5/20/2025

speaker
Conference Call Operator
Moderator

Thank you for standing by, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Safe Bowl Clears Conference call on the first quarter 2025 financial results. We have with us Mr. Pales Hazianou, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Dr. Lucas Barampas, President, and Mr. Konstantinos Adomopoulos, Chief Financial Officer of the company. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. There will be a presentation followed by a question and answer session, at which time, if you wish to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad and wait for your name to be announced. Following this conference call, if you need any further information on the conference call or on the presentation, please contact the capital link at -661-7566. I must advise you that this conference is being recorded today. The archived webcast of the conference call will soon be made available on the Safe Bowl Clears website, .safebowlers.com. Many of the remarks today contain follow-up statements based on current expectations. Actual results may differ materially from results projected from these follow-up statements. Additional information concerning factors that can cause the actual results to differ materially from those in the follow-up statements is contained in the first quarter 2025 earnings release, which is available on the Safe Bowl Clears website. .safebowlers.com. I would now like to turn the conference call to one of your speakers today, the chairman and CEO of the company, Mr. Palis Hezianou. Please go ahead, sir.

speaker
Lukas Barbaris
President

Hello, I will do the presentation. So good morning to all. I'm Lukas Barbaris, president of Safe Bowling, and I'm welcoming you to our results. During the first quarter of 2025, we faced the shortage of markets due to seasonality, geopolitical uncertainties, and concerns related to tariffs, which could affect global trade and growth. We maintain our strong balance and took delivery of our 12th new build. In this volatile environment, we continue to renew our fleet, focusing on operational excellence, environmental performance in relation to IMO regulations, and the creation of long-term value for our shareholders, maintaining a strong capital structure, ample liquidity, and a leverage of about 7%. Further to our repurchase program of roughly 3% of the company's common stock, which we fully completed, we've declared a 5 cents per share dividend, rewarding our homeowners. We remain focused on capital allocation towards our new build program, on improving our operational efficiency and environmental footprint, as all our actions are targeting to increase the wealth of our shareholders. Following a comprehensive review of the forward-looking statements, language, which is presented in slide two, let's proceed to examine the supply-side dynamics in slide four. The dry-bark fleet is projected to grow by about .8% on average in 2025 and in 2026, due to stable new deliveries and increased recycling with Panama's vessels, comprising the largest share. The order book now stands at about 11% of the current fleet, and new building orders have slowed. Asset prices are projected to weaken further, and secondhand ships' price may fall in line with freight market. Recycling volumes are anticipated to rise through as market continues prompt the retirement of older vessels. 13% of ship capacity in the order book will be capable of using alternative fuels upon delivery, and out of those ships, 40% can use LNG, 37% methanol, and 23% ammonia. However, the dual fuel order book in the dry-bark sector is minimal. We do have two dual fuel new builds in order with delivery by Q1 2027, and currently about 25% of the existing global fleet is older than 15 years. Sealed by the fleet now counts 12 Phase III vessels on the water, all delivered after 2022. In addition, 24 vessels have been environmentally upgraded, and 11 are eco-vessels, having superior design efficiencies. 80% of our fleet comprises of Japanese-built vessels, surpassing the global average of 40%, while our off-average fleet age is about 10 years old. We believe that as energy efficient designs will have an advantage the coming years, we will become even more commercially competitive as we have on our order book six more Phase III vessels, which were placed at prices well below the prevailing market to be delivered to us by the first quarter of 2027, positioning us favorably to compete within the stringent greenhouse gas targets. It is worth noting that MEPC 83 has adopted the new environmental regulation in relation to global fuel standard, which conceptually is similar to fuel EU regulation. The global implementation of a fuel standard that penalizes the excess of fuel carbon intensity compared to specific predetermined reducing limits broadens the scope of the region of fuel EU, and will substantially affect the vessels' trade ability 2028 onwards, promoting the use of alternative fuels and the energy efficient Phase III vessels. The recent decisions of the MEPC 83 dictate a faster pace towards decarbonization. Moving on to slide five, we present an overview of the demand and basic commodity trade. The combination of trade war, as expressed through tariffs and the Chinese property crisis, elevate policy uncertainty and pose a considerable downside risk for global growth and against disinflation. For our segment, we anticipate a softer freight rate market and supply grows faster than demand, and we expect an increasing focus on the existing fleet decarbonization and on energy efficient new buildings. The global GDP growth expectations for 2025 and 2026, as reflected in the IMF's April forecast, cause for a growth around .8% in the coming years, combined by gradual control of inventory pressures. According to BIMCO, the forecasted global dry-bar demand will be from minus 1% to 0% in 2025, followed by a growth from .5% to .5% in 2026, with grains and mineral bars being the best performing sectors. China's slower growth may hinder demand for dry-bar commodities like iron ore and coal. Iron ore shipments are estimated to slightly grow as a factor by the rising renewable energy use in Asia and the increased coal production in China and India. Grain and mineral bar shipments are predicted to rise and expected to be a key growth driver. The IMF projects China's GDP growth to be 4% in 2025 and in 2026, signaling a slowdown in consumption, and delayed stabilization in the property market and persistently low consumer confidence and trade uncertainty. India, on the other hand, continues to perform and is projected to experience the fastest growth among major economies, with a forecasted .2% GDP increase in 2025 and 2026. Increased renewable energy and industrial growth will be key drivers for India's economic momentum. Its expanding domestic market and manufacturing sector may continue to contribute positively to the dry-bar demand, with infrastructure investments playing a vital role. Summing up, the supply-demand equilibrium on slide 6, the supply growth is expected to continue to outpace demand, except in pressure on freight rates. The clip market segment has been weaker through the year. On the other hand, all eight of our capes are currently period-chatted, with an average remaining chatted duration of two years and an average daily chatted rate of $23,000. There's about 16,000 on the spot market, providing us visibility of cash flows, topping 137 million USD in contract revenue backlog from capes alone, excluding the scrubber benefit. On the Max front, the charter market stands short at about $11.5 million. Moving to slide 8, we present an overview of our quarterly highlights. We have declared our 14th consecutive quarterly dividend for $0.05, representing a .5% dividend yield, while at the same time, our free cash flow finances our new building program. Furthermore, we completed the repurchase program of three million common shares. We maintained output liquidity, profitability, and capital resources of $276 million, and a comfortable leverage of 37%. Why we achieved zero vessels for 2024 in the D&T carbon intensity CII rating of IMO? Lastly, recently we took delivery of our 12 phase 3 nuclear, serving as a testament to our commitment towards sustainability. In slide 9, we present our returns to shareholders of $73.6 million paid in common dividends and $69 million paid in common shares. Repurchases since 2022. We have been consistent in generating sustainable returns across market fluctuation as a result of our track record, hedge fund management, and our overall business model. Concluding the company's update in slide 10, we present our strong fundamentals. Safe Bulkers is a dry bulk company with 390 million market cap, 47 vessels on the water, having 317 million scrap in value. We maintain significant firepower with 128 million gas, 149 million in unknown ACFs, and 176 million borrowing capacity against our significant order book of six new builds mainly in Japanese shipyards. We consistently focus on our majority Japanese build fleet, which has an advantage on energy efficiency and lower CO2 taxation, reflected in our CII rating at the bottom of the D&E for 2024. We maintain a young technologically advanced fleet, strong balance, comfortable leverage, and low net debt per vessel of 8.5 million for a -year-old fleet. We have built a resilient business model with cash flow visibility of 203 million in revenue backlog, health expansion for sizable fleet that achieves scale, and a minimum 5% annualized dividend to give a strategic position to leverage on the environmentally regulatory slug scape. I now pass the floor to our CFF, Konstantinos Zadamopoulos, for our quarterly financial overview. Konstantinos, the

speaker
Konstantinos Zadamopoulos
Chief Financial Officer

floor is yours. Thank you, Lucas, and good morning to all. During the first quarter of 2025, we operated in a wicked charter market environment compared to the same period in 2024. With decreased revenues, decreased earnings from scarred fitted vessels, and increased operating expenses. Moving now on slide two, with our quarterly financial highlights for the first quarter of 2025 compared to the same period of last year. Our adjusted debita for the first quarter of 2025 stood at $29.4 million, compared to $64.3 million for the same period in 2024. Our adjusted earnings per share for the first quarter of 2025 was $0.05, calculated in the weighted average number 105.1 million shares, compared to $0.20 during the same period in 2024, calculated in the weighted average number of 110.4 million shares. On the graph on the top, during the first quarter of 2025, we operated 46 vessels on average, earning an average daily time charge equivalent of $14,655, compared to 47.08 vessels on average, earning a time charge equivalent of $18,158 during the same period in 2024. Our daily vessel operating expenses increased by 6% to $5,765 for the first quarter of 2025, compared to $5,442 for the same period in 2024. Daily vessel running expenses, excluding dry docking and pre-delivery expenses, increased by 10% to $5,546 for the first quarter of 2025, compared to $5,038 for the same period in 2024. Concluding our presentation, slide 13, we present a quick overview of our quarterly operational highlights for the first quarter of 2025. We would like to highlight that based on our financial performance, the company's board of directors declared a 5 cent dividend per common share. We would like to emphasize that the company is maintaining a healthy cash position of around $122 million as of May 9, 2025. Another $128 million available in committed revolving trade facilities shows how to combine liquidity and capital resources of $250 million. Furthermore, we have contracted revenue from a non-tanchelable spot and period time contracts of $179 million, head of commissions, and this before any additional scrapped revenue. We also have additional borrowing capacity in relation to six new builds upon the delivery and one existing new build that is debt free. We believe our strong liquidity and comfortable leverage provide flexibility to our management in capital allocation, and this would enable us to expand the fleet further, build a resilient company, create a long-term prosperity for our shareholders. Thank you and we are now ready to take your questions. Thank

speaker
Conference Call Operator
Moderator

you. We'll now be conducting a question and answer session. If you have to ask a question at this time, you may press star one from your telephone keypad and a confirmation tone to indicate your lines in the question queue. You may press star two if you would like to withdraw your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up the handset before pressing the star keys. One moment please while we poll for questions. Thank you. While we pause to assemble the queue, we'll just start one to ask a question. Thank you. Our first question comes from the line of Omar Nakhat with Jeffries. Please receive your questions.

speaker
Omar Nakhat
Analyst, Jefferies

Thank you. Hi guys, good afternoon. Thank you for the update. Clearly you've been buying back shares at a fairly decent rate I'd say, clearly over the past few years. You launched a five million share buyback three months ago. You finished it up fairly quickly. How are you thinking about buybacks from here? Obviously there's still a lot of uncertainty just given the macro, but the outlook maybe seems to have gotten slightly better perhaps just based off of the way the financial markets have acted here post this China-US agreement. Maybe that brings about a more positive attitude. Just wanted to get a sense from you. How does that this backdrop affect your view on further share purchases from here?

speaker
Lukas Barbaris
President

Yes, as you are aware, we always react on a very consistent basis and according to certain principles. So the things that we are considering in order to initiate a buyback program is first of all, what is the condition of the market? So in profitable markets, we tend to buy more shares. Second is the price of our stock. So if we feel that the stock price is depressed, we may initiate buyback programs. Generally, as already said several times, we believe that our stock is undervalued. So quite often it's worth investing for everybody, not only for us, or instead of buying a new ship.

speaker
Omar Nakhat
Analyst, Jefferies

Yeah, makes sense. And then I guess maybe just as you kind of think about the idea of buying your stock, obviously NAV seems to have crossed different metrics or different whomever is calculating it, it's definitely material above the stock price. What would you, how could you, can you maybe just give perhaps how you're seeing the sale and purchase market as it is now? We understand that values have been rather elevated given where freight rates are and some of the uncertainty in the market. Can you just give a flavor of what you're seeing in ship values and how things are looking directionally?

speaker
Palis Hazianou
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Yes, the, the, hello from me, the, the, the, the SMP values I would say that have dropped in the last six months around 25% on the older ships and around 15, 10 or 15% on the very modern ships. So it's not really, it's not really attractive prices to start buying ships right now considering where the freight market is. So at this point of time we're not doing much, we have our new buildings, take delivery off, and we're doing the buyback from time to time. But off because also the buyback we don't want to do it too fast or too, too, too, too much in a hurry because you know the company still has to take the delivery of six ships and we don't know, we don't know how to do a very fast buyback until market improves, freight market improves. So we are there and we're waiting for the opportune time to buy stock once it remains depressed in a situation that we have better signs of some improvement in the freight market. If the freight market stays at current levels we are not going to have a better chance at a better trade market because we have to keep all companies options open.

speaker
Omar Nakhat
Analyst, Jefferies

Yep, that makes sense. Great, well thank you. I'll send it back.

speaker
Conference Call Operator
Moderator

The next question is from the line of Colin Mullins with Value Investors Edge. Please receive your questions.

speaker
Colin Mullins
Analyst, Value Investors Edge

Hi, good afternoon and thank you for taking my questions. I wanted to start by following up on Omar's questions on buybacks. Could you confirm whether the three million share program was exhausted during the first quarter and if not how much was spent post quarter end?

speaker
Palis Hazianou
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Yes, this I think we have reported has been exhausted, yes. All three million have been purchased so the program has been completed.

speaker
Colin Mullins
Analyst, Value Investors Edge

Yeah, I was asking if you could clarify whether any repurchases were done after quarter end for modeling purposes mostly. After?

speaker
Lukas Barbaris
President

After quarter end. Only in the first quarter. I mean the whole repurchase program was completed within the first quarter.

speaker
Colin Mullins
Analyst, Value Investors Edge

That's very helpful, thank you. And I also wanted to ask about your capesizes which are all now employed on medium-term contracts. You have a couple of those coming open later this year. Is there any appetite to trade them on spot or would you prefer to fix them on time charters?

speaker
Palis Hazianou
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Yes, one has come open, is coming open this month. At the moment the charter rates, period charter rates are not at the levels we would hold for a long period. We will opt for round boys in the spot market at the current levels and try then after a month or so to refix that maybe on period if there is a better environment. The other one will come open, it's another one that is most likely will come open around August. Again we will judge at the time if she's delivered in August. That's the earlier part of the window. If she's delivered at that point we will now see at the time what is the best thing to do. You know generally we are trading the spot market unless we see employment, period employment over a couple of years, above 20,000 then we consider the period employment.

speaker
Colin Mullins
Analyst, Value Investors Edge

Makes sense, thank you. That's everything from me. Thank you for taking my questions and congratulations for the quarter. Thank you.

speaker
Conference Call Operator
Moderator

Thank you. At this time I'll turn the back to management for closing remarks.

speaker
Lukas Barbaris
President

Thank you very much for attending this hour, this webcast and we're looking forward to discuss again with you in the next quarter. Have a nice day. Thank you.

speaker
Conference Call Operator
Moderator

This will conclude today's conference. We'll disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation. Have a wonderful day.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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