SunCoke Energy, Inc.

Good morning, thank you for attending today's SunCoke Energy first quarter 2023 earnings call. My name is Bethany and I will be the moderator for today's call. All lines will be muted during the presentation portion of the call with an opportunity for questions and answers at the end. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. I would now like to pass the conference over to our host, Shantanu Argawal, VP of Finance and Treasurer with Suncoke Energy. Please go ahead.

Thanks, Bethany. Good morning, and thank you for joining us this morning to discuss Suncoke Energy's first quarter 2023 results. With me today are Mike Rippey, Chief Executive Officer, Catherine Gates, President, and Mark Marinko, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Following management's prepared remarks, we'll open the call for Q&A. This conference call is being webcast live on the investor relations section of our website, and a replay will be available later today. If you do not get your questions on the call today, please feel free to reach out to our investor relations team. Before I turn things over to Catherine, let me remind you that the various remarks we make on today's call regarding future expectations constitute forward-looking statements. The cautionary language regarding forward-looking statements in our SEC filings apply to the remarks we make today. These documents are available on our website as our reconciliations to non-GAAP financial measures discussed on today's call. With that, I'll now turn things over to Catherine.

Good morning, Shantanu. Good morning, and thank you for joining us on today's call. Earlier today, we announced Suncoke Energy's first quarter results. I want to discuss a few highlights before turning it over to Mark to review the results in detail. I'd like to start by thanking all of our Suncoke employees for their contributions to our first quarter results. Our domestic Coke business operated at full capacity during the quarter, and our logistics segment performed well as we continue to pursue new customers. Through our collective efforts, we delivered consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $67.1 million. Last week, we also announced the extension of our Indiana Harbor Coke agreement with Cleveland Cliffs through September 2035. The key provisions of the extension are similar to the current contract. This renewal affirms our mutually beneficial relationship with Cleveland Cliffs and positions Indiana Harbor well for the future. Our Foundry Coke business continues to perform well with all sales finalized for the full year. The Foundry Coke expansion project is also progressing and it remains on time and on budget. Our order book for non-contracted blast furnace coke is solid, and all of our non-contracted blast furnace coke sales are finalized through the third quarter. From a leverage perspective, at the end of the quarter, our gross leverage ratio was approximately 1.93 times on a trailing 12-month adjusted EBITDA basis. Finally, as we continue to execute against our 2023 objectives, We remain well positioned to achieve our full year adjusted EBITDA guidance of $250 to $265 million. With that, I'll turn it over to Mark to review our first quarter earnings in detail. Mark?

Thanks, Kathryn. Turning to slide four, net income attributable Suncoke was 19 cents per share in the first quarter 2023, down 16 cents versus the prior year period. Adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter 2023 was $67.1 million, a decrease of $16.7 million from first quarter 2022. Lower contribution margin on export Coke sales was the primary driver of the decrease in both net income attributable Sun Coke and adjusted EBITDA. Moving to slide five to discuss our domestic Coke business performance. First quarter domestic Coke adjusted EBITDA was $60.4 million and Coke sales volume was 950,000 tons. The $15.6 million decrease in adjusted EBITDA as compared to same prior year period was primarily driven by lower contribution margin on export Coke sales. The timing of non-contracted blast Coke sales also impacted results this quarter. The domestic coke fleet continues to operate at full capacity and all non-contracted blast furnace coke sales are finalized through the third quarter. Additionally, all foundry coke sales are finalized for the full year. Given our solid first quarter performance, we remained well positioned to deliver our domestic coke adjusted EBITDA guidance of $234 to $242 million. Paul Minehart, Moving on to slide six to discuss our dual logistics segment. Paul Minehart, The logistics business generated $13.5 million of adjusted EBITDA during the first quarter of 2023 as compared to $12.6 million in the same prior year period. Paul Minehart, The increase in adjusted EBITDA was primarily due to higher volumes at our convent marine terminal. Our logistics terminals handled combined throughput volumes of 5.3 million tons during the quarter as compared to 5.2 million tons during the prior year period, with CMT handling approximately 200,000 additional tons as compared to the same prior year period. Although thermal coal pricing has declined modestly, CMT continues to benefit from the API 2 price adjustment. Our full year adjusted EBITDA and volume guidance are unchanged. Now turning to slide seven to discuss our liquidity position for Q1. Suncoke ended the quarter with a cash balance of approximately $83 million. Cash flow from operating activities generated approximately $30 million. It was impacted by working capital changes. We spent $22.6 million on CapEx during Q1, and also paid $6.7 million in dividends at the rate of 8 cents per share during the quarter. In total, we ended the quarter with a strong liquidity position of approximately $398 million. With that, I will turn it back over to Catherine.

Thanks, Mark. Wrapping up on slide 8, as always, safety and operational performance is top of mind for our company. we continue to focus on safely executing against our operating and capital plan for full utilization of our Coke making assets. As I mentioned previously, we are pleased with the performance of our Foundry Coke business. The Foundry expansion project is progressing as planned and its implementation later this year will allow Sun Coke to grow its market participation meaningfully. As we've demonstrated in the past, we will continue to pursue a balanced, opportunistic approach to capital allocation. We continue to evaluate the capital needs of the business, our capital structure, and the need to reward our shareholders, and we'll make capital allocation decisions accordingly. Lastly, we look to achieve our full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance of $250 to $265 million for 2023. With that, let's go ahead and open up the call for Q&A.

Thank you. If you would like to ask a question, please press star followed by one on your telephone keypad. If for any reason you would like to remove that question, please press star followed by two. Again, to ask a question, please press star one. As a reminder, if you're using a speakerphone, please remember to pick up your handset before asking your question. We will pause here briefly as questions are registered. Our first question comes from the line of Lucas Pipes with B. Riley. Please go ahead.

Thank you very much, operator. Good morning, everyone. My first question is on the international Coke markets. They've softened quite a bit alongside lower met coal prices. And I wondered if you could frame up the sensitivity to that weakness. That's question number one. Thank you.

Thanks, Lucas. You know, as we said in the, you know, the fourth quarter and in discussing our full-year guidance, we anticipated a weaker export market this year. We built that into our guidance. And, you know, as we've just said here, we are affirming our guidance for the full year.

Roughly what amount of tons Do you export into the Coke markets today?

Well, I appreciate the question, but as I think you know, we don't provide the breakdown of export versus our other tons. We have all of our domestic Coke is treated as a segment. But, you know, as we've said, all of our non-contracted blast Coke sales are finalized through puke rates.

That's helpful. And what's the typical duration? So if you were to go out for Coke sales in the international market today to finalize business, would this be for 2024? Would it be for the fourth quarter of 2023? Just trying to get a better sense for at what time you might see risks from weaker international markets.

Well, I think we're focused on our full year. And as we said, we expect to meet our guidance for the year. We expect to run full. So we're focusing on those sales now, and we're affirming our guidance. So we're comfortable with what we're seeing in all the markets.

Got it. What's a good benchmark to use? for pricing on international Coke sales for Sun Coke?

Hey, Lucas, this is Shantanu. Yeah, so the benchmark generally, I mean, you know, obviously there's only one benchmark which is out there for the Met Coke, which is the Chinese, you know, Met Coke 66, 65, you know, CSR, right? But the way we price our Coke, obviously our quality of the Coke is much higher than Chinese Coke. Right. And kind of, you know, it travels much better versus the normal, you know, regular traditional way of the way the Coke is made. So those are kind of advantages versus kind of if you look at the index and our product demands a premium versus those indexes. And, you know, we have like kind of the exports that we are doing with the customers. We are building those relationships and that helps us, you know, kind of with the pricing as well. So, yeah, that's kind of the benchmark pricing, but there are some other things which plays into what ultimately we sell that Coke as.

That's very helpful. And remind me, what are some of the larger markets you're sending your Coke to? Is it Europe, Latin America, or Asia? Would appreciate a little bit of color on that.

Yeah, those are the two, you know, Europe and Latin America are the main export markets now. I mean, you know, now, but it's open, right? Like if anybody needs Coke, you know, within the domestic market or Canada or Latin America or Europe, we are more than willing to supply and we're looking at all the opportunities that is available to us to sell these, to sell these export Coke or non-contracted Coke into the market.

Got it. Got it. That's very helpful. I'm just trying to understand that segment a little bit better. So you typically lock in the sales contract first or the supply agreement for the Metco, and then the supply agreement for the Metco afterwards. So does that happen simultaneously? Just trying to get a sense for how you lock in the spreads in that segment.

Yeah. So, Lucas, I mean, you know, it's always like, you know, you need to have a supply of coal to be able to continuously run our plants. And I think we have mentioned this before. we used to buy our coal on an annual basis. And since we went into these spot markets, we are doing more of a short term coal buys. So obviously the coal buys happen first, but we are trying to match those coal buys with our export sales as much as possible. There is always a timing differential. There is always a price differential, right? And I think coming back to your first question of when does the sale get booked, like for example, we are sitting at the end of Q1, our sales are booked the end of q3 so it's like you know anywhere from 30 to 60 to 90 days time lag between you know when the coke is you know produced versus when it's sold or when we are sitting here when you're finalizing the sales so there is a time lag of that but that's what we are trying to minimize is the variance of the coal price we are buying and the coke prices we are selling at very very helpful thank you for that and then i i i'm under the impression that most of this uh

business comes out of Juul. Is that a misconception, or would you say that's a reasonable guess?

Well, so you've got to think of it like Juul and Haverhill combined is our kind of swing capacity for foundry and spot coke business, spot blast furnace coke business. So those are the two places where a combination of foundry and spot coke business comes out of.

Very helpful. Thank you. Then switching topics, in June we'll come up on the one-year anniversary of the letter of intent with U.S. Steel on Granite City. And I wondered at this point, what are the key things you are still evaluating? Is there a punch list, things kind of you need to check off? And if so, could you maybe share that with the market? Thank you very much.

Thanks, Lucas. You know, we're continuing to work towards reaching an agreement with U.S. Steel. This is a, you know, it's a large and complex project, so wouldn't say that there's a punch list per se, but just that we're continuing to work towards reaching an agreement with them.

Okay. All right. Well, I appreciate the update, and best of luck.

Thanks, Lucas.

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Nathan Martin with The Benchmark Company. Please go ahead.

Hey, good morning, everyone. Thanks for taking my questions and congrats on the quarter in the Indiana Harbor extension.

Thank you.

Thanks, Nathan. I'd say Lucas did a pretty good job of hitting my list of questions, but maybe one more try on the Granite City opportunity there. And I'll take a different spin. Maybe, you know, let's just say hypothetically you don't end up moving forward with that opportunity. You know, would that potentially change your thoughts on shareholder returns given no longer needing, you know, maybe as much dry powder for a transaction? You know, and maybe what could those returns look like?

So, you know, I have to say, and I appreciate the question, but I have to say that, you know, our focus is very much on continuing to work towards reaching an agreement. You know, that is our focus now and, you know, while we really don't get into hypotheticals, what we have said and will continue to say is that we really do look at capital allocation every day and, you know, we evaluate it based on the circumstances of the time and we're going to make decisions that are going to reward our long-term shareholders.

Scott, I appreciate that stance, Catherine. Maybe shifting gears kind of to the domestic Coke business again, you know, all foundry Coke sales for the year finalized, you know, non-contracted, finalized through 3Q. I'm assuming, you know, the unsold production you have left will likely go to the export market in the fourth quarter. You know, if so, you know, how do you see the export markets trending, you know, as we get to the latter part of the year? I think, Catherine, you said last quarter that, you know, you expected maybe some improvements in the second half. Is that still the case? Any update would be great.

Yeah, thanks for the question. Yes, I would say that we do expect to see some improvement. It's certainly been hard to predict, but, you know, we're very comfortable with, you know, with what we see out ahead. And certainly, you know, if we sit here, you know, we're affirming our guidance for the year. So that's, you know, that's really where we sit. And we're very, you know, we're very comfortable with where the market is.

Got it. And then I think you mentioned some of this in your prepared remarks, but I might have missed it, so I apologize. How are things progressing at Juul with that investment to produce 100% foundry? How much of the CapEx has been spent? How much is left? Just any other thoughts there would be great.

Sure. We're pleased with the progress we've made there. The project on the expansion is on time. It's on budget. And, you know, as you know, we don't provide specific numbers for our growth CapEx, but we expect to spend between $10 and $15 million, and that's on track. And the project is going to be completed in the third quarter.

Great. All right. Well, I appreciate the time. I'll leave it there. Best of luck for the rest of the year.

Thank you. That concludes our question and answer session. I would now like to pass the conference back to Katherine Gates, president of Suncoke, for any additional remarks.

Thank you all again for joining us this morning and for your continued interest in Suncoke.

That concludes today's conference call. I hope you all enjoy the rest of your day.