Nexa Resources S.A.

Good morning, and welcome to the NEXA Resources fourth quarter and full year 2023 conference call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal conference specialists by pressing the star key followed by zero. This event is being recorded and is also being broadcast via webcast and may be accessed through NEXA's Investor Relations website, where the presentation is also available. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, you may press star, then 1 on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, please press star, then 2. Remember that the participants of the webcast will be able to register via webcast questions. Simply type your question in the box and click send, and that will be answered soon. I would now like to turn the conference over to Mr. Rodrigo Camarasano, Head of Investor Relations, for opening remarks. Please go ahead.

Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Nexa Resources' fourth quarter and full year 2023 earnings conference call. Thanks for joining us today. During the call, we will be discussing the company's performance as per the earnings release that we issued yesterday. We encourage you to follow along with this on-screen presentation through the webcast. Before we begin, I would like to draw your attention to slide number two, as we will be making forward-looking statements about our business, and we just ask that you refer to the disclaimer and the conditions surrounding those statements. It is now my pleasure to introduce our speakers. Joining us today is our CEO, Ignacio Rosado, our CFO, Jose Carlos Del Valle, and our Senior Vice President of Mining, Leonardo Coelho. So now, I will turn the call over to Ignacio for his comments. Ignacio, please go ahead.

Thank you, Rodrigo, and good morning to everyone. Please, let's move now to slide number three, where we will begin our presentation. We appreciate you joining us today to discuss our fourth quarter and full year 2023 results, along with insights into our outlook for 2024. I am pleased to report that we achieved our guidance for the year with metal production at the high end of guidance and total smelting sales at the mid-range, while mining and smelting costs were in line with guidance. As many of you are aware, 2023 posed persistent challenges to our business, particularly due to rising prices and the delay in the ramp-up of Aripuana. Nonetheless, I would like to highlight the dedication and professionalism of our team, which supported us in improving efficiency across our organization, which enable us to deliver solid operational results and also to mitigate in part the negative impacts of lower SINC prices in our 2023 cashflow. For the full year, total consolidated net revenues amounted to 2,573,000,000 down by 15% year over year, mainly due to lower SINC prices and lower metal sales. Adjusted EBITDA in the fourth quarter of 2023 was $105 million compared to $120 million a year ago. This performance was mainly driven by lower smelting sales volumes and sink prices. Sink was down 17% year over year. Compared to last quarter, adjusted EBITDA rose 28% due to higher sink prices, which were partially offset by lower smelting sales volume. For the full year, adjusted EBITDA amounted to 391 million, down 49% year over year, primarily driven by lower LME metal prices in addition to lower smelting sales volume. I want to reaffirm that we remain focused on completing the ARIPONA ramp up and consequently reaching the nameplate capacity in the second quarter of this year, maintaining our operational and cost optimization discipline, aiming to generate positive cash flow throughout this year and advancing with a formal approval process for the Cerro de Pasco integration project. Now, I would like to go over the progress of our EAG initiatives. 2023 accurately portrays our efforts to strengthen our sustainable business model. NEXA registered its carbon emissions on the LME Passport, the London Metal Exchange Platform, which promotes sustainability and transparency across the base metal sector. NEXA SYNC production has one of the lowest carbon footprints recorded in the sector, with an emission intensity of 0.36 tons of CO2 equivalent, considered 1 and 2. This achievement positions NEXA as one of the global leaders in carbon reduction within the SYNC industry. Moreover, CDP Carbon Disclosure Project recently concluded its evaluation cycle for the year 2023 and announced that NEXA's rating in the Climate Change Questionnaire was upgraded, changing from C to B. This recognition is the result of our efforts, disclosure and transparency related to governance, strategy, risk management, metrics and targets. Now moving to slide number four. Regarding the operating performance of the mining segment, you can see that zinc production increased to 90,000 tons in the fourth quarter of 23, up 21% year over year, mainly explained by higher production at the Aripuana mine, combined with higher production from the Cerro Lindo mine. Compared to the third quarter of 23, zinc production was up 3%, explained by higher volumes from the Cerro Lindo, Atacocha and Morro Agudo mines, in addition to additional production from the Aripuana ramp-up. It is important to highlight that in 2023, production was up 12% compared to 2022. In relation to cash costs in the fourth quarter of 23, it increased to 45 cents per pound compared to the 20 cents per pound in the fourth quarter of 22, mainly explained by lower byproduct credits from our Peruvian mines, higher operational costs in El Porvenir and higher treatment charges. Compared to the third quarter of 23, mining cash costs increased by 10 cents per pound, mainly affected by lower byproduct rates from Cerro Lindo and higher operational costs in El Porvenir due to the increase in mine development. The cost per run of mine in the quarter was $48 per ton, up 3% year-over-year, explained by higher variable costs, and up 10% quarter-over-quarter, also affected by high variable costs. Now moving to slide number five. Regarding the operating performance of this melting segment, metal sales total 143,000 tons in the winter of last year, down 14% from the fourth quarter of 2022 and 7% compared to the third quarter of 2023, mainly impacted by lower volumes in Cajamarquilla and Tres Marias. In 2023, total sales were down 4% compared to 2022. The smelting cash cost in the fourth quarter of 2023 decreased to $1 per pound compared to the $1.20 in the fourth quarter of 2022. This decrease was mainly explained by lower sink prices, reducing the cost of raw materials purchase, which was partially offset by lower byproducts contribution. Compared to the third quarter of 23, cash cost was down 1 cents per pound. Our conversion cost was 29 cents per pound compared to the 25 cents per pound in the fourth quarter of 23. due to higher maintenance and energy costs, compared to the third quarter of 23, conversion cost was relatively flat. Now moving to slide number six, where we will talk about Aripuana. In the fourth quarter, activities in Aripuana have progressed as planned with our efforts concentrated on further improving plant stabilization and reliability, as well as increasing metallurgical performance. In December, we had five days of downtime in the plant to address the replacement of equipment together with the execution of important de-bottlenecking task force activities. Considering this downtime, the average plant capacity utilization in the quarter was 61%, 5% higher compared to the previous quarter. In the last quarter, we also saw improvements in zinc recovery while concentrate rates and quality were stable. As a result, there was an increase in production compared to the previous quarter. Our exploration plan in Aripuana in the fourth quarter also progressed as expected, and the results confirmed the continuity of mineralization with high polymetallic contents, showing that we have a robust mining asset with the potential to operate for many years. We started 2024 with positive progress that keep us confident in estimating the completion of the ramp-up in the second quarter of this year. In the next two slides, we will see more details on the operational performance of Aripuana. Now moving to slide number seven. Starting with a plant downtime in the upper left side, we noted a decrease of 6% quarter over quarter, considering the five days planned downtime, which shows improvements in the stabilization of the plant. Average plant capacity utilization increased to 61% versus 56% in the third quarter. In the lower left side, we can see the progress of the zinc recovery, which reached 66% in December versus 59% in September. When compared looking at the January 2024 number, we see that the recovery ratio improved even further, reaching 73%. Copper and lead recoveries also improved significantly in January, showing a strong positive trend. Now moving to slide number eight. On the slide number eight, you can see that due to all the improvements mentioned above, compared to the third quarter of 2023, zinc production was 27% higher, reaching 7.4 thousand tons in the fourth quarter. Copper production increased 31% while lead and silver production grew up 49% and 42% respectively. These improvements show that we are in the right direction to achieve name plate capacity in the second quarter of this year. Now moving to slide number nine. On this slide, I would like to highlight that we continue progressing with our exploration program. The 2023 plan shows indications of positive results for both brownfield and greenfield activities. In Cerro Lindo, the exploratory drilling program focused on extending the mineralization of the OB8 and OB9 mineralized bodies, as well as identifying new mineralized zones at the Pucasaya target and its extensions. For Basante, the focus was on expanding existing mineralized zones in the northern and southern parts of the mine. In Aripuana, the program was directed at increasing mineral resources at the Babassu mineralized body and started drilling at the Masaranduba target. Both targets have solid indications of potential resource addition with attractive content. Finally, at the Cerro Pasco complex, the exploration program also showed relevant results. The program focused mainly on the integration target, which I will describe in detail in the next slide. In slide number 10, you can see some of the exploration program results in the Pasco complex, especially in the target integration that keep suggesting potential resource extensions. The target integration is an exploration area located between the El Porvenir and Atacocha underground mines. The results of this exploration confirm the continuity of mineralization at deeper levels with high metal content. We will continue to explore this area with the aim of not only increasing the mineral inventory, but also increasing the geological potential. Now I will turn over the call to Jose Carlos del Valle, our CFO, who will present our financial results. Jose, please go ahead.

Thank you, Ignacio. Good morning to everyone. I will continue on slide 11. As you can see, beginning with the chart on your upper left, total consolidated net revenues for the fourth quarter decreased by 19% year-over-year, mainly due to lower sink LME prices and lower smelting sales volumes. Compared to the third quarter of 2023, net revenues decreased by 3% also as a result of lower smelter sales volumes, but partially offset by higher sink prices and higher production in the mining segment. In 2023, consolidated net revenues reached $2.6 billion, down by 15% compared to 2022. In terms of profitability, consolidated adjusted EBITDA in the fourth quarter of 2023 was $105 million compared to $120 million in the fourth quarter of 2022. This lower performance was mainly explained by lower smelter sales volumes and lower sink prices. Compared to the third quarter of 2023, adjusted EBITDA increased by 28%, mainly due to higher sink prices and higher mining production, which was partially offset by lower smelter sales volumes. In 2023, consolidated adjusted EBITDA reached $391 million, down 49% from 2022. This is also explained by the reasons I mentioned a moment ago. Now, let's move to the next slide, number 12. On the top left of the slide, we can see that in 2023, we invested $309 million in CAPEX, of which sustaining investments, including mine development, totaled $293 million. The total investment in the fourth quarter was $111 million, leaving us within our guidance for the full year. With respect to mineral exploration and project evaluation, we invested a total of $92 million, of which $52 million were related to mineral exploration and mine development to support the exploration activities that Ignacio presented just a moment ago. The total invested in the fourth quarter was $24 million. This was $8 million below our guidance as we deprioritized some activities as a result of the cash optimization program that we developed throughout the year. Now let's move on to the next slide in which I will discuss our cash flow. For 2023, starting from the $391 million of adjusted EBITDA, net of non-operational items, we paid $170 million related to interest and taxes and spent $309 million in total capex in our operations, including Aripuana. Additionally, loans and investments and dividends received had a positive net impact of $66 million, mainly due to a new $50 million export financing line that became effective in December. Furthermore, dividends paid had a negative impact of $49 million, including the payment of share premium to NEXA shareholders and the contractual dividends paid to non-controlling interests. We then had a positive impact of $8 million due to the effects of foreign exchange on our cash and cash equivalents, driven by the appreciation of the Brazilian real against the U.S. dollar during the period. Additionally, we had a positive contribution of $101 million in working capital as a result of the efforts deployed throughout 2023, which focused on shortening our working capital cycle. Combining all these effects, our free cash flow in 2023 was negative $41 million. Finally, on the top right of the slide, we can see the evolution of our free cash flow generation quarter over quarter. Our operational and cost discipline, together with the improvements in working capital throughout the year, enabled us to generate positive cash flow in the last three quarters of 2023, despite the external and internal challenges we faced. Now moving to slide 14. On this slide, you can see that our liquidity remains healthy and that we continue to present a sound balance sheet with an extended debt maturity profile. By the end of 2023, our available liquidity was approximately $788 million, including our undrawn sustainability link revolving credit facility of $320 million. Regarding our debt, it currently has an average maturity of 3.8 years and a 6.1% average cost. It is important to mention that as of December 31st, our total cash is sufficient to cover the payment or all allowable obligations maturing in the next three years. Nevertheless, we are always evaluating options to continue to keep a maturity profile that is in line with the long life of our mines and at the most competitive costs. Finally, despite the $43 million increase in our cash balance quarter over quarter, leverage, which is measured by the net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio, increased from 3.1 to 3.2 times in the last 90 days of 2023. This is mainly because of lower adjusted EBITDA in the last 12 months, driven by the prevailing trend of lower sink prices year over year. Moving now to slide 15. Regarding market fundamentals, it is worth noting that in the fourth quarter of 2023, LME sink price averaged $2,498,000 per ton, down by 17% from the fourth quarter of 2022. The main reason for the decline was a combination of the bullish scenario in 2022, mainly driven by the Chinese post-pandemic stimulus, and the metal production cuts in Europe due to high energy prices and lower global demand in 2023. This, driven by persistent high interest rates in key economies and lower than expected performance of key Chinese zinc-consuming sectors like the property market. Compared to the third quarter of 2023, LME sink prices were up 3%, mainly related to the expectation of the federal reserve rate cuts in 2024 and to stronger demand expected in China. LME copper price averaged $8,159 per ton in the fourth quarter of 2023, up by 2% from the fourth quarter of 2022 and down by 2% from the third quarter of 2023. also presenting high sensitivity to the Chinese economy throughout 2020. Looking ahead to 2024, metal prices are expected to be supported by easy monetary policy in the U.S. and macroeconomic stimulus in China. In the mid to long term, the fundamental outlook for both zinc and copper prices remains positive. Additionally, investments in construction, infrastructure, and in the automotive sector will continue to have a positive impact on demand expectations for base metals. On the supply side, for both Copper and Zinc, we anticipate that we will continue to see challenges to renew significant production online to fulfill expected demand. Now, I will hand over the presentation back to Ignacio for his final remarks.

Thank you, Jose Carlos. On our last slide, I would like to close this presentation by mentioning our priorities for 2024. As we look ahead to this year, we anticipate that volatility across commodities may persist for a while and continue to put pressure on our business. However, We will remain focused on our priorities, including the completion of the Aripuanan-Cerro Pasco integration project, in addition to our commitment to always seek alternatives to optimize costs, capex, and corporate expenses, as well as strengthen our balance sheet. We will continue our journey as we foster the creation of shared value through operational excellence, environmental protection, and the integral development of our communities within a framework of ethics, transparency, and responsibility. In summary, although we expect 2024 to be a challenging year, we are confident that our business and the long-term fundamentals of our industry will be key to sustain our position. That concludes our remarks. Thank you all for attending this presentation. Operator, we are ready to open the floor for questions. Please.

Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, you may press star then one on your touchtone phone. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. To withdraw your question, please press star then two. You may also send questions via the chat at the webcast platform. Participants from the webcast can use the question box to insert the question and click send. Our first question comes from Camilo Barter from Bradesco. Please go ahead.

Hi, good morning. Thanks for the presentation. Just a quick question from the cost side, if you could provide some how you think cost evolving throughout the year for the semesters. And if you could also provide some calls on free cash flow expectations, it would be great. Thank you.

So regarding costs, as you saw in the presentation, we were able to keep costs flat in our mines in Peru and in Brazil. And this was, I would say, a combination of higher throughput and measures around reducing fixed costs Increment productivity in 2023, we reduced about 500 people in only our operations. And regardless, let's say inflation issues, especially in Brazil and some in Peru, and regarding some ethics impacts, especially in Brazil, we were able to keep costs flat. However, there were some costs that we couldn't control because we needed to develop some mines such as El Porvenir. We have been taking additional measures for 2024. So the idea is that we also keep our cost of road flat this year. We are very committed in making sure that all details and the mines and all these measures that we take are building follow-up very closely. So we are confident that we might also have this under control for 2024.

Thank you. And can you comment on free cash flow expectations as well?

Well, free cash flow expectations will depend on prices. I would say that this year compared to last year, last year we had two effects on cash flow. The first one was sink prices, especially because sink prices went down heavily on the second quarter. And the second one is that the ramp-up of Alipana was delayed. And this cost us a lot of money. We spent around $200 million last year. And if you see that cash flow generation that we had in the third last quarter that was positive, it was something that we feel proud of. In 2024, as we said, well, prices remain low. is in the right track to be a capacity in the second quarter. So the idea is that if prices go up a little bit, we expect that that is the case. We are in the bottom of the price cycle. We might generate some cash flow in 2024. Having said that, this cash flow for us is a priority because we have to start reducing our debt. Debt went up. We are aware of the leverage we have. And then debt went up because of Alipuana mainly. So now that Alipuana is being completed and is going to start generating cash flow with a combination of cash flow for the other mines, we believe that with some help on prices, the company is really in a good position to generate cash.

And just to confirm, a break-even is expected in the first semester or the second one?

Yes. No, we... To give you some numbers, we are now producing at a rate of 220 hours per ton a day. An hour, sorry, an hour. And the name plate capacity is 280. And we are very close on that. February and January have been good months. Recoveries are high in the three metals. Quality of concentrate is also stable and good. So second quarter, we see achieving nameplate capacity. We are very close on that, so we are confident that in the second quarter, we will be able to achieve that target.

I mean break-even.

Yeah, break-even, yes, yes. A consequence of nameplate capacity, we are working on controlling our costs. So a consequence of navel capacity is going to be break-even as well. So second quarter, we should achieve break-even on cash flow, yes.

Thank you very much. Thank you.

Again, if you have a question, please press star, then 1. There are no more questions in the question queue. I'll hand it back to Rodrigo for any webcast questions they may have.

Thank you, operator. Good morning, everyone. We're going to start with a question from Omar Avellaneda from Prima AFP. The first question is regarding is the $300 million your annual sustaining cap tax?

Yeah, no, yes. $300 million is the CAPEX that we have ongoing. Our sustaining CAPEX, more or less, is 230 or 240. And the rest is additional CAPEX that we spend on explorations and other areas.

And the second question, also from Omar, is what is the CAPEX for passive integration projects? And when do you expect to approve the project?

Yeah, it's a good question. We have been talking about integration during the last year. We expect the CAPEX, and we are still fine-tuning, that's why we haven't approved the project yet, to be around $150 to $200 million. This comprises a new piping system that goes from El Porvenir to Atacocha, a tailing dam. a mine development between the two underground mines in Atacocha and El Corbenil, some upgrades of the shaft, and some other developments, especially in Atacocha. So we are finalizing studies here, and we expect to approve this project in the coming months. The idea is that we have, we work on, we finished all these studies. We have more certainty on the investments, So we might approve this probably in the second quarter or towards the middle of the year, so we can communicate to the market what will happen in this very important project.

We have another question from Herman Kuslick from MetLife. If Erdogan reaches full capacity in the second quarter of 24, why does the guidance show increased production over the next few years?

Yeah, this is because the first quarter, production was not on 100%, and in the second quarter, as we achieved main plant capacity, we are also not on 100%. So I would say that if you extrapolate the second half of this year through the other years, you will achieve the number that we are showing for 2025 and 2026.

We have another question from Jocelyn Jensen. When do you expect to start the leveraging?

As I was saying, we expect the leveraging this year. As I said, this is a priority. Cash flow, we are in good shape in terms of what we can control in our mines and smelters. We are working very hard on production costs and capex, but we are exposed to prices. SIN prices did not begin the year in a very good pace. So hopefully, and we are confident that they will recover in the following quarter. So with the cash flow that we will start generating, the idea is we start delivering the comp.

We have a question from Rodrigo Murrieta from AFP Integra. Are you evaluating measures to decrease cost per ton of rum in Cerro Lindo going forward?

Yes, Cerro Lindo is a challenge. Cerro Lindo is a big underground mine. It's probably one of the largest underground mines in general. And the cost per ton of rum today is $40. And we have, to give you an idea, in Cerro Lindo, as mine development, we have to develop 35 kilometers per year. And we have pressures, given that the mine is extending, we have pressures on all of this. So we have been managing in the last two years to keep these $40 flat. And this has been a challenge. And as I was saying, We have some consolidation of contractors. We have some measures on productivity, reducing of people. We have some measures reducing costs. We have been optimizing our short grids that is in support of the mine and many, many other measures. So for us to keep the cost per ton below $40 is It's a challenge, but we believe that we can achieve that during 2024. 2025 we'll see, but with the measures we take, the idea is that we keep our cost below $40.

We have another question. What is the expected CAPEX that you are considering for the integration project in PASCO?

Yeah, as I said before, Between $150,000 to $200,000, I already explained what are the components of that. We are still assessing how are we going to finance that. This capex is going to be invested in three years. So part of the cash flow generation of several passports is going to be allocated to this. And the rest, we are assessing if it might be some debt or some other cash flow that we might have from other operations. But still, we will communicate that once we go forward.

We have another question for Hernan. Can you comment on the alternatives for the Mora Voodoo asset?

The Mora Voodoo asset is a marginal asset for us. It's a very small asset. And this is not transformational. It has a low life of mine. So I cannot comment on specific actions, but what I can tell you is that we are assessing in detail what are our options in Morro Agudo. We have provided a guidance for production for 2024, but not for 2025 and 2026 because, as I said, This is a marginal asset, and we are assessing the options. As soon as we have some clarity on that, we will come back to the market and communicate what are the next steps on this asset.

There are no more questions in the queue. This concludes our question and answer session. We will now hand the call over to Ignacio for his final remarks. Mr. Rosado, please go ahead.

Thank you. Thank you everyone for attending. This has been a, 2023 has been a very challenging year. As I was saying, Alipana, the delay on Alipana, it consumed a lot of cash flow. Prices have not been there. We, as I said, we believe that we are in the bottom of the cycle and we are confident that this year is going to be better. The evolution of Alipana and all the measures that we have taken We will help generating cash flow for this year. We are committed to that. We are committed on our cash discipline and making sure that Alicuana is up and running. We are hoping that we approve soon the integration project of SEPA PASCO. This is important for the company because it will unlock a lot of value. more life of mine for sure because of all these resources that are in the underground part but also more profitability given the economies of scale of the two assets. So we are committed to that, we are committed to all these measures and we thank you for the time and we look forward to speak to you at the end of April with our first quarter results. Thank you very much and have a good day.

Conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.