4/23/2025

speaker
Operator

which can be found on our website. We have begun the year with a strong operational performance, which in turn has driven a robust financial performance. These results enabled us to generate record first-quarter free cash flow and have kept us on track to deliver on our full-year commitments. And last week, we also reached an important milestone for Newmont with the completion of our divestment program, positioning us to continue to strengthen our balance sheet, return capital to shareholders, and apply our full attention to our go-forward portfolio. With the first quarter and our divestment program now under our belt, Newmont's priorities for 2025 remain clear and unchanged. First, to strengthen our safety culture. Second, to stabilise our 11 managed operations. And third, to execute on capital returns. Starting with our safety culture, for every person who works at Newmont, safety is more than a priority. It is a core value, one that is fundamental to who we are and how we operate. In the first quarter, we saw a notable decrease in the frequency of significant potential events that we are experiencing across our business, a key lagging indicator for safety performance. This improvement was driven by visible self-leadership in the field, a more consistent application of our safety systems, and an increased focus on learning from incidents and implementing corrective actions. Over the last year, we have been diligently undertaking a refresh of our safety work. And with the completion of our divestment program and the clarity of our go-forward portfolio, this month we launched Always Safe, our reinvigorated safety program, focused on delivering a set of prioritised improvements across our portfolio of managed operations and projects, as well as our exploration and legacy sites. Moving to our operations. During the first quarter, we produced 1.5 million ounces of gold and 35,000 tonnes of copper, in line with our full-year guidance and the indications we provided on our last earnings call. And as a consequence, we generated $2 billion of cash flow for operations and $1.2 billion in free cash flow, both first quarter records. On the back of safe and stable operating performance, these results were favourably impacted by the rise in gold price in recent months, driven by unprecedented volatility in our global financial and commodity markets. And although it is still early days, we are closely monitoring the evolving tariff situation and are very much focused on managing the variables that are within our control. I'm really pleased that we have successfully completed the divestment of all six of our high-quality non-core operations through the program we announced early last year. At the end of February, we finalised the sale of Musselwhite and Eleonore in Canada and Cripple Creek and Victor here in the United States. And last week, we completed the sale of porcupine in Canada and a chimp in Ghana. From these five transactions, we have now received more than $2.5 billion in after-tax cash proceeds this year. And when you combine these proceeds with those from the sale of Telfer and our other investments last year, we have generated a total of $3.2 billion in after-tax cash proceeds. And on top of that, when valued at today's prices, we now have nearly $1.2 billion in both equity and deferred consideration. This is a significant milestone for Newmont as the completion of this divestment program over the last year has enabled us to sharpen our focus on safely improving the performance of our go-forward portfolio of 11 managed operations and three projects in execution. To further strengthen our balance sheet, with $1.5 billion in debt retired over the last 12 months, including $1 billion repaid since the start of this year, and to deliver on our third priority, capital returns. Well, we have now completed approximately $2 billion in share repurchases from our $3 billion program, including $755 billion so far this year. Building upon our solid performance -to-date and looking ahead to the rest of the year, we remain on track to achieve our 2025 commitments and progress our disciplined capital allocation priorities. As we move into the second quarter, we will continue to focus on safely generating industry-leading free cash flow, maintaining a strong financial position and investment rate balance sheet, and returning capital to shareholders with predictable dividends and ongoing sharing purchases. With that, I'll now turn it to Natasha to take you through our operational performance and then Karen to take you through our financial results and capital allocation achievements. Over to you, Natasha.

speaker
Natasha

Thank you, Tom. Our first quarter operational results were in line with our previous indications, and we remain on track to meet our full-year guidance. With this in mind, from an operational standpoint, we are focused on two simple but very important objectives. First and foremost is continuing to strengthen our safety culture as Tom covered at the start of his remarks. And second is executing with consistency and focus to deliver on our performance metrics. I will now step through the progress we made during the last quarter at each of the large long-life assets in our portfolio, starting with our tier one copper gold operation, Kadia. In the first quarter, Kadia delivered consistent production while also successfully completing planned maintenance activities at our mall. We are continuing the transition to our new panel cave PC2-3 and expect gold and copper production to be approximately 60% weighted towards the first half of the year. As factored into our guidance, we expect to continue delivering lower grades until the panel cave is fully ramped up and the last doorbell is fired in the second half of 2026. In funding to this, we are progressing the underground development for PC1-2 and we are also continuing to catch up on the historical underinvestment in both tailings remediation and storage capacity, as mentioned during our last earnings call. At TANMI, we focused on underground development as planned. As a direct result, we continue to expect to access higher grade stops in the third quarter and deliver more than 30% step up in production in the second half of the year. In addition, we are also advancing the expansion project at TANMI with the completion of the shaft and underground materials handling systems remaining on schedule. We completed the installation of a paint test or an in-shaft barrier, which is a significant milestone for the project. The paint test allows us to isolate the lower part of the shaft from work happening in the upper portion. With this barrier in place, we are able to rise for the bottom 160 meters of the shaft while concurrently fitting out the top portion with services and infrastructure without risk of harm to the people below. This is just one example of the innovative work our team is doing to safely and efficiently advance this project. Due to these efforts, we remain on track to begin commissioning of our 1.5 kilometer shaft in the first half of 2027 and reach commercial production by the second half of that year. At Boddington, we completed our scheduled plant shutdown for maintenance and primarily processed the lower grade stockpiles in the first quarter. We continued stripping laybacks in both the north and south bits, which is expected to continue through early next year. However, by the fourth quarter, we expect to start adding higher grade gold ore from the mine to our mill feed. As a result, we anticipate a strong finish to the year from Boddington with gold production approximately 53% weighted to the second half of the year. Shifting now to Lahir, we delivered solid gold production in the first quarter and successfully completed a total plant shutdown for maintenance, building upon two autoclave rebuilds last year. We expect to maintain this production momentum into the second quarter. We thought production declined slightly in the second half of the year when we begin processing lower grade material as part of our planned mine sequence. Moving to Penaschito, in March we achieved a new daily record with 10,000 gold equivalent ounces produced in a single day. In the first quarter, we continued to deliver strong gold production and steady co-product production from high grades in the Penaschito pit. Gold production levels are expected to remain relatively steady through the second quarter before beginning to shift to a higher proportion of silver, lead, and zinc content through the third and fourth quarters. And the lower proportion of gold as planned. At our half-o complex, our half-o south continued to deliver strong gold production from both the Subika open pit and underground operations. We expect the strain to continue through the second quarter before we move to mining lower grade ore from the Awansu pit. As we mine the last ore and complete the final phase of the Subika open pit during the second quarter, we are closely monitoring and safely managing the interaction between the open pit and Subika underground mining activities beneath it. And as production from our half-o south declines in the second quarter, my apologies, in the second half of the year, we expect new low-cost ounces to come in from our half-o north project later this year. During the first quarter, we completed the highway diversion and are preparing to commence the commissioning of the mill and processing facilities next month. We expect to pour our first gold in the second half of the year, and we look forward to declaring commercial production towards the end of the year. Finally, I want to touch on two of the emerging tier one assets in our portfolio. At Cerro Negro, our focus remains on strengthening safety performance and culture at this underground mine. And although we were temporary pauses in milling during the first quarter, as part of our focused efforts to improve safety, the team did an excellent job stockpiling the ore mine and positioning Cerro Negro to ramp up production in the second quarter. Yanakocho has remained a strong performer, increasing production volumes by 13% over the last quarter. And we expect to find this momentum through the rest of the year as we continue to recover ounces from the leach pads with the application of our patented injection leaching technology. Taking all of these factors into account and including the ounces from our non-managed assets, we continue to expect that gold production from our core portfolio will remain around 52% weighted towards the second half of the year with approximately 24% of this year production volumes expected in the second quarter. We also continue to anticipate that capital spent from our core portfolio will remain first half weighted as indicated. And with lower than planned capital expenditures for the first quarter, we expect sustaining capital spent at several of our global management operations to increase in the second quarter, particularly at Kadia, where we are investing in a tiling strategy to support cave development and extend mine life as mentioned in our last earnings call. I will now turn it over to Karen for a review of our financial priorities and performance. Over to you, Karen. Thanks, Natasha.

speaker
Natasha

Let's turn to the next slide and get started with our first quarter results. As Tom mentioned, Newmont reported strong financial results in the first quarter, driven by robust production volumes and a supportive gold price environment. And gold all in sustaining costs remained in line with our four-year guidance at $1,651 per ounce for the first quarter. Taking this into account, Newmont delivered adjusted EBITDA of 2.6 billion and adjusted net income of $1.25 per diluted share. The most significant adjustments to net income for the quarter were 25 cents, primarily related to a gain from the sale of non-core assets as part of the successful completion of our divestiture program that Tom mentioned previously. And 25 cents related to unrealized -to-market gains on equity investments and options, primarily driven by an appreciation in the shares received from the sale of our tele-pro operation and interest in the Havron project. But most noteworthy, we generated 2 billion of cashflow from operations and 1.2 billion in free cashflow, setting a new record for first quarter cashflow performance at Newmont. And these results are exclusive of the 1.7 billion in after-tax proceeds received from the divestitures completed in the first quarter and the approximate $850 million received in April. However, as we look ahead to the second quarter, we expect working capital to be adversely impacted by the regular timing of cash tax payments, which are typically highest in the second quarter, and the timing of interest payments, which are typically highest in the second and fourth quarters. Additionally, we expect to pay approximately 200 million in cash taxes related to the finalization of non-accord investments. Although the proceeds are recorded as investing activities on the statement of cash flows, these tax payments will come through as working capital adjustments. Also impacting working capital, we expect to continue ramping up spending for the water treatment plants at Yanticocha, which was significantly lower than planned during the first quarter. Additionally, we expect our sustaining and development capital to increase into the second quarter compared to the first quarter, as Natasha just mentioned. And with the recent completion of our divestiture program, our financial results will no longer include the production and associated free cashflow from our non-corporating assets, which was approximately 200 million in the first quarter. While we are pleased with our record cashflow performance during the first quarter and the strong cashflows we expect to generate in future quarters, we realize that we still have work to do to improve our margins and leverage the full strength of our portfolio for the benefit of our shareholders. As we look ahead to the remainder of the year, we remain committed to our shareholder-focused capital allocation strategy, which includes maintaining a strong balance of capital balance sheet, steadily funding cash-generative capital projects, and returning capital to shareholders. Beginning with our first commitment, we maintained a strong and flexible balance sheet and end of the quarter with 4.7 billion in cash above our target average of 3 billion. And it's worth noting that in addition to our cash balance, following the successful completion of our divestiture program, our equity stakes in Greatly Gold, Discovery Silver, and our existing position in Orla Mining are now valued at over 1 billion. As Tom mentioned, the proceeds generated from our non-corporate divestiture program have more than exceeded the initial commitment we made to the market when we announced the binding agreement to acquire Newcrest in May of 2023. As a result, we achieved our debt target of up to 8 billion faster than originally anticipated, and we reached an outstanding principal balance of 7.8 billion as of March 31st. Taking into account the strong gold price environment we are benefiting from today and the feedback we have received from our investors, we are continuing to assess opportunities to further reduce our outstanding debt. Proactively creating a flexible and resilient balance sheet that is able to navigate commodity price fluctuations. Moving to the second commitment in our capital allocation strategy. We continued to steadily reinvest in our business with the goal of generating robust free cash flow over the long term. And in the first quarter, we incurred 459 million in sustaining capital and 323 million in development capital as we continue to advance our highest return projects from our deep organic pipeline. And as we look ahead, we expect capital spend at several of our managed operations to ramp up in the second quarter, as I just mentioned. And finally, moving to our third commitment, we continue to return capital to shareholders. We declared a fixed common first quarter dividend of 25 cents per share, consistent with the past six quarters. And we repurchased 755 million in shares so far in 2025. And as we continue to generate free cash flow from our unmatched portfolio of tier one operations, we remain well positioned to reward our shareholders with predictable dividends and ongoing share repurchases in 2025 and beyond. And with that, I'll turn it back to Tom.

speaker
Operator

Thanks, Karen. So bringing it all together, we have had a safe and strong start to the year, producing 1.5 million ounces of gold, 35,000 tonnes of copper, as well as 6 million ounces of silver and 59,000 tonnes of zinc, generating record first quarter free cash flow of $1.2 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $2.6 billion. And we remain on track to achieve our 2025 guidance. We also completed our investment program, receiving more than $2.5 billion in net cash proceeds this year. And we continue to advance our disciplined capital allocation strategy, strengthening our balance sheet with $1 billion in debt reduction, as well as delivering $1 billion in shareholder returns through our predictable dividend and ongoing share repurchases so far this year. And we are very focused on ensuring that we carry this momentum into the second quarter and the remainder of 2025. And with that, I'll thank you for your time and turn it back over to the operator to open the line for questions.

speaker
Karen

We will now begin the question and answer session. We ask that you please limit inquiries to one primary question and one follow-up question. To ask a question, you may press star, then one on your touchtone phone. If you are using a speakerphone, please pick up your headset before asking a question. To withdraw your question, please press star followed by two. At this time, we will pause to assemble our roster. Our first question comes from Matthew Murphy with the company BMO Capital Markets. Matthew, your line is not open.

speaker
Matthew

Hi, congrats on the strong start to the year. Maybe just getting right into an operational question, looking through sort of the details on the quarter. Lee here, cash costs dropped a lot, and I know you're focused on running it per margin. How should we think about the cash cost profile there? How is that program on mining for margin? Are you being surprised at all on the cost levels you're achieving?

speaker
Operator

I'll pick it up, and then Matt, then pass across to Karen to build. Certainly our focus in here is very much about configuring the mine to sustainably work through, particularly in phase 14A. So our focus very much, we got through some big shutdowns last year. Full rebuild of two auto closings, including the large one, auto-clos four, which is 40% of the throughput capacity. We took that back to the shell and then built it back out again. So a lot of activity in the second part of last year, getting the plan set up with a couple of those big shutdowns, and then configuring the mine to ensure I've got the roads of an appropriate size with the appropriate drainage. You'll see that step up in sustaining capital in the second quarter associated with continuing some of that work. So from a Lahir operations perspective, very much about setting both the mine and the processing plan up for stable, reliable performance. Karen, do you want to pick up the specifics of Matt's question? Yeah, Matt, in

speaker
Natasha

terms of the cost. So Lahir, there's approximately 100 million impact from inventory adjustments in the quarter. This represents non-cash impact to cash, and so that will normalize over time through the year. So the expectation is that Lahir will meet its four-year cost guidance.

speaker
Matthew

OK, thanks. And then as a second question, just, you know, you've been very active on the buyback in April, and I think you noted it would be, you know, related to the asset divestitures, but can you give any commentary about how you think about the pace of the buyback? Like, will it be a front half of the year weighted capital return because you've got more proceeds coming in, or do you look at maybe going a slower pace over the rest of the year?

speaker
Natasha

Yeah, thanks Matt. Look, we're continuing to do the share buyback. We do have a build in cash, and as you pointed out, we do have the divestitures that came in in, the proceeds came in in April. So that couples with our outlook in terms of the gold price and the elevated gold price. So we will continue to do the share buyback as the cash flow comes in. And obviously, it's been a very robust share buyback program with the overperformance on the divestitures. And so the proceeds from that we're continuing to do share buybacks with. And then, of course, with the elevated gold price, we'll continue to do share buybacks through the remainder of the year into next year.

speaker
Matthew

OK, thank you. Thanks, Matt.

speaker
Karen

Next question comes from Daniel Morgan with the company Bear and Jolly. Daniel, your line is not open.

speaker
Daniel Morgan

Hi, Tom and Tim. A philosophical question. The gold price is near record high, is higher than I think any of us anticipated. What does this mean for how you manage your business, if anything? Thank you.

speaker
Operator

Good day, Dan. Thanks for the question. We've been through a pretty significant transformation, acquiring in Newcrest, integrating those operations, configuring some of those new operations to deliver on their long-term potential, and completing a pretty ambitious divestiture program over the last 12 months. So literally last week, we got our hands on our go-forward portfolio and we're in an investment cycle. So we've got unit costs that are higher where they should be for a portfolio than the quality of the one we've assembled. So we are very, very focused on delivering the safety, cost and productivity performance that this portfolio deserves, irrespective of the gold price. So we'll enjoy the benefit of the gold prices, but our focus is on delivering the potential of the 11 managed operations that we are currently operating, commissioning a -o'-north later this year, completing the shaft, commissioning that in 27, and continuing to build our Panel Cave 2-3 through the course of this year and into next, and ultimately bringing on 1-2 in the years after that. So a very sober focus on what we control. Thanks, Dan.

speaker
Daniel Morgan

Thank you. And then maybe just turning to growth, could you just define on which projects might be coming to consideration, you know, to the board level, or, you know, what the timeline are, what the major projects that you might be considering over the next 12 months or more to sanction for investment?

speaker
Operator

Thanks, Dan. The starting point, so linked to your earlier, your first question is very robust view on the amount of capital that we allocate towards development capital. The $1.3 billion is fully consumed at the moment with a -o'-north, the Tanami expansion and the Block Caves in Cardia. But as we commission a -o'-north the second half of this year, and importantly as it ramps up and it hits its straps in 2026, we've then got an opportunity to think about whether there is a project that deserves capital going forward. When I look at our project pipeline, I would argue that Redcrisp is in prime position and it's spot to lose. But we've got work we're doing this year to build out a feasibility study to a GEMON standard. And there's quite a bit of work happening this year on that study. And we continue to do some underground development work to continue to develop out. Some of the early works in that cave. And it's important that we engage with the Taotan and the British Columbian government to ensure we've got the permits in place so that when ultimately the project washes its face, that we've got all pieces in place to build out that Block Cave. But as I look at our project pipeline, look at where we sit with Redcrisp and the quality of that ore body, we've got another cave up with multiple Block Caves ready to bring on. And I think it's Redcrisp's Block Cave's spot to lose in terms of the next project that we sanction.

speaker
Daniel Morgan

Thanks so much,

speaker
Operator

Tom. Thanks, Peter.

speaker
Karen

Next question comes from Tanya Jokuskinec with the company Scotiabank. Tanya, your line is not open.

speaker
Tanya

Great. Thank you very much for taking my question. Just wanted to ask about the tariffs, Tom. Sorry, I have a cold. I just wanted to ask about your initial work, and I understand that this tariff situation is quite fluid, but I'm trying to understand from a very high level. When you look at your cost structure, I'm interested in what part of your cost structure do you think will be greatly – would be impacted by the addition of tariffs. So I'm going to start first with the consumable side, which is about 30% of your cost structure. Maybe you can talk a little bit about what sort of consumables would you see being impacted. And then the second portion of the cost structure obviously is labor, which is a significant portion that would come with inflation. And then I'm assuming another portion would be any sustaining capital that would involve new equipment, fleet, et cetera. So I'm interested if you have any new fleet replacement or other that's happening this year. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

Thanks, Tanya, and well done for getting through that with that. I imagine that cold. Obviously, as you say, lots of moving parts at the moment that we're monitoring closely. I'd also say that one of the benefits of having a globally diverse portfolio is we can manage these sorts of risks across our global business, so we're well placed from that perspective. Maybe just stepping through the different categories as you talked about, as you said, labor represents half of our cost base, our direct cost base. So what we're seeing in terms of the labor, both our employees and the contractor services, and we enter into long-term relationships with the various contractors, is consistent with what we're seeing in our budgeted amounts. So we're seeing no particular impacts in half of our cost base around some of the tariff volatility. So look at that. 30% of materials are consumables, and the different components that sit underneath that. Grinding media is heavily exposed to steel prices, so we are seeing a bit of upward pressure on grinding media. Again, we source that from a number of different locations. We have multiple supply chains with our operations around the globe. Ammonia and cyanide, mixed trends, primarily is being influenced by regional natural gas price fluctuations, and we're actually seeing some reduced natural gas prices in Europe. We're seeing some volatile natural gas costs in the US, so a bit of a mixed bag when it comes to ammonia and cyanide. We look at explosives. At this point in time, it's looking pretty flat, and we'll keep monitoring that. And again, we continue to actively monitor particularly that materials and consumables area. We've got a global supply chain team. A lot of those arrangements are long-term, strategic in nature, and those relationships are robust. 15% of our cost is energy, and if anything, we're seeing some tailwinds in the AGI price based upon what oil is doing, so we're getting a little bit of a benefit from that. So lots of moving parts, monitoring closely, but at this stage, what we're seeing is consistent with what we assume for this year. So hopefully that provides some color for you, Tanya.

speaker
Tanya

Maybe just a follow-up on my sustaining capital question as well. Are you having to replace any significant fleet trucks at the operations this year that could be impacted should there be?

speaker
Operator

Nothing specific for us, Tanya. I mean, the new mine at Hartford North has got their fleet there now. It's been there for some time. And then if I look across the rest of our business, there's nothing in terms of fleet change out for our managed operations through the course of this year. You're then looking at rotables that may be, or parts that you're buying that may come from different parts of the world. And the two operations, the two areas that may start to see some tariff pressure would be the Genesquito with some parts that you might buy from the US, or Red Cruiser and Bruce Jack that you might buy from parts from the US. But monitoring that closely, but in the overall scheme of things, nothing material.

speaker
Tanya

Okay. And no labor contracts are expiring this

speaker
Operator

year? In terms of labor agreements, we've got a new dressing point at Kadia, which is essentially an Australian workplace law. You've got some underpinning agreements that underpin up staff contracts. So we're going through a negotiation with our team at Kadia. There's nothing particularly of note there when it comes to tariff volatility. We've just completed one at Genesquito in recent times, and we're working through one at Miriam. So again, I would describe those negotiations as pretty standard fare and nothing around tariff volatility that's part of those discussions. They're more domestic issues in terms of shift rosters and the like.

speaker
Karen

Our next question comes from Lawson Winder with the company Bank of America. Lawson, your line is now open.

speaker
Lawson Winder

Thank you very much, operator, and hello Tom and team. Nice quarterly result. And thank you for today's update. Could I ask about a Huffle North key project for Newmont? Could you maybe describe the progress in 2025 to date and how it's tracking to your expectations in terms of development ramp up spend? And then have there been any surprises, whether positive or negative? And then the question I really want to get to is when you turn to 2026 and you think about the progress to date, is that run rate production level of 275 to 325,000 ounces expected to be achieved in that year? Thank you.

speaker
Operator

I'd like to pick up the second part, and then get Natasha to... It's a pretty exciting time for a Huffle North, because you're seeing everything come out of the ground. The blueprint for a Huffle North is essentially the same foeshoot as Miriam and a Chim and a Huffle South. So bringing on that mine and the processing facility is something we... is in our wheelhouse and something we know well, and lots of people have got lots of experience of commissioning that type of all through that plan. So what we've got in our guidance for next year and the ramp up to those numbers is consistent with getting to commercial production towards the end of this year and then going through our paces to get up to that level. I wouldn't say Lawson there's an upside to that. I think it's a robust view of bringing on a mine or a foeshoot that we know well through 2026. But Natasha, do you want to step back and talk about how the project's going here and now?

speaker
Natasha

Yeah, I can probably... Hi, Lawson. Just going to a little bit more of the details of what we've completed this year so far. I think the project is really tracking well. The first thing that's important for us considering that we did lose a colleague when we lost Kobe last year is, of course, safety. So there's a material amount of focus. We have... It's the high construction period that we're in now. We have high numbers of people on site and making sure that the concurrent work, multiples of contractors on site are being done safely. A critical milestone for us to really start the or continue the stripping and complete the tailings dam was the diversion of the highway diversion that was completed. So we've managed to really get into tailings dam and continue the stripping of the mine. Power lines with HD voltage switch yard completed, sag and ball more completed, and our CIL tank's erected. Currently underway is really that last bit of the plant. We're into piping into electrical cabling. So quite a bit of cabling coming in now. And the critical part is absolutely on the plant cabling and piping to get ready for commissioning of the processing facilities. I think tracking well, good focus from a safety point of view, and we're all looking forward to the first bulb ball.

speaker
Lawson Winder

Okay, fantastic. Thank you for that, Natasha. If I could ask my follow up question on Lahir, with the benefit of another quarter, what are you thinking now as a long term sustainable level of gold production for that asset? You did 800,000 ounces last year. Obviously, we know you've got it to 600,000 this year. Is something in the middle like 700,000 a good through the cycle average number to think of?

speaker
Operator

Yeah, I think also if you look at Lahir, we're basically getting that pit configured to the size mine that it is. And ensuring we've got the processing plan in good nick in terms of availability and reliability. And as we configure that mine and build out Facebook, we know we're in the lower grades of ore for the next couple of years. So you're in that period of configuring that mine and moving waste and therefore processing more low grade ore and stockpile. I think as I indicated in the February call that we come out of that stripping campaign in the 2028 timeframe. So you're going to be relatively consistent with where we are now. But as you step out of that stripping campaign and get into the higher grades, you start to get into the, for an open pit mine, a high twos in terms of grams per tonne. Then you're looking at about a 30% increase in gold production as you come through that. And then our expectation will be is that how do you then start to ensure that you can maintain those production levels because we've got the mine appropriately configured going forward. So taking the time to configure that pit properly, step away from the engineered wall around a lower rock and do a more traditional lay back. And then as we've indicated, plus 30% increase in production on 2024 levels, kicking in from about 2028. Thanks, Lawson. Next question.

speaker
Karen

Absolutely. Our next question comes from Hugo Nicolassi with the company Goldman Sachs. Hugo, your line is now open.

speaker
Hugo Nicolassi

Hi, Tom, Natasha, Karen. Congrats on the strong start to the year. I also firstly just want to follow up on costs and the timing of costs moving into the second quarter. Look, I appreciate that this is largely on timing, but is there anything to call out in terms of work completions or equipment delivery that we should think about in terms of then tangible impacts to production into the second quarter?

speaker
Operator

Yeah, it's pretty vanilla, Hugo. It's productions, Q1, Q2 are going to look very similar. Starting capital is the one we, I think, was out of our band remarks. So a bit lighter in the first quarter. And then as we get into some finer weather in different parts of the world, some increased spend around Kadia, a bit more standard here around roads and drainage. Bruce Jack, Greg Chris, as you get into the better weather, some greater spend then. But in the 52% weighted starting capital in the first half of the year versus the second. So it's that balance again. You'll see higher starting capital spend in the second quarter. But everything is tracking with what we would expect, so no particular call out for long.

speaker
Hugo Nicolassi

Great. Thanks for clarifying, Tom. And then just the second one, picking up on Karen's comments around the opportunities to repay debt early. I guess how should we think about the objectives there? I mean, is it debt levels or flexibility or interest costs? Just because if I look at the debt facilities you have in place at the moment, you know, other than the 2039 notes, most still have pretty compelling rates in today's environment. And your liquidity continues to grow organically on the capital management framework. So I guess across the question is, you know, with gold where it is, what do you think you need that flexibility for?

speaker
Natasha

Sure. No specific intent at this time. But as we move through this high gold price environment, coupled with, you know, with a very uncertain economic time, we will look for opportunities to further buffer the balance sheet. Right. So while we're continuing this reinvestment in the business and returning capital to shareholders with a predictable dividend coupled with the continued share buyback, well, if there's opportunities for us to continue to buffer that balance sheet, we'll look to do that. Again, we've got a robust share buyback program in place as a result of the gold price as well as the divestiture proceeds. And of course, we've got the dividend is where it needs to be from a fixed predictable dividend that we believe the market will ascribe value to. So again, I think we have an opportunity here as we go forward to continue to shore up the balance sheet, but no specific intent at this point.

speaker
Karen

Next question comes from Daniel Major with the company UBS. Daniel, your line of development.

speaker
Daniel Major

Yeah. Thanks very much for the questions. The first one. Well done on the execution in the divestments. So far, when you look at the portfolio now, I know you've you've done what you've you've targeted. Is it still optimal? Is there anything else in the portfolio that you think could be monetized? I'm thinking specifically like Marion, Sarah Negro, still relatively high cost and smaller scale. You know, why do they sit in the core portfolio?

speaker
Operator

Thanks, Daniel. It's been a significant body of work for us over the last three years to integrate and rationalize. And the most important thing for us to do now is to get down and go for the portfolio. We've literally had to go for the portfolio for seven days and ensuring that we're focused on safety, cost and productivity, delivering on the potential of the elephants in that portfolio, the big key assets. And then realizing the potential of those emerging T1 assets and having a red hot go at realizing the potential of those emerging T1 assets. And at the end of the day, if we can't see a pathway to T1, then that's a decision down the track. But we're literally seven days into our go for portfolio with the full bandwidth of this leadership team. So our focus is getting after delivering on the potential of the T1s and proving up the potential of the emerging T1s. So that's very much our focus.

speaker
Daniel Major

OK, thanks. And my follow up on the cash returns, you clearly indicated the intention to return the investment proceeds. But at this kind of gold price environment, you're generating meaningful additional cash flow above that sort of level. I mean, could we expect buybacks to significantly exceed the investment proceeds this year if the gold price stays at this sort of level?

speaker
Natasha

Right. So no change to our financial policies, right? So we've talked about holding an average of three billion of cash on the balance sheet at quarter ends. That'll be a higher balance just in terms of the timing of our cash needs. But generally speaking, that's where our cash will be. We've always set up to eight billion. Like I said, we'll continue to look at maybe some opportunities to bring that down a bit. Our debt cap and our sustaining capital are set. And so beyond that, we've got the dividend that's also set, fixed dollar dividend. So beyond that, any free cash flow that we're generating, the expectation is we will continue to return that capital this year at buybacks.

speaker
Karen

Our next question comes from Anita Sony with the company -B-C. Anita, your line is now open.

speaker
Anita Sony

Hi, Tom. Congratulations on a solid start to the year. Everyone's asked a lot of questions on capital allocation and probably have asked most of the questions I would ask about tariffs. I guess I'm now at the point where I'm like, could you go through just from a geopolitical standpoint, the regions that you operate in, any of the, you know, is there anything that you're thinking about or concerned about with not just tariffs, but more of a sort of a, you know, as foreign direct investment and foreign aid is pulled from various areas, are there any regions where you're concerned about your investments or changes in government stance on royalties and taxes and things like that?

speaker
Operator

Thanks. Thanks, Anita. Thanks, Tom. Thanks, Tim. Thanks, Richard. I guess my initial reaction to that question is where DMOND chooses to operate has always been very deliberate. So we look to be in the jurisdictions where we are able to have respect for the rule of law, a stability or investment agreement is in place and respected, and the relationships we build with the governments are strategic and long-term. And that's been very much part of, DMOND's been for a long time, and very much part of how we shape our go-forward portfolio, which is globally diverse, which helps balance out some of those risks. But I think about the different locations that we're in, whether that be Australia, Papua New Guinea, Ghana, Canada, Mexico, Suriname, Peru and Argentina. They are all very robust jurisdictions and seeing, certainly something we'll continue to monitor, but we certainly think about the length of time that's been in those jurisdictions, the relationships we have, and we continue to manage those relationships constructively, but seeing no particular risks as we see the world in front of us.

speaker
Anita Sony

Okay, thank you. And then just another follow-up, I guess, on capital allocation. You've done a path of obviously divestments and someone else just asked about was there further rationalization of the portfolio, but are there any areas where you think you might want to improve your exposure, I guess is the best way to put it? I'm just trying to understand with the cash balance that's obviously going to grow at these gold prices, are you looking to perhaps invest in some smaller scale projects or improve your sort of JV portfolio or things like that?

speaker
Operator

Thanks, Ed. We're pretty clear that what we've done to arrive at the portfolio, we have the discipline around the capital allocation to the development projects and ensuring that we stick to that $1.3 billion discipline. And it's as much about the cash you allocate to that as it is the project execution risk. No changes on that front. And I think I was saying in one of the earlier questions, we've been through two or three years of pretty significant transformational change for a week. We've had our hands on our Go Forward portfolio projects, operations, and our joint ventures, and I think very much focused on stability and safely delivering our commitments from that portfolio.

speaker
Karen

Next question comes from Andrew Bowler with the company Macquarie. Andrew, your line is not open.

speaker
Andrew

G'day, Tom and Tim. Thanks for not going ahead and saying that last year. But just a question on the pipeline. I mean, obviously, loud and clear, it sounds like Red Chris is certainly an excellent cab off the rank. But in terms of Wafi Gold, can you just give us an update as to how that's going? Any discussions you've had recently with the government or very loose timelines on that project, please?

speaker
Operator

Thanks, Andrew. The process with Wafi Gold, obviously, it's a joint venture with Harmony. We've had a framework, MAU, that shapes what are a very competitive basis for ultimately a mineral development contract that can then be converted into a special mining leach. And we continue to work constructively with the PNG government and work very well with Harmony as our joint venture partners. We're very clear on the boundaries of which we're prepared to negotiate. We continue to have robust discussions. We continue to have regular engagement with the PNG government up to and including the Prime Minister. And we look forward to continuing to have constructive engagement and to be able to convert, which I think is a very robust competitive memorandum of understanding into a mineral development contract and ultimately a special mining leach. But we're prepared to sit at the table and negotiate and take the time needed to ensure that we have an agreement in place that ensures the capital intensity for a project of that size can get a return of that investment over time.

speaker
Andrew

Okay, yeah. So, long story short, you're just at a stage where you're trying to hammer out a deal in terms of an economic share arrangement with the government, essentially. Is that a good way to summarize?

speaker
Operator

Yeah, that is a good way to summarize it, Andrew. And it's really important you get those agreements in place at the start before we start making big commitments. So that's where we'll put the time and effort.

speaker
Karen

Our last question comes from Al Harvey with the company JPMorgan. Al, your line is now open.

speaker
Matthew

Yeah, good morning. Good day, all. Just a quick follow up on the divestments. You did mention you've still got some value there in the equity stakes in Greatland and Discovery. So I just wanted to get a sense of the option for these and just remind us of any lockup periods on those stakes.

speaker
Operator

Yeah, thanks, Al. There is some lockup periods on those different agreements. I don't actually have that at the tip of my fingers. I'm looking across at Peter Toth who's in the room who can maybe talk to both of those. Yeah, I think that Discovery's definitely got a lockup of the order of 12 months. We've just closed that transaction in the last week. And then Greatland's linked to their listing on the ASX. And obviously that's getting a little bit of media coverage in Australia as they gear up for that in the June timeframe. And then the ability to maybe think about what that holding might look like and how it might transact. There are some lockups and also some listings on the ASX to go tap it out. Sure, thanks, Tommy. Thanks,

speaker
Matthew

mate.

speaker
Karen

This concludes the question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Tom Palmer for closing remarks.

speaker
Operator

Thank you, operator. Thank you, everyone, for making the time to join this call and for the Australians on the call. I hope you get some time off for ANZAC Day and a bit of time to reflect upon the sacrifices that others have made and otherwise enjoy the rest of your day. Or evening. Thanks, everyone.

speaker
Karen

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.

Disclaimer

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