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spk06: Good morning and welcome to Supergroup's second quarter of 2022 earnings conference call. Following management's prepared remarks, we will open the call for Q&A. I would now like to turn the conference over to Lisa Kampf, Vice President of Investor Relations.
spk01: Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining our call today to discuss Supergroup's results for the second quarter of 2022 and outlook for the year. During this call, we may make comments of a forward-looking nature that are subject to risk, uncertainties, and other factors discussed further in our SEC filings that could cause our actual results to differ materially from our historical results or from our forecast. We assume no responsibility to update forward-looking statements other than as required by law. Additionally, on today's call, we may refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures. These non-GAAP financial measures are in addition to and not a substitute for measures of financial performance prepared in accordance with GAAP. The reconciliation of historical non-GAAP financial measures to the most comparable GAAP figures are included in the press release issued earlier today and available on the Investor Relations page of Supergroup's website. Also, please note that we have posted a supplemental presentation to the investor relations section of our company website, along with the press release, the link to the replay of this webcast, and filings with the SEC. The presentation includes the financial information that will be referred to during this call. Today, I'm joined with Neil Menashe, Chief Executive Officer, and Alinda Van White, Chief Financial Officer. After our prepared remarks, we will open the call up for questions, and we will also be joined by Richard Hasson, President and Chief Operating Officer. And now I would like to turn the call over to Neil.
spk05: Thank you, Lisa. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. Supergroup is and continues to be uniquely positioned to take full advantage of the projected growth in the global online betting and gaming markets. a sector expected to exceed $145 billion by 2025. Our Betway and Spin brands enjoy worldwide reach and recognition, and we are actively working on a number of geographic opportunities that will allow us to deliver future growth. And most importantly, our business is diversified, profitable, and highly cash-generative. This quarter, we again demonstrated the benefits of our global model and recently formed holding company structure, which was good progress made in a number of areas. We grew average monthly active customers to 2.7 million, up 3% from the second quarter of 2021. We saw good growth in key markets, such as Africa and Asia Pacific. Our sports betting continued to deliver positive growth. We kept a smooth Ontario license process with the transition of Betway into the regulated regime with spin to follow next week. And we have progressed the U.S. state-by-state licensing of Supergroup that is a prerequisite for the acquisition of Digital Gaming Corporation, DGC. Our results for this quarter of net gaming revenue of €316 million and adjusted EBITDA of €54 million And for the half year of net gaming revenue of €631 million and adjusted EBITDA of €117 million, remain resilient despite the impact of the normalisation of entertainment spending patterns post-COVID and the current headwind effects of general economic uncertainty on discretionary spending. We expect that these effects will continue to be felt for the remainder of the year and have updated our guidance accordingly. Elinda will discuss both our results and our guidance in more detail shortly, but I want to emphasize two things first. One, I believe that our year-on-year results do not properly reflect our achievement over the last 12 months. Our continued progress across the globe is better reflected by a growing global TAM and ongoing growth in active customer numbers. Two, ongoing regulatory change plus post-COVID normalization will ultimately benefit Supergroup because we have an efficient cost structure and only an over 20 years track record of trading profit profitably through thick and thin. Importantly, our control over marketing, our products, and our operating costs gives us a number of levers to optimize with. Here is what we are doing. First, efficient brand spend to maintain global awareness, where we will continue to optimize our portfolio of over 60 worldwide partnerships by focusing on profit. Second, we will enter new markets and expand in existing markets, particularly where regulatory changes provide opportunity. In the absence of a past attractive ROI, we will reduce or delay spending. Third, over the next 18 months, as we extract cost efficiencies arising from the formation of the holding company with significant savings to be delivered in 2023. Turning now to some specific market-related updates. In Canada, we are pleased to report the smooth transition last week of best ways on tariff-regulated environments, and we expect SPIN to migrate next week. Given the regulatory restrictions of public advertising of bonuses in Ontario, we don't expect to see the same level of unsustainable price competition that happened in the United States. We remain confident from past experience that regulation will be favorable for us in the medium and long run, and we hope to see regulation introduced to Canada's other provinces in due course. In the meantime, we will continue to trade as before, and we expect that Canada will continue to underpin our 20-year track record of consistent profitability and cash generation. Some of our historically key Western European markets continue to be on hold. We are still awaiting licensing in the Netherlands in anticipation of launch, and we have not yet concluded the assessment of the ongoing viability of casino gaming in Germany post the new regulations. In the United States, our goal of completing the acquisition of DGC remains the end of this year. This is, of course, subject to various regulatory timelines. To recap, DGC is a brand licensee of Betway, currently live in seven states, and with secured market access in up to 12. DGC will be a tremendous addition to Supergroup and the fastest and most efficient way for us to enter the U.S. We look forward to completing the regulatory approvals and having DGC become part of Supergroup as soon as possible. Moving on to the balance sheet. Consistent cash generation has built a strong balance sheet that is an asset to Supergroup. For cash on hand, we are considering various opportunities, including investing in brand and other marketing channels to generate profitable long-term growth, M&A for expansion into new and existing markets, or the acquisition of useful skills or technology. DGC is a good example of this. and returning caps to shareholders. On returning cash, at our first annual junior meeting in September, we're asking for authorization to buy back shares. This is a typical and standard step for Guernsey companies, and we want that authorization to be able to act if it's in the company's best interest. However, we are paying close attention to the low flow, so any use of this authorization would keep that in mind. In conclusion, let me sum this up for you. We believe that online gaming businesses are resilient, but they are not immune to macroeconomic pressures. What Supergroup has is a global footprint and a competitive cost structure that we intend to keep and improve. We are experiencing these pressures, but our underlying business is healthy, and we continue and will continue to grow over time. Our balance sheet remains strong, our business fundamentals are sound, and we'll stay focused on long-term opportunities around the world. Thank you. I'll now turn the call over to Linda for a detailed discussion of our financial results. Linda.
spk00: Thank you, Neil. As you are well aware, 2022 has been a difficult year for many industries, including the global digital gaming industry. With changes in consumer behavior driven by economic uncertainty, revenue growth has slowed down. In the second quarter, Supergroup's net gaming revenue was €316 million, down 7% versus the prior year quarter. However, on a consistent basis, excluding European markets that were closed for us this year due to regulatory changes, net gaming revenue in the second quarter has decreased by 5%. Looking at the first half of this year, Supergroup's net gaming revenue is down by only 1% from 2021 to €631 million. Back to the quarter's results. We also experienced a shift in revenue mix. In quarter two, 2021, our net gaming revenue was split 50-30 between Betra and Spin. This year, during the second quarter, Betway grew to 55% against SPIN's 45%, a sports betting group while casino gaming declined. The shift in revenue mix negatively impacted our EBITDA margins, owing to Betway's lower operating margins as compared to SPIN's. starting with our sportsbook revenue. Compared to Q2 last year, sportsbook revenue increased by 6 million or 6%, mainly due to good growth in key markets in Africa and APAC regions, despite being partially offset by declines in Europe and Canada. Growth in sports betting, net gaming revenue from Africa and APAC markets represent positive momentum, resulting from continued good growth on the customer base, and retention rates. In some of the few markets where it would appear that the COVID lockdowns had relatively limited impact. The growth in APAC was also due to the full IPL season during 2022, after the cancellation of the IPL season in 2021 due to COVID. The decline in Europe was mostly due to regulatory changes in Germany and Netherlands, and fewer sports offerings in 2022, in particular with limited soccer in June this year. On that note, the English Premier League and France League One kicked off again last weekend, and we are seeing an encouraging increase in activity. We look forward to other major European leagues starting this weekend. In conjunction with our EPL brand partnerships, over half of the 380 games will feature some of BetWise's branding, including our sponsorships of West Ham. Other upcoming events include the T20 Cricket World Cup in October and November, followed by the FIFA Soccer World Cup in November and December. Moving over to casino. Casino net gaming revenue decreased by 29 million, or 12%, compared with the same quarter in 2021, of which €4 million can be attributed to the closure of Netherlands, with the remainder primarily due to the decline in iGaming revenue in Canada. We believe that the decline in Canada is due to a combination of two things. People are getting back to normal behaviors post-COVID, and inflation is putting pressure on spending. Similar factors can be seen in several of our markets across the globe, but the impact is felt most in Canada, as that is our largest market. Despite all of this, our total average monthly active customers increased over 3% to 2.7 million compared to 2.6 million in the prior year quarter. Supergroup is well on its way to achieving a diverse mass market business. On to EBITDA. We continue to present adjusted EBITDA, which is EBITDA adjusted for fair value adjustments on warrants and turnout liabilities, associated foreign exchange movements, and non-recurring expenses. On that basis, adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter was down 36% or $30 million to $30 54 million compared to 84 million in the prior year period. Looking at the whole year, adjusted EBITDA for a six-month period was 117 million, a decrease of only 21% from 2021. This quarter, the steeper decline in EBITDA compared to the decline in net gaming revenue resulted from several factors. Brand licensing revenue declined by 12 million euro in the second quarter of 2022. On the expense side, variable or direct expenses decreased by 2% as compared to prior year quarter. Gaming taxes and product costs fell in line with revenue, but this was offset by an increase in payment processing and related foreign exchange costs due to growth in markets where those costs are structurally higher. Supergroups' marketing costs went down by 7 million or 8% on a net basis. A reduction of our variable marketing was offset by continued marketing investments in partnership deals for long-term brand and revenue growth. General and administrative costs, which was largely fixed in nature, increased by $6 million or 10%. Reasons for this increase include nominal annual salary increases, increased technology and infrastructure costs, and the cost of additional corporate governance requirements following our public listing back in January. Looking at our financial position, our balance sheet remains strong with unrestricted cash and cash equivalents of €220 million at the end of June, with no debt. Our cash flow ratio for the year so far is 74%. On to our guidance. In addition to revising our guidance to take into account the current conditions, we will be reporting revenue as opposed to net gain revenue going forward. This is because the structure in Ontario as well as certain other jurisdictions as a company like Supergroup operating as an agent of the authorities or the license holders. What that means in simple terms is that our reported revenue will include net gaming revenue in some jurisdictions, agency revenue net of fees in other jurisdictions, and other revenues such as brand license income. Back to the numbers. For the full year, we project revenue for 2022 under the new definition to range between 1.15 and 1.28 billion euros. and adjusted EBITDA to range between €200 million and €250 million. For the EBITDA bridge to the original guidance, please refer to the presentation on the website. I want to emphasise that our new revenue projection does not appear NGR because of the change you just mentioned. However, NGR still remains at our core. Some of the material assumptions underpinning our revised guidance. Sorry, I'm just going to go back to the numbers. I just want to reiterate the guidance. The definition for guidance is change to revenue as noted. The net gaming revenue, the revenue guidance will be between 1.15 and 1.28 billion euros and adjusted EBITDA to range between 200 and 215 million euros. Some of the material assumptions underpinning our revised guidance. Firstly, projected revenue has been reduced from prior guidance after taking into consideration expected ongoing pressures from multiple economic and regulatory headwinds, together with some further degree of post-COVID normalisation. Brand licence revenue for the remainder of 2022 is expected to remain lower at approximately €2 million per month. Brand marketing being kept at the levels consistent with our earlier forecast because our focus on investing remains for the long term. And finally, operating costs as expected to be higher in 2022 due to inflation and the additional cost of being a public company. The net effect is that we expect EBITDA margin to be approximately 17% to 19%. This is not the margin that we consider acceptable in the long term, and we are actively reviewing and carefully optimizing all of our costs while working to extract the benefit of the holding company structure that we implemented in connection with becoming a public company just over six months ago. We expect some of the benefits from this to accrue this year, but meaningful impacts will be noticed in 2023 when we expect to realize 20 to 25 million euros decrease in annual overhead costs due to efficiencies. I also want to briefly touch on our projections. We received some entirely justified critical feedback following our withdrawal of estimates, coupled with a lack of specific details in this time of our call last quarter. We run our global business with a long-term mindset. Making and then possibly adjusting projections in the short term is sometimes something that is new to us, and we have taken steps to improve our ability and comfort in providing more transparency while still protecting our competitive interests. In conclusion, results for the second quarter of 2022 are evidence of the difficulties of dealing with regulatory changes, post-COVID normalization, and economic uncertainties. We are focused on implementing a leaner cost structure, carefully balanced against future growth prospects in order to preserve our financial strength as we seek to continue to expand our global footprint and grow new and existing revenues wherever possible, regardless of our challenges. I will now turn the call back to Neil for his final remarks.
spk05: Thank you, Alinda. In summary, we generated a healthy level of revenue and EBITDA for this quarter, and we remain uniquely positioned in the global online gaming universe. We are digital only. We have a diverse global footprint across sports betting and iGaming. We are in control of our tech stack, our data, and our algorithms. We are profitable, debt-free, and highly cash-generative. And we have a team that's been weathering these types of challenges for over two decades. Some of these challenges may be around for a few quarters, but Supergroup is a strong company with a healthy balance sheet, and we will continue to go after profitable growth. Thank you. I'll now turn the call over to Operator to open the call up for questions.
spk06: Thank you. At this time, we will be conducting a question and answer session. Also joining the management team today for question and answer is Richard Hasson, President and Chief Operating Officer of Supergroup. Participants who would like to ask a question may press star and one on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star and two if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the start keys. One moment, please, while we poll for questions. Our first question comes from the line of Jason Turkin with Canaccord Genitiv. Please go ahead.
spk02: Yep, morning. Thanks for taking the question. I just wanted to focus on Canada a bit. You mentioned both inflationary pressures and sort of normalizing behavior compared to the COVID impact from last year for the declines there. I'm just wondering if the read-through there is that competition from sort of more operators in the market was not a factor there or just less of a factor. Then maybe you can just as a follow-up also touch on the delay in the licensing for SPIN and whether last quarter you talked about you're still able to operate as you were previously with regulator knowledge. I'm wondering if that took place throughout the entire period from last quarter through now, or if there was any change to that. Thanks a lot.
spk05: I'll take that. With Canada, as with all other markets we operate in, there is competition. There's competition in all our markets. For us, it's Canada is with the same company as we were a year ago. Canada is all about, obviously, going now regulated in Ontario. With Betway went last week, and Spin's going next week. So up to now, they've been operating on the old software, and they've now moved over. And Betway, in the last seven to eight days, is in line with our expectations. So Spin's going next week. So we've learned a lot from Betway, and then we can implement that into Spin.
spk09: Thank you.
spk06: Our next question comes from the line of Bernie McDonough with Needham & Co.
spk03: Please go ahead. Great. Thank you for taking the questions. Maybe to start, will you talk about the 20 to 25 million of cost reductions? Just to be clear on the timing, are those all happening in 22 so you'll receive the full benefit in 23? And then given the cost reductions is 25% EBITDA margin something that's achievable in 23?
spk00: Thanks, Bernie. We started the process, and it was a continuous process anyway since our listing to look at our cost base. In my presentation, I make reference to 2022. We really started the focus. We will see it in the last quarter coming to fruition, but the impact of the $20 million to $25 million is in 2023. And that will obviously be visible on the margin. And to your question regarding the 25% margin, I mean, obviously, like I've said, the 17% to 19% margin is not where we would like to be. We're aiming for 20% and continuous growth in that margin by getting all our ratios back intact with a focus on our top-line growth.
spk03: Understood. And then we'd just love some commentary in terms of what you're seeing from the the customer LTVs because of the macro in the COVID comparisons, whether it's players turning off altogether, whether people are playing less and engaging less, if it's smaller bet size, less handle. We'd just like to see what's actually happening underneath the hood.
spk05: First of all, listen, it's across the globe. Because we're global, it's not just one country. It's across the globe. So you see different effects in different markets. But definitely from our point of view, it's just that the discretionary spend of our customer has come down. But in other markets, you know, we've got more customers, so maybe their spend is slightly down, but then they are spending more over time, you know, with us because we've got more customers. So it's definitely a macroeconomic headwind, but, you know, that's what I said. As this levels out and post-COVID, we are – but as I said, we've still got 2.7 million users using our software, and that's going up.
spk08: Thank you. Thank you.
spk06: Our next question comes from the line of Mike Hickey with the Benchmark Company. Please go ahead.
spk11: Hey, Neil, Richard, Alinda. Thanks, guys. Good morning or afternoon, wherever you guys are. Thanks for the questions. I guess just to double-click on the macro again, it seemed like the online casino player was historically been fairly resilient in times of sort of economic distress. And while we have inflation, we also have strong employment. And, of course, you're global, and I'm looking from a U.S. lens. So I guess if we could, again, I guess sort of understand why it's different this time. And I think you mentioned that perhaps your sports betting client was doing better in your gaming. I think I heard that. I'm just curious if that's true and why that is.
spk05: First of all, gaming is not immune. It's resilient. It's resilient, but again, we've never seen inflation like this in 40 to 50 years. So now 20 years, we haven't seen it yet. We've seen downturns in 2008 with financial crisis, but not something that's affected our customer discretionary spend. But because we're global, different markets, including sports, have different customer values, et cetera. But from our point of view, again, it's about what's happening in each of these countries, each of these markets, and how the customers are engaging on our platform.
spk08: Fair enough.
spk11: Inflation is brutal. I agree with you. I guess so when your players are – I mean, how do you adjust your playbook or your app to sort of account for that weakness? I mean, how does that sort of change your hold targets? How does that change your promotional activity? What adjustments have you made or do you plan to make for a player that is dealing with macro issues that could extend for another player you know, six to 18 months.
spk05: I guess that becomes to your customer count again. And, you know, it's having more customers spending slightly less, but in different markets, you know, there are different player baskets, et cetera, for that. So from our point of view, remember, this business is a mass market business. This is not a business of high-valued customers. This is a business across the spectrum. So it's about the numbers of customers and your software being able to be superior in those markets and giving them the customer entertainment experience that they want and offering them the right casino games that they like if it's lower-bet-sized games. And remember, our algorithms and everything that we do is individualized to the customers. And the same with sports betting. It's offering them all the different sports events that they would like to bet on. And that's why we're saying is when you've got lots of these competitions, for example, last year, this time in June, last year we had the Euro, and now we didn't have the World Cup this year, but the World Cup's coming in November and December. So when you compare this June to last June, it isn't a fair comparison. So all of this helps with bringing the customers into the software and then, of course, they bet us.
spk11: Okay, fair enough. Last question for me is on the U.S. market. I'm sorry if I missed this. Are you just sort of the timeline, I guess, on DGC? It seems like it's been hanging out there for a while. I'm curious. Sorry again, Neil, if you mentioned this, but just where you are in closing that transaction, and then maybe just reexamine. Given everything that's changed so fast in terms of the MACBO, conditions, how you're thinking about entering the U.S. market today, you know, versus six months or a year ago, and how you think about, you know, the impact to your 23 numbers. I think, Galinda, originally, you know, you were saying it was sort of a these are my numbers, maybe it was $8 million to $13 million in annual negative numbers. adjusted EBITDA impact. Just curious if that's still the same range you're thinking and if your intent or your playbook or design of going to the U.S. market is the same given all the volatility. Thanks, guys.
spk04: Hi there. Richard here. So the closing of the DGC acquisition, it is still on track for our target, our goal of having that done by the end of the year. As we mentioned before, there are a number of licenses that Supergroup needs to be granted before that time. So we're obviously working to the timelines of the regulators in those various states. So that remains our goal. In terms of the U.S., our plan remains very much the same. You know, in terms of the 2023 targets, sorry, in terms of the 2023 numbers, we expect the range of impact to EBITDA, assuming that BGC was in the super group for the whole year, to be between 50 and 70 million euros. with our target break even for the end of 2024, beginning of 2025.
spk09: Thank you, guys.
spk06: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Jed Kelly with Oppenheimer. Please go ahead.
spk10: Hey, great. Thanks for taking my question. Just, too, if I may, circling back to the macro, Can you talk about what regions you're sort of seeing an impact due to the higher dollar? Because just trying to reconcile with what you're seeing, and I know you're global, versus what we heard last week from some of the North American operators where they're not seeing an impact. And you also heard that in travel as well, particularly travel in Europe is stronger. So are you seeing more of an impact in APAC in Africa as And then just on the change in the revenue, can you talk about, like, is that a benefit or can you talk about how that impacts the financials and the growth rates? Thank you.
spk05: Okay, so I'll just say, because we're the same company as we always have been, so because we're in the global marketplace across the world, of course we have currency fluctuations if it's coming out of Africa, APEC, et cetera, right? So from us, those currencies are always swinging against the dollars or the euros, right? So that we've had anyway. And we continue to grow the revenues in those markets, despite even if it's offset slightly by some currency losses in those markets. But that's the global nature of Super Group from that point of view. So for us, yes, I can't comment on our competitors. But remember, we are not in the U.S. We are across the world. So we have global factors across the world in the market that we operate in.
spk00: And then just on your question regarding the guidance for revenue, The guidance is high-quality revenue. I'm being very precise in the reforcast because to make sure that it's a strong, achievable target for all our businesses and to make sure that it's the high-quality revenue that comes through and that our teams are very focused on now achieving for the remainder of the year.
spk10: And then... It seems that you're getting live in Ontario this week. Is there a margin drag or anything we should be thinking about from paying a higher tax rate or anything now that you're going to be, I guess, on the legalized or not legalized, but regulated? You'll be a regulated operator in Ontario. How should we think about patting the back on the margins?
spk00: Thank you, Patrick. So, I mean, like previously stated as well, the initial introduction into the regulatory environment is always a bit of an impact on the margin. But we've got all systems in place to make sure that margin is recovered towards the end of the year. With the most important impact is that even though you've got, I refer to it as agency fee, which is the tax. that you're implying about. The most important thing is that the cost associated should theoretically come down as well, like better processing capabilities, so your variable cost is in line then will be reduced, but also our cost base is intact for the Ontario transfer and to make sure that our margins for Ontario is as per expectation of our guidance.
spk10: Got it. And then just one more for me. Just as we look out to next year, you know, sort of the countries, you know, the Netherlands, Germany, where you're having the regulatory headwinds. I mean, do you expect to be operating in those countries next year? And does that actually become a tailwind? Or how should we think about that? Thank you.
spk05: Well, Germany, we are still operating in Germany, so it's just there's no hot casino in Germany. But Netherlands, we're still working with the regulator. But it's not in any of our guidance for 2022.
spk10: What about 23? Would you be expected to be operating there?
spk05: Yeah. So Germany, yes. And Netherlands, we hope so. It all depends on the regulator in that market.
spk10: Okay. So that would be an additional market you're live in for next year.
spk05: Yeah, yes, yes. Germany we currently live with now. We just don't have iCasino. So it depends on the iCasino and the taxes that they want in Germany will then depend if it's feasible for us to do iCasino, iGaming in Germany.
spk09: Thank you.
spk06: Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes our question and answer session. And this concludes our call today. We thank you for your interest and participation. You may now disconnect your lines.
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