5/3/2024

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And welcome to Nexa Resources first quarter 2024 conference call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing the star key followed by zero. This event is being recorded and is also being broadcast via webcast and may be accessed through Nexa's investor relations website where the presentation is also available. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, you may press star then one on your telephone keypad. Again, star one. To withdraw your question, if needed, please press star then two. Remember that the participants on the webcast will be able to register your website questions. Simply type your question in the box and click send, and that will be answered soon. And now I'd like to turn the conference over to Mr. Rodrigo Camarosano, Head of Investor Relations, for opening remarks. Please go ahead.

speaker
Rodrigo Camarosano
Head of Investor Relations

Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Nexa Resources' first quarter 2024 earnings conference call. Thanks for joining us today. During the call, we will be discussing the company's performance as per the earnings release that we issued yesterday. We encourage you to follow along with this on-screen presentation through the webcast. Before we begin, I would like to draw your attention to slide number two. where we will be making forward-looking statements about our business, and we ask you to refer to the disclaimer and conditions surrounding those statements. It is now my pleasure to introduce our speakers. Joining us today is our CEO, Ignacio Rosado, our CFO, José Carlos Del Valle, and our Senior Vice President of Mining Operations, Leonardo Coelho. So now I will turn the call over to Ignacio for his comments. Ignacio, please go ahead.

speaker
Ignacio Rosado
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Rodrigo. Good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us today to discuss our results for the first quarter of 2024. Before starting our presentation, I regret to inform you that in early March, we had a fatal incident involving one of our employees in the El Porvenir mine. And earlier this week, another fatal incident involving one of our employees at the Basante mine. This is a very difficult time for NEXA, and it becomes clear that we need to work even harder on reinforcing our safety system. We extend our heartfelt condolences to the families of our two employees and reassure them and all of our stakeholders that the safety and well-being of every person who works at Nexa are our main values and remain our utmost priority. We are committed more than ever on enhancing employee safety and achieve zero fatalities. Please let's move to slide number three, where we will start our presentation with the main highlights of the quarter. Let me begin by saying that I am pleased to report that we had a positive start of the year. We have achieved another quarter of consistent operating performance, maintaining our focus on cost, discipline and capital allocation. Despite ongoing challenges in our industry at the beginning of the year, such as weak microeconomic conditions, commodity price volatility, and lower demand due to seasonality, we continue to make steady progress and remain focused on executing our priorities. In the first quarter of 2024, consolidated net revenues were $580 million, down by 13% year over year, mainly due to lower zinc prices, lower premiums, and lower metal sales. Adjusted EBITDA in the first quarter of 2024 was $123 million compared to $133 million a year ago. This performance was mainly driven by lower sink prices and lower metal sales. Despite the still low sink price scenario in the first quarter of this year, compared to last quarter, adjusted EBITDA rose 17% due to strong production, lower costs, and lower mineral exploration and project evaluation expenses. Our ERIPONA project continues to make good progress, and we expect to conclude the ramp-up process in mid-2024. Concerning mineral reserves, we had very positive outcomes, as evidenced by a 59% increase in mineral reserves at Cerro Epasco, as highlighted in our recently released technical report summary. overall mineral reserves for 2023 increased by 10% compared to 2022. I encourage you to review both the technical report and our Mineral Reserves and Mineral Resources report, which were published at the end of March and are available on our Investor Relations website. I would like to emphasize that we recently announced the divestiture of our Moragudo mine. making another step in our capital allocation strategy. Our team has done incredible work providing full support to the employees who work at Morro Agudo for many years. We estimate that around 25% of our employees will be reallocated to other operations by the completion of the transaction. I want to reaffirm that we remain focused on Completing the AREPO and ARAMPAP by mid-2024, we observe improved in metal recoveries and concentrate quality in the first quarter of this year, maintaining our operational and cost optimization discipline to achieve positive cash flow generation throughout this year, and advancing with a formal approval process for execution of the Cerro de Pasco integration project. Before we move to our next slide, I would like to share that we released our 2023 sustainability report on April 25th. This report highlights the collective efforts of our team in advancing our ESG initiatives meaningfully. Additionally, in April, we concluded important transactions in line with our liability management program. These transactions included extending our debt profile through the issuance of new debentures and bonds, making a significant milestone for NEXA. This strategy move allowed us to optimize our financial structure, diversify our funding sources, and enhance our liquidity position. José Carlos will provide more details on this topic in his presentation later on. Now moving to slide number four. Regarding the operating performance of the mining segment, zinc production reached 87,000 tons in the first quarter of this year, up 17% year over year, mainly explained by an increase in treated ore volume and higher zinc average grades, particularly at the Cerro de Pasco, Basante and Aripuana mines. Compared to the fourth quarter of 23, zinc production was down 3%, explained by lower volumes from the Peruvian mines and Morro Agudo. Concerning cash costs in the first quarter of 24, it decreased to 27 cents per pound compared to the 43 cents per pound in the first quarter of 23, mainly explained by lower treatment charges and higher volumes. Compared to the fourth quarter of 23, mining cash costs decreased by 18 cents per pound, mainly explained by lower treatment charges and lower operating costs at the Cerro Lindo and the El Porvenir mines. The cost per run of mine in the quarter was $45 per tonne, relatively flat of year over year and down 6% quarter over quarter, mainly explained by lower operating costs. Now moving to slide number five. Regarding the operating performance of the smelting segment, metal sales total 139,000 tons in the first quarter, down 4% from the first quarter of 2023 and 3% compared to the fourth quarter of last year, mainly impacted by lower production volumes and the typical seasonality of demand in the period. Smelting cash costs in the first quarter of this year decreased to 98 cents per pound, 22% lower compared to the $1.25 per pound in the first quarter of 2023. This decrease was mainly explained by lower costs of raw materials attributed to lower sink prices. Compared to the fourth quarter of last year, cash cost was down 3%. Our conversion cost was 30 cents per pound compared to 31 cents per pound in the first quarter of last year due to lower variable costs and lower energy costs. Compared to the fourth quarter of last year, conversion cost was 4% due to higher variable costs and lower smelting sales. Now moving to slide number six, where we will talk about Aripuana. In the first quarter, activities in Aripuana have progressed as planned, with our efforts concentrated on the replacement of some critical equipment and on improving the metallurgical process. Those were important steps to keep improving plant stabilization and reliability. As a consequence, in the quarter, we saw significant advances in recoveries and concentrate quality. Although capacity utilization during the first quarter of 2024 was 57%, we saw an important increase in utilization in March and April, with levels reaching more than 80% on certain days of both months, and stabilizing at around 70% in the second week of April. In the following months, we expect this positive trend to continue. In the first quarter of this year, we saw an increase in copper, lead and silver production compared to the previous quarter, while zinc was flat. Our current focus continues on planned stabilization and on adjusting some critical processes, such as improving the performance of the tailing-spheretailing circuit, which will allow us to further increase capacity utilization, paving the way for the completion of the ramp-up which is expected by mid-2024. Our exploration plan in Alipuana in the first quarter also progressed as expected, and the results confirm the continuity of mineralization with high polymetallic contents, reaffirming that we have a robust mining asset with the potential to operate for many years. I would like to highlight the important results we obtained in the 2023 exploration campaign, which contributed to NEXA's overall 10% increase in mineral reserves. In the next two slides, we will see more details on the operational performance of Aripuana in the quarter. Now moving to slide number seven. Starting with the plant downtime in the upper left side, we noted a decrease of 14% quarter over quarter, indicating improvement in the stabilization of the plant. Average capacity utilization averaged 57% in the quarter, but increased to 70% during April. In the lower left side, we can see the progress of the zinc recovery, which reached 73% in March versus 66% in December. Copper and lead recoveries also improved significantly in March, indicating a strong positive trend. Now moving to slide number eight. On slide eight, compared to the fourth quarter of 2023, zinc production was relatively flat. Copper production increased by 9%, while lead and silver production increased by 14% and 11% respectively. These improvements indicate that we are moving in the right direction to complete the ramp-up in mid-2024. Now, moving to slide number 9. On this slide, I would like to highlight that we continue progressing with our exploration program. We have reached important results with an overall 10% increase in our mineral reserves in 2023, net of depletion. This was mainly driven by the infill and brownfield positive results from drilling activities in Aripuana and the inclusion of the Atacocha mineral reserves driven by the positive results from the Cerro Pasco integration project. The 2023 results reinforce NEXA's successful track record in not only replenishing, but also increasing our mineral reserves and mineral resources base, as well as showing the potential of our assets. Now, I will turn over the call to José Carlos del Valle, our CFO, who will present our financial results. José, please go ahead.

speaker
José Carlos Del Valle
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Ignacio. Good morning to everyone. I will continue on slide 10. As you can see, beginning with a chart on your upper left, total consolidated net revenue for the first quarter decreased by 13% year over year, mainly due to lower sink prices, lower net premiums, and lower smelting sales volumes, which were partially offset by higher mining sales volumes. Compared to the fourth quarter of 2023, net revenues decreased by 8%, also as a result of lower smelting sales volumes and lower sink prices. In terms of profitability, consolidated adjusted EBITDA in the first quarter of 2024 was $123 million, compared to $133 million a year ago. This lower performance was mainly explained by a 22% reduction in sink prices year-over-year and lower smelter sales volumes. Compared to the fourth quarter of 2023, despite lower sink price levels, adjusted EBITDA increased by 17%, primarily due to lower costs and lower mineral exploration and project evaluation expenses. Finally, it is worth noting that our consolidated adjusted EBITDA margin increased to 21%, one basis point and three basis points higher compared to the first quarter of 2023 and to the fourth quarter of 2023, respectively. Now let's move to the next slide, number 11. On the top left of the slide, we can see that in the first quarter of 2024, we invested $74 million in CAPEX, nearly all of which went to sustaining activities, including mining development and tailing storage facilities. In line with this, our 2024 CAPEX guidance for the year remains unchanged at $311 million. With respect to mineral exploration and project evaluation, we invested a total of $12 million, of which $9 million were related to mineral exploration and mine development to support our exploration activities. However, we expect our investments in these areas to accelerate in the upcoming quarters, and therefore we are maintaining and change our 2024 guidance for exploration and project evaluation at $72 million. Now let's move on to the next slide in which I will discuss our cash flow. Starting from the $123 million of adjusted EBITDA net of non-operational items, we paid $46 million related to interest and taxes and spent $75 million in total capex in our operations. Additionally, loans and investments had a positive net impact of $24 million, mainly due to a new $30 million short-term facility that became effective in March. We then had a negative impact of $3 million due to the effects of foreign exchange on our cash and cash equivalents, driven by the depreciation of the Brazilian real against the U.S. dollars during the period. Finally, we saw a negative effect of $125 million related to working capital, which is a typical cycle observed in the first quarter of each year and in line with our established payment terms and annual tax obligations in the jurisdictions where we operate. As in 2023, we expect this negative working capital effect to be reversed throughout the year. Combining all these effects, our free cash flow in the first quarter of 2024 was negative in $144 million. Now moving to slide 13. In this slide, you can see that our liquidity remains healthy and we continue to present a sound balance sheet with an extended debt maturity profile. At the end of the first quarter of 2024, our available liquidity totaled approximately $644 million, including our undrawn sustainability-linked revolving crate facility of $320 million. Furthermore, in March, we successfully renegotiated and extended by five years one of our remaining export crate nodes, totaling $90 million, which was previously set to mature in October 2024. Regarding our overall profile, in the first quarter of 2024, average debt maturity was 3.7 years and carried an average cost of 6.1%. It is important to mention that as of March 31st, our total cash position is sufficient to cover the payment of all obligations maturing in the next three years. In terms of our leverage ratio measured by the net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio, it increased from 3.2 to 3.7 times quarter over quarter. This expected increase is primarily due to the previously explained temporary decrease of $144 million in our cash balance quarter over quarter and to the lower adjusted EBITDA registered in the last 12 months, driven by the prevailing trend of lower sink prices in the period. As previously disclosed and in line with our proactive approach to liability management in April, Nexa successfully extended its debt profile from 3.7 years to around 7 years through the execution of a new bond issuance and tender offers for existing bonds. This strategy also included the issuance of a new $130 million six-year ESG-linked debentures in the Brazilian market. In relation to the bonds transactions, the new $600 million 10-year bond carries a 6.75% coupon and allowed us to repurchase around $485 million and $100 million of the existing notes due in 2027 and 2028, respectively. These transactions marked a significant milestone for the company, as Ignacio mentioned at the beginning of his presentation. These strategic initiatives allowed us to optimize our financial structure, diversify our funding sources, and enhance our liquidity position. It is important to understand that the extension of our debt profile is part of an ongoing optimization effort and is a reflection of our commitment to prudent financial management and of our confidence in the long-term prospects of our business. In this line of thinking, we are always evaluating cost-efficient options to continue to maintain a maturity profile that is in line with the long life of our assets. Moving now to slide 14. Regarding market fundamentals, it is worth noting that in the first quarter of 2024, LME sink prices averaged $2,450 per ton. down by 22% from the first quarter of 2023. This decrease primarily stems from the conditions present at the beginning of 2024, reflecting lower demand prospects in China and uncertainties regarding the U.S. economy, especially in relation to inflation. Compared to the fourth quarter of 2023, LME sink prices were down 2%, mainly explained by the Chinese New Year holiday and also lower demand due to seasonality during the first quarter of 2024. LME copper prices averaged $8,438 per ton in the first quarter of 2024, down by 5% from the first quarter of 2023 and up 3%. from the fourth quarter of 2023, also presenting high sensitivity to the Chinese economy throughout the first quarter. Looking ahead, zinc prices are expected to be positively supported by the macroeconomic stimulus in China and by the current tight zinc concentrate market that has driven benchmark TCs to levels that are 40% lower than what they were in 2023. In the mid to long term, the fundamental outlook for both zinc and copper prices remains positive. Additionally, investments in construction, infrastructure, and in the automotive sector will continue to have a positive impact on demand expectations for base metals. Now, I will hand over the presentation back to Ignacio for his final remarks.

speaker
Ignacio Rosado
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, José Carlos. As I mentioned earlier, we expect to conclude the ramp-up at Ipuaná by mid-2024, as we continue gradually reducing plant downtime, while increasing capacity utilization and improving recoveries of all the metals. Our Cerro de Pasco integration project is progressing as expected towards the approval process. Our exploration results provide significant indications not only of the potential to further extend the life of our corner mines, but also of our consistent track record of replenishing reserves. We are focused on our ESG strategy, which prioritizes safe performance across our operations, higher environmental standards, and the development of our communities within a framework of ethics, transparency, and responsibility. We already took an important step in strengthening our balance sheet with the execution of the liability management transactions at the beginning of this year which combined with a disciplined capital allocation and positive cash flow generation will allow Nexa to start deleveraging and improve its financial position. That concludes our remarks. Thank you for your support and confidence. Operator, we are ready to open the floor for questions.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

We'll now begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, you may press star then 1 on your touch-tone phone. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing those keys. And again, it's star 1 for a question. If you need to withdraw your question, please press star then 2. And remember, you also may send questions via chat at the webcast platform. At this time, We will pause to assemble our roster. Thank you. And our first question comes from Camila Barger from Bradesco BBI. Camila, please go ahead.

speaker
Camila Barger
Analyst, Bradesco BBI

So good morning. Two questions on my side. The first one, you commented yesterday on the release about a potential impact, a legal impact in legislation in Brazil and Peru, in results and in cash flow. Could you please give more details in terms of magnitude and timing for those impacts? And for Brazil, what would be the exact impact? Is it any cash outflow expected for that? And the second question is about the guidance. You kept production guidance despite the disinvestment in Morragudo, right? So could you please share a little bit about the rationale for this maintenance of the guidance? Do you expect better production in other mines to offset the divestment, or we could potentially expect production more towards the end of the guidance, the low end of the guidance? Thank you.

speaker
Leonardo Coelho
Senior Vice President of Mining Operations

No, go ahead.

speaker
José Carlos Del Valle
Chief Financial Officer

No, no, I wanted to clarify. Thanks, Camila, for the question. You were talking about, to make sure that I answered the question correctly, you're referring to some legal, something in Brazil. I didn't quite get the question. Could you please clarify?

speaker
Camila Barger
Analyst, Bradesco BBI

Yeah, in Brazil, there was a law about... that you have to submit impacts for the mine until June, but I wasn't quite sure if there is any outflow related to that or it's just something legal.

speaker
José Carlos Del Valle
Chief Financial Officer

I honestly am not sure exactly which legislation you're referring to on that one. And you mentioned that there was another one on Peru as well. You're asking about something in Peru? Maybe it's a communication that it wasn't so clear. Sorry.

speaker
Camila Barger
Analyst, Bradesco BBI

In Peru, you mentioned about a discussion regarding tax that could impact results along 2024.

speaker
José Carlos Del Valle
Chief Financial Officer

You're probably referring to some of the tax contingencies that we have, or you're talking about tax reform? Because these are, I mean, these are claims standard wording that we include because there are always discussions about potential changes in the tax regimes, both in Peru and in Brazil. So I want to know if you're talking about something specific related to a particular operation or you're asking in general about the two countries.

speaker
Camila Barger
Analyst, Bradesco BBI

Yeah, in general.

speaker
José Carlos Del Valle
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. As far as I know, there's... Sorry, you wanted to say something else? no but go ahead please no i can comment in general and i'm happy to uh you know get in touch after the call if you have a specific question that we can help you with but in general terms i think there are always discussions both in peru and in brazil about potential changes in the tax legislation and this is something that happens in other countries as well related to the desire of the governments to increase their income. But there is not material that we have flagged as of now, either in Peru or in Brazil, even though there have been discussions. But we have not flagged anything that is material that may affect significantly our operations in either of the countries. Happy to get in touch after the call. If you have something specific in mind, maybe that you have read somewhere else or you need further detail, we can help you with that.

speaker
Camila Barger
Analyst, Bradesco BBI

Okay, thank you. There is also one in stability of Cerro Lido that you mentioned.

speaker
José Carlos Del Valle
Chief Financial Officer

Okay, sure. Okay. Yeah, this is, as you may know, this is a matter that has been ongoing for a number of years in Peru. and it's affecting all the mining companies that have stability agreements, tax stability agreements with the Peruvian government. You may know that I come from Antamina, and in Antamina we had exactly the same problem. There is actually an international arbitration that is going on right now between Cerro Verde and the Peruvian government. So these are ongoing disputes, and we always... In our mindset of transparency, we always reveal that these are things that at some point may affect us, but our view is that we have very strong case, but we still have to make the disclosure. So there's nothing new here. It's just that we're making sure that we're disclosing that we have this contingency, just like all the other mining companies that have these stability agreements with the Peruvian government.

speaker
Camila Barger
Analyst, Bradesco BBI

Okay, clear. Thank you.

speaker
Leonardo Coelho
Senior Vice President of Mining Operations

Yeah, only one comment on this. No, go ahead.

speaker
Camila Barger
Analyst, Bradesco BBI

Go ahead, Liz. The second one about the guidance, but if you want to add something about the text.

speaker
Leonardo Coelho
Senior Vice President of Mining Operations

Yeah, yeah.

speaker
Camila Barger
Analyst, Bradesco BBI

About the guidance, I was asking about... Ah, yeah, yeah.

speaker
Ignacio Rosado
Chief Executive Officer

So, yeah, Borromudo, yeah, yeah. Just to start, Moragudo, it was a very small operation for us. It was a marginal operation, and we decided to sell because of that. Having said that, Moragudo was in our guidance, but still we are maintaining our guidance on production and on costs. So we don't believe that selling Morabudo and stopping production, reporting production of Morabudo is going to affect our guide for the end of the year.

speaker
Camila Barger
Analyst, Bradesco BBI

Okay. Because it's a marginal investment. What do you expect? Yes. Okay.

speaker
Leonardo Coelho
Senior Vice President of Mining Operations

Yes, yes.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And our next question comes from Carlos de Alba from Morgan Stanley. Carlos, please go ahead.

speaker
Carlos de Alba
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Good morning, everyone. Thank you very much. Two questions. The first one is if you can provide a little bit more comment on the Magistral Environmental Impact Study and the issue there that apparently it might be rejected. by the authorities. I wanted to understand what is behind this and what could be the repercussions. And then a second question, Ignacio, maybe on the working capital. Typically, yeah, there is a seasonality on working capital in Q1, but this time, relative to the last several years, the consumption of cash flows for working capital was much bigger. So I wanted to understand how much of that you expect to be reversed in the second quarter or throughout the year. Thank you.

speaker
Ignacio Rosado
Chief Executive Officer

Yes, yes. So thank you, Carlos. So regarding Magistral, what happens is that ANA, which is the National Water Authority, has issued a report where they stated that they have still some observations regarding the project's impact on the water deposits that are near our project. This means that this report goes to SENATE, which is the main authority that is going to issue a report of approval or disapproval, and this is now in the hands of the SENATE. So we expect that they will come back to us with an answer in the next one or two months. Okay? So, in the context of that, I would like to say that, and we said this many times, Carlos, that Magistral is a good project for us, and still is an investment of $1 billion, and we always want to compare this investment of $1 billion with other investments that we might be able to do, not only in Peru, but also in other countries. And the contract that we have signed with the government means that we can invest in Magistral until 2028 to start investing in Magistral. In the case the project is disapproved, we will need to start again all this process that's going to take us at least four years. But then, in that case, we will have to assess if that's a priority, or we just let Magistral go for the moment, put it on hold, and try to look for other options in our pile. So that's mainly what is happening in Magistral. I guess for the next call, in July, we will have more information and we can answer that in a more specific way, Carlos. And regarding working capital, José Carlos, please.

speaker
José Carlos Del Valle
Chief Financial Officer

Yes. Good morning, Carlos. As we have seen in prior years and actually in discussions that we've had with different funds and analysts, There is a lot of seasonality in our working capital, particularly in the first quarter of the year. This is very typical and it's actually not too different from what we saw last year. And it has to do with increased receivables and much lower payables because there is a trend of increased spending towards the end of the prior year, particularly in capex that are large numbers. So you have to pay all of that in the first quarter of the following year. You have to rebuild the inventory because typically you sell everything that you have at the end of the prior year as well. And in addition to that, in the first quarter, we pay a significant amount of taxes and employee bonuses, et cetera. So for those reasons mainly, the first quarter is always negative in working capital and therefore negative in terms of cash flow. Just as last year, we expect this to start reversing throughout the year. Obviously, prices will have an important impact on how quickly this happens, but we will see the reversing trend starting in the second quarter.

speaker
Lawson Winder
Analyst, Bank of America

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And our next question is going to come from Lawson Winder for Bank of America. But before we turn Lawson on, I just wanted to remind you if you would like to pose another question, please press star 1 or in the webcast, go to the chat tool and send your question. Thank you. Lawson Winder,

speaker
Lawson Winder
Analyst, Bank of America

Please go ahead. Thank you, operator. And hello. Good morning, Ignacio and team. Thank you for the update. I have a few questions, if you don't mind. First, on the balance sheet and the debt, what is your target net debt to EBITDA ratio and when do you expect to reach that? And then when you think about capital allocation, at what point might more attention be given to an update to the dividends?

speaker
José Carlos Del Valle
Chief Financial Officer

Yes, I can comment on that. Good morning, Lawson. I can comment about leverage in general terms. Obviously, in the first quarter, as expected, we had a higher net leverage ratio. This is something that will change throughout the year, quarter after quarter, not only as we accumulate cash, even more so with these prices, but as our adjusted EBITDA improves. As Ignacio mentioned, our Arikwana project is performing well. We are in the process of achieving the completion of the wrap-up as we've been commenting in previous calls. So our EBITDA will improve over time, and we expect that net leverage will reduce significantly throughout this year. much lower than the levels that we have seen in the first quarter. Having said that, we continue to state that reducing our debt, not just the leverage, is our top priority. So the idea is that gradually over the next few years, as we start generating cash with Arikona and generating more cash flows as a company as a whole, we will start looking to reducing our debt. We have said a number of times that we feel more comfortable with net leverage ratios in the neighborhood of one and a half times. because that's what gives you the buffer to be able to go through the low price cycles as we have had in the last few quarters. So it is a priority to go back down to those levels and to in parallel reduce our debt. to get to those levels. So we will see significant improvement during the year, but it will probably take some more quarters to reduce the debt to levels that will allow us to have a leverage of about one and a half times. In relation to dividends, And we stated that we will take a look at market conditions and company performance in the second half of the year to make a decision on dividends. That continues to be the case. You know, things are looking good in terms of Aripuana performance, as I mentioned. Prices have improved, but we don't know how long these higher levels will be in place. But definitely will be considerations that...

speaker
Lawson Winder
Analyst, Bank of America

we will we will evaluate once we make a decision as we anticipated for the second half of this year okay thank you that's uh very helpful and then and just kind of sticking with this theme of capital allocation so our opponent is ramping up uh there's still quite a bit of capex left left to go next project is uh sarah pasco when you look um beyond sarah pasco what is kind of the thinking around the next likely project that NEXA might be tackling?

speaker
Ignacio Rosado
Chief Executive Officer

Yes, so it's a very good question. Aripuaná, as Jose Carlos is saying, and we have been talking about that, Lawson, Aripuaná, the ramp-up is finishing in the coming months. So most of the CAPEX of Aripuaná is going to be sustained in CAPEX. And I would say that adipona want a need more only sustaining capex and not a growth capex. Okay. The next one is Sierra PASCO. Sierra PASCO, we hope we approve it in the second half of this year. We are ready to approve PASCO, but we want to make sure as a company, and this is part of the board, the conversation that we have with the board, we are trying to make sure that we finish first the ramp up of Alipuana, and then we can announce the approval of Cerro Pasco. We are ready to approve Cerro Pasco, but it's a timing of finishing Alipuana before. Cerro Pasco is a project that is going to cost us between $140 and $160 million, and the investment is going to be in the next three years. This year in Cerro Pasco, we are investing in all permits, which is our main bottleneck, and in finishing the engineering of the pumping system. Okay? So besides that, as Jose Carlos was mentioning, in terms of capital allocation, with the cash generation that we will have, we want to make sure that one of the priorities on our capital allocation strategy is to reduce the debt. Okay. Having said that, we, in terms of capital allocation, we also work in our pipeline of projects. Specifically, we have, for example, TINCA Resources that is now has issued a new technical report, and we have to make a decision if we advance on that. And we have other projects in our pipeline that we can advance. But in any case, those are projects five to eight years to become mines, if they might become. So I would say that the next project that we will bring is a project that will be from our M&A strategy. We are assessing a lot of projects our size, similar to the mines that we have, investments are around $600 to $800 million, and that's why we need the leverage of $1.5 million that Jose Carlos is mentioning, because that will allow us to invest with our cash flow and with some debt to bring in the other projects. This is more or less where we are today. We are active on M&A. We are very committed to visit some projects that have more cover, as we said before, and I would say that that's mainly our capital allocation strategy going forward.

speaker
Lawson Winder
Analyst, Bank of America

Okay, fantastic. And since you touched on M&A, I might follow up and just ask for a little bit more clarification on your latest thinking. I mean, it sounds like it's largely in line to what you said before, but in terms of timeline, I mean, what does it look like for you at this point, at what time you might be able to transact on a copper acquisition. And then maybe on some of the details, just update us on your thinking in terms of, are you looking at corporate versus asset M&A producing versus development? And there's been a lot of interesting copper M&A in the past year, both at the asset and corporate level. With your work, what are you seeing in terms of valuation? Are you seeing valuations that make sense?

speaker
Ignacio Rosado
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. I mean, projects are always expensive. In good times and in bad times, they are always expensive. I guess we are in a niche, and I guess the projects that we look for are in terms of copper, the size of 50,000 tons. It might have some... polymetallic, zinc and lead as well. And that put us on the radar of $600 to $800 million. This is below the radar of most big mining companies, that we understand that. And I would say that the opportunities that we are looking for, we are flexible on corporate or at an asset level, we are flexible on that. I would say that We are more focused on understanding the potential assets that we will acquire. And we are trying to bring, or the priorities are around brownfield projects close to production or projects that are starting production and they need some experience to unlock more value for them. These are – there are not that many projects of that, but they are. And I would say that given that this expertise that we have, these are the ones that we are looking for. Having said that, because of this investment and because of our leverage, our shareholders are conservative, our board is conservative. So I would say we have to finish first Saripuana. We have to approve Cerro Pasco that is coming this year. We have to execute Cerro Pasco. And in parallel, while bringing the cash flow, we will hopefully assess or bring some of these opportunities that we are assessing and announce an acquisition of some copper, zinc, advanced projects. That's more or less where we are.

speaker
Lawson Winder
Analyst, Bank of America

Okay, fantastic. Thank you so much.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. At this time, to handle questions brought up through the webcast, we'll turn the conference over to Rodrigo Camarozano, the Nexus head of IR. Rodrigo, please go ahead.

speaker
Rodrigo Camarosano
Head of Investor Relations

Thank you, operator. We have two questions from the webcast. The first one is from Harinon Kisluk from AppLife. And we also have another question from Alina Sipa from Evely Fund Management Company. So those questions are pretty much the same. And those have been already answered by Jose Carlos. They are related to the leverage and the dividend payments. So I believe that those questions have already been addressed. And we don't have any other questions. So I will turn the call over to Inácio for his final remarks.

speaker
Ignacio Rosado
Chief Executive Officer

Okay. Thank you very much, Rodrigo. Thank you very much for and to everyone for attending the call. We look forward to speak to you in the next quarter. Just wanted to say that we are very committed on our safety program. This is difficult times for us because we have two fatalities in two months and this never happened to us. So we are very focused on making sure that the system that we have, that is a good system, has to be reinforced and we have to make sure that all of our people understand that safety is our main value, and we will dedicate a lot of time on that. We are also working very hard on making sure that Alipuana finally is at the end of the ramp-up. Cerro Pascua is clear for us. We can approve it today, but we want to make sure that we first finish Alipuana, and then We are working always on achieving guidance on costs, on optimization of CapEx, and on production to have a stable production. So this is simple. It's a simple strategy, but it's a day-to-day strategy that we have to build. So we hopefully can show you that during the second quarter, at the end of the second quarter. Thank you very much for attending, and have a good day.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And the conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect and have a great day.

Disclaimer

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