Skechers U.S.A., Inc.

Q2 2023 Earnings Conference Call

7/27/2023

spk07: Greetings and welcome to SCECHR's second quarter 2023 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to SCECHRs. Thank you. You may begin.
spk06: Hello, everyone. My name is Shannon Brooker from the FP&A team. Thank you for joining us on Skechers' conference call today. I will now read the safe harbor statement. Certain statements contained herein, including, without limitation, statements addressing the beliefs, plans, objectives, estimates, or expectations of the company or future results or events may constitute forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks including but not limited to global, national, local, economic, business, and market conditions, including the impact of inflation, foreign currency fluctuations, Russia's war with Ukraine, and supply chain delays and disruptions, in general and specifically as they apply to the retail industry and the company. There can be no assurance that the actual future results performance or achievements expressed or implied by any of our forward-looking statements will occur. Users of forward-looking statements are encouraged to review the company's filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, including the most recent annual report on Form 10-K, quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, current reports on Form 8-K, and all other reports filed with the SEC as required by federal securities, laws for a description of all other significant risk factors that may affect the company's business, financial conditions, cash flows, and results of operations. With that, I would like to turn the call over to Skechers' Chief Operating Officer, David Weinberg, and Chief Financial Officer, John Vandamore. David?
spk04: Thank you for joining us today on our second quarter 2023 conference call. Our results exceeded expectations with a new sales record of $2.13 billion and gross margin of 52.7%. These results are due to a 29% gain in our direct-to-consumer segment, double-digit growth internationally, and our focus on innovation throughout the business. As the third largest athletic footwear brand in the world, we continue to be the go-to source for footwear for the entire family. By creating fresh takes on proven sellers, expanding our comfort technologies, and offering new looks and collaborations, we continue to serve our engaged and loyal consumer base while expanding our reach to new demographics. Through every collection, we consistently deliver on our design tenets of comfort, style, innovation, and quality at a reasonable price. I would like to take a moment to congratulate our global team and acknowledge their dedication and expertise, which enabled Skechers to join the Fortune 500, an honor that belongs not only to every employee, but every partner and consumer. In addition to our successful and in-demand Skechers hands-free slip-ins, Skechers Arch Fit and Skechers Uno collections, and further building on our walking and performance offerings, we successfully launched several collaborations during the quarter, most notably with the legendary rock band The Rolling Stones. The men's and women's collection featuring their iconic logo first hit stores in North America and at the band's official store on Carnaby Street in London before rolling out across Europe and other markets. Just last week, we also launched a limited edition collaboration with Skechers ambassador Ashley Park for a capsule of fashion-forward footwear. This came on the heels of the release of our hit summer movie, Joyride. We have plans to launch more exciting collaborations over the remainder of 2023. We have a diverse team of notable and relatable talent appearing in Skechers' marketing campaigns, including Martha Stewart with her namesake collection, singer Doja Cat, and entertainer Snoop Dogg, among others. We have also signed regional ambassadors that resonate locally, including European footballers Frank LaBeouf and Jamie Redknapp, and Bollywood actress Triti Senan for India. We also have an elite team of golfers, runners, and pickleball pros training and competing in Skechers Performance Footwear. Our marketing efforts connect with consumers wherever they are to build brand awareness, to educate shoppers on our features and technologies, and most importantly, to drive demand for innovative products. Throughout the company, we view our accomplishments and activations as an opportunity to elevate the Skechers brand, to offer more people the comfort technology products they want and need, and to make their Skechers shopping experience seamless. As always, the goal is to grow and operate in an even more efficient, sustainable, and impactful manner. Before I discuss the business segments, I would like to note that in the quarter, we completed the acquisition of our long-term Scandinavian distributor. They helped Skechers successfully build our brand in the Nordic region with stores and e-commerce platforms and a network of wholesale customers across Finland, Sweden, Denmark, and Norway. We welcome the Sports Connection team and look forward to further broadening our reach and growing this important market. Looking at our second quarter results, Getcher's achieved record sales of 2 billion, 13 million, an increase of nearly 8% year over year and 9% on a constant currency basis. These results were driven by a 29% increase in our global direct to consumer segment, which represented 47% of our total sales in the quarter. Regionally, we grew 20% in APAC and 16% in EMEA, including 19% in China, 29% in Germany, 13% in the UK, 35% in Spain, and 27% in India. Sales in the Americas were slightly down. As expected, challenges in domestic wholesale were nearly offset by continued direct-to-consumer strength and wholesale improvements outside the United States. The domestic wholesale decrease was due to inventory-related issues impacting many of our partners. In addition, it is worth noting that we faced a difficult comparison to our particularly strong quarter last year, where we grew 30%. We saw a strength in our international wholesale business, increasing 10% as we grew in almost every market. Regionally, APAC grew 14% and EMEA grew 7%, including robust growth in China, Germany, India, and Spain. The Americas wholesale business decreased 19% primarily due to the previously noted domestic challenges, but grew 10% excluding the United States. Overall, wholesale average selling price per unit increased 8% from the pricing adjustments made last year, and unit volume decreased 13%. And turning to direct-to-consumer. The strong demand for our comfort technology footwear improved in-store product availability and effective demand creation led to 29% growth, evenly balanced between domestic and international markets. This includes growth of 28% in the Americas, 25% in APAC, and 47% in EMEA. In total, direct-to-consumer unit volume increased 24%, and average selling price increased 4%. In the second quarter, we opened 50 company-owned Skechers stores and closed 39. Store openings included 28 in China, 8 of which transferred from franchise to company-owned, 8 big-box stores in the United States, and 3 each in Chile and Vietnam. Additionally, we added 56 Skechers stores in 4 Nordic countries and 2 stores in Germany from the acquisition of our Scandinavian distributor. We ended the quarter with 4,705 Skechers stores worldwide, of which 3,161 were third-party stores. which included the 228 we opened in the second quarter, of which 157 were in China, nine in India, and eight in the Philippines. In the third quarter to date, we have opened two company-owned stores in the United States and one each in Colombia and Chile. We expect to open between 90 and 100 company-owned stores worldwide over the balance of the year. We continue to increase awareness and emphasize the many features of our comfort technology products, driving purchase intent and ensuring Skechers remains top of mind through targeted marketing initiatives, be it with our engaged ambassadors and athletes, in memorable campaigns on networks and streaming platforms, in publications, on social media, and through personalized digital content. Efficiently meeting consumer demand is essential to our growth. We have made significant investments in our distribution centers, are flowing fresh inventory through our retail stores, and are improving our delivery times and inventory levels, particularly at our North American distribution center. We have already begun shipping out of our new distribution center in Canada and expect to begin shipping out of our new facilities in India and Chile before the end of the year. And now I would like to turn the call over to John for more details on our financial results.
spk03: Thank you, David, and good afternoon, everyone. Sketchers delivered another quarter of strong financial and operating performance, reflecting the execution of our long-term growth strategy. We saw continued broad-based strength across geographies and sustained momentum in our direct-to-consumer segment, driving record quarterly sales over $2 billion. This represents an 8% increase year-over-year, which, despite anticipated headwinds in our domestic wholesale business, exceeded both our top and bottom line expectations. We believe that these results highlight the strength of our brand and the appeal of our diverse assortment of stylish, comfortable, high quality, and reasonably priced product that continues to resonate with our consumers globally. Before turning to our second quarter results, let me touch on the previously announced acquisition of our Scandinavian distributor. This transaction closed at the end of May, but had no material impact on the quarter. giving the timing of the close, our comparable sales to the distributor in the prior year, and the impacts of purchase price accounting. We do expect the transaction to be slightly accretive to earnings this year, and we look forward to working more closely with the Scandinavia team to continue growing the Skechers brand in the Nordic region. Now let's review our second quarter financial results. Wholesale sales decreased 6% year-over-year to $1.07 billion. due to a 25% decline domestically, partially offset by a 10% increase internationally. As indicated in our guidance last quarter, we expected the inventory congestion at our domestic wholesale partners to impact us most significantly in the second quarter. That expectation materialized, though domestic wholesale sales were actually better than expected due, in part, to a shift in the timing of orders benefiting the second quarter. International wholesale sales growth was driven by continued strength across APAC and EMEA, with double-digit growth in many markets. Direct-to-consumer sales grew 29% year-over-year to $939.5 million, representing nearly 47% of total sales for the quarter. Our performance was driven by an increase of 29% domestically, 30% internationally, and and double-digit growth across channels in nearly every market. These results further demonstrate the robust demand for our comfort technology products, complemented by the improved inventory availability in our stores and resonant marketing campaigns that stimulated consumer demand. Now turning to our regional sales. In the Americas, sales for the second quarter decreased 1% year-over-year to $1.03 billion. which we believe is a remarkable achievement given the challenges we face in the domestic wholesale marketplace. Excluding U.S. wholesale, America's grew 24% year-over-year, primarily driven by the strength in our direct-to-consumer business. In EMEA, we continue to see robust demand for our product, with particular strength in our direct-to-consumer business. Sales in the region grew 16% year-over-year to $433.4 million. driven by double-digit growth in most countries. In APAC, sales increased 20% year-over-year to 552.2 million, led by double-digit growth in most countries across both our wholesale and direct-to-consumer segments. In China, we continued to see evidence of recovery, and sales there increased 19%, driven by double-digit growth across channels, with particular strength in our retail stores, both owned and franchised. We are encouraged by the improved trends we are seeing in China and are cautiously optimistic about the near-term recovery. Longer term, we remain excited about the growth opportunities for our brand in the market. Second quarter gross margins reached a record 52.7%, up 460 basis points compared to the prior year. The improvement was driven by a favorable mix of higher direct-to-consumer volume, as well as the annualization of pricing adjustments made last year in our wholesale segment. Operating expenses increased 210 basis points as a percentage of sale year-over-year, from 39.8% to 41.9%, as we leaned into demand creation investments and absorbed volume-related costs across the globe. Selling expenses increased 40 basis points as a percentage of sales year over year to 9.3%, primarily due to higher marketing expenditures, a significant portion of which were focused on driving consumer awareness for our new Skechers hands-free slip-ins technology. General and administrative expenses increased 170 basis points as a percentage of sales year over year to 32.6%. The increased expenses were primarily due to higher labor, rent, and distribution costs to support our volume-driven growth within our direct-to-consumer segment and international markets. Earnings from operations were $217.7 million, a 41.2% increase compared to the prior year, and our operating margin for the quarter was 10.8% compared to 8.3% in the prior year. Our effective tax rate for the second quarter was 17.7%, compared to 21.3% in the prior year, reflecting the beneficial recognition of several discrete items in the quarter. Earnings per share were $0.98 per diluted share, on 156.6 million diluted shares outstanding, a 69% increase. And now turning to our balance sheet, we ended the quarter with $1.07 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and investments, an increase of 127.3 million, or 13.5% from June 30, 2022. Inventory was 1.49 billion, a decrease of 5%, or 77.9 million compared to the prior year. However, inventories declined over $300 million, or 18%, versus December 31, 2022, and are healthy and well-positioned both to meet consumer demand and continue the introduction of innovative products in the critical back-to-school and holiday selling periods. Accounts receivable quarter-end were $940.2 million, an increase of $23.4 million compared to the prior year, reflecting higher wholesale sales in the back half of the quarter. Capital expenditures for the quarter were $76.2 million, of which $29 million was related to the expansion of our distribution infrastructure globally, 20.6 million related to investments in our retail stores and direct-to-consumer technologies, and 11.4 million related to the construction of our new corporate offices. Our capital investments are focused on supporting our strategic priorities, growing our direct-to-consumer business, and expanding our brand presence globally. During the second quarter, we also repurchased approximately 579,000 shares of our Class A common stock And now, turning to guidance. While we continue to see robust consumer demand and strong brand momentum globally, several uncertainties remain, including ongoing headwinds with some wholesale partners in several markets, ambiguity around the pace and shape of the recovery in China, and disconcerting macroeconomic trends. Accordingly, our outlook attempts to balance these factors, and we remain cautious about our expectations for the remainder of the year. For the fiscal year, we expect sales to be in the range of 7.95 billion to 8.1 billion, and net earnings per diluted share to be in the range of $3.25 to $3.40. For the third quarter, we expect sales in the range of 1.95 billion to 2 billion, and net earnings per diluted share in the range of 70 to 75 cents. Our effective tax rate for the year is still expected to be between 19 and 20%. We expect total capital expenditures for the year to be between $300 and $350 million as we continue to invest in our strategic priorities, including opening additional stores, expanding our omnichannel capabilities, and adding incremental distribution capacity in key markets like India, China, and Chile. We remain confident in growing our sales to $10 billion by 2026. as we continue to execute on our long-term strategy of growing our direct consumer business, both in-store and online, and expanding our brand presence globally, all of which is made possible by our differentiated product portfolio and attractive value proposition that continues to delight consumers around the globe. We thank all of you for your time today, and we look forward to updating you on our third quarter financial results, which we expect to release on Thursday, October 26th. With that, I will now turn the call over to David for closing remarks.
spk04: Thank you, John. We are proud to join the Fortune 500, motivated by our record results and excited to build our global momentum. The quarter was exceptional, most especially within our direct-to-consumer business, our strong 52.7% gross margin, the robust demand for our comfort technology products, and the buzz surrounding the brand. From Skechers' hands-free slip-ins footwear to our recent Rolling Stones collaboration to the marketing launches with Ashley Park and Skechers Uno. Skechers defines comfort no matter the footwear need. We are the go-to source for all casual lifestyle activities, for elite athletes on the pickleball court or golf course, for those that work in an office or in the occupational footwear industry, and for the record number of people once again flying this summer, Skechers is truly for all walks of life. As always, we are focused on improving efficiencies, scaling our efforts, growing our business with new opportunities, and delivering comfort, style, innovation, and quality across our entire product line. We are thankful to the entire Skechers organization for another successful quarter, and we're looking forward to working together toward our planned goal of $10 billion in annual sales by 2026. Now, I would like to turn the call over to the operator for questions.
spk07: Thank you. We will now be conducting a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your aligning to the question queue. You may press star 2 if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. One moment, please, while we pull for questions. Our first question comes from Jason with UBS. Please go ahead.
spk01: Great. Thank you so much. So I want to ask you about direct consumer sales in the quarter, which are up 29%. Maybe tell us a little bit about how much e-commerce grew and maybe the stores and maybe just help us understand, like, the differential between, you know, the Americas where it was up 28% and obviously wholesale. You know, how can the trends be so different? How do you explain that?
spk03: Well, thanks, Jay. I mean, that is, in part, a key question we have as well. What I can tell you about the direct consumer performance is that it was significantly anchored both internationally and domestically in the stores. We saw, you know, better traffic, better conversion, better units. I mean, it really is, I think, you know, a product-driven demand. We're seeing consumers are coming into the store. They're looking for our comfort technology products. E-com grew in both markets. Just need to realize e-commerce is at a different stage of development in each of those markets. Domestically, you know, obviously it's grown significantly. It was up double digits, but stores were really the anchor there. Internationally, it was up more, but again, that's starting from a slightly smaller base. You know, ultimately, I think the benefit the stores have is that, as we said in our comments, you know, they have the right inventory, they have the product that is the most new, that features our comfort technology product attributes, and that's what's driving consumers into the store, particularly when activated with, you know, a lot of the demand creation spend, you know, we mentioned. And, you know, I don't think that's the case everywhere else, and I think that's probably the advantage. Net-net for us, you know, we're thrilled that consumers are able to find the product they want and need and We're thrilled to be able to give it to them in whatever channel distribution they prefer. But clearly, we're seeing robust consumer take for the new product portfolio.
spk04: Hey, Jay, I'd like to just point out, if I can, the timing differential of how these things happen. You know, when we point to things like we had a very tough comp to last year as far as domestic wholesale is concerned, we had the same issue last year. We had received a lot of goods from our factories yesterday. We had shipped a lot of goods, although it took a longer while to get it into the stores. So what you're seeing, basically, if you were to look at our factories, they would show that their volume to us was down over the last quarter as compared to last year because of all the backup after the pandemic and getting multiple months at a time. And we de-inventoried since the end of the year. I think the same is true for some of our customers. That's true in Europe and the US and for our distributors. They've taken a lot of inventory. They were tougher comps for those that we booked when we sold it to them, not when they sold out. And now that our stores are full and you see a lot of our customers de-inventorying while they're showing increased sales. So if you take the differential in timing, those that took this stuff early, we ended up with a big bang last year because we shipped it out and didn't have to worry about getting it to store or getting it to consumer. Our sales now, we are, like John said, the most efficient. We turn it over every week. We deliver to our stores throughout the week some two, three, four times. They're fresh. They're new. And we're getting it in. I think some of our customers, distributors are also in the same boat. And as they clean out their inventories, they'll start to pick up the receipts, which is what we'll get to a more normal. By the end of the year, I hope we're in the first quarter of next year.
spk08: Got it. Okay. Thank you so much.
spk07: Next question comes from Lauren with B&E Paribas. Please go ahead.
spk10: Thank you, John. Thank you, David. Thank you very much for taking my question. I was curious to know, John, if you can maybe talk a little bit about what you're seeing in domestic wholesale. I think, you know, 90 days ago you talked about inflection. Is that what you're seeing in your channel in the U.S. wholesale marketplace?
spk03: Well, I'd first point out that, you know, as we said last quarter, we expected this to be the toughest quarter for us from a domestic wholesale perspective. It was actually less challenging than we had thought. We mentioned there were some orders that got pulled up, which, you know, we believe reflects the active sell-through that David mentioned on on some of our core product that's out in the marketplace. So, you know, in a way, what we've seen is a little bit of a shift into Q2 to benefit that. Although 25% is not what we aspire to, it is certainly less challenging than what we would have expected. It does, you know, rebalance the back end of the year a little bit. You know, look, we're optimistic that the continued consumer demand and active sell-through we're seeing, you know, you're clearly seeing it in DTC. You're seeing it in certain accounts on the domestic wholesale front, you know, will lead to, you know, increased reorder pace. I would still say we believe Q2 was the most challenging and will have been the most challenging in retrospect. I would only caveat say that, you know, timing is something we're seeing more movement on lately. So that could create, you know, a pocket here or there. But definitely, you know, overall pleased with how we came out of Q2. And, you know, we're cautiously optimistic that things are starting to turn for the back half of the year, although, again, timing being what it is, we may see some shifts around, although nothing like that is currently, you know, anticipated in our guidance.
spk10: Very helpful. And maybe you can talk about the gross margin continues to be very impressive. I think John reminded me, but I think freight was at least a 300 basis point headwind to last year's gross margin. Did you start to see a little bit of freight become a benefit, and do you anticipate to recapture all that freight over the next four quarters? Any color on that would be very helpful. Thank you.
spk03: Well, I'd first reiterate, you know, the big benefit to gross margin was, you know, we were nearly 50% direct-to-consumer this quarter, so there was a rather significant mixed benefit. that you saw, I think, flow through into earnings, which is terrific. But also, the previously discussed changes to the domestic wholesale pricing in particular, but also some international wholesale pricing that finally got annualized into the system. You know, I'd say we are starting to see, you know, clearly in available rates, you know, shipping come down. It didn't, you know, materialize fully this quarter. I do think there was some pickup there. A bit of an offset, though, because as we sell more of our comfort technology products, you do see a slightly increased cost per unit. Now, we're able to charge more for that. We're able to deliver more value to the consumer, so it offsets. So there's a little bit of a masking effect in there. But what I would say is we continue to expect, you know, year-over-year improvement in the margin for the balance of the year. We'd like nothing better than that to be, you know, more about the shipping and the pricing than the mix because we'd love to see, you know, the domestic wholesale in particular catch back up to where we think it, you know, it should be on a run rate basis. But we continue to foresee, you know, improvement in gross margins, you know, quarter over quarter, you know, year over year so that Q3 will be better than last year, Q4 will be better than last year as well.
spk08: Very helpful. Thank you very much and best of luck. Thanks, Lauren.
spk07: Next question comes from Gabby Carbone with Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.
spk02: Good afternoon, and congrats on the strong results. So just bigger picture, you know, would you help us think about the long-term pathway for margins? Seems like you'll get back to 2019 EBIT margin this year, but beyond that, you know, where do you see the biggest opportunity to expand margins within the business?
spk03: First of all, thanks, thanks, Gabby. You know, it's a continued growth trajectory of our international and our direct-to-consumer businesses. As we've said for a long time, that really is the longer-term algorithm for growing, you know, both the gross margin and the operating margin. I mean, obviously, there are opportunities within operating expenses to create a little bit of a tailwind leverage, but that's always going to be countenance for us against, you know, what it takes to invest for the brand to grow to $10 billion and the numbers beyond that. So I'd say, you know, again, the first emphasis is continued growth in those two key, you know, avenues for us with some potential upside opportunity, you know, to leverage operating expenses longer term.
spk02: Got it. That's helpful. Just a quick follow-up. In your press release, you mentioned that you're developing new categories that are going to be introduced later this year. Just wondering if you could elaborate on that.
spk04: Probably not. You know, we try to be careful not to get too far ahead or give too much notice where we're planning something, certainly something big to give everybody an idea of where to look and where to find it. I think we're all secure in some launches. You'll see them, I believe, shortly and we'll know them as they happen. But we're not in a position yet nor are we ready to go forward and announce them and get everybody ready. From a competitive point of view.
spk02: Yeah, understood. Thank you so much.
spk08: Thanks, Kevin.
spk07: Next question comes from Joan Kernan with Coence and Company. Please go ahead.
spk05: Excellent. Thanks for taking my question. So congrats on the great quarter. You beat the high end of the sales guidance by about $100 million, which is great. It's obviously a function of how much momentum you have in the business. The flow through was quite high to the operating profit line, too. Can you just talk to what surprised you the most, John, financially in the quarter? Obviously, there was some sales upside. It seems like gross margin also was an area of upside to your expectations. And just have a follow up for the full year guide as well.
spk03: Well, I don't know that I would characterize this as a surprise per se, but let me contextualize it within the prior guidance. You know, the The continued, you know, extraordinary strength we're seeing in the direct-to-consumer business certainly outdistanced our prior guidance. You know, it's hard to put into guidance a growth rate nearly 30%. So, now that being said, you know, we had seen strong trends. We feel like we have the product for it. So, you know, we were optimistic that it would continue, and it did, which was great. But I, you know, I don't know that wisdom would have been putting that fully into the guidance. So that definitely outdistanced our guidance. I would say, you know, China came back, did really well this quarter, even in kind of a mixed quarter from a consumer behavior perspective, but growing, you know, nearly 20% was a great result for us in China. And then the domestic wholesale, I know it's, you know, again, we don't want to laud ourselves for a 25% decline, but that is better than we thought. We saw, again, sell-through driven, you know, activity, you know, and other activity in some accounts that are a little bit, you know, healthier than others from an inventory perspective lead to some, you know, accelerated take on the product. And that was great because, you know, our hope is that that really starts to indicate a change, you know, with the balance of our customers that, you know, being in stock in full in sizes with a new product is the best way to go forward, which is what we're doing in our own retail. So, Those were all positive surprises. Of course, you know, you never get just good news. So there were some, you know, little bit of challenges here and there that we dealt with that we're not going to talk about because they weren't material. But overall, I'd say the net effect of it was, you know, definitely results that exceeded our expectations.
spk05: That's very helpful. Thanks. And then I guess with the $3.25 to $3.40 EPS guidance, maybe talk to some of the puts and takes within gross margin and also the balance between demand creation and marketing expenses to keep the top line moving at this pace?
spk03: Yeah, I would say from the balance of the year, I think the one thing to note is, you know, we're getting to a point where we're going to start comping against, you know, some stronger results last year. If you remember last year, kind of the curvature, if you will, of gross margin was that, you know, the first half of the year was bad. the back half of the year got better. So some of that, you know, the comparability simply won't be as favorable because last year wasn't, you know, as detrimental. You know, clearly we still have, we think, benefits coming from a cost perspective. We've now fully annualized pricing, though, so that'll offset. The net effect of it is, again, we feel like we're in a good resting spot going forward with kind of that improvement in each quarter relative to the prior year. You know, the one thing to keep an eye on is mix. You know, we did obviously tilt favorably towards mix. You know, we could see growth in our wholesale business, which would, again, be potentially detrimental to gross margin, but more gross profit dollars. And we'll take that because that leads to more earnings for shareholders. And that's obviously our ultimate objective. So, you know, like there's always – we're still not fully clear of COVID. There's a lot of noise. But I would just say that the comparability going forward becomes more normal. And that'll just make, you know, the deltas a little bit smaller as a result of, you know, being, you know, compared against a prior year that, you know, that started to get better. The one thing I would note, though, is, you know, we are optimistic about back to school. We're optimistic about the holiday period. We are currently in a position where, if you recall last year, we had We had a lot of on-hand inventory, and we had to deal with that. And obviously, we're much trimmer, you know, today than we were at the end of the year. We're down nearly $300 million in inventory versus just December, which gives you a sense of how much we focused on that issue and resolved it. But we also had last year not a lot of depth in stores, and that's been resolved so that our stores, you know, are generally in stock with the right product. So we do think that is a little bit of a continuing tailwind, particularly in the in the third quarter and into the early part of the fourth.
spk05: That's great.
spk08: Congrats on all the success. Thank you. Thanks, John.
spk07: Next question comes from Tom Nikiti with Wedbush Securities. Please go ahead.
spk09: Hey, guys. Thanks for taking my question. Wanted to follow up on domestic wholesale. how do inventory levels look for your brand at the U.S. wholesale channel? And have you gotten any sense that some of the overhangs of inventory for some of the other brands out there have started to alleviate? Thanks.
spk03: Yeah, I would say, you know, when we look into inventories at kind of our top 10, top 20 wholesale customers in domestic markets, Inventories look pretty good. In fact, I would argue probably a little bit leaner than we want them to be. And so we think that tees up well for strong sell-through driven reorders. Now again, they're dealing with inventory issues that extend beyond the Skechers brand, and that we believe has been one of the bigger challenges. Although I would just note, it's not every customer. We have wholesale customers out there who are doing fantastic. And that's what led to some of the improvement in results relative to our second quarter. So look, I don't know how long it will take them to deal with the totality of whatever congestion they're experiencing. What we do know is that our product is in demand. It's selling well. There certainly doesn't appear to be any significant backup to our inventories, you know, in those key accounts. And so we think that, I mean, and pricing is good. The factors tee up well for, you know, an acceleration of reorders once they're clear of whatever challenges they're experiencing.
spk09: Got it. If I could just follow up, you know, I think on the last couple of calls, John, you said You know, your hope would be, or, you know, you would drive towards, you know, getting back to flat in U.S. wholesale for the end of the year. You know, is it safe to assume that it'll take a little bit longer to get to that point? And we should assume that 2H U.S. wholesale is still down, but to a lesser extent than the first half?
spk03: Well, I don't want to prejudge the range of possibilities. I would say as we look forward, and certainly when we considered our guidance, that's what we're currently expecting. Although, again, as I just mentioned, you know, we think the situation is primed for the healthy consumer demand we're seeing out there in the market, stimulating some early reorder activity. But insofar as our guidance is concerned, that's the position we've taken.
spk09: Understood.
spk08: Thanks, John. Thanks, David. Best of luck in the second half of the year. Thanks, John.
spk07: The next question comes from Abby Zivenyx with Piper Sandler. Please go ahead.
spk00: Great. Thanks for taking my question. I was just wondering if you're seeing any of the same dynamics in terms of inventory congestion in any of the international markets, particularly Europe. And then second, what are you seeing in terms of promotions? Thank you.
spk04: Well, internationally, it's probably not the order of magnitude as here in the States, but the same things exist. And while we're doing better in EMEA, we still have customers there that are cleaning through inventory. But the sell-through rates, as in the States, and maybe even more so than the States, continue to be at the top end, and the brand performs very well. So we're starting to see a bigger influx of orders and certainly looking better as we get to the end of the year and into Q1. As you go around the world, it varies from place to place or geography to geography. I would say that Europe is slightly better shaped than the U.S. as far as those sales crews are concerned. South America, Central America, if you go from Mexico down, is a mixed bag, like Chile's a strong market for us, does much better direct-to-consumer. Their wholesale business are having a little trouble cleaning out, yet in Peru and Colombia, it's picking up for us as it is in Central America. Same holds true in Canada. We have significantly better direct-to-consumer and still have a number of wholesale customers cleaning out. As far as China's concerned, they're getting back in line. They started earlier. They had a big pickup, which was very good for them in Q2. They're looking good as far as inventory is concerned. They are a bigger piece direct-to-consumer than wholesale, so that bodes well as we go forward.
spk03: Insofar as promotions, I would actually say it's still pretty stable. If you recall, last year we started to introduce promotions kind of in the current quarter, maybe a little bit before sporadically, but they look stable. And again, from our perspective, the in-store work in particular continues to motivate consumers to come into the store and shop. And so it's doing exactly what we want it to do.
spk00: Great. Thank you.
spk07: Since there are no further questions at this time, this concludes today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation and have a great day.
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