Safe Bulkers, Inc.

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by and welcome to the Safe Falkers Conference Call on the third quarter, 2024, financial results. We have with us Mr. Paulus Haggiano, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Dr. Lucas Bamparis, President, and Mr. Constantinos Adama-Poulos, Chief Financial Officer of the company. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. There will be a presentation followed by a question and answer session, at which time, if you wish to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad and wait for your name to be announced. Following this conference call, if you need any further information on the conference call or on the presentation, please contact capital link at -661-7566. I must advise you that this conference is being recorded today. The archive webcast of the conference call will soon be made available on the Safe Falkers website at .safefalkers.com. Many of the remarks today contain forward-looking statements based on current expectations. Actual results may differ materially from the results projected from those forward-looking statements. Additional information concerning factors that can cause actual results differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements is contained in the third quarter 2024 earnings release, which is available on the Safe Falkers website, again, at .safefalkers.com. I would now like to turn the conference call over to one of your speakers today, the chairman and CEO of the company, Mr. Paulos Pagiano. Please go ahead, sir.

Okay, I would like to present to you, good morning to all, I am Lucas Barbaris, president of Safe Falkers. We had a good quarter compared to the same quarter last year. However, the charter market is gradually softening, allowing with continuing to political uncertainties. We remain focused on capital allocation towards our new builds program, on improving our operational efficiency and on rewarding our stockholders with a dividend of five cents per share of common stock. Following a comprehensive review of the forward-looking statements, which is presented in slide number two, let us begin with a market update in slide number four. The caped market segment has been volatile throughout the quarter. All eight of our capes are presently period charted, boosting an average remaining charter market with a duration of 2.6 years with an average daily rate of $23.6 thousand. This provides us with a considerable degree of cash flow visibility, topping $175 million in contracted revenue backlog from capes alone. On the Panama front, the charter market stands soft at low tens thousand. Moving on to slide five, we present an overview of our CRB commodity index fluctuation in basic commodity prices. Global disinflation continues, raising the prospects of further easing of interest rates, but with a decreased rate, leading to higher for longer interest rates in the context of policy uncertainty. The geopolitical landscape, with continuing tensions in the Middle East, the Red Sea, and Ukraine underscores the heightened level of global uncertainty, which leads to softer global GDP growth, expectations for 2025 and 2026, as reflected in the IMF October forecast for a growth of about 3.2 to 3.3 percent in the coming years, accompanied by control of inflationary pressures. The drive back demand outlook indicates slowing growth with significant uncertainty. According to BIMCO, the forecasted global drive back demand growth will have a 1 percent fall in 2025. China's slower growth may hinder demand for drive back commodities like iron ore and coal, while the impact of the recently introduced $1.4 trillion package over five years for the so-called local government's hidden debt is expected to alleviate pressure on local authorities and free up funds for supporting economic growth and sustains many investors' expectations for more direct fiscal support next year. Iron ore shipments are estimated to grow slightly, but weak Chinese demand and increased recycled steel users are anticipated to restrict growth. Coal shipments may drop by about 3.5 percent due to rising renewable energy use in Asia and increased coal production in China and India. Grain shipments are predicted to rise by 1.5 percent, but may supply remains tight particularly from Ukraine. Minor bulk shipments, including bauxite, are expected to be a key growth driver as demand increases due to the energy transition. Freight rates are likely to be softer, particularly for Panama's vessels, due to the supply-demand imbalance expected from growing fleet sizes and moderating demand. Chinese economy faces challenges from weak domestic demand and India as a state spectro crisis, impacting growth rates. The IMF projects China's GDP growth to be 4.5 in 2025 and 4.1 in 2026, signaling a gradual slowdown. The limited consumer spending and high debt levels are hampering economic recovery, despite the recent fiscal stimulus measures. The weakness in the steel and construction sectors is expected to reduce demand for key commodities such as iron ore. Trade barriers and external pressures could further limit China's growth potential with risks of declination affecting domestic stability. India, on the other hand, is projected to experience the fastest growth among major economies, with a forecast of 6.5 percent GDP increase in 2025 and 2026. India's expanding domestic market and manufacturing sector contributes positively to the drive-back demand, with infrastructure investments playing a vital role, increasing renewable energy, and the economic and industrial growth will be key drivers for India's economic momentum. The agricultural productivity and favorable monsoon conditions could stabilize inflation and support growth and enhancing food security. Let's proceed now to slide 6 to examine supply-side dynamics. A combination of increased recycling and stable delivery rates is expected to balance the fleet expansions, yet supply growth may continue to outpace demand. Excepting pressure on freight rates, the drive-back fleet is projected to grow by about 3 percent on average in 2025 and 2026, due to stable new deliveries and increased recycling, with Panama's losses comprising the largest share. Recycling volumes are anticipated to rise as weaker market conditions could prompt the retirement of older vessels. New building models have slowed as the order book now stands at about 10 percent of the current fleet. Supply could be marginally impacted by congestion reductions, as seen in Brazilian port congestion in 2024, due to smaller grain harvests. Asset prices, which rose in 2024, are projected to weaken over the next few years, and second-hand goods prices may fall in line with expected lower freight rates. Chinese signals are expanding, but unless bulk contracting increases, new building prices are unlikely to rise significantly. Currently, about 25 percent of the existing global fleet is older than 15 years. Safe bulk The fleet now counts 11 Phase 3 vessels on the water, all delivered after 2022. In addition, 23 vessels have been environmentally upgraded, and 11 are eco-vessels, having superior design efficiencies. 80 percent of our fleet comprises of Japanese-built vessels, surpassing the global average of 40 percent, with our other fleet age being just 9.8 years. Overall, our fleet today is fundamentally upgraded and commercially more competitive than two years ago, underscoring our commitment to sustainable business. We will continue to become even more commercially competitive, as we have on our order book seven more Phase 3 vessels, placed at prices well below the prevailing market, to be delivered to us within the next two years. The impact of fleet aging and street and environmental regulations will position our fleet favorably to complete within the street and greenhouse dust targets. Let's go now to slide 8. For our company update, we present an overview of our green fleet advantages. The fleet breakdown is presented in the top right graph, comprising of 46 vessels, with 23 having undergone environmental upgrades, 11 being Phase 3, 11 being eco, and the remaining ones scheduled to be upgraded within this year. The bottom graph presents our fleet renewal strategy, with the divestment of 14 older vessels, acquisition of seven secondhand vessels, delivery of 11 Phase 3 new builds, and an order book comprising of seven more Phase 3 new builds, resulting to a stable 10-year average fleet age over the past four years, as clearly presented in slide number 9, a trajectory of fleet expansion serving as a testament to our commitment towards sustainability. In slide 10, we present a bogus debt profile for the next couple of years, which stands at a very comfortable level throughout the period, with adequate room for our CAPEX spending and shareholding rewarding. As of September 30, 2024, our consolidated debt before the third financing cost is of about 500 million, including the 100 million euro unsecured bond at 295 fixed coupon maturing in February 2027. Our consolidated leverage stands at a comfortable 32%, and our net debt per vessel stood just below 9 million for an average age fleet of less than 10 years old. Concluding the company update, in slide 11 we present same bogus key attributes such as our sterling 65-year track record, a robust management ownership alignment, comfortable leverage of 32%, our ample liquidity of 295 million, our significant contracted backlog of 233 million, our green fleet abundance evidenced by a .4% decrease in fleet air of greenhouse gas emissions, and by our dry BMS standards managed system implementation in a situation of forthcoming environmental regulations. We remain true in our commitment to expand by building a resilient company, owing a quality and competitive fleet, strategically positioned to leverage on the regulatory landscape and reward our shareholders with a meaningful dividend payout ratio. I now pass the floor to our CFO Konstantinos Adamopoulos for our quarterly financial overview. Konstantinos, the floor is yours.

Thank you, Lucas, and good morning to all of you. Then I'll note that during the third quarter of 2024 we operated in a stronger charter market environment compared to the same period in 2023, with increased revenues due to higher charter highs, increased earnings from scrub-affected vessels, and higher interest expenses due to increased interest rate environment. Let's now focus on our liquidity, our cash flows, and our capital structure as presented in slide 13. We are maintaining a comfortable leverage of 32%. Our debt of $499 million remains comparable to our fleet's scrub value of $330 million, although our fleet is young at just 9.9 years old. Our weighted average interest rate stood at .35% inclusive of margin for our consolidated debt, with a portion of $100 million in euros fixed at .95% coupon for the unsecured 5-year bond. We have already paid $94.6 million, or 29% of our commitments for our CAPEX in relation to our outstanding order book. Our liquidity and capital resources stand strong at approximately $318 million, which together with a contracted revenue of about $250 million gives a total of almost $570 million. This is more than double our outstanding CAPEX of $232 million, and this provides flexibility to our management in capital allocation. Furthermore, we have additional borrowing capacity in relation to two existing unencumbered vessels and seven new builds upon their delivery. We ensure that the capital expenditure is adequately covered by our contracted future revenues, fortifying our balance sheet towards a trajectory of sustainable growth. Moving to slide 14, with our quarterly financial highlights for the fourth quarter of 2024 in comparison to the same period of last year. Our adjusted debit for the third quarter of 2024 stood at $41.3 million. This compares to $30.9 million for the same period in 2023. Our adjusted EPS for the third quarter of 2024 was 16 cents, and this is calculated on the weighted average number of 106.8 million shares, in comparison to 8 cents during the same period in 2023. That was calculated on a weighted average number of 111.6 million shares. In slide 15, we present an overview of our quarterly operational highlights for the third quarter of 2024, again in comparison to the same period of 2023. During the third quarter of 2024, we operated 45.27 vessels on average. Those earning an average TCE of $17,108 compared to 44.13 vessels earning an average TCE of $14,861. The company's net income for the third quarter of 2024 was $25.1 million compared to net income of $15 million during the same period in 2023. In conclusion to our presentation, we would like to point out that based on our financial performance, the company's board of directors has declared a 5 cent dividend per common share. We would like to emphasize that the company is maintaining a healthy cash position of about $90 million as of November 1, 2024, another $205 million in committed and available revolving credit facilities, thus a combined liquidity of $295 million. Furthermore, we have contracted revenue for our non-cancellable supported period time charter contracts of $232 million, this is net of commissions, and before scrapped revenue, and additional borrowing capacity in relation to our two unencumbered vessels and seven new builds. We believe our strong liquidity and our comfortable leverage will enable us to expand the fleet while still rewarding our shareholders. We are now ready for the Q&A section.

Thank you. Our first question comes from Emily Harkins with Jeffries. Please proceed with your question.

Hi, this is Emily on for Omar. Thank you for taking our questions. First, you outlined the consolidated leverage is 32% at the end of the quarter. We wanted to know, are you currently taking the leverage or are you taking the leverage? Are you comfortable at this level or are you striving to lower your debt? Is the goal to be debt free? Why or why not?

Could you please speak a little bit slower because the sound is not very clear.

Yeah, of course. I wanted to ask, you outlined that consolidated leverage is 32% at the end of the quarter, and we wanted to know, are you comfortable at this level or are you striving to lower your debt? And is the goal to be debt free?

Yes, good morning to you. This is a very comfortable level. We don't plan to reduce it much further. We take new building deliveries in the next three years. So this ratio, anything below 40%, is good enough, even if it raises to 45% or 50% in later years, it's still a very comfortable ratio given the age of the fleet.

Thank you. And as a follow-up, PANAMAX spot rates have lagged in comparison to other dry bulk classes, such as the CAPES and SuperMAXs. Could you please provide some color as to why there might be a discrepancy there?

Look, the company owns PANAMAXs and CAMSA MAXs, POS PANAMAXs and CAPES. So basically, on the medium to large dry bulk assets, and we don't own any UltraMAXs or any HANDYs. There is not one category that you can decide to expand on. It's opportunistic if you will expand, the company will expand in CAMSA MAXs or CAPES in the future. It remains to be seen according to opportunities that appear. CAPES size vessels are not that many, and their market is, even in periods of low market, they have been doing well in recent years because of demand from China. And of course, in the future, if there's opportunity to expand in that sector of the market, we will do so, but we need to see lower prices to do that.

Thank

you. I'll turn it over. As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, press star 1 on your telephone keypad. One moment please while we repoll for any additional questions. Thank you. It appears we have no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn the floor back over to management for closing comments.

Okay. Thank you for...just a quick remark also in terms of how comfortable we feel with the 32% consolidated leverage. I mean, you can see slide 13, the leverage in comparison with the scrap value of the vessels when they are 25 years old. And you understand that we feel extremely comfortable because we're just about less than $200 million from that price. Now, thank you for attending this conference call, and we're looking forward to discuss again with you in our next quarter for the next quarter and year end financial results. Thank you very much.

Ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation and have a wonderful day.