11/2/2022

speaker
Operator

Good morning and welcome to the Q3 2022 Parsons Corporation Earnings Conference Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal the conference specialist by pressing the star key, followed by zero. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, you may press star then one on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, please press star then two. Please note this event has been recorded. I'll now extend the conference over to Dave Schuele. VP of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

speaker
Dave Schuele

Thank you. Good morning, and thank you for joining us today to discuss our third quarter 2022 financial results. Please note that we provide a presentation slides on the investor relations section of our website. On the call with me today are Kerry Smith, Chair, President, and CEO, and Matt Opolis, CFO. Today, Kerry will discuss our corporate strategy and operational highlights, and then Matt will provide an overview of our third quarter financial results. We then will close with a question and answer session. Management may also make forward-looking statements during the call regarding future events, anticipated future trends, and the anticipated future performance of the company. We caution you that such statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties that are difficult to predict. Actual results may differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements due to a variety of factors. These risk factors are described in our Form 10-K for fiscal year ended December 31, 2021 and other SEC filings. Please refer to our earnings press release for Parson's complete forward-looking statement disclosure. We do not undertake any obligation to update forward-looking statements. Management will also make reference to non-GAAP financial measures during this call. We remind you that these non-GAAP financial measures are not a substitute for the comparable GAAP measures. And now we'll turn the call over to Carrie.

speaker
Kerry Smith

Thank you, Dave. Good morning, and welcome to Persons' third quarter 2022 earnings call. We delivered strong third quarter financial results with record revenue and record-adjusted EBITDA. During the quarter, we achieved year-over-year double-digit organic revenue growth in both business segments and grew adjusted EBITDA by 22% and contract awards by 21%. Operating cash flow increased by 59% year-over-year and by 28% for the first nine months of the year. We further strengthened our robust balance sheet, and our Exitor acquisition is making meaningful contributions to our results. Given our strong third quarter results, we are raising the midpoints of our 2022 revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and cash flow guidance ranges. During the third quarter, we generated total revenue growth of 19%. Our year-over-year organic revenue growth was 11%, including 13% within our critical infrastructure segment and 10% within our federal solution segment. These results were driven by sustained recruiting and retention, growing revenue on existing contracts, driving task orders to large single award contracts, and operating effectively in two well-funded and growing markets. Our ability to successfully deliver on our customers' missions has allowed us to continue to secure our repeats and win large strategic contracts in areas aligned with national security and global infrastructure priorities. During the third quarter, we achieved a book-to-bill ratio of 1.1 times on an enterprise basis and in both business segments. This is now the eighth consecutive quarter in which critical infrastructure's book-to-bill ratio has succeeded 1.0 times. During the third quarter, we were awarded the following notable contracts. A $121 million option year on our Combatant Command Cyber Mission Support Contract, where we provide offensive and defensive cyber operations and open source intelligence in support of joint all-domain operations. $121 million of new work under two contracts to support the development of two major industrial cities in the Middle East. On these GIGA projects, we only booked the first phase of each contract. $117 million of new project work under the FAA's technical support services contract to provide engineering, construction oversight, installation, and technical services. Over $70 million of the growth on this contract was funded under the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act. A $104 million Teams Next facilities lifecycle management repeat contract to provide advisory and technical services support to the Missile Defense Agency. A $75 million contract extension by a classified customer to provide comprehensive cyber vulnerability assessments for weapons systems. and a new $24 million task order for a military service branch to perform remedial investigations and feasibility studies where PFAS and other contaminant releases have occurred. Our persons emerging contaminant team has been aggressively pursuing opportunities and building market share with a total of over $40 million in PFAS contract wins in both our federal solutions and critical infrastructure segments over the last nine months. We also won prime positions on three multiple award IDIQ contracts. The first one is classified contract to provide offensive cyber operations with a $5 billion ceiling value over 10 years. The second IDIQ win is for the Defense Threat Reduction Agency's assessment, exercise, and modeling and simulation support contract with an $850 million ceiling over 10 years. And the third IDIQ contract is for the United States Army Engineering and Support Center with a $675 million ceiling over seven years. Under this contract, we will provide electronic security systems design and maintenance. A substantial amount of work on our contracts awarded during the quarter contain ESG-related work. In addition to the recent PFAS wins I highlighted earlier, One of the Middle East Giga projects I mentioned has a goal to ensure all residents and industries in the city are powered by 100% renewable energy. During my recent trip to the Middle East, I visited this site and met with customers and employees, and their environmental focus is impressive. This quarter, we also joined our LAX customer to celebrate the unveiling of their automated people mover vehicles, which sets a high standard for environmentally sustainable transportation, having shells made of recyclable materials and achieving zero emissions. We also continue to support numerous charities, including the Tragedy Assistance Program for Survivors, which increases advocacy and support for the families of our nation's fallen heroes. I am proud of the work Persons is doing to make positive impacts on our environment and society. Turning to our most recent acquisition, the Exator integration is going well. The revenue and profitability have been in line with our expectations, and they're exceeding their sales targets. We've retained and integrated key leadership, aligned research and development programs, and are leveraging synergies to pursue new work across both our segments. Given our robust cash flow, we ended the third quarter with a net leverage ratio of 1.6 times. Our low leverage and ample debt capacity will enable us to continue to make strategic investments in our creative acquisitions, research and development, and our people and culture. In summary, I am very pleased with our execution this quarter and throughout 2022 and remain optimistic about our future. We delivered record revenue and profitability, as well as excellent cash flow results. We continue to benefit from our strong leadership, performance execution, and our ability to win large strategic contracts. We operate in two complementary and growing markets, and our balanced portfolio is a differentiator for Parsons. In critical infrastructure, we're seeing budgets grow across the globe. which are aligned with our transportation, environmental remediation, water and wastewater treatment, and urban development markets. In our federal solutions segment, global tensions remain high and threats continue to evolve. Our portfolio of cyber, space, missile defense, and critical infrastructure protection aligns to the administration's recently released National Defense Strategy, Nuclear Posture Review, and Missile Defense Review, which focus on near-peer threats. Given our positive end market position in both segments, we will continue to invest in our people and technologies to drive future shareholder value. And with that, I'll turn the call over to Matt.

speaker
Dave

Thank you, Carrie. As Carrie indicated, third quarter results were highlighted by strong organic growth, profitability, and cash flow. Total revenue for the third quarter of 2022 increased by 19% from the prior year period, and it was up 11% on an organic basis. Organic growth was driven primarily by the ramp-up of work on existing and new contracts and strong hiring. Our Exitor acquisition contributed approximately $71 million of revenue in the third quarter. SG&A expenses increased by $6 million, or 3%, from the prior year period. primarily due to the impact of the Exitor acquisition. Adjusted EBITDA of $103 million increased 22% from the third quarter of 2021, and adjusted EBITDA margin increased 30 basis points to 9.1%. These increases were driven primarily by stronger operating leverage and contributions from Exitor. I'll turn now to our operating segments, starting first with federal solutions, where third quarter revenue increased by $121 million, or 24% from the third quarter of 2021. This increase was driven by organic growth of 10% and approximately $71 million from Exitor. Organic growth was driven by increased activity on existing contracts and the ramp-up of recent contract awards. Federal Solutions adjusted EBITDA increased $15 million, or 31%, from the third quarter of 2021, and adjusted EBITDA margin increased 60 basis points to 9.9%. These increases were driven primarily by strong revenue growth while continuing to control costs. Moving now to our critical infrastructure segment. Third quarter revenue increased by $57 million or 13% from the third quarter of 2021, all of which was organic. This strong growth was driven primarily by increased activity on existing contracts and the ramp up of recent contract awards and increased worldwide hiring activity. critical infrastructure adjusted EBITDA increased by $4 million, or 10% from the third quarter of 2021, and adjusted EBITDA margin decreased to 8.1%. Our adjusted EBITDA increase was driven by strong revenue growth partially offset by lower equity and earnings. We expect our critical infrastructure margin to expand sequentially and year-over-year in the fourth quarter with higher equity and earnings and continued growth on higher margin programs. Next, I'll discuss cash flow and balance sheet metrics. Our net DSO at the end of Q3 2022 was 68 days, equal to the prior year period and down four days from the end of Q2 with strong collections in the federal segment. Our third quarter operating cash flow totaled $123 million. Operating cash flow for the first nine months of 2022 increased by 28% over the prior year period to $148 million, and increased 59% from the third quarter of 2021. Capital expenditures totaled $6 million in the third quarter of 2022, compared to $4 million in the prior year period. Spend continues to be well controlled and below our planned spend of 1% of revenue. Our balance sheet remains strong as we ended the quarter with a net debt leverage ratio of 1.6 times. Our low leverage and undrawn borrowing capacity, coupled with the recent refinancing of our private placement notes, will enable us to continue to make internal investments and accretive acquisitions to drive additional growth for Parsons. Turning to bookings for the third quarter. Contract awards increased 21% to $1.3 billion, representing a book-to-bill ratio of 1.1 times. Contract award activity increased by approximately 20% in both segments, and our book-to-bill ratio was also 1.1 in both segments. Our backlog at the end of the third quarter totaled $8.2 billion, in line with our second quarter of 2022, and total backlog continues to represent two years of annual revenue. Now let's turn to our guidance. We're increasing our 2022 revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and cash flow guidance to reflect our strong third quarter results and our outlook for the remainder of the year. We have raised revenue by $75 million at the midpoint and updated the range to $4.05 to $4.2 billion. This represents total revenue growth of 13% at the midpoint and 7% on an organic basis. Additionally, we are increasing our adjusted EBITDA range. We now expect adjusted EBITDA to be between $340 and $360 million, which represents 13% growth at the midpoint of the range. Margin at the midpoint of the range and at the midpoint of our revenue in adjusted EBITDA remains at 8.5%. We are also increasing the midpoint of our cash flow guidance. We now expect operating cash flow to be between $255 and $275 million, and free cash flow conversion is expected to remain at approximately 100% of adjusted net income. Other key assumptions in connection with our 2022 guidance have also been updated and are outlined on slide 10 in today's PowerPoint presentation. With that, I'll turn the call back over to Carrie.

speaker
Kerry Smith

Thank you, Matt. I'm very pleased with our third quarter results. We achieved year-over-year double-digit organic revenue growth in both business segments and grew adjusted EBITDA, contract awards, and operating cash flow by more than 20% each. We also further strengthened our balance sheet and our Exitor acquisitions off to a great start. Our team is delivering consistent results and we are benefiting from tailwinds in each segment. We expect our momentum to continue given our portfolio is well aligned to important macro environment trends in two well-funded and growing markets. I would like to thank our entire team once again for their outstanding performance. Our success is the product of their hard work and dedication to solving our customers' most complex challenges. Before we begin the Q&A session, I'm pleased to announce that we will be conducting our Investor Day on March 15th next year. This will be a great opportunity to learn more about our strategic vision, hear from business unit leaders, and participate in Q&A sessions. We look forward to the event and your participation. With that, we will now open the line for questions.

speaker
Operator

We will now begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, you may press start on your telephone keypad. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. To withdraw a question, please press start on two. At this time, we'll pause our material to assemble our roster.

speaker
Mary

Our first question will come from Greg Conrad with Jeffries. You may now go ahead.

speaker
Greg Conrad

Good morning. Good morning, Greg. I think, you know, over the last couple quarters and coming into this year, you really stressed about getting back into a place of beats and raises, and you've kind of done that, you know, throughout this year. If you think about the revenue profile over the last couple quarters, what's really improved? How much of that new awards, maybe acceleration of programs, or just tied to hiring tracking ahead of plan?

speaker
Kerry Smith

Thanks, Greg, for the question. So I would say the revenue growth has been driven by new awards as well as consistent hiring. We really turned our hiring trajectory around last July, and we've sustained that momentum. If you look this quarter, quarter over quarter, our hiring is up 30%. And if you look at the first nine months of this year, we're up 46% over last year. Then from the new awards perspective, on the federal side of the house, we've mentioned continuously we had won all these single award ceiling IDIQs. So our objective was really how do we drive new task orders to those IDIQ vehicles, which we've successfully done. We also had a little bit of benefit in federal with some COVID tailwinds as some of our work, such as Kwajalein FAA, returned to full steam this year. On the critical infrastructure side of the house, we're already benefiting from global infrastructure spend, particularly in the Middle East. They moved many of their programs to the left, and we were fortunately successful in winning those. Thanks, Greg.

speaker
Greg Conrad

And then maybe just to follow up on critical infrastructure, I mean, there's been a really good turn in that business. And you kind of talked about growing budgets. You just mentioned the Middle East. But can you maybe just bucket kind of what's driving that growth? And when you think about the pipeline, you know, how is that trending? And how do you think about growth that's kind of out in front of you based on that pipeline versus maybe what you're capturing today?

speaker
Kerry Smith

Sure. So I would say we're benefiting from our portfolio predominantly in the Middle East, also in the United States, and then third would be in Canada. Starting with the Middle East, they've established these GIGA programs where they're building new industrial cities. And our customer will be shortly announcing those programs, so I don't want to get ahead of them. But a single city, for example, is worth $500 billion. A second city is worth $250 billion. If you look at the United States infrastructure spend, we are starting to benefit from that. As a great example, on our FAA program, $70 million on the FAA program has already come from the infrastructure bill. And we're seeing benefit across our rail and transit customers, as well as some of the aviation customers are moving their projects forward. And then finally, in Canada, they passed their infrastructure spend back in 2016, so their programs are already well underway. And we're seeing a lot of additional work there, predominantly rail and transit, but also some road and highway.

speaker
spk04

Thank you.

speaker
Kerry Smith

Thank you. Thanks, Mary.

speaker
Mary

Our next question will come from Bert Subin with Spiegel.

speaker
Bert Subin

You may now go ahead. Hey, good morning, Carrie, Matt, Dave.

speaker
Carrie

Good morning, Bert. Good morning, Bert.

speaker
Bert Subin

Maybe just to follow up on that infrastructure comment, Carrie, can you talk about how U.S. infrastructure has unfolded relative to what your expectations were maybe earlier this year and what your thoughts are for how that spend starts to materialize or grow sequentially as we head into 23?

speaker
Kerry Smith

Sure. So just to recap, the infrastructure bill is $1.2 trillion. $550 billion of that is new. And where we benefit is from transportation, which is over $280 billion of the funding, as well as areas such as power and utility, roads and highways, bridges, dams, tunnels, aviation, ports, and rail and transit. What we've started to see on that BERT is initial rollout of the funds. Federal customers are getting the funds first. So an example, like I mentioned, is the FAA. We've also seen rail and transit funding start to roll out. There was about $88 billion of road and highway funding that's been rolling out and some of the formula funds that get allocated to the states. As we've indicated in the past, from a planning perspective, though, we anticipate the peak of that being more along the lines of 2023, 2024. Thank you. Okay. Yeah, no, that's helpful. Thanks, Carrie.

speaker
Bert Subin

Just as a follow-up, How should we think about margins going forward, maybe beyond 4Q across the segments? It looked like federal solutions rose to almost 10% in the quarter. Do you think those levels are sustainable? And then on the critical infrastructure side, those margins are maybe a little lower than expected, around 8%. Should we expect over time the two segments sort of get to a point where their margins are ultimately closer, and so maybe you get some more critical infrastructure accretion over time? Any thoughts on margins would be helpful. Thank you.

speaker
Kerry Smith

Yeah, great question. So from a federal perspective, as we've indicated in the past, we don't expect 10% continuously every single quarter because it really depends on the timing of award and incentive fees, given that we're about a two-thirds cost reimbursable business in federal. But we are pleased that, you know, with the stronger revenue that we've been bringing in, we've been bringing it in at higher margins as well. On the critical infrastructure side of the house, that will improve over time. We've started to roll off some of these legacy programs that we've talked in the past, and those have kind of been a drain on the critical infrastructure margin. That should be our higher performing margin segment, given that we have two-thirds fixed price time and material work in that segment. So as you look forward, we'll continue to expand margins in both of the segments, particularly critical infrastructure. When you start to look at pricing strength that's going to come as a result of the global infrastructure spend, the wind down of these legacy programs, so improved performance execution. And then we continue across the board of persons to control cost as we've achieved this revenue growth.

speaker
spk04

Very helpful. Thank you, Kerry.

speaker
Mary

Our next question will come from Mariana Perez-Mora with Bank of America.

speaker
Operator

You may now go ahead.

speaker
Mariana

Thank you. Good morning.

speaker
Operator

Morning, Mariana.

speaker
Mariana

First, could you please update us on how is the M&A pipeline? What are you looking for? Is it active now?

speaker
spk04

Is it pricing?

speaker
Kerry Smith

Oh, M&A. Thanks, Brianna. Yeah, the M&A pipeline is still very strong. We continue to have strong criteria from a financial perspective. We're looking for companies that are going to have growth of greater than 10% on the top line and greater than 10% EBITDA margin. We've expanded our outreach, and we're looking at companies in both the federal and the critical infrastructure segment, and we have a robust candidate list in each. And we're still looking for companies that keep us focused on our strategic vision of becoming a strong solutions integrator that's differentiated by advanced technology.

speaker
Mariana

Thank you. And how do you think about interest rate environment and uncertainty when you look at these deals?

speaker
Dave

Yeah, I'm happy to take that one, Mariana. So, you know, obviously everybody's dealing with higher interest rates. I would say at the company level, we're still, you know, from an average interest rate expense, we're still in the high twos, low threes after our term loan. So I feel really good about where we're at as a company. We'll continue to, you know, make an assessment on what makes sense and look at accretive acquisitions as Kerry mentioned.

speaker
Mariana

Thanks. And if I may, last one related to the quarter. Organic growth in your updated guidance is 7% organic growth, but that compares to about like 9% year-to-date. What is the main factor for deceleration in fourth quarter?

speaker
Kerry Smith

Yeah, great question. We tend to have seasonality in the fourth quarter largely on our FAA contracts And then we're also faced with holidays and vacations increased during the fourth quarter. And the third area would be we had a peak period for Kwajalein. We had some major deliveries in Q3, so that'll come down slightly in the fourth quarter.

speaker
Mariana

Thank you very much.

speaker
Kerry Smith

Thank you.

speaker
Mary

Our next question will come from Toby Sommer with Truist.

speaker
Carrie

You may now go ahead. Thank you. Good morning. With respect to the federal contracting environment, we've heard from some others that there may have been an opportunity for spending from last year's budget with some of the two-year money to flow into the December quarter contracting. So do you think that the December quarter could be not as good as the final fiscal of the federal government, but sort of above average this year? And do you have a sort of a baseline expectation for how long we're in a CR?

speaker
Kerry Smith

If I could answer the last one, I should get a big prize. But I would say I hope the CR will end this year and that we can continue. I think it's critically important. We've all got, every company, a lot of important mission work that we've got to deliver because So I really hope that we can get through that this year. I would say it's the longest we would expect it to go into Q1. On the first part of your question, Toby, what we have right now is about $7 billion awaiting notice of award. We do hope that we start to see those awards move forward. We have a very strong quality pipeline within those $7 billion. I would love to see many of those awarded before the end of the year. We also have about $388 billion tied up in protests. That's all federal work as well. So again, we'd like to see some resolution on that. And in the meantime, what we're going to continue to do is what we've been doing very well all year is driving work to our single award contracts that we have over $6 billion of ceiling that is unused that we haven't booked yet.

speaker
Carrie

I wanted to ask sort of a maybe a medium-term question, at least multi-year. From a growth perspective, over the last year or more, critical infrastructure has re-accelerated. What does this do? What are the financial implications in terms of equity earnings and or DSO as that business accelerates? And I give those two examples, but consider it open-ended in terms of what the financial implications of accelerated growth and critical infrastructure mean.

speaker
Kerry Smith

Yeah, I'll take the first part, Matt. I'll take the DSO. To come back, I think I said on our protest, Toby, $388 billion. It should be $388 million that we have in protest. Regarding multi-year with critical infrastructure accelerating, so equity and earnings is predominantly for us legacy critical infrastructure programs where we used to be a minority partner. So you will start to see equity and earnings go down over time because we've re-pivoted the business and focused on our core, which is engineering design, as well as complex program management. And the purpose of this is to de-risk the portfolio and get back to areas where we know we can drive stronger margins. Matt, you want to address the DSO?

speaker
Dave

Yeah, Toby, I would say it's something we're definitely looking at. I think we're going to continue to push the teams to drive DSO down. I think there's opportunities. Obviously, Middle East is a little bit longer in terms of cash collections, but there's opportunity to push the teams. The customers want to pay their bills. So there's opportunities from billings, improvements, and things like that. So I don't think it'll be a significant impact. We've modeled out 2023 already and feel like it's a comparable GSO-type number for next year.

speaker
Carrie

And then as you look at your capital allocation with respect to acquisitions, do you – see more opportunity in any particular side of the business?

speaker
Kerry Smith

Yes, so on M&A, we continue to be focused on the near-peer threat, and we're looking at areas where we can drive the cyberspace, electromagnetic spectrum, and information warfare convergence to be able to fight that type of war. That would be our priority, and that's all the companies that you look at over the past five years have been aligned towards that vision. On the critical infrastructure side of the house, we're looking at technology differentiation. As we start to build back the infrastructure, it's going to be done differently. In the past, it was designed for about a 30 to 35-year lifespan. In the future, it's going to be designed for about a 100-year lifespan. So technology is critically important. Then the other area, which ties back to the infrastructure funding, is out of the $550 billion of new funding, there's $115 billion of cyber and resiliency. So any component that gets built is going to have to have cyber and resiliency. And given our portfolio, we're in a unique position to capitalize on that.

speaker
spk04

Thank you very much.

speaker
Mary

Thanks.

speaker
Operator

Our next question will come from Josh Sullivan with the Benchmark Company. You may now go ahead.

speaker
Josh Sullivan

Good morning. Good morning, Josh. Just on the Middle Eastern projects you're highlighting, what does labor availability look like in the region relative to the contract flow you're looking at?

speaker
Kerry Smith

Yeah, great question. So we've been doing a great job of hiring in the Middle East. We bring in folks from over 35 countries around the world. So we've had an expansive network. And I think the reason that we've been largely successful, we've done business there for over 60 years. extremely well established across the region. And in Saudi Arabia in particular, we've had a joint venture company in place for many decades. So we know how to outreach to the right type of personnel. What we've been looking for immediately is getting very strong program management. These are first-of-a-kind, unique projects that have never been done. So it's an exciting time for people to take on that challenge and also for engineers to come over and work on those programs.

speaker
Josh Sullivan

All right. And then how should we think of the contract cycles in the Middle East versus the North American market? Any material dynamics we should think about as that region grows in importance for you? And I think you mentioned longer cycles on cash collection, but anything else we should think about?

speaker
Kerry Smith

Yeah, I would say what we've seen recently is shorter cycles on acquisition. You know, they've moved some of these programs to the left, which has really benefited us. And a lot of it is in Saudi. To capitalize on Saudi Vision 2030, And how do they basically reduce their dependency on oil? And to be able to do that, they need to keep the young Saudi people working, employed, motivated, having things to do. So they're building these new cities for places where people can work, but also tourism centers, recreational centers. So we think that's going to continue again for the next decade to help Saudi.

speaker
spk04

Thank you for the time.

speaker
Mary

Thank you, Josh.

speaker
Operator

Our next question will come from Ty von Rumer with Cohen. You may now go ahead.

speaker
Ty von Rumer

Yes, thank you so much. I'm joining a little bit late, but two questions. First one is, as you know, the occupancy ceiling at DOD was lifted on September the 14th. And secondly, yesterday on the Leidos call, they discussed congressional approval of Bill Bill LaPlante as being a plus to get some of these awards flowing. What are you seeing in terms of the flow of awards? Is that picking up? And do you think those two pluses would outweigh the potential impact of a CR? Thank you.

speaker
Kerry Smith

Thank you, Kai. I think they're both positive changes. The occupancy lift, getting people back working is very important to get things moving. Bill LaPlante, we have a great relationship with him, as do others in industry. I think he's been very positive. I would also highlight the fact, you know, we added Eleanor to our board recently, which I think was a significant addition who previously held that role. But I would say, yes, we're optimistic that we're going to see things moving forward on the federal side, and I think our testament to that would be 1.11 booked a bill for federal this quarter.

speaker
Ty von Rumer

Are you seeing any signs since the end of the third quarter that things are picking up on the federal side?

speaker
Kerry Smith

I would say a little too early to tell. What we are seeing is our ability still to be able to drive task orders to our unused ceiling.

speaker
Ty von Rumer

Great. And then the last one. So in the Mideast, as you know, the U.S. relationship with Saudi has started to see a little bit more strain. Is that having any impact on your business there or do you expect that to be a threat in any way?

speaker
Kerry Smith

No, we don't expect it to be a threat. In fact, the type of work that we do there is good for the world because we're basically developing cities and places of employment for the young Saudis to go work in entertainment centers. So I would say, no, we do not expect any change. We've had that business there for six decades. It's been very solid. And based on the type of work we do there, that will continue.

speaker
Ty von Rumer

Terrific. Thank you so much.

speaker
Kerry Smith

Thanks, Kai. Thanks, Kai.

speaker
Mary

Again, if you have a question, please press star then 1.

speaker
Operator

Our next question will come from Louis DePalma with William Blair. You may now go ahead.

speaker
Louis DePalma

Carrie, Matt, and Dave, good morning.

speaker
Matt

Morning, Louis. Good morning, Louis.

speaker
Louis DePalma

Hiring and retention, has been particularly strong for the past several quarters. Do you know approximately how much headcount has increased over the past year?

speaker
Kerry Smith

Yeah, we have not shared that specifically, but I'll give you the percentages. 30% quarter over quarter from Q3 last year to Q3 this year. And then for the first nine months of this year, we're up 46%. We also, through the first nine months, have already exceeded all of our total 2021 hiring.

speaker
Louis DePalma

Great. Thanks, Carrie. And you referenced winning a new $177 million contract for the FAA's technical support program. And you've mentioned in the past how your contract has been up for renewal. And what is the status of that renewal? And if you were to win such a contract, would the full amount go into backlog? And the reason I'm wondering is backlog is often scrutinized by analysts and your backlog is down year over year, but it seems to be artificially low because of this contract. So I'm just wondering... the different dynamics here with this FAA contract?

speaker
Kerry Smith

Yes, so first, the status of the repeat is the bids are in evaluation. We expect an award decision to be made sometime first or second quarter of next year. From our perspective of the backlog, again, we don't put everything fully into backlog. So a great example I'll give you is our team's missile defense agency contract. You know, that was $2.24 billion. We only put in backlog $618 million. So we would likely take a similar conservative approach on the FAA, and that's the same conservative approach that we took on these two Middle East jobs I referenced where we only booked the first year and a half. In addition, our funded backlog is up sequentially, and that's really what we look at.

speaker
Louis DePalma

Great. And one final one, Carrie, you said, mentioned how you recently visited your customer in the Middle East and you also saw pretty exceptional growth from that customer this quarter. Is there a pipeline of new opportunities for the futuristic cities that are being built that can cause your revenue run rate in the Middle East to continue to trend higher?

speaker
Kerry Smith

Yes, there definitely is, Louis. There's a series, mostly I'm going to say in Saudi, but also the UAE. Saudi has all these giga projects, and we were very fortunate. A couple of years ago, we got on the ground floor of the Neom Oxygen with that award, and we've been able to continue our success with the next two industrial cities. We have a very robust pipeline in Saudi, but I would also say in the UAE, where we're doing quite a bit of urban development work, for companies such as EMAR would be one great example. But robust pipeline there.

speaker
Louis DePalma

Sounds good. Thanks, Carrie, Matt, and Dave.

speaker
Kerry Smith

Thanks, Louie.

speaker
Mary

Our next question will come from Gavin Parsons with Goldman Sachs.

speaker
Operator

You may now go ahead.

speaker
Matt

Hey, good morning.

speaker
Operator

Morning, Gavin.

speaker
Matt

Kerry, you sized some of the total project numbers for those Middle East gigacities that you guys booked, I think maybe 120 million. How much of that total overall number is program management and how much of that is maybe sole source to you? So I guess the question is what's the addressable spend there and is that kind of front end loaded or spread over the lifetime of the city build?

speaker
Kerry Smith

So I don't have a specific percent on how much will go towards program management because these are such long-term programs. They're starting now, but these are going to be decade-long programs. What I can tell you is they're using a new model. It's called an integrated delivery partner model. So they will be announcing the selection of three companies for each of the projects that I mentioned. So sole source, you know, now that we've been awarded, the work will basically be split among the three companies for those

speaker
Matt

Okay, did you give timing on the 120 million contracts that you've already booked?

speaker
Kerry Smith

Well, they've started. We're already working on those.

speaker
Matt

Is that one year duration?

speaker
Kerry Smith

One and a half year duration is for the 120. Got it.

speaker
Matt

Okay, cool. And then I think you said that NCI and critical infrastructure is going to trend lower over time. I think this quarter is one of the biggest you've had in a while and drove the majority of the sequential step up in margin. Can you just help bridge the margin drivers from kind of that core critical infrastructure margin in the mid-single digits today, you know, ex-NCI, to, you know, the higher than 9% that you said, you know, can surpass federal at some point?

speaker
Kerry Smith

Yep. So I think what the key drivers first are, we've had these legacy programs, and once these get off our books – We're down to two of those now. The third one already is complete and it's a fully operational. So we have two programs we got to wrap up. One of them will wrap up second quarter next year. The other one at the end of next year to early 2024. So that will help us alone. Improved performance execution as we get closer to the end of these. We have a lot more visibility. So I think that's going to help expand our margins. And I talked earlier about the pricing strength that we're going to get from the global infrastructure spend. That'll be significant. We're bidding higher margin work as we move along, given the fact that we've got that pricing strength.

speaker
spk04

Thank you. Thank you. Thanks, Kevin.

speaker
Operator

That is all the time we have for questions. I would like to turn the conference back over to Dave Spilly for any closing remarks.

speaker
Dave Spilly

Thank you. Thanks for joining us this morning. If you have any questions, please don't hesitate to give me a call. We look forward to speaking with many of you over the coming weeks. And with that, we'll end today's call.

speaker
spk04

Have a great day.

speaker
Mary

The conference is now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.

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