Restaurant Brands International Inc.

Q2 2022 Earnings Conference Call

8/4/2022

spk09: Good morning and welcome to the Restaurant Brands International Second Quarter 2022 Earnings Conference Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing the star key followed by zero. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, you may press star, then one on your telephone keypad. You will hear a tone to confirm that you are in the queue. To exit the question queue, you may press star, then two. All callers will be limited to one question. Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Stephen Lichtner, RBI's Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
spk12: Thank you, Operator. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Restaurant Brands International's earnings call for the second quarter ended June 30th, 2022. As a reminder, a live broadcast of this call may be accessed through the Investor Relations webpage at rbi.com slash investors, and a recording will be available for replay. Joining me on the call today are Restaurant Brands International's CEO, Jose Sil, COO, Josh Kobza, and CFO, Matt Dunagan. Today's earnings call contains forward-looking statements, which are subject to various risk set forth in the press release issued this morning and in our SEC filings. In addition, this earnings call includes non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations of non-GAAP financial measures are included in the press release available on our website. Please note that the consolidated growth metrics discussed during the prepared remarks, including consolidated system-wide sales growth, net restaurant growth, and organic adjusted EBITDA growth, exclude results from firehouse subs, which we acquired on December 15th, 2021, to reflect comparable year-over-year growth figures. And now, I'll turn the call over to Jose.
spk16: Thanks, Stephen, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us on today's call to discuss our results for the second quarter of 2022. Before jumping into our results, I'd like to give some perspective on what we're seeing from a macroeconomic standpoint. We recognize the uncertain and at times difficult environment that we're facing as a result of ongoing commodity and wage inflation, rising interest rates and broader macro uncertainties impacting our industry and many others. While many of these pressures are out of our control, we've been focused on working closely with our franchisees to take thoughtful action to alleviate those within our and our franchisees' control. Together, we've strategically taken price across each of our brands, always being mindful of traffic and the guest experience. and we continue to leverage our scale to assist where we can. We also know our franchisees team members are key assets in delivering a great guest experience, which is why we're providing franchisees with tools and best practices for staffing and retention, updated, easy-to-follow training resources, and simplified back-of-house processes where possible. These and many other ops, labor, and procurement initiatives are important steps we're taking to help offset macro pressures that are impacting franchisee profitability. I've had the pleasure of getting back out on the road more and more and have had a chance to meet with a number of our franchisees across the U.S., Canada, and Europe. Throughout my travels, it's been incredible to see our franchisees' hard work, their energy, and focus to deliver on our big dream to build the most loved restaurant brands in the world. I'm even more encouraged to see this translate into our strong results for the quarter with consolidated comparable sales up 9% year-over-year, 14% growth in system-wide sales, and 9% organic-adjusted EBITDA growth. These results were primarily driven by a strong acceleration in sales growth at Tim Hortons Canada, sustained momentum across many of our international markets, steady improvement at Burger King US, continued growth in digital sales and development strength at Popeyes. We're incredibly proud of the work our team and our franchisees have done to date. And while there's still a lot more to do, we feel our strong portfolio of diversified global brands and resilient business model are well positioned as we look ahead. We also know many of you are excited to hear more about our plans for Burger King U.S., including investments we plan to make alongside our franchisees to accelerate growth, and we're looking forward to sharing details with you after we share the plan with our Burger King U.S. franchisees at our upcoming National Franchise Convention in early September. Turning to a few highlights from the quarter. During the second quarter, we grew consolidated year-over-year comparable sales by 9%, driven by 14% comparable sales at Tim Horton's Canada, driving our Tim's Canada sales above 2019 levels for the quarter, and 18% comparable sales growth in our Burger King international business. At Burger King U.S., we continue to narrow the gap versus industry performance this quarter, and across Popeyes and Firehouse home markets, we saw steady sales on top of a transformative last few years. We continue to drive growth through our digital channels this quarter as well, with global digital sales up double digits year over year to over $3 billion, reaching roughly a third of consolidated system-wide sales. We also saw good development progress within the second quarter and have a clear path to accelerate unit growth of 2021 levels. Popeyes made notable development advancements in this quarter and remains on track to deliver a record year. This is an example of our strengthening development mix as our growth at Popeyes and Tim Hortons accelerates while our development engine at Burger King ramps back up to historical levels. To put some context around this, our combined Tim Hortons and Popeyes footprint upside home markets has reached nearly 2,500 restaurants, up from approximately 1,500 restaurants just five years ago, and grew over 20% year over year in the second quarter. In parallel, we're building development capabilities at Firehouse in the U.S. and globally to drive another pillar of growth in the coming years. The combination of comparable sales and net restaurant growth helped drive Q2 system-wide sales to $10.1 billion, up 14% year over year, excluding Firehouse subs, and organic adjusted EBITDA growth of 9%, which included a negative 2% or $11 million impact on adjusted EBITDA growth related to Russia. These results coupled with our fully franchised cash generative business model allowed us to continue driving strong shareholder returns. In the second quarter, we delivered over $400 million of capital through a combination of share repurchases and or dividend. Before diving into brand results for the quarter, I want to touch on sustainability, which continues to be central to our goal of operating building the most loved restaurant brands in the world we recently released our second annual restaurant brands for good year and review report which highlights the achievements our brands made across sustainability in 2021 i encourage you all to take a look and learn more about the progress we made across our three pillars food planet and people and communities i'm confident that what we achieved in 2021 will make a lasting difference in the world and I'm excited to continue the positive momentum on sustainability initiatives across our brands. Turning to our brand performance, we'll start with Tim Hortons Canada. During our first ever Tim Hortons Canada Investor Day earlier this year, Axel and our Tim Hortons Canada leadership team walked through the journey the brand has taken since 2019 that has allowed us to transition to phase two of our Back to Basics plan, which is focused on accelerating growth in the coming years. On this front, we were pleased with the progress we made accelerating sales growth during the quarter, with comparable sales of 14% year over year and positive 2% versus 2019 for the quarter. This performance was a result of continued improvements in our core breakfast, baked goods, and coffee offerings, extensions to our PM food and cold beverage lineup, and our second collaboration with Justin Bieber, all of which have been aided by increased mobility and targeted strategic pricing initiatives. It's clear that the groundwork we laid during phase one of our back-to-basics plan is paying off with guests as they return to Tim's following the easing of restrictions in late Q1. Sales during the second quarter sequentially improved versus 2019 levels across all day parts, all formats, urbanities, and regions. All product categories, excluding hot beverage, were also positive versus 2019 levels during the second quarter, with our movement into high-growth categories such as cold beverage and PM food fully offsetting the headwind from hot beverage sales. Our extension into higher-ticket, higher-growth categories with PM food and cold beverage continues to gain traction. In May, we introduced Part 1 of our loaded platform, which is the loaded wraps initially available in cilantro, lime, and habanero chicken flavors, and are encouraged by the early results. To build on this exciting platform, on June 15th, we introduced Loaded Bowls, prepared fresh to order, filled with hearty grains, very tasty chicken, greens, and mouth-watering sauces, which are also driving incremental sales to PM day parts. Not only has the Loaded platform delivered strong sales, it's also benefited our customer mix. These new PM menu items have allowed us to drive improvements in preference measures for Tim's with younger guests, and have reengaged existing guests that historically frequented Tim's for breakfast and snacks only. At our investor day, we also outlined our goal of being guests most sought after option for the entire beverage category, hot, cold, and specialty. During the quarter, we made further progress against this goal, innovating on our high quality cold brew platform with a new roasted hazelnut cold brew, which helped grow cold beverages by double digits versus 2019. Another valuable lever to accelerate growth as modernizing our brand. This quarter, we introduced a sequel to our collaboration with Justin Bieber with the re-hit of our fan favorite, Tim Biebs. Timbits designed and developed by Justin himself, along with the addition of the French vanilla Biebs brew, another delicious innovation on our cold brew platform. The partnership helped generate incremental visits from existing guests while also attracting a younger, more digitally inclined guest. We remain very focused on our digital journey at Tim's, which already generates over one third of its sales through digital channels, illustrating the growing importance of technology to the brand and its guests. We continue to make progress enhancing our capabilities and driving more guests to our platforms, both in store and from home, which resulted in a double digit year over year percent increase in digital sales during the quarter. I'm very proud to see the combined efforts with our restaurant owners and how they're resonating with guests. That said, We're still early in the journey and look forward to continuing to accelerate growth to the second phase of our back-to-basics plan in the quarters and years ahead. Turning now to Burger King US. We made encouraging progress in the quarter, narrowing the comparable sales gap to peers while working closely with franchisees to solidify our multi-year plan to reclaim the flame. The team is gearing up for an important milestone in early September at our National Franchise Convention where we will discuss the plan and investments we expect to make with our franchisees to springboard compelling long-term growth at Burger King U.S. As I mentioned before, we look forward to sharing the details with all of you as we come out of convention aligned with our system on the path forward to reclaim the plan. In the meantime, I'm pleased with the important progress we've made across a number of our near-term initiatives to enhance the guest experience and drive long-term sustainable and profitable sales growth. During the quarter, we saw notable improvements in key operational metrics steady progress across our digital capabilities, and consistent execution of our marketing plan. On operations, you heard us stress the importance of precision and creating a culture of operational excellence at Burger King US. We continue to see the benefit of recent menu and process simplification efforts that are driving efficiencies in the restaurants, resulting in favorable operational outcomes and an improved guest experience without a near-term negative impact to sales related to the product reduction. We're also focused on exploring ways to assist our franchisees as they navigate through ongoing pressures as a result of the current operating environment. We've already taken a number of steps to bolster franchisee support, including developing and rolling out an employee value proposition, improving our feedback framework with the introduction of our franchisee success system online dashboard, and expanding our field teams. I'm pleased to see the franchisees actively utilizing the employee value proposition guidebook and implementing best practices into their hiring and retention routines both of which we believe have helped drive a quarter-over-quarter increase in average hours of operation. In addition, our franchisee success system operational framework is providing our franchisees with valuable insights into their performance by comparing key restaurant-level metrics to the system average as well as the top 10% of the operators. Once an area of opportunity has been identified, whether order accuracy, speed of service, or training-related, among others, our expanded field team is then able to develop an action plan to assist franchisees in their efforts to improve. Collectively, these initiatives are driving improvements in guest satisfaction, which has improved sequentially over the last four quarters. As a reminder, we have a significant growth opportunity from improving this metric in particular, as we've seen a clear positive correlation between guest satisfaction and higher comparable sales. Burger King's digital progress is steadily advancing. Our mobile app with white label delivery capabilities and loyalty through Royal Perks is getting faster through improvements our engineers have made. We're learning more from digital guest interactions, and we're finding new ways to drive engagement and platform adoption through integrated marketing campaigns. Take, for example, the frequent fryers campaign we ran during the second quarter where we offered members the option of free fries every week for the rest of the year. The campaign has proven to be incremental to digital sales since its launch and stands as an exciting step in expanding our regional audience. Finally, in marketing, we're focusing our media firepower on fewer, well-tested, high-quality, and high-impact messages, and we've seen our purposeful shift in this area begin to resonate with guests. And while still early days, we're actively working with our new creative agency on ways to modernize our brand positioning and communications to further engage and connect with today's guests. Now, to briefly touch on our results for the second quarter, we saw a 0.4% increase in comparable sales in the quarter driven by a net benefit from our focus on core offers including removing Whopper from core discount during the first quarter, a strong value platform with the $5 Your Way meal, and positive contribution from digital and delivery channels. These benefits were partially offset by the impact of lapping stimulus in April and May of 2021. Our efforts this quarter helped sequentially narrow the comparable sales gap to our peers, a reflection of the hard work of the BKUS team, our franchisees, and restaurant team members. I look forward to seeing continued progress across the business in the coming months and to sharing updates on our long-term plan with all of you in September. Now turning to a valuable growth engine for the Burger King brand, the international business, which contributed 60% of the brand's global system-wide sales and over 55% of adjusted EBITDA during the second quarter. Burger King's international business continued to gain significant traction across key global markets and delivered another quarter of robust system-wide sales growth. expanding 28% and adding about 600 million of sales year over year. These results were driven by strong momentum and comparable sales at 18% year over year, coupled with solid net unit growth and strengthening pipelines. Since the last quarter of 2021, with the exception of lockdown challenges faced in China, our largest international markets have performed well beyond pre-pandemic sales levels. And during the second quarter, we saw the trend continue and in some cases accelerate. Four of our largest markets, France, Spain, Germany, and Brazil generated double-digit comparable sales growth and collectively contributed over $1.2 billion to system-wide sales during the quarter. Burger King's strong brand positioning has served as an incremental growth driver above and beyond the macro recovery many of our markets are currently experiencing. Guests in markets like France, Spain, Germany, the UK, and Switzerland rank Burger King in their top three preferences. On top of that, Our guests in France, Germany, UK, and Italy consider Burger King as their top QSR preference. We attribute the strong brand affinity we've established to the hard work our teams and our franchisees have done to deliver a memorable and enjoyable guest experience. Our modern brand positioning has also contributed to fostering a positive experience for guests. We have strong digital capabilities internationally, with many of our largest markets generating over 50% of sales through digital channels. Digital sales are a win-win for franchisees, our business, and guests. driving sales with a measurable uplift in check, higher margins per ticket for franchisees, improved operations, and a more seamless and better guest experience. We expect our digital sales to continue to grow over time given the significant development runway we see in key international markets. We have an incredible business internationally and one that we expect will continue to be a powerful growth driver for the brand for the years to come. Turning now to Popeyes, another exciting long-term growth engine for our business. Popeyes' meaningful transformation over the last few years with U.S. comparable sales of 25% versus 2019 levels, continues to drive interest from franchisees to bring our delicious Louisiana-style chicken to more guests in the U.S. and around the world. The brand is on track to accelerate off a record 2021 development year, with the majority of openings in North America being drive-through locations that typically have average restaurant sales levels over 10% higher than the system average. Outside of North America, Popeyes is making notable progress across existing markets like Turkey and Spain, and we're seeing traction in new markets like India and the UK. This strong development momentum translated into net restaurant growth of over 8% for the second quarter and helped drive system-wide sales growth of nearly 10%, including 6% in the U.S. Popeyes' U.S. comparable sales were relatively flat after three years of incredible growth. This quarter, we also celebrated the brand's 50th anniversary in June with memorable activations such as our 50 Years of Love campaign and thoughtful and relevant promotions, including offering two-piece bone-in chicken for the original $19.72 price of 59 cents if ordered through a Popeyes digital channel. Making Popeyes more convenient for guests is an important priority for the brand. Aside from continued net restaurant expansion, the team is also focused on enhancing the brand's digital presence to make it more accessible to guests across service modes and platforms. We were pleased to see positive contribution from these efforts during the quarter with delivery sales increasing 8% year over year on top of a robust 27% increase in the prior year period and helping to drive digital sales penetration to 18%. Looking ahead, we will continue to grow by building convenience through restaurant development and digital capabilities while driving guest service improvements. Popeyes is a brand with a rich culture and a history offering delicious, high-quality food and has an exciting long-term growth story ahead. And finally, Firehouse subs sustained all-time high average unit volumes of approximately $920,000 on a trailing 12-month basis, up from a consistent level of approximately $700,000 in 2020 and the years leading up to it. This continued strength has been driven by notable outperformance from new units, generating higher average unit volumes than the system average, giving us more confidence than ever in the exciting growth opportunity ahead for this unique brand. In June, I had the pleasure of attending my first Firehouse Subs convention, or family reunion, as the Firehouse Subs team called them, and met over 300 of our franchisees and their families that have helped make Firehouse Subs the success it is today. We had the opportunity to introduce franchisees to our compelling growth mindset and algorithm at RBI, and I was very pleased to see the message embraced and the team energized to deliver. It was clear from our time together that we have a passionate and dedicated group of franchisees at Firehouse Subs, committed to their public safety mission and dedicated to delivering on our big dream to build the most loved restaurant brands in the world. For the second quarter, Firehouse Subs saw net unit growth of 2.5%, which offset softer comparable sales of down approximately 1%, resulting in a 2% year-over-year increase in system-wide sales. This second quarter was a tough comp to the prior year period, which benefited from stimulus, and where Firehouse posted an incredibly strong comp sales performance of 31%. The team worked to offset this by creative traffic-driving initiatives such as May's Name of the Day promotion to keep Firehouse Subs top of mind. Looking ahead, we're focused on accelerating the brand's development and continuing to enhance Firehouse Subs' digital capabilities, specifically as it relates to enhancing the loyalty program and e-commerce infrastructure. We're excited to keep you updated on our progress in the months ahead. As you can see, it was an action-packed and exciting quarter where we made solid progress across all brands and in all regions. Now I'd like to turn it over to Josh to walk you through a quick update on our progress on the digital and technology fronts. Josh?
spk13: Thanks, Jose, and good morning, everyone. I'd like to share a few highlights from the quarter that show consistent progress against our goal of enhancing guest experience through technology. Results this quarter show us guests are using digital channels more than ever. Home market digital sales were collectively up in the low double digits year over year, with the international business well above that. This growth spans across channels, notably delivery, loyalty, and mobile order and pay. We're seeing benefits from collaboration between our marketing and digital teams with exclusive online offers, such as the frequent friars campaign at Burger King, performance enhancements we've made to our e-commerce platforms that reduce the time it takes to place an order, and important reliability upgrades to restaurant technology that help create an overall seamless experience for guests and our team members. With a common tech stack powering our mobile apps and other e-commerce platforms, we're able to take features and performance upgrades and deploy them across our brands with ease. For example, this quarter we moved the Popeyes app to a more modern code base, improving loading times by up to 52% thus far, a statistic that, importantly, is highly correlated to app usage and orders. We're planning to roll out the similar speed upgrades to Burger King and Tim Hortons in the coming months. Restaurant technology is increasingly important as restaurants have evolved from essentially only having point of sales hardware to working with multiple delivery aggregators, having indoor and outdoor digital menu boards, mobile app integration, and likely more technology touch points in the future. We want all of this to work seamlessly for our guests and for team members in the restaurant so they can focus on excellent service. One of our larger ongoing efforts in this area relates to standardizing key elements of in-restaurant technology. This quarter we made progress rolling out a common network provider in our home markets. Fast and stable networks mean more uptime for all elements of our technology. We also advanced efforts to ensure we have modern POS hardware and software across our system, enabling greater agility when adjusting our menus, prices, and content. These are just two examples of the many things our technology team is working on to set ourselves up to do much more in the future. While we are making progress in guest and restaurant technology, We're thinking about how we can evolve our restaurant designs to facilitate digital orders and unlock more throughput as more transactions come through the drive-thru and other off-premise channels. We have restaurants piloting a number of these format innovation tests around the world. We're testing express drive-thru lanes for mobile order and pickup, tandem drive-thrus with two sets of menu boards and order points in a single lane, and restaurants with above-lane conveyor systems allowing two cars to receive their orders at the same time. With delivery growing significantly each year, the experience of delivery drivers has become an increasingly large priority as well. So we're also testing walk-up windows that can reduce wait times for both delivery drivers and guests who place mobile orders. All of these features have speed of service in mind, which is an important part of the overall experience at our brands. While I wouldn't expect these innovations in all of our restaurants in the near future, it's important for us to continuously test new concepts that could be deployed at scale in the coming years. With that, I'll hand it over to Matt to take you through our financials for the quarter.
spk06: Thanks, Josh, and good morning, everyone. For the second quarter, excluding Firehouse, our global system-wide sales grew 14% to $9.8 billion, and our adjusted EBITDA increased about 9% organically to $618 million. As Jose mentioned, Russia had an approximately $11 million negative impact on our year-over-year adjusted EBITDA, which was about a negative 2% headwind. Beyond this, Our increased segment G&A of $89 million, excluding Firehouse, reduced our adjusted EBITDA growth rate an additional 2% as we continue to invest in our teams and add talent in key areas such as operations and digital. We believe this is an important piece of the approach we're taking to support our brands and deliver better and better multi-channel experiences to our guests, which we view as a key growth unlock for the future. As mentioned over the past few quarters, we'll continue to be proactive on this front and expect to see a modest ramp in core segment G&A in the back half of the year. Before turning to EPS, I'd like to touch on the current inflationary environment. As Jose mentioned, similar to others, during the quarter we saw continued commodity volatility and elevated levels of inflation. We've been working closely with each of our systems to drive sales, including by taking a measured approach to pricing to offset some of these pressures, as well as identifying other restaurant profitability initiatives for our focus and investment in our field teams. Inflation has also had a flow-through impact on RP&L, increasing both our sales and cost of sales line items, as market increases in commodity costs are generally passed through. This grossing up of commodity costs in both sales and cost of sales has had the effect of diluting our percentage margins. However, the underlying health of this business is ultimately driven by our progress in driving sales and volumes at Tim Hortons in Canada, which we continue to see improve based on the strong execution and progress of our back-to-basics plans. Shifting to EPS, our second quarter adjusted earnings per share was 82 cents compared to 77 cents last year, representing an increase of approximately 6%. There were also a couple of factors in the quarter that affected this growth rate, including an unfavorable foreign exchange rate impact, which reduced our growth by approximately four points, and a higher adjusted effective tax rate as we lapped a discrete benefit from Q2 of last year, which reduced our growth rate by an additional eight points. Excluding these two factors, our organic adjusted earnings per share growth was approximately 19% year-over-year. It is also worth noting that equity-based compensation increased year-over-year to $32 million. As a reminder, in 2020, we changed our equity-based compensation framework to shift from five-year to three- and four-year vesting. And this process of shifting to the new framework has contributed to the increase in our equity-based compensation over the past few quarters. In addition, for comparability purposes, The prior year period was also reduced by discrete forfeitures of long-term incentives. Turning to our cash flow and capital structure, during the quarter, we generated $417 million in free cash flow, allowing us to execute on key aspects of our capital allocation policy, including making important investments in our business and returning over $400 million of capital to shareholders, including through our industry-leading dividend, which we declared again for Q3 at $0.54 per common share and unit consistent with our previously announced target of $2.16 for the full year of 2022. In addition, during the second quarter, we repurchased and retired approximately 3.2 million shares of our common stock for $165 million. We also ended the quarter with a liquidity position of $1.8 billion, including over $800 million of cash, and saw our net leverage sequentially decline to 5.4 times. As we look forward to the second half, we are now starting to see strong sales momentum from phase two of our back-to-basics plan at Tim Hortons Canada. At the same time as our international business continues to fire on all cylinders, our digital capabilities accelerate, and our global unit growth picks up steam across all brands. While we are pleased with the near-term progress we've made at Burger King US to stabilize the business and continue closing the gap to peers, our top priority is finalizing the long-term plan with our system and locking in the important strategic investments we'll make together over the next few years to accelerate our growth. As Jose mentioned, we're looking forward to sharing the details of this plan with you all in September following our BKUS convention. And with that, I'd like to thank everyone again for your support and for joining us this morning. We'll now open the line for questions. Operator?
spk09: If you would like to ask a question, please press Start followed by 1 on your telephone keypad now. When preparing to ask your question, please ensure you are unmuted locally. If you change your mind, please press star followed by two. Our first question is from John Glass of Morgan Stanley. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.
spk01: Thanks, and good morning. I'm curious about development, particularly at the Burger King brand, and what you think the unlock is, understanding at a COVID period there was impact, but sales now are strong and above COVID levels. Is this an issue of equipment location and availability? Is it willingness of franchisees or maybe are there certain markets where it's lagging? Just what do you think the unlock is to get Burger King International, particularly development, back to the historical levels and over what time frame do you think that may occur?
spk16: Hey, John, good morning. Thanks so much for the question. On the development front, we're still well positioned to accelerate overall unit growth in 2022, so we're excited about the progress we've made and the opportunity that we have in front of us this year and beyond. We have strong pipelines. We've said this before, we tend to see from time to time some volatility by quarter, but we feel very good overall that there's plenty of gas in the tank, if you will, to accelerate growth. I'd note that the overall mix of growth is shifting. We're accelerating in growth both domestically and internationally at Popeyes, as I mentioned in the prepared remarks. We've seen record levels of growth in North America for Popeyes, and we're seeing acceleration of growth internationally in places like Spain, Brazil, Philippines, and Mexico, and we think it's just the beginning of the journey for Popeyes internationally, and we're accelerating growth at Tim's as well internationally in the Middle East, in Mexico, in the U.K., as well as really significant opportunity for growth in China for Tim's. DK International, the business is strong as you pointed out. And as I mentioned in the prepared remarks, same-store sales growth has been really, really strong and compelling and exciting. And we think we have a solid path for continued growth over time. But we still are ramping up to pre-pandemic levels in terms of development. I think there's two big markets that we've highlighted before that we're working on. Well, one big one that we're working on and one that's because of the situation Geopolitically, there's no development going on there, which is Russia. And China has been impacted by macro headwinds and some of the challenges that they've faced with the zero COVID policies. We saw something in the neighborhood of about 80 net restaurants coming from Russia over the past five years, and China more than double of that. And so we're working closely with the teams there. We've made a significant investment earlier in the quarter in China to capitalize that business, and we've got a really strong team there. So long-term ramping up development in China is one of the key drivers to get back to pre-pandemic levels of growth for Burger King International. Elsewhere, we're seeing strong growth, strong excitement from a business standpoint. The partners are well-capitalized. The teams are looking for sites, and the pipelines are growing in a way that we feel very confident in. So we're focused on China to get back to pre-pandemic levels, and elsewhere we feel really good about where we are. Thanks for the question.
spk01: Thank you.
spk09: Our next question is from David Palmer of Evercore ISI. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.
spk04: Thanks. The Burger King rest of the world seems to our sales growth. It looks like you're outperforming other global chains internationally. I guess some of this might be your regional weighting versus peers, but I'd love to understand where you are seeing the most growth and where you think you're gaining market share and why that is. And then just a separate, like more of a model question on the supply chain business, your margins on that business are below maybe 300 basis points below where they were a few years ago. I wonder if we should be thinking about that as something of an upside area or we should be thinking about that as, you know maybe you you make a half a billion dollars in in an absolute ebitda from that business you know whether the nominal sales are higher or lower from it in other words margin isn't the thing but rather ebitda should be remaining steady from here thanks hi dave thanks for the question or the two questions um i'll take the first one on on burger king rest of the world and then i'll pass it over to matt on supply chain um
spk16: On Burger King International, as you pointed out, we've seen some really strong performance there dating back to the end of last year. If you look at the performance through the pandemic, and we shared this before, we saw some really strong improvement in overall performance of our off-premise business, drive-throughs, delivery, and other modes of service that were off-premise given the necessity of the situation of the pandemic. So that business proved to be very sticky, especially delivery and our drive-thru business, our kind of expanding drive-thru business. And when things opened up in Europe and in other markets internationally, we've seen folks come back to dine in restaurants. And the combination of the two things has given us really strong overall performance. We're seeing strength throughout the international region. We've seen strength in in Western European markets and some of our bigger markets like Spain, France, UK, Germany. We've seen strength in markets in Asia as well, with the exception of China, as we pointed out. And Latin America has bounced back quite strong as well. So it's pretty broad-based. And I think what's exciting is that the strength of the growth internationally is it's not just easing of restrictions driven. It's a really strong calendar, very strong digital performance, our business internationally It's growing tremendously from a digital standpoint with delivery as well as mobile order and prepay and kiosks and other digital service modes and order modes driving additional frequency and accelerated growth. We're seeing growth in our kind of balanced approach in the menu with premium being quite strong as well as our core offerings continue to grow. And we're seeing improvements in operations and in service with our franchisees doing a fantastic job operationally. So the combination of all those plus the great image that we have internationally and the growing service modes off-premise is really a key driver of the performance. And as I said, exciting that it's broad-based across all regions and in many markets. And we'll continue to drive that, which fuels our development pipeline for years to come. Matt, you want to touch on the second part of the question? Yeah, sure. Hi, Dave.
spk06: Thanks for the question. As it relates to the supply chain, I think as I mentioned, commodity prices have created real volatility in our business. There's no doubt we're seeing that just like our franchisees. I think we're monitoring that closely and we're working through things with the system to manage through a pretty tough environment, a pretty tough volatile environment. And we're taking measured pricing actions out in the market to offset some of this. But also, as you pointed out, we're seeing some volatility impact our P&L. With commodity price increases, that inflates both our top line revenue and our cost of sales, which consequently creates the effect of reducing our percentage margins. So similar to what you just described, I think we're focused on creating a sustainable path for volume growth in that business. which we know over time is going to allow us to grow our dollar profit as the business grows and as we drive successful execution of our plan in Canada. So I think that's the primary driver of the long-term health and growth of that business and that's what we're focused on.
spk16: Yeah, and I would add to that, Dave, that we are focused as well primarily on the supply chain side, ensuring that we have the best cost and the highest quality for our franchisees, which is critical to their success and driving their profitability.
spk04: Thank you.
spk09: Our next question is from Dennis Geiger of UBS. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.
spk15: Thanks for the question and I appreciate all the comments on the progress against the back to basics plan and the resulting momentum that you're seeing. I'm wondering if you could speak to the pricing actions that you've taken across your brands and if you've seen any resistance to that pricing. And I guess specifically on Tim Hortons, curious not just about the menu pricing but the overall ticket and given all the enhancements that you've made across the menu and the brand broadly, how important is this ticket component perhaps to the growth as you think about looking ahead from premiumization, attach, et cetera. Thank you.
spk16: Hey, Dennis. Thanks for the question. Yeah, on pricing generally across the brands, I've touched on that in the past. And what we try to do here is we take into account, obviously, pressures that we're seeing from a commodity standpoint and other areas of the P&L, wage inflation as well as utilities. We look at the competition and then we take into account the consumer and where they are in the journey. And so we're very thoughtful about this. We use third parties to help us assess the situation by market, by brand, by locale as well. And then we work with the franchisees to ensure that they do the best they can to price in the best way possible to ensure that we don't get too far ahead of the consumer and that we're mindful of traffic and flow through of these price increases, but that we're also mindful of the impact on the P&L. So that's the broad general approach to it, which we've shared in the past. We tend to stay in line with CPI. In North America, there's a gap in CPI between U.S. and Canada of about 200 basis points, and our pricing has been roughly in line with CPI. I think coming back to the second question, which is around Tim's, we're really excited about the progress. We shared this kind of pivot from back to basics and fixing the core to accelerating growth through opportunities in PM food, through opportunities in expanding the definition of beverage to include specialty and cold in addition to our kind of historical and core brewed coffee offering. We've seen strength in the business across platforms. We saw in the second quarter this year we drove 2% comp sales versus 2019 and overall obviously 14% comparable sales in the quarter, the bulk of which came from our core offerings. We saw really strong performance in PM food with our loaded platforms and extensions and cold beverages, some of which drove Czech outperformance. Our goal for the business at Tim's in Canada, and it's the same objective and goal for Popeyes and for BK, as well as for Firehouse, is to grow in a balanced way, driving new customers into the restaurants, driving more frequency from existing customers through great offerings, great service, and great digital experiences, and driving healthy Czech growth that doesn't scare people away. And so we'll continue to to have that focus and I think Tim's in the quarter is a good example of how we can continue to drive growth by being great at the basics and by offering exciting many kind of improvements and modifications that bring in new folks for different day parts and for different occasions. Thanks again for the question. Matt, you had something to add?
spk06: Yeah, Dennis. I mean, just to put maybe a couple other data points on what Jose was just describing, I think we have some really great highlights in the quarter in terms of our progress on this second phase of our back-to-basics plan in terms of innovating for growth and seeing some increasing proof of concept there in terms of how we're executing that plan. So on the main food side, looking on a three-year basis versus 2019, we were up 30%. And, you know, Jose also mentioned a big category for us being cold beverages and specialty beverages. In the quarter, you know, we were at double digits, 12% or so on cold beverages versus 2019. And we also, you know, we also saw some really good diverse, you know, growth across state parts as well, including lunch being up 9% versus 2019. So I think we're starting to see some really good response in the market in terms of how we're driving forward our plan and innovating our products and our menu and delivering for our guests in Canada, and we're excited to continue that.
spk09: Our next question is from Brian Mullen of Deutsche Bank. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.
spk07: Thank you. Just sticking with Tim's in Canada, a question on the the PM day part opportunity. The investor today, you said it was an $8.5 billion market. It's growing at a 5% CAGR. You only have 4% market share today. So from the outside looking in, it seems like there's a tremendous amount of potential for growth there with your brand, your asset base. My question is, can you just talk about the roadmap here? What is realistic from a market share perspective? How are you thinking about this internally? Is there a goal to get to X percent share over Y years, for example? Just anything that can inform investors about your ambitions for this day part as you continue to execute on your plans?
spk16: Yeah. Hi, Brian. Thanks for the question. As we shared at Investor Day, it's obviously a big opportunity for us given the ubiquity and presence that Tim's has throughout Canada. We have already a decent share for the lunch day part, but it was mostly and it continues to be mostly beverage driven. And so We're seeing growth in PM food and growth in lunch day part on the food side, as Matt touched on with some data points there. We have aspirations internally in terms of where we want to get to. We haven't shared those publicly, but we do believe this is a massive opportunity. The shift in how we think about the menu, the fact that we've brought in culinary expertise over the last 18 months or so, folks that specialize in developing craveable products that people love and want to come back for more and more. The fact that we have tremendous strength in terms of value for money perception in Canada, even if we're addressing some near-term pressures from a commodity standpoint, and the fact that we're Canada's most loved brand, I think all of these favor well in our ability to be able to capture share. The focus and the key will be our ability to prioritize our ability to execute well with our disease, and we're looking forward to sharing more over time. But we have big aspirations for our lunch and dinner business, and we're just getting started.
spk06: Yeah, maybe just one other quick one to add to that. I think just on dinner, you know, in the quarter, you know, looking back to 19, I think we saw that dinner day part as the largest sequential improvement in terms of sales performance, so another good indicator for us. in terms of the progress that we're making on the food side and expanding further into the PM day parts. Thanks for the question.
spk09: Our next question is from Chris Carroll of RBC Capital Markets. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.
spk03: Thanks. Good morning. So I wanted to ask about BKUS. Can you perhaps expand a bit more on what you're seeing in the underlying demand trends today that's giving you confidence that the time is right to move forward on the strategy you're planning to share with franchisees in September? The comp trends are pointing to improving stability in the business, and that's encouraging. But was hoping you could provide any additional color on what you're seeing more recently as you and franchisees prepare to take the next steps here with the brand.
spk16: Yeah, Chris, thanks for the question. Look, I think overall we're seeing obviously the consumer in the U.S. feeling a ton of pressure, whether it's commodity, fuel, inflation. interest rates hiking. So there's definitely pressure out there. We've been very thoughtful with the Burger King business as well as the other brands, but we've been very thoughtful on making sure that any price increases that we take, we're taking with the consumer in mind and ensuring that we don't get too far ahead of them. As I mentioned earlier, ensuring that there's flow through for the franchisees. We've also taken some steps around operation improvement, simplification. We've taken some steps on Nick's moving Whopper out of core discount, all of which has helped address margin pressures, even if we've seen tremendous volatility over the last six months or so. Our confidence in the long-term improvements in the business and kind of the roadmap that we have in front of us that we're working through with the franchisee Franchisees, it gives us the certainty that investments in the business around marketing, advertising, as well as restaurant image and ensuring better throughput and capacity in our drive-thrus, that's the work we're doing now and that's the work we plan to share in detail with our franchisees at the beginning of September and that we'll share with the rest of the broader audience in the coming month or so. And we think the underlying performance of the business, even in difficult circumstances, is kind of the barometer of why we believe long-term in the ability to drive that BK business from a sales and profitability standpoint. So more to come on that. Excited with the progress we've made, but there's much more to come with the BK business and excited about the team that we're building and the progress that we're making with the franchisees.
spk03: Great. Thanks so much.
spk09: Our next question is from Jeffrey Bernstein of Barclays. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.
spk02: Great. Thank you very much. One follow-up to an earlier question and then a separate question. The follow-up, Jose, is just on the unit growth for the system, which you addressed earlier. I'm just wondering, you know, your expected growth for this year and your ability to accelerate for next year. It does seem like, I think you mentioned Birkin's going to get back to historical, and then Tim's and Popeye's are going to accelerate. So I'm just wondering how you think about it relative to that historical 5% long-term target. And then my main question was for Matt in terms of G&A. I know there's no formal 22 guidance, but any directional thoughts you can share on spend? I know you mentioned a couple of point headwinds, EBITDA in the second quarter and a modest ramp in the second half. But I'm just wondering... what your thoughts are on the back half spend or whether you look at it as growth versus revenue targets or whatnot, how you think about G&A in the back half. Thank you.
spk16: Yeah, Jeff, thanks for the two questions. On unit growth, I don't want to reiterate exactly what I said earlier, but we feel good about the pipeline and the development plan for 22, and we believe there's a path to accelerate this year and next year. And beyond, we've got really strong franchise partners internationally for all brands. We've seen acceleration to high single digits in terms of unit growth for Popeyes. We've seen Tim get to kind of mid to high single digits as well. And BK historically has had tremendous strength internationally from a development standpoint. As I mentioned, there's one market that we're focused on to get back to historical levels. And we're also working on new partnership deals and new development deals across international markets for Popeyes, for Tim Hortons. We've seen new development deals and master franchises pop up in places like the UK for Popeyes, Mexico for Popeyes. We've talked about others as well, Middle East and a few others. And those take a little bit of time to ramp up. Those take a little bit of time to build pipelines, but the confidence long term for us in terms of the pipeline and our development goals is quite strong and we'll continue to share details on that each quarter and look forward to those updates. Thanks so much.
spk06: Jeff, just jumping in here quickly on your question related to G&A. You know, for us, it's all about investing in areas, you know, we know that are critical to driving long-term results. And, you know, we've talked about some of those key investments that we've been making over the past year or so in areas like technology and operations and marketing. And we also see that, you know, many of those investments are starting to pay off if you look at some of the progress we're starting to see accelerated at Thames in Canada. And so we're confident that we're prioritizing the right things and investing in the right areas to drive the business. And that's always how we approach G&A and how we spend our G&A and how we focus it. It's bottoms up. It's prioritizing our dollars where we think they'll make the biggest impact for the business. And that's how we'll continue to manage it. I think in Q2, the G&A was a bit softer than expected as a result of some timing. that we would expect to reverse in the second half. And I mentioned, you know, that's why we'll see the quarterly G&A figure, you know, ramp up modestly as we move through the second half. And we continue to, you know, we continue to fully load those investments that we were making as we head toward the end of the year. Thanks for the question.
spk02: Thank you.
spk09: Our next question is from Brian Bittner of Oppenheimer. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.
spk05: Thanks. Good morning. I want to revert back to the TIMMS business. Clearly, the results were very impressive this quarter. It's great to see you puncture through those 2019 sales levels as you execute this back to basics plan. And what I'm trying to understand is how much potential traffic upside is left in the tank as we move past this quarter. So the question is, do you believe just overall consumer mobility in Canada is already back to pre-pandemic levels? Or is there room to go on improving mobility in Canada and therefore room to go as you flex your share gains? And what I also wanted to ask is just can you talk about your outlook on the Canadian consumer? We don't really get a good beat on the current state of the Canadian consumer. Maybe how that shapes your view on whether this 2% trend versus 19 is sustainable in the TIMSS Canada business as we move through the rest of the year?
spk16: Thanks, Brian. Appreciate the question. Yeah, look, on the mobility question, if you recall, we were in pretty strong restrictions and lockdowns just three months ago or three and a half months ago at the end of Q1. And those were lifted and we mentioned last quarter and in my prepared remarks that mobility throughout the quarter improved and we're seeing that have an impact on the business. What's exciting about the growth from the second quarter, the 14% comp that we posted, is that it was not just mobility. Mobility is kind of upside here. The plan is strong. The business is performing well across all segments. We're seeing strength in PM food and cold beverages as well as our kind of traditional core breakfast offering. So mobility, we think there's more to come there. So as an example, more offices reopened in the second quarter and people are coming back to the hybrid capacity. But downtown Toronto is just getting back to work. They're still down high teams in terms of performance from a sales standpoint for some of the restaurants. So mobility in the downtown corridors is still a work in progress and a process, and that gives us confidence that if it comes back to pre-pandemic levels, there'll be some tailwind in the business as well. You asked a question about the Canadian consumer. I think it relates to this prior question on mobility. There's certainly inflation pressures and they remain you know the growing concern in Canada just like we've seen the US and elsewhere but we're not currently seeing a notable impact on on consumer habits or behaviors important to remember just as I said a few minutes ago Canada is in a very different stage versus the US in terms of the post pandemic transition restrictions just recently eased there's still signs of pent-up demand and accumulated savings in the marketplace. That said, I think people in Canada, as they're making choices for food away from home, they are mindful of, because of the pressures that we're seeing from a macro standpoint, they're conscious of pricing, they're conscious of service, they're conscious of convenience, and I think we do exceptionally well in those three categories, and we're super well-positioned even if things become a little bit more challenging for the Canadian consumer. Thanks so much for the questions.
spk05: Thanks, Jose.
spk09: Our next question is from David Tarantino of Baird. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.
spk10: Hi, good morning. A couple of questions on the investments you're making. First, on G&A, historically, you've operated with a very lean G&A structure. If you look at it, maybe it's a percentage of system sales relative to peers. And it seems like you're now moving a little higher in terms of kind of the support infrastructure. And I guess my question is, as you think about longer term, is this a trend that's that you think will lead to just a higher G&A infrastructure to support the business and the growth initiatives you need to support the brands? Or do you think this is kind of a temporary increase where you'll get leverage on it over time? And then relatedly, or I guess separately, I wanted to ask, you mentioned making an investment in China to recapitalize the business there. If I heard that correctly, I was just wondering if you could elaborate on what you did and why that was needed. Thanks.
spk16: Yeah, David, thanks for the question. I'll let Matt touch on the G&A question briefly on the investment in China. We kind of noted this last quarter, and then this quarter was when the investment was made. We resolved some issues in China with Popeyes and with Burger King, and following that resolution, there was a contribution to the business in China, a capital contribution to fund the business and accelerate growth there. in the coming years and so that's what I was referring to in my comments around China and the confidence that we have long term to be able to get back to growth there as restrictions ease and the zero code policy hopefully shifts into a different approach going forward. We think we're well positioned there with the team that we have, the relationship that we have with the franchisee and the cash available to develop to get back to historic levels of net restaurant growth in China. Matt, you want to touch on G&A? Yeah, sure.
spk06: Just, yeah, touching on the G&A question, you know, I think, you know, we feel really good about the level of G&A spend that we've been adding to the business over the past year or two. We think it's in the right areas, important areas of the business to really bulk up our teams and our talent to go deliver on these plans that we set out, you know, for Tim's in Canada and then also for BKUS and elsewhere as we look forward. And again, those are key investments in tech, digital marketing, analytics. And we think those will be important long-term investments that we're going to benefit from as we build those teams out. I think it's a bit difficult to compare our level of spending to peers for a couple of reasons. Almost 100% of our restaurants are franchised. And we also, given how big our international business is, I think I would also take into account the fact that we're structured with a master franchisee framework internationally. So, you know, we feel good about the investments that we've been making and where we're bringing the business to. And as I mentioned, you know, I think we'll expect to see a modest increase on a run rate basis quarterly through the second half of the year. And then from there, I think we'll continue to be thoughtful in our approach to G&A investments. And, you know, we'll make investments where we see an opportunity to grow the business and drive, you know, sales and profitability for the company here. Thanks for the question.
spk09: Our next question is from Sarah Senator of Bank of America. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.
spk00: Thank you. I just wanted to ask quickly about the Tim's, a couple of things. One is the Tim's mix. I know you said hot coffee was maybe the only exception. I was curious, are you seeing a trade substitution in your existing customer base versus bringing in new customers? That may be fine because the profitability, I suspect, is better. But just some underlying dynamics there and then also any update on loyalty and whether that's evolved further.
spk16: Hi Sarah, thanks for the question. I'll touch on the MIX question briefly and then I'll pass it over to Josh on loyalty. On MIX, we did mention in prepared remarks that the hot coffee Segment is the one area that we haven't seen growth versus 19 yet. We are seeing that the shift that's taking place to specialty and cold beverage in some cases through our loyalty data, some cases that's a shift happening with existing customers that either are adding an additional beverage that is either specialty or cold. or in some cases they're transitioning altogether to new products. And then we're also bringing in new customers as well through these platforms. So that's why it's so exciting. And it's similar to kind of the evolution that we've seen in the coffee business in the U.S. and in some of the international markets as well where there's been a base traditional definition of what coffee is and it kind of expands and it's modernized. as consumer behaviors change and as brands kind of provide innovation to the consumers to try different products for different occasions. And so our confidence in the long term making this transition, shoring up the core and also providing innovation and offers and opportunities for different occasions with cold beverages especially gives us confidence that we'll be able to bring in new customers as well as drive more frequency with our existing base. Thanks for the question. Josh, you want to touch on loyalty?
spk13: Yeah. Thanks, Sarah. I hope you're doing well. As a reminder, we're now at just over a third of our system-wide sales in Canada are digital, including loyalty. And we've seen a lot of great progress, and we're continuing to innovate and evolve both the mobile app and some of our in-store touch points and how some of those digital and loyalty guests interact with the restaurant. We're seeing continued progress in both in-store loyalty and mobile order and pay. Our in-store loyalty sales grew double digits year on year, and our mobile order and pay was actually up about two times year on year. So we're seeing a lot of progress there. We're really happy with it, and the team's thinking of even more innovative things that we can do with how we evolve the app over the rest of this year and into next year to drive even more engagement from the loyalty base. Thanks.
spk09: Our final question is from Gregory Fransport of Guggenheim. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.
spk14: Hey, thanks for the question and appreciate the details and the plan that's coming next month on the Birkin U.S. side. Can you maybe talk just a little bit about franchisee profitability and maybe as you've looked at trimming the portfolio on the U.S. side, kind of how big – that could be as a portion of the store base. Just any way we can ring sense that would be helpful. Thanks.
spk16: Hi, Greg. Thanks for the question. As I mentioned in prepared remarks and we touched on quite a bit, we're working closely side by side with the franchisees to develop a really strong and thoughtful plan to accelerate sales growth at BK in the U.S. and also ensuring that we're focusing on the guest experience and their franchise profitability. And as part of this, we've been doing a deep dive on our restaurant portfolio and what investment opportunities exist. And we're going site by site. I think different from what we've done in the past, we're going site by site to determine the best path for each restaurant. We're considering remodels versus scrape and rebuilds versus relocations or offsets. And this is centered on kind of the guest experience on digital and also enhancing our throughput or the capacity for us to serve more guests in our restaurants. Ongoing closures is a natural part of this process and a natural part of the business as we look at portfolio optimization. From where we stand today and based on a lot of work that the team's done and a lot of discussions and collaboration with franchisees, we do not expect significant shifts from historical closure levels, which over the last five years have averaged just under 200 per year. I'd note that many of the closures include trademarked repositioning or relocations, as I said earlier, which means that in certain trade areas where a closure will be offset with a brand new opening, which is like a remodel, only better. So the goal from any closures is to continue to drive a healthier overall portfolio, to improve guest experience, and to drive franchise profitability. So we're working closely with franchisees on this, but to give you kind of a framework on how we're thinking about it and what we think the impact will be, hopefully that provides some color. Thanks again for the question.
spk11: All right, thank you everyone for your questions and appreciate everyone joining the call.
spk16: As I mentioned earlier, the second quarter was truly action-packed. We're incredibly proud of the meaningful progress made across many fronts. Our performance reflects the direct benefit from our investments across a number of important areas of the business. As you can tell, we're excited about the momentum at TIMSS Canada driven by the success of our back-to-basics plan and the continued strength from our BK International business. We're encouraged with the steady improvements at Burger King U.S. and look forward to sharing more details in September on how we plan to accelerate growth of the business. I'd like to close by thanking our team, our franchisees, and their team members for their continued focus and dedication as we work towards our big dream of building the most loved restaurant brands in the world. Thanks again for joining us and have a great day.
spk09: This concludes today's call. Thank you for joining. You may now disconnect your lines.
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