Phillips 66

Q3 2022 Earnings Conference Call

11/1/2022

spk10: Welcome to the third quarter 2022 Phillips 66 Earnings Conference call. My name is Sylvie and I will be your operator for today's call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question and answer session. Please note that this conference is being recorded. I will now turn the call over to Jeff Tietert, Vice President, Investor Relations. Jeff, you may begin.
spk06: Good morning, and welcome to Phillips' 66th Third Quarter Earnings Conference Call. Participants on today's call include Mark Lazor, President and CEO, Kevin Mitchell, EVP and CFO, Brian Mandel, EVP, Marketing and Commercial, Tim Roberts, EVP, Midstream and Chemicals, and Rich Harbison, SVP, Refining. Today's presentation material can be found on the investor relations section of the Phillips 66 website, along with supplemental financial and operating information. We provided supplemental information this morning for chemicals, refining, and marketing in midstream. The remaining supplemental information will be available with the 10Q filing. We'll return to the normal supplemental release next quarter. Slide two contains our safe harbor statement. We will be making forward-looking statements during today's call. Actual results may differ materially from today's comments. Factors that could cause actual results to differ are included here, as well as in our SEC filings. Before we begin our discussion, I would like to highlight that we will be hosting an investor day in New York on November 9th. With that, I'll turn the call over to Mark.
spk05: Thanks, Jeff. Our third quarter results reflect the continued favorable market environment and our strong operating performance. We ran at high rates during the summer driving season to meet peak demand for critical transportation fuel. Our refining business delivered improved market capture this quarter, supported by strong distillate cracks and wider discounts for heavy sour crews. In the third quarter, we had adjusted earnings of $3.1 billion, or $6.46 per cent. $6.46 per share. We generated $3.1 billion in operating cash flow. We're committed to strong shareholder distributions. During the quarter, we ramped up share repurchases in a meaningful way, purchasing almost $700 million of common stock. Including dividends, we returned $1.2 billion to shareholders. During the quarter, we continued to focus on operating excellence and advancing our strategic priorities. Our enterprise-wide business transformation is underway. The team is implementing key initiatives to deliver results. We look forward to providing more details at our Investor Day next week. In midstream, we realigned our economic and governance interests in DCP Midstream LP and Grey Oak Pipeline LLC. Our economic interest in DCP Midstream increased to 43%, and our economic interest in Grey Oak Pipeline decreased to 6.5%. At the same time, we made an offer to acquire all publicly held common units of DCP Midstream LP. Our increased interest in DCP Midstream allows for further integration and optimization across our NGL business. The well-headed market value chain structure will allow us to capture new commercial opportunities and optimize costs. Additionally, we started up FRAC4 at the Sweeney Hub on time and under budget. In October, FRAC4 achieved full run rates, bringing our total Sweeney Hub fractionation capacity to 550,000 barrels per day. CP Chem is pursuing a portfolio of high-return projects, enhancing its asset base as well as optimizing its existing operations. This includes growing its normal alpha-olefins business with a second world-scale unit to produce one hexene, a critical component in high-performance polyethylene. The unit is being constructed at CPCAM's Old Ocean, Texas facility and will produce 586 million pounds per year. CPCAM is also building a new propylene splitter at its Cedar Bayou facility, which will expand its capacity by 1 billion pounds per year. Both the one hexene and propylene splitter projects are expected to start up in the second half of 2023. TP Chem continues to develop two world-scale petrochemical facilities on the U.S. Gulf Coast and in Ras Laffan, Qatar. A final investment decision for the U.S. Gulf Coast project is expected before the end of this year. In refining, we're converting our San Francisco refinery into one of the world's largest renewable fuels facilities. The Rodeo Renewed project is expected to cost approximately $850 million and begin commercial operations in the first quarter of 2024. Upon completion, Rodeo will have over 50,000 barrels per day of renewable fuels production capacity. Now I'll turn the call over to Kevin to review the financial results.
spk14: Thank you, Mark, and hello, everyone. Before I talk about the financials, let me begin by summarizing the accounting impacts of DCP Midstream. On August 17th, we completed the merger of DCP Midstream LLC and Grey Oak Pipeline LLC. In connection with the transaction, we were delegated governance rights over DCP Midstream LP and its general partner entities, as well as DCP Sandhills Pipeline LLC and DCP Southern Hills Pipeline LLC. Effective August 18th, our financial results reflect the consolidation of these entities. So starting with an overview on slide four, we summarize these financial results. We reported third quarter earnings of $5.4 billion. We had special items amounting to an after-tax gain of $2.3 billion, including the net gain related to the consolidation of DCP Midstream, Sandhills Pipeline, and Southern Hills Pipeline, and the transfer of interest in Gray Oak Pipeline. Excluding special items, adjusted earnings were $3.1 billion, or $6.46 per share. The $33 million decrease in the fair value of our investment in Novonix reduced earnings per share by 5 cents. We generated $3.1 billion of operating cash flow. Capital spending for the quarter was $735 million, including the company's $306 million investment in DCP Midstream LLC associated with the merger net of cash acquired. We returned $1.2 billion to shareholders through $466 million of dividends and $694 million of share repurchases. We ended the quarter with 473 million shares outstanding. Moving to slide five. This slide highlights the change in adjusted results by segment from the second quarter to the third quarter, including the impacts of consolidating DCP midstream, Sandhills Pipeline, and Southern Hills Pipeline effective August 18th. The midstream segment, corporate and other, income taxes, and non-controlling interests are impacted by the consolidations. The higher non-controlling interest reflects the portion of these entities not owned by Phillips 66. During the period, adjusted earnings decreased $163 million, mostly due to lower results in refining and chemicals, partially offset by higher midstream and marketing and specialties results. Slide 6 shows our midstream results. Third quarter adjusted pre-tax income was $645 million, compared with $292 million in the previous quarter. The consolidation of DCP midstream results are now reported within NGL and other. Transportation contributed adjusted pre-tax income of $229 million, down $21 million from the prior quarter. The decrease was mainly due to lower equity earnings from the Grey Oak pipeline resulting from the merger. NGL and other adjusted pre-tax income was $449 million, compared with $282 million in the second quarter. The increase was primarily due to the consolidation of DCP Midstream, Sandhills Pipeline, and Southern Hills Pipeline, effective August 18th. The fractionators at the Sweeney Hub averaged 429,000 barrels per day, and the Freeport LPG export facility loaded 249,000 barrels per day in the third quarter. Our Novonix investment is mark-to-market at the end of each reporting period. The fair value of the investment, including foreign exchange impacts, decreased $33 million in the third quarter, compared with a decrease of $240 million in the second quarter. Turning to chemicals on slide 7. Chemicals had third quarter adjusted pre-tax income of $135 million, compared with $273 million in the previous quarter. Olfins and polyolefins adjusted pre-tax income with $105 million. The $111 million decrease from the previous quarter was primarily due to lower margins, resulting from a sharp decline in polyethylene prices. This was partially offset by lower turnaround costs. Global O&P utilization. was 90% for the quarter. Adjusted pre-tax income for SANS was $60 million in line with the second quarter. The higher costs in other mainly reflect legal contingencies. During the third quarter, we received $41 million in cash distributions from CP Chem. Turning to refining on slide eight. Refining third quarter adjusted pre-tax income was $2.8 billion, down from $3.1 billion in the second quarter. The decrease was primarily due to lower realized margins, partially offset by higher volumes. Our realized margins decreased by 6% to $26.58 per barrel, while the composite global 3-2-1 market crack decreased by 22%. VTAC's turnaround costs were $225 million, in line with the previous quarter. Pre-utilization was 91% in the third quarter, and clean product yield was 85%. Slide 9 covers market capture. Our composite global 3-2-1 market crack for the third quarter was $36.29 per barrel compared to $46.72 per barrel in the second quarter. Realized margin was $26.58 per barrel and resulted in overall market capture of 73%. Market capture in the previous quarter was 61%. Market capture is impacted by the configuration of our refineries. we have a higher distillate yield and lower gasoline yield than the 3-2-1 market indicator. During the third quarter, the distillate crack decreased $8.14 per barrel and the gasoline crack decreased $11.84 per barrel. Losses from secondary products of $3.50 per barrel were $0.47 per barrel higher than the previous quarter. Our feedstock loss of $1.48 per barrel was in line with the previous quarter. Feedstock advantage from widening heavy sour crude differentials was offset by the impact of higher feedstock costs relative to dated Brent in the Atlantic Basin. The other category reduced realized margins by $1.29 per barrel. This category includes RINs, freight costs, clean product realizations, and inventory impacts. Moving to marketing and specialties on slide 10. Adjusted third quarter pre-tax income was $847 million compared with $765 million in the prior quarter. Marketing and other adjusted pre-tax income was $717 million, up $61 million from the second quarter. The improvement reflects higher international margins, partially offset by lower domestic results, including inventory impacts. Specialties generated third quarter adjusted pre-tax income of $130 million. The $21 million increase was largely due to improved base oil margins. On slide 12, the corporate and other segment had adjusted pre-tax costs of $246 million, $11 million higher than the prior quarter. The increase was mainly due to consolidating DCP midstream interest expense of $34 million, partially offset by higher interest income. Slide 12 shows the change in cash during the third quarter. We started the quarter with a $2.8 billion cash balance. Cash from operations was $3.1 billion. During the quarter, we funded $735 million of capital spending, including the company's $306 million investment in DCP Midstream LLC associated with the merger, net of cash acquired. We returned $1.2 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. Our ending cash balance was $3.7 billion. We ended the quarter with a net debt-to-capital ratio of 29%, including the consolidation of DCP Midstream. This concludes my review of the financial and operating results. Next, I'll cover a few outlook items. In chemicals, we expect the fourth quarter global O&P utilization rate to be in the mid 90s. In refining, we expect the fourth quarter worldwide crude utilization rate to be in the low to mid 90s, and pre-tax turnaround expenses to be between $180 and $220 million. As a result of strong turnaround execution and timing, we expect full-year turnaround expenses to be lower than our original $800 to $900 million of guidance. We anticipate fourth quarter corporate and other costs to come in between $300 and $325 million pre-tax, reflecting a full quarter of DCP midstream interest expense. Now we will open the line for questions.
spk10: Thank you, sir. We will now begin the question and answer session. As we open the call for questions, As a courtesy to all participants, please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. If you have a question, please press star then 1 on your telephone keypad or touch-tone phone. If you wish to be removed from the queue, please press star 2. If you are using a speakerphone, you may need to pick up the handset before pressing the numbers. Once again, if you have a question, please press star 1 on your touch-tone phone. And your first question will be from Doug Leggett at the Bank of America. Please go ahead.
spk13: Thanks. Good morning, everyone. Thanks for taking my questions. Kevin, I wonder if I could just ask you about your thoughts on the balance sheet going forward. I mean, clearly you're back to, I guess, on a capitalization basis, you're back to pre-COVID levels pretty much. But the absolute debt, now you have DCP, is still about 30% up on where it was before the pandemic. the downturn. So how are you thinking about where you want the balance sheet to be going forward and how that might play into your cash return strategy?
spk14: Yeah, Doug, thanks. It's a good question. So we feel pretty good that even with consolidation of DCP, the debt to capital ratio net of cash is sub 30%. So we feel good about the metric from that standpoint. And also, if you just look at debt to EBITDA metrics, they're still very strong. But the reality is it's 17.8, circa $18 billion of debt on a fully consolidated basis. And so I think given the overall financial position we're in, the cash generation that we have, you'll see us continue to do some debt reduction. Bear in mind, we haven't yet funded the buy-in of the public. So that puts more pressure on the balance sheet, regardless of how we actually execute on that funding between debt and cash. And so we'll continue to want to make some debt reductions, but the difference now between where we were over the last couple of years when we were trying to get rid of the pandemic debt that we had added is we don't need to make debt reduction the number one priority for discretionary cash. Cash generation cash balances are sufficient that we'll be able to do some, you know, gradually chip away at the debt balance and at the same time continue to return a healthy amount of cash to shareholders.
spk13: I'm trying hard, Kevin, not to ask anything that I know you won't answer, given that you've got the analyst today. So I'm avoiding some of the obvious things, but I do want to try one that really came up in the last, the call that preceded this one with Marathon, and it's the issue of about the industry or senior management's view of mid-cycle. And Marathon were quite clear to say, look, they think mid-cycle has moved up. You guys used to talk about, I guess, $6 to $7 billion of mid-cycle cash flow. Again, not pre-empting next week, but can you maybe offer, whether Mark or anyone else, how you feel about the go-forward outlook for mid-cycle earnings for this business, the refining businesses?
spk05: Yeah, Doug, we are going to cover that a bit next week. I think that there's two things to take into consideration there. Has the market mid-cycle moved and has our ability to generate EBITDA moved? And certainly the piece that we control, we know will be moving and we'll provide details next week. And as far as the market, we're still watching that to see how that evolves. But we'll be more focused on what we're doing to drive our mid-cycle going forward.
spk13: I understand. We'll wait until next week. Thank you, guys.
spk10: Thank you. Next question will be from Neil Mehta at Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead. Your line is open.
spk07: Yeah, good morning, team. I wanted to start off on the waterfall on slide 20 of the deck in the central corridor. Really exceptional capture rates in that region. And I was wondering if there's anything unusual in there, if there's something structural that we should capitalize. As I know, that other bucket can move around a bunch. And how much did WCS help this quarter, or given the fact that it typically comes in at a lag, is that more of a 4Q tailwind?
spk05: Neil, we're very pleased with the Central Corridor performance. There are a number of factors that differentiated the second quarter to the third quarter and a number of things that happened in the third quarter. I'll let Rich dive into the details around that.
spk15: Okay, Mark. Hey, Neil. Good question. And yes, the MidCon Central Corridor had a very good quarter. Let me start by resetting the basis for the second quarter. Second quarter for us was a heavy turnaround in this region. So a lot of the difference you're seeing is the lack of turnarounds in the third quarter. Our mechanical availability during the third quarter was very good. We had high utilizations sitting at around 93% and strong clean product yields sitting at 88% for the corridor. So good performance on both of those. Of course, those directly relate to increased volumes. And with the lack of turnarounds, we had a lot lower operating expense for the quarter as well. As you indicated as well, Neil, the market conditions were quite favorable for our kit. We saw a widening Canadian spreads, which are quite favorable for us, as well as a very strong distillate crack in the region. And that also plays well for our kit, which is a strong distillate producer. I think what you're seeing here is a strong operating performance and favorable market conditions playing out for us in the third quarter.
spk07: Yeah. And maybe we could stay on that point around Western Canadian crude. It has been pretty wide here. It's widened out in the curve for 23 as well. So we'd love your guys' perspective on what you think is going on there. And given it does tend to come in at a lag, should we see a disproportionate impact of that tailwind in Q4?
spk02: Hey there, Neil. This is Brian. I'll start by saying that WCS started weakening with PAD 2 unplanned maintenance. WCS was forced into the Gulf Coast and then forced to compete with SPR barrels. We've released about 180 million barrels of SPR crude. Most of that has been sour, so it competed with WCS. Hyso for fuel oil has also been weak, and it competes as well. given weaker bunker demand and the end of summer utility burn. And also, generally, the WCS is purchased by Asia and India, and they were out buying Urals, Russian crude, so they weren't buying as much. And finally, WCS has a high NAFTA cut, and that NAFTA has been very, very weak because of the chemicals business, so that was also a cause of pressure. You know, currently WCS is at about $30 differential. Q4, if you look at the forward curve, is about $26 off, and next year is about $23 off. So we assume that it will continue to be weak, and the market players also feel the same way. Thanks, guys. Thanks, Neal.
spk10: Thank you. Next question is from Roger Reed at Wells Fargo. Please go ahead. Your line is open.
spk01: Yeah, thank you. Good morning. I guess I'd like to maybe take a shot here at the chemical side of things. So obviously kind of the softer results and, you know, coming off what was an impressive sort of 21, early 22 run. mentioned fid for the gulf coast and then also the the ross lafon opportunity does the weakness in chemicals here at all imperil your timing on decision of fid or does it have any impact whatsoever thanks roger that's that's a great question i think that you know cp came has a long history of focusing on the long-term fundamentals and they've never tried to time
spk05: any particular cycle, cyclic movements to drive their growth plans. They've always focused on capturing advantage feedstocks and maintain their global market presence. And that's what they're doing here as well. Frankly, if you look back in history, the projects that have just happened to be countercyclical where the investments made when there was a downturn, they tend to come online when things are turning back up and that's beneficial to the economics. It looks like that may be the case here. You can never predict when things will turn around, but it'll take about four years to execute each of those projects. And so, yeah, it'll be, what does the crystal ball say out in that timeframe? But we focus on those long-term fundamentals and what we see as kind of a mid-cycle margin for those opportunities.
spk01: That makes sense. And then my other question on the marketing business is, You had an exceptional Q2 and now an even more exceptional Q3. Any kind of background on what's going on there and are the fundamentals that created the last two quarters showing any signs of reversing here?
spk02: Sure, Roger. Brian again. Maybe I'll start by saying that our diverse geographic portfolio with business both here in the U.S. and in Western Europe and our diverse channels of trade. We have unbranded, branded, and retail help us when we think about our marketing business. But Q3, a number of things that we saw that helped the business in Germany. There was a tax holiday starting in January 1st and ending at the end of August. Also overseas, the low Rhine and the one Austrian refinery down actually helped us and generally helps us We have alternative supply at Miro, a refinery there in the south of Germany, which helps us, particularly in the south of Germany. And our exchange agreement terms also give us a competitive advantage. We had the general falling of spot prices, which helped us. Shortage of Russian distillate in the market as well helped us internationally. And then I would say, conversely, in the U.S., we actually saw margins come off in Q3 from Q2. But overall, we had a very good quarter.
spk00: Okay, great. Thank you.
spk10: Thank you. Next question will be from Ryan Todd at Piper Sandler. Please go ahead. Your line is open.
spk11: Thanks. Maybe if I could ask one on kind of Atlantic Basin dynamics. European refining, you're exposed to European refining. It's been a lot of volatility in recent months there with natural gas prices. The systems have had to adjust and have adjusted a decent amount. Looking forward, you've got a crude import ban that's about to go into effect and then potentially a product import ban early next year. Any thoughts as you look forward to how these dynamics play out, both for your asset and the region overall, and how this may impact Atlantic Basin balances over the next six months?
spk05: Yeah, this is Mark. I'll come in at a high level, then I'll let Rich and Brian follow up. But I think generally those are constructive for us. I think it could It could strengthen our position, particularly around distillates. And it's going from strength to strength. But I will let Brian and Rich comment on the details.
spk02: Well, maybe I'll start with the macro, and Rich can talk more about our assets. But clearly, the market around the world is tight, particularly on distillates. In the US, we're under 2015 to 2019 ranges by 22% inventories. It was a very, very weak inventories, given that we're starting to go into the winter season. Refineries around the world are making diesel over gasoline currently. So there are a lot of things that may take some of the edge off and alleviate some of the stress on the market. First, around the world, we're coming back from turnarounds here in the US and elsewhere. The Chinese have increased their quotas, so you'll see more gasoline and diesel on the market in Asia. The French refinery strikes are coming to an end, so those refineries will be back up. And then we're seeing a kind of moderate weather forecast for both the U.S. and for Europe. So why would you expect the margins to remain strong? And I think the ultimate moderator for those margins will be demand.
spk15: Yeah, this is Rich. I really don't have much to add to that other than know from a refining perspective you know of course the natural gas price will drive up our operating expenses and we will see higher feedstock cost as as this market evolves here and into the future and these sanctions go into play so how that all sells out will be interesting great thanks and then i don't this this may you know step into what you you plan on talking about next week but um regarding the
spk11: you know, the buy-in of the remainder of DCP. I don't know if you have any comment on potential timing for closure deal there, but beyond that, maybe a reminder of how you're thinking about the incremental benefits of the kind of the consolidated position there, you know, either from a financial free cash flow point of view or operational synergies that come along with closure of that deal and how that may impact your ability to
spk05: um to buy back stock in the in the near term in the longer term at a high level uh ryan that the process is underway uh we are negotiating with independent directors that represent the unit holders and uh i'll just say that we need to let that process play out it's uh it's better to get the right number than to get a quick number uh and as far as the the strategic uh dynamics Tim can talk more about that, but it really is about driving this well-head-to-market strategy that we really believe will create a lot of long-term value and opportunity for Phillips 66. Tim, do you want to comment on that?
spk04: Yeah, I think that's right. Mark, thanks. Exactly right. I think there's a couple things I wanted to make a point is that we do believe in integration, no different than what we see in our integration in our reclining, marketing, commercial business, and midstream. We see the same thing in the NGO natural gas space. So this allows us to set up that framework to do that, especially in key basins, namely Permian and DJ. So we really like that. But I think it's probably also worth commenting on that, yeah, we want to get the buy-in done and get that behind us and really capture that full value. But really the important part for us, and we've already started the integration. So we are starting the integration and we are pushing down the road as well. to identify what the opportunities are going to be that really are going to position this both from a cost standpoint as well as the ability to compete and create more value, which we're, you know, as soon as we get the buy-in done, we can talk a lot more about what that potential is going to be.
spk11: Great. Thank you.
spk10: Thank you. Next question will be from John Royal at JPMorgan. Go ahead. Your line is open.
spk12: Hey, guys. Good morning. Thanks for taking my question. So on the buyback, I think we'll probably have to wait until post-DCP to have a real kind of go forward framework. But for now, you did have a pretty big number in 3Q that I think surprised some people. And so can you talk about the short term kind of push pull between the buyback and then maybe conserving cash for the upcoming deal with DCP and how you think about that?
spk05: At a high level, John, we are committed to buybacks. We had to hold back in the second quarter due to a blackout period. And so that kind of held us back for a bit. But what you saw last quarter is just a signal that we are serious about buybacks. And I'll let Kevin talk about the balance between what it will require to execute the the roll-up of DCP versus share repurchases, but we have got a solid plan and like a broken record, I'll say you'll hear more about it at Investor Day.
spk14: Yeah, John. So in terms of the DCP roll-up, our expectation is that will be a combination of debt issuance and cash on hand we will use to fund that. And to my earlier comments, I feel pretty confident that with where the balance sheet sits, with the cash position we have, with the cash generation we have, we will be able to manage that in terms of, yes, we will want to subsequently reduce debt, but with the overall cash position, we should be in a position to continue to return significant amounts of cash to shareholders. So I'm not too concerned that the DCP transaction is going to negatively impact our ability to buy back shares.
spk12: Okay, thank you. And then apologies to repeat a prior question, but it was just thinking through your commentary on the strength and central corridor and correct me if I'm wrong, but I'm not sure if the things you guys talked about necessarily address the other bar flipping from negative eight to positive 450 going from two Q to three Q. So apologies if I missed this, but if you could go through the dynamics in that other bar specifically, that would be really helpful.
spk15: Okay, let's see. In the other bar in the Atlantic or in the Central Coast area, we're really looking at some rent costs in there and some inventory timing issues are the two primary drivers of that bar there. John.
spk12: Okay, thank you.
spk10: Thank you. Next question will be from Matthew Blair at TPH. Please go ahead. Your line is open.
spk03: Hey, good morning. Thanks for taking my question. The CHEMS results came down, but they really outperformed peers in the third quarter. Is this just as simple as, you know, you don't have Europe exposure and pretty much all your peers do? Was there anything else that we should look at? And I guess what's your outlook for... for Q4?
spk05: Thanks, Matt. That's a great question. We've talked to the folks at CP Chem about that. I think part of it is that lack of European capacity, though. The Middle East assets do supply a lot of volume into Europe, but they continue to perform well. The interesting thing is Others have had to cut back production in North America. CP Chem continues strong production. They had some unplanned outage, but no intentional cutbacks. And I think that reflects their cost position. They didn't have to cut back to contain inventory. They didn't have to cut back due to economics. They ran strong and were profitable. part of that is is they're you know they're heavy into high density polyethylene and the dynamics they're a little different than linear low density polyethylene and those that were cutting back were more exposed to that segment of the market so i think they're while no one's having any fun in that environment right now they are positioned a little to be a little more productive during this difficult time and then as far as the the fourth quarter fourth quarter Yeah, it's typically soft and we continue to see this new capacity that's coming online being digested. Margins have gone down. Marker margins have gone down to just about the break point. So I think as you see people that have cut back, as you see them signaling to the market that they need prices to go up in polyethylene to continue to provide what is needed in the marketplace. It's sounding, feeling like it's kind of hit bottom. We'll probably see it hit bottom in the fourth quarter and then slowly recover. It'll take a couple more quarters to really see a lot of movement upward, but I think you're seeing those signs of bottoming out.
spk03: Sounds good. And then, could you talk about octane spreads? They've been really quite strong recently. Is this just a function of Tier 3 impacts rolling through the market? And could you also remind me on what Phillips' exposure to premium gasoline is? Thanks.
spk02: Yeah. Generally, when you have weak NAFTA, Matt, you have high or large octane spreads, and NAFTA's been very, very weak, so gasoline blenders, need the octane to blend into the gasoline to make a finish grade. And I would say that most, like most marketers were about 11 or 12% on our premium in our marketing business.
spk03: Great. Thank you.
spk10: Thank you. Next question will be from Paul Chang at Scotiabank. Please go ahead. Your line is open.
spk09: Hi, good morning. Good morning. Two question please. First, With the latest news from Biden talking about to punish the oil industry with the windfall profit tax, just wondering that your people in D.C., when they talk to the senator, what's your guess is whether that there will be sufficient vote in the Senate for them to pass that if the president does propose one? The second question is that I want to see what is your Audi strategy, renewable diesel strategy, beyond the retail conversion that you're currently doing. The first phase will come on stream soon, and then full completion probably in 2024. that want to see that beyond that, if that is going to be one-off or that's a more maybe that strategy going forward on that. Thank you.
spk05: Yeah, thanks, Paul. This is Mark. Your first question, we've been, along with the rest of our peers in the industry, engaged with the Biden administration around the challenges that they see in the marketplace. And it's earnings season. A lot of integrated oils are coming out with very, very solid results. And I think that's the target of the president's latest comments. You know, our view is when we get off of the, you know, the public rhetoric and engage with them to address the issues of inventories and supply and cost and price, It's been constructive, and they know that they have to proceed with caution because things that they try to do could disrupt the markets even more. And they are listening, and they are taking into account the advice that we've been giving them along with our peers. You have to remember that there's an election next week, and I think that there's going to be a lot of rhetoric right up to that point in time.
spk10: Thank you. Next question will be... Oh, I'm sorry, Paul.
spk05: I was so focused on that first question, I forgot to answer your second question, Paul. Renewable diesel strategy. Obviously, the first step is the successful execution and commissioning of the Rodeo Renewed Project. We've put our toe in the water there with a small unit at the San Francisco refinery. We call it Unit 250. That's been quite successful in the marketplace. We are involved in in aggregating feedstocks both in preparation for Rodeo as well as our Humber facility where we're producing renewable fuels there, including sustainable aviation fuel. Rodeo will provide some sustainable aviation fuel as well. And so we kind of look at that business as renewable fuels, not just renewable diesel. And we're taking a hard look at options around sustainable aviation fuels, certainly the RA Act was supportive of SAF, and we've got some thoughts there that we're looking at. Bottom line is whatever we do, we're going to be incredibly disciplined, and we've got to ensure that we've got a competitive advantage when we go off in these directions, that we've got a line of sight on feedstocks, and that we've got the right capital cost when we execute these projects. So that's the primary focus, not just getting bigger but being better in every one of those things that we do.
spk10: Thank you, sir. Our last question is from Jason Gabelman at Cowen. Please go ahead. Your line is open.
spk08: Hey, thanks for taking my questions. I just wanted to ask on the cash flow, since you didn't provide some of the detail that you typically do on the cash flow walk. Can you just discuss some of the items that impacted your cash flow operations? working capital and otherwise that could have impacted cash conversion. And then secondly, there were some, and this may be front-running, something that you may discuss next week, but there were some reports about reducing headcount and optimizing the workforce. Can you just discuss any plans that you have around doing that and improvement in cost as a result? Thanks.
spk05: Yeah, Kevin will touch on the cash flow detail. I'll talk about those reports on headcount.
spk14: Yeah, Jason, in terms of operating cash flow, that detail will be available next week at the time, early next week when we file the 10-Q. But what I would say, I know there's a lot of interest in working capital And we're still finalizing that level of detail. But what I would say is, based on everything we've seen to date, we don't think that working capital was a very significant component of operating cash flow. So there'll be a working capital impact, but it'll be pretty minor relative to some of the other numbers that you have seen out there. And I'll just leave it at that.
spk05: Yeah, Jason, on the headcount, issue. Yes, we've been focused on our business transformation for well over a year now, and this is a facet of that work, and we've been executing that portion of the work. It's material. We will provide more details next week at Investor Day. I think, though, it's a clear signal of our commitment to lower our costs to eliminate unnecessary work, to have an optimal organization to go forward in what is an ever-changing volatile environment that we did execution reduction in force during the best two quarters in our history. Great. Thanks.
spk10: Thank you. This does conclude today's question and answer session. At this time, I will turn the call back over to Jeff.
spk06: Thank all of you for your interest in Phillips 66. If you have questions on today's call, please call Shannon and me. And we look forward to seeing many of you at the Investor Day next week. Thank you.
spk10: Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude today's conference. You may now disconnect your lines. Thank you.
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