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spk01: Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by and welcome to the Schlumberger Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, there will be an opportunity for your questions. You may press 1, then 0 to place your line into the question queue. You may remove yourself from the queue by repeating the same 1, 0 command. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to the Vice President of Investor Relations, N.D. Madhu Amazia. Please go ahead.
spk05: Thank you, Leah. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the Schlumberger Limited First Quarter 2022 Earnings Conference Call. Today's call has been hosted from Oslo, following the Schlumberger Limited Board Meeting held earlier this week. Joining us on the call are Olivier Lepoche, Chief Executive Officer, and Stéphane Biguet. Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, I would like to remind all participants that some of the statements we're making today are forward-looking. These matters involve risks and uncertainties that could cause our results to differ materially from those projected in these statements. I therefore refer you to our latest 10-K filing and our other SEC filings. Our comments today may also include non-GAAP financial measures, Additional details and reconciliation to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures can be found in our first quarter press release, which is on our website. With that, I'll turn the call over to Olivier. Thank you, Andy.
spk07: Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for joining us on the call today. In my remarks, I will cover our first quarter results and achievements, followed by our latest view of the market environment and our outlook for the second quarter and the rest of the year, particularly internationally. Stéphane will then give more detail on our financial results, and we will open the floor for your questions. Considering the global context during the first quarter, I am very pleased with our start of the year. Sequentially, the quarter broadly reflected typical seasonal patterns, except for additional effects of the Russian global devaluation and a more pronounced sequential decline in production systems. Year-on-year, we delivered a strong increase in earnings and revenue growth, along with operating margins expansion. Our results were particularly strong in well construction and reservoir performance, where we are maximizing our leading market positions, our top-tier technology performance, and enhanced operating leverage to full effect, both internationally and in North America. All divisions and area grew year on year, resulting in 14% overall growth. This was achieved through double-digit revenue growth internationally and by fully capitalizing on our North America exposure with 32% revenue growth. Operating margins expanded in both North America and in the international markets, and we start the year with the highest first quarter margins since 2015. This establishes an excellent foundation for full-year margin expansion ambitions. Well construction and reservoir performance, our core service divisions, had very strong momentum to start the year. In addition, we secured several new multi-year contracts and improving commercial conditions in a number of geographies and services. Digital integration also posted double-digit growth compared to the same period last year, with new critical commercial contracts and significant advance of our digital platform strategy with the launch of our first innovation factory in North America. In production system, our core equipment division, the earlier growth was muted by the impact of supply chain bottlenecks, which have pushed deliveries into subsequent quarters. Despite these transitory challenges, I'm very pleased with the quality and size of the backlog and orders secured in the past 12 months. With improving supply conditions, I'm confident that the execution of our response plan will significantly improve backlog conversion, resulting into an accelerated revenue growth dynamic in the coming quarters. In Russia, the onset of the tragic conflict in Ukraine and corresponding sanctions impacted the later part of the quarter. We swiftly initiated a series of actions to ensure the safety of our people and implement the restrictive measures concerning new investment and technology deployment to our Russia operation. We continue to closely monitor this dynamic situation and remain hopeful for a quick cessation of hostilities. Overall, and despite unique challenges, I'm very pleased with the results of the quarter. I would like to extend my thanks to the entire Schlumberger team for successfully navigating these developments and delivering an excellent start to what promised to be a year of solid growth and achievement. Turning now to the macro environment, the energy landscape has evolved significantly over the past few months. Recent events have, on one hand, resulted into a change in the pace of demand recovery, while energy security and supply diversification have also emerged as preeminent global drivers that will shape the future of our industry, in addition to decarbonization, capital discipline, and digital transformation. This new dimension will have long-lasting positive implications for energy investment over the next few years. I would like to share how we see these dynamics developing over the short and long-term horizons, and more importantly, how this condition will play to Schlumberger's differentiated strengths. First, in the short term, community prices are elevated as supply conditions continue to tighten due to the impact of capital discipline, consistent of PEC Plus policy implementation, and the potential impact of supply dislocation from Russia. The industry is responding to this high community price environment with accelerated short cycle investment in North America. led by the private producers, and a gradual increase in investment by the public operators, albeit compared by capital discipline and bottlenecks in capacity and supply chain. Internationally, short cycle investments are set to accelerate with a seasonal rebound in the second quarter and more strongly in the second half of the year, led by the Middle East and the key international offshore basin. Second, the elevation of energy security as a priority We drive further capacity expansion and optionality to deliver more diverse oil and gas supply. This will support additional long-cycle development projects, exploration activity, and brownfield regeneration programs. Third, probable conditions for product and services net pricing improvement have clearly emerged and are expanding across both North America and the international market. This will be a defining characteristic of this upcycle, considering the service sector newfound capital discipline and commitment to margin expansion. This improvement is absolutely critical to support returns and investment in capacity that will be needed to deliver on both the short- and long-term oil and gas supply the world needs. The combination of these effects creates an exceptional sequence for our sector, likely resulting in a cycle of higher magnitude and duration than previously anticipated. Schumerger has led the sector in reinventing itself over the past few years, allowing inclusive industry shifts, customer needs, and increased shareholder value. Since launching our performance strategy, we targeted trends that are manifesting today by focusing on the development of fit-for-basing technologies, some of which are now unlocking much-needed energy supplies, and by reducing or eliminating GHG emissions with our transition technology portfolio and our new end-to-end emissions solutions. We have also expanded manufacturing capacity in key basins, such as in North America and in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, to tailor fit-for-basin technology delivery. In digital, we are enabling transformation in the sector, establishing the industry digital platform Delphi, creating more powerful AI solutions, and leading innovation in autonomy. These advances in digital enablement are improving both customer operations and our own efficiency, as we evolve workflows and improve execution with insights from data. Today, Shumerge is in the best position to capture the benefits of this unique upcycle, given the steady execution of our strategy, breadth of our market presence, leading technology portfolio, and our ability to derive premium pricing for performance execution and value creation for our customers. Now I would like to share with you our outlook for the second quarter and the second half of the year. Sequentially, we expect a steady quarter of growth in both North America and the international market. Growth in North America will be led by continued short cycle activity offset by Canadian spring break-up. Internationally, growth will be driven by a seasonal rebound, albeit moderated by the absence of the usual second quarter uptick in Russia, owing to the uncertainty around the rural depreciation impact of sanctions, and customer activity decline. Taken together, this will result in global revenue growth around mid-single digits for the second quarter. We anticipate the operating margins to expand 50 to 100 basis points, driven by further operating leverage and the positive conditions outlined. In that context, our sequential margin expansion trajectory is set to resume and subsequently strengthen in the second half of the year, in line with our full-year guidelines. Looking further ahead, the second half of the year is shaping up to be particularly strong, based on our view of a significant pipeline of customer activity, upcoming product backlog conversion, and the growing impact of net pricing. This period of the year is typically the strongest half, and 2022 looks to be no exception. While the dynamic situation in Russia and the potential reduction in pace of the demand recovery present near-term concerns, We believe the continued tightness in supply, elevated community price, and supplemental investment intended to diversify oil and gas supply should represent a positive offset for 2022 and beyond. Accordingly, second-half growth will be driven primarily by the international markets, led by the Middle East and key offshore basins. Indeed, the offshore activity, already growing sequentially and visibly year-on-year, will benefit some secular growth in both shallow and deep-water environments, as the acceleration of infield drilling and tieback developments will combine with a resurgence of exploration drilling during the summer and with an acceleration of long-cycle development projects ahead of 2023. Similarly, the Middle East region will benefit from the combination of reinvestment in short-cycle barrels as we approach the end of current OPEC Plus agreements and from the commitment to capacity expansion in both oil, pollution, and gas developments. Additionally, 2022 is set to benefit from higher discretionary spending and higher product sales and year-end deliveries as customers secure the necessary capacity for their 2023 growth plans. Finally, and critically, we anticipate a net pricing impact will further expand in breadth and scale as the year progresses to benefit margin expansion during the second half and become a unique attribute of this upcycle. With this backdrop, and despite uncertainty linked to Russia, we believe that the favorable market condition outline should allow us to maintain our full-year ambition of year-on-year revenue growth in the mid-teens and adjust the EBITDA margin, exiting the year at least 200 basis points higher than the fourth quarter of 2021. I will now turn the call over to Stéphane.
spk06: Thank you, Olivier, and good morning, ladies and gentlemen. first quarter earnings per share excluding charges and credits was $0.34. This represents a decrease of $0.07 sequentially and an increase of $0.13 when compared to the first quarter of last year. In addition, during the quarter, we recorded a $0.02 gain relating to the further sale of a portion of our shares in Liberty Oilfield Services which brought our gap EPS to $0.36. Overall, our first quarter revenue of $6 billion decreased 4% sequentially, while pre-tax operating margins declined 84 basis points to 15%. These decreases reflect the seasonally lower activity and product sales that we typically experience in the first quarter. The conflict in Ukraine also had an impact on our first quarter results, although this was largely limited to the effect of the depreciation of the ruble witnessed during the last month of the quarter. While margins were seasonally lower on a sequential basis, they did increase significantly as compared to the first quarter of last year. Pre-tax segment operating margin increased 229 basis points year on year, while company-wide adjusted EBITDA margins of 21%, increased 94 basis points year-on-year, despite the inflationary factors we are facing. This reflects the strength of our operating leverage, new technology uptake, and increasing pricing traction. Let me now go through the first quarter results for each division. First quarter, digital and integration revenue of 857 million decreased 4% sequentially, with margins declining 372 basis points to 34%. These decreases were primarily due to the effects of seasonally lower digital and exploration data licensing sales, partially offset by improved contribution from our APS projects in Ecuador, following the pipeline disruption of last quarter. Reservoir performance revenue of $1.2 billion decreased 6% sequentially, while margins declined 232 basis points to 13.2%. These decreases were due to lower activity in Latin America and the seasonal activity reduction in the northern hemisphere. while construction revenue of $2.4 billion was essentially flat sequentially, as seasonal reductions in Europe, Russia, and Asia were offset by strong drilling activity in North America, Latin America, and the Middle East. Margins of 16.2% increased 77 basis points sequentially, despite the flat revenue, largely due to improved profitability in integrated drilling projects. Finally, production systems revenue of 1.6 billion decreased 9% sequentially and margins decreased 192 basis points to 7.1%. This was due to the effect of lower revenue following the traditionally higher fourth quarter product sales combined with delayed deliveries and increased logistics costs resulting from global supply chain constraints. These are temporary challenges that we are diligently working to remedy. Once resolved, this will provide for favorable upside to our revenue and margins in future quarters as our backlog is solid and we will ultimately return to a normal pace of deliveries. Now turning to our liquidity. During the quarter, we generated $131 million of cash flow from operations and negative free cash flow of $381 million. Our cash flow generation was seasonally low as a result of the increase in working capital requirements we always experience in the first quarter. In addition to the typical payout of our annual employee incentives in the first quarter, we saw lower cash collections following the exceptional accounts receivable performance of the fourth quarter. Our inventory balance also grew due to the product delivery delays in our production systems division, but also to prepare for project startups in the second quarter and for the strong growth anticipated for the rest of the year. In addition, we took the decision to increase our safety stocks and lock in prices on certain long lead items in order to secure supply and hedge against anticipated cost inflation. Although it is reflected outside of free cash flow, our overall cash position was enhanced by the further sale of a portion of our shares in Liberty, which generated 84 million of net proceeds. Following this transaction, we hold a 27% interest in Liberty. Our working capital and cash flow will improve each quarter for the rest of the year, consistent with our historical trends, and we remain confident in our ability to generate double-digit free cash flow margin on a full year basis. This will allow us to continue deleveraging the balance sheet and exceed our previously stated leverage target in 2022. Based on this and the strengthening industry outlook that Olivier described earlier, we announced today a 40% increase in our quarterly dividend. The increase will be reflected in our July dividend and will result in approximately 140 million of additional dividend payments in 2022, and 280 million on an annualized basis. This will have a minimal impact on our leverage, and we will, of course, remain focused on strengthening the balance sheet. I will now turn the conference call back to Olivier.
spk07: Thank you, Stéphane. I think we can open the floor to the Q&A session. Thank you very much.
spk01: Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, as a reminder, if you have a question, you may press 1, then 0 on your telephone keypad. And our first question comes from the line of David Anderson with Barclays. Please go ahead.
spk09: Hi, good morning, Olivier. So with everything that's happened over the past few months, Hi, good morning. I'll look over the next several years for your international business to seem to be a primary beneficiary here. I guess my question is to wrap up on that activity. We've seen a lot of NOCs announce contracts, more tenders are on the way. We've yet to really see that materialize in activity, and we don't have a ton of visibility on that market. I was just wondering if you could just help us understand what's happening on the ground there. It seems like it's just a matter of timing, but are there any challenges that you're facing with mobilizing equipment and services environment? You're clearly confident in being a second-hand story. If you could just provide a little bit more context into kind of how we're getting there, please. Thank you.
spk07: No, thank you, Dave. So, indeed, first to put things in context, I think the international growth has started to be rebounding last year. I think, as you know, year-on-year in the second half last year, we had already posted more than double-digit growth year-on-year in the second half. You can see that on this quarter, we're already at 10%. growth year-on-year, and the majority of our international geo-units actually posted double digits, and quite a few above 20% year-on-year. So clearly, the momentum of activity pickup internationally has been initiated, and it's not only short cycle, it's short and long cycle, as some FID have already been signed last year, and more are coming in the way. So now, looking ahead and trying to understand how this is hedging in the future, I think first, there is a dynamic of call on international supply that will continue to happen as the demand recovery is happening and as the market is looking for energy security and hence diversification of supply. So international basin at large will benefit from this dynamic in the years to come. Secondly, you have the dynamic of short cycle response to the tightness of supply as we face today and we will face for the quarter to come, and this will prompt not only activity of cycle in the second half or this quarter and in the subsequent quarter, nor the short cycle basins from Middle East to some short cycle activity offshore. And it will be supplemented in the second half by an acceleration of the long cycle development. Indeed, we believe that the conditions are set for long and short cycle to be contributing at the same time to the supply growth of international market. And long cycle is not only offshore. Long cycle is some large capacity expansion that national company, major, are continuing to pursue. And offshore market will also see the condition of major and international operator continue to expand their investment. So we are seeing this happening today. We are seeing this accelerating the second half visibly. as the combination of short and long will benefit the international market. And the OPEC+, as you know, is ending their quota distribution at the end of the third quarter, and this will unlock short cycle. So we have to look at Middle East. Middle East, a few countries have already made a commitment to capacity expansion in 2022 and beyond, and this will be supplementing the short cycle investments. Offshore, you have seen some FID approval. You have seen some exploration drilling resuming even last quarter. That would just turn into FID and into subsea and deep water activity uptick in the second half and furthermore in 2023. So the conditions are set, as I said, for both short and long cycle to contribute to supply from international basin. And we are very well placed to respond to this considering our favorable market exposure to international markets, our market position with NEC, and our exposure to both major and independent into Key Basin International.
spk09: So, Olivier, on the offshore side, you highlighted a number of numerous offshore awards in the release today, and it seemed to cover most regions. This is typically a very highly margin-created business to Schlumberger, I'm just curious, how much of this is related to the events of the past few months? Are you seeing projects starting to accelerate? I would think you start to see a lot more on the short cycle activity. You're talking about short versus long. I would think maybe short cycle activity is accelerating because of this. Is that true? Are you starting to see that materialize?
spk07: No, I will comment in two sides. First, offshore markets remain very relevant to many markets. of our customers internationally. Very relevant. Why? Because the economics of offshore market, both shallow and deep water, have improved a lot in the cycle. Secondly, many of these offshore reserves are very well placed from a carbon footprint. And I think this is something that plays, again, to reinvestment and expansion. And third, I think the technology, the integration capability, and digital have made offshore operations more efficient, more effective, have an impact on short cycle offshore, infield drilling, tieback with huge technology differentiation we have there, and exploration, near-field exploration on one hand, and secondly, shorter, long cycles. That is a characteristic that we will see accelerating as the major and the IOC and some NOC that have unique advantage basin. We want to accelerate the FID and we want to accelerate the execution of the FID for contributing supply. And again, integration capability, technology for performance impact and digital will all combine to make this a reality. So, yes, we have already seen the impact of this, and it's only set to accelerate. And I will not link to the event happening in the last few weeks. The last few weeks event will have the consequence of diversification of supply and security of supply. And this will favor offshore basins as one of the basins that can contribute to the long-term supply security.
spk09: Much appreciated. Thank you.
spk01: And next we have a question from Chase Mulvihill with Bank of America. Please go ahead. Hey, good morning, everybody.
spk10: So I wanted to follow up on Dave's question here on the international side. I mean, obviously it appears that this international recovery is going to exceed last cycle's recovery. So maybe, I don't know if you want to take a moment and kind of talk about how this will impact pricing and margin. I was actually just digging through some old models and looking at 2006, 2007, 2008 margins, and obviously the industry margins back then were much, much better than they were last cycle. So what do you think it would take for the industry to really get back and move towards those 2006, 2007, 2008 margins?
spk07: I think the conditions are set for directionally going there, clearly. And I think you have several factors playing. First, the level of activity expansion globally in every basin for every division is creating the condition for tightness in the capacity of supply, of the service supply and the equipment supply. And these conditions are extremely favorable for pricing power. because our operator, our customer, are looking to secure capacity and to secure delivery assurance as they invest into their basins, into their favorable assets, to secure this participation to this supply market share. So, first, the pricing moment, as I said, or the pricing attributes, would be a key characteristic of this cycle. Secondly, I believe that The industry has realized that technology can make a huge impact on performance, on carbon footprint, and on digitalization to deliver efficiency that we need to accelerate the cycle and to deliver assurance of delivery of these extra vials. So we believe that we have here the condition for an upside on the technology adoption, an upside on digital transformation of the industry, trying to achieve operation automation, achieve drilling autonomy in terms of operation, and all that to be combined in addition to decarbonization. So we have these trends that are new that will augment the mix effect that this market is giving us today. We have a favorable mix, international and a creative offshore mix. you have a favorable pull and stretch on capacity of the industry with significant discipline on this side of the industry that will lead to pricing expansion. And finally, you have this adoption of digital, adoption of decarbonization, and adoption of any fit for base in performance technology that can make an impact to deliver, because the industry wants to deliver and participate fully to this cycle. So that's the reason why we are positive on this cycle.
spk10: Okay. If I could follow up quickly, you started to talk about digital a little bit. I mean, there's obviously... tightening supply chain, you've got emerging labor constraints, you've got accelerated international growth over the next 12 to 14 months, and all this should be pretty positive for digital as the industry kind of searches for ways to do things kind of faster, smarter, and harder. So with that said, and with that as a backdrop, Have you started to see accelerated digital adoption? And if so, what parts of the international market are you really starting to see accelerated adoption?
spk07: No, I think you laid the case very well. I think digital will be an attribute of efficiency, performance, and transformation in this cycle, no doubt. Everybody will recognize it. Everybody is investing towards participating to this digital transformation. We believe with our platform strategy, We have studied the most compelling offer to the market, and we have been building, as you heard before, for the last three to five years, the foundation of our platform, and we have seen adoption accelerating last year. So, year to date, I'm very pleased with the performance, the early performance of the year to our digital business out of our digital integration division. It is already contributing to visible growth year-on-year. All the metrics that we are internally following, be it the customer adoption of our Delphi, be it the number of users that are using our cloud Delphi capability, or be it the number of the scale and intensity of computing cycle adoption, all of these are going sequentially and year-on-year up. So adoption is happening. You have seen some announcement of norm during the quarter, and you continue to see adoption translating into contract and into growth, accretive growth for digital. Finally, I think, and we mentioned it into the EPR, we have been launching a year ago our innovation factory. Innovation Factory, our digital collaborative center that we have placed strategically, and we just integrated the last one yesterday in Oslo, Norway. And we are using this place to expose our customer to the capability of our platform with AI and machine learning, using our partner capability integrated into Delphi. And the customer realized that we can achieve a lot. We have delivered 200 projects collaboratively for customers. and the customer understands the power of your platform to its exposure, and then come away with the ability to scale for enterprise deployments from this innovation factory capability. So this is one other dimension of adoption that we see, and that's part of our offering to the market. So yes, we are convinced this will be a creative to our growth this year, and this will be also having a positive fall through of our margin that will support our margin expansion ambition for the full year.
spk10: Okay, perfect. Appreciate the answer. I'll turn it back over. Thanks, Olivier. Thank you.
spk01: Next, we go to Arun Jayaram with JP Morgan. Please go ahead.
spk11: Yeah, good morning. Olivier, I wanted to get your perspective on any changes you're seeing in customer spending behavior related to natural gas. We have very strong international and now U.S. gas prices, and just wanted to get your thoughts if you're seeing any changes there, particularly given the fact that Russia supplies 155 BCM of gas to Europe?
spk07: It's a very relevant question. I think it's a very topical subject with the operators, and indeed, we are seeing operators preparing, planning, and being ready for accelerating their gas supply to the world market, internationally, and North America as well. I think this is touching all aspects of exploration, development, and production of gas And we are very pleased for our exposure. Our exposure in North America and our exposure internationally. Internationally, as you know, we have exposure in conventional gas. And I think you have seen some recent announcement of renewing contracts in conventional gas in Saudi. You are fully aware of our market exposure in Qatar that we have benefited for the last two years and have already grown visibly to commit more energy train for supply to the world. And you have seen also that we are going to participate fully and we are participating fully into offshore integrated gas development. Similar to what we did a few years back with Zoho in East Mediterranean, we are doing with an asset for fully integrated gas in Turkey, in the Black Sea, where we are taking care of everything from development to the gas facility that will be the first gas from this. So we are very exposed. And finally, unconventional gas internationally, in the Middle East particularly, is getting significant support for regional consumption. And you are fully aware of the contract, very large contract, integrated contract we have with Jafua in Saudi Aramco. So the exposure we have on gas is unique, conventional, unconventional, offshore, onshore. And finally, if I had to add one thing, one dimension of technology onto it. I was very pleased. This week we brought the board to participate, to visit in Norway. And we had the opportunity to visit our Center of Excellence for Subsea Processing in Bergen, Norway, where we are manufacturing all of our processing, boosting equipment to serve gas markets in deepwater subsea environment, and in particular, the subsea wet gas compression that will be deployed for Oman-Lange to extend the life of Oman-Lange gas a supply to UK for the long run. So this participate to the energy security, this participate to the gas development production, and we are very pleased with our exposure. So we are seeing signal of acceleration commitment, and we are very well leveraging that for the future.
spk11: Great. I appreciate that. You know, my follow-up is I wanted to talk a little bit about cash returns. You increased the dividend quite significantly. this quarter, but maybe Olivier or Stephane, you could talk about the framework you're thinking about, future cash returns, and how should we be thinking about, you know, further dividend increases from here?
spk06: Look, good question. Thank you. Yes, based on the market fundamentals we highlighted, we do expect to continue generating significant free cash flow throughout the cycle. If those favorable conditions persist as we currently anticipate, this will clearly allow us to, at the same time, maintain a strong balance sheet, fund new growth opportunities, and look for additional ways to increase shareholder returns throughout the cycle. So this can take the form of increased dividends, share repurchases. or a combination of both. So as it relates to a framework, we will, of course, provide further details at our upcoming capital market day. But at this moment, we set the dividend at a level we are comfortable with to allowing us to balance or continuing the leveraging commitments with the overall capital allocation priorities. Great. Thank you.
spk01: And next, we have a question from Neil Meadow with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.
spk04: Great. Good morning, team. The first question here is just more of a logistical question. I think in the back half of this year, the expectation is to do a capital market day. So, one, any update in terms of time in? But secondly... What do you want to achieve at that event? What are the important strategic priorities that you want to discuss with the investment community?
spk06: So on the logistical side, Neil, the Capital Market Day will be early November, and you'll receive the invitation pretty soon. I'll let Olivier comment on the main agenda.
spk07: Yeah, the main agenda, as you know, I think will be to achieve two or three key elements. The first is to lay out Our updated view of the mid- and long-term outlook for industry and across the engines that we want to participate fully into, the core of the digital and new energy. And as such, document our view of the market scenario and the way our play will expose us to fully participate in each of these three. The second, obviously, will be to articulate a little bit of our strategy that will make you understand the tangible progress we have made. The critical milestones will meet by 2025 or by 2030. And finally, we'll document, I would say, our financial progress. ambition and financial and capital framework to support this ambition of our strategy execution for the next five years and with the long horizon of 2030 for our target. So that's what we are aiming to achieve during this capital market day.
spk04: Thank you, sir. We look forward to it. And the follow-up is, can you talk about your exposure to the increased capex here at Saudi Aramco and AdNoc and how you see that trickling across your segments? Where do you expect expending to increase significantly here and across what business lines?
spk07: I think generally speaking, I think it's not only Saudi Aramco and UAE. I think it's the GCC country and includes Israel. Iraq as well, I think that are set for a significant rebound in both short cycle to respond to the unlocking the quota at the end of the year, and then long cycle with capacity expansion commitments that several countries have made. So we expect the consequence of that would be first in the second half of the year, activity will start to see an uptick in the form short cycle and that will affect both reservoir performance and well construction. And we will see also this expanding into offshore and onshore capacity expansion more into 2023. As you know, several contracts have been put in place to support this capacity expansion. by this operator with us and the industry at large. And this will see an acceleration of investment in 2023 that will expand beyond the short cycle, visibly, into this new development, new capacity, beyond what is happening today on gas and conventional, what is happening today in some of the integrated contracts we already hold. So, it will be widespread, I would say, across all the divisions as we move into 2023.
spk04: Thanks, guys.
spk01: Thank you. Next, we have a question from Scott Gruber with Citigroup. Please go ahead.
spk08: Yeah, so I want to touch on the new energy outlook here, just given how the macro has changed. Obviously, valuations in new energy have come down, and your cash flow outlook has improved. So does that mean that in the years ahead, we should expect Schlumberger to be investing a bit more aggressively in new energy? Or with a better outlook for the core, is there less urgency to build out the new energy business?
spk07: How should we think about that? No, our new energy remains a critical strategic pillar of our business. of our long-term strategy. So we are set to continue to invest into the venture we have created. We are making practical moves and strategic moves to accelerate organic and inorganic investment. And we continue to monitor the market and continue to edge and grow our exposure to this. So the market conditions that have slightly changed in the last few weeks do not change our view on the new energy outlook. We are even seeing some reinvestment, and you have seen this in the quarter, into geothermal as an alternate source of energy. You have seen that geoenergy being through the Celsius energy venture that we have created, is a domain that was ineptified by the European Union to be invested into to substitute gas, and hence to lessen the dependency on single source of supply on gas. And I think you can certainly anticipate and see that CCS at large is growing as an opportunity for all industry. And for us, as we work not only with industry, as you have seen the announcement we have made with Petronas, but also we are working beyond the industry as you have seen previous engagement we have and continue to do so. So I think we continue to develop and mature the technology ready for scaling them. And we continue to make organic investments and securing inorganic opportunity to mount our capability into that space.
spk08: And you started to touch on my follow-up, which relates to the commercial opportunity and how that developed here going forward. And it does seem like geothermal is going to get a pull here. But can you speak to the other commercial opportunities and how you think those evolve, particularly from a timing and cadence perspective, given the backdrop? Because Does the commercial opportunity materialize more quickly across carbon capture and hydrogen electrolysis?
spk07: We have been commenting on this before, and I think we'll provide a very comprehensive view at our capital market day. And I think the biggest and long-term bigger potential is both from CCS and hydrogen market, we believe, first and foremost. and believe that the energy storage, including lithium processing or extraction, as well as stationary energy storage, as well as geo-energy or geo-thermal, are certainly a shorter-term and mid-term opportunity that we'll not miss to secure. But we'll come back with more detail and more of a better framework for you to understand our mission there.
spk08: Welcome forward, Terence. Thanks for the call.
spk07: Thank you.
spk01: Next, we go to Conor Linna with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.
spk03: Thank you. Good morning. I wanted to ask about the potential recovery in the back half, and particularly OPEC. You were alluding to the cessation of the supply agreements. I guess one thing that's surprised us is while there have been some countries that have fallen short of their production targets, OPEC as a group has been able to raise production fairly significantly, and there hasn't been as significant an increase in the rig count. I appreciate not all activity is captured in the rig count, but has that surprised you, and when do you think we see a sort of catch-up? Do we need to return to 2019 activity levels to get to 2019 production levels?
spk07: No, first I think that OPEC Plus indeed has been very strict into implementing the policy and the respect of the quota. Second, I think with very few exceptions, the GCC has been able to indeed unlock this production without significant, at this moment, significant increase in short cycle activity to support that increase. This will transition into a necessary investment into supporting the sustained capacity in the coming months. Until then, and until now, it has been that the production of some critical country were below their sustained capacity potential. Hence, the need for reinvesting, the need for accelerating investment drilling or intervention was measured and was not necessarily disproportionate compared to the past. I think you will see that transitioning to the second half and accelerating next year. And it will combine with capacity expansion they have committed to. So there will be a hike in activity on two fronts, the short cycle to this time sustain maximum capacity that is established, and an investment that will expand this sustained capacity in the future. So that is set to happen. It wasn't necessarily a big surprise to us. I think that Middle East was a little bit behind in terms of activity rebounding internationally until now, but you will see this catching up in the second half and accelerating in 2023. All right.
spk03: Thank you. That's helpful context. Maybe just flipping over to the Russia side of things, I'm curious, In your full-year revenue growth commentary, what are you contemplating in your Russia operations? Are you expecting significant activity declines? Could you help us frame what the cessation of new investments actually means for your activity levels in the near term here?
spk07: I think it's obviously an extremely dynamic situation. if you want, the sanction of having an impact on the Russian economy and our operation will not be immune to those effects, whether it's currency fluctuation, as you have seen, or customer activity level today or tomorrow. And there is also a possibility of further sanction. So the impact of the first quarter, as you have seen, was essentially limited to currency depreciation and dilution. It's very difficult at the moment to predict what the impact may be in the upcoming quarter, considering the uncertainty. On the flip side, as I've described, the environment that we see and the dynamics we see in the market and the anticipated response to this call for energy security is creating the condition to offset this uncertainty and set this risk. And also, the decision we have made to suspend new investment will mean that we'll be able to allocate this capex to this upcoming opportunity effective this year, and hence being able to capture this upside in activity in this dynamic environment, and as you say, should allow us to offset and keep our financial ambition intact.
spk03: All right. Thank you very much. I'll turn it back. Thank you.
spk01: And next we go to Roger Reed with Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.
spk02: Yeah, thanks. Good morning.
spk08: Good morning.
spk02: I guess I would like to ask two questions that are more or less margin-focused. The first on production systems, which obviously is lagging for obvious reasons. But if we don't get a strong subsea or offshore deepwater recovery plan, What else can we expect that would lift the production system's margins as we go forward?
spk07: I think there are two elements I think we should really separate here. The first is the transitory or temporary impact we have had on the excessive cost of logistics. and delivery supply chain bottleneck that we have to walk through that have led to temporary costs that I think will over time abate and will reduce as we walk through this supply chain. We have a collective action plan with diversification of source of supply using different logistic routes. And you heard about commitment to some critical safety stock for inventory to secure less disruption going forward. So this disruption aside that has had consequential cost, supplementary cost impact, I think we expect this to be more subdued as we go forward and we start to accelerate a conversion of our backlog. So what do we need? I think we have already seen the backlog. We have a very big backlog that we have accumulated for the last the last few quarters, and we keep going. And it's not only subsea. Our production system is made of subsea, as I mentioned. I think we are very proud of some of our market position in subsea, including what we have seen in Norway. But we also have a completion with a few contracts that we won in the Middle East, in Brazil in particular, ArcheLift, PCP, a pump that you have seen that we have won just in Kuwait, a very good position. production chemicals that are being pulled as well, and our midstream and surface carbon capability that are fully leveraging, particularly surface, the upcycling in North America. We have not only short cycle exposure with surface in North America with completion after lift. We have long cycle with abusive deep water and some of our long cycle participation into some gas facility as I mentioned in Turkey. You combine all this and you have enough backlog to lift and create an uplift into our growth going forward and actually indicative of a pollution system to be accretive to our growth in the second half.
spk02: Thanks for that. That was very helpful. The other question I have is a little bit more far-reaching, but as we think about or let me say the base case is let's assume what's happened in Russia stays as is, sanctions, everything like that, through the middle of the decade. Spending other parts of the world is going to have to increase to make up for lost Russian production and a minimum lost Russian growth, if not absolute lost barrels. And I was wondering, as you look at your margins and you think about sort of an equal distribution of that spending or that production growth in other parts of the world, Should it be no impact on Schlumberger's margins, a modest positive or a modest negative if Russia becomes a shrunken market and some of these other areas have to grow in response?
spk07: I think I will not try to compare Russia margin with the rest of our portfolio. I think I will look at it from the strength of the cycle, from the lead market position we have, and from the starting point we have today with having restructured and reset operating leverage, the exposure with digital, the exposure with an increasing offshore long and short cycle mix. I think these are attributes that convince us that our margin will continue to expand. As we have seen this quarter, we had increased year-on-year both NAM and international margin, and we have been posting the best margin since 2015, and yet despite an impact in the first quarter from Russia. So I think we are looking at it at the, as you say, at the big picture. A big picture includes an investment in oil and gas for energy security, a diversification that will have a call on international supply as well as as in North America, and an increasing mix of offshore and long cycle as capacity needs to be expanded and the reserves that have been depleted through the last down cycle for the last seven years will need to be expanded again. So that mix is what makes us confident into our trajectory of margin expansion and into the potential uniqueness of this up cycle compared to past and hence the confidence we have in a short and a long term.
spk02: Great. Thank you.
spk01: And ladies and gentlemen, we have time for one last question. That's from the line of Ian McPherson with Piper Sandler. One moment, please. And please go ahead, sir.
spk00: Thank you. Good afternoon, and Oslo. Just wanted to wrap up. Olivier, I wanted to ask directly, what is your view of the production trajectory for Russia, assuming the sanctions are what we see today? I know that you don't want to be too specific with regard to the cadence of your impact over the course of this year, but do you subscribe to the idea that at best Russia pivots from a steady grower to a steady decliner under the current sanctions regime?
spk07: I think I cannot be speculating on this and the market condition. I think you see the same numbers as we do see. You see that there is, as I said, a potential risk of Russia supply dislocation. I think what is important is that the demand trajectory that is recovering and is set to further increase next year compared to previous prediction, not only to offset that, but to also respond to the market, I think will be contributing to overall growth. So, it's very difficult to predict. I think we are, this is a very dynamic situation, and we are not here to speculate on a dynamic situation. We know that we have to account for assumption that it could be a demand dislocation. There could be a demand supply disruption from the Russia source of supply. And we know and we have seen our customer rotating and starting to anticipate and position themselves for participating to the cold supply that will happen from the second half of this year and the years to come. So that's the only thing we can comment on.
spk00: That's a perfectly fair answer. But maybe put otherwise, how critical would you say that Schlumberger and your Western OFS peers are relative to the domestic Russian OFS industry with regard to their ability to lean on internal OFS resources as opposed to Western technology and kit?
spk07: Again, we cannot speculate on this. I think our first and foremost priority is to look after the safety of our people everywhere we operate, including Russia, and to comply with the utmost diligence to the international sanctions that are in place. to speculate about what were the consequence of the sanction onto the office industry in Russia. I think it's something that the future will tell us what is happening, but I think I don't want to be in a position to comment on this at this moment.
spk00: Fair enough. But thanks for all the other answers today. I appreciate it.
spk07: Thank you very much. I believe that it's time to close this call. So in conclusion, I would like to leave you with three takeaways. Firstly, our first quarter financial results represent a strong start to what promised to be a significant year for the company. In particular, the resilience and strength of our core service division and the full participation in the fast-growing North America market have contributed to a very solid year on year growth and margin expansion. Secondly, the activity outlook is shaping up favorably as 2022 progresses and is set to support our full year mid-teens growth ambition despite the uncertainty on our Russia operations. Furthermore, in the later part of the year, we'll gain from improving market conditions, favorable activity mix in key offshore basins and MDLs, and broader net pricing impact across North America and international markets. Our confidence in the favorable market conditions and our mid-term outlook supports our margin expansion mission and our commitment to generate double-digit free cash flow. As a result, we have decided to accelerate cash returns to shareholders to a visible increase. Finally, we believe that the consequences of the current crisis will reinforce the market fundamentals for a stronger and longer up cycle, as a priority on energy security will favor reinvestment in oil and gas supply. Consequently, The outlook for the next few years is improving, and absence of global economic setback should translate into an exceptional sequence for industry. Thank you very much.
spk01: Ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude your conference for today. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.
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