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spk09: Greetings and welcome to the Site One Landscape Supply fourth quarter and full year 2021 earnings call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to your host, John Guthrie, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer for SiteOne Landscape Supply. Thank you. You may begin.
spk04: Thank you and good morning, everyone. We issued our fourth quarter and full year 2021 earnings press release this morning and posted a slide presentation to the investor relations portion of our website at investors.siteone.com. I'm joined today by Doug Black, our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, and Scott Salmon, Executive Vice President, Strategy and Development. Before we begin, I would like to remind everyone that today's press release, slide presentation, and the statements made during the call include forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could, cause actual results to differ materially from our expectations and projections. Such risks and uncertainties include the factors set forth in the earnings release and in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Additionally, during today's call, we will discuss non-GAAP measures, which we believe can be useful in evaluating our performance. A reconciliation of these measures can be found in our earnings release and in the slide presentations. I would now like to turn the call over to Doug Black.
spk03: Thanks, John. Good morning and thank you for joining us today. We were pleased to continue our excellent momentum during the fourth quarter, finishing 2021 with tremendous growth in sales and profitability. Despite the overall economic uncertainty, the market demand for professional landscaping services has remained healthy. In this environment, our teams performed very well, executing our commercial and operational initiatives and delivering superior value to our customers and suppliers while overcoming COVID-19 challenges, rapid product cost inflation, select supply shortages, and ongoing freight and labor constraints. As a result, we believe that we are steadily gaining share on top of the underlying market growth. Furthermore, our recent acquisitions performed well, and we added eight more high-performing companies to our family during the year. In total, 2021 was an exceptional year in which the power of Site 1, stronger together, was on full display. With stronger teams, even more capability, healthy underlying demand, and a good backlog of potential acquisition targets, We enter 2022 with significant momentum and look forward to another year of outstanding performance and growth. I will start today's call with a brief review of our unique market position and our strategy for long-term performance and growth, followed by some highlights from 2021. John Guthrie will then walk you through our fourth quarter and full year financial results in more detail. and provide an update on our balance sheet and liquidity position. Scott Solomon will discuss our acquisition strategy, and then I will come back to address our outlook for 2022 before taking your questions. As shown on slide four of the earnings presentation, we have grown our footprint to more than 590 branches and four distribution centers across 45 U.S. states and six Canadian provinces. We are the clear industry leader, over five times the size of our nearest competitor, yet we estimate that we only have about a 15% share of the very fragmented 23 billion wholesale landscaping products distribution market. Accordingly, our remaining growth opportunity is significant. We have a balanced mix of business with 64% focused on maintenance, repair, and upgrade, 21% focused on new residential construction, and 15% on new commercial and recreational construction. We are also the only national full product line wholesale distributor in the market. Our balanced end market mix, broad product portfolio, and geographic coverage give us multiple avenues to grow and more ways to create value for our customers and suppliers, while providing important resiliency in software markets. Turning to slide five, our strategy is to leverage the scale, resources, functional talent, and capabilities that we have as the largest company in our industry, all in support of our talented, experienced, and entrepreneurial local teams to consistently deliver more value than our competitors to our customers and suppliers. We have come a long way in building Site 1 and executing our strategy over the last six years, but we are still in the third or fourth inning of our overall development as a truly world-class company. Accordingly, we remain highly focused on our commercial and operational initiatives to further build our capabilities and improve the value that we deliver to customers and suppliers. These initiatives are complemented by our acquisition strategy which fills in our product portfolio, moves us into new geographic markets, and adds terrific new talent to Site 1. Taken all together, our strategy creates superior value for our shareholders through organic growth, acquisition growth, and EBDA margin expansion. If you turn to slide six, you will see that our strategy is working. Over the last six years, we've been able to deliver consistent organic growth, strong acquisition growth, and excellent EBDA margin expansion, while investing heavily in SG&A to build our IT, category management, supply chain, finance, marketing, operational excellence, and acquisition teams, as well as our underlying systems infrastructure to include our digital capabilities. You will note that over the last five years we grew our sales by over 100% and our adjusted EBITDA by over 200%. This shows the power of our three value creation levers, organic sales growth, acquisition growth, and EBITDA margin expansion. Given that we are still relatively early in our development, we feel confident in our ability to continue driving all three of these levers going forward. We have much work to do in building our systems infrastructure and our digital capabilities across Site 1, in addition to executing the more advanced phases of our commercial and operational initiatives. Accordingly, we will continue to invest heavily in these. Our field and field support teams, who play a big part in leveraging our investments and facilitating our initiatives, are largely in place, and so each year our teamwork experience, and synergies get stronger across Site 1. We can see this in the increased market share gains, organic growth, and improved operating leverage that we achieved in 2021. Going forward, we will build and leverage our capabilities further to accelerate performance for all stakeholders. You will also note that we have now completed 64 acquisitions across the irrigation, agronomics, nursery, hardscapes, and landscape supplies product lines during the last eight years, with eight completed in 2021. We only acquire well-run companies, and so all of these acquisitions were already high-performing companies before joining SiteOne. After they join us, we together enjoy the benefits of our combined commercial and operational capabilities. Acquisitions are a key source of new talent and ideas and therefore they enhance our competitive advantage as we grow. Our acquisition pipeline remains very robust, and we have significant potential to continue growing through acquisition for many years to come. As a final note on slide six, we are very pleased in 2021 to achieve 11.9% adjusted EBDA margin, exceeding the 10% adjusted EBDA margin milestone that we set for ourselves at the time of our IPO in 2016. Back in 2016, we knew that we had an extraordinary potential for improvement in our return on sales, and so 10% represented a reasonable milestone for the midterm. Six years later, we have learned a great deal and achieved many improvements. However, we also realized that we have the potential to continue improving our profitability as we deliver even higher value to our customers and suppliers in the future. Longer term, with full execution of our commercial and operational initiatives, we believe that Site 1 should be able to consistently gain market share while operating with an adjusted EBDA margin of between 13% and 15%. Through our three value creation levers, organic growth, acquisition growth, and EBDA margin expansion, we will continue to provide superior returns to our shareholders in the years to come. Slide 7 shows the long runway we have ahead in filling in our product portfolio, which we aim to do primarily through acquisition, especially in the nursery, hardscapes, and landscape supplies categories. We are well-networked with the best companies in our industry and expect to continue filling in these markets systematically over the next decade. I will now discuss some of our 2021 performance highlights as shown on slide eight. We delivered 29% net sales growth in 2021 with 20% organic sales growth and 9% net sales growth added through acquisition. Organic daily sales growth was an exceptional 22% and was evenly divided between 11% volume growth and 11% price inflation. We are particularly pleased that we achieved excellent organic volume growth across all product lines, all geographies, and across all sizes of customers, reflecting the healthy underlying end market demand and our ability to gain market share. This result also reflects our investments in marketing to better reach small customers, especially small Hispanic customers, and attract them to Site 1. In total, our net organic customer count increased by 8,400 customers, or approximately 3% in 2021. Gross margin improved 160 basis points to 34.9% for the year, as we benefited significantly from our proactive inventory management during this high inflation period. I would note that we would not expect some of this gain to repeat in 2022. On the pricing front, rapid cost inflation was a challenge, and we were very pleased with the ability of our local teams to work closely with our suppliers and customers to pass through the extraordinary product cost inflation that occurred in the market. We also continued to execute our initiatives with private label products and small customers, both of which grew faster than our average. On the SG&A side, our operational initiatives and disciplined cost management offset the higher variable expenses associated with the strong organic sales volume and our continued investments in marketing and digital. Accordingly, SG&A as a percent of net sales decreased by 100 basis points to 25.9%. We achieved good cost efficiency benefits from MobilePro, which allows mobile branch transactions and from our Transportation Management System, or TMS, both of which we began rolling out in 2019. These two deployments highlight the power of investing in new technologies to improve customer service and increase operating leverage. We will continue to broaden the use of MobilePro and TMS across Site 1 while making more of these types of investments through our operational excellence teams in the future. The combination of strong organic sales, impressive gross margin improvement, and good contribution from acquisitions allowed us to deliver adjusted EBDA growth of 60% for the year and expand adjusted EBDA margin by 230 basis points to 11.9%. We are extremely proud of this achievement as we exceeded our 10% adjusted EBDA margin milestones. As I mentioned before, we will now set our sights on improving our adjusted EBDA margin further to the 13% to 15% range in the coming years. In addition to MobilePro and TMS, we continue to make progress on our other important investments during 2021 to build our capabilities for the future. We opened our fourth distribution center near Dallas, Texas in the third quarter and is now fully operational and supporting our growing company. During the last two years, our distribution centers have proven to be critical in managing supply chain challenges and navigating periods of rapid inflation. The DCs also allow us to expand our private label brands and increase efficiencies with our suppliers. In 2021, we made great progress with the rollout of our new Salesforce Customer Relationship Management System, or CRM, which will help our over 400 outside sellers bring increased value to our current customers and drive growth through new customers and increased share of wallet. We expanded and strengthened our digital team and made good progress with SiteOne.com in 2021 as we used the learnings gained from our Tampa, Florida and Los Angeles, California pilots to further improve the content, features, and service capabilities of our e-commerce platform. We have also significantly improved our product data on SiteOne.com with better images and descriptions over more of our product catalog. We have achieved higher usage of SiteOne.com in these test markets and are now launching a more aggressive rollout across SiteOne in 2022. We expect to make great progress in online usage this year. At the same time, we are connecting directly with our larger customers through their business management software and or through EDI to facilitate their ability to secure jobs and easily order from Site 1. We will continue to invest aggressively to ensure that Site 1 is the digital leader in the professional landscaping services market. Lastly, we made further strategic marketing investments during 2021, to increase the awareness of Site 1 and to drive organic sales growth in our targeted customer and product segments. We are excited with the results that we achieved with increased awareness, growth among Hispanic customers, and good growth from our product marketing efforts. The marketing team also completed a review of our partners program and will be piloting changes in 2022 to further improve customer benefits and loyalty in the coming years. We are very optimistic that our investments in digital and marketing can create significant competitive advantage for SiteOne. Overall, through our strategic investments and initiatives, we will remain focused on providing world-class tools, processes, training, and technologies to deliver value to our customers and suppliers and help our associates be more productive so that they can better help our customers to win. On the acquisition front, we added eight high-performing companies to our family during the year, all of which provide us with excellent new talent and capability for growth in their respective markets while adding approximately $155 million and trailing 12-month sales to Site 1. Our acquisitions performed very well during 2021 contributing significantly to our growth in adjusted EBITDA. Our development teams remain active, and we expect a busy 2022. To ensure that we continue to drive attractive acquisition growth as we become a larger company, we expanded our development team during the year under Scott Salmon, including the addition of a senior leader focused solely on integrating our new companies. We expect our expanded team to drive even higher growth through acquisition in the next several years. With an experienced team, broad and deep relationships with the best companies, a strong balance sheet, and an exceptional reputation, we remain well positioned to grow consistently through acquisition. As a final recent achievement, we were excited to publish our 2021 ESG report in early October. In this report, we shared our vision to become a true company of excellence, which we define with five objectives. These objectives are, one, be a great place to work for our associates. Two, deliver superior value to our customers. Three, be the distributive choice for our suppliers. Four, deliver attractive performance and growth for our shareholders. And five, be a good neighbor in our communities. The 2021 report includes expanded disclosures of our team's progress across these objectives. We look forward to updating you on our progress annually and continuing to enhance our disclosures going forward. In summary, 2021 was a breakthrough year in many respects, and we are excited about the significant momentum that we carry into 2022. I could not be prouder of our teams and the way in which they worked through the many challenges that we faced in 2021 and yet executed our strategy at a very high level to take care of each other, serve and support our customers, and deliver tremendous value for our suppliers, shareholders, and communities. The passion, commitment, and teamwork across Site 1 is second to none, and we remain excited about both the short- and long-term opportunities to achieve excellent performance and growth for all our stakeholders. Now, John will walk you through the quarter and full year in more detail. John? John?
spk04: Thanks, Doug. I'll begin on slide nine with some highlights from our fourth quarter results. We reported a net sales increase of 19% to 805 million in the quarter. There were 61 selling days in the fourth quarter, which is four fewer days than the 65 days we had in the fourth quarter of 2020. This translates into roughly 41 million in reduced sales in the fourth quarter of 2021 compared to 2020. For the full year, net sales increased 29% to $3.5 billion. We had 253 selling days in 2021 compared to 256 selling days in 2020. Organic daily sales increased by 21% in the fourth quarter and 22% for the full year. Organic daily sales continued to benefit from robust residential and commercial new construction as well as the stay-at-home trend in which homeowners are spending more on maintaining and upgrading their outdoor living spaces. Like last quarter, our organic daily sales growth benefited from strong price inflation resulting from rising product costs. Price inflation contributed approximately 18% to the organic daily sales growth for the quarter. While price inflation played a large role in the quarter, we were pleased with 3% volume growth despite some very challenging counts from last year. For the year, we saw volume growth of 11% and price inflation of 11%. The strong volume growth for the year is indicative of not only the strength of the market, but also our ability to gain share. We experienced double-digit growth across all major product lines and geographic regions. We were also pleased that we achieved strong growth with our professional contractor as opposed to the DIY customers who contributed significantly in 2020. Organic daily sales for landscaping products, which includes irrigation, nursery, hardscapes, outdoor lighting, and landscape accessories was strong again this quarter, increasing by 18% in the fourth quarter and 21% for the full year. Organic daily sales growth for agronomic products, which includes fertilizer, control products, ice melt, and equipment, was also strong, increasing 28% for the quarter and 24% for the full year. Both landscaping products and agronomic products were significantly impacted by cost inflation as the prices for products like fertilizer, grass seed, and PVC pipe remained elevated relative to 2020. We expect this trend to continue through the first half of 2022 and then moderate when we start to account the higher prices that we are now seeing in the market. Acquisition sales, which reflect the sales attributable to acquisitions completed in both 2020 and 2021, contributed approximately $44 million, or 7%, to the overall fourth quarter growth rate. For the full year, acquisitions contributed $242 million, in net sales, or 9% to the overall growth. We are pleased with the performance of our acquisitions. Scott will provide more details regarding our acquisition strategy later in the call. Gross profit increased 27% to $282 million for the fourth quarter, and gross margin increased 220 basis points to 35.1%. Similar to the third quarter, our gross margin was positively impacted by supply chain initiatives price realization, and increased supplier incentives. With regard to the supply chain initiative, we benefited from our proactive management of freight costs as well as strategic inventory purchases ahead of the supplier cost increases. Supplier incentives accounted for a little over 80 basis points of the improvement in the fourth quarter, with the remaining improvement primarily attributable to the combination of price realization and strategic inventory purchases. For the year, gross profit increased 35% and gross margin increased 160 basis points to 34.9%, primarily attributable to our supply chain initiatives and price realization. We do not expect the rapid price inflation to repeat this year, and so we do not expect to get the same gross margin benefit from price realization in 2022. As Doug will discuss in the outlook, we expect a modest gross margin reduction in 2022 as their gross margin improvement initiatives, like private label and small customer growth, are more than offset by the loss of the price realization benefit. Selling, general, and administrative expense, or SG&A, increased 22% to $247 million for the fourth quarter. SG&A, as a percentage of net sales, increased 70 basis points to 30.7%. The increase in SG&A as a percentage of net sales primarily reflects increased investment in our strategic initiatives and higher marketing and administrative costs. For the full year, SG&A increased 24% to $901 million, and SG&A as a percent of sales decreased 100 basis points to 25.9%. The improvement in SG&A as a percentage of net sales was primarily due to operating leverage resulting from our strong organic sales growth combined with disciplined expense management. For the fourth quarter, we recorded income tax expense of $2.7 million compared to $1.6 million in the prior year period. For the full year, income tax expense was $56.1 million compared to $27.5 million in the prior year. Our effective tax rate was 19% for the 2021 fiscal year compared to 18.5% for the 2020 fiscal year. The increase in the effective tax rate was due primarily to an increase in net income before taxes partially offset by an increase in the amount of excess tax benefits from stock-based compensation. Excess tax benefits of approximately $20 million were recognized for the 2021 fiscal year as compared to approximately $11 million for the 2020 fiscal year. We expect the 2022 fiscal year effective tax rate will be between 25.5% and 26.5%, excluding discrete items such as excess tax benefits. We recorded net income for the fourth quarter of $27.5 million, compared to $11.5 million for the prior year period. The improvement was primarily driven by our strong sales growth and gross margin improvements. Net income for the 2021 fiscal year grew 97% to $238.4 million compared to $121.3 million for the 2020 fiscal year, primarily driven by higher sales, gross margin, and SG&A leverage. Our weighted average delivered share count was $45.8 million for the 2021 fiscal year compared to $44.1 million for the 2020 fiscal year. The increase in the weighted average diluted share count was primarily attributable to our equity offering completed in August 2020. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 41% to $61.8 million for the fourth quarter compared to $43.9 million for the same period in the prior year. For the full year, adjusted EBITDA increased 60% to $415.1 million compared to $260.2 million for the 2020 fiscal year. Adjusted EBITDA margin reflecting our SD&A leverage and gross margin improvement increased 230 basis points to 11.9% for the 2021 fiscal year. Now I'd like to provide a brief update on our balance sheet and cash flow statement as shown on slide 11. Networking capital at the end of the year was $616 million compared to $483 million at the end of the 2020 fiscal year. The increase in networking capital primarily attributable to higher receivables resulting from our strong sales growth and an increase in inventory resulting from cost inflation and increased safety stocks. We are carrying more inventory to mitigate the risk of supply chain disruptions, ensure that we can satisfy our customer demand. In addition, in the third quarter of 2021, we opened a new DC in the Dallas area and started the relocation of our Atlanta area DC to a new larger facility. As I mentioned last quarter, we believe the new DC will increase the efficiency of our network by bringing inventory closer to market as well as reduce our freight expense. In the short term, we are also carrying additional inventory in our DC to reduce the potential risk of disruption caused by the transition. Cash flow from operations increased to approximately 51 million in the fourth quarter of 2021 compared to approximately 49 million in 2020. The increase in cash flow was primarily driven by our increased profitability. Cash flow from operations decreased to approximately 211 for the full year of 2021, compared to approximately 229 million in the prior year. The decrease was primarily attributable to our increased investment in working capital. We made cash investments of 85 million for the quarter, compared to 97 million in the same quarter last year, and 182 million for the 2021 fiscal year compared to $184 million in the 2020 fiscal year. The decrease in cash investments reflects slightly lower spend on acquisitions in 2021 compared to 2020. Net debt at the end of the 2021 fiscal year was approximately $247 million compared to approximately $250 million at the end of the prior year period. Leverage decreased 0.6 times our trailing 12 months adjusted EBITDA compared to one times at the end of the 2020 fiscal year. The lower leverage reflects our improved profitability. Our target net debt to adjusted EBITDA range is one to two times at year end, but is dependent upon our investment in acquisitions for a given year. At the end of the year, we had available liquidity of $418 million, which consisted of approximately $54 million of cash on hand and approximately $364 million in available capacity under our ABL facility. In summary, a priority from a balance sheet perspective is to maintain our financial strength and flexibility without sacrificing long-term growth or market opportunity. I will now turn the call over to Scott for an update on our acquisition strategy.
spk01: Thanks, John. As shown on slide 12, we acquired two companies in the fourth quarter. bringing our total to eight for 2021, with combined trailing 12-month net sales of approximately $155 million. Since 2014, we have acquired 64 companies with approximately $1.2 billion in trailing 12-month net sales added to Site 1. Turning to slides 13 and 14, you will find information on our most recent acquisitions. On November 12th, we acquired Semco Stone, one of the largest natural stone distributors in the Midwest, with four wholesale locations across Ohio and Missouri. This acquisition further expands the number of markets in which we provide a full range of landscaping products and services to our customers. Also, on December 1st, we acquired Steffner Rock and Gravel, located in Tampa, Florida. Steffner establishes our first hardscapes and bulk landscape materials location in the Florida market. By teaming up with these two high-performing partners, we continue to deliver on our strategy to expand the product's services, and overall value we offer our customers across all of our markets. Summarizing on slide 15, our acquisition strategy continues to create significant value for Site 1. Our pipeline remains strong across all lines of business and geographies, giving us confidence that we will be able to add many more outstanding companies to Site 1 in 2022. We are pleased that so many owners continue to choose Site 1 as a great home for their family businesses. These strong leaders and innovators are a powerful force within SiteOne as they help us to improve the value that we deliver to customers and suppliers. As they bring us fresh ideas and help us to grow and improve, we provide the resources and flexibility for them and their teams to pursue both their personal and professional passions. Ultimately, we all win. Stronger together. I want to thank the entire SiteOne team for their passion and commitment to making SiteOne a great place to work and for welcoming the newly acquired teams when they join the SiteOne family. I am confident in our ability to keep adding more outstanding new companies through acquisition in 2022, creating terrific value for all our stakeholders. I will now turn the call back to Doug.
spk03: Thanks, Scott. I'll wrap up on slide 16. As mentioned, we are carrying a significant amount of momentum into 2022 and are cautiously optimistic about the year despite the tough comparisons that we faced from last year. As John mentioned, we expect the high inflation to continue through the first half of the year and then moderate in the second half as we start to comp the higher prices that we're experiencing now and as some of our commodity product prices return to more normalized levels. Combined with the healthy underlying demand for professional landscaping services, the market should provide a reasonable environment for us to execute our commercial and operational initiatives and drive further growth in sales and profits in 2022. In terms of markets, we are currently seeing solid demand trends in all of our end markets, maintenance, repair and upgrade, and both residential and commercial new construction. Our contractors remain busy and have strong backlogs to start 2022. We understand that there is currently a lot of economic uncertainty associated with inflation. but we have not yet seen this translate into lower demand. Furthermore, we expect to gain market share as we deliver higher value to our customers and further execute our customer and product growth strategies, including our marketing and digital initiatives. Taken together with the anticipated inflation, we would expect to achieve high single-digit organic daily sales growth for the full year 2022. As John discussed, we do not expect to repeat the significant price realization benefits that we achieved last year with the rapid run-up in inflation. However, we expect to mitigate this reduction in price realization with our gross margin improvement initiatives. Overall, we would expect gross margin to be in the range of 34 to 34.5% in 2022. While we will be able to achieve some SG&A leverage, we expect our adjusted EBDA margin to decline modestly in 2022. In terms of acquisitions, as Scott mentioned, we currently have a strong pipeline of high-quality companies and look forward to adding more of these to the SiteOne family during the year. Our acquisitions are performing very well, and we continue to improve our ability to integrate them into our company. Accordingly, we expect acquisitions to contribute strongly to our performance and growth in 2022 and the years ahead. With all of these factors in mind, we anticipate our fiscal 2022 adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $430 million to $450 million, which represents year-over-year growth of 4% to 8%. This range does not factor any contribution from unannounced acquisition. In closing, I would like to sincerely thank all our Site 1 associates who continue to amaze me with their passion, commitment, teamwork, and selfless service. We have a tremendous team, and it is an honor to be joined with them as we deliver increasing value for all our stakeholders. I would also like to thank our suppliers for supporting us so strongly and our customers for allowing us to be their partner. Operator, please open the line for questions.
spk09: Thank you. At this time, we'll be conducting a question and answer session. If you'd like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star 2 if you'd like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. In the interest of time, we ask that you each keep to one question and one follow-up. Thank you. Our first question comes from the line of Ryan Merkle with William Blair. Please proceed with your question.
spk06: Hey, thanks. Good morning, and congrats on a strong finish to 2021. Thanks, Ryan. So, Doug, first off on the sales guide for 22, can you just break out price versus volume? And then I'm also curious about your estimate for industry growth in 22.
spk03: Yeah, so as we look out in 22, as we mentioned, our customers have good backlogs. They're busy. We think that the economy will hang in there. Residential is probably going to be slower than this year, but still some growth. New commercial we think will be very solid. And then repair and remodel right now on the professional side is pretty robust. So our guide of high single digit, we do expect high inflation to continue, as we mentioned, through the first half. It will moderate in the second half. We would say that the majority of that will be inflation, but we'll still get a little bit of volume growth. We think, again, the market's going to be fairly solid, and there should be some growth in the market, although we're cautious about that. And we feel like we'll pick up our consistent one or two points of growth through market share gains as we add more value across the product portfolio. But for the total growth for the year, you consider most of that inflation with some volume growth.
spk06: Got it. That's helpful and I think makes sense after such a strong 21. And then just turning to gross margin, I guess a couple questions there. How much did the strategic inventory buys help gross margins in 21? And then how should we think about the cadence of gross margins? Maybe more flattish year-to-year in the first half of 22 and then down slightly second half?
spk04: Well, if you look in Q4, you know, price and the strategic inventory buys were about 130 basis points. And, you know, the specific, our guide going forward with, you know, the 34 to 34.5 really kind of has us going backwards on that component of the gross margin. So, you know, it is somewhere in that range. With regards to the cadence for next year, we would expect it would go down similarly to what Doug reflected in his discussion about price. And really kind of Q1 will probably still be a positive year. margin outlook, and then tailing off as we go out throughout the year. With Q3 and Q4, in Q3 we were at 310 basis points, a significant portion of that was a price realization, and then obviously this quarter also a significant portion of the gross margin beat was due to price realization. What we have kind of going forward is those two kind of pickups trailing off and not necessarily repeating. We don't think the opportunity for that benefit will occur again next year.
spk06: Okay, got it. So it sounds like a little bit more of a decline second half versus sort of my comment about modest is what you're saying. Yeah. Yeah. All right, great, guys. I'll pass it on. Thanks. Thanks, Brian.
spk09: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of David Manthe with Baird. Please proceed with your question.
spk02: Thank you. Good morning, everyone. Good morning. So, to start here, Doug, maybe you could orient us on contribution margins as we move toward that 13 to 15 goal. in 2020 you ran about 17 percent and that was before the unusual uptick in pricing that we saw last year so once gross margins normalize here in 2022 as you look out to the first say one to three years re-accelerating toward that new 13 to 15 percent ebitda goal what are you thinking in terms of contribution margins at least early in that curve
spk03: Yes, I think you should see contribution margins that were typical for us as we were going from 8.5% up through, let's call it 11.5%. Obviously, 11.9% this year, but there was some extra gain in there. Through that period, John, correct me if I'm wrong, we would normally be in the 17% to 18% incremental ebitda on on sales and you know we think we should be able to be in that range maybe call it call it 15 or 16 to 18 percent um gets down to the bottom line once we get settled you know this year going going forward i know john any color on that no i i think i think those are those are the numbers and and we should be able to you know continue to eek out um our move forward on our on our
spk04: overall EBITDA margins after we kind of reset this year.
spk02: Okay. And then second, in terms of acquisitions, since the IPO, you've averaged about high single-digit growth contribution. The first few years was low double-digit. Lately it's been more mid-single to high single. And I think in the monologue, Doug, you mentioned you expected higher growth via acquisition. I'm trying to parse out that definition. Do you mean higher than the mid-single-digit growth contribution we've seen in the last few years or something else? I'm just trying to get a finer point on what you mean by higher growth via acquisition.
spk03: Good question. Obviously, we've got a lot of big numbers going on here. As we approach $4 billion and $5 billion, we need to be able to do more dollar acquisitions to stay in that range of 7% to 13%. That's what I was referring to is that we've added a couple team members to Scott's team in order to up our sourcing of deals and also to take the integration burden off of our acquisition professionals so that they can be focused on courting and finding and getting deals done. And so we still feel that 7% to 13% range is a solid range. To hit the high part of that range, we'd have to have a bigger deal. There's probably a dozen companies out there that are 100 million or north of 100 million. We'd need one of those to drop to be in the upper part of that range. But without that, we feel we can be in the 7% to 10% range. with a normal cadence of acquisitions without that larger deal that will come every couple of years. Does that make sense? We need to up the dollar amount of acquisitions that we're doing and integrating. Quite frankly, if we look back over the last four or five years, there were times where our ability to just integrate and digest deals were the things that were you know, holding us back, and so we've alleviated some of those bottlenecks so that we can, you know, keep up with our growth.
spk02: All right. Thanks, Doug. Appreciate it. Thank you.
spk09: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Steven Bookman with Jefferies. Please proceed with your question.
spk00: Hi. Good morning, guys. I wanted to go back to the gross margin for a second and just talk a little bit about some of the moving pieces. Do you think that there are certain classes of items that will actually go down in price in 2022? And if that were to happen, I guess it will happen at some point with some of the chemicals maybe. But would you then lower your prices or do you sort of hold price when that happens? Just how does that dynamic work?
spk04: Well, there is a component of our business that has a commodity nature to it, say, for instance, fertilizer. And raw ingredients play a large component of what that price is. So as prices drop, you know, We would follow the market down. Eventually, there may be timing issues both on the up and down, but in general, the market will settle out at a lower price with regards to where we are at right now. We have some of that built into our model, into our guidance. For those components that have really risen over the past year, especially in the second half, that they actually may go down and may be copying the second half of this year on a slightly negative number.
spk00: Thank you. Anything to call out on the commercial side of the business? Does that grow more quickly in 2022? Just any trends there would be great things.
spk03: We're seeing good growth in commercial as we have had really starting I think a year and a half ago. The market is strong and our customers have good backlogs. We have a project services group that bids on those types of projects for our customers. We provide bids for our customers. That group, the numbers are up in the fourth quarter versus last year. So we do anticipate that there will be growth in the commercial side. It's a smaller part of our business. It's 15% when you combine that with the recreational. That's commercial new construction. But we do think it will be healthy this year. Thank you. Thank you.
spk09: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Matthew Boulay with Barclays. Please proceed with your question.
spk08: Hey, good morning. This is Ashley Kim on for Matt. So my first question is just are you hearing anything from customers on constrained labor capacity, you know, within their own operations? And then any concerns there that that could kind of cap growth even if demand remains supportive?
spk03: We've been hearing about labor constraints for about three years. It's been an issue. It's going to continue to be an issue. It does cap growth in the short term. In other words, if the weather is particularly good or you have a hot market like we've had over the last couple of years in repair and remodel, there's only so much the contractors can do. So yes, we anticipate that constraint, but it's not anything that we haven't seen. Our customers are finding ways to grow. When you look at an annual basis, as they automate their business, as they use more equipment, quite frankly, some of our services and products are aimed at helping them to be more efficient and get more done with fewer people. So they're continuing to get more productive. and they manage that constraint. But yes, the constraints there, it's tough to find labor for everyone, and we don't feel that that's going to go away in 2022, but it's nothing that we haven't seen in the last couple of years.
spk08: Thanks for that. And then are you seeing any relief in supply, or are you still kind of finding yourself operating in a pretty tight backdrop?
spk03: It's still tight, and it's in specific products across the spectrum. And again, that's been the case in the last 18 months, or really since the COVID ramp came back in 2020. As we mentioned, we've got our fourth DC that's up and running. We use our distribution centers to cushion ourselves against the supply chain disruptions. In general, our category and purchasing teams do a great job of staying ahead of that. Yes, the supply chain constraints are still there. We think they're going to be with us for most of the year. Site 1, we're built to be able to navigate those. In fact, it gives us a strategic advantage over our smaller regional competitors in some ways. And as we mentioned, we have our inventory well stocked for the year, so we've anticipated that those constraints are going to continue and are prepared to grow despite them.
spk08: All right. Thanks for that, and good luck.
spk03: Thank you.
spk09: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Mike Dahl with RBC Capital Markets. Please proceed with your question.
spk07: Hey, guys. This is Ryan Frank. I'm from Mike. So question on the long-term EBITDA guide. I think previously you guys have said gross margins in the mid-30s and SG&A in roughly the low 20s. So gross margins basically there given the guide that you said this year. And you've done a good job leveraging SG&A, but it sounds like you're going to kind of continue to invest in the near term. So I guess my question is what drives the SG&A leverage over time and when do you really think you guys can start seeing kind of those significant sign-of-fits again?
spk03: Right, good question. You know, as we look out forward, we do expect to improve our EBDA margin on both sides. So we do expect gross margin to continue to improve, although, as you mentioned, we think there's an endgame there that we'll reach eventually. And then on the SG&A efficiency side, We still have a lot of ways to make our field more efficient. With our CRM, our CRM is brand new and we've just rolled that across. As we begin to use that more effectively, that will help make our customers more efficient and us more efficient. Digital, we're embryonic in digital. As we ramp that up, that makes, again, both our customers and us more efficient. And then in our field, things like PMS and mobile pro are designed to first and foremost enhance our customer experience, but they also make our field more productive. And we're perfecting those and we've got upgrades to those and we're learning as we go. So we feel that there's still, and if you look, I guess the final aspect is, if you look back at 2014, we were 2.9 million per branch. today we'd be almost $6 million per branch, and we're going to continue to increase the revenue per branch, and that brings its own economies of scale on a local level. So when you put all that together, we do expect to be able to drive SG&A as a percent of sales down significantly, and we'll be working on that for the next five to seven years.
spk07: Got it. And then Would it be safe to say that, I guess, maybe less leverage in the next one to two years and probably more leverage further out? Or is it kind of even spread?
spk03: You know, I think it would be fairly even if you look at this year, you know, we're investing heavily still. We're also, you know, working hard to make sure that, you know, we have full staffing. And I would add the final thing is that, you know, we're seeing labor inflation that's that's in excess of what we've seen before. Those factors work against leverage. We'll still get SG&A leverage this year, but it will probably be lower. When I say 2022, it will probably be lower than we would anticipate getting in 2023 and beyond. In the large scheme of things, we think it should be fairly spread out.
spk04: John, anything? Yeah, I think one of the things that as we approach kind of improving margins, each year we look at improving the business and identifying different things that are going to, you know, add efficiency, improve either gross margin or SG&A leverage. And so there's not one big, I would say, cliff out there that's going to do it. But as we continue to expand in private label each year, as we continue to increase our share with small customers, each one of those things has an incremental growth. And as we get better and better with digital driving additional organic sales growth, the natural gearing of the business comes through. So I don't think it's that we're waiting for some year where it just jumps. Obviously, that's what happened this year, but more so that, you know, it's distribution to grind in every year where you look at and making incremental improvements in your business that, you know, drive out, you know, 30 basis point of EBITDA margin improvements.
spk07: Got it. That's very helpful. Congrats on the quarter, and I'll pass it on. Thank you. Thank you.
spk09: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Damien Harris with UBS. Please proceed with your question.
spk05: Hey, good morning, everyone. Congrats on the great year.
spk04: Thank you, Damien.
spk05: How to follow up question on price. Would you guys maybe be able to provide a little additional color on where the incremental price is coming from since the third quarter, which product categories? And what's the timing of your most recent price actions you've taken? And just curious if there's any conversation around whether there's any possible further price inflation from here.
spk04: So we saw really what you saw in the second half of the year, prices ramp up. Here in the first quarter of this year, you know, a lot of those manufacturers who don't, you know, what we saw in the second half of last year was a lot of increase with you know, things like PVC pipe and fertilizers that ramp up, that reprice regularly. In the first quarter of this year, prices continued. We're seeing continued price increases, but more from, I would call, more highly manufactured products where the suppliers increase their price, you know, put out a new price for the year. So we are seeing some of that coming in right now, and price has not dropped off here in what we've seen so far and probably won't in the first quarter. But then in the second half of the year, as Doug alluded to, we start comping the higher prices, maybe even some of those commodity-type items, let's say fertilizer or PVC pipe, may even go down a little year over year, but let's say 80% of our business where it's kind of more stable products, those, A, haven't risen as dramatically as some of the other products, more consistent pricing increases, and those products we would expect kind of the price that's going in here at the beginning of 2022 would probably, we would expect those to hold for the full year.
spk05: Okay, that's really helpful. And I just want to ask you about free cash flow. I think you alluded to, you know, some working capital investments, you know, maybe led to a little bit lower than 75% net income conversion. How are you thinking about free cash flow this year? What are your expectations there?
spk04: Yeah, we generally think that we want to hit net income with free cash flow, so 100%. I think if you look at our three-year average, we're at about 110%. Last year was like 170% was really lumpy, if you will. And so this year with our investments in working capital kind of really preparing us for the D.C. transition, In addition, everything we're buying now is significantly higher in inventory costs than it was last year. So that inflation increase at the end of the year for our purchases also kind of negatively impacted it. So in general, we look at cash flow kind of on a multi-year basis, but our goal is each year is 100% conversion of net income.
spk05: Understood. Thanks, guys. That's a lot. Thank you. Thank you.
spk09: Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes our question and answer session. I'll turn the floor back to Mr. Black for any final comments.
spk03: Thank you. And thank you all again for joining us today. We appreciate your interest in Site 1. We're excited about where we are today and where we're going, and we look forward to speaking to you again after our first quarter of 2022. I'd like to take this opportunity again to thank our tremendous associates for all that they do for us and our customers and suppliers. It's really been a great partnership as we've navigated in the landscape industry. Have a great day.
spk09: Thank you. This concludes today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.
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