speaker
Shamali
Event Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. My name is Shamali, and I am your event operator today. I would like to welcome everyone to today's conference, Public Service Enterprise Group's first quarter 2026 earnings conference call and webcast. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question and answer session for the members of the financial community. At that time, if you have a question, you will need to press the star and the number one on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, please press star and the number two. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded today, May 5th, 2026, and will be available for replay as an audio webcast on PSEG's Investor Relations website at httpsinvestor.pseg.com. I would now like to turn the conference over to Carlotta Chan. Please go ahead.

speaker
Carlotta Chan
Investor Relations

Good morning and welcome to PSEG's first quarter 2026 earnings presentation. On today's call are Ralph LaRosa, Chair, President and CEO, and Dan Craig, Executive Vice President and CFO. The press release attachments and slides for today's discussion are posted on our IR website at investor.pseg.com and our 10Q will be filed later today. PSEG's earnings release and other matters discussed during today's call contain forward-looking statements and estimates that are subject to various risks and uncertainties. We will also discuss non-GAAP operating earnings, which differs from net income, as reported in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles, or GAAP, in the United States. We include reconciliations of our non-GAAP financial measures and a disclaimer regarding forward-looking statements on our IR website and in today's materials. Following our prepared remarks, we will conduct a 30-minute question and answer session. I will now turn the call over to Ralph La Rosa.

speaker
Ralph LaRosa
Chair, President and CEO

Thank you, Carlotta, and thank you for joining us to review PSEG's first quarter 2026 results. Starting with our financial results, PSEG reported net income of $1.48 per share and non-GAAP operating earnings of $1.55 per share. Our first quarter results reflect continued investment in utility infrastructure focused on reliability and cost savings energy efficiency programs at PSEG. and that PSEG power, higher gas volume, and capacity revenues have more than offset the absence of the zero emission certificate program that concluded last May. With this solid start to 2026, we are maintaining our full year non-GAAP operating earnings guidance in the range of $4.28 to $4.40 per share. On the operations front, I'm very pleased to report that our utility and nuclear operations delivered excellent reliability during one of the harshest winters in decades. In preparation for these extreme weather events that included high snow accumulation, ice, and Arctic air temperatures, PSE&G initiated its winter weather readiness procedures and ensured adequate staffing for timely storm response. Starting in January with Winter Storm Fern through Winter Storm Hernando in late February that dropped 30 inches of snow on parts of northern New Jersey, PSE&G's systems held up well during intense conditions. For the relatively small group of customers that were affected by the weather, PSE&G was able to restore service to virtually all customers within 24 hours. I can't say enough about our employees who carry out PSE&G's storm response work and who braved the elements to keep the lights on and homes warm for our customers. The utility experienced peak winter gas send-out on February 7th, following over a week of sub-freezing temperatures. These conditions underscore the need for continued investment in gas infrastructure modernization to address the impact that extreme temperatures have on our aging cast iron gas system. Despite the year's winter weather, PSE&G is on track with its 2026 capital spending plan of approximately $4.2 billion, investing in critical energy infrastructure, cost-saving energy efficiency, and system modernization for reliability and to meet new demands. During the same time, we have worked with the Governor's Office and the New Jersey Board of Public Utilities to keep electric rates flat in 2026. in keeping with the Executive Orders 1 and 2 that are addressing utility costs and generation supply. PSE&G's electric customers will also benefit from the update reflecting the latest basic generation service auction results, which will go into effect on June 1. On February 1, we also kept residential natural gas rates flat for the remainder of the 2025-2026 winter heating season, delivering to our customers the lowest gas bills in New Jersey and in the region. And there is more good news for PSE&G electric customers. In early March, FERC issued an order supporting PSE&G and the State of New Jersey's objection to its PJM transmission cost allocations. FERC's ruling reallocating these costs is expected to result in significant refunds of over $100 million, based on our estimates, to PSE&G customers after PJM's implementation. While this matter is still being litigated at FERC, it's another example of how PSE&G works in partnership with the state at the regional and federal levels to keep our customer bills as low as possible. I'd also like to mention that we're wrapping up PSE&G's technology-driven conservation efforts. PSE&G recently launched two new ways to reduce energy use during peak times to save customers money and help reduce strain on the grid. The first is our demand response program with over 32,000 residential and small business customers already enrolled to receive an upfront payment for reducing air conditioned use and other activities like EV charging during selected peak hours throughout the year. The second program, our new residential time of use rate that can save customers money by shifting some of their usage to off peak time. This new rate option leverages the more detailed electric usage made available by our AMI investment in Smarter Meters. Combined with our energy efficiency programs, PSE&G offers customers a variety of ways to reduce energy usage, manage their bills, and starting this summer, participate in creating a more flexible energy grid through our virtual power plant pilot. The BPU has started the process of implementing the directive in the first executive order to examine the regulation of the electric distribution utility business model. We expect that the VPU consultant will release a study this summer and that a stakeholder process on the topic will continue throughout the remainder of the year. We intend to fully engage with the VPU throughout this process. Now turning to PSEG power. First, I'd like to congratulate the PSCG nuclear team for completing a second consecutive breaker-to-breaker operating run at Salem Unit 2 to begin their refueling outage this April. That notable accomplishment contributed to a 95.5% capacity factor and supplied 8 terawatt hours of reliable, carbon-free baseload energy to New Jersey and the grid during the first quarter. Last week, FERC approved the extension of the PGM capacity price collar through the 2029-2030 base residual auction. This extension is expected to stabilize the effect of upcoming auctions on New Jersey's BGS default prices, even as regional demand growth advances with a limited supply response. As part of an all-of-the-above long-term approach to increasing New Jersey base generation supply, Governor Sherrill recently signed legislation lifting a decades-long moratorium on new nuclear construction. The announcement made at our three-unit site in Salem County highlighted broad support from policymakers, legislators, and labor leaders. PSEG is engaging in efforts to advance new nuclear development at PSEG's site, and we believe the site's unique strengths, including an early site permit, prime logistics, access to a skilled workforce, and opportunities to leverage our operating expertise through contractual arrangements, make it a leading candidate for new nuclear deployment. We have also been watching developments related to PGM's proposed reliability backstop procurement auction. This is intended to be a one-time procurement or emergency auction to accelerate new dispatchable generation that can be brought online by 2031 to serve data center-driven load growth. More details from PGM are expected over the next month and we will continue our vigilance during the stakeholder process to advocate on behalf of PSEG's customers. Wrapping up, PSEG had a strong operating and financial quarter to start the year by doing the right thing for our customers, our communities, and our shareholders with an eye towards a sustainable future. Our corporate reputation for excellence beyond our well-known reliability and customer satisfaction awards was recognized again last week when PSEG was named to the Dow Jones Best in Class North America Index for the 18th year in a row. We are maintaining a broad set of financial projections that we share with you late in February, starting with our five-year regulated capital investment plan of $22.5 to $25.5 billion at PSEG and $24 to $28 billion for PSEG, both through 2030. This investment program supports the utility's six to seven and a half percent compound annual growth in rate base, also through 2030, and helps drive a six to eight percent non-GAAP operating earnings CAGR at PSEG over that same period. And I would highlight again that items including nuclear revenue opportunities above current market prices, winning additional competitive transmission solicitations, or making incremental system investments to connect several thousand megawatts of solar and battery storage resources to the grid to meet new demand would be incremental to our six to eight percent non-GAAP operating earnings CAGR. I will now turn the call over to Dan, who will review this quarter's results, and then rejoin the call for our Q&A session.

speaker
Dan Craig
Executive Vice President and CFO

Great. Thank you, Ralph, and good morning, everyone. TCG reported net income of $1.48 per share for the first quarter of 2026 compared to $1.18 per share in 2025, and non-GAAP operating earnings were $1.55 per share for the first quarter of 2026 compared to $1.43 per share in 2025. We provided you with information on slide 8 regarding the contributions and net income and non-GAAP operating earnings by business for the first quarter. And slide nine contains a waterfall chart that takes you through the net changes quarter over quarter and non-GAAP operating earnings per share, also by major business. Starting with PSE&G, which reported first quarter net income and non-GAAP operating earnings of $577 million for 2026, which compares to $546 million in 2025. Utilities results reflect ongoing investment in energy efficiency, gas system modernization, and transmission, the seasonality of gas demand, and the continued gradual increase in the number of electric and gas customers. Starting with waterfall on slide nine, compared to the first quarter of 2025, transmission margin increased a penny per share due to higher investment. The first quarter distribution margin increased by $0.07 per share compared to the year-ago period and largely reflects incremental gas margin from the third quarter 2025 GSM-P2 extension roll-in, an increase in the number of customers in the quarter, and higher gas demand outside of the decoupling mechanism. Higher investment in energy efficiency also contributed to distribution margin in the quarter. Distribution O&M expense was a penny per share higher compared to the first quarter of 2025, reflecting an increase in operating costs due to inflation and extreme weather in January and February. Depreciation and interest each rose by a penny per share compared to the first quarter of 2025 due to capital investments and higher long-term debt interest rates. And for utility taxes and other, Lower flow-through taxes had a net favorable impact of a penny per share in the first quarter compared to the prior year period. First quarter weather, as measured by heating degree days, was 5% colder than normal and 8% colder than the first quarter of 2025, but had a limited impact on utility margins. As you know, the Conservation Incentive Program, or CIP, mechanism decouples weather and other economic sales variances from a significant portion of our distribution margin, while helping PSE&G promote the widespread adoption of energy conservation, including energy efficiency and solar programs. And under the SIP, the number of electric and gas customers drives margin and residential customer growth for both segments was about 1% over the past year. On a regulated capital spending program, PUC-NG invested approximately $800 million during the first quarter, and we remain on track to execute our full year 2026 plan of approximately $4.2 billion, focused on continued investments in infrastructure modernization, energy efficiency, electrification initiatives, and load growth. We've also maintained our five-year regulated capital investment plan, of $22.5 to $25.5 billion through 2030. GSE&G began the next phase of the GSM-P3 program in the first quarter, and we anticipate investing a total of $1.4 billion over the three-year period. The GSM-P3 program total includes approximately $1 billion in accelerated recovery and $360 million in stipulated base. Also in the first quarter, the BPU certified the results of the annual New Jersey Basic Generation Service, or BGS, auction that was held to secure electricity for customers that have not selected a third-party supplier. These auction results will have the effect of lowering the cost of electricity supply by 1.8% on PSCG residential electric bills for energy and capacity starting June 1st of this year. Moving to PSCG power and other, For the first quarter of 2026, we reported net income of $164 million compared to $43 million in the first quarter of 2025, while non-GAAP operating earnings were $201 million for the first quarter compared to $172 million for the first quarter of 2025. Referring again to the waterfall on slide 9, the first quarter of 2026 net energy margin was flat compared to the year earlier quarter, as higher gas operations and capacity prices were offset by the absence of zero-emission certificates, lower generation volume, and the absence of fuel and energy management fees under the renewed LIPA contract, which commenced in January of 2026. O&M costs declined in the quarter, providing a six-cent per share benefit compared to the same period in 2025, primarily reflecting a net reduction in operational expenses and an adjustment to tax reserves. The impact of higher interest costs and lower depreciation expense netted to a drag of one cent per share in the first quarter, reflecting incremental debt at higher interest rates partly offset by lower depreciation expense, reflecting our expectation that the NRC will approve a 20-year license extension for the New Jersey Nuclear Unit. And lastly, taxes and other items had a net favorable impact of one cent per share in the quarter compared to 2025. Touching on some recent financing activity, PSEG had ample liquidity, totaling $3.9 billion at the end of March. This includes approximately $400 million of cash on hand, primarily related to net PSEG financing activity during the quarter. PSEG entered into a $500 million, 364-day variable rate term loan in February, further supporting our liquidity position. And also during the quarter, all of our revolving credit facilities totaling $3.75 billion were extended by two years through March of 2031. On the financing front this past January, PSEG issued $1 billion of secured medium-term notes or MTNs consisting of $500 million of 4.2% MTNs due 2031 and $500 million of 5.63% MTNs due 2056. A portion of these proceeds were used to repay $450 million of MTNs at just under a percent that matured in March 2026. PSEG also has limited exposure to variable rate debt, which totaled approximately $915 million, and consists of two 364-day term loans and commercial paper, and represented a low 4% of our total debt at the end of March. Looking ahead, our solid balance sheet continues to support the execution of PSEG's five-year capital spending plan, directed mostly to regulated CapEx, without the need to issue new equity or sell assets and provides for the opportunity for consistent and sustainable dividend growth as demonstrated by the 2026 indicative annual rate of $2.68 per share established by our board in February. This new dividend rate represents an annualized increase of approximately 6% for 2026 and marks our 15th consecutive annual increase. In closing, we delivered solid operating and financial performance to begin the year and are maintaining PSEG's full year 2026 non-GAAP operating earnings guidance of $4.28 to $4.40 per share. We are also reaffirming our 6% to 8% compounded annual growth rate for non-GAAP operating earnings through 2030 based on the continued execution of our strategic plan. That concludes our formal remarks and we are ready to begin the question and answer session.

speaker
Shamali
Event Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question and answer session for members of the financial community. If you have a question, please press the star and the number one on your telephone keypad. If your question has been answered and you wish to withdraw your polling request, you may do so by pressing the star and the number two. If you are on a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before entering your request. One moment, please, for the first question. And the first question comes from the line of Char Parisa with Wells Fargo. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Constantine
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Hi. Good morning, team. It's Constantine here for Char. Thanks for taking the questions.

speaker
Ralph LaRosa
Chair, President and CEO

That's why I paused a little bit there, Constantine. I wasn't sure if it was you or him, so I didn't want to say hello to Char first. How are you, Constantine?

speaker
Constantine
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Oh, doing quite well. Thank you so much. Just maybe a quick one, starting on the BPU and the legislative process on utility constructs. Are the different branches finding their footing in terms of priorities? Is there anything in the cost of service model getting attention? Or I guess, do the changes in ROE move the needle on affordability? Or is there just a general recognition that the pressure is coming from the supply demand that's really outside the state?

speaker
Ralph LaRosa
Chair, President and CEO

Look, I totally agree with what you just said. I think a lot of people are finding their footing, and I think there's been a lot of constructive conversations, both between the companies, the administration, and legislators, and the BPU. I think everybody's trying to do exactly what you said, find their footings, and I think everybody does recognize the challenge has been generated from outside the state, but I also think we all know that we have some responsibility to do what we can from an affordability standpoint for our customers. Everybody's trying to row in the same direction, and I hope you hear my tone. I feel positive about the way that we're trying to approach it as a team approach rather than a finger-pointing approach at this point.

speaker
Constantine
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Great. Appreciate that. And just maybe shifting to the PGM capacity and reserve auction process, some of the PGM neighbors have been vocal around it recently. What could we see in terms of your participation in the RBA from both the power side and as the EDC? Any concerns around capacity cost allocation for your zone?

speaker
Ralph LaRosa
Chair, President and CEO

Yeah. I mean, Constantine, I don't disagree with a lot of the comments that have been made outside this area. As you said, there's a lot of people being pretty vocal about it. I would just think that we should all just be a little bit calm and watch what happens here. There's a lot of steps to go through. I don't want to overreact to anything. Obviously, we need to protect the customers, the utilities, make sure that they're not being burdened with planning assumptions that are being driven outside of anybody's responsibility. We've got some states that have IRPs. They have their own planning assumptions. We have PJM with its own planning assumption. And then you have customers putting in requests. All of that needs to be balanced. And to put that on the backs of the utilities just doesn't seem to make a ton of sense for anybody. So we'll see how that plays out over time. But I feel like, look, it's a chance for us to bring more generation in. We all know there's a resource adequacy problem. I don't know how much we're going to get done, we being the region, by 2031. But I think it's a good step that we're trying, and I hope it produces some results. But I think the limiting factor of 2031 is going to make it really tough for us to make this a game changer.

speaker
Dan Craig
Executive Vice President and CFO

and constantine just you know inherent within your question you did talk about cost allocation and i think you know very consistent with some of our actions related to a first decision around cost allocation we're going to continue to look out for our customers and and uh in this instance like in the one that i'm referencing and that we talked about within the prepared remarks uh we'll continue to make sure that those allocations to the best of our ability are going to be fair for our customers and maybe just to clarify

speaker
Constantine
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Do things like the capacity price cap extension provide any additional upsides on the power side kind of versus the six to eight plan?

speaker
Ralph LaRosa
Chair, President and CEO

Well, I think we had envisioned, we had spoken in the past about the fact that we thought things were going to stay about where they were. So I would leave the comment there.

speaker
Constantine
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Okay. Appreciate it. Thanks so much for the time today.

speaker
Shamali
Event Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Carly Davenport with Goldman Sachs. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Ralph LaRosa
Chair, President and CEO

Hey, Carly.

speaker
Carly Davenport
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Hey, good morning. Thanks so much for taking the questions.

speaker
Ralph LaRosa
Chair, President and CEO

I knew it was going to be you, Carly.

speaker
Carly Davenport
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Glad to make it easy for you. Maybe just starting on New Jersey, I guess we do have a stakeholder meeting being held by the BPU. This week on on executive order 1 kind of focused mostly on the kind of utility business model. I guess anything that you're expecting out of that meeting in terms of focus areas, or kind of what you think is is on the table to address as we think about the utility business model in New Jersey.

speaker
Ralph LaRosa
Chair, President and CEO

Yeah, I look, I think we consistent what we've said in the past, we expect performance to be 1 of the biggest issues. That'll be on the table and we welcome that in the areas that we've seen focus in other states. Our performance we think has has been exemplary and I, and I would expect that to continue. So. You know, I would, I would, as I've said in in prior meetings in some ways, welcome. the recognition of our utility for the work that they've been able to accomplish from a reliability standpoint, certainly from the ability to hook up customers and customer satisfaction. So, you know, those three areas are areas that we think we have a lot of strength in, and if that's where the performance conversation goes, we would be supportive of that. But I think that's where, you know, we'll be at the meeting, we'll be participating, and we'll be constructive in the conversations.

speaker
Carly Davenport
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Got it. Okay, great. That's helpful. And then maybe just sticking in New Jersey, but just on the nuclear side, I know you mentioned the lifting of the moratorium kind of in your prepared and just maybe talk a little bit about how you envision PEG kind of participating on the nuclear task force in the state and maybe what some tangible updates could look like as we think about the opportunities around new nuclear in the state.

speaker
Ralph LaRosa
Chair, President and CEO

Yeah, we did. You know, thanks for that. We've been obviously leaning in. It's clear that the Sherrill administration is supportive of additional generation. It looks like nuclear is one of those areas that there's some momentum being gained in that area. Obviously, the signing of that legislation we thought was a great event, great signal from the administration of their support. So we're going to continue to do what we've been doing, which is try to enable it and advocate really, really hard for the state. We think we have a great site down at Salem. There's been, you know, port construction was completed. It's going to make some construction activities easier. We have some great labor in that area, and we have the technical capabilities and operational performance to, you know, deliver additional megawatt hours out of that area. We're going to be advocating hard and try to stay lockstep with the administration on that.

speaker
Carly Davenport
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Great. Thank you so much for the time.

speaker
Ralph LaRosa
Chair, President and CEO

Thanks, Carly.

speaker
Shamali
Event Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Jeremy Tornay with JP Morgan. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Jeremy Tornay
Analyst, JP Morgan

Hey, Jeremy. Hi. Good morning. Good morning. I was just wondering if I could start with a large load increase here. I was just wondering if you could provide a bit more color, I guess, on the current state Conversations and interest there and where does the total count stand, you know. Versus last quarter, or I think it was 11.8 as of the end of December.

speaker
Dan Craig
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, Jerry, that's about right. And we've seen, you know, it's interesting last year. If you go through the year, we saw quite a significant increase as you step through time. And I think the. you know, you kind of were seeing the knee of the curve as the interest more broadly was coming about in data centers. I'd say directionally you've seen that kind of level off within the state. That 11,000 we always talked about as being somewhere, I don't know, maybe 10, 15, 20% of that may come to fruition if we look based upon history, what we've seen within different new business coming forward. Hard to predict on that, which is, I think, a broad topic across the sector, but I'd say we're still kind of in that ballpark. I think the change that we saw across last year had us put that forward so people could get an understanding, and the leveling off, there's a little bit less to talk about on that front. You know, we still pursue the ability to try to serve some of that load, either here or in Pennsylvania, where we have the peach-bottom units, and that activity continues.

speaker
Jeremy Tornay
Analyst, JP Morgan

Got it. That's helpful. And that kind of leads to my next question here. If you might be able to provide some color bifurcating between the states as far as interest or type of activity, type of conversations. And at the same time, just curious, I guess, how does demand response currently factor into any of these discussions and has that changed over time?

speaker
Dan Craig
Executive Vice President and CFO

No, I don't think that DR has changed the discussions over time, but I do think the first part of your question is a little bit more pointed and provides a little bit more differentiation, just literally by virtue of what type of data centers are interested in going where. I would say that absent the significant tax incentives in New Jersey, you have not seen the sizable interest in New Jersey. That's been a consistent concept that we've talked about for a while. And then in other states, and there are plenty of them where some of the larger hyperscalers have the ability to derive some of the financial incentives to be able to go there. And so they are following those incentives from everything we've seen. And I would say that the opportunity set to serve them follows suit with that.

speaker
Jeremy Tornay
Analyst, JP Morgan

Got it. Makes sense. I'll leave it there. Thank you. Thanks, Jeremy.

speaker
Shamali
Event Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Nick Amesuchi with Evercore ISI. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Nick Amesuchi
Analyst, Evercore ISI

Hey, Nick. Hey, guys. How are we? Just a couple quick ones for me, if I could. So, when we just think about kind of the cadence at Salem and the potential for the capacity upgrade, is it pretty much assumed that you would be seeking the extension first and then Um, any kind of firm announcement on a potential upgrade.

speaker
Ralph LaRosa
Chair, President and CEO

It's a license extension 1st.

speaker
Dan Craig
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, yeah, the license extension. Um, the, the Salem units have current licenses that run through 2036 and 2040. Anything we would do to extend that another 20 years would happen in advance of that. But what we've talked about with respect to the upgrade by comparison. We said either the outage in 27 or the outage in 29 is when we would anticipate those coming on. So there will be activity, I think, on the license extension, but I think you'll see the upgrade come through within those two time frames that I mentioned.

speaker
Ralph LaRosa
Chair, President and CEO

Yeah, so very specifically, we're not counting on that license extension to be in before we do the upgrade. That's not a gating factor, right?

speaker
Nick Amesuchi
Analyst, Evercore ISI

Got it. Got it. Perfect. And then if I could just given kind of the strong performance, obviously, you know, some somewhat weather driven in the first quarter, but probably 30 adjusted EPS roughly 36% of the point. And so that's, you know, pretty above seasonal. Just wanted to see, I mean, understanding that it's early still in the year, but what kind of, what would you need to see kind of going forward to then kind of move either to kind of cut the guidance range to the upper half or

speaker
Dan Craig
Executive Vice President and CFO

um kind of increase or increase times altogether yeah i think you know on a normal year even when you're decoupled just volumetrically you're going to see a lot more coming through in the winters and the summers and so i think there's a a piece of that that you see coming through from this winter i think if i were to give you you know a one word answer it would be what the summer ends up looking like um i mean we're decoupled so we don't have as much of an impact from that perspective but there are some elements Uh, you know, whether it's, uh, whether driving demands a little bit higher on gas and that those demands moving things, or even just the snow removal for things along those nature have an impact on what the results look like. And we have more of those types of events, I think, like everybody else in the winter and in the summer. Uh, so I would say, get through the summer and see what we look like.

speaker
Ralph LaRosa
Chair, President and CEO

Yeah, I think I think you saw the other piece to this. I just. Just to remind you, we mentioned the gas ops there and that there was some value generated from our gas operations group. Just a reminder, that also goes to offset customer rates pretty dramatically. So another good news message for the customers in New Jersey that we were able to transact in that area.

speaker
Nick Amesuchi
Analyst, Evercore ISI

Perfect. Thanks, Dan. Thanks, Ralph. We'll see you guys in a couple of weeks. See you.

speaker
Shamali
Event Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Julian Smith with Jefferies. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Julian Smith
Analyst, Jefferies

Hey, good morning, Ralph team. How you guys all doing?

speaker
Ralph LaRosa
Chair, President and CEO

Good, Julian. How are you?

speaker
Julian Smith
Analyst, Jefferies

Quite well. Thank you guys very much. Appreciate it.

speaker
Ralph LaRosa
Chair, President and CEO

Looking forward to another video.

speaker
Julian Smith
Analyst, Jefferies

Come on, bring it on. Let's do it. Got to keep it. You got to keep it lively. Look, let's... Let me ask you guys about PGM here. And I know people keep needling you about it, and I want to just come back to it real quickly. How do you think about your participation, whether in a bilateral context or outright in some other permutation? Again, we've heard comments this morning. We've heard comments elsewhere. I mean, just how do you think about that coming together? And just how would you set expectations around this process? You all are keeping close tabs on this whole process at the state level and at the PGM level. How would you set expectations about what ultimately happens? in terms of backstop versus bilateral versus just capacity not getting procured on a timely basis.

speaker
Ralph LaRosa
Chair, President and CEO

Yeah, so in your questionnaires or participation, you mean in new generation? Yeah, in any flavor.

speaker
Julian Smith
Analyst, Jefferies

But I'm curious about your waxing about the process and then separately your participation in any flavor.

speaker
Ralph LaRosa
Chair, President and CEO

Yeah, look, I think the number one thing that we've been focused on, and this goes back a long time, before the words resource adequacy were popular, is the reliability, right? And the reliability of the grid. And we've been on that since 2003, since the lights went out. So we start from there, looking out for the customers, and then looking out from a customer cost standpoint. I think... We need to make sure that we're protecting the customer, number one, and making sure that there's enough product to deliver to the customer, number two. And I'm not sure that the current, the way it's currently drafted, really does both of those things. I think there's a little bit of a concern about putting that burden on the LDCs versus the LSEs and whatever other acronyms we want to throw in there. We will participate in the process and we're going to advocate strong. We've got a new CEO at PJM that's just stepped into the role. Before we pass any judgment on what's going on at PJM, let's give them a chance to get their feet under them and get the organization structured the way they want and the rules and proposals the way they'd like to see them. So we'll continue to look at this from the customer's perspective and advocate on that behalf. Part two is You know, when you think about generation and inheritance, hey, where's this supply going to come from? And we inherently get the question all the time, will you participate? We've always said we'll participate in utility-like generation. We think we have some sites that make sense. The question is the fuel supply and whether or not that's a fuel supply that makes sense for the state that, you know, those sites sit in. But we're open to it, but it's got to be utility-like investments when we have those conversations.

speaker
Julian Smith
Analyst, Jefferies

Got it. OK, fair enough. And then just when you think about the you guys keep talking about nuclear and obviously I get why. How do you think about what that looks like in the state in terms of next steps? I mean, a lot of folks talk about it, but obviously, you know, you've got to get the right risk construct. I totally appreciate that. But just tangibly, what would the next step look like here? I just did to show progress if there is to be something to happen.

speaker
Ralph LaRosa
Chair, President and CEO

I think it's going to be a combination of government supporting the effort, right? You're going to need to see some strong support from the federal government. There's rumors around that in different ways, shapes, and forms that you hear being discussed from different departments in Washington. So number one, I think we would need federal support. Number two, you'd have to have state support. That would be, I think you need states looking for offtake agreements. You need hyperscalers looking for off date agreements. You need companies supporting it. You know, I think there's a combination of things that would have to come together. But it all, to me, starts with the government being aligned and that government being aligned from the long term. Right. You need to ensure that not only do you have some financial support, but that you have the permitting support and the siting support for a lot of that from our governor. That's one of the things that they want to streamline here in New Jersey. So, again, aligned with with building new generation. But I don't see any state taking on new nuclear without the support of the federal government.

speaker
Julian Smith
Analyst, Jefferies

Sorry, and just to elaborate on the last one real quickly, your response there, is there a timing on when you could follow through on contracting new gen, whether that's gas or more specific storage or solar?

speaker
Ralph LaRosa
Chair, President and CEO

No, I mean, I think you got to see what all the rules are. That was my point. You know, when you look at this reliability backstop, I think... I think we'll see what those rules are to come out. But if that's a pure market solution, that's not something we're interested in. And that was the point I wanted to make. We're not interested in markets in participating in that. That's not what our core business is. But if we're looking for rate-based, utility-like, we've done that in the past, 30-year PPAs, those types of things. But I don't know what will come out of this RPA. And then really remember, it's only on the capacity side, right? You've still got the whole energy side that you've got to figure out how you get a contract for it.

speaker
Julian Smith
Analyst, Jefferies

I hear you. All right, I'll leave it there. More to go.

speaker
Ralph LaRosa
Chair, President and CEO

Thanks, Julian. See you in a little bit in May.

speaker
Shamali
Event Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Michael Sullivan with Wolf Research. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Michael Sullivan
Analyst, Wolfe Research

Hey, guys. Hey, Ralph. Picking up on kind of your last comment there, just the energy side of the equation, any color you can give on just this pretty sharp move in PJM pricing and how you're thinking about that on kind of both sides of the house, like any color on longer-term hedges, and then how you're thinking about kind of the bill impact from that on the utility side?

speaker
Dan Craig
Executive Vice President and CFO

Well, Michael, this is Dan. The most immediate impact on the bill is going to be the BGS that we just procured in February. So from a bill perspective, we know what things are going to look like. And for PC&G customers, they're going to see their bill go down 1.8% by June 1st because of what happened on BGS. And again, from a customer perspective, that will change again next June 1st. So there's a lot of stability inherent within the BGS construct that the state put together many, many years ago that still does exist. And I think more broadly, if you think about markets, one of the things I do think that markets are trying to figure out is where this RBA does go to and what it does bring in from a supply perspective. People are weighing their own individual views as to how much load is going to come on the system and what generation is going to be there to meet it. And that's ultimately through the market construct how prices are going to be set. And so I think those are the bigger questions that people will continue to digest. Like in any other market, they'll use the available data. But in this instance, it's how much load is going to actually come online, when it's going to come online, and the same two questions around supply. And I think you've seen some movement over time as people try to think that through. But in general, I think you're going to have a tighter market because I think the path to incremental demand is a little bit clearer from a volumetric perspective than the path to incremental supply.

speaker
Michael Sullivan
Analyst, Wolfe Research

Okay, that's helpful. And any color on how much you're hedging into this in the out years?

speaker
Dan Craig
Executive Vice President and CFO

No, I mean, the thing that we've said is that for the prompt year, we're pretty close to fully hedged. And then as you look through the next couple of years, that'll cascade off a little bit.

speaker
Michael Sullivan
Analyst, Wolfe Research

Okay. Um, and then just next last thing, just kind of next couple months here into kind of the summer resets at the legislature, anything you expect or are focused on getting done between now and then.

speaker
Ralph LaRosa
Chair, President and CEO

No, I look, I'll, I'll weigh in there a little bit, Michael. I think that affordability remains a hot topic here in the state. I think we are prepared for those conversations as they continue to take place and we continue to be supportive. I think there's possibility for people to be talking about resource adequacy solutions. That's something else that might be out there. And again, we're just monitoring, and once those issues, if there's any legislation introduced, we'll assess them and comment on them.

speaker
Michael Sullivan
Analyst, Wolfe Research

Okay, great. Thank you very much. Thanks.

speaker
Shamali
Event Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Sophie Karp with KeyBank Capital Markets. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Sophie Karp
Analyst, KeyBank Capital Markets

Good morning, Sophie. Hi, good morning. Good morning. Thank you for taking my question. I'm curious if you see any opportunities potentially for yourselves in the upcoming PGM transmission open window?

speaker
Dan Craig
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, Sophie, I think that we even referenced a little bit of that on the prepared remarks. We, on an ongoing basis, do take a look at what comes through those open windows. We'll do exactly the same thing this summer when the next window opens. I think I would call it a careful look at what we think makes the most sense for things for us to do. I think we have a pretty deep well of experience in building transmission and that doesn't mean that everything is going to make sense for us. And so we go through pretty carefully taking a look at what we do think makes sense and we will put in a competitive bid to the extent that we think something does. And so I'll remind you the capital plan that's in place doesn't have anything that we have not already won through a competitive process, but I absolutely think we have the skill set to be able to expand in that area, and then we will just increment the capital plan to the extent that we do win as we go forward.

speaker
Sophie Karp
Analyst, KeyBank Capital Markets

Thank you. And then on the kind of data centers, I appreciate your comment that absent the incentives, they're not necessarily looking to locate in New Jersey, but

speaker
Dan Craig
Executive Vice President and CFO

is it an option for your new jersey assets to have virtual uh tpa virtual offtake with like facilities elsewhere or is it not a major focus right now no look we we are deliverable to beyond new jersey and even today that power flows on the grid uh in the region and so there is absolutely the potential for us to do something with the New Jersey units or the Pennsylvania units beyond the node that they're at and beyond the zone that they're in. So, yes, that is possible.

speaker
Sophie Karp
Analyst, KeyBank Capital Markets

Okay. Thank you.

speaker
Dan Craig
Executive Vice President and CFO

Thanks, Sophie.

speaker
Shamali
Event Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Rene Singh with Bank of America. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Rene Singh
Analyst, Bank of America

Hi, guys. Thanks for taking the question. You know, first on the BGS auction, obviously, you got the 1.8% reduction that's going to go into effect June. So I guess, how are you thinking about the repeatability of that, you know, with capacity prices either staying at the same level or going lower and, you know, potentially power prices going up? But I guess, do you think you can kind of keep up the same decreases year over year?

speaker
Dan Craig
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, I mean, you understand the pieces as well as we do. And the way that auction works is that it's going to be for a three-year period for the third of the load. So what you're doing is taking a look at, at least by design, unless there are delays at PJM, capacity auctions that have already transpired. So that's a known item. And we don't know what they all are now, but we'll know what they are by the time that auction comes around. And then a forecast of what energy prices look like. And that's probably your biggest variable as you go forward, what will those energy prices look like? The other thing I would say, though, is it being an auction for a third of the total demand, if you were to see a $3 impact in the price of energy, you would see a $1 impact come through towards the bill because of the gradual effect of that. You'd see that $1 increase across three years, but the gradualism of that mechanism is going to provide gradualism and the impact on rates to customers. But, you know, beyond that, trying to estimate exactly where things are going to go is kind of tough to do, obviously.

speaker
Rene Singh
Analyst, Bank of America

Okay. Yeah, that makes sense.

speaker
Ralph LaRosa
Chair, President and CEO

And then – Yeah, and just to reinforce something Dan said there, just a reminder, the last time we had sticker shock was due to the fact that there was a capacity market delay. So even if prices are incrementally up a little bit, you're not going to have that same sticker shock situation that we experienced the year ago when the BGS price came in so high because the capacity prices had piled up for three years. And those increases sitting there caused the challenge that we had. It wasn't necessarily incremental, especially in what we believe is a very good mechanism in the BGS where you have this third, third, or third.

speaker
Dan Craig
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, that's a great point. But for the delay in the capacity auction, you would not have seen the magnitude of year-over-year increase that you saw.

speaker
Rene Singh
Analyst, Bank of America

Yeah, and I think that is very clear. It makes sense. And then on the RBP, I know we've talked a lot about it on this call, but I saw the proposal that you filed jointly with some other EDCs. I guess, how are you thinking about what's the ideal things that need to be solved and would be in...

speaker
Ralph LaRosa
Chair, President and CEO

your favor for that like in terms of i thought that the load serving entity you know should be the cost responsibility but anything else that you would point out no i what i said earlier i think is the key is the planning process right you really got to make sure that the planning process is a solid one and there's consensus around it and then whoever is the planner is the one that winds up with the accountability right that's the key um to have the have the the planning done by you know, a town, and then the accountability sit at the county level doesn't make a ton of sense, right? I'm just using some sort of parallel there. So I just really think we got to get all of that aligned. And as I said earlier, states have IRP requirements. In addition to the states having the IRP requirements, PJM has been granted by the EDCs the responsibility for transmission planning. So you put those pieces together, and it's kind of odd for that to wind up back with the EDCs. Therefore, the low-serving entities that are the entities that have been identified with the responsibility is where we believe the burden should sit.

speaker
Rene Singh
Analyst, Bank of America

I think that all makes sense. Very clear. Thanks so much, guys.

speaker
Ralph LaRosa
Chair, President and CEO

Thanks.

speaker
Shamali
Event Operator

Thank you. And our last question comes from the line of Anthony Crado with Mizuho Securities. Please proceed with your questions.

speaker
Anthony Crado
Analyst, Mizuho Securities

Hey, Ralph, Dan, thanks for squeezing me in on a busy morning. Just to follow up to, I think, Nick's question earlier on the nuclear upgrades and maybe the timing of them, just if you could tell me, when do you file for the timing, but also approval for the upgrades? Is that an additional CapEx opportunity, or it's further out in the five-year plan, or you already have it included in your current plan?

speaker
Dan Craig
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, we've got the capital that's included there, and the timing of it is going to depend upon which outage it goes into, Anthony. So that's when I said 27 or 29, we'll have an outage for those units in 2027, an outage in 2029. And depending upon how it moves forward, that's when we'll end up seeing that upgrade go through. You're asking about the upgrade, not the license extension, right?

speaker
Anthony Crado
Analyst, Mizuho Securities

No, more the license extension. I'm sorry if I wasn't clear.

speaker
Ralph LaRosa
Chair, President and CEO

Oh, yeah. So the license extension, we'll get information back over the next X amount of years, right? I know NRC is trying to move that a little bit quicker than they have in the past. And at that point, they'll let us know whether or not we have to change the oil, change the tires, what needs to be done. And we'll be able to forecast the capex at that point.

speaker
Anthony Crado
Analyst, Mizuho Securities

And again, I know the timing is not clear with the NRC. Is that within the five-year period, or it could be, or it could also be outside the five-year period?

speaker
Ralph LaRosa
Chair, President and CEO

I think we would certainly gain consensus with NRC of the work that needs to be done in the five-year timeline. And I think the work would be completed outside the five-year timeline.

speaker
Anthony Crado
Analyst, Mizuho Securities

Great. That's all I had. Thanks so much.

speaker
Nick Amesuchi
Analyst, Evercore ISI

Thanks, Anthony. Thanks, Anthony.

speaker
Shamali
Event Operator

Thank you. And there are no further questions at this time. I would like to turn the floor back to Mr. LaRosa for closing comments.

speaker
Ralph LaRosa
Chair, President and CEO

Well, thank you all for your interest in dialing in today. I know it's a busy day for many of you on the call, so I appreciate you taking the time. And looking forward to speaking to everybody at AGA, and I'll end with another thank you to our team here for the work that was completed through this past winter. The weather was not easy for us, and people continued to work above and beyond our expectations. Thank you to the team and thank you all for calling in and looking forward to seeing you all at AGA later this month. Take care.

speaker
Shamali
Event Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's teleconference. You may disconnect your line at this time. Thank you for your participation.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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