3/31/2026

speaker
Warren
Conference Operator

Good morning. My name is Warren and I will be your conference operator today. I would like to welcome everyone to the TD Cinex first quarter fiscal 2026 earnings call. Today's call is being recorded and all lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer session. At this time, for opening remarks, I would like to pass the call over to Nate Friedel, Head of Investor Relations at TD Cinex. Nate, you may begin.

speaker
Nate Friedel
Head of Investor Relations, TD Cinex

Thank you. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us for today's call. Joining me on today's call are Patrick Zamet, our CEO, and David Jordan, our CFO. Before we continue, let me remind you that today's discussion contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. including predictions, estimates, projections, or other statements about future events, including statements about our strategy, demand, plans and positioning, growth, cash flow, capital allocation, and stockholder return, as well as our financial expectations for future fiscal periods. Actual results may differ materially from those mentioned in these forward-looking statements as a result of risks and uncertainties discussed in today's earnings release, in the form 8K we filed today, in the risk factors section of our form 10K, and our other reports and filings with the SEC. We do not intend to update any forward-looking statements. Also, during this call, we will reference certain non-GAAP financial information, reconciliations of GAAP to non-GAAP results, are included in our earnings press release in the related form 8K available on our investor relations website, ir.tdsynx.com. This conference call is the property of TDSYNX and may not be recorded or rebroadcast without our permission. I will now turn the call over to Patrick. Patrick?

speaker
Patrick Zamet
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Nate. And good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us today. We are very pleased with how we've started fiscal year 26. In the first quarter, we delivered record non-GAAP gross billings and non-GAAP earnings per share, while continuing to expand profitability and built on the execution and momentum established over the past year. Our results reflect strong performance across both our distribution and Hive businesses, as well as the continued alignment between our strategy and the needs of our partners. Together, this reinforces the strength of our operating model and our ability to create long-term value for our shareholders. Before turning to our operating results in more detail, I want to start by discussing my rationale for updating our reportable segments. These changes better reflect how I manage the business and allocate capital and resources. Going forward, we will primarily discuss our performance and strategy through two businesses, distribution, comprised of our three regional distribution segments, and Hive. Each business has a distinct value proposition and operating model with clear drivers of growth, profitability, and returns. We believe this structure provides clearer insight into how our businesses perform and how we create long-term shareholder value. With that context, I'll start with our distribution business. Within distribution, we delivered a strong start to the year with excellent results across all geographies and key technology categories. Performance was supported by continued customer investment in infrastructure software and security, as well as notable strength in infrastructure and PCs as we help partners navigate an inflationary cost environment and a dynamic supply chain. By leveraging our global reach, diversified sourcing, and close vendor partnerships, we are helping our customers manage supply chain constraints, navigate pricing, improve availability, reduce uncertainty, and plan deployments with greater confidence, while helping vendors efficiently extend their reach and activate demand across markets. Our accelerated growth was accompanied by expanding growth and operating margins, driven by favorable geography and product mix, and disciplined cost management. These results underscore the strength and value proposition of our global distribution business, delivering attractive returns today while positioning us to capture opportunity tomorrow. Last quarter, we outlined four strategic pillars that define how we compete, create value across our portfolio, and differentiate ourselves in the channel. And these continue to shape where we invest and how we execute moving forward. These pillars are omni-channel engagement, specialized go-to-market, best-in-class enablement, and expanding our brand visibility. I'll highlight a couple of examples of how we are bringing this to life, starting with omnichannel engagement, where we are making it easier for customers to engage with TDCnext in the ways that best fit their workflows. This approach is powered by our partner-first platform and suite of digital services that integrate billions of customer, vendor, and end-user data points to drive demand at scale, supporting continued growth within our SMB customer market globally. Our capabilities are translating into tangible results. By embedding predictive AI directly into our onboarding and go-to-market motions, we are meaningfully increasing the number of customers onboarding new vendor portfolios each quarter, helping vendors expand their reach within our ecosystem and accelerating profit-generating activity across the ecosystem. Our agenting AI assistants are now supporting customers and internal teams across complex workflows, from multi-vendor solutions aggregation to intelligent quoting and cross-sell recommendations, helping shorten deal cycles and improve attach rates. Paired with our relationship-driven model, this allows us to scale expertise and engagement globally without compromising the high-touch experience that differentiates TDCinex. This quarter, our progress was reinforced by achieving Microsoft Frontier Distributor designation across all of our regions globally, a recognition of excellence in support, security, channel enablement, platform innovation, and technical delivery. This designation highlights our ability to bring technologies to market in a consistent, scalable way across regions and digital platforms, marketplaces, high touch engagement models, and to do so consistently as customers move from AI experimentation to deployment. Building on that foundation, our specialized go-to-market strategy continues to deliver tangible results, particularly in security. Earlier this month, TDCnext was named Palo Alto Network's Fiscal Year 25 Distributor of the Year in North America, recognizing our ability to drive above-market growth while expanding customer participation and accelerating new customer acquisitions. Importantly, this recognition reflects the value of our specialized distribution model. By combining deep market expertise by technology and customer segment with our global reach, we enable vendors to reach new customers, activate customers more effectively, and drive growth beyond what they can achieve on their own. Capabilities such as inventory management, seamless customer transitions, pre- and post-sales support, and higher levels of automation enable our vendors and customers to scale with speed and consistency, reinforcing the long-term benefits of leveraging the distribution channel. Now turning to Hive, we delivered an impressive quarter driven by continued demand for cloud and AI-enabled data center infrastructure across our hyperscale customers. Growth was broad-based across our programs and customer base. Our integrated engineering, manufacturing, and supply chain capabilities enabled efficient deployment of sophisticated rack-level solutions at scale, which translated into meaningful year-over-year operating income growth. These results reinforce high strategic opportunities within this fast-growing market. Building on this momentum, Hive is focused on evolving its strategy over time toward more complete system-level solutions across traditional compute, accelerated compute, networking, and storage offerings. Through targeted investments in engineering and manufacturing capabilities, we are helping customers simplify design, accelerate deployment, and reduce total cost of ownership. These ongoing investments have attracted a growing pipeline of opportunities, including signing programs with two new hyperscale customers in 2026, which we expect to contribute to results in future quarters. We have already started to ramp our third U.S.-based hyperscaler, and with these two wins, we now have at least one program secured with each of the top five U.S.-based hyperscalers. To close, we remain very confident in the long-term value creation opportunities across both distribution and HIFE. The addressable markets we serve are continuing to expand and we believe our differentiated value proposition and strategy positions us to capture a growing share of that opportunity while delivering attractive returns for shareholders. Now, I will pass it to David to go over the financial performance and outlook in more detail. David?

speaker
David Jordan
Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Patrick, and good morning, everyone. We're pleased to report a strong start to our fiscal year with first quarter results that exceeded our expectations across all key metrics. Walking through the numbers, our non-GAAP gross billings for the first quarter was $25.8 billion, increasing 24% year-over-year or 20% year-over-year in constant currency, and exceeded the high end of our guidance range, driven by accelerated growth in both distribution and highs. Non-GAAP operating income was $590 million, an increase of 48% year-over-year or 44% year-over-year in constant currency. Non-GAAP earnings per share was $4.73, an increase of 69% year-over-year and above the high end of our guidance range. GAAP operating income was $489 million, an increase of 61% year-over-year or 57% year-over-year in constant currency. GAAP earnings per share was $4.04, an increase of 104% year-over-year and also above the high end of our guidance range. Together, these results demonstrate our ability to convert strong top-line growth into operating leverage and meaningful shareholder value. Turning to quarterly performance for each of our businesses, distribution generated non-gap gross billings of $22 billion, increasing 17% year-over-year and exceeding our expectations, driven by broad-based strength across both product categories and geographies. Endpoint solutions increased 14% year over year, supported by ongoing PC refresh activity and strong demand for premium devices. Advanced solutions increased 19% year over year, driven by continued strength in infrastructure, security, and software. Distribution non-GAAP operating income was $431 million, increasing 42% year-over-year, and non-GAAP operating margin as a percentage of gross billings was 2%, an improvement of 34 basis points year-over-year. Overall, we estimate the distribution gross margins benefited by approximately 10 to 15 basis points during the quarter, driven by incremental profit from strategic inventory purchasing. In addition, we estimate that approximately two percentage points of year-over-year gross billings growth were attributed to higher average selling prices and modest pull-forward activity, as we partnered with OEMs to pass through higher memory and component costs. Moving to Hive, Hive generated non-GAAP gross billings of $3.8 billion, increasing 95% year-over-year and exceeded expectations, driven by broad-based strength across both manufacturing and supply chain services. Manufacturing and assembly increased in the mid-70% year-over-year on a gross billings basis, driven by demand increases from all major customers in each of the major programs we support. Supply chain services grew in excess of 100% year-over-year on a gross billings basis, driven by increased demand for components supporting our customers' AI infrastructure deployments. Margins in this business can vary quarter-to-quarter depending on mix. Hive non-GAAP operating income was $159 million, increasing 66% year-over-year, and non-GAAP operating income margin as a percentage of gross billings was 4.2%, decreasing 72 basis points year-over-year, primarily driven by mix, as discussed earlier. We are in a period of accelerated growth. However, we continue to remain disciplined in our cost management approach. Our teams are focused on driving operating leverage while ensuring we make investments that position both distribution and high for sustained long-term growth. Shifting to cash flow and capital allocation, free cash flow usage for the quarter was approximately $929 million, consistent with our first quarter in the prior fiscal year. Over the trailing 12 months, we have generated $1.2 billion of free cash flow and returned $723 million to shareholders, demonstrating the strength of our model and our disciplined approach to capital allocation. As the business grows, we're focused on ensuring we maximize our net income to free cash flow conversion ratio on an annualized basis. Return on equity is also a key financial priority for us. And beginning this quarter, we're highlighting return on equity as a key metric that we are focused on improving over time. During the first quarter, we returned $118 million to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends. Networking capital ended the quarter at $4.2 billion, with a gross cash conversion cycle of 16 days, an improvement of four days year over year, reflecting our continued focus on strong cash conversion and efficient working capital management. We ended the quarter with $1.6 billion of cash and cash equivalents, and our leverage ratio finished at 1.5 times, modestly below our medium-term framework, providing ample flexibility to invest in the business while continuing to return meaningful cash to shareholders. In addition, our board of directors approved a cash dividend of $0.48 per common share, payable on April 29, 2026, to shareholders of record as of the close of business on April 15, 2026. Turning to our outlook for the second quarter of fiscal 2026, we expect non-GAAP gross billings of approximately $25.1 billion, plus or minus $500 million, representing a year-over-year increase of approximately 16% at the midpoint, a gross-to-net adjustment of approximately 34%, revenue of approximately $16.5 billion, plus or minus $400 million, Non-GAAP net income of approximately $322 million, plus or minus $20 million. Non-GAAP diluted earnings per share of approximately $4, plus or minus $0.25, based on approximately 79.8 million diluted shares outstanding, representing a year-over-year increase of approximately 34% at the midpoint. Share repurchases to increase from the amount purchased in our first quarter. To close, we're encouraged by our start to the year and believe we are well positioned to execute on the opportunities in front of us. Our global reach, differentiated capabilities, and expanding portfolio position us to perform well across IT market cycles and deliver long-term value to shareholders. With that, I'll turn it over to the operator. Operator?

speaker
Warren
Conference Operator

We will now begin the question and answer session. We request that you limit yourself to one question and one short follow-up to allow time for the other participants to ask their questions. If there is remaining time, you are welcome to re-queue with additional questions. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, press star one again. Please pick up your handset when asking a question. If you are muted locally, please remember to unmute your device. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Your first question comes from the line of David Page with RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

speaker
David Page
Equity Research Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Hi, good morning, and thank you for taking my question. Congrats on the really great results here. I was wondering if we could just double tap into the high solutions growth. It was buildings were up 95%, so I was curious if that was concentrated in your two main customers or was it more broad based across the five hyperscalers that you have programs with? And then just as a quick follow up, I think you mentioned two new customers coming on board, one maybe in 2026. But I guess, Keith, you could just size that opportunity relative to your other two large customers. Thank you.

speaker
Patrick Zamet
Chief Executive Officer

Okay. Good morning, David. Thanks for the question. So, I mean, very pleased with the performance this quarter, distribution, and, of course, Hive. So, yes, the growth came from the two main customers. As I mentioned, the diversification has started. But the ramp up of the programs we want is going to take a little bit of time. So we believe that we are going to see really the impact of the ramp up more towards the end of fiscal year 26 and in 27.

speaker
David Page
Equity Research Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

That's great. Thank you. Maybe if I could stick one more in. I know the first quarter seems seasonally a weaker free cash flow quarter, but cash conversion did get better. So I was just wondering, you know, what whole land or inventory bill you were seeing in PCs might need to benefit from higher ASPs, but just, I guess, put some takes on how you're seeing the PC demand market evolve throughout the year. Thank you.

speaker
David Jordan
Chief Financial Officer

So good morning, David. So when you think about Working capital and cash flow for Q1, there's a couple of dynamics. You rightfully pointed out that on a gross cash days basis, year over year, we made significant improvements. With that being said, we also made sure in our first quarter that we had the right amount of inventory. We recognize that some products are on allocation. and could potentially be short in supply. And so we went long on inventory to try and make sure we had adequate supply to support all of our customers on the distribution side. On the Hive side, we're continuing to make investments in working capital as that business continues to grow. But overall, when you put the two to two together, we're quite pleased with the cash days that we were able to land given the growth rates in the business.

speaker
Patrick Zamet
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, and so on the PC, so we had a strong quote on PCs. So for Q2, we continue to be reasonably optimistic about the PC dynamic. I mean, just a few thoughts. So one, we continue across the world in all the region, except in Latin America, but across the other regions, we are very focused on continuing growing faster than the market when it comes to PCs. I mean, we are seeing a clear success there. I want also to mention that we are focused primarily on B2B when it comes to PC. And that's important because in the coming quarters, we are going to see a strong tailwind coming from the ASP increases. And obviously comes the question about the impact on elasticity on volumes. So we foresee some reduction in units, but I think the reduction in units should be significantly less than in the consumer space. So all in all, I think PC should continue to be a good category for us in the coming quarters.

speaker
David Page
Equity Research Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Thanks, Patrick. Thanks, David. Congrats again.

speaker
Warren
Conference Operator

Thanks. Your next question comes from the line of Adam Tindall with Raymond James. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

speaker
Adam Tindall
Equity Research Analyst, Raymond James

Okay, thanks. Good morning. David, I just wanted to start, you know, obviously a congrats on such a strong start to the year. As we think about the typical financial model for TD Cinex from an EPS progression standpoint, Normally, you know, kind of see sequential growth in earnings from here. But, you know, if we roll that out, we're going to be in the neighborhood of 18 bucks or so of EPS for the year. And I just don't want to get ahead of ourselves given the trajectory that you've been on. So I guess the question would be maybe just helping to level set, I understand, you know, not seeking to give annual guidance, but maybe some color for us to think about our models, what might be, you know, similar or different this year from that normal EPS progression that we're used to, just so we can understand the models. And I have a follow up after that. Thanks.

speaker
David Jordan
Chief Financial Officer

Great question. And thanks for asking. Q1 and Q2, so we've provided guidance for Q2. We're not providing guidance beyond that. But what I would share with you, which I think will help, is for the moment, demand remains strong in our business. However, we are cautiously optimistic for the second half and would just remind people that the second half of last year for us was very strong. As you think about the second half and more on a long-term basis, using the investor day framework that we laid out is a good place to start. But it is true for the moment, I mean, Hive and our distribution businesses are performing quite well, but given the broader macro environment, we are cautiously optimistic for the second half, but we do believe both businesses will grow.

speaker
Adam Tindall
Equity Research Analyst, Raymond James

Okay, that's helpful. Patrick, just a follow-up. I'm getting this question a lot, and it's related to core distribution and the impact of inflation and memory costs and all those things to margins for the channel. There's a general fear from investors that the vendors will take margin away, and one of the big networking vendors on their earnings call talked about changing contractual provisions with channel partners, and it kind of fired the gun on this fear. So I thought this might be a good forum. I'm looking at the America's region results for distribution, and there's clearly no evidence when I see gross operating margin up meaningfully currently, but maybe just level set us on those comments that we're hearing from the vendors and what you're actually experiencing boots on the ground in the distribution business.

speaker
Patrick Zamet
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, so thanks for the question. So indeed, in Q1, no impact on margin. I would add that... We built inventory at the end of last fiscal year to be able to cope with, or I should say, smoothen the introduction of price increases for our customers. What we've done is to work very closely with both the vendors and our customers in order for them to be in a position to anticipate some of the price increases and reflect it in their quotes. So today, I mean, across the board, we believe that the price increases will not impact our margin because of this close collaboration with vendors, but also the customers.

speaker
Warren
Conference Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from the line of Eric Woodring with Morgan Stanley. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

speaker
Eric Woodring
Equity Research Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Awesome. Thank you guys for taking my questions and congrats on a really strong quarter and more disclosures here. Patrick, I'm unfortunately going to ask maybe a similar question that Adam just asked. My first blush reaction to these results and guidance were it was almost too good to be true, right? Gross billings and revenue nearly 10% above the high end of your guide, growth accelerating across every technology category. Can you just help us understand maybe just how you ring-fence the risk around pull forward because typically pull forward and the ability to size that really isn't clear until after the fact and so when you talk about two points of benefit from asps and pull forward just how do you come to that conclusion and what are you hearing from customers about their desire to accelerate purchases and whether that's a pricing dynamic, a supply dynamic. If you could maybe just marry those two together, that would be super helpful. And then just a quick follow up, please.

speaker
Patrick Zamet
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. Yes. So good morning. Thanks a lot for the question. So the approach we've taken, we looked at seasonality in units. So we compared, for example, sequentially between Q4 and Q1, how the units evolved for all our hardware categories. And we compare with what we've seen in the past. And that was the first indicator where we concluded that, I mean, the seasonality was not skewed. It was quite consistent with what we've seen in the prior years. Second, we did a quick survey. We asked the teams to provide to us some color. And again, we took it into account. And so based on that, we believe that most put forwards have been limited from Q1. The other thing I would add is when you look at how fast the vendors are fast, the increase of their component cost to the market, how fast, I mean, and today also we have to deal with quote validity dates, which are very short. I think the market had to react and adjust very rapidly. It was quite, I mean, Yeah, I think that has also had an impact on some of the behaviors at the end users. So again, at the moment, based on what we can see out of our data, the feedback we receive from customers and the teams, I think that's the best we can share on the pull forwards.

speaker
Eric Woodring
Equity Research Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Okay. All right. Very fair. And then as my follow-up, Patrick, there is clear intent in breaking out Hive as a separate standalone business. And I'm just curious, today Hive is 15% of gross billings. It's nearly 30% of operating income, at least in the last quarter. You know, is there a target that you have for either of those metrics if we think, you know, three years out, just the opportunity for growth and margin expansion at Hive? I'm just curious, like, again, putting a longer-term hat on, you know, how big do you think Hive can be for some of these key fundamental metrics? Thanks so much, guys.

speaker
Patrick Zamet
Chief Executive Officer

Yes. So first thing, I mean, we discussed Hive separately this year. So my management system is to empower my business units owners. We have a lot of autonomy. And so it was justified to disclose Hive separately. And also we think it improves significantly the quality of the financial understanding of how results are being formed. When it comes to Hive, you should assume that Hive is going to continue to grow faster than distribution. The margins, I mean, at the moment, obviously, we continue to invest in both engineering and manufacturing capabilities to cope with the rapid increase in demand. And so the margins for the moment are relatively stable in that context. As we get more mature, probably investments will start reducing a little bit, but I would say for the foreseeable future, the margins you are seeing are reasonable. And so the combination of both, and sorry, I should add that The operating expense for Hive is significantly lower than for distribution, but structural. The combination of that, I think that the weight of Hive in the total business will continue to increase both from a gross billing revenue and operating income. Awesome.

speaker
Eric Woodring
Equity Research Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Thank you, guys. Best of luck.

speaker
Warren
Conference Operator

Thanks. Your next question comes from the line of Joseph Cardoso with JP Morgan. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

speaker
Joseph Cardoso
Analyst, JPMorgan

Hey, good morning. Congrats on the results and thank you for the questions here. Maybe just for my first one, I wanted to follow up on the customer behavior question relative to the distribution business, but maybe less on pull forwards and maybe more so on what you're seeing from customers placing orders much earlier relative to what they expect from deliveries. as they navigate cost and whether that is driving better visibility than you would typically see. And then I have a follow up.

speaker
Patrick Zamet
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, so backlog is increasing, so we are getting more visibility. Vendors have been very clear, very explicit. The price increases are going to continue over the year because, I mean, driven in particular by both the memory price increases and now also the CPU prices increases. So yes, we are getting more visibility. At the same time, yeah, end users have got their budgets and the timing of their budgets has also some influence on when they are going to place the orders. I would say for the moment, indeed, I mean, we see a very high activity in terms of quoting. We are trying to secure the prices as well as we can with some inventory to help our resellers serve their end users in the best possible way. But again, there's no indication of a major pull forward at the moment when we look at our figures. There's some but it's not dramatic.

speaker
Joseph Cardoso
Analyst, JPMorgan

No, got it. Thank you, Patrick. I appreciate that color there. And then maybe just in light of the new HIVE disclosures, which I think everyone's happy to see for sure, just wanted to touch on the strong variance between gross billings and revenue this quarter. Seems like a big change quarter over quarter, year over year. And just wanted to better understand whether that's being driven by the change in mix that you alluded to, And maybe as a second part of that question, how do you expect that trending going forward? And maybe just adding on to that, like given that you talked about new customers, like any implications from a mixed perspective, we should think as those start to onboard maybe in the latter part of this year going into next year. Thank you.

speaker
David Jordan
Chief Financial Officer

Joe, this is David. So it's a good question, and I think you're thinking about it the right way. At a high level, and I'm going to answer an additional question that you didn't ask. When you look at hives margins on a year-over-year basis, the decline was largely driven by mix. We put that in the transcript. And what the mix was related to was some large GPU fulfillment deals that went through. A lot of those programs are recorded on a net basis. And so you've actually seen the opposite impact to margins on a net basis. When you think about Hive, each one of the programs is set up slightly differently and the gross versus net components can be different. And so that's why we've always looked at the business on a gross billings basis. And depending on how the mix will shift, you could have a higher margin on a net basis based on the relative weighting. And we would likely expect as we move forward, some of these net programs are growing faster than the overall.

speaker
Joseph Cardoso
Analyst, JPMorgan

Nope. Got it. Thank you, David. Appreciate the call, gentlemen.

speaker
Warren
Conference Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Catherine Murphy with Goldman Sachs. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

speaker
Catherine Murphy
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Thank you for the question. To ask another one on HIVE, in the deck you disclosed that supply chain services grew in excess of 100% year over year in the quarter. It would be helpful if you could talk more about the strength here. And in the prepared remarks, you also noted a strategy pivot to selling more complete solutions than Hive. Is there any impact we should think about on the supply chain services business as it stands today? Thank you very much.

speaker
Patrick Zamet
Chief Executive Officer

Okay, so good morning. So supply chain services is really a service we render to the customer, and it's a relatively volatile business. The reason being that... taking into account the market environment, we may have more requests from our customers to basically support them in that space, buy inventory in advance and store it. So, I mean, clearly lots of demand at the moment driven by the pricing volatility. So that explains why I mean, we have such a growth in supply chain services. But at the same time, you can see that our manufacturing activity is also growing extremely fast. And we believe faster than market. And so, yeah, I just wanted to raise it here on the call.

speaker
Catherine Murphy
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Thank you very much.

speaker
Patrick Zamet
Chief Executive Officer

Sorry, and just to answer your second question, the growth through time. So we are confident about the growth in manufacturing. This is more steady. You're talking about programs with better visibility. So if the demand from the customer stays consistent, then we should continue to see stable growth in that space. Again, the supply chain segment is more volatile. and really depends on the market environment. So here I would be a little bit more cautious and we probably will see more variations in the growth rates, quote by quote, again, depending on the needs of the customers.

speaker
Warren
Conference Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Keith Howsam with North Coast Research. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

speaker
Keith Howsam
Analyst, North Coast Research

Good morning, gentlemen. Appreciate it. And thanks for additional color here. You know, as we think about the quarter and looking forward, obviously investors are struggling with trying to understand, you know, the magnitude of the price increases and the impact of demand destruction. So I guess, David, as you look about the second quarter guidance, you know, how much does that 2% grow in terms of what you think the impact is from the increased prices? And then I guess the second part of the question is, At what point do you think we start seeing demand destruction? Is it when you hit 15% or 20% price increases? Or as we've already seen, you've got a lot more on that in some different product categories out there right now.

speaker
David Jordan
Chief Financial Officer

I'll start and kind of help frame up the Q2 guidance. And then Patrick, you can comment on kind of unit elasticity. So when we built the guidance for Q2, we did a full bottoms up roll up from the teams. And what I can tell you is for the moment, demand remains strong. This is true both in the distribution business, it's also true in Hive. The one thing to think about as you think about price increases and how that makes its way into our P&L, remember that we have a lot of revenue That is back to back, meaning it's it's billed, put into a backlog. It might take, you know, two, three, four or five months to ship. And so it's not like you're going to see this massive hockey stick into our P&L immediately from price increases. But we do expect as we move through the quarters to have price increases become slightly more meaningful than they were in the first quarter. And then maybe Patrick, if you can provide a little bit of color on how you think about units and demand as it relates to the latter part of the year.

speaker
Patrick Zamet
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, so let me look at the four main hardware categories for us. The first one is PCs. So the refresh is not over. And so that continues to be a tailwind for us. But the other aspect is that the weight of AI PCs continues to increase. And I think that one of the driver for it is that you will have more and more applications, AI applications running at the edge. So having an AI PC is going to become more and more important in companies. So that's for PCs. When you look at... General compute, so general servers. Here again, there's a refresh cycle going through at the moment. So yeah, it should be, continues to be a tailwind. But similar to PC, we see an acceleration of the purchase of AI enabled servers. What we see is that end users have now defined their use cases. They are starting to build their AI factories, and that's driving demand in the market, which we are benefiting from. And then you have storage. In this quarter, we had a very good quarter on storage, and we believe that data center modernization, which has been a topic but not really materializing in the previous quarters, maybe we are going to see more of it going forward. And last, networking. I mean, clearly after two very difficult years, I mean, networking is back, is growing single to double digit depending on the regions. And again, I'm quite optimistic when it comes to the networking category.

speaker
Keith Howsam
Analyst, North Coast Research

i guess patrick what we're hearing from you know some of our contacts is some of the uh equipment that you guys are selling are seeing price increases well beyond the 20 and 30 percent sometimes 60 70 80 percent uh i i guess it would seem natural that there's got to be some demand destruction and people just you know going to the refurb market or push just pushing things off entirely are you hearing this from customers yet and i guess how are you guys I understand you want to give value to the second half of the year, but what are your thoughts or what any color can provide in the remainder of the year?

speaker
Patrick Zamet
Chief Executive Officer

So based on what we see again, and it's reflecting our guidance, our assumptions have been reflected. And so we haven't seen it yet in Q1, the demand destruction. We continue to be confident for Q2. For the rest of the year, I will leave you with that. There may be some demand destruction. Again, everybody's waiting for how good or how bad the elasticity will be on volume. I mean, I shared with you some of the tailwinds which could mitigate a little bit the impact. But from a revenue standpoint, when you have such ASP increases, I think the net between potential decline in units and the ASP increase net-net revenue growth, sorry, it should impact positively the growth in revenue.

speaker
Keith Howsam
Analyst, North Coast Research

Okay. Thank you.

speaker
Warren
Conference Operator

Your next question comes from the line of David Vogt with UBS. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

speaker
David Vogt
Analyst, UBS

Great, guys. Thanks for taking the question. I have two also. So Patrick, you know, historically Hive has been a more traditional compute networking-centric business in terms of billings and revenue. Can you share with us kind of how that's evolving as you onboard incremental hyperscaler customers? And you talked about having at least one program at the top five. How that mix is changing going forward to a more accelerated compute and networking And then I'll give David my question as well. So David, when we think about the price increases, I know everyone's talking about PCs, but we're seeing incredibly strong demand for traditional CPU-based server, just generally speaking in the industry right now. We'd love to get a sense for how you're thinking about that demand, X sort of the price increases, because we're seeing relatively strong demand for hard-to-get, you know, CPU-based products, and just would love to kind of get your perspective on that. Thanks.

speaker
Patrick Zamet
Chief Executive Officer

Yes, good morning. Thanks for the question. So historically, Hive demand is driven by general compute and networking. Some of the wins are accelerated compute wins. So we are going to start seeing it in the mix in the coming quarters. Just zooming up a little bit, when you look at the Hive strategy for many quarters now, and we are starting to see the benefits, we had two objectives. Diversify the customer base and also going after the four main technologies we can serve, namely general compute, accelerated compute, networking and storage. And really we've made investments in both our engineering capabilities and manufacturing capabilities to be well positioned to go after those opportunities. And so expect in the coming quarters to see a diversification of the customer base, but also a diversification of the program types.

speaker
David Jordan
Chief Financial Officer

David, just to provide a little color on your question around general compute. So we have worked hand in hand with both vendors and customers to raise pricing on a variety of infrastructure products. As Patrick said, for the moment, demand remains quite strong. And it is true in some of these categories, the price increases are double digits. Our current thesis is that while there will be some elasticity around unit demand, our belief is that the price increases will more than offset that. And so again, we'll continue to give you guys updates, but for the moment, demand remains strong and there's less elasticity around pricing than people initially thought. Great. Thank you, guys.

speaker
Warren
Conference Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Ruplu Bhattacharya with Bank of America. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

speaker
Ruplu Bhattacharya
Analyst, Bank of America

Hi, thank you for taking my question and thanks for all the details. Patrick, a question on Hive. So you mentioned that Hive has secured at least one program in the top five US hyperscalers. Can you give us more details on what type of opportunities these are? Are they for full rack bills or for supply chain services? So first, how should we think about capex for a hive? Do you have enough capacity to support these programs? And second, when I look at operating margin, it was 7.4% this quarter on a revenue basis. You said 4.2 on a billings basis. But when we think about the AI server space and rack building space, the industry itself is getting squeezed in terms of margins, right? So should we think that our margin can take a dip initially as you ramp these new hyperscalers? And what are you doing to offset some of that margin pressure? Thank you.

speaker
Patrick Zamet
Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Rufus. I will answer the first question. David will take the second one. So, I mean, the programs we want are full racks. So it's really for the manufacturing segment. We also want some supply chain. But as I mentioned, the supply chain opportunities are more volatile. So when we refer to those program wins, it's really for our manufacturing activity.

speaker
Vincent Colicchio
Analyst, Barrington Research

Okay.

speaker
David Jordan
Chief Financial Officer

And then Rupa, when you think about the overall, oh, I'm sorry.

speaker
Ruplu Bhattacharya
Analyst, Bank of America

I was just going to follow up on that and ask for the capex question I had. In the past you said that you need to add capacity.

speaker
Patrick Zamet
Chief Executive Officer

So I'll take it. Obviously, we're constantly looking at our capacity requirements, and we are investing in increasing our capacity as we speak to be able to be in a good position to serve our customers. So, yes, CapEx are required. Again, when you look at... the amounts at stake, it's very reasonable. And I want to insist on the fact that both distribution and the Hive continue to do a great job of reducing the cash days, so improving the working capital velocity. And that's, again, enabling us not only to finance the growth without any issues, but also to finance investments in capital expenditure. So

speaker
Ruplu Bhattacharya
Analyst, Bank of America

no concerns from that point of view either thanks and then just on the margin side david i think you were saying about uh you know was there would you do we expect any initial margin pressure from the ramp of these programs or how should we think about these margins going forward thank you thanks for all the details no you you bet so

speaker
David Jordan
Chief Financial Officer

At a high level, when you think about Hive's operating margins, we feel pretty good about where they are. It is true as you ramp new customers, especially in the early innings, there can be a slight headwind in operating margins as we make investments and kind of get the programs up to speed. What I would tell you is each of these are going to ramp on a different timeline and we'll continue to provide you updates. But we feel very good about the current operating margins of Hive, the programs that they have and how that will play out as we move forward. And then actually, let me clarify one thing for you, Rupal. You mentioned accelerated compute. While we do have some accelerated compute programs, it is not the majority of our portfolio. And so some of the margin pressure that you may have seen from others won't play out to the same degree in Hive, just given the overall mix in the programs that we have.

speaker
Ruplu Bhattacharya
Analyst, Bank of America

Okay, that's helpful. Thanks, David.

speaker
Warren
Conference Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Vincent Colicchio with Barrington Research. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

speaker
Vincent Colicchio
Analyst, Barrington Research

Yes. Can you talk to the relative distribution strength in Europe? We have legs there and has there been any change in sentiment given the geopolitical environment?

speaker
Patrick Zamet
Chief Executive Officer

Yes. Good morning, Vince. Thanks for the question. So the market in Europe in distribution grew mid-single digit in Q1. And I mean, the market forecast for the rest of the year is between low... to meet single digit growth for the rest of the year. And so, I mean, when you look at our results, we are going at the double digit. So we, so I would say the market conditions continue to be positive, but most important in that market environment, the team continues to grow much faster than the market. I mean, we have an end to end portfolio. We are very well positioned on every technology. And we're also very well positioned in all the key markets in Europe. We have really a strong pan-European presence. So we are taking, I would say, advantage of some countries growing a little bit faster than the average in Europe. So, for example, Poland is growing faster. Spain is growing faster. And again, it's a favorable mix, and we are well positioned in both countries. So net-net, it explains the double-digit growth and the fact that we are growing significantly faster than market. And we've done so now for several quarters, and I'm confident for the quarters to come.

speaker
Vincent Colicchio
Analyst, Barrington Research

And my follow-up is on acquisitions. What are your thoughts in terms of what you're looking at currently and have the valuations come in with the overall public markets?

speaker
Patrick Zamet
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, so M&A is at the... is at the core of the strategy. And for us, M&A is a way to accelerate the execution of our strategy by geo, by technology, or to acquire vendors we are missing in some countries. So we are looking at several opportunities in basically all the regions. In terms of valuation, we are very strict. So our objective is that the price we would have to pay, I mean, we would have the right return within two years of the acquisition and after completion of the integration. So that's our North Star when it comes to M&A. And with that in mind, so we are working on the projects, sticking to our strong financial discipline, and we'll see if some of the opportunities materialize in the coming quarters. Thank you.

speaker
Warren
Conference Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Ananda Barua with Loop Capital. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

speaker
Ananda Barua
Analyst, Loop Capital

Yeah, thanks, guys. Good morning. Thanks for taking the question. A couple if I could. I apologize for any background noise here. I guess the first, Patrick, is a few moments ago you talked about starting to see data center modernization. And what customer base are you seeing that across? I would guess hyperscale, but also in non-hyperscale, are you seeing it there as well? Polo, on-prems? you know, other, we'd love to get some context there and then have a quick follow-up as well.

speaker
Patrick Zamet
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. No, no. So, so obviously it's, I'm talking on-prem and yeah, we see enterprise, but also the, the higher end of the, so the, the, the higher end of the mid segment, we, we saw very promising activities and, Again, I'm a little bit cautious, of course, because that was not what we've seen in the prior quarters, but this quarter we saw very solid demand. And so, yeah.

speaker
Ananda Barua
Analyst, Loop Capital

That's super helpful. And then the follow-up is just on TIE's mix, longer term, you're getting more into GPU-based. So is it as simple as saying over time the mix BEGINS TO SHIFT TO INCLUDE MORE OF THAT OR WE DO ALSO SEE MORE STORAGE AND NETWORKING AS WELL GIVEN GIVEN LIKE THE RESOURCES REQUIREMENTS OF GENERAC BUILD AND THEN ALSO JUST TO THAT REAL QUICK COULD ARM JUST GIVEN THEIR ANNOUNCEMENT LAST WEEK AND THE THE REVENUE RAMP THAT THEY'RE TALKING ABOUT WITH CPU SERVERS CAN ARM BECOME A DISTRIBUTION PARTNER OF THE COMPANY AS WELL That's it for me. Thanks.

speaker
Patrick Zamet
Chief Executive Officer

So let me start with Arm. So, yes, I mean, when you have a vendor who is changing his strategy and is starting to produce his own products, we believe that distribution, TDCnext in particular, are a fantastic partner to accelerate the go-to-market. So nothing to disclose today, but in principle, I mean, if there's an opportunity to partner, we will absolutely do it. I mean, back to Hive. So what's important is our customers are looking for support across all four technologies. So general compute, accelerated compute, storage, and networking. And so that's the reason it's important for us to have the capabilities, the expertise, to be able to respond to their needs and requirements. Now, when you look in the... We will have more accelerated compute wins in our portfolio. But I think that still going forward, general compute, networking, and storage will represent the majority of our total business.

speaker
Ananda Barua
Analyst, Loop Capital

Helpful context. I really appreciate it. Thank you.

speaker
Warren
Conference Operator

There are no further questions at this time. I will now turn the call back to Patrick Zamet, CEO, for closing remarks.

speaker
Patrick Zamet
Chief Executive Officer

So thank you for joining us today. I want to close by thanking our co-workers around the world for their hard work and dedication, and our customers and vendors for the trust they place in us. And to everyone on the call, thank you for your continued interest in TDCnext. Have a great day.

speaker
Warren
Conference Operator

That concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect. Have a nice day.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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