quarter backlog increased sequentially for the first time since 2018. In summary, while the quarter was not perfect, and quite frankly, we could have and should have done better, I do believe it properly reflects the cadence of improvements we had previously laid out. More importantly, we expect our non-oil and gas segments to perform very well in the fourth quarter and are very confident we will deliver solid fourth quarter improvements in our clean energy and infrastructure segment. Embedded in our results, we continue to make significant investments in growth. Demand for our services is incredibly high. and our prospects to deliver long-term revenue and earnings growth are, I believe, better than at any time in our history. I'd also like to take this opportunity to welcome the IEA team members to the MOSTEC family. The transaction, which is the largest in MOSTEC's history, closed a few weeks ago, and we look forward to playing a critical role in our country's energy transition. I'd like to highlight key points that I believe make this an excellent strategic fit for MOSTEC. First, it continues to grow our presence in the energy market and enhances our ESG profile in what we believe is an ongoing energy transformation related to both power generation and delivery as the country transitions to a carbon-neutral economy. Second, IEA's roots are those of a union renewable contractor. While Mostek had been an exclusively non-union renewables construction company, this transaction expands our renewable business into union markets. More importantly, it allows us to cross-sell complementary service to these same customers with the investments we made last year in growing our union transmission and distribution presence. Third, IEA adds nearly 6,000 team members in a market where skilled labor to serve a growing market is so scarce. In a challenging procurement and labor market, this added scale gives us the ability to more efficiently serve our customers with consistency at scale. Fourth, IEA is led by an excellent management team with deep generational roots in the business and a strong family-type culture with an emphasis on safety. Our cultures are similar and complementary. We believe with Maastricht's support, there are great opportunities for future growth and margin improvement. And fifth, IEA's civil and infrastructure business combined with Maastricht's civil and infrastructure business creates an improved competitor of size and added scale in yet another market that's undergoing strong growth with the benefit investments from the infrastructure bill. It's also important to note that we announced MOSFET's intention to acquire IEA on July 25th, and just two days later, on July 27th, the Inflation Reduction Act was announced. This piece of legislation contains nearly $370 billion in incentives that will directly impact the markets that MOSTEC serves. The acquisition of IEA significantly enhances the number of opportunities available to MOSTEC as a result of the Inflation Reduction Act. Now I'd like to cover some industry specifics. Our communications revenue for the quarter was $889 million, a 33% year-over-year increase, and we expect full-year revenues to grow by over 25%. EBITDA margins in this segment was 12.4%, 170 basis point improvement year over year, and a 200 basis point improvement sequentially. It's good to finally see the impact of the infrastructure growth associated with both 5G and the Rural Digital Opportunity Fund finally start to show up in our financials. Our growth in the quarter was driven by year over year growth of 33% with AT&T, 21% with Comcast, 50% with T-Mobile, 42% with Verizon, and strong increases with the number of RDoF-funded customers. In addition to the significant demand related to fiber opportunities, the 5G revolution continues to transform the communications ecosystem, requiring networks to be upgraded and expanded to meet the ever-increasing demand for data and Internet usage. Not only must new equipment be added to existing cell towers, millions of new small and micro cells must also be built and connected, including fiber and power. All of these new points of presence not only need to be built, but they will require ongoing maintenance and service, creating a significant long-term maintenance opportunity. Moving to our power delivery segment, revenue was $688 million versus $365 million in last year's third quarter. margins were up 460 basis points sequentially, and our outlook remained strong. We are in the midst of an energy transition in the United States, and our customers' focus on reliability, hardening, renewable connectivity, and meeting the challenges of providing power to customers for electric vehicle charging demand usage are transforming the grid. We believe the scale we have been able to achieve, along with our history of performance and safety, uniquely position us to play a significant role in helping meet the needs of utilities and energy developers. Moving to our clean energy and infrastructure segment, revenue was $563 million for the third quarter. Results for this segment do not include IEA, although a partial quarter for IEA will be included in our fourth quarter results. Backlog in this segment was at record levels and also did not include IEA backlog, which will be added in the fourth quarter. Despite the challenges we face this year in the renewable energy market with the Commerce Department solar panel investigation, demand is incredibly strong heading into 2023. We expect activity to further increase as the Inflation Reduction Act benefits begin to impact our business in the second half of 2023. We are in the very early innings of a dynamic market that will offer us tremendous opportunities for growth. We look forward, with a combination of IEA, to providing our customers with solutions at scale. The acquisition has been very well received by both existing and new customers and we believe that our cross-selling opportunities uniquely position us in this segment. Moving to our oil and gas segment, revenue was $376 million versus $858 million last year. Margins remained solid despite the significant revenue drop. Backlog was up year-over-year and sequentially. Last quarter, we announced our largest award in over three years. We have seen a significant uptick in project activity for 2023, 2024, and 2025 and expect backlog to materially build by year-end. We expect significant growth in this segment in 2023 with or without the completion of the Mountain Valley Pipeline. To recap, I'm incredibly proud of how we've transformed and transitioned Mostek over the last two years. I truly believe this quarter offers a glimpse of our potential as a company. Today, we enjoy a significant presence in some of the most resilient growth markets in our economy. We are honored to work with our customers supporting the need for bandwidth and communications and helping our energy customers as we transition to our carbon neutral economy. I'd like to take this opportunity to thank the men and women of MOSTEC for their performance and hard work. I'm honored and privileged to lead such a great group. The men and women of MOSTEC are committed to the values of safety, environmental stewardship, integrity, honesty, and in providing our customers a great quality project at the best value. These traits have been recognized by our customers, and it's because of our people's great work that we've been able to deliver these financial results in a challenging environment and position ourselves for continued growth and success. I will now turn the call over to George for our financial review. George?
spk13: Thanks, Jose, and good morning, everyone. financial results, and provide additional color on our guidance expectation for the balance of the year, which now includes partial quarter operations for the IEA acquisition completed in early October. As Mark indicated at the beginning of the call, our discussion of financial results and guidance will include non-GAAP adjusted earnings and adjusted EBITDA. Reconciliations and details of non-GAAP measures can be found on our press release, our website, or our SEC filings. Third quarter results were generally in line with our guidance expectation with revenue at $2.5 billion and with a slight beat in adjusted EBITDA at $246 million. Third quarter adjusted diluted earnings were $1.34 per share compared to our expectation of $1.29 per share, and this was driven by about one cent per share beat in adjusted EBITDA with the balance due to lower income tax expense in the quarter resulting from tax true-ups partially offset by higher interest costs. Third quarter consolidated adjusted EBITDA margin rate showed a 200 basis point improvement over second quarter levels and approached 10% of revenue. Importantly, this performance level was achieved despite an approximate $500 million year-over-year decline in oil and gas segment revenue. In summary, third quarter performance was driven by approximately $600 million of year-over-year non-oil and gas segment revenue growth and with strong adjusted EBITDA margin rate performance of 10.2% of revenue. While we feel we can further improve on these results in the future, this performance begins to demonstrate the potential of MOSTECH's future earnings profile driven primarily by expanded and improved non-oil and gas segment operations. Third quarter revenue growth in non-oil and gas segment operations was driven by approximately $300 million or 88% in our power delivery segment, approximately $200 million or 33% in our communications segment, and approximately $50 million or 9% in our clean energy and infrastructure segment or clean energy. We continue to expect strong revenue growth in these areas in the future and this belief is supported by record third quarter backlog levels for all our non-oil and gas segments. During the third quarter, we substantially completed our integration efforts for the Henkels & McCoy acquisition and incurred initial acquisition-related expenses for the IEA acquisition completed in October. During the third quarter, despite the working capital requirements associated with a sequential revenue increase of over $200 million, We generated $118 million in cash flow from operations, and our net debt level was unchanged. We continue to expect strong cash flow from operations during the fourth quarter, as legacy operations seasonality and project timing typically utilize lower levels of working capital during the fourth quarter. We remain committed to maintaining a strong balance sheet supportive of our investment-grade rating and expect that the combination of improved 2023 adjusted EBITDA performance and moderated levels of 2023 capital expenditures and strategic investments will reduce overall net debt levels and significantly improve our leverage metrics in 2023. We have ample liquidity of approximately $950 million at the end of the third quarter, and this level was not impacted with the fourth quarter IEA acquisition. In summary, While 2022 has had its challenges, we are encouraged by our third quarter results and strongly believe that we are well positioned for long-term growth opportunities in both revenue and operating margin expansion. Now we'll cover some detail regarding our segment results and expectations. Third quarter communications segment revenue was $889 million, a 33% increase when compared to the same period last year. and 8% sequential growth when compared to the second quarter, reflecting expanded wireless wireline services as telecommunications partners accelerate the deployment of spectrum and fiber for transformational 5G network enhancement. Third quarter communications segment adjusted EBITDA margin rate was 12.4%, a 200 basis point improvement over second quarter levels, primarily due to overhead leverage from increased wireless revenue levels and improved wireline results as new RDOF wireline markets transition from startup mode to operations mode. Based on normal year and seasonality, we expect fourth quarter communications segment revenue to moderate from third quarter levels and slightly exceed $800 million, with adjusted EBITDA margin rate approximating last year's fourth quarter. This equates to a continued expectation that annual 2022 communication segment revenue will approximate $3.2 billion, and annual 2022 adjusted EBITDA margin rate will be in the low to mid 10% range. If you do the math, you will note that our annual 2022 expectation includes strong and accelerating second half 2022 trends, which we believe will continue into 2023 giving a significant near-term growth opportunity in this segment. Third quarter clean energy segment revenue was $563 million, a 9% increase when compared to the same period last year. Third quarter adjusted EBITDA margin rate was 4.4% of revenue, up 170 basis points from a year ago, and a 550 basis point sequential improvement compared to the second quarter. While performance improved, third quarter adjusted EBITDA margin rate performance in this segment was still negatively impacted by select industrial projects discussed during the second quarter call. As we look forward with fourth quarter 2022 clean energy segment results, we'll include partial quarter operations of IEA, which we estimate will add approximately $500 million in revenue at a mid-single-digit adjusted EBITDA margin rate. Inclusive of IEA, we expect fourth quarter clean energy segment revenue to approach $1.1 billion at a mid to high single digit adjusted EBITDA margin rate that exceeds last year's fourth quarter level. And this represents the highest clean energy segment quarterly adjusted EBITDA margin rate performance in over two years. This equates to an annual 2022 clean energy segment revenue expectation of approximately $2.6 billion. with an annual adjusted EBITDA margin rate expectation in the mid-4% range. As we have previously stated, the combination of IEA and MOSTECH scale, capacity and resources, coupled with lower levels of solar panel supply chain disruptions and increased levels of governmental funding support for our customers from the recently enacted Inflation Reduction Act, are expected to accelerate renewable power energy transition and civil projectivity for years to come. Accordingly, we expect that this segment can approximate $5 billion in revenue in 2023, with an improved annual adjusted EBITDA margin rate performance in the mid to high single-digit range. Third quarter power delivery segment revenue was $666 million, an 88% increase when compared to the same period last year, and a 6% sequential growth when compared to the second quarter. During the quarter, we substantially completed integration efforts for the Henkels & McCoy acquisition. Adjusted EBITDA margin rate was 12.1% of revenue, a 260 basis point improvement over last year's third quarter, and a 460 basis point improvement sequentially from the second quarter. Within the third quarter performance for the power delivery segment, our electrical and gas distribution services continued to perform well And we had strong sequential improvement in our legacy transmission operations, driven by the non-recurrence of second quarter project startup delays and project closeout costs. Looking forward, we expect fourth quarter power delivery segment revenue will approximate $700 million, with adjusted EBITDA margin rate in the high single digit range. This equates to an annual 2022 power delivery segment revenue expectation of approximately $2.7 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA margin rate in the mid-9% range. Third quarter oil and gas segment revenue was $376 million, and adjusted EBITDA margin rate was 13.4% of revenue. As expected, this represented a significant revenue and adjusted EBITDA quarterly decline when compared to last year, and that has been largely offset during the third quarter by non-oil and gas segment operations. We anticipate that fourth quarter oil and gas segment revenue and adjusted EBITDA margin rate levels will decline from third quarter levels as lower overhead absorption impacts a seasonally slow quarter. This equates to an annual 2022 oil and gas segment view of approximately $1.2 billion in revenue with adjusted EBITDA margin rate in the mid to high 13% range. As Jose mentioned, we have strong visibility into higher levels of bidding and awards for 2023 pipeline services and believe that the oil and gas segment will show sizable growth in 2023. This expectation is not dependent on a restart of construction activities for the MVP pipeline, which continues to be delayed due to permitting and judicial actions. Third quarter adjusted corporate segment net costs were approximately $29 billion, or 115 basis points, of consolidated third quarter revenue, and we expect a similar cost level in the fourth quarter. Turning to our business mix, based on the strategic diversification of our revenue stream, during the third quarter, no customer represented more than 10% of our total revenue. Third quarter 2022 revenue derived from master service agreements reached 52% of our total revenue compared to 37% for the same period last year, a significant increase. And this is primarily derived from recurring utility services spend greatly increasing the repeatable nature of our revenue profile. As of September 30th, 22, we had a record total backlog of approximately $11.2 billion, sequentially up approximately $220 million, and up approximately $2.7 billion when compared to the same period last year. It should be noted that we closed the IEA acquisition on October 7th, and thus no IEA amounts are included in our record third quarter backlog levels. Importantly, September 30th, 2022 backlog represented record third quarter levels across all non-oil and gas segments, demonstrating the end market revenue shift that is occurring in our operations. That said, as we've indicated for years, backlog can be lumpy as large contracts burn off each quarter and new large contract awards only come into backlog at a single point in time as a result of actual contract signings. Now I will discuss our cash flow, liquidity, working capital usage, and capital investments. During the third quarter, despite the working capital requirements associated with a sequential revenue increase of over $200 million, we generated $118 million in cash flow from operations and our net debt level was unchanged. We continue to expect strong cash flow from operations during the fourth quarter as legacy operations seasonality and project timing typically utilize lower levels of working capital. This equates to an annual 2022 cash flow from operations expectation in the low to mid $500 million range. Including approximately $1 billion in issued and assumed debt during the fourth quarter from the IEA acquisition, we expect year-end net debt levels will approximate $2.8 billion. Based on the combination of the IEA acquisition debt and higher levels of floating interest rates, we have updated our fourth quarter interest expense estimate. We remain committed to maintaining a strong balance sheet supportive of our investment grade rating and expect that the combination of improved 2023 adjusted EBITDA performance and continued moderated levels of 2023 capital expenditures and strategic investments will reduce overall net debt levels and significantly improve our leverage metrics. We have ample liquidity of approximately $950 million at the end of the third quarter, and this level was not impacted by the fourth quarter IEA acquisition. With regard to our working capital profile during the third quarter, VSOs were 89 days compared to 88 days at the end of the second quarter. As we look forward, we anticipate that year-end 2022 DSOs will slightly improve to the mid-80s range. As discussed during our second quarter earnings call, we accelerated capital expenditure purchases during the first half of 2022 as we ensured delivery of supply chain constrained equipment. During the third quarter, we moderated our level of capital expenditures with only $23 million in gross cash capex which was fully offset by CapEx disposals. We anticipate a continuation of a moderated capital expenditure program during the fourth quarter as we focus on deleveraging. In summary, our long-term capital structure is solid with ample liquidity, and we continue to be committed to our investment-grade rating. We are mindful that the IEA acquisition will impact near-term leverage ratios, and we have communicated our plan to normalize our post-transaction leverage profile during 2023 with credit rating agencies who have maintained our investment grade rating. Moving to our recently updated 2022 guidance, inclusive of the partial quarter results of the IE acquisition, we expect fourth quarter revenue of $2.9 billion, with adjusted EBITDA of $257 million, or 8.8% of revenue, and adjusted diluted earnings of $1 per share. This equates to an annual 2022 expectation of approximately $9.7 billion in revenue with adjusted EBITDA approximating $780 million and adjusted net income of $232 million with adjusted diluted earnings per share at $3.02. This concludes our prepared remarks and we'll now turn the call back to the operator for Q&A. Operator?
spk03: Thank you. If you would like to ask a question at this time, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. That's star 1 to ask a question, and we ask you to limit your questions to 1 with a related follow-up. And our first question comes from Justin Hogg in Robert, W. Hi.
spk16: Good morning, everyone. And nice to see the non-oil and gas contribution coming through on their end results. So I guess I had a few questions just thinking about the debt structure and kind of the interest rate for next year. I guess maybe two questions that I would put in that would be first on the two tranches of debt that you have now with the not getting it fully redeemed from the IEA bondholders. Just, you know, what costs do you have to carry that next year? And is there any expectation of being able to refinance those? And then I guess the second question is that the $45 million of interest that you're assuming in 4Q, is that a good run rate to think about quarterly for next year, kind of fully baked in?
spk13: Thanks, Josh. And this is George. I'll take that. I'll take your second part first. In terms of the $45 million run rate, I would say this. I mean, we talked about that we expect to delever in 2023. So I would think 45 is more of a high mark in terms of an expectation, as we would expect to delever during 2023. That said, it's hard to predict how interest rates would change over the course of time into 2023. So the combination of factors, those are two factors to consider in terms of of modeling going forward. If you look at our capital structure today at the end of Q4, we'll have about 45% of our capital structure on a floating rate basis, and obviously that's costing us more than it did a year ago as that's moved. We have ultimate flexibility in our capital structure. Even the additions that we did with IEA and the term loans are prepayable, and we're constantly looking at monitoring what is the best mix of capital of our future capital structure going forward. That said, relative to the IEA bonds, we have assumed all 300 million of those bonds as we close the transaction here on October 7th. Per the terms of the indenture, it did not trigger a change of control put option, and at this point, 75 million of those amounts have been converted into MOSTEC notes as a result of our exchange offer, and that puts them at terms consistent with our existing bonds. The remaining $225 million that's out there remains debt of IEA. Both tranches are now rated investment grade. And at this point, the IEA bonds coupon rate is comparable to what a new issue rate might be relative to pricing, and therefore we intend to keep these bonds in place. Okay. Okay, that's helpful.
spk16: I guess the second question I had was just, Previously, you guys had given an EBIT guidance, I guess, or at least a framework of $1.17 billion for 2023. And I just was curious if there's been any change in that outlook. It sounded like the revenue outlook that you gave us is unchanged.
spk11: Nothing's really changed. So we talked about $13 billion in revenue for next year. I think that that's becoming more and more clear. Obviously, the market is supportive of that. You know, we laid out the margin profile that early. I still think it's very attainable. I think we've laid out one 150 to one two, and I think somewhere in that range, while we're not providing guidance for 23 yet, because there's a lot of work to do, I think that's reasonable.
spk04: Thank you very much. Thanks, Justin.
spk03: Thank you. Next question comes from Alex Weigel in the Riley. Please go ahead.
spk15: Good morning, Jose. Nice quarter here.
spk12: Thank you.
spk15: Jose, a couple quick questions. First, obviously with the macro concerns of an economic slowdown in front of us, how do you think your business may be affected by that understanding that some of your activities are kind of in the last mile, but yet there's a lot of government funding out there and other stimulus measures activities out there that are driving the clean energy marketplace. So just broadly speaking, how do you think a mild recession is going to affect your business?
spk11: So first, I think we have an incredibly resilient portfolio, and I think you laid out some of it. But if you think about telecom, so much government funding has gone into RDOF. There's no question about the need for bandwidth and speed. 5G is here. 5G is is being pushed. Fiber activity is probably at the highest levels that I've ever seen in my career and actually significantly expanding as we look into 23 and beyond. I think the truth is there's more work there than we can currently do, so we're aggressively trying to grow into that as fast as we can. When you think about our energy market and the conversion to renewables, I think that's going to be unaffected When you think about the hardening of the grid that's been approved by so many public services across the country, I think that's unaffected. When you think about transmission lines being built to connect renewables, that's not going to be impacted. When you think about different utilities and how they're meeting the challenges of electric vehicle usage, that won't be impacted. When you think about pipelines and the commodity prices where they've been And gas is a transitionary fuel with the needs that exist today and move in it. I think that's unaffected. When you think about the infrastructure bill relative to our civil business, I think that's unaffected. So the reality is that there's a very, very small piece of our portfolio that you could even equate to something like housing that might be mildly effective. And I would argue the opposite, Alex, which is somewhat of a decline in the economy will probably actually help us. because it will deflate the inflationary pressures that we see in our business today. So I think that the revenue outlook for our business is incredibly resilient, and anything that might happen could actually help us from a cost perspective.
spk15: And secondly, on the IEA acquisition, you've only owned it for a couple of weeks, but can you talk about sort of the quality of backlog that you've discovered and the opportunity for synergies, both either revenue or cost?
spk11: Sure. So again, we're super excited. I think the market is incredibly robust. The demand for the services is off the charts. I think you're going to see, you know, in the coming quarters, both, you know, Maastricht's legacy business and IAs have tremendous backlog growth just based on the conversations and awards we're seeing from customers. You know, IA did, you know, report backlog a little bit differently than we did. So, you know, we think the IA add to backlog will be somewhere in the $2 billion range in the fourth quarter. And, you know, as the quarters mount, we think there are going to be considerable additions to that. So you think about solar, you know, even wind, even a lot of these transitionary fuels that we're thinking about, whether it's hydrogen or carbon sequestration, you know, that market is incredibly active. And, again, I think it's going to be very resilient over the course of the next couple of years, regardless of what happens with the economy.
spk04: Nice quarter. Good luck. Thanks, Alex.
spk03: Next question comes from Andy Kaplowitz in Citigroup.
spk01: Good morning, guys. Good morning, Andy. Jose, so you had a nice step up in communications margins that you talked about to 12.4. I know supply chain has been very difficult, so maybe you could talk about what went right in the quarter. Was this better utilization of your people? Were you able to renegotiate any of your significant contracts? Maybe fuel costs have been coming down a little. Any more color there would be helpful.
spk11: Well, first I'd say, Andy, we expected it, right? If you thought about the way we guided the Q3, we expected a step up. You know, I know that there's been concern out there relative to our ability to hit that, but, you know, we felt comfortable. We've seen it in our business. We've been growing. The volumes finally came in. You know, 33% revenue growth in the quarter is fantastic. You know, and I'd also say there's pressure in that, right? You know, while the results are good, And, you know, they'll moderate a little bit in Q4 because it's just, you know, timing and the seasonality of it. You know, the reality is that we can achieve more than that, right? Once we get on a run rate, once we're, you know, fully utilized, once we've got the right number of people on board, you know, we actually think those are margins that, you know, over the long term could be improved. Solid performance. Again, you know, it was good to see us deliver and, Nothing special about the quarter. There was no individual areas where we had any big significant pickups. Just solid performance throughout.
spk01: Thanks, Jose. And then can you talk a little bit more about your clean energy business? You mentioned the mid to high single-digit margin in clean energy for Q4. Could you give us what the EBITDA is that's coming in from IA and Q4? Are you thinking that your industrial problem project drag is getting behind you? And how much improvement, if any, are you seeing in solar markets to help with utilization in the segment?
spk11: Yeah, sure. So we still had some drag in Q3 with some of the industrial projects we talked about in Q2. I think George alluded to that in his prepared remarks. When we think about Q4 and beyond, IEA, the last quarter that IEA reported was about, I think it was about 560 at six points in Q2. Their third quarter was a little bit weaker than they originally anticipated for a lot of the same reasons that I think have been talked about in the industry, the solar panel investigation and the renewable issues. When we think about Q4 for them, we're kind of thinking about it in the way that they delivered Q2. It's probably a conservative view. Again, we've only owned it a few weeks, but I think it's better to be conservative at this point. We laid out a longer-term outlook for them for 23 of 160 to 170 of EBITDA when we did it, 40 to 50 in net income for 23. Quite frankly, we think that's unchanged, and if anything, conservative. Our job is going to be to see how much we can improve that and the synergies we can build out of the business to ultimately make that a much better number. Our customers' reaction to the acquisition has been fantastic. Again, there is an incredible amount of demand for the services that we offer. Our job is going to be to pick the right projects, the right customers, find the right utilization levels, make sure that the projects stack on each other and we don't have any holes or any significant starts and stops. And that's going to be through the management of the project acquisition process as we think about it throughout 23. I think we're going to do a great job at that, and I'm very, very excited. optimistic and confident that we're going to be able to do a lot of great things there, but, you know, we're just getting started. So as we talk about on our next call, on our year-end call, you know, we'll hopefully be able to highlight that a lot more with, you know, a lot of new awards and a lot of expectations going into 23, but we still got some work to do there.
spk04: Appreciate all the callers. Thanks, Andy.
spk03: Next question is from Neil Mesa, Coleman Sacks.
spk06: Yeah, good morning, team, and congrats on a good quarter here. The first question is just about managing inflationary pressures that exist in the market, ranging from diesel to labor. How are you guys working through those? Are you able to push some of these costs on through pricing? And do you feel like you've sufficiently built this into the way you're thinking about 23 hours?
spk11: Yeah, Neil, I think a couple things, right? We talked a lot about it on our second quarter call, even as far back as Q1. You know, obviously, fuel was a huge difference for us in the first half of 22 versus where it was in 21. I think we modeled that correctly through the balance of the year. You know, we did see, you know, some of that. We saw some improvements in fuel costs in the third quarter. It obviously ebbs and flows all the time. I think we've been very vocal about the inflationary pressures on labor. We've seen it. We think it still exists. It's probably moderated just a little bit, but it's something that we've got to keep an eye on. And again, there's so much demand for our services that I think the inflationary wage pressures will continue for a little bit. To some of the earlier points, as the housing market does cool off a little bit, and we think it will, It will open up a significant pool of labor that we can draw from that will hopefully counteract some of the wage inflationary pressures that we've historically seen. So we're working hard at it. Team member acquisition is one of the most important things that we do here at MOSTEC because we're all about our people, and we think we've got a good process in place. As we think about 23, obviously we have some tremendous opportunities. We expect a lot of further revenue growth. across all of our markets, and labor is going to be a key component of that. So there's no question that we're seeing and we've seen inflationary pressures. We've had a lot of discussions with our customers since early this year. We've gotten a lot of relief from our customers in many cases. We've talked at length about being able to do it on anniversary dates of contracts, on the annual escalators. Those have come in as we've expected in due process and in due negotiation. We expect that to continue. through 2023. So, you know, we think it's something that, you know, obviously impacted us in the first half of the year. We think we're managing it well. We were very vocal about the issues that it caused and our intent on how we were going to manage it. And, again, I think in the third quarter, you see some of the results of that execution.
spk06: Thanks, Jose. And then backlog was very significant this quarter. Where are you seeing it surprise to the upside? And where do you think the backlog is? translates quickest into revenue recognition?
spk11: No, it's a great question. It's actually, and we said it in our prepared remarks, but it's the first time since 2018 that our second to third quarter backlog increases. And it's relatively rare because our third quarter is normally such a high revenue quarter that it's hard to book the bill at the same level. And historically, we've had large pipeline awards that have really impacted that number. So the beauty of this backlog print was it didn't come from any particular project. It was really broad-based. It was across every segment, a lot of strength, a lot of book-to-bill. So we're super proud of that accomplishment. I think we're going to see it across all of our segments. I think it's very supportive of the dialogue that we've laid out for 2023 relative to the growth in each segment. If you were to ask me what could potentially surprise me most of the upside in 23, it's probably our oil and gas business because we've been expecting it to be down for such a long time. And we're seeing a lot more strength in that market than we've seen in previous quarters and are pretty excited about what that means. But, you know, we think it's pretty broad based. You know, obviously, we think the Inflation Reduction Act is going to have a massive impact on our backlog over time. You know, some of the rules are still being written, so we don't expect to see significant impact from that until, you know, the second half of 23. But, you know, quite frankly, all things are trending in a fantastic direction, and we're really excited about what we think we can accomplish.
spk06: Thank you, sir.
spk04: Thanks, Neil.
spk03: Next question is from Jamie Cook at Credit Suisse.
spk00: Hi, good morning, and congratulations on a nice quarter. I guess, Jose, my first question, obviously, we've done a lot with the portfolio, and you have some debt right now, so you can't do M&A. But given how you've transitioned the portfolio, as we think over the medium term, is there anything else you think you need, or is the portfolio right-sized for the growth opportunities that you see ahead? And as we're pitching this to sort of the investment community, do you think as we exit 2023 that On a more consistent basis, is this a portfolio that can generate, you know, low team type margins, you know, on a normalized basis? That's my first question. And then second question, George, just try to think about how we think about the free cash flow conversion of the company, you know, just with the addition of Henkels and McCoy and IEA. Thank you.
spk11: Sure, Jamie. So a couple things, right? As we think about the future, you know, obviously the margin profile is going to continue to improve. You know, one of, as you think about total company margins, obviously our clean energy and infrastructure business, especially, you know, near to midterm is going to have, you know, more challenges achieving, you know, teen type margins. We think it's a high single to low double digit margin business. We think we'll achieve that and it'll obviously drive the growth the EBITDA profile of our business up. We think we can get our EBITDA margins in time to double digits. That won't be our, you know, that's not our guidance for 23. Our guidance for 23 will come in lower than that for sure. But there's no doubt in my mind that that's achievable. And, you know, depending on the strength of the market and where we can take the portfolio, I think that's only going to improve over time relative to, you know, what happens to the portfolio. I think we're in a great position today. I think we've got so many growth markets in front of us that we've got to execute on. I think organically we're going to be capable of doing a lot. With that said, we're always looking for opportunities. We think in these levels of higher debt, it's going to put a lot of pressures on companies that are levered, and I think we'll have a competitive advantage relative to that in the markets that we serve, and we'll see what happens over the course of the next couple of years. But we think our portfolio is in a better position than it's ever been. We think our growth opportunities are better than they've ever been. And, again, we're super excited about what the future holds.
spk13: And, Jamie, relative to pre-cash flow, we've said before, as we've transitioned, as we move in this transition and the business morphs more away from being centered on only gas pipelines, which historically has been the most capital-intensive business that we operate in, that our free cash flow profile over time I think is a better profile because our capital intensity is lessened as we've moved into the electric distribution business, as we've moved now into a larger way into the renewables business, as those businesses are just generally less capital intensive. So that will be our expectation going forward. I mean, obviously, we started to moderate our capital expenditures here in the third quarter, and we'll do so into 2023. I think we certainly accelerated some spends in the first half of the year because we were trying to make sure that we – We're able to secure deliveries of some things that have been supply chain constrained and did that. But our free cash flow profile as an entity as we go through this transition is a stronger profile because I think we have a similar working capital profile with an improved CapEx or capital intensity.
spk00: Okay. Congrats. Thank you.
spk04: Thanks, Jamie.
spk03: Thank you. Next question is from Stephen Fisher at UBS. Hi.
spk07: Great, thanks. Good morning. I wonder if you could just give a little more color on the margin buildup in the clean energy segment in Q3 and then into Q4. Should we assume that the civil piece and renewables, including IEA, I guess in Q4 are going to be more at similar levels, but the industrials piece more of like a break-even or low single digits? How do you see that kind of the buildup within the segment and then trending into next year?
spk11: Sure. So I think that's accurate, right? I do think that our civil business is performing well. I think over time, our renewables markets will outpace, will be the highest margin profile of that group. I think that the industrial business, based on the project profile that we expect to have in 2023, will be significantly better than it was in 22, and it'll probably be at similar levels to at least our civil business. So I do think that the margins will be tighter if we think about the three pieces of that business in 23. I do think the fourth quarter of 22, we'll see a little bit of improvement in the industrial segment, but it won't. We do expect civil and renewables to outperform the industrial business in the fourth quarter.
spk07: Okay, that's very helpful. And then just, I apologize if you covered this earlier as part of the call, but can you talk a little bit about the visibility you have to renewables projects in, say, you know, through the first half of 2023? Do you have, you know, good knowledge of what the slotting is going to be for your customers, and how is their panel accessibility and availability in the solar side of things?
spk11: Sure. So, you know, I think we've talked about, you know, our clean energy and infrastructure delivering, you know, at or above $5 billion for 2023, which we think, you know, we're highly confident we can achieve. A significant portion of that will be renewables, you know, probably 60, 60% plus of that is our renewables business. I think when we look today at, you know, what's in backlog, what's been verbally awarded, what we're chasing, we feel really good that We've got most, if not all, of that currently identified, which is an incredible place to be in October of a previous year. That leads me to believe that we could do a lot better, and quite frankly, we'll have the ability to move projects in or out depending on really slotting and when they're ready. A lot of the solar work that we'll be working on, and we've been talking about this for a long time, are newer projects where solar, you know, some people are at the end of their projects where they're requiring solar panel installations, so they're waiting on solar panels. But for those that are starting new solar plants, you know, they'll start to build without the solar panels because they don't need the solar panels for six, nine months. So it depends where you are in that cycle. We feel good about where our year's laying out. Obviously, it's early. We've got a lot of work to do. And we'll give a lot more updates on our future calls. But, you know, obviously spending the level of detail as to, you know, understanding how each project lays out, what month it lays out in, where can you put your resources, how do you make sure you don't have gaps in your resource schedule. You know, that's exactly what we're building for 23. We're hyper-focused on it. We're hyper-focused in making that as efficient as we possibly can and having the highest utilization rates that we can. And I think we'll have a lot more clarity over the course of the next couple of months of how that's going to lay out on a quarter-by-quarter basis for 2023. Thanks, Jose.
spk04: Thanks, Steve.
spk03: Next question is from Ben Tillman at DA Davidson.
spk05: Great. Thanks. Jose, the acquisition and integration expenses and power delivery were up quite a bit from last quarter. Can you just talk about what's embedded in that, what you're sort of doing internally in the integration process of, I guess, H&M and Intran deals? And then I guess the follow-up to that, just sort of how all this sort of internal work you're doing informs your view of segment margin potential and power delivery going forward.
spk13: Hey, Brent. This is George. I'll take that. You know, the power delivery number was up this quarter. We've made the point. That's why I kind of indicated we really finished or substantially completed the integration of Henkels. So what you see in there is the finalization of, you know, a lot of the cost changes that we've made in terms of indirects, overheads, changing insurance programs, a lot of different things that have been, you know, in the process of being evaluated. So we've completed that. So that number will significantly drop here in the fourth quarter. And, you know, we have a view that our power delivery segment margins should certainly improve in 2023 as we continue to start realizing more benefits in the program as we move forward and as we continue to grow. So we anticipate improvements here in that segment going forward. And, you know, that's where we're headed. We're happy to have completed the integration for Henkels. We started to incur some costs in the third quarter relative to IEA, but a lot of those were acquisition costs, right, in terms of investment advisor fees, bridge fees, et cetera, et cetera. So we'll have some more of that in the fourth quarter, and we'll, you know, we'll evaluate from there. But that's a little bit of a different lift than Henkel's acquisition, which had some more structural changes.
spk05: Okay, great.
spk11: Thanks, Jeremy. To your second question on that, Brent, in terms of margins, I think, I think the integration has gone really well. We've talked previously about the strength of the business and the upside and the growth that we think we can achieve in that business. We're more optimistic today than we were at the time of acquisition about our ability to not only help make them better, but I think we've achieved a lot of that, and I think the growth profile of that business will hopefully outpace what we originally expected going into the deal.
spk04: Yep, exciting times in business. Thank you. Thank you.
spk03: Next question is from Noelle Davids at DeFi.
spk08: Hi, guys. Thanks for taking my question. I think this is geared more for George, but George, just given, you know, that a fair amount of the capital structure, I think about 45% is floating rate debt, How are you thinking about just the risk of higher rates at the moment? What do you think about interest rate caps or swaps to mitigate potential additional increases? Just curious sort of how you're thinking about that at the moment. Thank you.
spk13: Yeah, look, we're constantly evaluating it. The reality is obviously we have a more elevated level right now post the IEA acquisition. We did the financing on that in a way to maximize flexibility for us going forward. So we have term loans and whatnot and And they are floating rate, but they're also prepayable at times. So we're constantly looking at what we think, depending on where the market is, what we think is the right mix of our capital structure. And I guess the answer to that is TBD, right? We don't know yet, depending on what market conditions are, when we might be able to evaluate whether we should be moving and changing the structure. We certainly have the flexibility to do so and put the current capital structure in a way where that's the case. I'd also point out that while obviously by floating rate debt is more expensive than it was a year ago, it's still cheaper than fixed rate debt in terms of most cases. Based on that, it's certainly a fair question and it's one that we're evaluating constantly and will do so in this environment.
spk08: Okay, great. I think you addressed this to some extent with Andy's question, but Is there any, you know, can you provide us with any more detail on sort of how IEA performed in the third quarter and sort of what you're expecting overall for the company's results in 2022? I know you reiterated your expectations for EBITDA in 23, but any additional detail there would be helpful.
spk11: Yeah, so, Noelle, I mean, their third quarter was below their original expectations, whatever, and they had some public expectations out there, to be honest. We haven't spent an enormous amount of time on the trailing 22 because it's somewhat indifferent for us other than understanding the deal dynamics. I think we're starting to get our arms around Q4 with them. We've taken, again, a very conservative position relative to their forecast. I think they're definitely helping to do better than what we've laid out here today. But, you know, we own the numbers now, so we're going to be more cautious. Our view on 2023 is unchanged, if not improving. You know, we laid out an earnings capability that, you know, we thought was achievable at the time. Quite frankly, you know, and I'll say it again, we did this deal two days before the Inflation Reduction Act got announced. The inflation reduction got announced. And in my mind, it significantly enhances the prospects of that company for a long, long time, including in 23. So I'm very bullish that we'll be able to do better than what our original anticipation was in 23. But we've got a lot of work to do. And I think there's lots of opportunities. between the combined entity to take out costs and to be more efficient and to grow faster. So that's stuff that we can't bake in today. We have to execute to that, but that's what we'll be working on. And I'm incredibly bullish in terms of their long-term capabilities. The second half of 23, as everybody's talked about in the industry, was challenging for renewables. You see it in our numbers. You see it in other people's numbers. And I don't think it was any different for IEA, but it doesn't change anything. the long-term outlook for their business, and we expect them to have, you know, a good fourth quarter, right? We're conservative with our numbers. We're hoping they beat them, but it's still, you know, it's a good fourth quarter relative to the market.
spk04: Got it. Okay, thank you. That makes sense. Thank you.
spk03: Our next question is from Adam Taltheimer and Thompson Davis.
spk04: Hey, good morning, guys.
spk14: Hey, good morning, Adam. How are you doing? Great. Good to see the stock up so much this morning. Jose, on the oil and gas, can you just give a little bit of or flesh that out a little bit? You said you or George said, I think, something like sizable growth next year. And then, Jose, you talked about the projects you were looking at between 2023 and 2025. I'd just be curious if that's kind of traditional oil and gas work or if the opportunities have kind of expanded there.
spk11: Yes, a couple things. First, I'd say 22 is a lot softer than we originally anticipated, right? So we laid out a longer-term outlook of $1.5 billion to $2 billion in the business. We're going to deliver closer to $1.2 billion this year. I think that when we think about 23, when we say outsized growth, we think the 1.5 to 2 is achievable without the Mountain Valley Pipeline. Obviously, with the Mountain Valley Pipeline, it's dramatically bigger. You know, despite the comments that we made today, we still feel comfortable that Mountain Valley pipeline is going to move forward and it's going to be built, and we think there's a high likelihood it gets built in 23, but we're probably not going to count on it. With that said, we're seeing, you know, significant strength across all markets, right? There's a significant number of gas pipelines that are being planned, you know, in all different stages. Some are very imminent. You know, some are more 24, 25 projects, but You know, a lot of work is going into them. You know, pipe is being bought. A lot of commitments are being made relative to those projects. We feel really good they're going to happen. And then obviously we've been talking about, you know, the carbon sequestration lines. We've been talking about hydrogen. We think those projects are closer to fruition than they've been. I think we'll, you know, hopefully we'll be talking a lot more about those in the coming quarters. And again, I think whether, I think our pipeline business, right, generally defined not just oil and gas, but pipeline in general, is going to have a really good run for the next few years, and that's somewhat surprising, you know, vis-a-vis where we were just two short years ago.
spk04: Thanks, Jose. Thanks, Adam.
spk03: And we'll take our last question from Sean Eastman at KeyBank Capital Markets.
spk02: Hi, guys. Nice update here, and thanks for taking my questions. So, Jose, you alluded to the oil and gas segment being kind of the one kind of core upside risk driver to the preliminary expectation for next year. I wondered if we could round out that discussion a little bit, just in terms of how you're thinking about, you know, kind of the major kind of upside drivers or, you know, risk factors to the downside relative to this preliminary look we have in place here.
spk11: Yeah, let me be clear, right? I think that my commentary was more around what most surprised me from an expectation base, right? I just, you know, we've been so negative on oil and gas for a long time that I actually think it's getting better, and I think that's somewhat surprising. You know, the truth is that, you know, when you look at the balance of our business, what's happening in the energy space is unprecedented. So, you know, I'm more bullish on power delivery and clean energy than I am in oil and gas long term. I'm more surprised by oil and gas. So I want to be clear on that because I don't want to rank them. But the truth is that, you know, what we're seeing in the energy industry today with, you know, it's for the first time in my lifetime, everything's changing and we're in the middle of that. And I think it's going to, you know, position us incredibly well for many, many years of growth. So unbelievably bullish there. But it's nice to have a full portfolio of businesses that all have, You know, in our minds, tremendous upside, including communication. So I think, you know, we've had to manage through ups and downs in different businesses. We've had cycles where some businesses are doing well and others are struggling. And I think we're going to enter a period here for the foreseeable future where all of our businesses are going to have tremendous upside. As we think about the way we've laid out 23, you know, I'm highly confident that, you know, we're going to achieve that, if not better. you know, I think the risks become macro risks, right? And again, I think very little can change in the short term because of all the government spending involved in the different industries that we're in. But, you know, obviously inflationary pressure is one that dictates margins. And I think we've got, you know, probably, well, I'm less concerned about the revenue variations because I think the market is so strong. You know, we obviously have to keep an eye on what's happening with inflationary pressures. We've got to keep an eye on you know, what we can do relative to passing those costs on that we see, and how do we ultimately reduce the level of cost that we experience? So how do we more efficiently, you know, bring on new team members? How do we train them? How do we make sure our people are the most efficient, safe workers in the industry and pass along, you know, that with our customers? And that's what we're focused on. So I'm actually incredibly bullish about 2023 at this point.
spk02: Okay, got it. If I rewind to the fourth quarter reporting season this year, this past year, when you guys rolled out the first quarter guidance, it was just kind of jarring for some folks in terms of the starting point for the year. I realize it's early here, but I thought maybe we could get ahead of that a little bit in terms of you know, just how pronounced sort of that first half, back half could be as we get those numbers in place ahead of 4Q22 earnings.
spk13: Yeah, Sean, obviously, we could give directional color, right? I mean, I think it's fair to say that the first quarter is typically a very slow quarter. So I think, you know, a seasonality cadence, generally speaking, um, you know, roughly, you know, maybe a little bit better than last year, but that similar kind of cadence is probably in the cards. I think when you, when you look at the different components, um, you know, we'll, we'll see how the timing of clean energy comes together. It's obviously a different cadence for us now in 23 with the addition of IEA, but I think, I think clean energy generally has a slower first quarter, right? Uh, I think communication should be better in general terms because we should see some more continuation of, uh, of maybe not the same rate, but certainly a higher rate of spend than what we saw in the first half of last year on 5G. So those are just some factors to consider, and we'll obviously give more color when we go through the guidance components. But I think the first quarter typically is a slow start for us, and I don't think there's a significant change in that as we think of 23, given what we know today.
spk11: But I would add a couple things to that, which I think are really important. When you compare historically our first quarter, especially in 22, the comps were really difficult because oil and gas was so big. So just take a step back. In the first quarter of 21, we did $725 million in our oil and gas business. In the first quarter of 22 this year, we did $211 million. We had a $500 million drop-off in the first quarter of the year. When you look at the second quarter, we had almost a $280 million drop-off in that same oil and gas business, 22 to 21. The reason I say that is our 23 comps will be dramatically better than our 22 comps we're looking back at 21. So while in 22 it was very pronounced, the growth we had to have to offset the oil and gas decline, that will not be the case in 2023. So I think that phenomenon that we had to live through at the beginning of 22, which was so challenging for us, which I think created a lot of the issues that we had in the first half of 2022, should not exist in the first half of 23, making the comps dramatically better and the year being a lot more consistent relative to the look back. Obviously, we made the acquisition of IA. It's going to have a huge benefit to us in the first half of the year without anything working against us. And I think that's a big distinction between 23 and 22. Jose, George, thanks very much. I appreciate it. Thanks, Sean. Appreciate it.
spk03: Thank you. If there are no further questions at this time, I'd like to hand the call back to Jose Mas.
spk11: Yeah, so again, I just want to thank everybody for your interest. We're happy to print the quarter that we did. We look forward to updating you again on our year on call and laying out our guidance for 2023. So be safe and talk soon. Thank you.
spk03: Thank you, and this will conclude today's conference call. Thank you for your participation, ladies and gentlemen. You may now disconnect.
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