Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to Riskified's second quarter 2024 earnings call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you would need to press star 1 1 on your telephone. You would then hear an automated message of us and your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press star 1 1 again. please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would like now to turn the conference over to Chet Mandel, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Chet Mandel
Good morning, and thank you for joining us today.
spk10
My name is Chet Mandel, Riskified's Head of Investor Relations. We are hosting today's call to discuss Riskified's financial results for the second quarter of 2024. Participating on today's call, Arido Gal, Riskified's co-founder and chief executive officer, and Agido Cheva, Riskified's chief financial officer. We released our results for the second quarter of 2024 earlier today. Our earnings materials, including a replay of today's webcast, will be available on our investor relations website at ir.riskified.com. Certain statements made on the call today will be forward-looking statements related to our operating performance, business and financial goals, outlook as to revenues, gross profit margin, adjusted EBITDA profitability, adjusted EBITDA margins, and expectations as to positive cash flows, which reflect management's best judgment based on currently available information and are not guarantees of future performance. We intend all forward-looking statements to be covered by the safe harbor provisions contained in the Private Securities and Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements reflect our expectations as of the date of this call and accept as required by law We undertake no obligation to revise this information as a result of new developments that may occur after the time of this call. These forward-looking statements involve risks, uncertainties, and other factors, some of which are beyond our control, that could cause actual results to differ materially from our expectations. You should not put undue reliance on any forward-looking statement. Please refer to our annual report on Form 20F for the year ended December 31st, 2023, In subsequent reports, we file or furnish with the SEC for more information on the specific factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from our expectations. Additionally, we'll discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures and key performance indicators on the call. Reconciliation, the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures, are available in our earnings release issued early today and also furnished with the SEC on form 6K and in the appendix of our investor relations presentation, all of which are posted on our investor relations website. I will now turn the call over to Edo.
Arido Gal
Thanks, Chet, and hello, everyone. I am encouraged by our execution during the first six months of the year. We are growing profitably on an adjusted EBITDA basis and believe that we are investing in the right people, products, and projects to execute for the benefit of our merchants and our shareholders. I remain positive about the trajectory of the company. Once again, our revenue growth during the second quarter was primarily driven by the execution of our go-to-market strategy. which contributed to 8% year-over-year growth. For the first half of 2024, our revenue increased by 10%, and our GMV grew 15% year-over-year. Our technology, platform, and differentiated merchant capabilities are resonating within our large addressable market. Our competitive win rates remained high during the quarter, and our industry and geographic expansion efforts, combined with our product platform sales motion, are contributing to a solid pipeline of merchant activity. We had improved performance sequentially with our non-chargeback wins, and we expect a strong end to the year with further multi-product adoption. As we think through the back half of the year, we've begun to see some softness in the third quarter and are anticipating softer third and fourth quarters, largely due to certain macro headwinds, including worsening consumer spending trends. This is primarily impacting our high-end fashion, tickets and travel, and home industries. That being said, We anticipate a strong second half of new business activity, which would help to partially offset these macro headwinds. We expect the benefit of this anticipated new business activity to primarily flow through in the fourth quarter. Agi will walk you through the impact of these factors on our 2024 guidance. We are managing our operational levers to optimize our gross profit and adjust the EBITDA performance across all types of growth environments. our non-GAAP gross profit growth of 11% in the second quarter and 14% the first half of the year remain strong and continue to outpace our revenue growth. Combined with ongoing expense discipline, we continue to bring our top line growth to the bottom line. Over each of the last three quarters, we have improved our year-over-year adjusted EBITDA margin by nearly 1,000 basis points on average, and we anticipate generating further adjusted EBITDA margin expansion in the back half of the year. However, We are not just focused on maximizing short-term leverage in the business. We maintain a long-term view on how to improve our technology, how to expand our TAM and market share, and how to convert our single-product merchants to multi-product users. We believe that the best way to accomplish these goals is by building a market-leading platform of products that helps to solve real problems for our merchants at all levels of the transaction funnel, and to continue penetrating the large e-commerce white space in front of us by aligning our go-to-market sales motion to offer and cross-sell this platform. On the chargeback guarantee front, our ability to customize unique merchant-specific models to guarantee the highest degree of performance and specificity is why we believe our merchants receive great performance and value. In one recent head-to-head pilot with a newly onboarded multi-billion GMV merchant, we were able to reduce the merchant's fraud cost by more than 20%. while simultaneously boosting their approval rate by over 3% when compared to their incubant solution provided by one of our key competitors. This is not an isolated example. Several other recent head-to-head pilots, we were able to outperform both the merchant's internal teams and other newer generation competitors by delivering superior performance for the merchant. We believe that these types of results drive expansion opportunities for Riskify. Overall, these data-led proof points are a testament to the power of our machine learning factory and the main reason we win in competitive deals. To further broaden our product offerings, we continue to augment our integrations and data sharing capabilities with major global issuing banks. These integrations and partnerships involve sharing enriched order information and other Riskified signals with issuing banks in order to enhance our merchants' authorization rates on e-commerce transactions reviewed by Riskified. This feature comes baked into chargeback guarantee and has the ability to meaningfully increase bank authorization rates. Eligible chargeback guarantee merchants can see an increased authorization list exceeding 100 basis points on segments where Riskified has the ability to influence the issuer's decision. We believe that our privileged access to merchant data puts us in a unique position to further collaborate between parties in the payment ecosystem to help our e-commerce merchants grow. I believe that our focus on evolving and investing wisely in our R&D is leading to an overall improvement in our technology offering. This improvement, in part, was seen in strong performance for our merchants, while we simultaneously were able to achieve a 54% gross profit margin in the first half of the year. I am pleased that we were able to flow this strong margin performance to the annual range, which resulted in an improvement to our adjusted EBITDA guidance for the second consecutive quarter. Overall, I remain optimistic about our positioning despite the challenging macro environment. We have great demand for our product, and by strengthening our machine learning advantage to solve additional use cases beyond chargeback fraud, I am confident that our durable business will continue to perform for merchants and our shareholders. Now, over to Agi.
Agi
Thank you, Ido, team, and everyone for joining today's call. Our GMV for the second quarter was $35 billion. reflecting a 13% increase year over year. We achieved second quarter revenue of $78.7 million, up 8% year over year. Our GMV and revenue growth during the quarter was primarily driven by continued new merchant and upsell activity. In the second quarter, our home category grew 21% year over year. We anticipate a different comparison period in the second half of the year, as we have now fully left a large upsell one during the second quarter of 2023. Our general vertical, which includes both food and general retail merchants, grew 7% in the second quarter, primarily driven by growth in our food sub-vertical, offset by weakness in our general retail sub-vertical. In addition, we saw over 40% growth in our payments and money transfer category, driven predominantly by new business activity, a key area of expansion. Our fashion and luxury category grew by 5% in the second quarter, up from low single digits in the first quarter, primarily due to new business activity and growth in the fast fashion merchants. This growth was partially offset by continued same-store sales pressures within our high-end fashion subvertical, consistent with the first quarter. We now expect the same store sales pressures to continue in the back half of the year across all geographies. This is consistent with the outlooks of many of our luxury merchants and broader market commentary regarding discretionary spending. In addition, our tickets and travel vertical grow 8% in the second quarter, primarily due to new business activity. We're now expecting softer trends in this category in the second half of the year. In particular, we're anticipating lower travel volumes from our AEM merchants and as a result currently expect our overall and near region to be relatively flat for the year. The United States, which is our largest region, grew by 11% during the second quarter, and APAC grew approximately 35%. The other Americas, which represent Canada and Latin America, grew approximately 9%, primarily due to new and upsell activity. I continue to be excited about our growth in other Americas and APAC regions, which were fueled by market share gains achieved through the addition of new logos. We highlighted a large new logo in Japan in our press release in the fashion category during the quarter. This is an exciting cornerstone merchant, which we're hoping helps unlock further growth in the region. Moving to the discussion of our gross profit margin, operating expenses, and adjusted EBITDA. Unless otherwise noted, I will be referencing non-GAAP financial measures. We have provided a reconciliation of gaps and non-gap financial measures in our earnings release. Moving on to gross profit margin. Our gross profit margin of 53% was up from 52% in the second quarter of the prior year. We continue to benefit from improvements in our overall core machine learning models and the positive impact of new product revenue. offset by the impact of ramping of significant new merchants and quarterly variability in our revenue mix. As a reminder, I encourage you to continue analyzing our gross margin on an annual basis. Given individual quarters can vary due to many factors, including the ramping of new merchants and the risk profiles of transactions approved. That being said, I do want to note that our first half gross profit margin was approximately 54%, the highest half-year period since our IPO. This was driven by a truly collaborative effort across the organization. As a result of our strong start to the year, we're now targeting a gross profit margin between 52.5 to 53.5 for the full year, up from our previous range of 52 to 53. Directionally, for modeling purposes, We expect our Q3 gross profit margin to be approximately 50%, and we continue to expect Q4 margin to be above the range. Moving to our operating expenses. We continue to manage the business in a focused and disciplined manner. Total operating expenses were $39.3 million for the second quarter, representing a year-over-year decline of 7%. We saw year-over-year declines in each of our R&D, sales and marketing, and G&A operating expenses. Our operating expenses, the percentage of revenue declined from 58% in the prior year period to 50% in the second quarter of 2024, reflecting ongoing leverage in the business model. To highlight how much progress we have made in only a few short years, this percentage in the second quarter of 2022 was 75%. For the second half of the year, we now expect approximately $39 million in quarterly expenses due to a focus on ongoing savings. We achieved positive adjusted EBITDA of $2.3 million in Q2 of 24 as compared to negative $4.6 million in Q2 of 23, representing the eighth consecutive quarter of year-over-year improvements. This quarter's positive adjusted EBITDA represents year-over-year adjusted EBITDA margin improvements of approximately 930 basis points, on top of the 1,100 basis points improvements achieved in both Q4 of 23 and Q1 of 24. We have been generating ongoing margin expansion through the continued growth of the business while managing expenses, and we're focused on flowing this leverage to the bottom line. Moving to the balance sheet. We ended the first quarter with approximately $422 million of cash deposits and investments on the balance sheet, and we carried zero debt. In the second quarter, we repurchased 6.8 million shares for a total price of approximately $39 million. As a result, our total shares outstanding has decreased sequentially by approximately 4 million shares from the first quarter. As a result of our ongoing commitment to valuation management, as well as anticipated repurchasing activity in the second half of the year, we expect our year-end share counts to decline year-over-year. We continue to believe that our strong balance sheet and liquidity positions are underappreciated assets. We will continue to be thoughtful in how we utilize our capital to drive shareholder value. In addition, we continue to maintain a very healthy cash flow model and achieved free cash flows of 4.1 million in the second quarter. We continue to expect approximately 30 million of positive free cash flow in 2024. Now turning to our outlook. We're updating our 2024 guidance that we previously shared on our Q1 call. As we mentioned, we're expecting headwinds in our high-end fashion tickets and travel and home protocols to persist, which we expect will negatively impact our second-half revenue. As a result, we now anticipate revenue between $320 million and $325 million for the full year 2024, or $322.5 million at the midpoint. As Ido mentioned, we remain optimistic that an anticipated strong second half of new logo activity should result in an acceleration of growth in the fourth quarter. After previously factoring in some level of macroeconomic recovery in the back half of the year into our guidance, we no longer are including this recovery in our current assumptions at the new midpoint. As always, we'll continue to monitor the performance and health of our merchants, consumer spending, and the broader e-commerce landscape and the impact on our results. Moving to our adjusted EBITDA outlook. As a result of our disciplined approach to managing the business and improved gross margin outlook, we now believe that our full-year adjusted EBITDA will be between 13 million and 19 million, or 16 million to the midpoint. This represents an improvement of 7% from our range provided on our Q1 call in May, and 19% from our initial guide given on our Q4 23 earnings call in March. The new midpoint of our adjusted EBITDA guide represents additional margin expansion of approximately 800 basis points from the prior year, demonstrating leverage in the business model. Overall, I'm encouraged by the first half of the year I believe that our leading product platform and disciplined approach in managing the business will allow us to continue to progress towards our long-term goals while delivering value to our merchants and to our shareholders. Operator, we're ready to take the first question, please.
Operator
Thank you. As a reminder, to ask a question, please press star 11 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw the question, please press star 1-1 again. And the first question will come from Ramsey Elassel with Barclays. Your line is now open.
Barclays
Hi, this is Owen on for Ramsey. I appreciate you taking our question this morning. I wanted to check in on the crowd strike outage earlier in July. The networks had called that out as having an impact on Q3. I wanted to see if And if your merchants had any technical issues, no, you largely operate on AWS, but any kind of insight there on impact on Q3 expectations might be helpful.
Agi
Yeah, thank you for the question. There's no impact on Riskified or anything related that we understand from our merchants related to the general cross-strike issues.
Barclays
Great. That's good to hear. And just a quick follow-up from me, just on the kind of more platform approach, seems like you're making good progress on the cross-sell. Some of those new products was just wondering if you could give us an update on the penetration rate potentially of your kind of current client base and some of the kind of longer runway you expect to kind of have there. Any insight there would be helpful. Thanks.
Arido Gal
Sure. Happy to share an update there. I'll tell you, look, as kind of CEO, what gets me most energized is just speaking to our clients, seeing how they react to some of these newer additions and stuff we have in the pipeline. And also the ROI and the value that it solves them. I think just from a numbers perspective, you know, what we shared kind of previous quarter, we've seen sequential improvements then, but we're still in that zone of kind of half a percent improvement to the gross profit margin, kind of 3X growth. And we do have a fairly strong pipeline heading into the back half of the year, so I do expect kind of a good end to the year on the new product side. Great. Very helpful. Thank you.
Operator
Our next question comes from Ryan Tomasello with KBW. Your line is open.
spk09
Good morning, everyone. Thanks for taking the questions. Adi, regarding the outlook, I was hoping you can put a finer point around what level of net dollar retention the current guidance reflects versus the original expectations at the beginning of the year. And if you can say how that breakdown looks between what you saw in the first half of the year in terms of net dollar retention versus what you're now looking for in the second half of the year. Thanks.
Agi
Yeah, of course. Thank you for the question. Well, it's an annual number at this point. It's not really a guide, but let me give you some directions. So we've previously shared at our kind of Q1 earnings call that we've seen some trends kind of leading to a lower dollar retention than what we saw last year. We kind of expected to be closer to 100 than the 105. Now, because of the macro factors that we kind of shared in our message just earlier, I think that a few percentage points below 100% is probably a fair assumption. And to give you kind of understanding of what are the main drivers, I would say that number one is really the removal of the recovery trends that we kind of were baking in our numbers. And we just don't see that happening. anymore, so now at the midpoint, we don't kind of expect any recovery numbers in the back half of the year, and we expect the back half to be kind of similar to the first half of the year. The second factor is probably our annual dollar retention rate. Again, we look at it annually. Just again, it's not a guide, but to give you some perspective, I think that I'm seeing just slight uptick in loss volume. I do expect it to be very much kind of still in the ranges of last year, last year was 98, maybe I do expect to be closer to 97 this year. And the last factor that might be impacting our retail retention rate actually is a positive one. This year we've seen a lot more new revenue coming from new logos, which is great, which is something that we've been working kind of to internally to create the right incentive structure to accomplish that and really kind of focusing on increasing our market share and penetrating in different industries. But that has kind of impacted a little bit the upsell and just some effects on the net dollar retention. So overall, I think this is kind of like a very positive factor overall, but it does impact the net dollar retention.
spk09
Great. Appreciate all that color. And then, Ida, one for you, as you continue to make progress building out the platform offering beyond just the chargeback guarantee. Can you say how the sales and go-to-market strategy is evolving at all to help support that initiative? I mean, Auggie, I think just alluded to, you know, a new incentive structure around new logos. You know, last quarter you called out some of these key standalone wins outside the chargeback guarantee and policy to protect and dispute-resolved Is there a lot of focus that you're putting on the sales force to emphasize those types of standalone deals? Just trying to understand how the go-to-market strategy is evolving here in light of the platform evolution. Thanks.
Arido Gal
Sure. No, that's a great question. I would say that at the start of the year, we definitely wanted to put a bigger focus on new logos, to have more revenue come from new logos. Then from us all, we think that's important just from a market land share perspective, and we're happy to see some of the results there. I think that our platform approach enables us to sell to more stakeholders and solve more ROI. And the value that we see there is kind of higher win rates and competitive cycles. It means that, like you mentioned, we can sell into merchants that maybe are not looking for a chargeback solution right now, but they are interested in some of the other parts. But really what we're seeing is more and more new deals are taking multiple parts of the platform. I think we highlighted that large ticketing merchant that also started with Dispute Resolve. That large marquee client in Japan is actually starting with two clients, but is signed with two products, but has already signed for the third one to go live with that early next year.
Chet Mandel
So it's definitely helping there as well. Great. Appreciate all the comments.
Operator
The next question comes from Chris Kennedy with William Blair. Your line is open.
Chris Kennedy
Great. Thanks for taking the question. You talked about accelerating growth in the fourth quarter. Is there any way to think about or put a framework around 2025 given the new sales activity?
Chet Mandel
I think it might be still a bit too early for us to really think through and model out 25.
Arido Gal
I think the acceleration we're seeing into the fourth quarter is just based on some of the new business activity and the growth in those areas that are helping accelerate there. But just to recap, you know, kind of what we mentioned, based on some of the earnings from some of the clients, the public clients that we work with, everyone's kind of expecting a slower back half of the year, especially around fashion, travel. sneakers, the home category. And we've been seeing that quarter today as well. So that's kind of creating that lower outlook for the back half. Within the fourth quarter, based on some of those go-lives that are already happening right now, and the third, that's going to offset some of that consumer spending weakness.
Chris Kennedy
Great. Okay. Thank you. And then it's great to see the continued expansion of margins. Are you still comfortable with your 2026 EBITDA margin target of 15 to 20%. And can you just remind us of the roadmap to get there? Thank you.
Arido Gal
Yeah, sure. We're still fairly in line and very confident in those midterm targets. Like we mentioned, we have various levers that we understand how to pull in order to reach there. And the results of this part of the guideline outstanding still squarely in line, 100%.
Chet Mandel
Great. Thank you.
Operator
And the next question comes from Terry Tillman with Truist. Your line is open.
Terry Tillman
Yeah. Hey, team. Thanks for taking my questions. Maybe just the first question relates to if we just take the challenges within the installed basing store sales activity aside and just the macro assumptions in the second half of the year, you are talking about new sales or upselling activity being resilient or relatively strong. I'm just curious what you've been doing internally you know, more recently or over the intermediate term to, you know, enhance go-to-market. So whether it's field sales or marketing and branding, you know, what are some of the things that you've been doing that you could call out to us that maybe could continue to drive this new business success going forward? And then add a follow-up.
Arido Gal
Yeah, I think it's a team effort, right? It's having the best product that allows you to show in POCs that you're the most accurate solution and It's having a differentiated product that has certain components around policy and dispute that are not available at competitors, but it's also having the best sales force that's able to explain and sell in the best way, the right marketing collaterals, the right training. So in that sense, it takes a village, and I think we continuously try to have better execution across all aspects.
Terry Tillman
And maybe just to follow up the question, you know, the concept of the growth three acceleration, I think you talked about it in the fourth quarter just based on the book of business you're signing and it's starting to roll out. I'm assuming you're probably not getting a whole full fourth quarter revenue contribution from some of this new business activity recently or in the near term, but maybe you could comment on that. And then the second part of that is going forward, assuming there's not a market decline from currently what you're assuming in the macro, Do you think at some point you could grow through the same-store sales issues, and that could actually help growth reaccelerate just because of the broad book of business that you're bringing on? Thank you.
Arido Gal
Yeah, we're definitely happy with the diversity of the book of business. Even in some of the categories that we have, you know, a relatively high concentration in the category, it's across a wide range of merchants, across, you know, a very wide range of geographies. And you're right to point out that right now the macro business is creating year-over-year declines. And even if we continue to see the current environment at some point, we would anticipate to stop seeing that. That type of decline effect would positively impact us.
Operator
And the next question comes from Timothy Chiodo with UBS. Your line is open.
Timothy Chiodo
Great. Thank you for taking the question. A few years ago with the PSD2 in Europe and the liability shift that was created there, it did create some headwinds, and we've lapped that. It's less of a talking point these days, but at the time, there were certainly some transaction exceptions that you could still work on the transaction. You could still get the full chargeback liability product sold to the customer. There were also some other ways that you could support the merchants, whether it be policy abuse or other products. And at the time, there was also some thought of potentially even working with issuers, some of which it sounds like you're doing now. I wanted to shift that same framework or discussion around Apple Pay, Google Pay, and other wallets that come with a similar liability shift. And just to talk about some of the other things you could do with merchants as more and more volumes shift to Apple Pay and Google Pay, is it fair to assume that in some cases, that kind of takes those transactions out of the TAM for chargeback guarantee? And are there still ways that you could work with the merchants on Apple Pay and Google Pay transactions?
Arido Gal
Jason, thanks for that question. Happy to explain. We definitely see Apple Pay within our merchants, and the amount varies by the category. So, for example, when you think about the food category, that's been very resilient and growing for us. I probably have a higher concentration of Apple Pay transactions relative to other industries like luxury fashion. The way we think about it is, A, there's not always a guarantee or liability shift in those instances. For example, if it's a merchant-initiated transaction, there's no liability shift. If you have various geographies or you exceed certain limits, then there's no liability shift. And because of that, some of our merchants would prefer to send us those transactions for the guarantee. And some of our merchants would prefer to send us those transactions under what we call a scoring, a non-guaranteed model. We're very open to both of them. There's less of an impact on the total revenue for us in these scenarios. And let me give you a concrete example that happened a few weeks ago, right? We were in contract negotiations with a merchant. And we would either offer them a blended risk-adjusted fee of 30 basis points for all the volume, including Apple Pay, or there was an alternative offer that said, you know, a risk-adjusted fee of 35 basis points, right, for all of the credit card volume with a fixed fee of 10 cents for, you know, kind of call it Apple Pay transactions. So because our pricing is risk-adjusted, we would assume that the comparable of Apple Pay is included or not nets out to something very, very similar, which is very different than kind of the PSD2 example, which created the loss in volume. On the market size, look, when we think about, you know, e-commerce, travel, remittance, delivery, ride-hailing, that's probably an $8 trillion market to date. Obviously, you need to haircut some of those numbers to get to our true SAM. But you are right that the chargeback guarantee aspect of that is going to be a few trillion in volume. And there are a few hundred billion, maybe like low trillions right now that's in alternative forms of payments where the liability might sit differently. So that's our kind of overall approach there.
Timothy Chiodo
Okay, thank you. That's really helpful context on the Apple Pay, also the example that you gave. The next question is more of an industry question. Just given the data that you have, and my understanding is the integrations are extremely thorough with your merchants, and therefore you get to see a lot of information that maybe others in the payment system don't see. But this topic or category of autofill platforms, whether it be PayPal's Fastlane platform, or Stripe Blank, or the Shop Anywhere offering, it's gaining attention within the investment community. And what is it to see from your seat if you had any thoughts on either uptick, or advantage, or conversion, or if there's any liability of shift that's involved with any of those offerings?