4/24/2024

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Everyone, thank you for standing by and welcome to the TE Connectivity second quarter results call for fiscal year 2024. At this time, all lines are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question and answer session. To ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. As a reminder, today's call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to our host, Vice President of Investor Relations, Sujil Shah. Please go ahead.

speaker
Sujil Shah
Vice President of Investor Relations

Good morning and thank you for joining our conference call to discuss TE Connectivity's second quarter 2024 results and outlook for our third quarter. With me today are Chief Executive Officer Terrence Curtin and Chief Financial Officer Heath Mitz. During this call, we will provide certain forward looking information and we ask you to review the forward looking cautionary statements included in today's press release. In addition, we will use certain non gap measures in our discussion this morning. and we ask you to review the sections of our press release and the accompanying slide presentation that address the use of these items. The press release and related tables, along with the slide presentation, can be found on the investor relations portion of our website at te.com. Finally, during the Q&A portion of today's call, due to the number of participants, we are asking everyone to limit themselves to one question, and you may rejoin the queue if you have a second question. Now let me turn the call over to Terence for any comments.

speaker
Terrence Curtin
Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Sujal, and we appreciate everyone joining us today. As I'd like to normally do before I get in the slides, I do want to take a moment to provide some performance highlights along with what we're seeing versus our call 90 days ago. We continue to be in a dynamic global economic environment. Against this backdrop, the performance of our markets are largely consistent with our expectations resulting in second quarter sales being in line with our guidance, with sequential growth in all three of our segments. In addition, we experienced improved order levels with sequential growth in orders in all of our segments, and I'll provide you more details on orders later in the call. Our results reflect execution against key items we committed to coming into fiscal 2024. We highlighted to you our focus on margin performance and the benefits from non-volume related operational levers to drive margin expansion. Our progress on these are evident in our results as we delivered 13% year-over-year adjusted earnings per share growth, which was driven by adjusted operating margin expansion of 250 basis points. Adjusted operating margins were up in each segment versus the prior year and we expect to continue to deliver strong margin performance through the remainder of this year. With the improvements that we've made, we expect to deliver double-digit earnings growth this fiscal year, driven by a couple hundred basis points of adjusted operating margin expansion, even in this slow growth environment. The high quality of our earnings continues to be reflected in our strong cash generation model. Through the first half of this year, we delivered record free cash flow of $1.1 billion, which is up over 30% versus the prior year, and we expect to deliver another year of free cash flow conversion above 100%. With the strong cash generation, we deployed over $1.5 billion so far this year, with $1.2 billion being returned to shareholders and approximately $350 million being deployed last quarter for the Schaffner acquisition That'll be in our industrial segment. Our cash generation model continues to give us both confidence and opportunities to return capital to shareholders while continuing to support bolt-on M&A activities. So let me now share what we're seeing in our market since our call 90 days ago. Our view of the transportation and markets remains unchanged from our prior view with global auto production still expected to grow slightly this year, while we continue to expect weakness in commercial transportation and markets, both in Europe and in the Americas. In our communications segment, we continue to see momentum in high-speed cloud and AI applications, and are seeing the impacts of the stocking coming to the end in both of our businesses in this segment. Excuse me. Because of these trends, we expect the communications segment to return to year-over-year growth in our third quarter. In our industrial solutions segment, the picture is the same that we've been seeing for the last six months. We see three out of our four businesses continue to have growth momentum. However, our industrial equipment business continues to be impacted by the stocking. As we think about the industrial equipment business, We are seeing early indications pointing to a potential normalization later this fiscal year. And then one other thing I'd like to highlight is that we have seen the dollar strengthen against other currencies since our last earnings call. And this is resulting in an increased headwind to growth and earnings in our second quarter. And this will impact the third quarter as well. And lastly, I want to reiterate that our long-term value creation model remains unchanged and is centered around three pillars. First, our portfolio is strategically positioned around secular growth trends, including the adoption of renewable energy, applications for cloud and artificial intelligence, and growth in global hybrid and electric vehicle production. And when you think about the vehicle, we not only benefit from the electrification of the powertrain, but we also benefit from the electronification trends that include increased software-defined vehicle as well as increased safety and comfort features. The second pillar of value creation is that we have operational levers to drive strong margin performance through an economic cycle. And our third lever is that we've established a strong cash generation model to return capital to shareholders while investing in bolt-on M&A opportunities. Now with that as an overview, let's get into the presentation. I'd ask you to turn to slide three, and I'll discuss some of the highlights for the second quarter, as well as our outlook for the third quarter. And then I'll hand it off to Heath, who'll get into more details in his section. Our second quarter sales were $3.97 billion, which was in line with our guidance, and up 3% organically on a sequential basis, with each segment delivering sales in line with our expectations. Adjusted earnings per share was ahead of our guidance at $1.86, which was up 13% versus the prior year. Adjusted operating margins were 18.5%, and this was up 250 basis points year-over-year driven by strong operational performance. We are expecting third quarter sales of approximately $4 billion, reflecting organic growth on both the sequential and year-over-year basis. The year-over-year growth is expected to be driven by transportation and communication segments, partially offset by the effect of a stronger dollar. Adjusted earnings per share is expected to be approximately $1.85, and this is up 5% year-over-year, and it does include a 15-cent headwind from both tax and currency exchange rates. And just moving away from the financials for one second, We did just issue our Connecting Our World report, which details our commitments around corporate responsibility. There are a number of initiatives that we're driving internally, and our goals are in line with both our purpose as well as our expectations from our customers. Some of the key highlights that I want to bring up to you is that we did achieve a 70% plus reduction in both Scope 1 and Scope 2 greenhouse gas emissions over the past three years, and we also set our Scope 3 reduction targets and these have been validated by the Science-Based Targets Initiative. So with that as a quick overview of the quarter and our outlook, let me get into more details on orders, and that starts on slide four. As I highlighted earlier, we are seeing improved order levels. Our orders were up 6% sequentially to $4 billion, with sequential growth in each segment. And really, this is the first time in a year and a half that orders have been above $4 billion, and our book-to-bill is above one. And we do believe that order patterns are indicating stability in most of our end markets we serve, as well as the consistent service levels that we're providing to our customers. Now, getting into orders by segment. Transportation orders grew sequentially despite auto production declining sequentially to a little bit below 21 million units in the second quarter. We saw production in China that offset incremental weakness in North America. And going forward, we expect global auto production to be roughly 21 million units per quarter as we move through the second half of this fiscal year. In our industrial segment, we saw 7% growth in orders sequentially. And this reflects the continued momentum that is offsetting ongoing stocking in the industrial equipment and markets. And in our communications segment, our orders grew 30% sequentially, reflecting design wind momentum in data center programs, and about half of the increase was driven by AI orders for delivery in 2025 in our data device businesses. Now, with that as an overview of orders, Let me now discuss year-over-year segment results, and I'd ask you to turn to slide five, and I'll start with transportation. In transportation, our auto business grew 1% organically, with double-digit growth in China offset by declines in North America and Europe. While global auto production levels are consistent with our prior view, we are seeing different dynamics by region. Versus 90 days ago, Our expectations of vehicle production have increased in China, with a continued strong outlook for EV adoption and expansion in our content per vehicle. In North America and Europe, OEMs are adapting their mix of production to better align with consumer preferences. Factoring in these dynamics, on a global basis, EV and hybrid production are both expected to increase by 24% this fiscal year, and we'll continue to see declines in internal combustion engine production. The increase in the electrified powertrain autos will be driven by increased production in Asia, which is our largest sales region and where our auto team has a strong position. And just to give you a reminder, our content per vehicle is one and a half times higher on a hybrid and two times higher on a full electric EV. versus internal combustion platforms. We have established a global leadership position across all vehicle platforms at all major OEMs and startups, and continue to expect long-term content growth above production of four to six points. Now turning to the commercial transportation business, we saw a 4% organic decline, and this was driven by the heavy truck market declines in North America as well as in Europe. This was partially offset by return to growth in China, and we expect this business to be down sequentially in the third quarter and expect these markets that we serve here to be down approximately mid-single digits this year due to market declines in the West. In our sensors business, the sales decline continued to be driven by market weakness and industrial applications, as well as portfolio optimization that we've talked to you about where we've continued to organically exit lower margin and lower growth products. For the transportation segment, adjusted operating margins were 20.4%, which is slightly above our target levels, and we expect to run at our target margins for the rest of this year. We are continuing to invest in our – increase our investment in our auto business to support engineering requirements for next-generation vehicles. and whether they're around the electrification of the powertrain, high-speed Ethernet for data applications in the vehicle, or miniaturized power and signal products to leverage next-generation architectural shifts. Now, let's get into the industrial solutions segment, and that's on slide six. In this segment, we continue to see the trends that we've discussed for the past few quarters. And while sales were down 6% organically at the segment level in the second quarter, We saw growth in three of our four businesses, and we expect continued growth in our AD&M medical and energy businesses. In the second quarter, our AD&M sales were up 17% organically, driven by growth in both the commercial aerospace and defense markets. In medical, sales in the quarter were up 6% organically, driven by ongoing increases in interventional procedures. And in energy, we saw organic growth driven in the Americas offset by weakness in Europe with continued strong momentum in renewable applications. And then finally, in our industrial equipment business, where we're continuing to see the stocking, our sales were down 28% organically. While we're seeing some stabilization in order patterns pointing to normalization later this year, We still expect to see year-over-year declines in this business for the next couple of quarters as our customers adjust their inventory levels. On a margin perspective, the industrial segment achieved 15%, which was in line with our expectations given current volume levels and business mix. We continue to expect segment margins to run into the mid-teens until the industrial equipment business returns to growth. I'd ask you to turn to slide seven and let me get into the communications segment. In communications, I am excited about a return to year-over-year growth in our third quarter now that the stocking trends are largely behind us and momentum continues to build in next-gen cloud applications. Going forward, we now expect to deliver higher growth from artificial intelligence applications where we're increasing our investment to support future growth opportunities. Based upon our design wind momentum, we expect to double our AI revenues from $200 million this year to $400 million next year, and expect to build on this momentum to achieve annual revenues of roughly a billion dollars in the following few years. Just to remind you where we play, we are focused on providing high-speed, low-latency connectivity to meet the needs of artificial intelligence workloads. and we generate 50 percent more content in accelerated compute platform versus traditional compute servers. Also, we're working closely with cloud customers as well as leading semiconductor companies with reference design to call out TE connectivity solutions. The segment had adjusted operating margins of 17.3 percent, and this was up 100 basis points over last year despite the decline in sales in the second quarter. Our teams are executing extremely well, and we continue to expect to maintain high team's margin in this segment as we move through the year while supporting investments for growth. As volumes increase over time, we expect to achieve our long-term margin target for this segment of approximately 20%. Now, with that as a segment overview, let me hand it over to Heath, who will get into more details on the financials and our expectations going forward.

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