8/4/2025

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Serious Point's second quarter 2025 earnings conference call. During today's presentation, all parties will be in a listen-only mode. Following the conclusion of prepared remarks, management will host a question-and-answer session, and instructions will be given at that time. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded, and a replay is available through 1159 p.m. Eastern Time until August 18, 2025. With that, I would like to turn the call over to Liam Blackledge, Investor Relations and Strategy Manager. Please go ahead.

speaker
Liam Blackledge
Investor Relations and Strategy Manager

Thank you, Operator, and good morning or good afternoon to everyone listening. I welcome you to the Sirius Point earnings call for the 2025 second quarter and half year results. Earlier this morning, we released our earnings press release, KenQ, and financial supplement, which are available on our website, www.siriuspt.com. Additionally, a webcast presentation will coincide with today's discussion and is available on our website. Joining me on the call today are Scott Egan, our Chief Executive Officer, and Jim McKinney, our Chief Financial Officer. Before we start, I would like to remind you that today's remarks contain forward-looking statements based on management's current expectations. Actual results may differ. Certain non-GAAP financial measures will also be discussed. Management uses the non-GAAP financial measures in its internal analysis of our results operations and believes that they may be informative to investors engaging the quality of our financial performance and identifying trends in our results. However, these measures should not be considered as a substitute for or superior to the measures of financial performance prepared in accordance with GAAP. Please refer to page two of our investor presentation and the company's latest public filings with the Security and Exchange Commission for additional information. I will now turn the call over to Scott.

speaker
Scott Egan
Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Liam, and good morning, good afternoon, everyone. Thanks for joining our second quarter and half year 2025 results call. The second quarter has seen Series Point deliver continued strong performance. Our underlying return on equity for the quarter was 17%, two points ahead of our across the cycle 12% to 15% target range. driven by strong underwriting and targeted growth. Year to date, our underlying return on equity of 15.4% is at the upper end of our target range, despite heightened first half losses in aviation and first quarter losses from California wildfires. The second quarter core combined ratio of 89.5% is a 3.8 point improvement year over year. further evidence of our focus on producing consistently strong and improving results. This marks our 11th consecutive quarter of underwriting profit. We also grew our gross written premiums by 10%, representing our fifth straight quarter of double digit gross premium growth as we continue to allocate capital selectively towards attractive opportunities in the markets that we operate within. Premium growth is strong on a net basis as well, increasing 8% in the quarter and 14% in the first half of the year. Within our insurance and services business, we saw net premium growth of 15% in the quarter. This is at a faster pace than gross premiums as we deliberately retain more premiums on our own balance sheet from our MGA partners. This is in line with the prudent strategy of increasing our retention as these relationships season and mature and as we get increasing confidence with the performance and underwriting margin. This approach is an important proof point of our underwriting discipline. In the first half, we've seen double digit growth in accident and health, property and other specialties lines of business whilst decreasing our premiums within casualty as we remain deliberately cautious. We continue to expect our insurance business to grow more than reinsurance. In the quarter, we entered four new MGA partnerships. Three of the four new opportunities were expansions with existing long-term partners who we know well and share a commitment to underwriting excellence with. Deepening long-term proven relationships is a key part of our MGA strategy. Our selection of new partners is also a key part of our process, and we continue to reject over 80% of all opportunities we see in this distribution channel. We're excited by the pipeline of opportunities we see and are proud of our increasingly strengthening reputation as a partner of choice for MGAs. This was recognised during the quarter at the Programme Manager Awards in New York, where, supported by our partners, we won Programme Insurer of the Year. Turning now to our underwriting performance, we delivered a combined ratio for our core business of 89.5% for the second quarter, contributing to our year-to-date core combined ratio of 92.4%. As I said, our second quarter result is a 3.8 point improvement year over year, and of this improvement, 1.8 points comes from improvement in our attritional loss ratio in line with the recent trend, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of year over year attritional loss ratio improvement. The quarter's results contain no catastrophe losses versus one point in the second quarter of last year, whilst favourable prior year development continued to be strong. Looking at reserve development on a consolidated basis, which includes the development of a runoff business, this marked our 17th consecutive quarter of favourable releases. Turning briefly to our fee-driven profits from our consolidated MGAs, service revenues from our two 100% owned A&H MGAs increased by 16% in the quarter, with year-to-date revenues up 13%. For the half year, the service margin is a healthy and improved 23.6%, which is generating net service fee income of $28 million. Touching on investments, which Jim will cover in more detail, net investment income for the quarter was $68 million and is tracking in line with the full year guidance of $265 to $275 million. There were no significant movements on the valuations in our strategic MGA investments in the quarter. Finally, our capital remains strong and our second quarter BSCR ratio was 223% and within our target range as we continue to deploy our capital to support the organic growth opportunities of the business. Before I conclude, I wanted to take a moment to talk about our people, the real engine of our business. During the quarter we undertook our annual engagement survey, which showed another year of significant improvements across the metrics. We've included some of the details in Appendix 4 of our presentation. Our net promoter score increased by 16 points year over year and 53 points over the past two years. We now sit in the very good category. I highlight this because this business has always been about our people and their culture, and I'm incredibly proud and immensely grateful for the job that they do for our customers and shareholders every single day. The survey highlights that there is a feel good factor within the company with staff turnover down to 15%. This is a key ingredient for our continued future success. It is also helping us attract talent to the company and the quarter saw us again attract top talent from across the industry, including two new members of my executive leadership team. To end, I'll go back to where I started. This quarter provided us another opportunity to show our progress to becoming a best in class specialty underwriter. We continue to consistently deliver strong underwriting profits targeted and disciplined premium growth and stable investment results. We are committed to and relentlessly focus on value creation. Put value for diluted share has increased 4% in the quarter and 10% year to date. Our underlying earnings per share for the quarter of 66 cents represents an increase of over 100% versus prior year. and our year-to-date underlying return on equity is at the top end of our 12% to 15% target range. We've made great progress in the first half of this year, but it's only halftime in 2025, all to play for in the second half. We're more than ready. With that, I'll pass across to Jim, who will take you through the financials in more detail.

speaker
Jim McKinney
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Scott. Turning to our second quarter results on slide 13. Let me begin by saying we are pleased with our financial results this quarter and for the half year. We meaningfully improved both the reported and core combined ratios. In addition, we generated higher gross and net written and earned premiums. At 89.5%, the core combined ratio improved 3.8 points versus the prior year. The combination of higher premiums, a strong core attritional loss ratio, and favorable prior year development produced core underwriting income of $68 million. This is an 83% increase from the second quarter of 2024 and our 11th consecutive quarter of positive income. These items are a testament to the team's strong execution, disciplined underwriting, and focused capital management. Moving to net service fee income. As a reminder, following the deconsolidation of Arcadian in the second quarter of 2024, our share of Arcadian's profits are reported through other revenues, To normalize for this change, we focus comparison to the 100% owned A&H consolidated MGA businesses. This view highlights a 16% increase in year over year service revenues, as well as net service fee income increasing 6% to $9 million. The investment result is $69 million. It includes the full impact of the actions taken during the first quarter to support our repurchase activities. Net investment income continues to benefit from a supportive yield environment. we continue to see reinvestment rates greater than 4.5%. Underlying net income is $78 million. This excludes non-reincurring items such as foreign exchange losses. Year over year, this is up 35%. Net income for the quarter is $59 million, resulting in diluted earnings per share of $0.50. This includes $17 million in foreign exchange losses, a significant portion of which are non-cast items related to period-over-period valuation changes, with corresponding offsets within our investment portfolio that are recognized through other comprehensive income. These items are recognized in our income statement when realized. This is consistent with our approach to economically hedge exposures. In summary, our second quarter results demonstrate our ability to profitably grow and create value for our shareholders. Moving to our half year results on slide 14, Themes are consistent with the second quarter, strong execution, disciplined underwriting, and focused capital management produce profitable growth. Underwriting income for the period is $96 million. This includes solid gross premiums written, net premiums written, and net premiums earned growth of 11%, 14%, and 19% respectively. The core combined ratio was 92.4%. This represents a slight year-on-year improvement, despite elevated catastrophe losses incurred within the first quarter. Net service fee income was $28 million, representing a slight decrease from the prior year period. Our 100% owned A&H consolidated MGAs produced $28 million of net service fee income, which is up 14% versus half-year 2024. Net investment income for the first half of the year was $139 million, down slightly from the prior year period as a result of the lower asset base. Lastly, common shareholders' equity increased $168 million to $1.9 billion, resulting in diluted book value per share x AOCI growing 7% or $1 to $15.64. Moving to slide 15 and double-clicking into our underlying earnings quality. Our underwriting first focus continues to deliver strong underlying margin improvement. The attritional combined ratio chart on the left-hand side of the page strips out the impact from catastrophe losses and prior year development as these inherently vary over time. We believe this metric is useful to examine the quality of our underwriting income. Our 90.9% core attritional combined ratio in the first half of the year represents a 2.3 point improvement versus the prior year period of 93.2%. All facets of the ratio improved. The attritional loss ratio improved 1.1 points, the acquisition cost improved 0.6 points, and the OUE ratio improved 0.6 points. Important to note, we continue to benefit from scale from our earned premium growth. For the full year, we remain comfortable with an expense ratio expectation of 6.5% to 7%. Right hand side provides a bridge from our underlying earnings quality to our core combined ratio. This displays 3.8 points of favorable prior year development in the first half, partially offsetting 5.3 points of catastrophe losses that relate entirely to California wildfires. Turning to our insurance and services segment results on slide 16. Gross written premiums increased 70 million or 14% to 560 million in the quarter, driven by strong growth within our A&H, other specialties, and property lines. For the half year, gross written premiums increased to $181 million, or 18%, to $1.2 billion. We expect to see existing growth trends persist throughout the remainder of the year. The insurance and services segment achieved a combined ratio of 89.3%, a 6.7-point improvement from the prior year quarter. This was driven by an 8-point decrease in the loss ratio, partly offset by a 1-point increase in the acquisition cost ratio and a 0.3-point increase in the other underwriting expenses. The improvement in the loss ratio is largely due to a 4-point improvement in the attritional loss ratio from our North American P&C business. The quarter also saw no catastrophe losses, representing a 0.9-point improvement year-over-year and favorable prior year development of $10 million, representing a 3.1-point improvement year over year. The half-year result is strong, with the combined ratio improving 5.5 points to 91.6%. This result was driven by a 6.3-point decrease in the loss ratio and a 0.4-point decrease in the OUE ratio, partially offset by a 1.2-point increase in the acquisition cost ratio. Similar for the second quarter, attritional losses for the half-year represent the majority of the improvement down 4.1 points versus prior year, largely driven by our North American business. Favorable prior year development represented 6.3 points of the combined ratio compared to 3.3 points in the first half of last year and was driven largely by favorable movement within accident and health. Our accident and health book of business has provided us with a stable source of underwriting profit through the cycle and is a key offering that adds diversification to our portfolio and produces consistently strong results. Gremium and this specialism are up 14% in the first half of the year and represent roughly half of the business mix in insurance and services. Rates in U.S. medical continue to rise at or above loss trend, while personal accident lines continue to see single-digit rate off softening. Pricing in life insurance continues to trend back towards pre-COVID pricing. The pricing environment within A&H continues to meet our risk and return profile, and we continue to see growth opportunities within this specialism. Within casualty, premiums for the first half of the year have decreased by 10% as we continue to allocate capital towards opportunities that have more attractive underlying margin. The book continues to benefit from positive rate movements exceeding trend, particularly in excess casualty that has seen mid-double-digit rate increases. Rates continue to hold firm due to lost cost trends with industry-wide reserve strengthening, litigation financing, and nuclear verdict pressures. We are never afraid to take decisive action to protect the bottom line. Within our auto book, we continue to reduce underwritings and exit businesses where rate is not keeping pace with lost cost trends. Other specialties continue to see strong growth, with surety and environmental both seeing strong year-over-year increases in premiums. Within aviation, major airline renewals continue to see 5% to 10% increases, with performance mixed between subsegments. Most airline renewals are not due until the fourth quarter, at which point the Air India incident will be better reflected in pricing. Space continued to see double digit price increases given the significant losses experienced in the market in 2023 and resultant capacity exits. Within energy, rates are a bit of a mixed bag. Energy liability rates remain positive and average 5%. Power rates are experiencing mid to low single digit rate pressures. Despite this, we believe power remains rate adequate. Within upstream energy, small to medium risk, pricing is roughly flat to down single digit. Rate decreases for larger risk are down by around 10%. Turning to marine, rates continue to soften across the board. Cargo and haul generally saw single digit rate decreases. Rates for marine liability and ports and terminals remain firmer, with a range of low single digit rises to low single digit reductions. Premiums from our property specialism grew double digit in the quarter and first half. This is driven by growth from MGA programs within our international business and from partnerships entered in 2023 and 2024. Our primary property portfolio is predominantly non-catastrophe and continues to experience rate accuracy. Moving to our reinsurance segment results on slide 17. This quarter, the segment saw gross premiums written increase $17 million, or 5% to $370 million. Double-digit growth and other specialties was partially offset by reductions from property reinsurance premiums. On a half-year basis, gross premiums written increased by 2%. On a net basis, premiums written decreased by 1% in the quarter and 4% in the first half. The combined ratio for the quarter improved 0.4 points to 89.8%. The result was driven by a 0.7 point improvement in the acquisition cost ratio, and a 0.2 point improvement in the OUE ratio, partly offset by a 0.5 point increase in the loss ratio. The loss ratio increased to 56.6%, partly as a result of a 9 million large loss from the Air India Press, driving attritional losses up 0.9 points versus the prior year. The half year combined ratio of 93.5% contains 2.6 points of improvement in the acquisition cost ratio and 0.6 points of improvement in the OUE ratio, The loss ratio increased 9.5 points from the prior year period, driven largely by the California wildfires from the first quarter. Other specialties saw 22% gross premiums written growth this quarter and 6% growth in net premiums written. Within credit and bond pricing is under pressure stemming from strong performance and ample capacity. The second quarter saw credit spread tightening, which impacted premium levels while terms remained firm. Within aviation reinsurance, pricing with an excess of loss and pro rata was generally flat, although it is worth noting that Air India incident is not yet reflected in pricing as the majority of 7 renewals were already priced when the incident occurred. For casualty reinsurance, gross premiums written increased by a modest 2% in the quarter, but are down 6% at the half year. Casualty reinsurance continued to benefit from positive rate that exceeded trend, but as we guided since the fourth quarter of 2024, we reduced exposures on structured deals and certain casualty classes at 1-1, such as commercial auto, as underwriting discipline led us to reallocate capital to protect underwriting margins. Within property reinsurance, premiums decreased 5% in the quarter in line with the tougher market conditions in this specialism. For the first half, premiums are roughly flat driven by reinstatement premiums from the California wildfires. We continue to monitor rate adequacy and property reinsurance, particularly following the heightened catastrophe activity in the last 12 months. Important to note, we will only grow premiums where we believe the margins are within our risk and profitability profile, with competitive pressures persisting across reinsurance markets. Catastrophe excess of loss placements have seen the greatest pressure with double-digit decreases across non-loss impacted placements. These accounts had previously seen the greatest rate increases over the prior few years. Proportional business is also competitive, but has seen opportunities particularly for structured deals. Margins are tightening. However, there is still potential in loss-affected segments as improved rate adequacy legal changes and increased reinsurance availability support both new and existing carriers entering the market. Slide 18 shows our catastrophe losses versus peers and the reduction in volatility of our portfolio. Following portfolio actions taken in 2022, we have materially decreased our catastrophe exposure in order to deliver more consistent returns to our shareholders. The charts show how we reduced our catastrophe losses in 2023 and 2024 and have continued on this path in 2025. Catastrophe losses in the first half represent 5.3 points of our combined ratio and were driven by the California wildfires in the first quarter with no losses in the second quarter. During the second quarter, our loss estimate for California wildfires decreased by less than a million dollars. Of course, it is more useful to view the loss ratios on an annual basis, but our half year 2025 figure already shows a comparatively low loss ratio amongst peers and demonstrates the benefits of our highly diversified portfolio. Moving to reserving. Our strong history of prudence is shown on slide 19. Favorable prior year development in the quarter stood at $14 million for the core business versus $4 million in the prior year quarter. It is important to consider our consolidated result here as this includes the business we have put into runoff. We have favorable prior year development on a consolidated basis of 9 million, marking the 17th consecutive quarter of favorable prior year development. Our track record of consecutive favorable releases well exceeds the average duration of our insurance liabilities of 3.1 years, highlighting our prudent approach to reserving. Additionally, we show here the strong level of protection we have on each of our three lost portfolio transfers that were completed in 2021, 2023, and 2024. Turning our strong investment result on slide 20. Net investment income for the first half of the year was $139 million, down slightly from the prior year period as a result of lower asset base following the settlement of the CM Bermuda transaction in the first quarter. We reinvested over $300 million this quarter with new money yields in excess of 4.5%. The portfolio continues to perform well, and there were no defaults across our fixed income portfolio. We remain committed to our investment strategy, which focuses on high quality fixed income securities. 79% of our investment portfolio is fixed income, of which 97% is investment grade with an average credit rating of AA minus. Our overall portfolio duration remained at three years, while assets backing loss reserves remain fully matched and are at 3.1 years. Moving on to our slide 21, looking at our strong and diversified capital base. Our second quarter estimated BSCR ratio stands at 223%, decreasing by two points versus the end of the first quarter. Our capital position continues to be robust and contains sufficient prudence as shown by the stress scenario of a one in 250 year PML event. Moving on to our balance sheet on slide 22. We continue to have a strong balance sheet with ample capital and liquidity. During the quarter, the debt-to-capital ratio fell again to 24.4%, driven by an increase in shareholders' equity from the level of retained earnings partially offset by weakening of the U.S. dollar Swedish corona exchange rate, increasing the value of our debt issued in corona. Our debt-to-capital levels remain within our targets. We continue to have strong liquidity levels, including $682 million of liquidity available to the holdco following the final payment of $483 million to CM Bermuda in the first quarter. As a reminder, in the first half of the year, both AMBEST and Fitch revised our outlook to positive from stable, while Moody's and S&P affirmed our ratings. Fitch highlighted the significant underwriting improvement in 2023 and 2024 and the completion of the CM Bermuda buyback, while AMBEST called out the strength of our balance sheet when making their upgrade. We believe our balance sheet continues to be undervalued. there remains significant off-balance sheet value in the consolidated MGAs, which we own. This was demonstrated when we deconsolidated Arcadian last year and generated almost $100 million of book value. The carrying value on our balance sheet of the three remaining MGAs is $83 million, with net service fee income for the trailing 12 months of $45 million. This equates to an earnings multiple just over two times the earnings versus the double-digit earnings multiple used by the market. With this, we conclude the financial section of our presentation. This quarter saw a continuation of strong double digit growth in our top line, while delivering a 3.8 point improvement in our core combined ratio, of which 1.8 points came from attritional loss ratio improvement. Underlying return on equity for the quarter of 17% contributes to a first half underlying return on equity of 15.4%. This delivery at half year means we are on track to deliver another year with return on equity within are 12% to 15% across the cycle target. We have built a strong track record of delivery, and this quarter's result further validates the significant progress we have made on our journey to becoming a best-in-class specialty underwriter. And with that, I will hand the call back over to the operator, and we can now open the lines for any questions.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Thank you. We will now be conducting a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. The confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two to remove yourself from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star key. One moment, please, while we poll for your questions. Our first questions come from the line of Michael Phillips with Oppenheimer and Company. Please proceed with your questions.

speaker
Michael Phillips
Analyst, Oppenheimer & Company

Thanks. Good morning, everybody. First question is on kind of the new programs you've done, I guess, this year, not just this quarter, but this year. Thinking about the impact of those on the top line over the next maybe 18 months of those specific programs on a difference between the growth and the net premiums. And I think it sort of goes to your philosophy, but also some of the comments that Scott's made about that difference between taking the net over time. Can you can you speak to the impact of those specific programs this year might have on both the gross and net premiums over the next 18 months?

speaker
Scott Egan
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, thanks Mike. Thanks for the question. Appreciate it. Nice to speak to you. Look Mike, I I would say we we sort of take them on a program by program basis, which I know isn't a helpful comment for you, but I think you know we don't sort of forecast ahead. So number one, we choose very carefully, which I know is not the question you're asking, but but we keep reinforcing that point. sort of 80% of the opportunities that present themselves. And I think our philosophy is very much we take gross and then lean into net. And so if you look at the pipeline of opportunities, and I would say not just this year, I would go back into sort of last year as well, where we reported quite a lot of new partnerships coming on. I think the way that we look at that is we season them in terms of leaning into the net as and when we feel comfortable. So there isn't really a ready-made formula per se. But I think our direction of travel is we want to take more risk, net risk with partners who we feel more comfortable with. So, you know, I would say we've got a strong tailwind here. of overall growth as evidenced by our sort of performance over the last five quarters in particular. And I think that trend of sort of net potentially outstripping growth might be something that emerges. But as I say, we don't predict it per se and we take it as it comes. So look, Jim, anything you want to add to that?

speaker
Jim McKinney
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, I think that was well said. I do think on both sides, it'll be a tailwind in terms of total growths, but it'll really depend on the partnerships, kind of the seasoning at each of those levels, some seasonality with each of those things. So it won't be an exact linear component, but it is, Mike, a tailwind to further growth on both the gross and the net through time.

speaker
Michael Phillips
Analyst, Oppenheimer & Company

Okay. No, thank you. I appreciate that. On your insurance segment, I think of pieces of that that help your growth over time, despite what's happening in the external P&C market, because they're kind of non-cyclical. And when I think of that, I think of the biggest one would be A&H. I guess I'm going to make sure that's accurate. And then if so, could you maybe highlight some others within there that might have the similar characteristics besides A&H?

speaker
Scott Egan
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, so you're right to think of it that way, Mike. So let me just kind of step back and position A&H properly. So obviously we've seen growth in A&H, 25% of that comes from one of our only owned MGAs, which is IMG. So actually, when we see growth in our revenue from A&H owned MGAs, then ultimately that manifests itself as well in our sort of you know, premium levels. Look, for me, A&H, the way that we think about that within the portfolio is obviously it's a volatility shock absorber. I think that's a phrase I've used across the market before. So if A&H is growing, it allows allows us to take more risk in other areas of the business and still maintain our overall lower volatility approach to the portfolio. And that's something that we manage sort of very carefully and very, very well. And as I say, we feel very confident in the position of our A&H business. If you look across other areas, I think we are happy, Mike, to take on risk as long as it aligns with our areas of expertise and specialism. I think obviously each one has a slightly different dynamic. So just to try and be helpful to you, I think on property, obviously we manage our approach to peril quite tightly. Obviously, that's important when we have a sort of lower volatility aspiration. So property, depending on where we're at on our PML allocations to peril, means that we will toggle up, toggle down. I think casualty, we are thoughtful and sort of cautious about, not because of any specific reason, just because... I think that's a sort of prudent approach to casualty. We're not scared of it. We've got some very good lines that we write, but I think we're very thoughtful and careful about it. And then in our other specialties, look, whether it be surety, whether it be marine energy, whether it be credit, I think these are opportunities that we can lean into both in sort of general market space, but also through MGA partners as well. So, yeah, look, for me, I think we feel confident Pretty positive. There are certain areas that we probably wouldn't lean into. So commercial auto would be a good example of that at the moment for us, where we just don't think the environment out there is something that we would feel that excited about. I think some programme and MGA partnerships give us the opportunity to have an edge there. But in general terms, that might be one that we would be sort of dialing back, dialing down. But the rest, I would say, on balance, we feel reasonably positive about. So a long answer to your question. But Jim, anything you want to add?

speaker
Jim McKinney
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, Mike, one thing I would add is really what you've seen from a pipeline growth perspective within our North American franchise. We've obviously established a bunch of strategic partnerships over the last couple of years. And the result of those partnerships is that there's going to be a good tailwind of prudent, profitable growth that we would expect to come through there, similar to what you're kind of You know the stability that a provides and that's something that's a little bit unique in terms of where we're at from a franchise perspective it's not that we're. not subject to some of the market trends or other but just from where that segment of our business for that line of business sub segment, if you will, is within our overall. Rich Kedzior, franchise and its lifecycle kind of growth maturity perspective. Rich Kedzior, that's going to be a nice stable force, or I would expect it to be a nice stable force from a growth and from a profitability perspective, as we look forward.

speaker
Michael Phillips
Analyst, Oppenheimer & Company

Okay, thank you. Rich Kedzior, Last one for me for now a little bit higher level actually is. Rich Kedzior, In your press release you've talked about international business and specifically below the London mga's. Could you characterize the difference between MGAs in London versus what we see here in the United States? And I ask because you called them out specifically there. So, you know, kind of what is the difference and why they're more growth than what you see in the U.S.? That's what I'm asking.

speaker
Scott Egan
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, no, no. Let me step back. I mean, obviously, in London, Mike, if you go back a few years, strategically, when I came here, London was declining overall for us. And given the assets that we hold there, i.e. Lloyds, syndicate, managing general agent, et cetera, et cetera, we decided to invest in Lloyds. We don't obviously just access business in the London market versus Lloyd. We've also got our own paper. And because we've got our own paper, that also makes us... of London space. And given the wider expertise that we've got across the group, we can leverage that from US into London. And in one sense, the hallmarks are not that different. But what we are actually seeing is the pickup as we win business in the London space, which is obviously an area of the business that we would like to invest in and grow. And that's exactly what we're doing, Mike, to be honest. So hopefully that answers your question.

speaker
Michael Phillips
Analyst, Oppenheimer & Company

Yeah, thank you very much. And congrats.

speaker
Scott Egan
Chief Executive Officer

Okay, super. Thanks for your questions. Okay, operator, next.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Thank you. Our next question has come from the line of Randy Bitter with B. Riley Securities. Please proceed with your questions.

speaker
Randy Bitter
Analyst, B. Riley Securities

Hey, good morning. Thank you. I just have a couple. I think the first one for me is just on net investment income. It's trending ahead of your guy, I believe. And I think you're putting money to work at at a higher rate as the year goes on, is there, is there just some conservatism and keeping the guide for the year? You know, can you just share kind of where you're putting new money work so we can just understand that line item a little bit better? I'm happy to.

speaker
Jim McKinney
Chief Financial Officer

Um, thanks, Randy. Um, I would say slightly, uh, we're largely, um, online with the plan that we had at the beginning of the year. It does include potential, you know, an interest rate cut in the back half to two cuts. So at the moment, I think we're largely in pass. I would have expected the front part of the year to be a little bit above kind of the back half if effectively some of the Federal Reserve projected kind of market cuts were to come through. And so really no change from that perspective. We do tend to be, you know, if we think about our range, we do tend to have a range in particular for this item. And to the extent that, you know, there's something that would take us outside of that range or that we would see that coming down, we would then update our guidance at that stage. But I think it's fair to say at this point, you know, as you've noticed, we're kind of at the midpoint, if not slightly higher than that from a range perspective. you know, will continue to work through what is really largely a favorable environment with, again, items kind of being replaced with a yield greater than four and a half percent. So I feel pretty good about that.

speaker
Randy Bitter
Analyst, B. Riley Securities

Okay, great. That's helpful. And then I have one on reserves. So clearly the reserve profile is looking good with the continued redundancies. On A&H, I guess it'd be helpful just maybe to learn a little bit more about how the tail on that book develops, because it seems like you're getting the majority of the reserve development from there, kind of going through the queue. I'm not seeing that broken out specifically for the quarter, and maybe I'm just not catching it yet. But how long does... a bull, you know, a reserve their season kind of versus like casualty lines, because mostly what we look at and we look at reserves as analysts of how that's developing.

speaker
Scott Egan
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. Good question, Randy. And thanks for it. So, so look, let's step back on A&H. It's, it's, uh, I would say most seasoned business. Uh, it has a long track record of, uh, of growth, uh, profitable growth. So it's got an eight-year track record of delivering strong returns. That's not perfect in every single year, of course not. But it really, therefore, points towards our philosophy in A&H. So A&H, the business that we write, is pretty short-tail. And therefore, on average, a couple of years, two or three years, is really what we're looking at. When we look at it, Randy, we tend to err on the side of caution. for the current year so we would tend to reserve slightly higher for the for the current year and let the older year season and so what you'll see in our a h portfolio if you went back through time is a pretty uh stable and solid track record of continual prior year releases given the profile as i've just described it and and as i say that's all because it's a you know largest area of our business it obviously operates within our portfolio really importantly in terms of volatility risk management as i outlined earlier on uh but but i think we feel very confident about the quality of that business and the way that we reserve for it but jim anything you want to add to that yeah so um

speaker
Jim McKinney
Chief Financial Officer

you know, building on what Scott said, we tend to know the A&H portfolio results or have, you know, a large degree of conclusion within a two to three year timeframe, which means that, you know, from an 18 to 24 month perspective, we generally have reasonably seasoned trends that, you know, obviously we continue to kind of follow through there, but that highlights a component where we would, you know, once we're more confident At that point in time, then we can begin to kind of think about that from a perspective of essentially enhancing kind of our estimates at that point in time. The casualty areas tend to be more four to five years. And so we're really thinking about components when you're looking at that just mechanically. you're not really generally looking at updates unless you're seeing something either negative or other within kind of a three to four year time period. So just from a natural course of business, you're going to see, as Scott noted, you know, an initial reaction or an earlier reaction from an A&H just because of when you kind of have a real solid indication and kind of know, you know, the answer where it's a little bit longer, again, for those casualty and then You know, we'll begin to react in time. Either way, what I would take away from it is that we have a prudent, reserving philosophy as demonstrated by the 17 quarters of favorable prior year development and highlighting kind of the nature. Nothing has changed in relation to that. And, you know, that would be something that I think you'll find is a hallmark of us and something that would be When you think about how we look at it, we try to be prudent and thoughtful, both on the initial setup of PICs and then the PICs that we have as we go through time.

speaker
Randy Bitter
Analyst, B. Riley Securities

Okay, great. That's really helpful. Appreciate the answers.

speaker
Scott Egan
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Our next questions come from the line of Andrew Anderson with Jefferies. Please proceed with your questions.

speaker
Andrew Anderson
Analyst, Jefferies

Hey, good morning. Just on the casualty within insurance, I think it's about 25% of the premium mix there. And you mentioned it was down 10%. But at the same time, you're getting rate in excess of trend, and it sounds like the pricing environment is good there. So can you maybe just talk about the decision to write less business there and perhaps remind us when this started so we can think about when we lapped the non-renewal here?

speaker
Scott Egan
Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Andrew. Thanks for the questions. Nice to speak. Look, we're not uncomfortable with casualty. We're just cautious on casualty. And so we've got some very mature MGA relationships. You know, Arcadian being a great example that we're, you know, we feel very confident in both the rating and the performance aspect. I think for us, you know, there are certain segments of casualty. I highlighted commercial auto earlier on where, you know, for us, we're probably just not really signalling as a sort of go forward trend for us. I don't think we're signalling here any big sort of rectifications in casualty. There's nothing. That's not what we're flagging. We're just in general saying no. that we're cautious and where we're cautious, we'll trim at the edges if we feel we have to. But Jim, anything you want to add on casualty in general?

speaker
Jim McKinney
Chief Financial Officer

No, I think what I would highlight is similar to you, that we remain disciplined and, you know, this is an indication more of how we're allocating capital to what we see as the most profitable areas in the market that are within our volatility corridors. And as, you know, we've, kind of move forward over the last 12, 18 months. We've seen opportunities in other areas of the book and have appropriately allocated capital to those areas. And again, if we were to see, you know, trends or other components in particular that are attractive, we'll obviously, you know, allocate capital accordingly. And so I'd really view it as, you know, us looking at the market, seeing what we think is attractive and being disciplined about that and not simply saying, hey, we have X amount allocated, so we're going to allocate that much going forward. It's really an indication of how we are committed to writing profitable business and allocating our capital to the areas that we think will produce the best returns for our stakeholders.

speaker
Andrew Anderson
Analyst, Jefferies

Thanks. And then, you know, sticking with primary insurance, I think you mentioned double digit growth and property. Can you maybe just give us some more color on what the primary property book consists of? Because I guess I'm a little surprised to hear double digit growth, just given the rating environment there. But perhaps this is not, you know, E&S, it's not cat exposed, but just maybe any color would be helpful.

speaker
Scott Egan
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, so back to the earlier question on London as well, Andrew. So we've obviously picked up some MTAs in London as well. So it's not all US exposed business. So some of it will be exposed to other sort of perils in Europe, like European wind, flood, etc. But it's back to what I said earlier on, we manage our peril exposures very tightly and obviously want to make sure that we don't overexpose to any of them in particular. We're also looking at property MGAs which potentially don't have that type of exposure or where we can exclude certain exposures from those. So look I would say in general it's more of a diversification play as opposed to anything specific and I very, very tightly given our ambition to be lower volatility. But Jim, do you want to add anything on the MGAs?

speaker
Jim McKinney
Chief Financial Officer

No, I think that just represents, as you've highlighted, a little bit of a smaller base, but also just where, again, from an opportunity perspective and as we've kind of further developed our presence and market in the London MGA space that, you know, we've had a benefit there that has come through from a property perspective in terms of, you know, an area where we think that there's attractive returns on capital and that, you know, is good for our franchise.

speaker
Andrew Anderson
Analyst, Jefferies

Thanks. And maybe lastly, just any change in PMLs at mid-year renewals we should be thinking about into kind of hurricane season here?

speaker
Scott Egan
Chief Executive Officer

no nothing at all we've been pretty stable andrew since we went through the restructuring uh a while ago very stable uh and obviously key will be i think one one renewals next year in property which i guess everyone is is looking at but nothing of any significance in terms of what we do just sort of normal bau thank you thank you

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Thank you. As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. Our next questions come from the line of Anthony Madalis with Dowling and Partners. Please proceed with your questions.

speaker
Anthony Madalis
Analyst, Dowling & Partners

Hey, good morning, Scott and Jim. Thanks for the answer so far with all these questions. I did have a follow-up on the insurance and services, seeing that net growth outpacing relative to that gross basis. Could you elaborate on what sort of performance you need to see or needs to be achieved for that decision to retain more on that partnership business? And then were there any particular partnerships worth calling out that would have seen this notable success and contribute to the net growth?

speaker
Scott Egan
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. So it's a really important question, Anthony, and thanks for it. Look, the... I think I said earlier on, there's no sort of ready-made formula, but let me be really simplistic. If it doesn't hit our ROE targets, don't expect us to lean in, right? I think that's very clear. And I know that sounds potentially flippant, but ultimately that's what we're managing our overall return profile to. So, you know, if we feel like the financial profile is able to sort of get into that space where a degree of, confidence then then that's what we aim for but I think the confidence part of that is also really important because for us we won't just jump there because someone has told us that I think for us we want to get really comfortable with the data flows we want to get really comfortable with the data we want to get to know people over time and so it's very rare that we jump to a sort of let's call it aggressive net position. Perhaps that's the wrong phraseology, but an aggressive net position too quickly. And we don't feel under any pressure to do that, to be frank, which is also really important. We will only grow, and I think Jim said it earlier on, we'll only grow where we believe we feel confident to grow. And it's a function of, you know, how the partnerships work and how the data is flowing, how, you know, how the chemistry between the underwriters, the philosophies working, et cetera, et cetera. And remember, again, that for the majority of our MGA relationships, we actually have profit share arrangements in place. And so there's actually skin in the game for them as well. We think that's a really important part of the overall sort of mix and formula. It's not the only part, but a really important part as well. So, you know, for us, that's how we think of it. And back to what Jim was alluding to and I was alluding to as well. We brought on a lot of new MGA relationships over the past, let's call it 18 months or so. We feel really positive that there's a good strong tailwind behind us, but we feel no pressure to do that. And I think, you know, in terms of your specific on lines, I think in the first half of this year, we've lent into surety, right, with one particular partner, just to use that as an example. And actually, for the first, I probably get this slightly wrong, but for the first sort of year to two years of that relationship, we took a very, very small net position. And therefore, it was sort of two years of almost getting used to seasoning, etc., before we started to lean into the net. So a pretty frivolous answer, but it's the heart of our philosophy, Anthony, and how we approach these. And it's a really important part where I think people...

speaker
Anthony Madalis
Analyst, Dowling & Partners

uh need to uh need to get confidence in our approach to that distribution channel yeah i appreciate all the color there um and then i just one other question bigger picture um we've seen sort of an emerging trend of consolidation of mgas uh and i'm just curious has this trend had any impact on serious points model partnering with mgas or any effect to that pipeline of potential partnerships that you've seen Nothing. Nothing material, Anthony. No, no. Great.

speaker
Scott Egan
Chief Executive Officer

No, nothing material.

speaker
Anthony Madalis
Analyst, Dowling & Partners

All right. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Thank you. Thank you. We have reached the end of our question and answer session. I would now like to hand the call back over to Liam Blackledge for any closing comments.

speaker
Liam Blackledge
Investor Relations and Strategy Manager

Thank you everyone for joining us today. If you have any follow-up questions, we'll be around to take your call, or you can email us on investor.relations at seriousbt.com. Thank you for your ongoing support, and I hope you enjoy the remainder of the day. I'll now turn the call back over to you, Victor.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Thank you. This does conclude today's teleconference. We appreciate your participation. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Enjoy the rest of your day.

Disclaimer

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