This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.
spk01: Good afternoon, my name is amy and i'll be your conference operator for today at this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the solventum third quarter 2024 earnings call. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded all lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise after the speakers remarks, there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, please press the star and the number one on your keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, again, press star and the number one. Thank you. I would now like to turn the program over to your host for today's conference, Kevin Moran, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations. Please proceed.
spk04: Good afternoon and welcome. Today we will discuss Solventum's third quarter fiscal 2024 results, along with an update to our 2024 outlook. Just after market closed today, a press release was issued with our earnings results and updated outlook. The press release and earnings presentation are available on the investor section of the Solventum website. Joining me today are Brian Hanson, our Chief Executive Officer, and Wade McMillan, our Chief Financial Officer. During the call, we will be making forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. For a full description of these risks and uncertainties, please refer to our SEC filings and the forward-looking statement slide at the beginning of our presentation. Please note that during our discussion, our comments will all be on a non-GAAP basis, unless they are specifically called out as GAAP. GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliations for all relevant periods can be found in the schedules attached to our press release. For the Q&A portion of today's call, we kindly ask that you limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. And with that, I'll hand the call over to Brian.
spk05: All right, great. Thanks, Kevin, and thanks to everyone for joining us for the call today. Hard to believe, but we've already completed our second quarter as an independent company. And I'll tell you that I'm increasingly encouraged by the progress our team is making against our phased approach to transform this business. And just as a reminder for those that might be new to the story, we look at transformation at Solventum in two ways. The first one is the turnaround of our business performance. And the second is just, you know, obviously standing Solventum up as an independent company. Both of these vectors provide a real opportunity to drive shareholder value. And in looking at the quarter, Q3 is yet another data point. That speaks to the team's overall progress in this transformation and the success of our business continuity efforts, which we clearly see as being reflected in both the performance in the quarter and our ability to raise our full-year guidance for the second consecutive quarter. We saw positive top-line growth in Q3 despite a challenging year-over-year comparison. And as a result, as I just referenced, we're raising our full-year organic growth rate to the upper half of our prior guidance of flat to 1%. And we're increasing our adjusted EPS and free cash flow guidance ranges as well. We saw operating margins improve sequentially, benefiting from some one-time items that helped offset the known incremental headwind from the 3M supply agreement markups. And following our discipline capital allocation strategy, we paid down 200 million of debt during the quarter. This should clearly show that we are committed to maintaining our investment grade rating and prioritizing debt pay down. When thinking about our progress to date, I'm just incredibly proud of our teams for their continued and steady performance, especially as they continue to work through separation related activities and challenges. And I want to make sure that I take a minute to say thank you really to all the solvers that I know are listening out there today. It is your continued focus on working through the separation, maintaining business continuity, and most importantly, as we always talk about, delivering for our customers. It is greatly appreciated. It is a clear testament to your resolve to move our mission forward. Okay, moving from Q3, I'd also like to give an update on our phased approach to stabilizing and separating the business, repositioning us for profitable growth, and optimizing the portfolio. I'll start with phase one, and phase one really has just firmly taken hold as we've made significant progress on our mission, talent, culture, and structure, as well as separation activities, all of which are critical, and I would actually say foundational, for driving business growth. You know, it's hard to believe again, but it's been seven months since the spin, and our culture is rapidly taking shape. Our new leaders continue to gel as a team, learn and assess the business, and finalize our go-forward strategy. and the energy across the organization remains high, with tangible excitement as I travel around the world for our new mission at Solventum. We also continue to advance our planning for the Solventum Way restructuring project. This project is focused on creating a more flexible, more decentralized structure that ultimately will complement our culture shift, and it will focus on allowing us to create headroom to invest for growth while also concentrating on margins. As we finalize the plan, we're going to provide more context to the project and also obviously include some expected financial impacts. Given our progress to date, our current project cadence, we are on track to complete the largest majority of phase one activities within our original 12 to 24 month timeline. Just overall, I'd say in this area, I'm really encouraged by our progress and I'm impressed with the team's ability to manage through the challenges and keep us on track. Okay, let's move to phase two. As we've referenced in the past, Phase 2 is focused on a long-range plan that will unlock the profitable growth potential of our business, just really ensuring we take full advantage of the attractive markets that we play in. And as a reminder, because we were able to accelerate talent acquisition in Phase 1, we've been able to compress the timeline in Phase 2, now enabling us to share both our long-range plan and our 2025 guidance during the fourth quarter earnings follow-up coming up in February. And as a reminder, some of the elements of the plan will be, first and foremost, our primary market and sub-market selection. Again, those markets and sub-markets where we will concentrate our efforts on a go-forward basis. And as you would expect, the market selection in this process has bias towards those markets that are faster growth, markets where we have an ability to win, and markets that have relative profitability benefits versus our other markets. Inside of these markets, we're also going to be selecting our growth driver initiatives, and those will be intended to drive scale and share in these attractive areas. And I would just say that we continue to make solid progress, and we remain on track to finalize these decisions before the end of the year. And this is critical because final decisions here will facilitate the shifting of our commercial, R&D, and eventually M&A resources to these growth driver areas. And this disciplined focus will help us improve the vitality index and the overall innovation of our businesses, which is a key variable in accelerating our growth. Now, that said, even before this shift occurs, we do have some recent product launches that are absolutely worth mentioning. Let's just start with MedSurge. In the quarter, we officially launched the back peel-in-place dressing that we've been talking about. This product gives us three advantages. The first is simplifying the procedure. The second is reducing procedure time. The third is reducing the number of dressing changes per week. All of these combined give us the opportunity to reach a broader set of patients across multiple sites of care. And I would say out of the gate, the very positive early response we're getting for customers has us focused now on increasing capacity of this product and orienting our commercial structure to drive adoption. Okay, moving to our dental solutions business, we launched the ClinPro Clear Fluoride Treatment, which we believe, and I would tell you early customer response would indicate, it is a meaningful advancement in fluoride treatment technology. ClinPro is focused on making the fluoride application process simpler for the caregiver, first and foremost, and then improving the experience for the patients. And again, early customer response is positive and would indicate that the product is delivering on its intended outcome. In our health information systems business, in collaboration with SIFT Healthcare, we recently introduced a new AI-driven payment integrity solution that we're calling the Solventum Revenue Integrity System. This focuses on improving our customers' reimbursement leakage by predicting reimbursement pretty much at every step of the patient journey. And it's intended to not only reduce denials, but potentially prevent them altogether. really helping our customers ensure that they get the timely and accurate payer reimbursement that they deserve. All right. And finally, in our purification and filtration business, we recently launched a new product in our Harvest RC family. And this latest edition is focused on improving our customer's manufacturing process. by streamlining time, by streamlining cost of producing, reducing risk during scaling, and boosting overall productivity with the clear goal of helping companies bring therapies to market more quickly and with less risk. These recent launches are encouraging, there's no question. Now, they may take a little time to deliver measurable results, but they are just the tip of the spear when it comes to a refocused R&D effort that will begin in earnest and during 2025. aligning with the selection of our growth driver areas. Okay, so let's move on to phase three, our portfolio optimization phase. As I've shared previously, we have been actively assessing the value contribution and the strategic alignment of our markets and businesses. This work has been well underway since announcing our three-phase plan back at our investor day in March. We continue to make progress against this effort and at the right time. We will discuss phase three in more detail. I think it's important to reiterate on these phases that all phases are not sequential. They are running concurrently. So parts may be in execution mode, parts may be in planning mode, but all are moving forward at one time. Okay, to close my section out, I'd just like to say that while we are clearly off to a solid start, it is not lost on us that revenue growth remains below market. As we've said, This performance turnaround will take time, but rest assured, we are moving with urgency while also being thoughtful and strategic about building and investing for the long term. We have an incredible opportunity ahead of us, and by focusing on the right areas with the appropriate investments, we are setting the foundation for growth acceleration and ultimately significant value creation. Okay, with that, I'm going to turn it over to Wade. Wade?
spk09: Thanks, Brian, and thanks to everyone at Solventum for the extra effort to separate from 3M and position us to report a strong second quarter as a public company. As you heard from Brian, we are tracking to our separation and execution plans across all three phases. I'll focus on updates related to phase one before getting into Q3 financial performance and then wrapping up with guidance. We're continuing to advance our separation efforts This includes our manufacturing strategy and site selection for our new manufacturing facilities, as well as transitioning to our standalone distribution centers. We've also made good progress to advance our product licenses and rebranding transitions. We have changed our commercial distribution models in over 60 countries, created structure and hired staff all ahead of schedule. Shifting to IT, We have implemented new ERP systems in four countries and will continue to roll out globally over the next couple of years. Overall, it's great to see these early successes and our team's resilience as we manage through this complex separation from 3M. Turning now to our Q3 results. Starting with sales, for the third quarter of 2024, sales of 2.1 billion increased 30 basis points compared to the prior year on an organic basis, with reported growth increasing 40 basis points, slightly ahead of expectations due to some order timing in the U.S. During the quarter, foreign exchange was approximately neutral. Price was flat for the quarter, as we've now normalized from 2023 actions, and volume was slightly favorable. From a year-over-year growth perspective, recall that Q3 had a tough comparison. Moving to the segments. Our largest segment, MedSurg, delivered 1.2 billion of sales, an increase of 1% on an organic basis. Within infection prevention and surgical solutions, we saw continued adoption of our antimicrobial IV site management solutions with the growth of Tegaderm IV dressing. Sales growth also benefited from continued positive trends in OEM products. Performance in these areas was partially offset by negative pressure wound therapy. Our dental segment delivered $313 million of revenue, a decrease of 3.9%. This decline reflects challenging market conditions, and the fact that this segment faced the toughest year-over-year comparison among all four segments. Our health information systems segment contributed $326 million of revenue, an increase of 1.5%, which benefited from growth of our revenue cycle management platform, 360 and Compass. Strength in revenue cycle management was partially offset by declines in performance management solutions and continued headwinds in clinician productivity solutions. Finally, the purification and filtration segment delivered 238 million of sales, a decline of 0.3%, which was impacted by declines in drinking water filtration and dialysis membranes, partially offset by better than expected strength in bioprocessing filtration and newly expanded capacity in industrial filtration. Looking down the P&L, gross margins were 57.3% in the quarter, ahead of our expectations, and down 100 basis points versus prior year. On a sequential basis, gross margins increased 180 basis points. This included approximately 100 basis points of one-time benefits, which offset the impact of the 3M supply agreement markup. We anticipate some of this one-time benefit will partially reverse in Q4. As expected, operating expenses increased versus the prior year. When excluding the impact of approximately 30 million of discrete items in Q2 2024, operating expenses in Q3 also increased sequentially. As we have shared before, the added spend reflects public company stand-up costs and growth investments to support our business transformation. We expect the magnitude of the increase in Q4 to be similar sequentially to what was seen in Q3 off the normalized Q2. In total, we delivered adjusted operating income of $475 million, which translates to operating margin of 22.8% ahead of expectations given both sales and the one-time benefits in gross margin. Moving down the P&L to non-operating items, our net interest expense benefited sequentially from a higher cash balance. Lastly, our effective tax rate of 22.4% puts us on track for our full-year expected tax rate of 18 to 19%. All in, we delivered earnings per share of $1.64 ahead of our expectations. Turning to the balance sheet, we ended the quarter with $772 million in cash and equivalents with no outstanding borrowings on our credit facility. We generated $75 million of free cash flow in Q3, which includes making the first semiannual interest payment, bringing our year-to-date free cash flow total to $712 million. Importantly, we're committed to maintaining our investment grade rating and given strong year-to-date cash flows, paid down $200 million of our $1.5 billion prepayable term loans earlier than anticipated. We continue to expect debt paydown will remain the priority into fiscal 2026. We maintain strong liquidity and financial position with continued free cash flow generation in addition to our unused $2 billion revolving credit facility. Now, turning to our 2024 outlook. We expect improved organic sales growth to be in the upper half of our full year guidance range of flat to up 1%. This reflects our performance year to date and continued execution of our separation plans. While we are not changing our full year foreign currency impact expectation of approximately 50 basis points unfavorable, given recent rates, we do expect foreign currency to be a headwind in Q4. For earnings per share, we are raising our guidance to $6.50 to $6.65 on our improved sales outlook and stronger Q3 gross margins. We're also raising our free cash flow guidance to a range of $750 to $850 million to reflect both continued strong cash flow generation and the expectation that capital expenditures will come in toward the lower end of the $400 to $500 million range we provided earlier this year. In conclusion, we're off to a solid start as a new public company, delivering two consecutive quarters of better than expected performance, which is encouraging given the complex and highly entangled separation. We're delivering on our near-term financial commitments, executing on our separation activities, and focusing on turning around the business while raising the top and bottom line guidance for the year. Looking ahead, we will continue to execute on our phased approach to transform our business, and we'll use our collective expertise in health, material, and data science to deliver our mission. While we know this turnaround will take time and focused investment, we're encouraged by the meaningful progress and remain well-positioned to execute our value creation plan. I'll now hand it back to the operator for the Q&A portion of the call.
spk01: Thank you. At this time, I would like to remind everyone in order to enter the queue to ask a question, please press the star and the number one on your telephone keypad. We'll pause for just a moment to compile the Q&A roster. Your first question comes from the line of Travis Steed with Bank of America. Your line is now open.
spk13: everybody thanks for the question i wanted to ask first on uh the q4 eps uh guidance of 122 to 137 first a little bit below the street anything to call out there but really the question is more about what that implies about 2025 eps do you if you annualize that at the midpoint it's around 520. looking at the street numbers next year the wide range 530 to 580 and just trying to figure out should we be close to the lower end of that range, higher end of that range, just any color so we get models in the right place for 2025 would be helpful.
spk09: Hey, Travis. It's Wade. We'll start with the Q4 EPS that you mentioned. So really what you're talking about is what's driving the decline here from Q3 to Q4. So a few things that we have to keep in mind is we had some timing benefits that we called out in gross margin. which will benefit Q3, and those were one time in nature, and they'll partially reverse here in Q4. So that's the biggest change and really the biggest impact to Q4. We had favorability, additional favorability in Q3 that'll be a headwind for Q4. And then continued investment, you know, as we continue to invest in operations and ramp our operating expenses, As we said in our prepared remarks, it'll be a similar ramp from Q3 to Q4 as we saw from Q2 normalized to Q3. So both the stand-up cost of standing up the company as well as our growth investments. And then we called out as well at this point in time expecting FX to be a headwind. So those are things that are new to Q4 that have to be contemplated in the Q4 earnings per share. But having said all that, we're also raising our EPS guidance for the full year, given the strength of Q3, even though some of it was one time in nature. And we're going to give some of that back in Q4 for the year, very happy to be raising our EPS guidance. And then you mentioned 2025 as well. We're not guiding to 2025 yet. Certainly lots of moving pieces as we are in our first year here post-separation. We've got a lot going on to grow revenue, expand margins, and then the resulting EPS growth over time. I think it's really pretty well understood that 2025 will be pressured by the annualization of some costs post-spin. As a reminder, we spun in Q2 of 2024, so we just have this natural annualization in Q1 of 2025. And that's going to show up in operating margin in a few areas. We've got the 3M supply markup that impacts COGS. So we'll annualize that in the first half of next year. And then we've got our stand-up functional expenses, which are ramping this year. We'll annualize those next year. We're making growth investments. Some we've made this year. Some will continue to be made next year. And then we also have the SKU rationalization program that we're contemplating wave two and how much of a headwind that could be in the extent of those wave two plants for next year and then below the line we've got things to consider there as well we've got the annualization of interest expense and then our normalizing tax and so we've certainly got a lot going on to annualize the businesses into next year and then as we talked about in prepared remarks we also have our solventum way restructuring program which could give us some tailwind into next year. That program's really designed to do both fund our investments as well as give us some additional margin enhancement. And we'll be putting all of that together into our calculus for 2025. And that will be when we report our Q4 earnings results, we'll give our 2025 guidance. So having said all that, once we move beyond those items in 2025, we've got a great platform here for which to grow earnings per share and expand margins over time.
spk13: Great. Thanks for that. And the follow-up question I had was on how you're thinking about portfolio management and managing the dilution around that. I don't know if you're thinking through any updated thoughts on portfolio management would be helpful. Thanks a lot.
spk09: Sure. You know, I could probably start that one just from a dilution standpoint. You know, we don't we haven't communicated anything in portfolio management yet. So we really can't comment on any dilution at all or how the net impact of any portfolio moves will be. So really no comment there. But I don't know, Brian, if you just want to talk about our strategy in phase three around portfolio management.
spk05: Yeah, and I think we've been pretty front-footed on that. Going back to March, we've talked about Phase 3 as being portfolio optimization. Obviously, Chavez would make those decisions if we didn't think it was good for shareholders. So we'll look at any dilution and offset that dilution. But just know that we're looking at our businesses from a strategic standpoint. We're looking at the value contribution of those businesses. And eventually, at some point, when we have the right data in front of us, we'll begin to share if there's any changes that we're going to make. But we would be thinking about the financial implications of any change and certainly would want to make sure it's good for shareholders.
spk06: Next question, please.
spk01: The next question comes from the line of Patrick Wood with Morgan Stanley. Your line is now open.
spk10: Beautiful. Thank you for taking my questions. I guess the first one, I'm just curious, do we have any updated timeline on the TSAs and how we're thinking about those rolling off and how to think about reinvestment as those begin to roll off?
spk09: Patrick, it's Wade. So I think the update on the TSAs is really that we're seven months, almost eight months in post-spin here. We're making good progress, as we mentioned in our prepared remarks. But we're also right at the front end of this. If you look at the investor day presentation that we did back in March, we laid out the four main work streams, four main TSAs. And you'll see there that they're in the range of either two to three years, three to four years, or we've got the long supply continuity timeline of up to 10 to 12 years. So here we sit in the first year. We don't have any updates on those timelines. I think once we start getting nearer to the two-year mark, three-year mark, four-year marks, that's when we'll be starting to roll off of these different TSAs. A lot of work going on within the business. A lot of folks doing just really yeoman's work of trying to separate the business while they do their day-to-day jobs. And as Brian said in our prepared remarks, we really appreciate all the Solventum employees around the world taking care of the separation work while they're working through their day-to-day jobs. So a lot to update in the future, but at this point, nothing beyond what we had in the prepared remarks.
spk10: No, of course, completely get that. And before, a little specific, but the traditional negative pressure was a little softer, but disposable was strong. Is that, to your mind, in the market, is that a switch out, right? So are we seeing a transition from that more capital equipment reusable side to disposable, or are they completely separate and disposables gain traction, but it's like something else, I don't know, foam or hydrocolloids that are taking the traditional side? What's going on in that market?
spk05: Yeah. Hey, Patrick. Thanks for the question. So, I would say that there were a couple things going on with negative pressure wound therapy in the quarter. One that I think is important to note is we had a tough comp. A tough comp, generally speaking, in the quarter, but that in particular was one that was hit one of the hardest in med-surg. That was part of it. And to answer your question specifically, they are separate. So, the Pravena product line, which is our single-use is uh you know it's a very exciting market a sub market of negative pressure wound therapy and that is growing pretty steadily we're doing well with that product and we continue to see that kind of traction in q3 and we expect it to happen beyond as well the traditional negative pressure wound therapy is historically slower growth we do feel like there's real opportunity to unlock growth in that market as well the peel in place product that i referenced in the prepared remarks is one of the mechanisms to do that and the team's pretty excited about that launch
spk10: Love it. Thank you for taking the questions.
spk05: Yeah, thanks, Patrick.
spk01: Your next question comes from the line of Vic Chopra with Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.
spk07: Hey, good afternoon, and thanks for taking the question. First one for me, I did hear an update on the Q rationalization project. Any update there would be great, and if you can also let us know when you expect to start seeing benefits from this program. And then I had a follow-up, please.
spk09: Sure. Hi, Vic. It's Wade. So you may recall in last quarter, we mentioned that we had wave one that was launched this year, and we're in the process of executing upon that. And that got a significant number of SKUs out, over 3,000 SKUs that the team is working on, and that will have very little impact on top and bottom line. We're also working on wave two, but we don't have any update yet. Teams are just working through that, working through the modeling of it. And Brian and I'll be reviewing that here as we get towards the end of the year and make a decision on what skew rationalization will look like in 2025.
spk07: Okay, thank you. And my follow-up question was on the dental segment. I know you called out top comps, but you also called out market softness. Just wondering what your expectations are for recovery for the dental market and how you're thinking about growth in 2025. Thank you.
spk05: Yeah, so maybe I'll take a crack at that one. So I can't predict when we're going to see that softness turn. It is impacting our business, but probably the bigger impact for us, again, was comps in the dental business. We see softness in the market impacting our business, but given the portfolio that we have, And just the procedures that we typically play in that are less elective in nature, we don't usually get as impacted as other players in the dental space. So it's a negative pressure on our business for sure, but not maybe as much as other players in dental. I don't know that I want to speak to when we're going to see that turnaround. For us, we're going to focus on what we can control. And the team's pretty excited about the ClinPro product launch. It doesn't sound that amazing when you talk about fluoride treatment, but it's a pretty amazing innovation in that space, and our customers are seeing it that way. You know, the good news is we got a lot of demand as a result of it. The bad news is we don't have the capacity for it right now. So we're working hard to get capacity in place and support that demand.
spk06: Thank you.
spk01: The next question comes from the line of David Roman with Goldman Sachs. Your line is now open.
spk12: Thank you, and good afternoon, everybody. Wade, I was hoping you could maybe unpack a little bit of the drivers in the gross margin line. And specifically, this is a line, obviously, where there are a lot of moving parts. And last quarter, you had some discrete headwinds around international and OEM mix. This quarter, you had some tailwind dynamics, and I believe the full recognition of the 3M supply agreement reflected in there. So as we think about a baseline normalized gross margin, is that 56 and change number a good starting point? And how should we just think about the different moving parts around this line item, whether that's potential skew rationalization, business mix, investments you're making to expand your own supply chain, independence, etc.? ?
spk09: David, thanks. I'm glad you asked that question because there is a lot of moving pieces on this one, and we took a little extra care to put some additional information in the prepared remarks, but it's always good to talk about it here in Q&A, so I'm glad you brought it up. So just to summarize, we had approximately 100 basis points of one-time benefits here in Q3, and that offset the impact of the 3M supply agreement markup in the quarter. we do expect part of that 3M benefit to reverse in Q4, which results in a lower margin in Q4, as you mentioned. And then, as you also mentioned, recall that in Q2, we had some unfavorable higher international cost impacts in gross margin, and that is some of what we saw reverse here in Q3. So, if you package all that together, we had some headwinds in Q2, that somewhat reversed in Q3, and then we got a benefit in Q3 that will also be a headwind in Q4. So I think one way to think about this, David, would be to take Q2 and Q3 and put them together and then use an assumption for the 3M step-up as well as some of the benefit here. And I think what you'll do is come out below, just below that 56% that you're talking about.
spk12: Okay. That's super helpful and appreciate on the portfolio management side that that's a continuously evolving process. But maybe, Brian, you could help us think through like when you talk about kind of value to the organization, there's sort of like the one way to look at it, which is just pure dilution from an EPS perspective. The other way to think about it is how it fits in strategically, whether that's opportunities for cross-divisional product development or commercialization or where you have the right to win, like HIS is a great market, but it may not fit necessarily with the MedSearch business. So help us kind of think about the parameters that you're using to assess the portfolio management decisions.
spk05: Yeah, I mean, you hit them, you know, pretty well. If you think about where we're going to invest, I think that's the most important because you got to know where you're going to invest, to know where you're not going to invest. And then you make decisions from there, what you're going to do in those not invest areas. But the areas we're going to concentrate on, first and foremost, are the fastest growth markets that we have. We need to make sure that anything we're going to invest in gives us positive mix from a revenue growth standpoint. So that's number one. Number two, as I talked about in prepared remarks and you just referenced, it is to make sure that we concentrate in areas where we do believe we have a pathway to win. We have to be in a market position that is favorable and where we believe we have the right to win in that space. And the third is really important as well, going back to mix, but from a margin perspective, we want to make sure that we have a good margin profile in the markets or businesses where we're going to be investing as well. If we're going to grow fast in those businesses and we don't have attractive margins, then we're going to get negative mix and we don't want that in margin. So those are the primary areas. And to your point, where do our businesses connect and where can a one plus one potentially be a three? Is there value in that? It doesn't have to be there, but that's a nice add as well.
spk01: Your next question comes from the line of Rick Wise with Stifle. Your line is now open.
spk02: Good afternoon, everybody. Brian, just reflecting on your opening comments about your increasing encouragement that the progress has been made, maybe focusing that thought toward the med-surg business again, help us better understand how the the new sales and leadership team you brought in place are affecting the business, how the new peel-in-place wound product that you're talking about, how are some of these changes concretely going to affect the business as you reorient sales, as you rethink compensation? And just talk through that, if you would, and help us think about where you expect over the next year or two, what's that translate into in terms of growth in these early days of Sylventum for the MedSearch piece? Thank you.
spk05: Yeah, it's good. Thanks, Rick. And I think it's a good proxy, actually, for the entire business, to be honest, because it's a similar game plan almost across all businesses and functions. But it makes a big difference. If you think about just mid-surge in particular, we've made some pretty significant changes. And if you think about the deficiency in revenue growth versus market, first thing you need to do is do a root cause analysis. Why am I underperforming markets that are attractive today? And when you do that root cause analysis, you find where those deficiencies lie. And they can be in three different areas. We're already in attractive markets, so we know that's not one. But it could be that you don't have the rigor in place. From a commercial standpoint, that's pretty easy to fix. So if we get the right talent in place, we start to then, as a result of that talent, get better mechanisms to drive commercial rigor, change our compensation structure, which we're doing in 2025 to be more performance-based. Those are all things you can do right out of the gate by bringing the right people in and getting that rigor in place. And we are doing that, not just in MedCert, but across the board. The second is changing commercial structure. And, again, as you start to pick your growth driver areas and you begin to isolate the areas where we want to specialize our sales organization and or expand it, we're going to be doing that as well as we come into 2025. That takes a little bit longer because you've got to isolate the areas. You've got to hire the people. You've got to train the people. You've got to get them to be productive. But that is definitely something that we'll be moving forward on. The one that takes a little bit longer that we'll have in MedSurge and the other businesses as well is just getting the innovation gaps filled. That will take us a little longer. You've got to ideate. Once you know the gaps, you've got to then develop. You have to get regulatory approval, and then you eventually launch. But those are things that the new team will be focused on, obviously. But I would just say that I fully expect, given the changes that we've made, that we're going to see underlying business improvement in 2025. In MedSurge, and it better be across all of our businesses. And I think we're going to benefit from exactly what you said, the talent upgrades that we've made, the focus they're going to have on commercial rigor, and the change in compensation plans that we have. and also some of the new launches, just like Peel and Place. We've got to get the capacity up in those areas, but we should benefit from those. I want to caution everybody, though, from getting out over their speeds because that's one variable. Obviously, when we look at 2025, we do have some offsets to that. We just talked about skew rationalization, which put a little pressure on 2025. We've got some comps that we're going to have to deal with in pricing and backwater recovery. But make no mistake, I look at 2025 for MedSurge and our other businesses, as the tip of the spear to begin to change the underlying business performance of this company. And that will then, as a result, start to take us off that historical underperformance that we've had.
spk02: That's great. And just to follow up, and maybe I shouldn't be focusing on this, but I'd be curious to hear your thoughts. The ERP transition, it's encouraging that you've already implemented in four countries that Where are we in that process? And maybe talk to us about what it means, what you're expecting from those initial efforts, and how we think about that as a positive underpinning driver for 25 and beyond. Thank you.
spk09: Yeah, Rick, it's Wade. I can take that one. And you're highlighting one of the biggest areas of the separation and one of the areas that's getting the most attention. We've got some of the biggest project teams, operating mechanisms. Brian and I are involved and down all through the organization. The ERPs are the backbone of our systems, and so we're spending a lot of time here, no question. We are encouraged to get four countries done, but as you can imagine, we picked smaller countries to start with, and that's by design because we want to make sure that we've got all of our Teams focused on ERP and the implementation of them and all of the different phases of the program as we execute from planning to execution and then hypercare on the other end. And I would say out of the first four, a couple of them went really well. A couple of them, we had some bumps and challenges, but the teams really pulled together, worked through them, worked hard with our customers to try to close any gaps that we had, and we're in a much better place. after these first four, and now we're moving on. And we're going to continue to move, of course, with the biggest one, our U.S. implementation in North America. And so we've got a lot of planning in place, a lot of work being done, but as you're highlighting, this is an important one for us and be very focused on it.
spk05: I'd maybe just draft off of those comments, too. And we were very focused when we brought people in in certain functions, particularly IT, manufacturing, and others, that have been through this type of ERP consolidation in the past, ERP cutovers, and even directly involved in spins. And I think that's really important because if you've lived it and you've been burnt by it, you know where to look. And so the team, I think, is very capable of managing. This doesn't mean it's not without risk. We're definitely going to see risk. We already have had some challenges we've managed through them. But we have a great team that should be able to get this done, get it done effectively.
spk06: Thank you.
spk01: Your next question comes from the line of Ryan Zimmerman with BTIG. Your line is now open.
spk00: Uh, good afternoon. Thanks for taking the question. So I'll ask both questions up front. Um, just if you could wait, remind us, I think you have about 11% of revenue, uh, in China. Uh, you know, first is that the right way to think about your exposure there? And look, we're two days into a new administration. There's a lot of discussion about tariffs and potentially the impact there. Just remind us kind of what you're manufacturing potentially over there and how to think about those considerations if you don't mind. And then the second question, in the purification business, given the IV shortages that are going on right now, is there any consideration about the impact to dialysis filtration or things of that nature that may use a lot of salient solution in the near term. Thanks for taking the question.
spk05: Do you want to take the P&S and I'll take the personal? Yeah, sure. So let me just maybe correct on the China view. We have just a little over 5% of our business in China. So it's not as significant as 11% that you referenced. If I just think about the tariffs, I think first and foremost, we just need to see what actually happens here. I think everybody's going to kind of wait and see what happens. The good news is, though, when I think about what we actually bring in from China, it's a relatively small number. And as a result of that, just given what we know, I really don't see tariffs as being a major impact to our business. Now, anything can change, but based on what I see today, I don't see it as a major impact to our business, which is a good thing, obviously. On the P&F, you want to answer that one?
spk09: Yeah, sure. I mean, we have not seen any fallout in demand for support of the dialogue. the teams have brought up to us. So, you know, at this point, we think that all the different centers, dialysis centers and all the companies in the value chain are working very hard to continue to service that and that we haven't seen any fall off.
spk05: Yeah. I mean, as a matter of fact, you know, we are always under capacity constraints here. So, so if anything, we could add capacity to help out the demand.
spk08: Thank you. Okay.
spk06: Thank you.
spk01: As we head into the last couple of questions, I just want to remind you, if you'd like to ask a question, please press star and the number one on your telephone keypad now. The next question comes from the line of Jason Bednar with Piper Sandler. Your line is now open.
spk03: Hey, good afternoon. Thanks for taking the question, guys. Brian wanted to start with a follow-up on dental solutions. You had a distributor with some internal cybersecurity issues that probably affected demand in the fourth quarter of last year. So you've got an easy comp here in the fourth quarter. Obviously, a tougher comp we just saw that we lapped here in the third quarter. But just love to hear how you're thinking about pricing and volume dynamics in the dental market once we get past some of the noise with comps here in the second half of the year.
spk05: Yeah, you're actually, you're right on when you think about comps. First of all, Q3 was a tough comp. Q4 is an easier comp in the dental space in particular because of what you just referenced. When I think about price volume, I think that in the dental business, very similar to our other businesses, pricing is normalizing now. And so I don't know that I think dramatically differently than what we've been saying all along, that we need to see volumes increase because we've been depending way too much on pricing. as a result of the inflationary period, which is ending and pricing is now normalizing. And that's exactly what we saw in the quarter. So I don't see pricing as being a big lever for us in dental. I see it like all of our other businesses.
spk08: We have got to get the volume up.
spk03: Okay, great. And maybe one quick follow-up and then a separate question. But are you still comfortable, Brian, looking at pricing as being positive in dental, or is it more neutral-ish in dental going forward? And then as a follow-up separate question, you know, and drafting off of some of the past portfolio management questions, at what point, I think it's something, there's a lever or a metric at 25% of assets, and correct me if I'm wrong on that measure, but And past that level, if you're looking at a divestiture, you'd have to get clearance from parent 3M. And again, correct me if I'm wrong on that. I'm sure there's some legalities in there. But what's the level you'd have to clear in order to get that clearance? Or if they're asked another way, are there smaller assets? Obviously, you're doing skew rationalization, but other assets you could sell off where you would not have to get such clearance. Thank you.
spk05: So on the pricing, I'm just going to hold on that one. We're not going to get specific pricing thoughts on individual businesses, but maybe wait in a second. You can just speak to our overall view of pricing when we think about it from a company standpoint, which you've talked about in the past. When I think about the considerations for portfolio moves for us, normally you have the typical considerations on whether you're going to make a portfolio move. We have additional considerations that you're talking about right now, as a result of the fact that we're so close to the spin from 3M. And there are multiple considerations that you've got to think about as a result of that. And some of those we don't have complete control over. Some of them we do, some of them we don't. What I would just say there is the same way that we're assessing our businesses. We're also clearly understanding what those considerations are. We're assessing them and then managing through them. We feel like we need to do that proactively so that that is not a barrier for us to do transactions if we want to. I'm not committing that we are going to do transactions. I'm just saying we don't want that to be a barrier for us. Of course, there's two to play there. It's not just us. The 3M's got to be involved in that decision as well. So you want to maybe just talk about pricing?
spk09: Yeah, just to pick up on the pricing comment that you had. Jason, good to hear you on the call. So just in summary, Q3, as we mentioned in the prepared remarks, we did, as we've been communicating for some time now, expecting normalization of pricing, and it was neutral to our Q3 performance. And so the good news is we are starting to see volume improve. As revenue growth over the past year and first half of 2024 was more than all driven by price. So the business has really been benefiting from price for some time. And now we're starting to see volume turn and start to improve. It's not to say we're satisfied at all. We're not satisfied with the results and the growth yet. But it is good to see the volume start to improve versus the underperformance over the past few years. And that's where the business has been experiencing volume declines.
spk08: Next question.
spk01: Sure. The next question comes from the line of Chris Cyniak with Wolf Research. Your line is now open.
spk11: Yeah. Hi, guys. Thanks for taking my question. Two questions. First, in terms of health information systems, the organic growth rate was a little light relative to some of the past few quarters. Was there anything anomalous in the third quarter that we wouldn't expect to recur going forward?
spk05: Yeah, thanks for the question. So I would say if I just kind of break down the quarter, it's pretty steady in our revenue cycle management business. You know, I feel really confident and comfortable in that business. The team has a good handle on it. It's somewhat of an annuity business. So that was steady. We continue to see, as I think, Wade, you referenced in your prepared remarks, some challenges in clinical productivity solutions. That's where our M-modal business was acquired. And I'll just be fully transparent, it just never was really fully invested in. And in that fast-paced market, if you're not investing aggressively, you fall behind, and we did. And that's where we're going to continue to see some pressure. The team's working on a solution, but I really don't see that as any kind of significant improvement in that particular part of the business in the short term. Where we did see maybe a bit of an anomaly was our performance management business was softened a quarter. don't expect that to continue there was just some volumes in the quarter that impacted that business i do not expect that to continue on the positive side as i referenced in revenue cycle management one of the new product launches that we have around data integrity is pretty interesting it's early days for sure we've got to prove some things out but as you can imagine our customers are always worried about leakage when it comes to reimbursement and we're using this data integrity solution to be able to get them the information they need and submit from a reimbursement standpoint to ensure they get better reimbursement leakage. So that's one thing that we're going to concentrate on and try to drive in the market. But generally speaking, outside of the performance management anomaly in the quarter, which should not repeat next quarter, it was pretty standard.
spk11: Okay, great. And then a question maybe for Wade. In terms of foreign currency, is the guidance based on the spot rate as of the end of the quarter? And then if you could talk a little bit about the revenue costs mixed geographically as we think about translation and the unambiable task of trying to model what that might be?
spk09: Sure, yeah. So FX for us, we typically set the rates near the date when we're guiding. So over the past week or so, we factor that into our guidance discussions and planning. And so we're not using it in a quarter, we're using something closer to our earnings call date, which has seen quite a bit of volatility over the past few weeks. I'm sure that's why you're asking the question. And then just to summarize again, we had very little impact here in Q3, but based on the recent FX rates, we do expect to headwind both top and bottom line here in Q4. As far as our revenue and cost mix geographically, you know, I think it's pretty well understood that the HIS business is almost all in the U.S., but the other businesses have good exposure outside the U.S. And so we're running manufacturing within the U.S. and outside as well. So we don't have details to provide at this point as far as that translation mix goes. But I think just generally the way to think about it would be, Given the diversification of our three product segments that are a good amount of our business outside the U.S. as well as inside, we're going to be subject to most FX moves like any other med device company. And then from a manufacturing footprint standpoint, we also have a good amount of manufacturing all throughout Europe, a little less in China and Asia Pacific.
spk11: Okay, great. Thanks again, guys.
spk08: Thank you.
spk01: And our final question for today comes from the line of David Roman again with Goldman Sachs. Your line is now open.
spk12: Thanks for letting me sneak another one in here. I want to just come back, Brian, to a comment you've made a couple times around capacity and your ability to meet demand. And how do we square that with kind of the ramp in CapEx here compared to what you originally provided at the analyst meeting? And should we expect some of the CapEx that may not have occurred this year to flow into next year, and I think you're also retrofitting a headquarters. How do we kind of put all that together, and what does that mean for your future CapEx?
spk05: So obviously I'll pass that over to Wade to talk about CapEx, but maybe just to make sure that I'm clear, there's a couple of different vectors of capacity when I'm talking about it. One would be in purification and filtration. We are investing capital there to drive capacity. We saw that in our industrial business and it had a benefit in the quarter. We're doing the same when it comes to our membranes business. And those are pretty significant investments that we've made. On the membranes business, it'll take a little bit of time for it to come to fruition over the next couple of quarters. When I talk outside of purification and filtration, now when I think about capacity with peel in place, or I think about capacity with ClinPro, that's not really heavy capital intensity there. That's just demand planning. We just did not have the right demand plan in place in the commercialization planning for that launch. And we underestimated the demand. And as a result, we just don't have the capacity to fill it. So don't think in those two areas, significant cash spend or capital requirements. They're pretty low intensity capital businesses. We just didn't get the demand right. But maybe Wade, you talk about the total capex.
spk09: Yeah, so we've got it to 400 to 500 million since the start of our public company here in Q2. And we've just updated that this quarter to thinking to the low end of 400 to 500 million. Having said that, David, we know we're going to have to make investments for both the separation as well as the organic growth of the business. And as Brian said, there's a couple of areas in addition to our new products where we're capacity constrained. And I think one of the advantages of the growth driver strategy that we'll bring is a very focused growth investments. And by doing that, we can be very much planful where we're making our CapEx expenditures and doing them in areas that we know we're going to be growing the business versus kind of a blanketed approach to growing the business and then you're always trying to catch up in the areas that you're growing and maybe over-investing in others. So again, one of the byproduct advantages of our growth driver strategy is, Brian mentioned earlier, shifting resources to get behind the growth drivers. A part of that is the capital expenditures. And as Brian mentioned, one of the criteria for the growth drivers is thinking through the relative profitability, and we include capital intensity in that. But having said that, we know we're going to be investing in addition to supporting faster growth of the business over time is also to separate the business. And we're investing pretty heavily right now. We talked earlier about ERPs. We also have pretty significant manufacturing line moves, moving our distribution centers and logistics. So we've got a lot of work to do, and CapEx is one of the things that we're going to have to spend on to separate the businesses.
spk12: Great. Thanks so much for taking the additional questions.
spk05: Thank you, Dave. Thanks, Dave.
spk04: Okay, seeing no further questions, I'll close the call just by saying thank you so much for joining us and hope that everyone has a wonderful day.
spk01: Thank you. This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.
Disclaimer