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Stag Industrial, Inc.
10/30/2025
the formal presentation. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to your host, Steve Zara, Vice President, Investor Relations. Thank you. You may begin.
Thank you. Welcome to Stagg Industrial's conference call covering the third quarter 2025 results. In addition to the press release distributed yesterday, we have posted an unaudited quarterly supplemental information presentation on the company's website at www.stagindustrial.com under the investor relations section. On today's call, the company's prepared remarks and answers to your questions will contain forward-looking statements as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements address matters that are subject to risks and uncertainties and may cause actual results to differ from those discussed today. Examples of forward-looking statements include forecasts of core FFO, same-store NOI, G&A, acquisition and disposition volumes, retention rates and other guidance, leasing prospects, rent collections, industry and economic trends, and other matters. We encourage all listeners to review the more detailed discussion related to these forward-looking statements contained in the company's filings with the SEC and the definitions and reconciliations of non-GAAP measures contained in the supplemental information package available on the company's website. As a reminder, forward-looking statements represent management's estimates as of today. Stagg Industrial assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements. On today's call, you'll hear from Bill Crooker, our Chief Executive Officer, and Matt Spenard, our Chief Financial Officer. Also here with us today are Mike Chase, our Chief Investment Officer, and Steve Kimble, our Chief Operating Officer. We're available to answer questions specific to their areas of focus. We'll now turn the call over to Bill.
Thank you, Steve. Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the third quarter earnings call for Stagg Industrial. We're pleased to have you join us and look forward to telling you about the third quarter 2025 results. Our year-to-date results continue to exceed internal projections. The outperformance year-to-date has allowed us to increase our core FFO guidance for the year to a range of $2.52 to $2.54 per share, a $0.03 increase at the midpoint. Industrial fundamentals remain stable and are improving. Leasing demand is improving with increased tours and RFPs. However, lease gestation periods remain elongated. Supply pipeline continues to decrease, and we are forecasting further decreases next year. While we expect national vacancy rates to be in and around 7% for the next two to three quarters, we anticipate those will improve materially in the back half of next year. Based on this, we believe our market rent growth for next year to be similar to the 2% market rent growth expected for 2025. We have accomplished 99% of our forecasted leasing for 2025 at levels consistent with our initial guidance, including cash leasing spreads of approximately 24%. Turning to next year, 2026 represents a record amount of square footage expiring in a calendar year for our company. I'm pleased to report that we have addressed approximately 52% of the operating portfolio square feet we expect to lease in 2026. This compares to 38% at the same time last year. We expect cash leasing spreads to be between 18% and 20% for 2026. This leasing success is a testament to the quality of our portfolio and a welcome sign of tenant engagement and commitment to their space. We've seen an increase in acquisition opportunities in the market, specifically with sellers eager to close by year end. Acquisition volume for the third quarter totaled $101.5 million. This consisted of two buildings with cash and straight line cap rates of 6.6% and 7.2% respectively. Subsequent to quarter end, we acquired one building for $49.2 million with a 6.5% cash cap rate. In addition to the $212 million of stabilized acquisitions we have closed so far this year, we have $153 million more under agreement and slated to close before year end. In terms of our development platform, we have 3.4 million square feet of development activity or recent completions across 13 buildings as of the end of Q3. 52% of this 3.4 million square feet are completed developments. These completed developments are 83% leased as of September 30th. This includes a full building lease totaling 244,000 square feet, which commenced in Greer, South Carolina on September 1st with 3.75% annual rent escalations. Subsequent to quarter end, we leased the remaining 91,000 square feet in our Nashville development. This project is now 100% leased with a cash stabilized yield of 9.3%. We stabilized this transaction 210 basis points higher than our initial underwriting and six months ahead of schedule. Including this transaction, our completed developments are currently 88% leased. I'm happy to announce a recently signed Build-A-Sue project on a fully entitled 40-acre parcel of land located in Union, Ohio. We'll develop a Class A 349,000 square foot warehouse with our development partner. The building is scheduled to be completed in Q3, 2026. Upon completion, the building will be fully leased for 10 years with 3.25% annual lease escalations to a strong credit tenant. The project is estimated to cost $34.6 million and is expected to have a stabilized yield of 7%. With that, I will turn it over to Matt, who will cover our remaining results and updates to guidance.
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