4/29/2025

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, again, press star and one. I would now like to turn the call over to Ian McPherson, Vice President of Investor Relations. You may begin.

speaker
Ian McPherson
Vice President of Investor Relations

Thank you, operator, and welcome everyone to Noble Corporation's first quarter 2025 earnings conference call. You can find a copy of our earnings report along with the supporting statements and schedules on our website at noblecorp.com. We will reference an earnings presentation that's posted on the investor relations page of our website. Today's call will feature prepared remarks from our president and CEO, Robert Eifler, as well as our CFO, Richard Barker. We also have with us Blake Denton, Senior Vice President of Marketing and Contracts. During the course of this call, we may make certain forward-looking statements regarding various matters related to our business and companies that are not historical facts. Such statements are based upon current expectations and assumptions of management and are therefore subject to certain risks and uncertainties. Many factors could cause actual results to differ materially from these forward-looking statements, and Noble does not assume any obligation to update these statements. Also note we are referencing non-GAAP financial measures on the call today. You can find the required supplemental disclosure for these measures including the most directly comparable gap measure and an associated reconciliation in our earnings report issued yesterday and filed with the SEC. Now, I'll turn the call over to Robert Eifler, President and CEO of Noble.

speaker
Robert Eifler
President and CEO

Thanks, Ian. Good day, everyone, and thank you for joining us as we present our results for the first quarter. I'll begin with financial and operational highlights from the first quarter, recent commercial activity, our perspective on the market, and then hand it over to Richard to cover the financials. As usual, I'll wrap up with closing remarks before we go to Q&A. In the first quarter, we delivered strong results with adjusted EBITDA of $338 million and free cash flow of $173 million. We continue to execute on our return of capital program, paying $80 million in dividends and repurchasing $20 million of shares during Q1. Yesterday, our board declared another 50 cent per share dividend for the second quarter of 2025. And I'm pleased to highlight that we have now surpassed $1 billion in combined dividends and buybacks since Q4 2022, including this quarter's announced dividend. On the integration front, our progress has been right on target. The Legacy Diamond fleet recently went live on Noble's ERP system ahead of schedule. positioning us to achieve our previously stated synergies of at least $100 million by the end of the year. We are also pleased to share a number of significant commercial and operational successes. As we announced yesterday, we have recently been awarded long-term contracts by two major oil companies comprising nearly 14 rig years of additional backlog across four rigs with a total revenue potential between $2.0 and $2.5 billion. First, the Noble Voyager and another 7G drill ship to be named were awarded four rig years each by Shell for operations in the U.S. Gulf. These contracts provide for a base day rate value of $606 million per rig, plus the potential to earn up to an additional 20% based on the operational performance of each rig. Voyager is expected to commence in mid-2026. and the second drill ship is slated to commence in Q4, 2027. And both contracts have four one-year options following the firm four-year term at mutually agreed day rates. As part of the shell contracts, we will be making certain upgrades to the rigs, including increasing the derrick hook load from 2.5 to 2.8 million pounds, adding a controlled mudline system, which is essentially an alternative approach to managed pressure drilling, installing active heave compensated cranes, and finally, installing closed-bust power system upgrades for reduced carbon footprint, all of which are intended to make these units among the most high-spec drill ships in the world for the remaining life of the assets. In total, these upgrades are expected to comprise $60 to $70 million of capex per rig, which we anticipate being spread among 2025, 26, and 27. So all in, we are incredibly happy to be awarded these landmark long-term contracts from Shell in a premier basin and look forward to getting started. Next, we've also recently been awarded strategic contracts from Total Energies and Suriname for two rigs, one 7G drill ship yet to be named and also the 6G semi-noble developer. The contract spans 16 wells per rig or approximately 1,060 days each. and are expected to commence between Q4 2026 and Q1 2027. Together, the firm revenue of the two contracts is $753 million, and the contracts allow for an additional $297 million in revenue tied to collective operational performance. There are also four one-well options available across both contracts. We don't have any significant capex associated with these programs. Again, we are immensely proud to be selected by Total for their marquee development program in Suriname, which affords us the opportunity to expand not only a very robust and longstanding relationship with Total, but also our comprehensive presence throughout the Guyana Suriname region, where we have been able to develop highly valuable basin scale and expertise. Each of these new long-term contracts in Suriname and the U.S. Gulf carries customary cost escalation provisions as well. We firmly believe that Noble shines brightest in long-term and collaborative relationships, and we look forward to delivering meaningful efficiency and risk management through these four new contracts. Based on an abundance of internal performance data and learning from across our fleet, We generally expect that, quote, normal operational performance on these contracts can yield a significant amount of incentive revenue capture. And we are booking an average across the four contracts of approximately 40% of the combined variable revenue components in our backlog, which we believe represents a reasonable estimate at this time. Although we can certainly envision realistic upsides to that through the course of the campaigns. These performance contracts provide a great alignment with our customers, enabling substantial economic upside to both parties as drilling efficiencies are realized. In other words, if we're getting paid at the high end of the range, everyone is happy. Now, turning to other new contracts and extensions. In Colombia, Petrobras has exercised an option for an additional 390 days on the Noble Discoverer at its existing day rate. which we expect will extend this campaign into August 2026. It keeps the discoverer well-positioned for additional development opportunities following the largest gas discovery in the history of Columbia. Additionally, we recently announced new short-term contracts for the Noble Viking, Noble Intrepid, and Noble Regina Allen, which are detailed in our earnings release and fleet status report. Combined, these 15 total rig years of new awards bringing our current backlog to $7.5 billion, which represents an increase of 30% since last quarter and marks the first crucial step in the significant backlog inflection that we have been anticipating and forecasting over our past couple of earnings calls. We are also eyeing several opportunities for additional contract awards to build on these recent bookings, and we'll look forward to bringing you more news on this front in the not-too-distant future. Now for a word on the markets more broadly. First thing I would say is that obviously throughout an incredible amount of market volatility recently across virtually all risk assets and commodities, throughout all this turmoil, not only has offshore drilling remained open for business, so too has our commercial pipeline remained very much intact as our customers around the world appear to remain engaged and active in sourcing their rig needs for 2026 and 2027. While we certainly see signs that our customer base is reacting to near-term oil prices by taking actions with their 2025 spending, it is very important to note that long-term strip pricing for Brent crude has remained in the mid to high 60s as the curve has flipped into contango. This is not a throwaway fact as it relates to long cycle offshore FID planning. We generally see that the middle part of the strip is the most relevant indicator for the economics of our business. And this price range in the mid 60s per barrel is only down by about $5 versus a year ago and still quite supportive of project economics in most cases. I would also note that over 90% of the 15 rig years worth of backlog we've just announced were signed after the April 2nd market correction. No one here is glib about the state of financial markets. And we are, of course, concerned like everyone else about looming tariff effects on global demand. But we also derive strength and stability from our alignment with a large swath of customers that have generally resilient capital programs and less twitchy planning factors when it comes to offshore projects. We still see a choppy spot market for deepwater and jackups throughout 2025 and into 2026. But we also believe the medium to long term fundamentals are actually enhanced by every month of curtailed investment and spare capacity unwind. Contracted UDW utilization has been flat, with total rig count having dipped only slightly from 100 rigs to 99 rigs since the time of our last earnings call, offset by a two-rig reduction in marketed supply, leaving marketed utilization essentially unchanged at 90%. We still expect this contracted rig count to sag a bit lower through the rest of this year, with an anticipated inflection sometime in 2026. Although admittedly, forecasting precision is definitely hampered right now. But again, we do have decent visibility for some additional work for our own fleet, which would support a materially improved contracted position by next year. In the meantime, recent contract awards indicate day rate resilience for high-end deepwater rigs firmly in the low to high 400s per day with long-term visibility, which we think is completely at odds with prevailing market pessimism. We remain committed to managing our costs in marginal idle capacity in a prudent manner. As a first mover in what is likely to become a broader scrapping cycle for uncompetitive idle assets, recall that we recently announced the disposal of our cold-stacked drill ships Meltem in Sirocco. We have now entered into a definitive agreement to sell these vessels in a manner intended to effectively retire them, and we expect to finalize this transaction mid-year. NOW, I'LL PROVIDE A LITTLE MORE COLOR ON THE STATUS AND OUTLOOK FOR OUR RIGS WITH NEAR-TERM MARKET EXPOSURE. IN THE U.S. GULF, THE NOBLE VALIANT HAS RECENTLY COMPLETED ITS CONTRACT AND THE NOBLE BLACK LINO IS DUE TO ROLL OFF CONTRACT IN JULY. WE ARE IN ACTIVE DISCUSSIONS WITH CUSTOMERS FOR BOTH OF THESE UNITS FOR A LIMITED AMOUNT OF 2025 JOBS AS WELL AS A LARGER 2026 OPPORTUNITY SET. WE WILL ALSO WORK TO FILL 2026 AVAILABILITY FOR THE RECENTLY COMMITTED Noble Voyager ahead of its Shell program, that rig is more likely to be warmstacked in 2025 as we prioritize the Valiant and Black Rhino for near-term jobs. Turning to our sixth gen rigs, our three D-class semis have a promising outlook, with the Developer and Discoverer both well-contracted in the Americas and the Deliverer looking well-aligned for multiple prospective contracts that are expected to start in 2026. In contrast, the Ocean Great White's near-term outlook is softer, and we anticipate the rig will be idled for the balance of the year following the conclusion of its campaign in the UK North Sea in late May. However, there are long-term programs worldwide that align with the rig's high-spec ultra-harsh capabilities with start dates in 2026 and 2027. Looking at our globetrotterships, We are still pursuing various intervention scopes globally and expect to have a clear outlook for these opportunities fairly soon. If it's not a green light scenario for both units, we would likely then move to a cold stack or retirement decision on one of the units. Lastly, with respect to the moored floaters Apex and Endeavor, which are scheduled to roll off contract this summer, We remain encouraged by a healthy amount of harsh environment P&A activity in the pipeline that is well aligned for both of these assets. Now on the jackups. The headwinds from the Saudi suspensions and day rate concessions continue to pressure the international benign environment jackup market. While the harsh jackup market where our fleet primarily competes has remained insulated from these specific dynamics. That said, there has been a recent downtick in demand in the southern North Sea of a couple of rigs, and we do expect softer utilization across our jackup fleet in 2025 compared to 2024. A recent bright spot has been the Intrepid's recent contract award from DNO, which will mark that rig's reentry into the Norwegian market, which is still relatively subdued, albeit ticking up a bit as we get back up to three of our CJ70 jackups contracted in the NCS. So with that, I'll pause here and turn it over to Richard now to discuss the financials.

speaker
Richard Barker
Chief Financial Officer

Good morning or good afternoon all. In my prepared remarks today, I will briefly review our first quarter results, provide an update on our integration progress, and then discuss our outlook for the remainder of the year. Starting with our quarterly results. Contract drilling services revenue for the first quarter totaled $832 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $338 million, and adjusted EBITDA margin was 39%. Adjusted EBITDA was positively impacted by approximately $20 million related to insurance proceeds, the legacy repair work on the Noble Regina Allen, which is accounted for as a reduction in operating expense, as well as overall strong cost management. Q1 cash flow from operations was $271 million, net capital expenditures were $98 million, and free cash flow was $173 million. We continue to remain focused on controlling costs, which includes managing our stacking costs accordingly. To that end, the sale of the Meltemans Kuroko will eliminate associated stacking costs of $40,000 to $50,000 per day on a combined basis, as well as bring in net proceeds of over $35 million. As summarized on page five of the earnings presentation slides, our total backlog as of April 28th stands at $7.5 billion, up approximately 30% versus the prior quarter. This includes approximately $1.9 billion that is scheduled for revenue conversion over the remainder of 2025, and on the back of our recently announced contract awards, this now includes approximately $2.1 and $1.5 billion scheduled for revenue conversion during 2026 and 2027. As a reminder, our backlog excludes reimbursable revenue as well as revenue from ancillary services. Our integration remains on track and we continue to expect to realize 100 million of annual cost synergies on a run rate basis by the end of the year. As of the end of the first quarter, we have achieved approximately 70 million of synergies. A tremendous amount of hard work is being done throughout the organization. I'd like to extend my gratitude to everyone who is contributing to the great progress on the integration today. Referring to page 10 of the earnings slides, we are maintaining our full-year guidance ranges, including total revenue between 3.25 to 3.45 billion, adjusted EBITDA between 1.05 to 1.15 billion, and capital expenditures, which excludes customer reimbursements, at between 375 and 425 billion. As it relates to the adjusted EBITDA guidance range, we're currently approximately 95% contracted at the midpoint of this range, based on year-to-day results and remaining backlog for 2025. Illustratively, if you include options, then the midpoint would essentially be fully contracted. Due to strong cost management, the midpoint of the EBITDA range corresponds to the low part of the revenue guidance range. It's worth noting and clarifying here that our legacy Diamond BOP lease payments, approximately $26 million this year, are booked as part of operating expenses. As we look ahead, we anticipate Q2 adjusted EBITDA to track down quarter-on-quarter when excluding the Q1 impact of the Regina-Allen insurance proceeds. This expected decrease in Q2 is primarily due to fewer operating days resulting from contract rollovers on the Valiant, Intrepid, and Regina-Allen, as well as the planned out-of-service time for the Noble-Samcross FPS, which is expected to take 60 days, all during Q2. On the tariff front, the situation remains very fluid. We are confident in our ability to navigate these uncertainties as they evolve by leveraging our supply chain and procurement capabilities. While it is clearly dynamic and everything can change quickly, we currently expect the tariffs to have less than a $15 million cost impact in 2025, and this is incorporated into our guidance. So in summary, a solid start to the year from a financial perspective has set us up well for the remainder of 2025, despite the macro uncertainty. and the recent suite of strong contract awards supports the constructive long-term view for our market. With that, I'll pass the call back to Robert for closing remarks.

speaker
Robert Eifler
President and CEO

Thank you, Richard. To wrap up, I'd just like to emphasize that our first choice offshore strategy remains at the core of everything we do at Noble. We've been working very hard over the past four years at taking the company to the next level, and now we are really beginning to see the fruits of our labor. Throughout today's call, we've highlighted a number of proof points, significantly increasing and enhancing our backlog with strategic contract awards, proving up our integration synergies, delivering customer programs with a focus on safety and efficiency, and reaffirming the resiliency of our cash flow and dividend. On the latter point, we're now eclipsing $1 billion of capital return to shareholders over the past couple of years which represents almost one-third of our market cap from where we sit today. We also acknowledge the challenges of an exceptionally volatile macroeconomic environment. We're doing what we can to demonstrate reliability for our customers and shareholders. With the crucial backlog and suction now at hand and additional tangible contracting opportunities also within view, we remain confident about the medium to long-term fundamentals for our business. and recent fixture activity in the low to high 400s is solid. With our demonstrated commitment to the dividend and its current nearly 10% yield, the recent 30% increase in our backlog, over $1 billion in capital returns thus far, and tangible results building up from our scale and first choice offshore strategy, it seems the value proposition in Noble is compelling to say the least. Operator, we're ready to go to questions now.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

At this time, I would like to remind everyone, in order to ask a question, press star and the number one on your telephone keypad. Your first question comes from the line of David Smith, Pickering Energy Partners. Your line is open.

speaker
David Smith
Analyst, Pickering Energy Partners

Hey, good morning. Congratulations on the strong quarter and the very impressive backlog addition. Thank you. I wanted to ask about the relatively large performance bonus opportunity in the Shell and Total Energies contracts. Is it fair to think that your willingness to take some risk on the performance component might be somewhat informed by your lived experience generating some pretty strong efficiency gains with your drill ships in Guyana? And is it fair to think that performance component risk is That has a lot to do with the duration of the programs and maybe the marginality of the drilling program. So we might not necessarily be expecting these kind of performance bonus opportunities for shorter duration or multi-basin type programs.

speaker
Robert Eifler
President and CEO

It's a great question. What I would say is, first of all, we're extremely happy with both of these programs and very honored to have been entrusted with them. This is something we've been looking at for quite some time, and we think our customers have wanted something like this for even longer. I would repeat what we said earlier. We see it very much as a win-win. But to your point, it definitely doesn't work in every scenario. In fact, I would say that it only works in a relative few scenarios from what you see globally. We mentioned in the remarks, but we've spent a lot of time looking at our own performance data and getting our organization to a place where we were comfortable not only analyzing our capability, but also projecting those capabilities against programs like this. And we got to a place that we think works for both sides. And I'd say, I guess, that these are, we mentioned the word strategic, that's obviously deliberate. These were very, our approach here, I think it's very, very strategic, not only in the structure that we've described a little bit, but also in where that structure is applied to basins, the type of program, et cetera.

speaker
David Smith
Analyst, Pickering Energy Partners

I appreciate that, Keller. And the follow up, if I may, if we start to see more performance-based contracts industry-wide, Can you talk about how the CEA index pricing mechanism takes performance-based contracts into account for the dual-strip concern? There appears to be maybe about a $140,000 a day spread between the base rate and the full bonus potential. Where on that spectrum would we look for the rate that contributes to the CEA indexed rate?

speaker
Robert Eifler
President and CEO

It's also a good question, not one obviously that was forecasted or contemplated when we came up with this, when was it, six or seven, eight years ago, longer maybe now. So I guess what I would say is that mechanism is not mechanical. It was designed to be flexible, and it was designed to take in a number of different market considerations at each six-month turn. And so we've had this come up in certain other kind of nuances. They go into rates, whether it's types of costs or taxes or whatever. And it's flexible enough to also take into account this type of structure. And so we haven't had this conversation yet, so I don't want to really say anything more than that. But it is a mutually agreed rate that we get together and decide on every six months. We, both sides, put in data as both sides see it. And we take that data and mutually agree. And as you know, to the extent that we have trouble with that, sometimes we'll bring a third party in as well. So we spent a fair amount of time on the prepared remarks, giving some thoughts and ideas as to where you know, where we think we could land on achieving these larger performance components. And we're going to have to go through some type of that as we move through the CEA.

speaker
David Smith
Analyst, Pickering Energy Partners

Perfect. Really appreciate it. Thanks.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Arun Jayaram with JP Morgan. Your line is open.

speaker
Arun Jayaram
Analyst, JP Morgan

Yeah, good morning, gentlemen. Robert, I wondered if you could go through some of the competitive tensions in, you know, maybe both of these awards and maybe specifically on the Shell Award. Is this incremental demand? Are you displacing an incumbent? But talk to us about, you know, opportunities for these really interesting opportunities with Shell.

speaker
Robert Eifler
President and CEO

Yeah, well, thanks. so look what the the the surname contracts are obviously incremental the the the shell contracts uh in the us that's a key basin for them uh and i think the thing that that really uh was even as attractive as anything else here uh for us was uh that these rigs if we perform we've set up a contract that rewards performance Our customers obviously expect performance out of us, and we firmly believe that if we perform and deliver what's expected of us, that these rigs will spend a decade plus without really having to make a substantial mobilization. So when we say strategic, that's a big piece of it for us. These rigs are getting to be about a little over 10 years old. So if you think about accounting lives, et cetera, you know, there's an outside chance that these things can close it out right there in the Gulf of America. We do believe that we're displacing, that this is not incremental right now. But for us, the bigger piece of this was the longevity of the potential work here.

speaker
Arun Jayaram
Analyst, JP Morgan

Great. And maybe my follow-up, Richard, you went through kind of the sequential changes in your OPEX expectations. Could you maybe elaborate on what you see in 2Q and maybe give us a sense of how you see the back half of the year in terms of OPEX, because that was significantly lower than our model in 1Q.

speaker
Richard Barker
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, sure. Very good question. So we noted in the prepared remarks that obviously we had a $20 million impact from the Regina Allen. So that was a net against cost. Obviously, that's not going to reoccur, if you will, in Q2 going on. So if you back that out, our operating costs, if you will, on the income statement, I think would have been about $480,000, $485,000. You know, inflation is real. So, you know, we do expect some inflationary pressure here, as we've talked about before, you know, in the low, mid, single-digit type area through the rest of the year. So I think that, you know, I think that kind of guides, if you will, how we think about operating costs for the rest of the year. Obviously, we talked about from a guidance perspective, low end of revenue equals midpoint of EBITDA as well. And really, cost management is really what's driving that. So we're obviously very focused on managing costs here.

speaker
spk04

um and you know we would expect hopefully to to continue to to to be aggressive um from an opex perspective going forward great i'll turn it back thanks your next question comes from the line of scott gruber with citigroup your line is open yes good morning and congrats on the new contract um and i appreciate your your assumption on the bonus capture there how will the bonuses be paid out if achieved? Are they reviewed after a certain number of wells? Is your performance review kind of on an annual basis? Just some color on when you could collect on the bonuses. That'd be great.

speaker
Robert Eifler
President and CEO

It's well by well. In actually both contracts, it's well by well. So collection would happen after. You'd have to do some sort of reconciliation of data, et cetera, and then, you know, have payment terms or whatever, but they are well-by-well bonuses.

speaker
spk04

Okay. They're fairly frequent throughout the contracts then. Okay. And then can you provide some more color on the downtime associated with the rig upgrades, you know, required on the shell contracts? And then how should we think about, you know, finding some shorter-term work for those rigs, you know, before the long-term contracts start?

speaker
Robert Eifler
President and CEO

Yeah, I think it's kind of a a couple months for us to do the actual work that would pull us out of, you know, being able to carry out other work. And so, you know, we said we've got a number of conversations ongoing right now for things that would fit in between, and we'll see how that plays out. But, yeah, in the scenario where we're able to fill substantially all of that time, we would need a couple of months to do the final installations.

speaker
spk04

Okay. I appreciate those. Thank you.

speaker
Robert Eifler
President and CEO

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Eddie Kim with Barclays. Your line is open.

speaker
Eddie Kim
Analyst, Barclays

Hey, good morning. Just wanted to ask about the performance-based nature of the contracts, which make up a meaningful proportion of the total potential value of the contract. Could you maybe just give us a sense or an example of what sort of metrics or milestones this is based on? And you mentioned that kind of normal operations would more or less equate to achieving around 40% of the performance bonuses of the contracts. And please correct me if I heard that incorrectly. But what more would be needed to get closer to realizing the full value of those performance bonuses?

speaker
Robert Eifler
President and CEO

Yeah, so they're very different. They're different mechanisms, I'd say, between the two contracts for sure. I think the important takeaway here is that both of them have a very heavy component of time drilling, so days per well. That's where we've spent a lot of time. I don't want to give any real breakdown or specifics. It's proprietary to our customers as well as us. There's obviously other components to performance. There's safety and other things, all of which we pride ourselves on. But I think about a very important driver being the time against the curve on a well. And that's really, I mean, all of it is where the win-win comes in. But in a big development, there's probably more

speaker
Eddie Kim
Analyst, Barclays

uh more to play with there in terms of the of self-funded pool got it got it that's very helpful um my father's just on the um contract expenses or i guess contract prep expenses on these so you mentioned the upgrade capex on the two rigs with shell but are the contracts prep expenses for these um larger than some of your other multi-year contracts you've announced previously, or are they more or less in line?

speaker
Richard Barker
Chief Financial Officer

I was going to say they're much, much more in line. Obviously, the capital on the shelf contracts, we've spoken about that. But think about kind of the contract prep expenses is very much in line, Eddie. Okay.

speaker
Eddie Kim
Analyst, Barclays

Great. Thanks for the call. I'll turn it back.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Greg Lewis with BTIG. Your line is open.

speaker
Greg Lewis
Analyst, BTIG

Hey, thank you, and good morning, and thanks for taking my question. Robert, we appreciate the decision to maintain the dividend. Obviously, that's a board decision that you go through frequently. You know, as we think about that over the next two, three years, longer term, as I imagine you're working through the dividend, you know, clearly this year it's going to be paid out with free cash flow. It looks based on some of the announcements today that's going to be the case. How do you, at a big picture, think about, you know, the dividend, you know, just balancing all the moving pieces of, you know, a lower oil price against a strong backlog, just kind of like any kind of How is the board thinking about that dividend? Kind of curious on that.

speaker
Robert Eifler
President and CEO

Yeah, so we're committed to the dividend. I would say we have got, if you look at our first quarter results and our guidance, you can do the math to put us to about a $250 million per quarter EBITDA run rate here. And we said in the remarks, we see that ticking up with these contracts we've just announced. And I guess the color I would add to that is that we mentioned twice in the script very deliberately that we also have line of sight to a number of additional contracts. And so there are multiple different paths to that uptick occurring sooner than the start of these contracts. It's too early to tell, so I don't want to say too much now, sitting here in early 2025. But we're encouraged, frankly, by the level of conversations we're having, by the behavior, the contracting behavior we're seeing out there in the market. And so, yeah, we're pretty confident here in our return of capital structure.

speaker
Greg Lewis
Analyst, BTIG

Okay, great. And then just on the, you know, realizing you might be limited in what you can and cannot say, but in terms of the timing of the contracts with Total and with Shell, you know, a question we often get asked is, okay, well, that's great, but when did the negotiation around the pricing actually start? You know, just kind of any kind of color around that. And then on the, I guess in the press release, we talk about the Noble V-class rigs. Was there something specific about those rigs that the customer wanted, i.e., as opposed to, like, I guess one of the black rigs is rolling off and it looks like a rig like that could be able to potentially have been slotted in for that work? Thanks.

speaker
Robert Eifler
President and CEO

Sure, yeah. Look, I'd say initial pricing happened a little while back, but the reality is that final pricing happens effectively when you sign a contract, especially in a volatile market like this. So yeah, I'd say this is very current pricing. The V-SHIPS, both of these customers are very strong supporters of the V-class rigs. The Valiant One rig of the year from Total last year, and both Shell and Total had used the V-SHIPS multiple times through time, and so they're just big supporters of those rigs, and those really were the preferred vessels. So, you know, in the case of the US, which has some, you know, different, kind of a different type of work, required higher, excuse me, requires higher hook load in some instances, there is a more limited number of higher hook load rigs out there, so we were really happy to upgrade these as part of that contract. And along with the other few upgrades we mentioned for the U.S. work, these are going to be right there with some of the highest spec rigs on earth. And that's going to be something that I mentioned before, we hope that to be right where we are for a very long time, But that's something also that would be valued by a very wide variety of clients should things change. And so, yeah, look, everything kind of matched up nicely. They have really high thruster power, so they can hold position in Suriname, which is important. But just the specs matched up very nicely for both of these programs.

speaker
Greg Lewis
Analyst, BTIG

Great. Super helpful. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Frederick Steen with Clarkson Securities. Your line is open.

speaker
Greg Lewis
Analyst, BTIG

Hey there.

speaker
Frederick Steen
Analyst, Clarkson Securities

I guess it's been said many times already, but congratulations on the very long and very nice contracts. I also have a couple of questions relating to those contracts. First, I think you said that on the back of the bookings, that you've made so far and my understanding from the prepared remarks was that these comments then kind of pointed to the shell and to tile work that there could be you know more coming down on the same line and I was wondering if you could give some you know additional color on that because obviously these four rigs will be tied up for three or four years so so to me kind of natural to assume that this could be similar long-term programs for maybe other rigs. And Shell, for example, they have other rigs that are rolling off similarly to when the startups are for the two that they've already contracted. So any color on what you meant by these comments would be super helpful. Thank you.

speaker
Robert Eifler
President and CEO

Sure. Yeah, I guess the comments and the prepared remarks were really intended to address some more near-term white space in our fleet where we have Tad Piper- A number of active conversations right now, and so you know too early to tell and all that and in there's obviously competition. Tad Piper- But we're encouraged with the level of detail and the number of conversations that we're having right now, as you look kind of it spots with near term availability in our fleet. Tad Piper- I would say. I said earlier kind of my bit about the U.S. Gulf. It's a premium base, and we think that those rigs could stay there a very long time. And I would say also our experience elsewhere, perhaps in relation to Suriname, but it really applies anywhere, is that in a collaborative setting where the collective team is delivering very strong results, you do open up additional work. So yes, we're addressing the, to some extent we're addressing the issue of efficiency where we get paid for higher efficiency. But I think sometimes the unnoticed piece of that is that efficiency leads to more work in and of itself. And so, you know, we're particularly excited really about both of these basins, but especially in really a new basin like Suriname. about the potential of really unlocking kind of the maximum amount of work ultimately in the area.

speaker
Frederick Steen
Analyst, Clarkson Securities

Yeah, that's actually very helpful, which brings me to my follow-ups, which goes back to the incentive structures of this. I think for the shell work, you know, you're talking about the 20% of the base rate that you can earn, and it seems to be related to the the speed of the wealth really but it's worded a bit differently for the total contract does that mean that you know this potential additional revenue is that potential additional day rate revenue for you guys with no additional cost or is it any other type of additional revenue that might be a lower margin revenue or you know related to additional services or anything

speaker
Robert Eifler
President and CEO

If you could give some clarity on that, that would also be very helpful. Thanks. Sure, yeah. It's a very good question. Actually, now that you've brought it up. No, it's all day rate. There's nothing in there that's margin. It's all 100% margin potential there. The wording is different only because we work with our customers to print what works for all parties, and we're You know, we just, that's where we ended on the wording. But no, there's nothing to read between the lines there. These are truly day rate bonuses.

speaker
Frederick Steen
Analyst, Clarkson Securities

All right. That's very clear. Thank you so much. Have a good day. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Noel Parks with Tuohy Brothers. Your line is open.

speaker
Noel Parks
Analyst, Tuohy Brothers

Hello. Just wanted to a follow-up on sort of a housekeeping thing. During the remarks, the financial remarks, there was something about lease items left over from the acquisition. So could you just go over those again?

speaker
Richard Barker
Chief Financial Officer

Sure, sure, Noel. So it's the diamond BOP leases. So essentially, just wanted to state that those are running through operating expenses, if you will. So just want to be clear on where that hits on the financial statements. So it's about $26 million here in 2025. Great. Thanks for the clarification. And

speaker
Noel Parks
Analyst, Tuohy Brothers

You know, I wonder, at this point, and I realize, of course, we have a backdrop of uncertainty, any inkling of whether tariffs have the potential to move the needle on suppliers' input costs to a degree that, you know, anything could get passed on as you look out to future projects?

speaker
Richard Barker
Chief Financial Officer

Sure. The short answer is yes. It's a very fluid situation right now. We talked about it relates to 2025 for Noble. We estimate this will impact less than $15 million, and that can change as things play out. On the steel side, that's something we're obviously focused on a lot. You know, ultimately, you know, we would expect, you know, cost increases to generally get passed through to us. We're obviously managing that as well as we can. And so, you know, that's why we wanted to provide some guidance as we see the world today from a 2025 perspective. But obviously, if things change materially from that, then obviously we would expect a bigger impact to us here going forward, maybe into 2026 as an example.

speaker
Noel Parks
Analyst, Tuohy Brothers

Great. Thanks a lot.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

There are no further questions at this time. Mr. Robert Eifler, I will hand the call back over to you.

speaker
Robert Eifler
President and CEO

Thanks, everyone, for joining us today. We look forward to catching up with you at the next quarter.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you so much. This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.

Disclaimer

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Q1NE 2025

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