5/5/2020

speaker
Angela
Conference Operator

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the ONTA Innovation First Quarter Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are on a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session, and instructions will follow at that time. If you need to ask an audio question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad.

speaker
Patrick Ho
Analyst, Siebel & Company

Thank you.

speaker
Angela
Conference Operator

I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Mr. Mike Schaefer. Please go ahead, sir.

speaker
Mike Schaefer
Head of Investor Relations

Thank you, Angela, and good afternoon, everyone. Onto Innovation issued its 2020 first quarter financial results this afternoon shortly after the market closed. If you have not received a copy of the release, please refer to the company's website at www.ontoinnovation.com where a copy of the release is posted. Joining us on the call today are Michael Plisinski, Chief Executive Officer, and Steven Ross, Chief Financial Officer. As is always the case, I need to remind you of the Safe Harbor regulations. Any matters today that are not historical facts particularly comments regarding the company's future plans, objectives, forecasts, and expected performance consist of forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such estimates, whether expressed or implied, are being made based on currently available information and the company's best judgment at this time. Within these is a wide range of assumptions that the company believes to be reasonable. However, it must be recognized that these statements are subject to a range of uncertainties that can cause the actual results to vary materially. Thus, the company cautions that these statements are no guarantees of future performance. Risk factors that may impact On2Innovation's results are currently described in On2Innovation's Form 10-K report for the year ended December 2019. As well as other filings with the SEC, On2Innovation does not update forward-looking statements and expressly disclaims any obligation to do so. Today's discussion of our financial results will be presented on a non-GAAP A detailed reconciliation between GAAP and non-GAAP results can be found in today's earnings release. I will now go ahead and turn the call over to Mike Plisinski. Mike?

speaker
Michael Plisinski
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Mike. Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to Onto Innovation's first quarter earnings call. I'll begin our call with an update on COVID-19 and its impact on our business. Then I'll cover the highlights for the first quarter, followed by Steve's financial review, and finally our outlook for the second quarter. So let's begin. At Onto Innovation, our battle with COVID-19 started in January with the lockdowns in Wuhan, China. Since that time, we've implemented increasingly more comprehensive safety policies for our staff and suppliers to reduce the impact of the virus on our business. As a result of these proactive steps, we kept our global staff safe and met our customer commitments in the quarter. In addition, we expedited a few systems, roughly $3 million in revenue, from the second quarter. These systems were pulled forward at the request of customers concerned with future supply chain disruptions impacting their ramp lands. In total, we ended the quarter with nearly $140 million in revenue which was at the high end of our guidance range and represented 16% growth over the reported prior quarter. Over half of our quarterly revenue came from five of the top seven capital spenders in our industry and lifting Atlas Metrology revenue growth by double digits over the prior quarter. Demand for our process control solutions for 5G applications also surged in the quarter resulting in double digit growth for both inspection and metal metrology systems. In addition to supporting the strong demand for our products while overcoming challenges posed by the COVID pandemic, we also accelerated our integration tasks. In April, we implemented another 6 million in annualized integration synergies, which we expect to be fully realized by the end of the third quarter. In total, we expect to end this year with over 20 million of annualized cost synergies. We also took advantage of our strong balance sheet to purchase back $34 million of stock in the first quarter and an additional $18 million in April for a total of 1.9 million shares at an average price of $27.50 per share. Our healthy balance sheet with no debt and most importantly our proven ability to generate cash through cycles leaves us confident we will navigate through the sea of challenges ready to take advantage of the opportunities that lie ahead. Now I'll provide some color on our first quarter results. As a reminder, we'll be reporting our results in three categories. The first category is Advanced Semiconductor Nodes, which comprises of front-end sales for DRAM, NAND, and Logic, including Foundry. The second category is Specialty Devices and Advanced Packaging, which also includes the products in our nascent silicon wafer manufacturing market. And our third category is Software and Services. For clarity, we'll be reporting quarterly changes based on the adjusted results in Q4 of 2019 that included all of the pre-merger October revenue from the former nanometrics. So let's begin with advanced nodes. Revenue from advanced nodes grew 14% sequentially, driven primarily by our Atlas metrology platform. Revenue originated from logic customers at the 7 nanometer and below design nodes and leading edge manufacturers DRAM and 3D NAND memory, underscoring the growing footprint and applications for the Atlas metrology. Leading our growth in the quarter, a leading manufacturer of DRAM selected onto Innovation's suite of metrology systems for OCD, metal and integrated applications to ramp a new DRAM facility at 10 nanometer design rules. To date, Our Atlas metrology systems have been selected to measure the most critical layers and structures at every sub-10 nanometer factory around the globe. The Atlas platform is winning these selections based on the performance of our exclusive broadband ellipsometry augmented with our broadband reflectometer. The complex integration of these two instruments provides the comprehensive data required to model the most complicated structures at productivity levels designed to exceed the requirements for high volume manufacturing. It's this combination of data richness and productivity that enables customers to measure the most advanced structures in production today. We see our technology leadership continuing as we engage with multiple R&D teams developing processes at 5 nanometer and below. Our merger creates further opportunities to extend our leadership by leveraging machine learning algorithms and technology from across the company to rapidly process inherent data richness of our systems and increase the time to value. Driving our specialty in advanced packaging segment was another exciting secular trend for On2 Innovation, the transition to high-speed, high-bandwidth 5G communications. These products are enabled by an ecosystem of device manufacturers from advanced logic and 3D NAND to specialty devices for power and bandwidth filtering. Also critical to the ecosystem are the packaging technologies required to integrate all of these devices into smaller, high-performing form factors. Onto Innovation is providing process control solutions across this ecosystem through our Dragonfly Inspection and Discover software technologies. The value of this unique combination resulted in a surge in orders for our inspection business, which grew by 22% in the quarter. Offsetting some of these gains was a slowdown from our silicon wafer manufacturers. After a strong fourth quarter, we saw declines primarily in our FTIR materials composition products, as well as Novus Edge systems. We see this pause continuing into the next quarter or two until planned EUV installations get caught up from the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Wrapping up the specialty and advanced packaging segment, panel lithography continues to attract investment. After delivering a second tool to an existing customer in the fourth quarter, we received a conditional order from our seventh panel customer in the first quarter. This new panel customer is in the top five of semiconductor capital spenders. Like others, they see panel level packaging as a key part of their packaging technology roadmap. This tool will be delivered in the first half of next year. With now seven customers ranging from top tier IDMs to progressive OSATs, we see the potential applications for panel level packaging continuing to expand. The market is still in the early stages and we expect to see volumes ramping in 2021. With regards to our program for Gen 6 display lithography, we've productively terminated our relationship with our partner in China. As part of the termination, we're transferring the top lithography talent to the On2Innovation team in China. The reaction from our customers has been positive, and we intend to reengage with them directly in projects as they slowly return to work. Rounding out the quarter, our services team did an outstanding job managing through the uncertainty of the pandemic. By leveraging our newly combined capabilities, we were able to maintain a high level of support while preserving the safety of our staff around the globe, including our team located in Wuhan and other locations that were directly impacted by the pandemic as early as January. In fact, our service organization recorded a record level of revenue for the quarter, an increase of 12% over the previous quarter. The pandemic has accelerated much of our merger-related Cross-training and Need Diagnostic Initiatives, which will further enhance our ability to serve customers and drive additional growth through value-added services. Now, I'd like to turn the call over to Steve for a review of the financial results for the quarter. Steve?

speaker
Steven Ross
Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Mike. Before I begin my financial remarks, as Mike noted, the financial results presented here will be on a non-GAAP basis, except where noted previously. and that the non-GAAP presentation of the new merged company no longer excludes stock-based compensation. Also, this is the first full quarter of the financial results of the merged company. In the fourth quarter, our financial results represented the operations of Rudolph for the full fourth quarter, but only the results of former nanometrics since the closing of the merger on October 25th. I recognize that this partial period results make comparability somewhat difficult, and I'll try to bridge those differences for you. As Mike mentioned, our first quarter revenue was $139.9 million above the midpoint of our guidance. For the fourth quarter of 2019, we reported revenue of $120.6 million, which excluded $10 million of Nanometrics October shipments and $1.7 million of deferred revenue that would have been in our results if we had closed the merger at the beginning of the quarter. Therefore, the full fourth quarter of the combined company would have been approximately $132.3 million. Based on those adjusted numbers, our Q1 results represents a 6% increase over the prior quarter. Breaking the revenue down by market, revenue from advanced nodes accounted for 44% of revenue, strength mainly in memory. Specialty devices and advanced packaging customers accounted for 35% of revenue, and the remaining 21% of revenue came from our software and services business. We had two customers in the quarter, both top five capital equipment spenders that represented greater than 10% of sales. As we've discussed, one of the benefits of the merged company is the broad and diverse customer base, with over 150 customers from silicon wafer manufacturers all the way to advanced packaging customers. Turning to gross margin, first quarter gross margin was 62%, driven by strength in both the Atlas III and Dragonfly product lines. This compares to a gross margin of 51% reported in the 2019 fourth quarter, also impacting margins with lower inventory reserves in the first quarter. As we look forward to Q2, we continue to see product mix as the primary driver of gross margin and currently anticipate margins to be in the range of 50% to 52%. Before I move on to a discussion about operating expenses, I wanted to provide an update on our progress with the merger synergies. As a reminder, we targeted $20 million in cost synergies that we believed we could execute on by the end of 2020. Those synergies were primarily around business rationalization, streamlining corporate overheads, and eliminating duplicative Public Company Costs. To date, we have now exceeded that target, implementing 21.4 million in synergies with an additional 3.2 million in supply chain synergies identified to be removed by the end of the year. Now let's move to operating expenses. First quarter operating expenses were 49.6 million at the low end of guidance. The impact of the synergies I just mentioned and the lower overall spending from reduced travel expenses as a result of COVID-19 were the primary drivers for the lower operating expense. In the 2019 fourth quarter, we reported 40.7 million in operating expenses and those results excluded 8.7 million of fourth quarter nanometrics expenses prior to the closing. As I stated on our last call, historically operating expenses increased quarter over quarter from Q4 to Q1 every year. During the first quarter, we perform our annual compensation reviews and equity grants, bonus plans, and payroll taxes is all reset for the year. However, our accelerated synergies and cost savings offset those increases. For the second quarter, we expect to see the full impact of the operating expense synergies we implemented in Q1 and a partial impact of the synergies implemented at the beginning of Q2. We are currently forecasting our Q2 operating expenses to be in a range of $47.5 to $48.5 million. Historically, the operating expenses of the two combined companies was about $52 million quarterly, so we can already see the benefits of the merger centers as approximately $4 million next quarter. Net income for the first quarter was $19.7 million, or $0.39 per share, and at the higher end of our guidance. In the 2019 fourth quarter, we reported $0.41 per share. However, the share count used in that calculation was 43 million shares outstanding due to the merger being closed in the middle of the quarter. The first quarter, the share count was approximately 50.6 million shares. And using that share count on the fourth quarter net income would have resulted in about 35 cents per share. Now turning to cash and investments, which are on a gap basis. We ended the quarter with cash in a cash position of 292 million. During the quarter, as Mike mentioned, we executed on the repurchase of 33.6 million of our stock under a previously authorized repurchase program, totaling 1.3 million shares. We also generated $8.9 million in cash from operations in the quarter, where that amount was significantly reduced by the timing of shipments in the quarter. The slowdown in our supply chain and the moving to a split operation due to COVID-19 resulted in a majority of our shipments going out in the last month of the quarter and affected our ability to collect a portion of our quarterly sales within the quarter. Historically, both Nanometrics and Rudolph were strong cash flow generating companies and combined were even stronger. currently model our cash break even to be between 65 and 75 million in quarterly revenue depending on product mix. That is also based on our current expense structure. So we are confident that with our cash position and our ability to generate cash, we are in a strong position to navigate through the current challenges and maintain our ability to invest in our roadmaps and other revenue opportunities as they materialize from our R&D innovations. Now I'd like to turn the call back over to Mike. Mike?

speaker
Michael Plisinski
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Steve. The impact of the pandemic adds a new level of uncertainty that is difficult to quantify both in the chance of occurrence of an outbreak and its impact to our operations. As I mentioned earlier, we have implemented a variety of protocols to maintain the safety of our staff and reduce the risk to our business. Likewise, we're working very closely with our suppliers to share best practices we've developed to reduce their risk. We intend to maintain these protocols throughout the quarter independent of the eventual loosening of government restrictions. Our guidance assumes these steps will continue to prove effective and as a result, our operations will continue to function. Obviously, if our procedures fail to prevent or contain an outbreak in one of our factories or our suppliers unexpectedly miss deliveries, then we could be negatively impacted beyond our guidance range. So let's discuss what we see for demand. Much like the first quarter, we see markets continuing to benefit from investments in 5G. In March, analysts in Asia reported that Chinese smartphone shipments rose to 21 million units down year over year, but up 200% over the prior month. Apple smartphones in China improved significantly more than expected in March, increasing 20% year over year and 400% over the prior month. Looking beyond China, Qualcomm recently reported that 30% of the phones sold in March were 5G enabled and 71% of the new phone launches in March supported 5G. Though most of this initial 5G product demand is coming from Chinese and other Asian handset manufacturers, as mentioned earlier, these customers are supported by a global ecosystem of manufacturers which we support. We believe our strong position across the 5G ecosystem will contribute to another sequential quarter of double-digit growth for our inspection platforms. For advanced nodes, we see more cautious spending plans versus the expectations at the start of the year. Though secular trends remain strong, our customers are ascertaining how much demand is inventory builds versus real growth and how the next several quarters will impact demand as we begin to emerge from the current COVID crisis. So after a surge in the first quarter, which included the aggressive ramp of a DRAM customer in Asia, we see a decline in DRAM process control spending in the second quarter. We see logic spending also declining, with NAND investments remaining relatively stable. In summary, we expect to see revenue from advanced nodes in the range between the fourth and first quarters, with balanced demand from logic DRAM and NAND customers. So with continued growth from 5G and a pause in the growth from advanced nodes, we estimate revenue in the second quarter to be approximately $134 million, with upside of 3% and a downside of 5%, reflecting the greater market uncertainty and risk to suppliers, but still assuming we maintain operations as mentioned earlier. After adjusting for the pull-in of $3 million from the second to the first quarter, we are essentially flat, sequentially. It's worth noting that in aggregate at the second quarter guidance of 134 million, our first half year-over-year comparison is forecasted to be up approximately 6.5% on an adjusted pro forma basis. We expect earnings in the range of 29 to 41 cents per share, only partially benefiting from the integration synergies we've implemented. As devastating as this pandemic is on the global economy, Thank you for joining us. High-performance compute engines are leveraging the massive volumes of data being collected around the globe to speed the development of treatments and eventual vaccines. More broadly, silicon content is enhancing nearly every aspect of our lives from how we work, communicate, drive, shop, and what we expect from healthcare systems. Advances in semiconductor device technology from 5 nanometer processors and 128-layer DRAM to 2.5 and 3D packaging technologies are enabling these macro trends. As reflected in our quarter, On2Innovation is broadly serving the leaders across the spectrum of technology innovators. We are in a golden era of process control where the complexity of leading-edge devices and sub-10 nanometer nodes is increasing simultaneously with demands for more complex heterogeneous packages and denser die-level interconnects. This is creating demand for more sophisticated process control solutions across the semiconductor value chain from bare wafers to final package devices. The On2Innovation team is meeting that demand with growing positions in leading edge design nodes, specialty devices such as 5G, and all technologies for advanced packaging. We'll continue to use our strong balance sheet and disciplined financial model to fuel the innovation our customers are depending on and which we are well positioned to provide. And with that, we'll open the lines for questions from our covering analysts. Angela?

speaker
Angela
Conference Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, if you have a question at this time, please press the star and the number one key on your touch-tone telephone. If your question has been answered, if you wish to remove yourself from the queue, please press the pound key. And our first question is from the line of Quinn Bolton with Needham. Please go ahead.

speaker
Quinn Bolton
Analyst, Needham & Company

Hey, guys. Thanks, Cheryl. The first quarter results in a challenging environment. I wanted to start off with the advanced nodes, specifically the Atlas. It sounds like you said the 14% growth was driven mostly by DRAM, but wondering if you also saw foundry strength and then have a follow-up.

speaker
Steven Ross
Chief Financial Officer

Okay. So, hi, Quinn. Steve Roth. So, yeah, we had very strong DRAM growth in the quarter overall, but we also had a fairly strong boundary in the fourth quarter. So, you know, while there wasn't an increase over quarter over quarter, I would say, I mean, it was flat quarter over quarter, but still a very good portion of the overall business in both quarters.

speaker
Quinn Bolton
Analyst, Needham & Company

Yeah, so flat off a pretty high base in Q4. Yes. Got it. And then a second question you guys didn't mention, the Commerce Department actions tightening the export controls around military use and military end users in China. Just wondering, you know, over the past week, if you had a chance to look at those new regulations that come effective at the end of June and whether that might have any impact on the business specifically. Will it require you to get new licenses to ship to customers in China? Thank you.

speaker
Michael Plisinski
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, so we've been working with council in Washington, D.C., as well as our own council, of course, here to try and understand the dynamics in play there. We do fall under the, you know, under some of those restrictions. Our products are impacted, but the level of impact is still, there's a lot of uncertainty there. So we're still trying to work through that. We would expect to have a better understanding within the next week or so.

speaker
Quinn Bolton
Analyst, Needham & Company

Can I just follow up on that? Do you think if you fall under then that means you may be required to get a license under that interpretation?

speaker
Michael Plisinski
Chief Executive Officer

Either a license or there's other, you know, if you make a memory chip and a memory chip is used in a toy or, you know, a military device, the customer may or may not be actually selling to the military. So we have to understand Can the customers certify that they're building these for consumer devices and making sure that that's an option as well? Great. Thank you, Mike. It's really not totally clear at this point.

speaker
David Dooley
Analyst, Steelhead Securities

Yeah. Okay.

speaker
Tom Disley
Analyst, D.A. Davidson

Thank you.

speaker
Angela
Conference Operator

And your next question is from the line of Patrick Ho with Siebel. Please go ahead, sir.

speaker
Patrick Ho
Analyst, Siebel & Company

Thank you very much, and I'd like to hear everyone as well. Maybe Mike or Steve, in terms of the gross margin profile, it was pretty strong given a lot of the disruptions that occurred during the quarter. Maybe from just the COVID-19 perspective, how much, I guess, balancing did you have to do or how much of an impact did that issue cause on the gross margin line for the March quarter and how much of an impact do you think it will have in the June quarter?

speaker
Steven Ross
Chief Financial Officer

Hi Patrick, it's Steve. So, you know, as you can see in the prepared remarks, we were able to pretty much, you know, the team really stepped up and we put in our processes in place and things like split shifts and things like that. So, you know, we were able to just continue to execute on the existing orders we had. Mike mentioned that we pulled in a couple of tools at customer request, but the product mix was, you know, what we had planned maybe, you know, before this kind of all happened. So, I would say from a, you know, the cost standpoint, You know, affecting the gross margin line. You know, most of that stuff was, you know, coming from the, obviously the tool prices and everything were all similar to what we would expect in a normal environment. Obviously, you know, a little bit of the above the line costs maybe have been reduced from a travel perspective for service guys and stuff as things really slowed down towards the end of the quarter. But, you know, we still got to get these tools in place and we obviously have a lot of people that, you know, or in the field trying to put the, you know, obviously we're doing that without travel. So we're doing our installations in the countries at which those leases are there. So, you know, I would say that really with no effect, really very minimal effect on Q1 and, you know, this is the mode we're operating under and I really don't see it impacting Q2. That's why we're kind of sitting in where we are.

speaker
Patrick Ho
Analyst, Siebel & Company

Great. That's really helpful, Steve. And maybe as a follow-up for you in terms of the inventory on your end, Obviously, your customers and their end-user customers are building some inventory level and things that I've heard is the entire food chain at some level is building buffer inventory given the uncertainty that's out there. Your inventory levels look relatively healthy still for this very disruptive environment. Can you talk about how you're ensuring that you'll have the necessary supplies and inventory given the uncertainty in the marketplace?

speaker
Steven Ross
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, so, I mean, obviously it's something that's right up there with the number one thing we're looking at is obviously the delivery of our material. I mean, obviously, you know, we have fairly decent build cycles, so we obviously ordered this stuff, you know, well in advance of the quarter that it would get here on time. We've monitored that. You know, there have been a couple of places where we, you know, things got disrupted, especially out of Malaysia earlier in Q2, but we've been Pretty much, you know, while there's still a couple of things we're monitoring, we've been getting commitments from our suppliers and delivery dates for the material. So it's a risk, of course, because you don't know what could happen next. But I would say right now we're seeing the impact from a Q2 standpoint. You know, we see the stuff coming in to make sure we can hit the numbers that we're giving out.

speaker
Patrick Ho
Analyst, Siebel & Company

Great. Thank you very much.

speaker
Angela
Conference Operator

And your next question is from the line of Tom Disley with D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead.

speaker
Tom Disley
Analyst, D.A. Davidson

Hi, guys. Good afternoon. This is actually a friend calling for Tom today. I was hoping to get your view on semiconductor units for the year. You obviously talked about 5G driving unit growth in the first half, but would that be enough to kind of drive growth for the entire year if it, in fact, slows down?

speaker
Michael Plisinski
Chief Executive Officer

I think there's a combination. It's not just 5G, but there's also a lot of data center demand, a lot of PC refresh cycles that we're seeing, and as people start to adjust to this work-from-home environment, people start to drive more social media and sort of remote engagement tools that are based up in the cloud and data centers. So the question is really how much of the demand has been accumulating and will be resolved over the next two quarters versus how much will continue as consumers start to come back hopefully in the next several quarters. So that's one thing on the demand side what you asked, but I think it's also important to note that a lot of our customers are investing in the next technology ramps, which so far, short of a push out here or there, and only maybe part of their ramp being pushed out, they've all been very confident in moving forward with their ramps. So that's also a positive from the industry perspective.

speaker
Tom Disley
Analyst, D.A. Davidson

Okay, that's helpful, thank you. And then one question on the Gen6 tool. You terminated your relationship with your trainer partner. How do you expect that will change sort of the timing of the rollout for that tool?

speaker
Michael Plisinski
Chief Executive Officer

Well, as you know, we've achieved all the technical milestones that we had targeted. and the let's say the next big milestone was the customer engagement and locking in a customer for that tool. So the struggles we were having with our partner was sort of inhibiting that progress. So now we're in the process of reengaging. But as you know, there's a lot of travel restrictions. People aren't meeting that customers in one of the hot zones or at least a couple of the customers there. We'll have more clarity as we reengage and get more direct feedback, but we are encouraged that the feedback we've gotten from the accounts has been very positive, and there are projects that they've been looking at for that Gen 6 tool.

speaker
Tom Disley
Analyst, D.A. Davidson

Okay, thank you. That's it from us.

speaker
Angela
Conference Operator

And your next question is from the line of Craig Ellis with B Raleigh SDR. Please go ahead.

speaker
Carl Lynch
Analyst, B. Riley Securities

Hey guys, this is Carl and Lynch on for Craig. Thanks for taking my question. I guess I want to start on the synergy front. Obviously, great job there, and you identified some additional synergies beyond the one that you had started with. As you look out even farther, just kind of from a high-level perspective, do you see further kind of synergy harvesting as you look into the back half of the year and maybe calendar 21, or is this kind of it?

speaker
Michael Plisinski
Chief Executive Officer

I think the additional synergies we see are more in the product rationalization and some of the supply chain rationalization that we see the ability to execute on. Those will be more ongoing business processes that we bring together. I wouldn't say that those are projects that we'll be investing in and then coming through. There are more synergies There are also more revenue synergies that we're identifying. I mentioned a few of them as the diagnostics and some of the software that we're employing to help improve the service organization and add value added services there. So I think there's more that we're uncovering and we expect more in 2021.

speaker
Carl Lynch
Analyst, B. Riley Securities

Got it. Got it. Okay. And then I guess just kind of generally, obviously, the whole situation is pretty Ido Dolev, Shek Ming Ho C.F.A., Michael Dolev, Shirley Chen

speaker
Michael Plisinski
Chief Executive Officer

I think it's early for the revenue synergies to drive half on half revenue growth. I think we might be able to see some revenue, but it will be still relatively small. And then growing and building into the following year. But as far as half over half, if the customers continue to execute to the plans that they've discussed, we would see enough Customer demand to drive half over half growth. I think there's a lot of uncertainty as everybody's trying to understand the impact of the global recession and pandemic. And is it a V, U or L-shaped curve? But yeah, so far, that's what we're seeing.

speaker
Carl Lynch
Analyst, B. Riley Securities

So just to be clear, you guys haven't seen any like early signs of demand destruction in the back half of the year?

speaker
Michael Plisinski
Chief Executive Officer

Oh, we have. You know, this was a year that was, you know, forecasted. We had some years coming out 20% growth and things like this. We didn't see that much growth, but we did see some growth. And we have seen some reduction of that growth, but still growth. So over 2019. And you can see even our first half is still 6.5%, you know, at the midpoint of our guidance or at the, you know, Q2 guidance levels. So, you know, if we continue to, if the customers execute, we do see the demand potentially driving additional growth in the second half. Got it.

speaker
Carl Lynch
Analyst, B. Riley Securities

All right. Thanks, guys.

speaker
Angela
Conference Operator

And again, if you would like to ask the audio questions, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. Again, that's star 1 to ask a question. And your next question is from the line of David Dooley with Steelhead. Please go ahead.

speaker
David Dooley
Analyst, Steelhead Securities

Yeah, a couple questions from me. Could you help us understand what your current lead times are for the Atlas product and the inspection products? And have you seen those lead times extend or contract, or what have they done over the last quarter?

speaker
Michael Plisinski
Chief Executive Officer

The lead times so far haven't changed dramatically. We've had some supply chain issues. that we've worked through that move things around, but those were specific vendors that we had to work through some issues with. But overall, the lead times haven't changed dramatically. What we've tried to do is drive more discipline with the customers and cooperate with the customers to get orders in a little sooner so we can be more specific and make sure that they have the parts or the unique configurations that they care about. We can't carry as much inventory and all the different options and the supply chain can't react the way it would have in the past. So that's how we've been dealing with maintaining, more or less maintaining the lead times.

speaker
David Dooley
Analyst, Steelhead Securities

And what roughly are there then? How many weeks?

speaker
Michael Plisinski
Chief Executive Officer

I would say 8 to 16, anywhere between 2 and 4 months.

speaker
David Dooley
Analyst, Steelhead Securities

Okay, and could you elaborate a little bit more on the DRAM win that you talked about? I'm sorry, I didn't quite write everything down or I didn't hear everything you mentioned about what products were associated with that win and perhaps help us understand, did you take market share from somebody and why did you win this business?

speaker
Michael Plisinski
Chief Executive Officer

On the DRAM side, We won the business because of the capability of the tools. I can't speak if we've gained extra share or not. We had a position within this account. We were pleased by the magnitude of the adoption of our products across not just the Atlas product line, but also our integrated metrology product line and the Metapulse as well. I didn't see or get a measure of what the competitors may have gotten. I know we achieved what we expected to achieve. It's hard to say whether we gained share or not, but we for sure were pleased with the level of adoption the customer had for our products and technologies.

speaker
David Dooley
Analyst, Steelhead Securities

Okay, and then final thing for me, could you talk about the segments in the June quarter? I think you mentioned the front end semiconductor business, but if you could just talk about each segment and what you would expect it to do going into the second quarter and why.

speaker
Michael Plisinski
Chief Executive Officer

So we mentioned the advanced nodes would be between the first and the second, between the levels of the first and fourth quarters, so declining a little bit as some of the customers are Both delaying some expansions or pushing out after some growth in Q1. And it's rebalanced, so balanced between DRAM, NAND, and Logic almost equally. And the growth from 5G we see continuing for driving the specialty and advanced packaging, primarily the inspection business, so that's where That's what we see. And then the services and software remain relatively flat at these high levels, near record levels.

speaker
David Dooley
Analyst, Steelhead Securities

Okay, and I'm sorry, I just want to slip one more in there. I know it's early on, but based on your backlog and your commentary, it seems like you would expect Q3 revenues to be flatter. What sort of scenarios are you kind of considering at this point, given all the cards that you can look at now?

speaker
Michael Plisinski
Chief Executive Officer

It's, you know, Q3, if all the customers continue with their plans, Q3 should be relatively strong, but there's a lot of, relatively, so flat to up, but there's a lot of uncertainty right now. Customers are looking to understand what's the impact of the COVID pandemic. They're looking to understand the impact of supply chain, not just on us. We can build tools, but if process equipment suppliers can't deliver, You know, there's no need for additional process control, so there's a lot of uncertainty that customers are working through right now as they think about what they're doing for Q3. Thanks, Mike.

speaker
Angela
Conference Operator

Yep. And your final question is from the line of Mark Miller with Benchmark. Please go ahead.

speaker
Mark Miller
Analyst, Benchmark

Thank you for your question. Just wanted to try to get your impression of the decline that you're speculating in the DRAM and Logic. One interpretation could be that because of the virus that there was a lot of purchases of laptop computers during the quarter and that kind of spiked up. Another concern is that people were stockpiling chips. What's your interpretation of the slowdown? Do either of those theories work or do you have another belief?

speaker
Michael Plisinski
Chief Executive Officer

Well, that's what the customers are trying to ascertain. So the We've heard commentary from customers that they're not sure. I think TSMC actually said this publicly. They're not sure how much of the demand they're seeing is buildup versus sustainable demand, so buildup of inventories versus not, and I think that'll take a few months to play out. And then on the DRAM or advanced memory side, I think it's a similar situation where you've got data centers expanding. I think we've seen some commentary from some of the larger data center service providers that they were constrained and they wanted to spend more capital but they couldn't because of the supply chain, you know, receiving equipment. So that implies that there's pretty strong demand out there still and that we're not seeing an inventory So I think there's two different, there's competing views and we need a few months to see how that really plays out. For us, we're prepared for either way. As I mentioned, we accelerated some synergy. So we're prepared if things stay at this level to have healthy bottom line so we can continue to invest, continue to accelerate our roadmaps. And at the same time, we're prepared within the manufacturing organization to be able to ramp When the demand returns. Thank you. You're welcome.

speaker
Angela
Conference Operator

And I'm showing no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn the conference back to Mike Schaffer for closing remarks.

speaker
Michael Plisinski
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Angela. And thank you all for your support. And a special thank you to the dedicated On2Innovation team for overcoming many challenges in this quarter. I also want to thank our suppliers and our customers for their support and cooperation during these challenging times. And Angela, that completes our call.

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