2/12/2021

speaker
David Rosso
Analyst, Evercore

Good morning and welcome to the Terex fourth quarter and year-end 2020 earnings conference call. A copy of the press release and presentation slides are posted on our investor relations website at investors.terex.com. In addition, the replay and slide presentation will be available on our website. I'm joined by John Garrison, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, and John Duffy Sheehan, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Their prepared remarks will be followed by Q&A. Please turn to slide two of the presentation, which reflects our safe harbor statement. Today's conference call contains forward-looking statements, which are subject to risks that could cause actual results to be materially different from those expressed or implied. In addition, we'll be discussing non-GAAP information that we believe is useful in evaluating the company's operating performance. Reconciliations for these non-GAAP measures can be found in the conference call materials.

speaker
John Garrison
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Please turn to slide three and I'll turn it over to John Garrison. Good morning and thank you for joining us and for your interest in Terex. Most importantly, I hope you and your families are remaining safe and healthy. Throughout these challenging times, we are proud of all Terex team members who are keeping themselves and others safe, meeting the needs of customers and helping our communities. I'd like to recognize and thank our team members around the world for the continued commitment towards zero harm safety culture and Terraceway values. Safety remains the top priority of the company, driven by Think Safe, Work Safe, Home Safe. Our team members remain vigilant by carefully following the COVID-19 safety protocols and continuing to keep their guard up. Despite a challenging year, we delivered results for all stakeholders, We prioritize their health and safety while maintaining our Terraceway values. Globally, team members gave back to their communities with their time and donations. For our customers, they are the center of our recovery, and we have continued to maintain the highest levels of safety in our sales and service operations. And finally, for our shareholders, we minimize the operational and financial impacts related to the pandemic. Please turn to slide four. Despite the challenging markets, during the fourth quarter, our team continued to meet customer demand, tightly managed all costs, aggressively reduced networking capital, especially AWP inventories, and delivered outstanding free cash flow. Q4 revenue improved sequentially as end markets continued to recover despite the fourth quarter normally being seasonally slower. The sequential improvement in revenues was driven by MP, whose revenues improved approximately 18%. Customer bookings in Q4 represented a continued strong improvement from Q3. Sequentially, AWP and MP bookings were up dramatically. In addition to sequential strength in bookings, AWP bookings were flat with last year's pre-COVID levels, and MP's bookings were up 53%. Year-end customer backlogs increased 25% over prior year pre-COVID levels. Our stringent cost control and producing to customer demand helped us deliver operating margins in line with prior year on 11% lower revenues. even with $18 million of restructuring and related charges. AWP recorded near break-even operating margins, including $11 million of restructuring charges, on revenue down 18% from the prior year, representing a decremental margin of 7% or an incremental margin of 3% when excluding restructuring and related charges. We are driving improvement in AWP's profitability to restore the segment to industry competitive margins, and we will continue to take the actions necessary to deliver on that improvement. Our MP segment achieved outstanding financial results, reporting a 15% operating margin while revenues were down slightly year over year, reporting an 82% incremental margin. Throughout 2020, we right-sized our inventory levels to the customer demand environment, especially in our Genie business. Their inventory levels remain consistent with 2016, which was the last time there was an industrial downturn. In 2021, aerial products will manufacture to customer demand. Our intense focus on networking capital management drove $129 million of free cash flow in the fourth quarter, delivering excellent full-year cash flow generation. Overall, our Q4 financial performance demonstrated strong execution by our global team. We are committed to improving these results in 2021. Please turn to slide five. In 2020, we evolved from our focus, simplified, execute-to-win strategy to execute, innovate, and grow. This transition in strategic priorities has strengthened our business operations. Strategy requires action, so we took swift and decisive measures in 2020 to improve, strengthen, and position Terex for growth. On the cost side, we looked at every aspect of the business to ensure we maximize our ability to be globally cost competitive. We aggressively took out costs, not just manufacturing costs. We also executed on an SCNA cost reduction initiative with a target of SCNA percent of sales for 2021 of approximately 12.5%. Turning to innovation, we listened to customers to ensure our products and services offer the features and benefits that provide value. We also invested in our connected assets and digital capabilities across the enterprise to better serve customers. We continue to drive global adoption of our products, Genie Scissors and Booms for working safely at height, and mobile crushing and screening products for aggregate production. Finally, we maintain our resolve to invest in the business for future growth. Please turn to slide six. Looking ahead to 2021, we recognize that execution is the foundation to deliver on our commitments to team members, customers, and shareholders. The hard work to rescale the company's cost structure will be aggressively managed to achieve our strategy of being globally cost competitive. We will continue to invest in innovative products and services to serve our specialized markets. Terex is well positioned for growth in 2021 because we have strong businesses, strong brands, and strong market positions upon which we can grow. We will continue to invest, including investing in new products and manufacturing capacity where demand calls for it. And we're a more focused organization. I am confident this will result and Terex being an even stronger company. With that, let me turn it over to W. Thanks, John.

speaker
John Duffy Sheehan
Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Turning to slide seven, let me begin by reviewing our Q4 financial results. I would like to call your attention to our financial reporting structure. As you will notice, consistently throughout 2020, we did not report adjusted financial results. Instead, we are identifying specific financial call-outs which impacted our Q4 reported results. Looking at the fourth quarter, we achieved net sales slightly higher than our outlook from the beginning of the quarter. Throughout the quarter, we saw our end markets continue to stabilize and improve. Overall, Revenue of $787 million was down 11% year over year. For the quarter, we recorded an operating profit of $32 million compared to adjusted operating profit of $36 million in the fourth quarter of last year. The overall operating profit resulted from revenues being down, combined with $18 million of severance and restructuring charges, primarily in our AWP segment. We achieved this positive operating result through disciplined cost control and adapting to the market environment. While lower revenues impacted our gross margin and resulted in elevated SG&A as a percent to sales, our aggressive cost reduction action allowed Terex to achieve an approximately 5% decremental margin in Q4. This decremental margin was achieved despite $5 million of gross profit charges, primarily due to restructuring. In addition, SG&A was adversely impacted by $13 million, primarily due to team member severance and restructuring. Excluding these charges Operating profit was $49 million and Terex achieved an incremental margin of 13% in the quarter. Below operating income, interest and other expense was almost $10 million lower than Q4 of 2019 because of several factors, including first, lower interest rates versus a year ago, second, $4 million of investment income, and third, non-recurrence of $2 million in FX losses recognized in the prior year. Our 2020 global effective tax rate was approximately 18% compared to our previous estimate of 52%. During the fourth quarter, there were a few discrete items benefiting our Q4 tax rate. Finally, our reported EPS of 21 cents per share includes the adverse operating impacts on gross profit and SG&A offset by the favorable benefits in other income that I just discussed. Turning to slide eight and our segments financial results. AWP sales of $412 million contracted by 18% compared to last year, driven by end markets in North America and Europe due to the impacts from the pandemic. The aerial products market and our sales in China remain robust. The utilities market remains stable and improved during the quarter across end markets. we continue to aggressively manage production levels in aerial products to ensure that we are not building excess inventory. During Q4, our aerial products production was 16% lower than Q4 2019. This continued aggressive production control allowed us to achieve almost $180 million reduction in aerial products inventory levels year over year. AWP delivers flat operating margin in the quarter, driven by aggressively right-sizing production and cost to align with end market demand. AWP achieves strong detrimental market performance of 7% in the quarter, which includes $11 million of charges for severance and restructuring. AWP fourth quarter bookings of $753 million were flat with pre-COVID Q4 2019 levels, while backlog at quarter end was $826 million, up 10% from the prior year. Now turning to materials processing. MP had another strong quarter, achieving 15% operating margins as markets continue to improve. It is a testament to the MP team's operational strength to deliver these positive operating margins on revenues down 3%. Sales were lower at $366 million, driven by cautious yet improving customer sentiment. The MP team has been aggressively managing all elements of cost, in a challenging market environment, resulting in incremental margin performance of 82 percent. Backlog of $523 million was 59 percent higher than last year and up 81 percent sequentially. MP saw its businesses strengthen through the quarter with bookings up 53 percent year-over-year. and up 76% sequentially. Customer sentiment in both segments continues to improve as equipment is being utilized and ordered for 2021. Turning to slide nine. Overall, 2020 demonstrated the resilience of our business and team members to deliver these results against a very challenging backdrop. Significant cross-actions reducing SG&A by $82 million from 2019 helped deliver 21% detrimental margin and beat our 25% target. In addition, strong, positive cash flow generation was helped by tightly managing networking capital and aligning production to demand. Turning to slide 10, when the pandemic arose in the first quarter, we quickly refocused our investment initiatives and took decisive action to reduce our overall cost structure through temporary and permanent actions. And over the course of 2020, we instituted an SG&A cost reduction initiative, not just in corporate, but across the entire company. we always had an estimated target going back to our 2016 analyst day of 12.5% sales. As detailed on this slide, we took a variety of actions to reduce our cost base. Whether it was moving our corporate headquarters, improving productivity, and selectively rescaling investments, we scrutinized every possible expense. The result of these actions is that we were able to reduce our SG&A cost structure by more than $100 million for 2021 versus 2019 and delivered the improved results detailed in my earlier comments. These actions have enabled Terex to come into 2021 well-positioned to meet the 12.5% target. Turning to slide 11, now I'd like to update you on how we currently anticipate 2021 to develop financially. It is important to realize we are operating in an unprecedented period, and results could change negatively or positively. Disruptions associated with COVID, whether it is team member absenteeism or supply chain disruptions, could impact our outlook. With that said, this outlook represents our best estimate as of today. Also, consistent with 2020, we do not plan to report adjusted financial results in 2021. The outlook included on this chart includes all known income and costs, but does exclude the impact of potential future acquisitions, divestitures, restructuring, transformation, or other unusual items. As we identify currently unknown income or costs, we will identify them in our reported results. As for commercial demand, we have seen our markets stabilize and improve over the course of 2020. All other things being equal, we do expect to see markets improve due to the global deployment of COVID-19 vaccines and AWP customers' fleet replenishment. However, our guidance does not include any benefit from potential infrastructure legislation. We anticipate EPS of $1.95 to $2.35 per share based on sales of approximately $3.45 billion. From a quarterly perspective, we expect revenues for the full year to be relatively evenly split between the first and second half of the year, with the second quarter being the strongest of the year. We look forward to returning to year-over-year sales growth in the second quarter this year. the absolute amount of operating profit and operating margins are expected to increase each quarter, year over year, with slightly more operating profit in the second half of the year versus the first half of the year. Importantly, we are planning for and look forward to reporting incremental rather than decremental margins, which meet or exceed our 25% target for full year 2021. Borderly earns per share are expected to be generally consistent with the development of operating profits during the year. Based upon global tax laws, we expect a 2021 tax rate of 19%. We are monitoring potential changes to tax laws in the United States and around the globe, and we will adjust our operational and tax strategies as required. For full year 2021, we are estimating free cash flow of approximately $100 million, reflecting another year of positive cash generation. We do expect Q1 cash flow to be negative, which is consistent with historical patterns. We also estimate capital expenditures, net of asset disposition, will be approximately $90 million. Corporate and other costs are planned to occur relatively evenly throughout the year, although Q1 is expected to be slightly lower and Q2 slightly higher than the average. We continue to monitor development associated with the UK's exit from the European Union and do not expect any material impact. Now, let me turn your attention to the operating margin bridge on the slide. We believe it is important that the investment community understand the key elements of our operating margin improvement in 2021. First, cost reinstatements represent the restoration of team members' compensation after the reductions we enacted in 2020. it is important to pay team members competitively to retain our talent. Next, I would point out that positive volume and improved manufacturing efficiency will drive much of our margin improvement. Additionally, our SG&A cost reduction effort also provides significant improvement in our 2021 operating margin. Finally, We did have severing, restructuring, and other charges in 2020 that are not expected to reoccur in 2021. Pacing together, these operational improvements drive our 2021 operating margin guidance of approximately 7%. Turning to slide 12, now I'll review our segment guidance. we expect the improved customer sentiment demonstrated by our genie and utility customers to continue into 2021. AWP margins are expected to be positive each quarter of 2021, with incremental margins well above our targeted 25%. Materials processing is expected to continue its consistent operating performance delivering double-digit operating margins each quarter throughout 2021. Following the run-up in steel prices in 2018, we implemented a steel hedging program with respect to our aerials, North American Hot Roast Coil, or HRC, steel consumption. Approximately two-thirds of our aerial steel consumption is HRC, you may be aware that there is not presently any forward market for hedging plate steel. During 2020, we purchased hedges for the predominant amount of our anticipated 2021 North American Aerial HRC requirements. The guidance we are providing today takes into account the steel hedging actions we took in 2020, as well as current steel prices for the remainder of our global steel requirements. Overall, our 2021 guidance represents a dramatic improvement in operating performance when compared to 2020. The swift and decisive actions taken in 2020 enabled this effort, and we will continue to aggressively manage costs while positioning the business for growth. Turning to page 13, I'll review our participant capital allocation strategy. We introduced our strategy back at our 2016 Analyst Day. It has served the company well during the pandemic and will enable us to grow in 2021. Our team members remain vigilant and will continue to aggressively manage production, especially within our AWP segments. and scrutinize every expenditure so we continue to generate strong, positive, free cash flow. We have ample liquidity with greater than $1 billion available to us. With no near-term debt maturity, we can manage and grow the business. In 2021, we have entered into a partnership with a U.S. bank to provide financing solutions to our GENE customers. In connection with this arrangement, last week the bank purchased approximately $100 million of our Terex Financial Services portfolio of receivables. As a result of our strong liquidity position, including the proceeds from the sale of the TFS on-book portfolio, we initiated this week the repayment of approximately $200 million in term loans, reducing outstanding debt and lowering leverage. In Q1, we will recognize the corporate and other operating gains of $7 million in connection with the TFF sale and an interest and other charge of $2 million related to the repayment of the term loans. Neither this gain or the charge is included in the financial guidance we are providing today. Turning to growth, we continue to invest in the business in 2020 at reduced levels and will continue to invest in 2021 with capital spending net of asset disposition of approximately $90 million. In 2020, We executed strong and swift actions to right-size the business so Terex can profitably grow in the future. We remained resolute in tightly managing production and SG&A. Our strong balance sheet and expected 2021 free cash flow generation allowed our board of directors to reinstate our quarterly dividend for 2021. The board has approved a Q1 dividend of $0.12 per share as we return cash to shareholders. Our earnings power and healthy capital position provides a strong foundation for us to manage and grow Terax. And with that, I'll turn it back to you, John.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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