Ormat Technologies, Inc.

Q4 2021 Earnings Conference Call

2/24/2022

speaker
Operator
Good morning and welcome to the ORMAT Technologies' fourth quarter 2021 earnings conference call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Please note that this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Sam Cohen with Alpha IR Group. Please go ahead.
speaker
Sam Cohen
Thank you, Operator. Hosting the call today are Duran Plashar, Chief Executive Officer, Asaf Ginsberg, Chief Financial Officer, Nadar Lavie, Vice President, Head of Investor Relations and ESG Planning and Supporting. Before beginning, we would like to remind you that the information provided during this call may contain forward-looking statements relating to current expectations, estimates, forecasts, and projections about future events that are forward-looking as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements generally relate to the company's plans, objectives, and expectations for future operations and are based on management's current estimates and projections, future results, or trends. Actual results may differ materially from those projected as a result of certain risks and uncertainties. For discussion of such risks and uncertainties, please see risk factors as described in ORMAP Technologies' annual report on Form 10-K and quarterly reports on Form 10-Q that are filed with the SEC. In addition, during the call, the company will present non-GAAP financial measures, such as adjusted EBITDA. Reconciliation is the most directly comparable GAAP measures and management reasonings for presenting such information is set forth in the press release that was issued last night, as well as in the slides posted on the website. Because these measures are not calculated in accordance with GAAP, they should not be considered in isolation from the financial statements prepared in accordance with GAAP. Before I turn the call over to management, I would like to remind everyone that a slide presentation accompanying this call may be accessed on the company's website. at ormat.com under the presentation link that is found on the investor relations tab. With all that said, I'd now like to turn the call over to Duran Blashar, who will begin on slide three of today's presentation. Duran, the call is yours.
speaker
Duran Plashar
Thank you, Sam. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. The fourth quarter marked a solid finish for the year, and we are encouraged by the year-over-year quarterly growth in revenue, operating income, and adjusted EPS supported by our growing electricity and storage portfolio. This demonstrated growth drove a number of fourth quarter performance records, including record electricity segment revenues and the record total adjusted EBITDA for a quarter period. We accelerated the revenue growth of our electricity and storage segments by completing expansions of operating power plants, successfully integrating our recent geothermal acquired assets and expanding our exploration activities to include a much higher number of drilling campaigns. Notably, this was achieved while navigating the continuing impact of COVID-19, which has caused disruption to our business, namely on the product side and on construction. We see encouraging increases in the demand for geothermal energy. Both California and Nevada, which employ massive amounts of intermittent power, recognized the importance of geothermal as a zero-emission, high-capacity energy source. In California, this recognition was translated into new CPUC decisions to adopt a portfolio that we believe will result in the acceleration of new geothermal development, and we expect that the increase in demand will result in higher PPA prices. This encouraging development in the U.S. market support our efforts to grow our portfolio in the U.S., and we are prepared to build upon the solid foundation laid in 2021 to continue that momentum. This year, we plan to commission a total of 15 new geothermal energy storage and solar PV projects with a total emission-free capacity of 210 megawatts. We remain confident in our long-term plans to increase our combined geothermal, energy storage, and solar generation portfolio to more than 1.5 gigawatt by the end of 2023. And we estimate that we will reach an annual run rate of $500 million in adjusted EBITDA towards the end of 2022. We expect to continue this established growth trajectory as we move forward with the commissioning of new power plants in 2023 and beyond. We will give more details on our future growth plan at our investor day being planned on March 30. I will turn the call over to Asi to review the financial results before I provide further updates on our operations and future plans. Asi.
speaker
Sam
Thank you, Doron. Let me start my review of our financial highlights on slide five. For the first time since the beginning of the pandemic, our quarterly revenues, operating income, and adjusted EBITDA marked an improvement versus prior periods. For fourth quarter 2021, Omati reported an increase of 6.5% in total revenue and 6.3% in adjusted EBITDA, as well as approximately 5% improvement in adjusted EPS versus the prior period. For the full year 2021, total revenues were down 6%. Adjusted EBITDA was down 4.5%. and adjusted EPS decreased 16%, mostly as a result of the reduction in the product segment contribution. Moving to slide six. Breaking the revenues down, 8.2% increase in the fully electricity segment revenues and 12.4% increase in the quarter was supported by contributions from our newly acquired Dixie Valley and Biwawi power plant, the expansion of the McGinnis Hills and the recovery of the Puna power plants. These growth-driving expansions were partially offset by some resource challenges in the Olkaria power plant in Kenya and the temporary partially shutdown of the Boyan power plant in Guadeloupe, which is now back to full operation. In the product segment, fully revenue declined approximately 68%, representing 7% of the total revenue in 2021. Quarterly revenues declined 26%. This year-over-year revenue decline was expected as we experienced slowness in backlog recovery and delay in signing new contracts due to the continuing challenges resulting from COVID-19. In addition, ongoing impacts of the global pandemic result in a rising raw material cost and additional transportation costs, partially offsetting results for the quarter and for the year. In the energy storage segment, revenue increased 92% year-over-year, driven mainly by revenues from the addition of the Valesito and Pomona facilities, higher prices in PGA markets, and one-time $5.4 million revenue related to the February crisis in Texas. The increase was partially offset by diminishing contribution of the demand-respond activity inherited from the validity acquisition. In the fourth quarter, energy storage segment revenues grew approximately 10% year over year. Let's move to slide seven. The electricity segment gross margin decreased in both full year and fourth quarter. Primary, due to lower margins in the national portfolio caused by the previously mentioned challenges in Olkaria and Guadeloupe. In the product segment, gross margin was negatively impacted by lower volume and thus a loss of fixed cost leverage combined with rising costs for raw materials and marine transportation. For the full year 2021, energy storage segment gross margin increased to 33%, and for the fourth quarter of 2021, it increased to 16.4%. This gross margin expansion in our storage segment was driven by the one-time revenues related to the power crisis in Texas, as well as increase in the power prices in the PGA market. Turning now to slide eight. The electricity segment generated approximately 95% of the total adjusted EBITDA in the full year 2021, and continue to be the main drivers of the company's profitability. The storage segment reported a fully adjusted EBITDA of $10.4 million, including $3.5 million in the fourth quarter. Reconciliation of EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA are provided in the appendix slide. Turning to slide nine. For the full year 2021, we successfully raised approximately $275 million in the aggregate, including $225 million net proceeds from bank term loans and $50 million proceeds from bank green term loans. Our net debt as of December 31st was just over $1.5 billion. Cash and cash equivalents, including maximum securities as of the end of the year, were $387 million. The slide breaks down the use of cash for the trailing 12 months and illustrates our ability to balance our priorities of investing back in our business, serving our debt, and continuing to return capital to shareholders in the form of cash dividends. Our long-term and short-term debt as of December 31st was $1.9 billion, net of deferred financing costs. The payment schedule is presented on slide 33 in the appendix. The average cost of debt for the company at the end of 2021 was 4.3% versus 4.7% at the beginning of the year. The majority of our debts include loans that bear fixed interest rates. We have limited exposure to rising interest rates and only $34 million of our loans bear variable interest. Moving now to slide 10. The significant growth in both our electricity and storage segment will require robust capital investment over the next couple of years. To fund this growth, we have approximately $900 million of cash and available credit facilities. Our total expected capex for 2022 includes approximately $500 million of capital expenditure as detailed on slide 34 in the appendix. Overall, ORMAT is well positioned from a capital perspective with excellent liquidity and ample access to additional capital to fund the future growth initiatives. With regards to our international accounts receivable, we are encouraged by the latest payments from KPLC that significantly reduced the overdue amounts to $25.5 million at the end of the year. And additional payments were made between January and February of $22.9 million. On the other hand, in Honduras, we are experiencing some delays in payments, which we believe are due to the recent election in the country. Having said that, we believe the overdue invoices will be paid once the political situation is stabilized. On February 23, 2022, the company's board of directors declared, approved, and authorized payments of a quarterly dividend of 12 cents per share, pursuant to the company's dividend policy. The dividends will be paid on March 23, 2022, to stockholders on record as of the close of business day on March 9, 2022. In addition, the company expects to pay quarterly dividends of 12 cents per share in each of the next three quarters. So Ron?
speaker
Duran Plashar
Thank you, Asim. Turning to slide 13 for a look at our operating portfolio. For the full year, power generation in our power plants increased by 8% compared to last year. This increase is mainly due to our recent enhancements, PUNA recovery, and the integration of newly acquired assets. For the year, revenues of our electricity segments increased 8.2%, with an average rate per megawatt hour of approximately $90, both in 2021 and 2020. As noted on slide 14, Puna resumed operations in November 2020, two and a half years after the eruption of the Kiloa volcano. In 2020, the power plant reached 10 megawatt capacity And since that time, we have been able to stabilize it at approximately 25 megawatts. As you know, the energy rate in Pune for the first 25 megawatts is linked to the local utility avoided cost. And therefore, for both 2021 and currently, we are benefiting from the rising oil prices. In 2022, we plan to drill a new well and improve the performance of our existing well and expect to further increase the generation by year-end. Let me discuss some of the challenges we experienced in a few of our power plants on slide 15. I will start with a known one in Kenya. Currently, the Olkeria power plant is generating approximately 123 megawatts due to lower performance of the reservoir, which caused a reduction in gross profit of approximately $3 million in the fourth quarter of 2021 and approximately $14 million in the full year 2021. compared to the same period in 2020. We are working to increase the well-filled performance and improve the efficiency of the power plant equipment. We expect the successful results of these actions will gradually increase capacity, and that will reach approximately 135 to 140 megawatts by the end of 2022. In the Boyan Power Plant in Vaudeloup, we experienced limited injection due to scaling and the partial shutdown of the power plant during the second half of the year. As a result of this operational issue, our gross profit reduced by approximately $2 million in the fourth quarter of 2021, and $7 million for the full year 2021, compared to the same period in 2020. The project is now back to normal operation, and we expect results to pull back in line with the trajectory we saw prior to the disruption. Turning to slide 16, In July, we closed the accretive acquisition of Terrigen assets. As a reminder, this acquisition added a total net generation capacity of approximately 67.5 megawatts to our portfolio, along with the Greenfield development asset adjacent to Dixie Valley and an underutilized transmission line. We acquired the asset just over six months ago, and we are now already in the process of enhancing the Dixie Valley power plant to its maximum control capacity of 60 megawatts and in Biwawi, we have a plan to double its capacity by the end of 2023. Moving to slide 17 for an update on our backlog. We see a 60% increase compared to the same time last year, which we believe will enable us to increase the product segment revenues in 2022 versus 2021. We are also encouraged by the large pipeline of potential projects globally that reflect the continued demand for geothermal power, and we are confident that once COVID-related obstacles are resolved globally, this segment will significantly improve. Moving to slide 18, the energy storage segment continues to develop into an important part of our consolidated results. This quarter, we saw an increase in our storage facilities revenues, which were up 10% year over year, as well as a noticeable improvement in operating margins for the sector. Part of the increase was related to higher energy rates received in PGM regions due to the rising natural gas prices. We have increased our pipeline and are releasing new projects for construction as planned. As we continue to develop this segment, we expect our new projects will be of greater magnitude, and as evidenced, we recently released the construction of an 80 megawatt, 320 megawatt-hour project that we plan to build in California. The storage facilities that we plan to bring online in 2022 are expected to generate in today's prices revenues of approximately $6 million in 2022 and approximately $17 million in an annual revenue, with EBITDA margins of approximately 50% to 60%. Moving to slide 19, 2021 brought a wave of beneficial legislation in support of the renewable energy industry in the United States and globally. The Glasgow Climate Change Conference set an ambitious target to reduce global warming, and governments, including the U.S., made a commitment to reach those targets. We are watching closely the Build Back Better bill and hope for its approval in 2022. The bill includes a pass on PTC-ITC extensions, the option to receive tax credits, and also includes storage that's eligible for ITC. We are encouraged by the great acknowledgement and support we are getting from the CPUC. In 2021, the CPUC issued a ruling requiring electric load service entities to procure one gigawatt of zero emission high capacity power by 2026. We demand that this power is independent of weather, which is namely geothermal. Just recently, the CPUC issued its 2021 preferred system plan. which includes a planning target for an additional 1160 megawatts of new-built geothermal capacity beyond 2026 and nearly 15,000 megawatts of battery storage by 2032. This pushes the procurement needs for geothermal in California to 2160 megawatts by 2032. We believe these recent regulatory tailwinds demonstrate the strategic importance An essential role geothermal plays in the new zero-emission future. This also illuminates and unlocks the value of geothermal inherited advantages as a weather-independent renewable source, enabling us to negotiate PPAs with higher energy rates. Moving to slide 21 and 22. The buildup we conducted across 2021 supports our robust growth plan. which is expected to increase our total portfolio by more than 40% by the end of 2023 versus 2021. In our energy storage portfolio, we plan to enhance our growth and increase our current 83 megawatt portfolio by an additional 230 to 290 megawatts, with 550 to 660 megawatt-hour battery capabilities by year end 2023. These additions will enable us to reach a total storage portfolio of between 313 and 373 megawatts, subject of course to our ability to overcome any permitting and supply chain challenges. Slides 23 and 24 display the 12 geothermal projects and six solar PV projects currently underway, comprising the majority of our 2022 and 2023 growth plans. As you can see, we added a few names, including the Biwawi repowering I mentioned earlier. We also added a few solar PV as a hybrid addition to our geothermal project. In addition, we are on track with our Dixie Metals project, following the Ninth Circuit's recent decision, setting aside an injunction to temporarily pause construction. Moving to slides 25 and 26, the second layer of our growth plans cramped from the energy storage segment. Slide 25 demonstrates the energy storage facilities that have started construction. As you can see from the list, two new projects were released for construction with a total of 100 megawatts, 340 megawatts-hour in California and in New Jersey. The other projects that should help us see how 2023 growth targets are included in the pipeline are in different stages of development. Their release will require the execution of an interconnection agreement, obviously all subject to economic justification. As you can see on slide 26, our energy storage pipeline stands at 2.3 gigawatt with 5.7 gigawatt hour and currently includes 32 named potential projects, mainly in California, Texas, and New Jersey. Please turn to slide 27 for a discussion of our full year 2022 guidance. We expect total revenue to increase by approximately 11% year-over-year to between $725 and $750 million, with electricity segment revenues between $645 and $655 million, an increase of 11% compared to 2021. We expect approximately 17% increase in the product segment with revenues between $50 and $60 million, and energy storage revenues are expected to be between $30 and $35 million, an increase of 30% over 2021 revenue when excluding the one-time $5.4 million revenue related to the Texas freeze in 2021. We expect adjusted EBITDA to increase 10% and to be between $430 and $450 million. We expect annual adjusted EBITDA attributable to minority interest to be approximately $32 million. Adjusted EBITDA guidance for 2022 includes a $9 million insurance process. I'll end our prepared remarks on slide 28. As we have mentioned, 2021 was a significant build-up year supporting our low-end growth trajectory, primarily focused on expanding our geothermal and solar portfolio. 2022 will continue this build-up and will mark an important step in the exploration activity to support the growth beyond 2023. With 18 geothermal and solar projects and eight storage projects actively underway, we expect a significant increase in our capacity as we move towards our target of more than 1.5 gigawatt by 2023. In fiscal 2022, we expect to deliver meaningful revenue expansion driving profitable growth of roughly 10% to our adjusted EBITDA. In our product segment, we are encouraged by the large pipeline we have developed, and we believe we're in the process of overcoming some of the external issues that impacted our financial performance in 2021 in this segment. We believe strongly that our strategy, our assets, our advantages cost structure, the strong regulatory tailwind, and the increased PPA prices we see in the market position OMAC for success and will result in meaningful shareholder value in 2022 and beyond. This concludes our prepared remarks. Operator?
speaker
Operator
If you would like to ask a question, please press star followed by one on your telephone keypad. If for any reason you would like to remove that question, please press star followed by two. Again, to ask a question, it is star one. If you are streaming today's call, please dial in and enter star one. As a reminder, if you are using a speakerphone for today's call, please remember to pick up your handset before asking your question. We will pause here briefly as questions are registered. Our first question goes to Noah Kay with Oppenheimer. Noah, your line is open. You can go ahead.
speaker
Noah Kay
Good morning. Thanks for taking the questions. I wanted to ask you a couple around the geothermal project development environment, and I'd like to start with pricing. Just considering the CPUC procurement order and some of the upward inflationary pressures we're seeing on PPA prices and energy prices broadly, can you comment on the pricing environment? I guess you've got Huawei where you're looking to double capacity and the PPA is expiring in 2025. Just where do you think new PPA prices for geothermal may be penciling out in this environment?
speaker
Duran Plashar
Thanks for the question. I will say that if you remember, the large portfolio PPA we signed with SCAPA in 2017 had a $75 PPA total. After those years from 2017, I think until 2021, we've seen a continuous decline in prices of PPAs. We were able to still develop a project because we were able to be efficient on exploration and reduce costs on carpets and reduce O&M costs. But what we've seen is that prices in California are getting back to those levels. yet to be seen, you know, what we will finally sign, but what we've seen in the RSPs coming out and the ones that were responding is that we're getting back to the 2017 level and above.
speaker
Noah Kay
Okay. From the mid-70s, that's very encouraging. And so the tie-in question is really around the term profile. I guess for the PPAs that are already locked in What kind of cost inflation are you experiencing on projects that are moving towards COD in the next couple of years, and what impact do you expect that to have on IRRs for the projects coming online?
speaker
Duran Plashar
Look, we see, as you said, over the last two years we've seen cost increases. and obviously salary interest. So there is some impact on the cost structure, on the development of developing assets. But we see that the increased PPA pricing are more than compensating for that. So we do see similar returns, if not some better returns on this new project. We need also to take into account that although the Build Better bill wasn't passed, There is some grandfathering for projects, and we do expect that the coming projects, the new projects that will come online will still benefit from PTCs due to the previous bid.
speaker
Noah Kay
Absolutely. But, Doron, just to clarify, I mean, you've had PPAs signed for a number of these projects now for over a year, and we've seen the costs, you know, in commodities and labor and everything you mentioned inflate since then. So, you know, should investors be expecting any kind of return compression on the existing projects that are coming online? I get that, you know, there's a very favorable environment right now for new PPA pricing. What about those where the PPAs are already locked in?
speaker
Duran Plashar
We were able to prepare for this and we manufactured them. So if we take the Dixie project, you know, that we're starting construction now, And we were able, since we felt very comfortable with the process that we've done with the BLM and the mitigating plan that we set, we were very confident to get the permit. So we've already manufactured significant amounts of this. So the actual impact, we don't expect it to be material at all.
speaker
Noah Kay
Okay. Thanks. And just one more. You know, the CAPEX guide, $515 million. you know, the growth in the project back. I mean, there's just a ton of growth happening here. So my real question is just about managing to leverage considerations in the meantime. I think you're, as you mentioned, 3.8 times. If you, you know, take that level of CapEx minus, you know, operating cash flow generation, your net debt at the midpoint guidance probably continues to inch up a little bit to maybe just under that 4X. At what point is leverage an issue or consideration for you? Where do you feel comfortable in terms of maintaining a leverage target?
speaker
Duran Plashar
I will start and Asi will follow. I think the increased topics that we've done is a very good example of the fact that we are vertically integrated and that we can allocate resources between our different segments And when we saw two years ago, you know, the pandemic starting, we pushed most of our effort internally to develop the CapEx. And if we had in the last year about $250 million CapEx, you know, next year we have more than 500, and this year we have more than 400. So this growth, you know, will have a significant impact going forward, I think.
speaker
Sam
Now, as you can see, we ended the year with $1.5 billion of net debt. And yes, with $515 million of CAPEX, we do expect next year that the net debt level will go up. But as you can see with the midpoint of our guidance, our EBITDA is also going up by more than almost 10%. So when you look at the net leverage expected of next year, or the end of the issue is not going to be significantly different from where we are. And we think that at this level we don't have any issue to operate. I will also remind you that we do keep available credit facilities and cash on hand, so we feel very comfortable with this level of leverage. And as you know, 95% of our EBITDA is generated from an asset that has a fixed return. And that's why it's really easy to manage it.
speaker
Noah Kay
Thank you very much.
speaker
Duran Plashar
Thank you, Louis.
speaker
Operator
Thank you, Noah. Our next question goes to Julian Dumoulin-Smith from Bank of America. Julian, your line is open. You can go ahead.
speaker
Noah
Hi, this is actually Anya stepping in for Julian. So I guess first I was wondering if you could give some more detail on 2022 EBITDA impact and just maybe a bridge from your guidance number to the year-end run rate, because you were able to maintain the year-end run rate at $500 million, despite the $430 to $450 guidance. So my question is, how do you see that earnings trajectory over the course of the year? And is that 2022 pressure driven largely by transient issues, such as outages, reduced output? Or are there any other moving pieces there?
speaker
Sam
Anya, great question. There is no doubt that 2022 is a different year format. We have 15 projects, one-five, that will actually come online either to enhancements or new projects, many of them towards the end of the year. When you bring projects online, you enjoy the benefits of the project, but at the same time, you also have to take some shutdowns in order to bring those assets online. And the impact of those shutdowns for next year, or for 2022 can be as much as $20 million in revenue. And therefore, when we go to the end of the year, the run rate will stabilize at $500 million, and that's why we expect 2023 to be above that level. Also, please remember that we do have the additional of the Biwawi and Dixie assets that in 2021 only operated for six months, and they're going to operate for a full year. And at the same time, you will see that we expect some improvements in all of the segments. Both storage, electricity, and product are showing higher revenue next year. With that being said, on the product side, we do not anticipate very good margins, as we mentioned on the call, and therefore the majority of the increase for next year will come from the electricity segment.
speaker
Noah
Okay, great. Thank you. And as a follow up, I just wanted to ask maybe some more detail if you could provide on a color on Ocaria status. Just some of the issues there. And then, more specifically, how do you see the pace of the ramp in production by year end? And how does that impact 2022?
speaker
Duran Plashar
In Ocaria, I'll start with the second part, the ramp up a will start in Q2 and continue through the rest of the year. It's not a one-time event that will bring capacity up, so this is a gradual increase starting sometime in Q2 through the end of the year. The other part, Kaya, regarding the debt collection, we discussed it regarding the PPA discussions with the task force from the president, Of Kenya, this is something that is going extremely slow. There isn't really a negotiating team on the other side. They did reach out to us once. We responded. We didn't hear back from them. So it's something that is a long-term process, I believe. We know that we can get to a win-win situation with them. where they would enjoy some benefits, and we would enjoy benefits similar to what we've done in Hawaii with the PPA over there. There are elections in Kenya in the second half of the year. I think it's in August. So unless something happens just before that, we believe it will be delayed until well after the elections.
speaker
Noah
Okay, great. Thank you for that update. I'll jump back in the queue.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. Thank you, Anya. There are no further questions registered at this time, so as a reminder, it is star 1 on your telephone keypad to ask a question. There are no further questions registered at this time, so I'll turn the conference back over to the management team for any closing remarks.
speaker
Duran Plashar
Thank you. So I would like to thank all of you for the support. 2021 was a very strong CapEx build up here. And 2022, as you saw with our guidance of more than $500 million of CapEx is going to be another significant investment here in parallel to a very meaningful increase in our revenue and EBITDA. We're very encouraged with the tailwind from the regulatory in California and we expect to enjoy the exploration and the topics that we do to benefit from these regulations and get some new PPAs and basically be able to sign PPAs to all of our coming up projects. Finally, I would like to remind you on the analyst day that we plan on March 30, It's going to be a combination of hybrid and in-person in New York conference. Happy to see you in person, all of you, and if not, through the Zoom. Thank you all.
speaker
Operator
That concludes today's ORMAT Technologies Q4 2021 earnings call. Thank you for your participation. You can now disconnect your line.
Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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