speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Welcome to the Royal Philips First Quarter 2021 Results Conference Call on Monday, April 26, 2021. During the call, hosted by Mr. Vance Van Houten, CEO, and Mr. Abhijit Bhattacharya, CFO, all participants will be in a listen-only mode. After the introduction, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. If any participant has difficulty hearing the conference at any time, Please press the star followed by the zero on your telephone for operator assistance. Please note that this call will be recorded and a replay will be available on the Investor Relations website of Royal Philips. I will now hand the conference over to Mr. Leandro Mazzoni, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir.

speaker
Leandro Mazzoni
Head of Investor Relations, Royal Philips

Good morning and welcome to Philips' first quarter 2021 results conference call. Joining me today are our CEO Franz Van Houten and our CFO Abhijit Bhattacharya. Franz and Abhijit will take you through our strategic and financial highlights for the period and after that we will take your questions. Our press release and the related information slide deck were published at 7 a.m. CET this morning. Both are available on our investor relations website. A full transcript of this call will also be made available today on the website. Before we start, I would like to remind you of a few things. As mentioned in the press release, adjusted EBITDA is defined as income from operations excluding amortization of acquired intangible assets, impairment of goodwill and other intangible assets, restructuring charges, acquisition-related costs, and significant one-off items. Comparable growth for sales and orders are adjusted for currency and portfolio changes. As of this quarter, the domestic appliances business is reported as discontinued operations. Sales and results from this business are no longer included in the results of continuing operations, and relevant assets and liabilities are reported under assets and liabilities held for sale. The restated statements of income for 2019 and 2020 reflecting these changes are available on our investor relations website. Finally, all forward-looking projections exclude the domestic finances business. Over to you, Frans.

speaker
Frans van Houten
Chief Executive Officer, Royal Philips

Hello everyone and thank you for joining us today. I hope that you and your families are keeping safe and well. The COVID-19 pandemic is far from over and our teams remain focused on delivering against our triple duty of care, meeting customer needs, safeguarding the health and safety of our employees and ensuring business continuity. Despite the ongoing impact of COVID-19, our performance gained momentum with a strong 9% comparable sales growth and an adjusted EBITDA margin increase of almost 400 basis points in the first quarter. Diagnosis and treatment sales grew 9%, our connected care businesses delivered 7% comparable sales increase, and sales for personal health grew a very strong 17%. We are also encouraged by the strong 11% comparable order intake growth for the diagnosis and treatment businesses with all major markets contributing, driven by the sequential improvement of electives and hospital CAPEX and the very positive customer response to our innovative products and solutions. Comparable order intake for the connected care businesses decreased as anticipated following the exceptional growth in Q1 2020 driven by the demand for hospital ventilators and patient monitors. Looking ahead, while we continue to see uncertainty related to the impact of COVID, we see increased demand in the diagnosis and treatment and personal health businesses. We are raising our growth guidance given this momentum and we now plan to deliver low to mid single digit comparable sales growth in 2021 Compared to our earlier plan of low single digit growth, still with an adjusted EBITDA margin improvement of 60 to 80 basis points. I would like to provide some color on some of our initiatives to respond to the needs of today's hospital leaders across the globe as they plan for the future. In the quarter, we expanded our range of remote patient management solutions with the launch of the medical tablet, A portable monitoring kit designed to help clinicians remotely monitor large patient populations during emergency situations. This new offering, which is available in North America, Europe, and Japan, provides remote access to patient data to improve workflows and better manage increased patient volumes. Highlighting our strengths in smart diagnostic systems, we expanded the incisive computer tomography platform with the launch of Precise Suite, an AI-enabled solution that delivers smart radiology workflows from image acquisition to reporting with AI-enabled image reconstruction, automated patient positioning, motion-free cardiac image capture, and real-time interventional guidance to drive precision in dose, speed, and image quality. Precise Suite is the latest enhancement of the incisive CT platform which already includes a newly designed patient table that accommodates bariatric patients, the tube for life guarantee, Philips Performance Bridge process improvement services, and our dose-wise portal radiation exposure tracking solution. All of this makes the incisive CT unique in the industry. We also further strengthened the image-guided therapy portfolio with our Smart CT application for Azurion. which provides interventionists with CT-like 3D images to enhance procedural outcomes and it fits seamlessly into the existing workflows. And our Clarify augmented reality surgical navigation, an industry-first solution to advance minimally invasive spine operations in the hybrid operating room. Very important, we continue to drive market share in our core businesses Through deeper, more comprehensive customer partnerships. During the first quarter, we signed several new long-term strategic partnerships with hospitals in the United States, Europe, and Asia, helping them achieve their clinical and operational goals. For example, we signed a five-year agreement with the Spanish group VITAS to provide diagnostic imaging systems combined with advanced informatics and image-guided therapy solutions to enhance patient care. The agreement also includes collaboration in technological innovation projects and joint scientific research. In personal health, we continue to invest in innovation and new product introductions. In the first quarter, we introduced the Lumea IPL 9000 series with Sense IQ technology for personalized hair removal, which is available through a try-and-buy subscription model in several countries. We also produced the 100 millionth OneBlade blade, just 5 years after OneBlade's original launch. The Philips OneBlade has disrupted shaving markets worldwide, creating a new category for shaving, trimming and edging. In line with our plans, we signed an agreement to sell the domestic appliances business to global investment firm Hillhouse Capital for a total deal value of €4.4 billion. This comprises of an enterprise value of around 3.7 billion and an exclusive brand license agreement with an estimated net present value of around 0.7 billion for the first 15 year period. We expect to receive cash proceeds after tax and transaction related cost of 3 billion euro in the third quarter. We are very pleased that we have found a good home for this business and a transaction is expected to be completed in the third quarter, subject to the customary conditions. In Q1, we also took important steps in our strategy to strengthen our leadership in connected care solutions with the completion of the acquisitions of biotelemetry and capsule technologies. The combination of our leading patient monitoring position in the hospital With BioTelemetry's leading cardiac diagnostics and monitoring services outside of the hospital, make us a global leader in patient care management solutions with potential for further expansion. And with Capsule, we have a unique medical device information platform that connects almost all medical devices and EMRs in hospitals through a vendor-neutral system that transforms streaming clinical data into actionable information. These acquisitions will further broaden, enrich and scale Philips patient care management solution as well as monitoring and software as a service offering. Biotelemetry and capsule will be accretive to sales growth and adjusted EBITDA margin in 2021 and will be reported within our connected care informatics business in the connected care segment. On regulatory matters, regretfully, we have identified possible risks related to the sound abatement foam used in certain sleep and respiratory care devices currently in use and this is primarily related to the first generation DreamStation product family. We are in the process of engaging with the relevant regulatory agencies regarding this matter and initiating appropriate actions to mitigate these possible risks. Given the estimated scope of the intended precautionary actions on the installed base, we have taken a provision of 250 million euro. I would like to flag that our latest CPAP platform, the DreamStation 2, is not affected, as it is of a different design. Let me now update you on some changes in our management team. Earlier this quarter, we announced that Rob Cashala Currently strategic business development leader and formerly in charge of our diagnosis and treatment segment, stepped down from the executive committee, effective from April 1. This in relation to his planned retirement from the company by the end of this year. Rob will continue to play a role in certain strategic business development projects on a part-time basis until the end of 2021. We also announced that Ches Partovi joined Philips Executive Committee, effective from March 22nd to succeed Jeroen Tas as Chief Innovation and Strategy Officer, effective from July 1. Ches brings deep healthcare and informatics experience to Philips and most recently served as the Global Head of Business Development for Healthcare, Life Sciences and Medical Devices at Amazon Web Services. In that role, he was responsible for the business go-to-market strategy, charting the path for customer cloud transformation and the adoption of artificial intelligence and machine learning. Jeroen Tas, who joined Philips in 2011 and became Chief Innovation Strategy Officer in 2017, has made a personal decision to assume a part-time position within Philips and we'll focus on the continuation of several strategic business development projects until the end of 2022. I want to thank Jeroen and Rob very much for their very valuable contributions to the transformation of Philips. Jeroen played a very important role in inspiring and executing our innovation strategy for digital health and healthcare informatics While Rob has successfully shaped our diagnosis and treatment segment over the last several years, including the addition of IGT devices to our portfolio. To round off, let me reiterate that I am pleased with the progress that we are making on our strategic and performance roadmap. Our journey to health technology leadership continues, and we have a clear strategy to help transform care along the health continuum Combining smart systems, devices, informatics, data and services. And I am convinced that the growth and margin profile of Philips remains very well underpinned. And with that, I'll turn the call to Abhijit.

speaker
Abhijit Bhattacharya
Chief Financial Officer, Royal Philips

Thank you, Franz, and thank you all for joining us today. I hope you and your families are well and safe. Let me start by providing some color on the first quarter comparable sales of 9%. I'd like to remind you that this comparable sales growth does not include the double-digit growth of our recently acquired company's biotelemetry and capsule technologies. Our diagnosis and treatment business's comparable sales growth grew 9% in the quarter. Diagnostic imaging sales grew double-digit, driven by strong installations of computed tomography and magnetic resonance. Ultrasound and enterprise diagnostic informatics sales grew high single digit. Image guided therapy sales saw solid sequential improvement and grew mid single digit in the quarter, mainly driven by strong traction of our devices business as we saw good return to growth at the end of the quarter, especially in the United States. The volume of elective procedures gradually improved during the first quarter with March tracking above pre-COVID levels. We expect that elective procedures volumes to continue to gradually increase in the course of the year as hospitals normalize their operations and also work through the backlog of patients. The sales of the connected care business grew 7% in the first quarter driven by double-digit growth in patient monitoring, As we continue to successfully convert the strong order book into sales. This was partly offset by a mid-single-digit decline in sleep and respiratory care on the back of a strong Q1 last year driven by COVID-19 demand. We were also pleased to see the recovery in our emergency care business with another quarter of double-digit growth. This business was formerly called therapeutic care. For personal health, We saw strong demand in the quarter with a comparable sales increase of 17%. Personal care grew strong double digit and oral health care comparable sales increased by mid single digit. We saw solid sequential improvement in personal health in China with double digit comparable sales growth in the quarter driven by new product introductions across the portfolio and continued momentum in North America and Europe. Consumer sales through digital channels grew double digit in Q1 and represented 43% of total sales for personal health. Our shift to digital and the adoption of new business models of direct to consumer resonate very well. Important to note that our online market share is higher than in the traditional offline channels. Moving on to orders, I am pleased to share that the diagnosis and treatment Business comparable order intake grew double digits in Q1, driven by strong double-digit growth in image-guided therapy and solid performance in diagnostic imaging and ultrasound. This is due to improving market conditions as well as the strong competitive momentum of our innovative portfolio. As a result, we saw further increase of the order book in these businesses in the quarter. Comparable order intake in connected care declined 27% as anticipated on the back of 80% growth in Q1 2020 driven by the spike in COVID-19 generated demand last year. While we continue to expect demand for ventilators and patient monitors to normalize during the course of 2021, activity levels are expected to remain higher than in 2019 in these businesses. Also important, we continue to experience positive competitive momentum, notably of our innovative monitoring solutions. Let me now turn to the profitability development in the first quarter. Adjusted EBITDA for the group increased by 390 basis points to 362 million euros, which is 9.5% of sales. In diagnosis and treatment, the adjusted EBITDA increased 230 basis points to 8.7% of sales. Connected Care delivered an adjusted EBITDA margin of 12.8% of sales compared to 9.8% in the first quarter of 2020. In personal health, adjusted EBITDA was 14.3% up from 7.3% last year. The improvement across our business segments was mainly driven by sales growth and results of our productivity programs. At the same time, we continued to execute on the planned higher investments in advertising in personal health. Adjusted EBITDA for the group was also impacted by positive currency impacts of 40 basis points in the first quarter. We continue to focus on driving productivity and are executing initiatives that will deliver cumulative net savings of 2 billion euros by 2025. These initiatives delivered 97 million euros savings in the first quarter. More specifically 44 million euros through procurement programs, 33 million supply chain productivity and 20 million overhead cost reduction. Restructuring, acquisition related and other charges include a 41 million euro gain due to the release of a contingent consideration liability related to EPD. Revisions to the financial forecast due to the maturity of the technology resulted in a decrease in the fair value of the respective contingent consideration liability. At the same time, we recognize an impairment loss of 55 million euros in amortization of acquired intangibles. The net impact, therefore, of the impairment is 14 million euros. Other charges also include the 250 million euro provision related to the intended precautionary quality actions that Franz mentioned before. This amount is our best estimate at this point in time. Financial income and expenses were an expense of 6 million euros compared to 19 million in Q1 2020. This decrease is mainly due to the increase in value of our minority participations. Net income was in line with Q1 2020 with higher earnings and an increase in net income from discontinued operations offset by the provision related to qualities. We adjusted diluted EPS from continuing operations doubled from 14 Euro cents in Q1 2020 to 28 Euro cents in Q1 2021. Free cash flow was an inflow of 169 million compared to a 15 million outflow in Q1 2020 due to strong working capital performance and lower capital expenditures. Let me provide some guidance for certain areas of our business. In the segment Other, we continue to expect an adjusted EBITDA loss of around 120 million and an EBITDA loss of around 240 million for the full year 2021. This includes 80 to 100 million of costs related to the separation of domestic appliances in 2021. For Q2, we expect a net cost of around 35 million euro at the adjusted EBITDA level and around 70 million at the EBITDA levels. In line with our previous guidance, restructuring charges are expected to be 70 to 80 basis points. Acquisition related costs are expected to be around 70 basis points in 2021. This is lower than our prior guidance of 100 basis points due to the positive one-off Impact from the release of the contingent consideration liability for our EPD business that I had explained earlier. We continue to expect one-time EU MDR and consent decree related costs of around 40 million euros in the year. Financial income and expenses are expected to be a net cost of around 140 million euros in 2021. This is lower than our prior guidance of 180 million, largely due to the increase in the value of our minority participations in the first quarter and assumes no one-off gains or losses in the rest of the year. Our mid-term guidance of 24-26% effective tax rate excluding incidentals remains valid, while for 2021, We currently expect that to be around 22% due to one-off effects. On the topic of share buybacks, I would like to remind you that our 1.5 billion euro program for capital reduction purposes that was announced in January 2019 will be completed during the course of 2021. To conclude, let me reiterate what we stated at the start of the year. Given the comparison base of 2020, We expect overall relative performance to be stronger in the first half of 2021 as has been confirmed by the Q1 performance. Further, as mentioned by France, we see an increased demand in the diagnosis and treatment and personal health businesses and now plan to deliver low to mid single digit comparable sales growth for the group in 2021 compared to the earlier plan of low single digit growth. We continue to expect a decline of connected care sales in the high single to low double digit range as previously guided. We also expect an adjusted EBITDA margin improvement of 60 to 80 basis points for the group. With that, I'm happy to take your questions along with France. Thank you.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Thank you, sir. If any participants would like to ask a question, please press the star followed by the one on your telephone. If you wish to cancel this request, please press the star followed by the two. Please limit yourselves to one question with a maximum of one follow-up. This will give more people the opportunity to ask questions. If you're using a speaker equipment today, please lift the handset before making your selections. There will be a short pause while participants register for question. The first question comes from Veronica Dubojova from Goldman Sachs. Please state your question.

speaker
Veronica Dubojova
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Hi, good morning, Franz, Abhijit, and thanks for taking my questions. Two, please, and both related to the guidance for the full year. The first one is just on revenues and trying to parse out where that incremental confidence is coming from in terms of the low to mid-single-digit organic sales growth versus what you had guided for previously. Can you maybe talk through what are some of the moving parts where you've become incrementally more confident? Is it pH? Is it DNT? Is it a specific region? Is it a specific business line? If you can just shed some light into that, that would be really helpful. And then my second question, I appreciate you don't guide for EPS, but obviously this year there's quite a lot of moving parts. We have the dilution from domestic appliances, from the disposal. You have some contribution coming in from acquisitions and just Curious if you can level set for us, Abhijit, how we should think about EPS development in 2021. And I guess looking beyond 2021, if you can comment on some of your midterm expectations on EPS growth and how we should level set those off the new base, that would be very helpful. Thanks, guys.

speaker
Frans van Houten
Chief Executive Officer, Royal Philips

Yeah. Hi, Veronica. Great to hear you. And I sympathize with your question on EPS. Abhijit will try to answer it as best as we can, given the circumstances. But indeed, let me start on the revenue traction. So if I take you back to the Capital Markets Day guidance, where we said D&T and personal health should grow in the 5-6% bracket, while connected care, given the difficult compare, will first have a year of a negative and then in 2022 also be in that frame. So that's the framing of it. Now, obviously, as we said in the call, connected care stays with the same guidance of approximately a high single digit, low double digit decline year on year, which then implies that all the upside comes from diagnosis and treatment and personal health. Both of which will grow ahead of the 5-6% range this year. We see strong order momentum in diagnosis and treatment with the order growth of 11%. The 11% order growth in Q1 is driven across the world basically. China, high single digit in North America. Double-digit growth in orders. I think very pleasing and perhaps also a precursor of what can happen when COVID becomes more under control and Europe, you know, a very solid around 6% order growth. And much driven by IGT, which of course was weak last year. Customers holding back on orders, also postponing shipments. and now that comes back with a vengeance as there is a backlog in patients, elective procedures are stacked up. Now that's then also maybe a nice bridge to talk about the consumables. We have seen a very nice uptake in the course of Q1 and you can really track how COVID gets under control in the United States. March was very strong on elective procedures. And we of course compare not only to 2020, but also to 2019. And on the consumption of our catheters, we are well ahead of 2019 on a run rate basis. And that votes for a very nice growth step up over 2019 in IGT devices. So make a long story short, good start in diagnosis and treatment, strong order book, strong order intake. We are looking at momentum there in Q2. Of course, the second half of the year, the comparison already becomes a little bit more difficult, but still overall growth ahead of the 5% to 6% on revenue. Let me do a similar, albeit a slightly shorter story around personal health. If we are honest, of course 2020 was not a great year for personal health, even though the second half year was much stronger than the first half year. So we are having a very positive comparison year on year. 17% growth in Q1. We are also looking at a very strong growth in Q2, while the second half of the year will be much more moderated, given the year-on-year comparison. The driver of growth, from a geographical perspective, we see China double-digit. We see Europe performing very strong, amazingly strong. North America in the high single digit. So, you know, strength across the globe as consumers rally to buy our new innovations in oral care, in personal care, in beauty. So, good traction there. As you know that we have also stepped up A&P advertising and promotion because in a digital world that becomes more important. and at the same time we have taken cost out of what is called other fixed selling expenses. So you could say we have changed the mix of sell-ex to drive more consumer preference and we think that that is working and it bodes well for the future. So I think that gives you color on revenue and maybe in the meantime I can look to Abhijit for your...

speaker
Abhijit Bhattacharya
Chief Financial Officer, Royal Philips

Hi Veronica, if you look at last year, we estimate that DA had probably about 24 cents contribution to our EPS. If you look for this year, with our now increased sales guidance, we will compensate most of that. Maybe about 17-18 cents of that will get compensated with the growth of the company itself and the adjusted EBITDA growth. Important to understand that we will have a lower share count so we will complete the buyback this year so that will also add to the EPS and then finally I guided for a lower tax rate this year that also contributes positively. So with this we will actually be able to offset the dilution of EPS with last year and then of course we have BioTel and Capsule which are doing well and they will probably even result in slight incremental EPS this year for the group compared to last year. So last year if I include DA and this year if I exclude DA our EPS will still go up and then if you Let's say look forward. Of course, that will go up in the range that we have guided for improved earnings, as well as slightly lower restructuring costs. So I think on a good trajectory there.

speaker
Frans van Houten
Chief Executive Officer, Royal Philips

All right. Did this answer your question, Veronica?

speaker
Veronica Dubojova
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Yeah, that was very helpful. Thanks, guys.

speaker
Frans van Houten
Chief Executive Officer, Royal Philips

All right.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

The next question comes from Hassan Al-Waqil from Barclays. Please state your question.

speaker
Hassan Al-Waqil
Analyst, Barclays

Thank you. I have a couple, please. So firstly, on the DreamStation 1, could you talk about some of the issues that have been reported by users and whether any of these have been significant? And what does the current provision account for as it relates to the 3 to 4 million installed base? And whether you expect any short-term impact on sales because of these issues? And then if I can ask a second question on the broader performance of the sleep business. Where are diagnosis rates relative to pre-COVID levels and do you think you're gaining share here? Thank you.

speaker
Frans van Houten
Chief Executive Officer, Royal Philips

Yeah, hi. Good morning, Hassan. The issue with the DreamStation One family and related products come out of our post-market surveillance where we have picked up reports from users that lead us to do this warning. And the occurrence rate is very, very low. And in the last year got accelerated because of what we have discovered, the use of unauthorized detergents in cleaning the machine. In the US, there's quite a lot of locations that have started to use ozone to disinfect the machine. And in fact, that has an impact on the foam used in the machine, which makes it degrade. Globally, we have seen some occurrence of that phenomena in high humidity, high temperature environments. As I said, the occurrence rate is very, very low, 0.03% off the top of my head. Nevertheless, being responsible and proactive, we don't want to have this happen, and we are going to repair the machines in the field for which we have taken the provision. Now, the installed base is very high, given that Philips is the market leader in sleep apnea CPAP devices. and there's several millions out there, a couple of millions out there and that relates then to the magnitude of the provision. I hope that that scopes that a bit. It is early stage because we wanted to go out immediately and we are also in parallel then engaging the regulatory agencies with whom we have to detail out the field safety notice as is customary practice. I want to emphasize this is coming out of our own post-market surveillance actions. Now then, you ask, you know, does it have impact on sales? The good thing is that we have launched DreamStations 2. That product is already authorized in the United States and is of a different design and is not affected by this component. Other countries, that product is not yet authorized, and therefore we were still manufacturing and shipping the Dream Series 1. We have, out of precautionary measures, put a temporary stop to the production of those units, and therefore in relation to your question, can it impact sales on the short term? Yes, it can on a limited basis because in the United States, which is our biggest market and the majority of the demand, we have the Dream Series 2 to ship. We are planning to outsource most of the field action so that we can do it fast and that we can leverage third-party capacity, thereby avoiding hindrance to our own manufacturing line. Then on your related question, you know, how is the sleep market developing? We still see relatively low levels of sleep lab visits. So consumers are not yet back to sleep labs and therefore the new diagnosis is still at a lower level than what it used to be. It's about 80% of pre-COVID times. We expect this to go up later in the year as normality in life resumes, especially in those countries where vaccination degrees are high. Then finally, I want to assure everybody on the call is that we will compensate for the slowness in the sleep and respiratory care business. We still see good demand for hospital respiration and oxygen concentrators. And across connected care, we also see strong traction on patient monitoring. So this is also why we kept the guidance on connected care the same as we flagged to you before, i.e., a high single-digit to low double-digit decline year on year, given the peak of last year. Let me pause there, Hassan, and see whether I've captured all your questions.

speaker
Hassan Al-Waqil
Analyst, Barclays

You have. That's very helpful. Thank you.

speaker
Frans van Houten
Chief Executive Officer, Royal Philips

You're welcome.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

The next question comes from Patrick Wood from Bank of America. Please state your question.

speaker
Patrick Wood
Analyst, Bank of America

Morning. Thank you very much. I'll just ask my two up front if I can. The first, I think you gave a little bit of color, but a little bit more would be great, was in connected care in the patient monitoring business. Just giving us a sense of how much traction we're starting to see in the general ward. And so outside of the ICU, obviously that's a long-term driver there. But I'm just curious as to what you're seeing and how the outlook is looking. And then as the second question, thank you, Franz. You touched on this earlier. IGT devices obviously could date out of the Illuminate trial. But more short-term, I'm just curious, you know, if the devices were up double-digit in Q1, the hardware must have been pretty weak still. Can you help us understand why we've seen such a dramatic acceleration in the core diagnostic imaging business, but then on the more procedure-focused side of things, it seems the recovery curve has been quite a bit slower, albeit it sounds like the order book is going better. But just help us understand why one has just leapfrogged so fast versus the other one. That would be really helpful. Thank you.

speaker
Frans van Houten
Chief Executive Officer, Royal Philips

Yeah, absolutely. Let me start with connected care and patient monitoring. Yes, we see patient monitoring coming more and more outside of the ICU. And let me just also explain that most COVID wards in hospitals are not ICU wards. So many patients that have moderate COVID never make it into, let's say, the proper ICU and are in COVID wards. COVID wards that we have equipped with monitoring as well as with ventilators. We also see a general trend towards remote supervision using command center technology where you can overlook or use central stations if you like, where you can overlook cohorts of patients with a higher patient to staff ratio. Finally, we are seeing And finally, hospitals and providers are gearing up for the out-of-hospital monitoring and want to leverage a uniform strong architecture across their enterprise. This plays very much into our hands because we are market leader and we are then often the party on which hospitals are standardizing and that's strengthened by our innovations in command centers and EICU and now with the extension with Capsule Being able to integrate data from other sources and biotelemetry expanding monitoring outside of the hospital, the portfolio becomes pretty comprehensive for such an enterprise play. So I think it bodes well for the future and I would express my expectation that monitoring at large is going to grow at a higher pace versus 2019, structurally. Yeah, then your IGT question. I mentioned that, Sir Patrick, I mentioned that the electives are up, but that is a phenomena late in the quarter, right? So January, we were still behind 2019. February, we started to become kind of break even on 2019. And then in March, we soared ahead. That also means that IGT devices as such is not yet showing this massive impact on the revenue cycle of Q1, but it's a rather good news for Q2 and beyond. That then also suggests that the revenue in Q1 was in fact supported by IGT systems installations. and the order intake in the quarter was also very much driven by IGT systems.

speaker
Patrick Wood
Analyst, Bank of America

Very clear. Thanks, guys.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

The next question comes from Michael Jung Lee from Morgan Stanley. Please state your question.

speaker
Michael Jung Lee
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Thank you and good morning. I have two questions. Firstly, when it comes to the 2020 guidance upgrade, if you had a further chance to raise Organic Sales Growth because of a pent-up demand. Would you consider in the next round some upside to the EBIT margin, which currently seems to be set in stone at around 60 to 80 basis points? Question number two is on the DreamStation One provision. Can you comment on what will physically happen on the ground? Do all sleep apnea machines have to be returned to Philips for repair and or inspection? What happens if patients need this evaporating machine? Will you provide a replacement? And thirdly, if you look at the provision, it's around 71 euros for the 3.5 million machines. Or if the incidence rate is 0.03%, it's 1,050 machines with a provision of 238,000. So it's a wide range. Which one is it? How are you providing for this? Can you give more color on what the mass is behind this? Thank you.

speaker
Frans van Houten
Chief Executive Officer, Royal Philips

Right. Well, Michael, your first question is, of course, very hypothetical, that if we were to further increase guidance, what would we do? So, with your permission, I'm not going to speculate on that. The reason why we keep the guidance, the 60 to 80 basis point at this time, is that, you know, we do see some higher freight costs. We see a tight semiconductor market. So the intake cost, we want to be a bit careful there. We don't want to get ahead of our skis here on margin. And for now, we see this as very good underpinning. And also potentially with a few mix effects. You recall, of course, that last year patient monitoring had a very strong impact on the mix. It's a very profitable product. And if you now, let's say, have a slightly different mix, then We just want to be cautious on not getting ahead of ourselves on margin. Then on your further inquiry on the DreamStation. Indeed, occurrence rate very low. However, the intended precautionary measures will expand to the entire base of the DreamStation 1 related family. Whether or not symptoms are there. So that's the cautionary approach that we take. If the discussion with regulators lead us to a different conclusion, then that can change, but at this time we think that this is the best course of action. We have calculated this on the basis of an expected time of intervention in the field per unit times the amount of units and leveraging, as I said before, also our DMEs and others. I want to assure everybody on the call that the device is safe to be continued to use to the best of our knowledge at this time. Of course, this will also be discussed with the regulator, but our own The expectation is that users can continue to use it, and then as we repair the units, they either get a replacement unit or they get their own unit back that still needs to be determined. So I don't want to be completely precise about that. Michael, does that answer your question?

speaker
Michael Jung Lee
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

It does. Maybe a brief follow-up. You mentioned that people are using ozone, which is against the FDA regulations or against the user manual. Why is it your problem if someone wants to use a cleaning agent that is not even permitted? Why are you taking responsibility for that in those provisions?

speaker
Frans van Houten
Chief Executive Officer, Royal Philips

Well, patient safety is always our concern. And we have... Be very clear to say first comes the patient. We don't want to debate culpability at this time or who's done it because that doesn't help the patient. So if there is something to be said about what is the root cause and why did people choose a certain way of cleaning the device, Yeah, that can be an endless debate. At this time, that should not be the debate. We should just deal with the issue, and then later on we can sort out how this cleaning came about. I mean, if we look around the world, then the use of ozone is typically a U.S. issue, and then within the U.S., it is related to certain regions where certain companies have been very active in marketing that method. But that's all, let's say, 2020 hindsight. The FDA observed this and also put out a safety notice to say don't use ozone for CPAP machines. Nevertheless, we cannot control that. But we don't want to focus on culpability questions. Our prime concern is Let's take this small risk out of the market and deal with it proactively.

speaker
Michael Jung Lee
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Great. Thank you. Very clear. Thank you.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

The next question comes from Lisa Clyde from Bernstein. Please state your question.

speaker
Lisa Clyde
Analyst, Bernstein

Hi. Thanks very much. Just two questions on patient monitoring. First of all, you discussed a little bit the potential to move into the general ward. Number one, What is the sort of technology limitation here? Is it the reliability of wireless sensors? And I guess sort of are wireless sensors good enough to be accurate enough, have connectivity that's very consistent, et cetera? Or are we still a little bit early in that stage? And number two, as those wireless sensors get better, then that opens up the home market But a question more on the sort of pricing model in the home because obviously, you know, the actual hardware would come into competition potentially with all sorts of, you know, gadgets from the likes of, you know, Apple, Fitbit, et cetera. So if we think about how the sort of value across your patient monitoring business, what proportion is today is sort of the hardware itself versus the software and the sort of broader connectivity aspect? and as this market develops so there's actually more in the home, how will that look? Thanks.

speaker
Frans van Houten
Chief Executive Officer, Royal Philips

Yeah, hi Lisa. Great questions. On your first one, with regards to adoption, I would actually say that technology is not a limitation at all. This is all about hospitals having to change their ways of working. If you put monitoring in a general ward where Then you also need to organize for somebody to oversee the central station where you can look at a whole cohort of patients. Patients that are using a wireless device, they can wander around. So that also means do you want to track where the patient is or not, right? Technically, all of that is possible. We have solutions for that. But actually, hospitals can only adopt this once they change their ways of working. Now, I mentioned earlier that COVID has been an accelerator for the use of monitoring in general wards or COVID wards. As hospitals were struggling with a shortage of staff, then having monitors aided by a central station could actually help Take Care of More Patients with Less Staff. So I think providers have gotten a good insight and boost of how changing ways of working is actually a good thing for patients and for productivity. So no technological limitations. We have everything available. Similarly with the home, technology is there. I would not jump straight to consumer devices as you mentioned. Actually, the data coming out of those devices is causing doctors to despair because they get a lot of people coming in to look at my data kind of thing, which then bridges already to what is your operating model behind the technology. So that you can actually handle large cohorts of patients with data coming in whereby AI in the cloud stratifies the patients as to who needs what and why and direct it to the responsible in the care team that is appropriate to the severity of an incident. Because this is a whole new world of how do you organize care. And that maybe is then the final bridge to hardware, software, and services ratio because the services will play an increasing role in handling remote patient monitoring whereby the device becomes a smaller proportion of the value and the software and the services become the bigger proportion of the value. I'm over asked to give you a number in this call. Unless my friends here at the table can help me out quickly, but I don't want to guesstimate the number that I don't really know. We take that separately, Lisa, and then in future call, we will share that with the whole community.

speaker
Lisa Clyde
Analyst, Bernstein

Okay, thanks. And then one just very quick follow-up question. I think I read somewhere recently that the FDA is thinking about trying to regulate these sort of consumer health-related products. Are you aware of what they're thinking here? And I guess, you know, obviously the likes of Apple and Google, etc., have enough money that if they want to get involved in medical devices, they certainly can hire the regulatory people to do so. But what do you think are the sort of barriers to entry for big players like that coming into the monitoring markets?

speaker
Frans van Houten
Chief Executive Officer, Royal Philips

Well, I mean, these devices are already regulated, right? If you put a heart rate rhythm monitor in a watch, then that's already a class 2 device. So that is regulated. From my story, you also heard that people are worried about what happens with the data, how does it disrupt the healthcare market, who can have access to the data, how safe is it. So it's a new world out there that indeed deserves to be further scrutinized from a regulatory perspective. Also interoperability is a big factor. And what are patients taking away from the data? Because it worries them unnecessarily sometimes. And also that is something the FDA is concerned about. All right, so I would say this is not just a technological barrier. It's much more the overall ecosystem that needs to be looked at.

speaker
Lisa Clyde
Analyst, Bernstein

Great. Thanks very much for that.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

The next question comes from David Ellington from J.P. Morgan. Please state your question.

speaker
David Ellington
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Hey, guys. Thanks for the questions. So two, please. So just to follow up on the field repair, the $250 million provision, Is that provision purely for the field repairs or is there some litigation cooked into that? And just to make sure, has there been any litigation started or any patients injured? And secondly, quite a good start on the free cash flow front. Abhijit, I just wonder if you have any thoughts in terms of free cash flow for the year, please.

speaker
Frans van Houten
Chief Executive Officer, Royal Philips

Sure, David. Let me say that the amount is related to the field action. I've already flagged that any slowness in the business near term is absorbed within the business and compensated elsewhere and therefore not expected to further impact. This is very early stage, so we are acting on the fact that we got a few reports out of the field, out of our post-market surveillance and our own test. We are taking proactive action here. Even though the earlier question around ozone, and that's not us, that's somebody else, doesn't matter, we are taking proactive action. There are no litigations here at this time. Moreover, I can say that we have not seen reports of severe user harm. We have seen some reports of irritation, but not severe patient harm. Moreover, it's still, to our knowledge, safe to use the machines. While we are going about preparing and executing all this field action. Then maybe... Abhijit?

speaker
Abhijit Bhattacharya
Chief Financial Officer, Royal Philips

Yeah, on the cash flow, yeah, I think it's a good start to the year. Like I mentioned, you know, our working capital management has been better. In general, our overdue receivables have come down quite substantially, so that's... Let's say good operating result. Our net income or our profit increase for the year was also good. We were helped a little bit also by the calendars. So that will be a bit lower in Q2. But I think overall for the year, we are in line with what we had guided for will be a tad lower depending on how much is the cash out for the repair actions that we have to take. The next question comes from Scott Bardo from Bernberg.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Please state your question.

speaker
Scott Bardo
Analyst, Berenberg

Yeah, thanks very much for taking the questions there too, please. The first one just on the The field action and provision again. I just wonder, Franz, if you kindly confirm that the issues detected were not informed by any FDA inspection warning letter or 483 form. Furthermore, is it your working assumption that those sorts of warnings or observations at manufacturing plants will not unfold as a result of this? The second question, please, just relates to oral care. And I note that you had around a mid-single-digit growth this quarter. I would have thought that that business would have performed better given that the rest of the business has been rebounding. The comp was, I think, high single-digit negative last year, and you're in quite a meaningful product launch cycle. So I wonder if you can confirm, you know, is there any softness in the end market demand or anything we should be aware of for that particular business? Thanks.

speaker
Frans van Houten
Chief Executive Officer, Royal Philips

Yeah, hi Scott. I can confirm that the field action originates out of the user reports and tests that we did ourselves and that there is no regulatory origin in that. The Pittsburgh or the Murraysville, but Murrayville is close to Pittsburgh, is where the business unit is and the factory is, has a good record with regards to prior inspections. Other than that, I cannot anticipate what will be future discussions, but I feel that we are taking appropriate and proactive action, fully in line with our quality management system. And Abhijit will answer the second question.

speaker
Abhijit Bhattacharya
Chief Financial Officer, Royal Philips

Yeah, I think overall oral healthcare demand was good. China recovery as we had said last time for oral healthcare will start from Q2. So actually we are gearing up for a much stronger Q2 in oral healthcare. But for the rest of the world it was strong. So it was more the China recovery and the launches in China have taken place at the fag end of Q1. So from Q2 onwards you will see a better momentum, Scott.

speaker
Scott Bardo
Analyst, Berenberg

That's very helpful, thanks. And if I can, just one quick non-related follow-up, also for Abhijit, please. And again, congratulations on the disposal of domestic appliances. I think previously, Abhijit, you'd highlighted an expectation of some ongoing royalties as a result of this separation. Now that you've concluded the deal, can you just highlight how those royalties will flow through, what sort of magnitude one should expect? Thank you.

speaker
Abhijit Bhattacharya
Chief Financial Officer, Royal Philips

Typically we cannot disclose separate royalty agreements with each of our partners. But I think the way you should look at it is for this year we will compensate for the standard cost and then from next year it will be a bit of an add-on but it's part of the overall guidance. So I think that's how you should look at it for now.

speaker
Scott Bardo
Analyst, Berenberg

Okay, thanks very much indeed.

speaker
Abhijit Bhattacharya
Chief Financial Officer, Royal Philips

Thank you.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

The next question comes from Julien Drumond from Exxon BNB Paribas. Please state your question.

speaker
Julien Drumond
Analyst, BNP Paribas

Hi, good morning, Sean. Good morning, Abhijit. Thanks for squeezing me in. I'm left with two questions. The first one relates to the order book, which was up 11% in DNT overall. You mentioned strong WTG growth in IGT, so I was just wondering whether you could shed more light on the On the actual growth in the order intake for imaging specifically, and that's obviously in the context of maybe some slowdown that we saw in capex spending from listed hospital groups in the US and also all the discussions around stimulus money for Europe. So just curious to get more color on that side, please. And the second question relates to M&A. Once you get the cash for DA, the leverage will be back to a relatively low level. So how should we think about your appetite for more deals in the short term? Or are you happy first in the next few months to digest the recent acquisitions and the divestment from DA?

speaker
Frans van Houten
Chief Executive Officer, Royal Philips

Yeah. Hi, Julio. Let me unpack a bit the diagnosis and treatment order book. Of course, last year, we already saw strong traction on computed tomography in diagnostic imaging. So the compare for precision diagnosis is a bit tougher than the compare for IGT. So the 11% is... Strong double-digit for IGT, driven by, first of all, North America, then Europe and China, more or less, ex-equal, also with mid-single-digit growth. And then precision diagnosis, given that last year we saw a lot of computed tomography orders, This year, the kind of mid to high single digit order growth in PD is driven first of all by China, then by basically Europe and other markets. Notably, North America is still quite modest on precision diagnosis, also because last year we saw there's quite some good performance. Then, yeah, Abhijit just gives me two data points that order growth last year on CT and general x-ray was over 30%. So that just gives a little bit of color on that difficult compare with only MRI being soft last year. And now if you look at the mix, MRI is actually the star together with cardiovascular ultrasound, again, which is very logical because with the resumption of Elective Procedures, the interest to spend money on cardiovascular equipment is back, which is also positive. So I think that explains the nature of the order book. So I'm happy to see that China is really performing well with all the discussions, of course, always about local competition. You know, Philips is holding its ground very well. And then the DA cash. Oh, yeah, let me. Let me not go over that. Look, you could of course argue that much of the cash we have just spent on biotelemetry and capsule, but you kindly reminded us about the balance sheet and the state of it, which will be great. Let's just say that it puts us in a comfortable position with the ability To do a further bolt on, we don't have to because Abhijit went to great lengths to discuss our organic growth opportunity, our normal guidance for next year, 5% to 6% across the board in all segments. Moreover, on top of that, you get the contribution of biotelemetry and capsule, which are both growing above the average of Philips. So that's also good news. We are not in a hurry to spend our cash. We are quite comfortable to keep the balance sheet then for a while with a leverage in the guided range. Thank you very much. You're welcome.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

The next question comes from Falco Frederik from Deutsche Bank. Please state your question.

speaker
spk08

Thank you very much. Two quick questions, please. Firstly, on this ongoing semiconductor supply shortage, could you share some color on how this could impact your business throughout the year and to what extent that is baked into the guidance you gave us today? And then secondly, out of interest, with regard to connected care, what are you still seeing in terms of demand for hospital ventilators? Especially in light of these rising hospital admissions again in several countries across the world.

speaker
Frans van Houten
Chief Executive Officer, Royal Philips

Yeah, hi Falco. The semiconductor market is certainly a concern to us. We have near-term demand well organized, yet we are seeing of course an increase of revenue. Therefore we are increasing our own plans and put more requirements on the semi-industry in terms of supplies. So far we have been able to handle that well with the exception of defibrillators where we saw already some tightness in Q1 and in Q2. Other than that, for now we are navigating this scarcity situation and we hope that we can continue to do that. We are not baking in big constraints going forward. Then on the vent demand, of course last year we had the peak. We are still seeing pockets of demand across the world and we are doing whatever we can to help with those critical care requirements. For example, in India, where we have been able to alleviate some of the most pressing needs, both for ventilators as well as for oxygen concentrators, where even with Abhijit's personal intervention, several flights out of the US with cargo take over 10,000 concentrators into India. to help remediate the most pressing shortages over there. Nevertheless, if you add it all up, then hospital ventilation this year is much lower than last year. And that's just, math cannot be avoided. For monitors, you heard us with a much more positive story because we expect demand for monitoring to go wider and even higher. The next question comes from Sagi Osner from HSBC. Please state your question. Hi. Thanks very much for taking my questions and thanks for

speaker
Sagi Osner
Analyst, HSBC

Yeah, all the information. Just one question. Given that most of the production savings programs have delivered a lot of results since 2017, and given the tightness in the market, not only the semiconductor market, but also a lot of the supplier tightnesses that we've seen recently, how much further scope do you see for further productivity gains within 2021 and beyond?

speaker
Frans van Houten
Chief Executive Officer, Royal Philips

Yeah, Cesky, let me first welcome you to this call. Great to have you as an analyst for HSBC following Philips, so I really appreciate that. Abhijit, is this first question something for you?

speaker
Abhijit Bhattacharya
Chief Financial Officer, Royal Philips

Yeah, I think, you know, we guided for $2 billion up to 2025, so at this stage we continue to track to that program. Typically we have done a little bit more, but I think that is part for the course over the next five years. But at this point in time, we report on net productivity, right? So we therefore, whatever price increases come, we have to offset that. So we will not increase that guidance, but we constantly work to look at bigger opportunities to compensate for newer headwinds that come up like the ones you mentioned. But right now we want to deliver on the 2 billion program that we had set out last year.

speaker
Sagi Osner
Analyst, HSBC

All right. And just as a small follow-up, can you comment or like guide about the increased R&D expenses that we've seen this quarter? I mean, should we assume a correction in the rest of the year? And what kind of trajectory?

speaker
Abhijit Bhattacharya
Chief Financial Officer, Royal Philips

I think the R&D increase in the quarter may have to do with the impairment that we have taken. So let us come back to you. There is no significant increase in the overall R&D spent for the year. So maybe I will give you the adjusted number for the restructuring and then we should be okay. We are on a good trajectory there.

speaker
Sagi Osner
Analyst, HSBC

Alright, thanks very much.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

The next question comes from Daniel Windorf from Commerce Bank. Please state your question.

speaker
Daniel Windorf
Analyst, Commerce Bank

Yes, good morning and thanks for taking my questions. The first one is a follow-up really on diagnostic imaging. How would you see the underlying market develop there at the moment, including the corona-related effects, the positives you highlighted from last year and also from this year, so really the underlying market development? If you look at your product offering now, inpatient monitoring, outpatient, inpatient, including all the software-related products you have on offer there, how do you see the competitive environment develop? I would assume that this is rather limited in the most important regions of the world. Any more color you could provide would be helpful. Thank you.

speaker
Frans van Houten
Chief Executive Officer, Royal Philips

Yeah, hi Daniel. Diagnostic imaging market globally we would classify as low to mid single digit with more strength in China and low single digit in mature markets like US and Europe. Installed base is pretty old. So there is a need for renewal regardless actually of the CAPEX situations. Hospitals have been postponing this for a while and there's real need to make step-ups. China's strength relates also to government interventions towards diagnostic centers. With the influx of We can actually expect some acceleration in the DI market space with more room for CAPEX than maybe was previously assumed. So I see a slight positive trend emerging, even though on On the question of, I think it was Julian had to give more color on the order book. I think I said that on diagnostic imaging, the US was still the lowest of all the regions. But I see a general trend that is moving in a positive direction. And we'll see, we'll certainly update you again in Q2 and July if that trend is continuing for now. As you know, we have updated our growth guidance for Philips and much of that is also driven by diagnosis and treatment and therefore by DI also. On the patient monitoring offering, we pride ourselves in being the market leader and having also the widest approach and a platform approach whereby we think it's all about the data and processing the data and turning that into actionable insights as opposed to just offering a box. And I think we have taken some distance from competition in that context. I don't claim that we are the only one, but the more complex these systems become, in fact, the better it is for us. So we take a solutions approach to monitoring We've also started to offer monitoring as a service, thereby moving away from a kind of a discrete capex and call for tender situation towards a more continuous upgrading approach to hospitals. Time will tell how fast that goes, but the initial reception is very positive.

speaker
David Ellington
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Thank you. Yeah.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Due to time, the last question is a follow-up from Michael Jung Lee from Morgan Stanley. Please state your question.

speaker
Michael Jung Lee
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Thank you for this. I have a question on ultrasound. If there was a sizable ultrasound business up for sale, would you be interested to further expand your market-leading business, and does your current market share actually allow this? Thank you.

speaker
Frans van Houten
Chief Executive Officer, Royal Philips

I love hypothetical questions, Michael. As you know, our strength foremost is in cardiovascular ultrasound. And there we are number one. In other areas such as general or point of care ultrasound, we are much lower. So if opportunities would arise, Potentially, we would look at it, but we do have to worry around kind of antitrust approval, so it would not be a slam dunk.

speaker
Michael Jung Lee
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Okay, great. Thank you.

speaker
Frans van Houten
Chief Executive Officer, Royal Philips

You're welcome. All right. Back to you, Leandro.

speaker
Leandro Mazzoni
Head of Investor Relations, Royal Philips

Thank you. I think that concludes the call. That was the last question.

speaker
Frans van Houten
Chief Executive Officer, Royal Philips

Okay. Well, I appreciate very much everybody dialing in. We are slated for a good future. With increasing momentum makes us very happy and we'll keep you posted as we go. Thanks.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

This concludes the Royal Philips First Quarter 2021 Results Conference Call on Monday, April 26, 2021. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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