4/23/2025

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

System First Quarter 2025 Earnings Release Conference Call. All lines are in listen-only mode until after the presentation. Today's call is being recorded. If you have any objections, please disconnect at this time. I would now like to introduce Ms. Kayleen Candela, Vice President, Investor Relations for Rider. Ms. Candela, you may begin.

speaker
Kayleen Candela
Vice President, Investor Relations

Thank you. Good morning and welcome to Rider's First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. I'd like to remind you that during this presentation, you'll hear some forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are based on management's current expectations and are subject to uncertainty and changes in circumstances. Actual results may differ materially from these expectations due to changes in economic, business, competitive, market, political, and regulatory factors. More detailed information about these factors and a reconciliation of each non-GAAP financial measure to the nearest GAAP measure is contained in this morning's earnings release, earnings call presentation, and in Rider's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, which are available on Rider's website. Presenting on today's call are Robert Sanchez, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, John Diaz, President and Chief Operating Officer, and Christy Gallo Aquino, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Additionally, Tom Havens, President of Fleet Management Solutions, and Steve Sensing, President of Supply Chain Solutions and Dedicated Transportation Solutions, are on the call today and available for questions following the presentation. At this time, I'll turn the call over to Robert.

speaker
Robert Sanchez
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Good morning, everyone, and thanks for joining us. I'm proud of our team for delivering double-digit earnings growth during the first quarter, in line with our forecast. The business continues to outperform prior cycles, driven by our high-quality contractual portfolio and reflecting the actions we've taken under our balanced growth strategy to de-risk the business, increase the return profile, and accelerate growth in our asset-light SCS and DTS businesses. I'll begin today's call by providing you with a strategic update. Christy will then take you through our first quarter results, and John will review capital expenditures and our increasing capital deployment capacity. I'll then review our updated outlook for 2025 and discuss how we expect to leverage the momentum of our transformed business model. Let's begin on slide four. Turning to slide four, our transformed business model and execution of our balanced growth strategy continue to drive earnings growth. We remain on track to realize the benefits from our strategic initiatives outlined during our February earnings call. These benefits are the key driver of the year-over-year earnings growth we are expecting. Long-term secular trends that favor transportation and logistics outsourcing remain strong. The value that our solutions bring to our customers remains compelling, even more so during times of increasing complexity. By leveraging our operational expertise and innovative technology, we are well positioned to support our customers and prospects as they navigate changes to their supply chains and transportation networks. We generated ROE of 17% for the trailing 12-month period, which is in line with our expectations for an extended freight cycle downturn and continues to demonstrate the resilience of our transformed business model. Earnings growth in our contractual businesses reflects the value proposition and pricing discipline embedded in our high quality contractual portfolio. We expect our transformed and cycle tested business model to continue to outperform prior cycles. In addition to increasing the return profile of our business, the earnings power of our contractual portfolio continues to provide us with increased capital deployment capacity which we expect to use to support profitable growth and return capital to shareholders. During the quarter, we returned $202 million to shareholders by repurchasing 1.1 million shares and paying our quarterly dividend. Since 2021, we have repurchased approximately 20% of our shares outstanding and increased our dividend approximately 40%. We increased our 2025 forecast for free cash flow to a range of $375 to $475 million, primarily due to lower expected capital spending. Slide five illustrates how key financial and operating metrics have improved since 2018, reflecting the execution of our strategy. In 2018, prior to the implementation of our balanced growth strategy, the majority of our $8.4 billion of revenue was from FMS. Rider generated comparable earnings per share of 595 and an ROE of 13%. Operating cash flow was 1.7 billion. This was during peak freight cycle conditions. Now let's look at what we're expecting from Rider today. In 2025, a year in which freight market conditions are expected to remain near trough levels, our transformed business model is expected to generate meaningfully higher earnings and returns than it did during the 2018 peak. Through organic growth, strategic acquisitions, and innovative technology, we have shifted our revenue mix towards supply chain and dedicated with 60% of 2025 revenue expected to come from these asset-light businesses compared to 44% in 2018. As a reminder, 93% of our revenue is generated in the U.S. 2025 comparable EPS is expected to be between 1285 and 1360, more than double 2018 comparable EPS of 595. ROE is expected to be 16.5% to 17.5% up from the 13% generated during the prior cycle peak. As a result of profitable growth in our contractual lease dedicated in supply chain businesses, operating cash flow is expected to increase to $2.5 billion, up approximately 50% from 2018. As shown here, in 2025, the business is expected to continue to outperform prior cycles, even when comparing prior peak to the current market conditions. We're proud of the strong performance of our transformed business model and believe that executing on our balanced growth strategy will continue to deliver higher highs and higher lows over the cycle. I'll now turn the call over to Christy to review our first quarter performance.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

Q1R 2025

-

-

Investor presentation