4/18/2019

speaker
Leanne
Operator

Greetings, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the BB&T Corporation First Quarter 2019 Earnings Conference. Currently, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A brief question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. As a reminder, this event is being recorded, and it is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Rich Batosh of Director Investor Relations for BB&T Corporation.

speaker
Rich Batosh
Director, Investor Relations

Thank you, Leanne, and good morning, everyone. Thanks to all our listeners for joining us today. And on today's call, we have Kelly King, our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Darrell Bible, our Chief Financial Officer, and Chris Henson, our President and Chief Operating Officer, who will review the results for the first quarter and provide some thoughts for the second quarter of 2019. We also have Clark Starnes, our Chief Risk Officer, to participate in the Q&A session. We will be referencing a slide presentation during the call. A copy of the presentation, as well as our earnings release, and supplemental financial information are available on the BB&T website. Before we begin, let me remind you, BB&T does not provide public earnings predictions or forecasts. However, there may be statements made during the course of this presentation that express management's intentions, beliefs or expectations. BB&T's actual results may differ materially from those contemplated by these forward-looking statements. In addition, in connection with the proposed merger with SunTrust, BB&T has filed with the SEC a registration statement on Form S-4 to register the shares of BB&T's capital stock to be issued in connection with the merger, which contains a joint proxy statement and prospectus that will be sent to shareholders of BB&T and SunTrust seeking their approval of the proposed transaction. Please refer to the cautionary statements on page 2 regarding forward-looking information in our presentation are SEC findings and the legends on page three that relate to additional information and participants in the solicitation. Please also note that our presentation includes certain non-GAAP disclosures. Please refer to page two and the appendix of our presentation for the appropriate reconciliations to GAAP. And now I'll turn it over to Kelly.

speaker
Kelly King
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Good morning, everybody. Thanks for joining our call. So we think the first quarter was a great start to the year. We had record adjusted APS, strong returns, strategic loan growth, very good expense control, and excellent asset quality, and very importantly, a great strategic move in terms of our MOE with SunTrust, which I'll talk about in a bit. Our net income was $749 million, up 0.5% versus the first quarter of 2018. Our net income, excluding merger-related and restructuring charges, was a record $813 million, up 6% versus the first quarter of 2018. We did have diluted EPS. which was $0.97, up 3.2%. But we did wrap up our Disrupt the Thrive initiative which you know we've been working on for about a part of a year and a half. We wrapped that up this quarter and we did announce the SunTrust MOE so we had some substantial charges related to that. As a result, our first quarter adjusted diluted EPS was a record $1.05 which was up 8.2% versus the first quarter of 2018. Adjusted ROA, ROCE, and ROTCE respectively were 1.55, 12.01, and a very strong 19.86. I'm on slide four. Following the highlights, our taxable equivalent revenue was 2.9%, which was down 5.7% annualized versus fourth quarter. Of course, remember some seasonality there, but I think a very good 3% increase versus the first quarter of 18. Loans held for investment averaged $148 billion at 1.4% annualized versus the fourth quarter. I reported NEM increased two basis points to 3.51, and a core NEM increased four basis points. Insurance income was very strong, a record $510 million of 19.2% annualized versus fourth quarter, and Kristin will give you some specific information on that in just a bit. Adjusted efficiency was essentially flat at 56.6 versus 56.5, which as you know is very strong from an industry point of view. and our adjusted non-interest expenses totaled $1.7 billion, which was down 4.7% annualized versus the fourth quarter. So we're doing exactly what we said in terms of maintaining extremely strong expense control. Our credit quality was great. Non-performing asset ratio was 0.26, flat versus fourth quarter, and a decrease of four basis points versus the first quarter of 18. Charge also 40 basis points versus 38 in the fourth quarter, with some seasonality impact there, but lower than the 41 basis points in the first quarter of 18. We did announce strategically our combination with SunTrust, which we're very excited about. We'll talk about that in just a little bit. And related to the merger, we did suspend share repurchases in anticipation of that combination. On slide five, you'll see the merger-related restructuring charges I referred to. It was $80 million on a pre-tax, $64 million after tax, so an $0.08 negative impact on EPS from a GAAP point of view. If you follow along on slide six, we'll look at loan growth. It's kind of interesting what's going on in loan growth. So our total loan growth was 1.4%, which is not super strong, but remember, we focus on the categories more than we do the aggregate. and our CLI was a strong 5.5%. Our CRE was down 7.5% but that's really because of our focus on conservative underwriting and so we actually feel good about that as we move through the quarter. We had strong performance in corporate banking, community banking, equipment finance and equipment capital finance. We did... Thank you for joining us today. Our direct was down 3.7, but we are finally seeing the bottom that we have been projecting. We've been doing a lot of things in terms of restructuring our direct offerings and our processes. Volumes are increasing, so we see that bottoming kind of as we expected. And then indirect was soft this quarter, but as you know, we always have that, particularly driven by Sheffield. So overall, we were pleased with loan growth for the quarter. You look at page 7, slide 7, on deposits. Total deposits were up 5.7%. Now, we are seeing a shift here that we just want to mention. Our non-interest-bearing deposits were down 10.9% first to fourth annualized. Now, on a year-over-year, it was 2.1, so the 2.1 is the meaningful number to look at. And that's really not a function of losses to BB&T as much as it is movement. between DDA to interest-bearing accounts, the market finally got insensitive to interest rates. And so as we expected, we would see some internal and external disintermediation, and that's occurring, although we're pleased most buyers are just internal shifting. We think that will continue to occur, but probably at a decelerating pace. That remains the same that we're in a and a whole new world in terms of how people are responding to this still relatively low interest rate environment. So we'll see how that works out. The percentage of non-new spring deposits, total deposits, was 32.7 versus 34, so that reflects that softness in that. Overall, I would just say that our cost was a little higher. Betas was a little higher this quarter. Darrell will give you some detail on that, but it was mostly because Thank you, Kelly, and good morning, everyone.

speaker
Darrell Bible
Chief Financial Officer

Today I'm going to talk about our excellent credit quality, margin and fee income dynamics, strong expense management, and provide guidance for second quarter and full year 2019. Turning to slide 8, credit quality remains strong. Net charge-offs of $147 million were up two basis points and improved one basis point from a year ago. This quarter's increase reflects an uptick in CRE and seasonal revolving credit, offset by a decline in lease financing and the mortgage portfolio. Our MPA ratio of 26 basis points was unchanged and remains historically low. Continuate on slide 9. Our allowance coverage ratios remain strong at 2.62 times net charge-offs and 2.97 times MPOs. The allowance to loan ratio was 1.05% unchanged from last quarter. recorded a provision for credit losses of $155 million, which exceeded net charge-offs of $147 million. This resulted in an allowance note of $8 million in the first quarter. Turning to slide 10. The reported net interest margin was 3.51% up two basis points. The core margin rose four basis points to 3.44%. The improvement was driven by dividends received on assets for certain post-employment benefits, which occurs in the first quarter of every year. This added four basis points to the margin. This dividend income is partially offset by higher personnel expense. The cost of interest-bearing liabilities rose 13 basis points, a modest deacceleration from last quarter's 14 basis point increase. Balanced growth in time deposits and money market and savings drove the interest-bearing liability costs higher. We expect the rate of increase in interest-bearing liability costs to significantly moderate next quarter. Asset sensitivity declined due to an increase in fixed-rate assets and a decrease in DDA. Continuing on slide 11, non-interest income of $1.2 billion grew 1.9% versus last quarter. However, our fee income ratio declined 50 basis points to 41.5%, as record insurance income was offset by declines in other fee categories. Insurance income increased $23 million, reflecting seasonality and solid organic growth. Regions insurance contributed $46 million to the insurance income. Excluding regions, insurance income rose 6.4% from the light quarter, reflecting continued strong organic growth. Investment banking and brokerage fees and commissions declined $28 million following a record fourth quarter of 2018. In addition, mortgage banking income decreased $23 million due to seasonally lower commercial and residential volumes. Service charges on deposits declined $14 million as there were fewer revenue days but up 3.6% versus last year. Other income rose $18 million, primarily due to income on assets for certain post-employment benefits, which is offset by higher personnel expense. Turning to slide 12. Our expense management continues to be strong. Adjusted non-interest expense, which excludes Merck's, was $1.7 billion, a decrease of $20 million. Compared to the first quarter of 2018, adjusted non-interest expense increased $30 million. excluding Regents Insurance, this quarter's adjusted expense was about flat versus last year. Personnel expense declined $9 million due to lower salary expense with 518 fewer FTEs. Professional services expense declined $12 million primarily due to lower consulting expense. Merger-related and restructuring charges increased $4 million largely due to investment banking fees related to the merger of equals. You will note that the current quarter's effective tax rate was down. This was primarily due to excess tax benefits from equity-based compensation plans, which also occurred in the first quarter last year. Continuing on slide 13. Our capital and liquidity remained strong. Common equity Tier 1 capital increased to 10.3%, reflecting the suspension of share repurchases associated with the merger of equals. Our dividend payout ratio was strong at 41.3%. On April 5th, BB&T submitted a standalone capital plan to the Fed requesting a common dividend increase for the third quarter from 40.5 cents to 45 cents per quarter. We expect the Board to authorize this at the July Board meeting. Our modified average LCR ratio was 130%. Now let's turn to slide 14 to review our segments. Community bank retail and consumer finance generated net income of $379 million down $8 million. Revenue decreased $46 million driven by lower loan spreads and fewer revenue days impacting deposit service charges and a seasonal decline in payment related fees. Loan production decreased due to softer mortgage market conditions and seasonality at Sheffield. We rolled out a new branch direct auto product in late February, reducing the timeframe for loan approval from over a day to just minutes. In just the first month, we saw a 225% increase in loan production, which translates into an annual run rate increase of about $500 million. This is a great example of how being more responsive can improve client service and benefit the bottom line. Continuing on slide 15. Community Bank Commercial Net Income was $328 million, down $1 million. Revenue decreased $14 million, driven by fewer days and a slight decrease in loan spreads, offset by an increase in deposit spreads. Loan production declined largely due to seasonality. Continuing to slide 16. Financial Services and Commercial Finance Net Income was $156 million, up $1 million. Revenue decreased $40 million, coming off record fourth quarter 18 investment banking and brokerage fees and commissions, plus seasonally lower commercial mortgage banking income. Average loan balances increased 11.9% annualized, driven primarily by corporate banking and C&I loans. Average deposit balances increased due to growth in wealth and corporate banking. Invested assets increased due to the recovery in the equity markets. Turning to slide 17. Insurance holdings net income totaled $88 million, increase of $11 million. Total revenue increased $20 million due to seasonality. The seasonal pickup in employee benefit commissions was partially offset by a seasonal decline in P&C commissions. Organic revenue grew 6.7% versus by quarter. Now I'll turn it over to Chris to provide more perspective on insurance holdings performance this quarter.

speaker
Chris Henson
President and Chief Operating Officer

Thanks, Daryl. Good morning. The primary purpose on these two slides really is to reinforce the transformation plan that you heard John Howard, our Chairman and CEO of Insurance Holdings, share with you at Investor Day this past fall is really in stride and working. As a reminder, he brought BCG in about a year ago and really looked at the business sort of from top to bottom, developed the transformation plan and is now executing on 31 initiatives that fell out of the plan. We have out of that new operating models for retail, for wholesale. We've got revenue, growth, and expense reduction initiatives. As a result, the business really currently has significant momentum. And if you'll look at the upper right-hand chart, you can see that we're receiving strong results across all business lines. You can see revenues up like quarter, 17.2%. and you'll recall we did acquire regions July 2nd of 18 and so there's 46 million in revenue as Darrell pointed out included in first quarter 18 but if you exclude that we still are up 33 million dollars organically. Just as a reminder three primary drivers to organic growth. First is pricing and we are an environment where pricing is stabilizing in the plus two percent range you'll recall We have had two of the largest insurable loss years over the past two years with $150 billion hitting in 2017 because of the largest three storms and another $80 billion in 2018. So we've got good price support up for this year. Second driver of organic growth and far and away the biggest impact is new business growth. And our new business growth across all entities is up 8%, which is exceptionally strong and driven by really the strong economic environment. And then the third is high client retention rates. Our retail business retention rate is just below 92%, which is industry-leading, and then wholesale is 76%. And so what that gives you is the chart at the lower left, and you can see a nice improvement in organic growth from 3% a year ago up to 6.7%. We believe this is going to be best in class, and believe when all the numbers come in that the industry will probably average Q1 somewhere in the 4% to 5% range So as I said, the economic fundamentals are still favorable looking forward. As business expands, you know, businesses are building equipment, buying, I mean, building buildings, buying equipment, hiring employees does create insurable opportunities as we go forward. And so with that stability, there are still pockets of tightening in certain commercial lines like energy, commercial auto, which is up in the neighborhood of 7% in pricing, and then transportation industry would be examples. You turn with me to page 19. You can see part of the reason for this plan was really continued focus on enhancing our margin across all the business lines. And you can see adjusted EBITDA on the upper left-handed chart there, up 38.6% year-over-year, or $39 million. About a third of that would be from regions and the synergies from regions. We're on target. to achieve about 80% of those cost savings in 2019. In addition, there's revenue lift in the numbers as well. And then with, of course, organic growth and strong expense control are driving a margin expansion. I mentioned new business growth is a primary driver of organic growth, but expense control plays a big role. We mentioned the cost takeout in regions, but we've also got personnel savings really across all entities within insurance business. about every entity has an automation program going in and some also include robotics implementations. And so if you'll look at what that has driven in the lower left chart, you can see the EBITDA margin has moved over the last year from 22% up to 26.1, which is really nice improvement. And so the focus in the business really is to optimize the operations, but with differentiation, in data and analytics. And I would say while that's true across the whole business, it's specifically true in wholesale, which is the harder-to-place coverage and riskier insurable opportunities where Dave Obenauer and his team are really offering the ability to help better understand through analytics the true risk and educate the underwriter on behalf of the client. So in summary, very proud of the progress that's been made in a year. We've got another couple years of implementation, but really pleased with where we are at this point. I'll turn it back to Daryl. Thank you, Chris.

speaker
Darrell Bible
Chief Financial Officer

Continuing on slide 20, you will see our outlook. Looking to the second quarter, we expect average total loans held for investment to be up 4% to 6% annualized versus first quarter 19. Net charge-offs to be in a range of 35 to 45 basis points. And the provision is expected to match charge-offs plus loan growth. We also expect both the GAAP and core net interest margins to be down 4 to 6 basis points from the first quarter. B income to be up 5% to 7% versus light quarter and expenses to be flat to up 2% versus light quarter. And finally, an effective tax rate of 20% to 21%. Full year guidance has not changed, but we have updated the effective tax rate to 20% from a range of 20% to 21% previously. We will continue to grow revenue faster than expenses, driving positive operating leverage as we move towards The MOE closed with SunTrust. In summary, the quality of our earnings this quarter was excellent, resulting in record adjusted earnings, positive adjusted operating leverage versus last year, good long growth, excellent credit quality, and strong expense management. Now let me turn it back to Kelly for an update on the merger of Equals with SunTrust and closing remarks and Q&A.

speaker
Kelly King
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Daryl. So let me update you all on kind of where we are. As you know, we announced this combination on February 7th, and I would say that it is going extraordinarily well. Remember, we said that fundamental foundations for this is that it is highly synergistic, it is financially compelling, and it is transformative, and everything we've seen in the last couple of months just affirms that to be true. Bill and I and our teams are working together extraordinarily well. We started immediately having weekly meetings. We've already had eight weekly meetings where we are reviewing and planning for the merger. Just this past week, we had our first team building session at the BB&T Leadership Institute, which went extraordinarily well. So we're making really good progress in terms of the teams working together. We are working through the process of pulling the organization together in terms of how it will operate when we actually combine. So we've named integration leads across businesses and functions. We have outside consultants working with us on this, which is really, really helping. We're spending a lot of time focusing on risk oversight to make sure that we have that process nailed down very, very tightly. The merger application registration statement was filed in early March. We are working with Interbrand, a global leading brand agency, to help us develop the new name and branding. Our cultures are very similar. However, we are still planning a process to be sure that we pull the cultures together in terms of terminology and how we talk about ourselves, but the fundamentals we have. Thank you. Thank you. as a matter of our moral commitment to the marketplace. But we believe we can do even more. So that's very exciting. We've already done four. We've got a couple more to go. Feedback's been very, very positive. So in terms of next steps, the FRB and FDIC actually hold their public meetings to get feedback. Those are being held in Charlotte on April 25th and Atlanta on May 3rd. We will be submitting our joint capital plan and stress test in May. will be continuing to name additional business leaders as we move down through the organization. We expect to announce our new brand and new name in late second quarter. We will be finalizing the divestiture commitments and undertake the marketing process as we head into the second quarter and then the shareholder vote is expected in the early third quarter. We remain very confident in our projected $1.6 billion Net cost savings, remember that is net of technological investments and HR expenses. So that is going very, very well. So in terms of our quarter, it was overall, I think, a very good quarter. We're extremely pleased about our progress also in working towards creating the premier financial institution. So a great quarter, outstanding strategic combination announced with a combination with us and SunTrust. And it really positions us to thrive and a really challenging environment so we can continue to focus on making the world a better place to live and focusing on lighting the way to financial well-being. So with that, I'll turn it back to Rich.

speaker
Rich Batosh
Director, Investor Relations

Thank you, Kelly. Before we start the Q&A session, we recognize there will be a lot of interest in getting an update on emergent planning and what's happened since the announcement on February 7th, as well as our current expected timeline for things that unfold from here. So we'd like to have... The Q&A will be a balance of questions about our standalone BB&T results and trends from the first quarter and merger questions. Leanne, at this time, if you'd come back on the line and explain how our listeners can participate in the Q&A session.

speaker
Leanne
Operator

If you would like to ask a question, please signal by pressing star 1 on your telephone keypad. If you are using a speakerphone, please make sure your mute function is turned off to allow your signal to reach our equipment. A voice prompt on the phone line will indicate when your line is open. Please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up question. And again, press star 1 to ask a question. And we'll take our first question from John McDonald with Autonomous Research.

speaker
John McDonald
Analyst, Autonomous Research

Hi, good morning. I wanted to ask about just a standalone DB&T question. It feels like there's some cross-currents on the net interest income outlook, Daryl, with loan growth picking up but the NIM seeing some pressure. So I guess the question is, what's the source of the four to six basis points of NIM pressure next quarter if the deposit betas are going to slow? And how do the NIM and loan growth dynamics feed into your NII growth outlook for 2Q in the full year?

speaker
Darrell Bible
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, so this quarter, John, just like we have in other years, we have to record an entry in net interest income. It's basically in our deferred comp plans, and it's the earnings that are generated out of the funds that are invested, the dividends that we receive. This quarter it was $18 million. If you go back a year ago, it was $12 million. So last year it was worth three basis points. This year, four basis points. That basically just comes out of net interest income. With the loan growth that we're projecting across all major loan categories, even though margin will be down, we still expect net interest income to be up in a linked quarter basis between first and second. We do benefit by an additional day. So that helps. But if you look on a year-over-year basis, we still are expecting a net interest income year-over-year to be up in the 2% to 3% range, so still positive revenue, even with this margin guidance.

speaker
John McDonald
Analyst, Autonomous Research

Okay, great. And then in terms of the MOE, as you've dug deeper into the financials, how is your view of the initial Projection of earnings power changes at all. On announcement day, you showed an illustrative 2021 EPS of 559. Just kind of wondering what type of refinements, positive or negative, you might have made to that. I know DS4 came out and showed, for example, higher amortization on the one hand, but also higher purchase accounting. I know it's early, but any refinements you'd make to that initial crack of combined earnings power?

speaker
Kelly King
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

John, I'll give you a broad answer, and I'll give you the detail if you'd like, but no, nothing in aggregate. In a large combination like this, there are puts and takes. You get more detail, more specificity in terms of some of the projections, which early on, as you know, are necessarily broad-based and assumption-based. But we're too much into it, and I would say in terms of the aggregates, we feel as confident as before, if not a tad more confident. The combinations of the businesses, now that we've learned more, leave us very encouraged in terms of the complementary nature of these businesses. Remember, the big levers on this are the expense controls. We feel very good about that. But the long-term enduring benefits are around cross-levering. The specialty focus is on SunTrust over BB&T and BB&T over SunTrust. And the more we've learned, the better we feel about that. So I would say net positive.

speaker
Darrell Bible
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, I'll just reiterate that, John. So we talked about five major categories where we would achieve a savings. Facilities, retail, third-party vendors, technology, and shared services. As we have met as a new co-management team and we talk about these, we feel extremely confident that we can achieve the $1.6 billion net number. We're in the process of getting more information in detail about as our companies come together so we can plan to basically allocate by all the business lines so they will be held accountable for these savings. And I feel and believe that we are very confident in achieving the net savings of 1.6. As far as your accounting question goes, we really don't know what the rate environment is going to be when we close a transaction. We're looking at late third quarter or fourth quarter of close. So interest rates will have some say on what the potential mark on a portfolio is. It's probably less now with rates down a little bit, but I'm not sure which way rates are going to go across the curve by the time we close. We will basically be reporting both GAAP and cash earnings for the foreseeable future because we're going to have a lot of non-cash expenses. Recall non-cash expenses still fall to capital, so it is very accretive from a capital usage perspective, but we feel very confident in the projections that we gave a few months ago.

speaker
John McDonald
Analyst, Autonomous Research

Okay, that's very helpful. Thank you.

speaker
Leanne
Operator

And we'll take our next question from Betsy Grasick with Morgan Stanley.

speaker
Betsy Graseck
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Daryl, just on the capital comment that you just made, can you give us a sense as to how you're thinking through The combined capital position that you have, what does it mean for capital return over the next couple of CCAR cycles? I know part of that answer has to come with an assumption that the NPR that's out there is approved on advanced approaches banks, but maybe give us some color on if it is, if it isn't.

speaker
Darrell Bible
Chief Financial Officer

To put the two balance sheets together, we will have purchase accounting marks. What we said two months ago is that The capital ratio should be between 9.75% and 10%. And we would start capital actions in the amount of share repurchases once we achieve the 10% CET1 ratio. That's still the plan. Right now, we want to make sure that we get through all the conversions, and conversions are going to take probably one to two years. We want to make sure our earnings get to the really high levels that we can achieve that we have are out there projected. And at that point, then we'll revisit the leverage and capital of the company. But the combination of these two companies should be leading industry capital generation at the end of the day, which will help bolster our overall returns and returns back to the shareholders.

speaker
Betsy Graseck
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

So are you suggesting that capital return will be on hold until the conversions are done? I just want to make sure I understand that.

speaker
Darrell Bible
Chief Financial Officer

So we will basically, this is obviously the board has to approve this, but when we approve the transaction, both boards said that we wanted to get our capital ratios, CET 1 to 10, and then at that point we would do share repurchases.

speaker
Kelly King
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Okay. And Betsy, remember that it's a multifaceted set of variables that we have to consider and the board has to consider, you know, the progress with regard to the merger, you know, the combinations in terms of systems, etc., We also have to pay attention to what's going on in the economy and global geopolitical issues and all of that. And so for all of those reasons, we're being admittedly conservative when we say 10%. And there certainly is some upside opportunity with regard to capital utilization as we go forward. But as you know, we're conservative and we're going to be careful as we go through this because there's so much earnings power in this organization. As we go forward, we will be able to provide extremely good returns, in my view, for our shareholders, but it's important not to rush it in terms of, you know, over-leveraging the company in the beginning.

speaker
Darrell Bible
Chief Financial Officer

I mean, even at a 10% CE2 ratio, we will have leading industry return on tangible equity. We're talking 22%, Betsy. Would that be satisfactory?

speaker
Betsy Graseck
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

22%. 22 and a half. Do I hear 22 and a half? No, that's helpful. Okay. And so it really doesn't matter if the NPR goes through or not. Your 10% is your 10%. Yes.

speaker
John McDonald
Analyst, Autonomous Research

Yes.

speaker
Betsy Graseck
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Okay. All right. And then just separate question on the net cost saves that you've talked about. I know that's on a net basis. Are you thinking about disclosing what your expectations are for the gross investment to get those net costs saved at some point? When do you think you'll be communicating that to the street?

speaker
Kelly King
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

We still are putting together the plans as you would expect and trying to figure out what the net costs Thank you for joining us today. to make the kind of investments we talked about in terms of leaning forward with regard to innovation and technology investments because that's really the juice in this thing. It's the call, save, play. We get that, but that's not what we're really focused on. We're focused on positioning ourselves to be a leader in terms of innovation and technology so that we can compete effectively with the largest institutions in the country. And we believe there's enough economics in this to allow us to made those kind of investments from a long-term point of view and still generate robust returns for our shareholders.

speaker
Betsy Graseck
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Got it. Okay, so TBD and you'll let us know when you're there. So that, appreciate that. Okay, thank you. Thank you.

speaker
Leanne
Operator

And we'll take our next question from Mike Mayo with Wells Fargo Securities.

speaker
Mike Mayo
Analyst, Wells Fargo Securities

Hi. Since the merger, BB&T stock has performed only in line with the bank index and has underperformed the S&P 500. It seems that one issue is cultural risk. Kelly, you just said that the cultures are similar, but they certainly are not the same. So the question is, what are the cultural differences and how do you bridge the gap? And I'd highlight three areas. One would be the structure. It seems that BB&T runs relatively more by hierarchy than SunTrust. So how do you get Team A plus Team B to create a new Team C? Two would be engagement of employees. You've mentioned retention packages, but we all know that people can, quote, quit without leaving. In other words, how do you get their hearts into the job? And three would be the CEO risk. I get it that you and Bill are all smiles. You love each other. Everything's great. but how will you handle it during times when you don't agree? I mean, my wife and I got married and it was all great and then, you know, we had disagreements. It's like your socks are on the floor, you know, so we were able to confront that. I was, you know, not the only, I was good with my wife and I but you're going to have times you disagree. I think that seems to be important. How are you going to get along during those times than during this kind of engagement or honeymoon period?

speaker
Kelly King
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Well, thanks, Mike. I mean, I think that is kind of at the heart and soul of the issue. I would say that I feel really good on all those, but let me be direct. You know, with regard to your positioning that BB&T is more hierarchical, I would disagree with that. When you really look at these two organizations, and now we've lived very closely together for eight weeks, I know that's not like 25 years, but, you know, it's been a pretty are involved eight weeks. And Bill and I have known each other for a long time. I really think when you get into it, Mike, there's not any substantial difference. You know, we're both very focused on empowering our associates and leading from principle, leading from purpose, leading from mission. And so when you really get into it, I have not been able to find any kind of difference in terms of hierarchy or any other words that you might choose to use with regard to that. In terms of our associates, which is the most important, we feel really good about that. We've had very little, very, very little loss of associates at this point. And yes, we are using retention programs, etc. But much more importantly, Bill and I agreed day one that we're not taking anything for granted and we're not expecting our associates to just, you know, line up and be good soldiers. We take responsibility and all of our team does to re-recruit every day. And so we are recruiting our associates to remain a part of this team for the purpose of being a part of something that's very exciting, very dynamic. It's an organization that has and can continue at an enhanced basis, be a really good place to work. I mean, it can be a place where you can find your why for your purpose in life and align it with an organization that is deeply committed to purpose and why and making a difference in the world and lighting the way to financial well-being. I mean, all of that in these two organizations is extremely consistent. And, you know, I think it's going to be kind of hard to find somewhere that's any better and hard to find many places that are as good in terms of just pure opportunity. I mean, you know, I've told some people I wish I was 40 years old again. I mean, this is just so exciting in terms of thinking about where this organization can go, but not just economically. I'm talking more important in terms of the contribution we can make to the world. I mean, we can truly help our clients achieve economic success and financial security. You know, we can really, we have a fantastic associate benefit and value program and we can enhance it. We're working really hard with our communities to even enhance an already outstanding community involvement program. And so there is no meaningful difference in terms of how we do business. Our associates get that. And I don't expect to see any substantial reasons to leave, whether you're talking about technical or not, or mostly about having their heart and soul into the game. When I'm talking to our associates and when I'm getting feedback from the SunTrust associates, and Bill tells me the same thing, They're genuinely excited about this. They recognize we're putting together two great companies that can forge an opportunity for all of us to have a lot of fun, make the world a better place to be, and do some good stuff. Get up in the morning and decide about coming to work. That's what we're trying to do. The CEO risk, I know everybody talks, Mike, a lot about that, but Bill and I are getting on great. We've known each other a long time. We're both, as I say, North Carolina boys, although he's been basically all of his career in but look, I spent a lot of time in Atlanta too and there's no material difference between Georgia and North Carolina. We're all from kind of the base root cultures and we get along great. We're both kind of really, really purpose-driven individuals. We're both achievement-driven individuals. We're both deeply committed to our communities and our associates and while you might find slight differences in terms of our personalities, I really think we are an awful lot alike. I know we've got to work on our fist bumping. We've been practicing that. But other than that, there's no material difference between Bill and I and we're working together great.

speaker
Mike Mayo
Analyst, Wells Fargo Securities

So just one follow-up. Where do you think the stock market has it wrong? You've gotten zero credit in the stock market for your merger despite the synergies based on the inline performance with the bank index. Almost every investor that I speak with brings up the cultural risk, the differences in culture. Where do you think the stock market has it wrong when they're evaluating this aspect of the merger?

speaker
Kelly King
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Mike, as you know, I've been through one large MOA, although it was 20-plus years ago, but it's kind of very similar. And I'm seeing the same thing here that we saw then. The stock market doesn't have it wrong. The stock market just kind of has proved it. and I don't blame them for that. I think the smarter ones will take a bit more of a leap of faith and trust the experience that Bill and I have had over all these years and I've been at it 47 years. He's been at it like 39 years. We're not like just starting out. So I think the smart investors will recognize it but they'll assign a high probability to a successful venture and they'll invest early. Those that are more conservative will lay back and wait for us to prove it. It kind of doesn't matter to me. I'm not interested in short-run results. I'm not interested in short-term pops into stock. My commitment, Bill's commitment to the long-term by shareholders is to produce a good, steady, less volatile, long-term growing TSR, and that's exactly what we're going to do. And then last quick follow-up.

speaker
Mike Mayo
Analyst, Wells Fargo Securities

Are the SunTrust executives going to go through the BB&T Leadership Institute or We enjoyed that investor day that you had for us there, but how will that play a part in the new firm?

speaker
Kelly King
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Yes, I was glad you were there, Mike. And we were actually there last week. You may appreciate we spent a day and a half over there last week with our new executive team. We'll have multiple leadership team building sessions going forward. And all of the central executives have committed to go through, excitedly committed to, They loved it, frankly, and made me feel really good. But, yeah, they're definitely going to be going through that, and we'll be doing things together. So the Leadership Institute is a powerful organization in terms of helping people grow individually and as teams. And so far, I would say there's a 150% commitment to working together in those types of endeavors. All right. Thank you. You bet.

speaker
Leanne
Operator

And we'll take our next question from Erica Najarian with Bank of America. Hi, good morning.

speaker
Erica Najarian
Analyst, Bank of America

You've been pretty explicit about the purchase accounting adjustments on the loan side, but Daryl, I'm wondering if you could give us a better sense on the mark-to-market accounting that we could expect on the pro forma balance sheet on the securities and on wholesale funding. and also is there any flexibility to optimize the yields and the cost?

speaker
Darrell Bible
Chief Financial Officer

That's a great question, Erica. Being a former treasurer, this is a once in a lifetime opportunity. When the two companies come together, we're basically going to have half the balance sheet mark to market. So as that gets closer, our treasurer and Executive Management will decide if we need to adjust the interest rate risk profile or if we need to change some of the asset classes or mix up what we have. Everything, half the balance sheet will be available to basically buy or sell at that time or change positions. So I would view that as a huge opportunity for us and position us for the future. So I think as the time gets closer to when we know we're going to close, we'll be able to give you more color on that. But I think this is just an unbelievable opportunity for somebody to really position the company forward from that perspective.

speaker
Erica Najarian
Analyst, Bank of America

Got it. And in your S4, you noted that the $3.5 billion fair value adjustment, $3 billion of it was for credit and the rest, about $500 million, was for interest rates and other mark-to-market adjustments. I'm wondering, if you closed the deal in 2019, If SunTrust's loan portfolio runs better than a 2% loss rate, could you continue to reclassify that $3 billion or the PCI or non-accredible yield to non-PCI or accredible yield? And does CECL change any of this, even if you close in 2019? So when we came up with the...

speaker
Darrell Bible
Chief Financial Officer

and many more. Closing the transaction in 2019, we'll have your typical PCI amount of loans, and then the rest will have a fair value mark. When we adopt CECL in 2020, the PCI loans and some of the other loans will be reclassified into PCD, and then we will allocate a life of loss, the CECL reserve, to the remaining SunTrust and BB&T loans at that point in time. So in essence, if you look at just the SunTrust loans from a good book perspective, you'll have a discount amount on there that will creep through income, plus you'll have a life of loss reserve with CECL. So from that perspective, I would say the loan portfolio will be more than adequately covered. It's kind of really odd accounting. We have a comment letter into FASB, and I think some of other banks that have have done deals recently, have comment letters in the FASB, but that's the way we understand the accounting now is how it's going to play out.

speaker
Erica Najarian
Analyst, Bank of America

Got it.

speaker
Leanne
Operator

Thank you. And we'll take our next question from Matt O'Connor with Deutsche Bank.

speaker
Matt O'Connor
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Good morning. Daryl, back in Investor Day, you talked about running down a securities book and using that to fund loans. kept the securities relatively flat on average basis for this last quarter. And I understand that you can kind of reposition this when the deal closes, but what's your thought process between now and then in terms of the securities book?

speaker
Darrell Bible
Chief Financial Officer

You know, I'd really like to get clarity on the NPR and tailoring, Matt. I mean, assuming that we stay at 70% LCR or go to 85%, that's really going to dictate how much securities we need. We have the advantage that both of us have capacity at the Federal Home Loan Bank, so we can do letters of credit there. We can also pledge to public funds to kind of optimize the balance sheet from that perspective. But I wouldn't anticipate us changing our investment portfolio right now until we get approval from the proposed NPR that's out there right.

speaker
Matt O'Connor
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Okay. And then just circling back on some of the discussion about the cost saves and the investments, Get us more information down the road. Do you guys have an estimate on when we might get more details on what's driving the cost saves beyond just a couple of the bullet points and the numbers behind it? Do you just have a sense of when you'll have that information for us?

speaker
Darrell Bible
Chief Financial Officer

I would say we will continue to work on that as we put the two companies together and we have financials. We have more clarity. We are in the midst of selecting the layers of management from executive management on down. That will create some cost savings from that perspective just because you've got duplications and a lot of business managers from that perspective. So that will kind of start where some of the savings are. But it's going to really evolve over time. We really aren't looking at and can't really look at any vendor information until we close the transaction due to antitrust. So that's just out there at a very high level. and as the branch systems come together and we'll have some branch closures, we'll have more cover on what those savings relate to. Shared services, there's a lot of overlap on shared services. As business models are selected and locations are selected, that's going to impact closures on those areas and facilities. So I think there's a wealth of areas that we'll be able to piece together to achieve a net $1.6 billion number to leave enough for technology and other investments in the company. So we think we can have industry-leading profitability returns as well as still increase and ramp up our technology investments in the company.

speaker
Matt O'Connor
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Okay. All right. Thank you.

speaker
Leanne
Operator

And we'll take our next question from John Pancari with Evercore ISI.

speaker
John Pancari
Analyst, Evercore ISI

Morning. On the standalone side, on the loan growth, I wanted to see if you can give a little bit more color around your outlook. What gives you the confidence in the 4% to 6% in the quarter annualized trend that you can see in the second quarter? Where are you seeing the greatest strength and acceleration in production? Thanks.

speaker
Clark Starnes
Chief Risk Officer

Hey, John. This is Clark Starnes. You have to remember we do have defined seasonality in the first quarter, so you saw that particularly in our indirect businesses, such as our Sheffield portfolio, our premium finance, our mortgage warehouse lending. The projections right now, as you'll see, that bounced back nicely in the second quarter. We anticipate we're going to have good mortgage lending growth and also very strong overall C&I, so those would really be the drivers and Based on those dynamics around seasonality and what we see in the pipeline and know we're going to book, we have a lot of confidence we'll get the number.

speaker
Darrell Bible
Chief Financial Officer

I think we're forecasting every category to be up one quarter, but CRE. So it'll be across the board contribution.

speaker
John Pancari
Analyst, Evercore ISI

Got it. Okay, thanks. And then separately on the combined basis, I know you had indicated that they're more broadly no big change in earnings power expectation per John's question. But I also want to see, can you talk specifically about your 51% combined efficiency ratio expectation as well as the 22% return on tangible common equity expectation? Any change to those given the backdrop, the rate environment, et cetera?

speaker
Kelly King
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

John, we don't see any changes based on everything we see now. Those Those numbers were derived very mathematically based off of reasonably conservative assumptions and nothing we see today or looking forward changed the fundamentals of those assumptions.

speaker
John Pancari
Analyst, Evercore ISI

Got it. Okay. Thanks, Kelly.

speaker
Leanne
Operator

And we'll take our final question from Ken Huston with Jefferies.

speaker
Ken Huston
Analyst, Jefferies

Thanks, good morning. One more merger-related question. Darrell, as we think ahead to the closing quarter, one of the toughest things is always to kind of range what the ending up NIM looks like. Granted that there will be some differences, as you already mentioned, about where the purchase accounting ends up. Do you have a general understanding of how we should think about what the pro forma NIM looks like, given that you guys are at 350-ish or so and SunTrust is in the upper 320s, plus any PAA or credits and stuff to help us just with that starting point. Thanks.

speaker
Darrell Bible
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, so we're going to be reporting both the core net interest margin and reported or GAAP report net interest margin. And there will probably be a wide variance between the two because you're marking the market basically half the balance sheet. We'll give you more specifics as we get closer. Our core margins overall should be pretty much simply just putting our two margins together today. 330s plus or minus would probably be a good ballpark number. As far as the reported gap margin, there's a lot of puts and takes in there. We'll give you a lot of color and a lot of You know, tables and basically disclose how all that's going to play out because it will be complex as we put the two together and we just have to be very transparent with you and show you how it's going to work and just how it's going to run off over time from that perspective. You know, as I said earlier though, earlier question, We will have the opportunity to basically reposition the balance sheet if we want to do that at some point. That could potentially help and drive core margin at that point, but it's too early to know that right now.

speaker
Ken Huston
Analyst, Jefferies

Okay, understood. And then back to the core question, Kelly had mentioned Thanks, guys. So I think, Ken, that

speaker
Kelly King
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

having watched these things over a number of cycles, you get these spurts, you know, where everybody kind of price insensitive for a while and then they look at it and then they become, you know, price sensitive and there's a spurt of time, you know, 60, 90 days where they're much more sensitive and then they kind of go back to running their business again and they're not as sensitive. So you kind of go ebb and flow. What I think is that we just saw Over the last 90 days or so, a squirt up in sensitivity. But with rates stable to back down kind of now, I think it's probably going to move into – you won't go back down in terms of sensitivity, but you won't see a rise up in sensitivity, if that makes sense. So I think you will see less focus on betas and moving money around over the next period of time than you've seen over the last 90 to 120 days. Now, if there's a dramatic shift in rates one way or the other, that will change that. Nobody expects that. I certainly don't expect that. So I think you're getting ready to go into a period of less price sensitivity focus in terms of moving money around.

speaker
John McDonald
Analyst, Autonomous Research

Got it. Thank you.

speaker
Leanne
Operator

And that does conclude our Q&A session today. I would now like to hand things back over to Rich Batosh for any additional or closing remarks.

speaker
Rich Batosh
Director, Investor Relations

Okay. Thank you, Leanne. And thanks, everyone, for joining us today. I hope you have a great day. Thank you.

speaker
Leanne
Operator

And that does conclude today's conference. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

-

-

Investor presentation