8/2/2023

speaker
Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Serious Point Limited Second Quarter 2023 Earnings Call. During today's presentation, all parties will be in a listen-only mode. As a reminder, this conference's call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Dhruv Gallo, Head of Investor Relations and Chief Strategy Officer for Serious Point. Please go ahead.

speaker
Dhruv Gallo

Thank you, Operator, and good morning, good afternoon to everyone listening. I welcome you to the Serious Point earnings call for the 2023 half-year and second quarter results. Last night, we issued our earnings press release and financial supplement, which are available on our website, www.seriouspt.com. Additionally, a webcast presentation will coincide with today's discussion and is available on our website. With me here today are Scott Egan, our Chief Executive Officer, and Steve Yandel, our Chief Financial Officer. Before we start, I would like to remind you that today's remarks contain forward-looking statements based on management's current expectations. Actual results may differ. Please refer to page two of our investor presentation for additional information and the company's latest public findings. At this time,

speaker
Scott Egan

I will turn the call over to Scott. Thank you Dhruv and welcome everyone and thank you for joining our half year results call. Our second quarter has been another strong quarter for Sirius Point. We continue to make good progress against our strategic priorities, building on the progress made during the last three quarters. Before we get into the results, I would like to provide some comments on three other areas. Firstly, Bronic Masajada is now serving as chair of the company's board of directors, effective June 2nd, after joining our board as an independent director on May 2nd. Bronic is a proven industry leader with over 30 years of insurance experience, which will further strengthen our board. I'd like to take this opportunity to thank Sharon Ludlow, who joined the board in February 2021 and has been interim chair since May 2022 for her service over the past year. Sharon will continue to serve as a non-executive director and as chair of Sirius Point's Audit Committee. Secondly, and as widely reported at the beginning of Q2, the Sirius Point Board of Directors established a special committee of independent directors to review the proposal made by Mr Daniel Loeb in conjunction with his 13D filing regarding a potential transaction to acquire the company. On May the 12th, Mr Loeb and certain affiliates filed a subsequent 13D with their decision to conclude the exploratory discussions. Ultimately, the committee was unanimous in its belief that its current strategy is the best path to deliver enhanced long-term value for shareholders. Finally, culture is an important element of the series point transformation. I firmly believe our people and how we operate are a key differentiator. As part of making Sirius Point an underwriting first company, we've implemented a new underwriting model with the intention to achieve better results and drive higher performance and growth in each of our focus areas. We've also enhanced our vision, purpose and values as we look to improve employee engagement and behaviours. This is part of creating a high performing organisation. Our people are our most important asset. As we've communicated, management is focused on improving performance and has aligned rewards with shareholder value creation. As I said last quarter, the target bonus will only be paid if the combined ratio for the continuing operations is 95.7%, which is the combined ratio management is targeting in 2023 and is around 10 points better than last year on a like-for-like basis. As of quarter two, we're on track, but recognise there are two more quarters to go. There is no complacency. Moving now to results, I will share some of the key messages from the first half of 2023 before passing across to Steve, who will take you through the details. The key messages are outlined on slide five of our presentation and provide an update on our strong progress across our strategic initiatives. Overall, we are very pleased to report continuing performance improvement in the second quarter and another period of positive capital generation across all parts of our business, underwriting, MGAs and investments. Underwriting income for the first half of the year was strong as we delivered a combined ratio of 84.4% for our core business. This is inclusive of one-off reserve releases linked to our lost portfolio transaction, offset in part by the reallocation of $90 million of expenses to the combined ratio from outside of the underwriting result. Portfolio actions are coming through and we have aggressively cut our PMLs, which are reducing potential volatility in our underwriting results. We did not have any cat losses during the quarter, despite this being an above average cat quarter for the industry. And we expect a reduction in PMLs to help us navigate the hurricane season better than in previous years. PMLs for one in 100 year events are now down around 58% since Q2 2021. and around 10% since the start of 2023 and are supported by both exposure reduction and retro purchase at One One Renewals. At full year 2022, I said to expect greater than $50 million reduction in our cost base by 2024. We are pleased with our progress and are on track to deliver to our stated goal. Today, we have reduced our total cost base by more than 15% year over year as we create globally integrated functions and our total expense ratio, including acquisition costs, is now around 30%. Almost six points improvement on a like for like basis versus last year. Our headline cost savings are around $25 million, but underlying run rate improvement is higher in the range $35 to $40 million when we adjust for one-off items. One-off items for 2023 include restructuring and transaction-related costs of $27 million. We have provided additional details on costs on page eight of our presentation and we'll review the 2024 guidance later in the year, depending on the progress we make in the second half of this year. Our capital light fee income from our five consolidated MGAs gives us diversification and is growing strongly year on year. MGA revenues are up 9% versus last year, whilst the service margin is stable at around 22%. Investment results have been strong this quarter and on a run rate basis in line to meet the top end of our previously communicated full year guidance. The investment portfolio remains focused on high quality fixed income instruments with an average credit rating at AA and we remain well placed to manage market volatility. Our portfolio is performing well and we saw no defaults across the portfolio during the first half of 2023 and we have no exposure to commercial real estate. In summary, all three areas of our business are delivering strong results compared to prior years, and our balance sheet remains strong. We continue to maintain our prudent and conservative approach to reserving, and our book value was flat this quarter, but ex-AOCI it grew by around 3%. Regarding the simplification of our MGA portfolio, we continue to believe that MGA distribution is core to our strategy. We have many strong MGA relationships across the market where we are important capacity providers to them. We have taken steps to reduce our minority equity stakes in many MGAs in line with our focused philosophy for fewer and deeper investments, which we believe will drive better performance. Since quarter one, we've sold another two equity stakes, bringing us down to holding 28 non-consolidated stakes from 31 at year end. As a reminder, we consolidate the results of five MGAs into our results. The book value of our five consolidated MGAs is held in our accounts at $91 million as of June 30th, despite having a net service fee income of $28 million at the half year 2023, which is up 9% from last year. We believe the full value of these MGAs are not reflected in our book value, given their growth profile, earnings generation capability and attractive margins. Onto our balance sheet, which remains strong. Diluted book value per share was broadly unchanged during the quarter at $12.29 and impacted by mark to market on fixed income instruments, some of which has already reversed since the end of the quarter. The lost portfolio transfer closed in June the 30th, which released more than $150 million of capital under the S&P capital model. We also expect the lost portfolio transfer to add over 15 points to the BSCR, which was 219% at Q1 23. Our asset and debt leverage have remained stable, and we are exploring ways to optimize our capital structure. This was an important quarter for us, and I'm very proud of our results. I'm also grateful to my colleagues for the hard work that they continue to put in. These sort of results do not happen by accident. We have achieved a great deal in the past nine months, and more importantly, we think we can still do a lot more. We are on track to deliver against the 2023 and 2024 objectives set at the start of the year, and I look forward to sharing further updates and progress next quarter. With these remarks, I will pass it over across to Steve, who will take you through the financials. Steve.

speaker
Scott

Thank you, Scott, and good morning, good afternoon, everyone. I will now take you through the financial section of the presentation, and we'll start with slide 10, looking at our half-year financials for 2023. We delivered positive profits and generated capital across all the three sources of earnings, underwriting, MGA fee income, and investments for the first half of the year. Net income was up $483 million versus half-year 2022, as our results last year were mainly impacted by negative investment returns. During the first half of 2023, core underwriting results improved materially as we delivered underwriting profits of $189 million, which benefited from $100 million of reserve redundancy linked to the lost portfolio transaction. Excluding the releases linked to the LPT, underwriting profits were $89 million with a combined ratio of 92.7. Our portfolio actions are having an impact given CAT losses were down versus prior year, and we had no CAT losses during Q2, despite a high CAT quarter for the market. During the first half period, we only experienced 7 million of CAT losses, all during current Q1, and primarily related to earthquake claims from Turkey. Gross premiums written for the core business increased 5%, driven by insurance and services, up $209 million, partially offset by reinsurance, down $119 million, while Capital Light net service fee income saw a steady increase at $28 million versus $25 million last year. Services revenues are up 9% compared to the first half of last year, while margins are stable at around 22%. Total investment result was strong at $140 million, and driven by $130 million of net investment income, while unrealized and realized gains, including related party, were $9 million and significantly higher than the $372 million loss for this period last year. These results demonstrate the progress we've made in rebalancing the investment portfolio towards high-quality fixed-income assets in order to reduce P&L volatility and capitalize on the current high-interest rates environment. Net corporate and other expenses were down to $35 million, a $26 million improvement versus the prior year. We had two moving parts here. One, we moved $19 million of expenses above the line within our core underwriting result, which supported an improvement. But on the other hand, we had $27 million of one-off expenses in relation to restructuring costs and transaction costs. Transaction costs of $8 million were in relation to the 13D process and the lost portfolio transfer. Other notable item was the $44 million negative impact from mark to market on liability classified capital instruments. As a reminder, we expect an additional $6 million of restructuring costs to come during the second half of 2023. Moving to slide 11, I'll talk briefly about second quarter financials. Overall, it was a positive quarter with regards to the underwriting result as we delivered underwriting profits of 82 million. The core combined ratio was lower at 87.7% and the accident year combined ratio was 91.4% down seven basis points year over year. Reserve redundancy linked to the lost portfolio transfer was 17 million for the quarter with 10 million attributable to the core segment. Core gross premium written increased 5% from the second quarter in 2022, driven by insurance and services up $29 million and reinsurance up $9 million. Net income of $66 million was an improvement versus the $61 million loss during the prior year quarter and was supported by positive earnings from underwriting, investments, and NGA fee income. Underwriting and investment results were higher versus the quarter in the previous year but MGA fee income was lower due to one-off movements. Excluding these one-offs, service margin for the five consolidated MGAs was stable at 20%. Diluted book value per share at $12.29 was broadly unchanged during the quarter and impacted by one-offs and mark-to-market movements on fixed income securities. Moving to slide 12, we focus on the premium trends, and I will also provide an update on the July renewals. Gross premiums for the core segment were up 5% half year over half year, mainly driven by the 23% growth in insurance and services. The growth in premiums is driven by organic growth in both strategic partnerships and across our accident and health lines. This growth was partially offset by a 13% reduction in reinsurance, mainly driven by the already announced portfolio restructuring actions we have taken in the international property segment. On the topic of renewals, around 11% of our business renews in July, and we experienced similar trends as with the January 1st and April 1st renewals. We experienced positive rate increases with an average rate change around 7% across our portfolio, excluding North American program business, mainly driven by around 30% rate increases in the US property portfolio. In addition to rate strengthening, We continue to see the same improvement experience for the January 1st and April 1st renewals in contractual terms and conditions across most classes, including reinstatement provisions and tightening of exclusions and coverage. Slide 13 shows the change in combined ratio versus half-year 2022 for our core business and breaks the movement into individual subcomponents. Our portfolio actions are yielding positive results as the combined ratio for our core business on a like-for-like basis has improved by 6.9 percentage points year over year. Our headline core of 84.4% has benefited from eight points of reserve leases linked to the lost portfolio transaction. However, the expense reallocation of $19 million results in around a two-point drag. Adjusting for these two results like-for-like combined ratio of 91.1%, compares to a 98.0% for the first half of 2022. A traditional loss ratio is higher at 63%, or 1.1 points up on the previous year, and is partly impacted from mixed changes between insurance and services and the reinsurance segment. The mixed changes have also resulted in better profit commissions were captured in the acquisition cost ratio, which has resulted in a 2.7 points improvement. Looking at both of the moving parts together results in a net improvement of 1.6 points year on year. Moving on to the investment portfolio investment results on slide 14 and 15, we have made progress as we delivered a strong net investment income figure, increased our overall asset duration to two and a half years from 2.1 years at first quarter 2023, and locked in attractive reinvestment yields in excess of 4% on our investments. Total investment result is higher at $140 million versus a loss of $347 million at half year 2022 due to mark to market movements in the portfolio. We have invested over $1 billion year to date and increased our exposure to corporates and asset backed securities. Our investment strategy remains unchanged and focused on maintaining a high quality fixed income portfolio. 73% of our portfolio is now fixed income, of which 92% is investment grade and with an average credit rating unchanged at AA. P&L volatility is lower and was helped given 85% of the fixed income portfolio was designated as available for sale, up from 76% at Q1 2023 and none at year end 2021. That percentage will continue to grow in the latter half of 2023 as we continue to rebalance the fixed income portfolio and reduce volatility. Slide 16 looks at our balance sheet. Our balance sheet is strong, ending the quarter with $2.3 billion of shareholders' equity, stable since the prior quarter. Total capital, including debt, was $3 billion. Our Bermuda solvency capital ratio is strong and improved to 219% at the end of first quarter 2023. We expect it to further improve by more than 15 points once adjusted for the completion of the LPT at Q2. Our issued debt is unchanged, while our debt to capital ratio reduced to 25.4% from 25.8% at the first quarter of 2023 and remains well within our target range. With this, we conclude the financial section of our presentation. Overall, we had a positive first half of 2023 and are in a good position to handle market volatility. We are on track to see significant improvement in profitability in 2023, as demonstrated by our happier results. We are focused on achieving double-digit return on average common equity for the full year, including the benefit from the lost portfolio transfer. Looking to next year, we expect to realize full run rate benefits of all our strategic actions in 2024, as well as deliver a double-digit return on average common equity. I would like to thank you again for your time this morning. For any questions, please contact our investor relations team at investor.relations at seriouspt.com. I now turn the call back over to the operator.

speaker
Operator

This concludes today's conference call. You may disconnect your lines at this time. We thank you for participating in the Serious Point Limited second quarter 2023 earnings goal. Have a great day.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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