speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Hello, and thank you for standing by. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to Triple Flag Precious Metal T1 2024 conference call. All lines has been placed in mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there'll be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star, followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, again, press star one. I would now like to turn the conference over to Sean Osborne,

speaker
Sean Osborne
Chief Executive Officer

chief executive officer please go ahead thanks jericho good morning everyone and thank you for joining us to discuss triple flag's first quarter of 2024 results today i'm pleased to be joined by our cfo sheldon vandercoy and for the first time our director of mining james leal who will join us for the q a portion of the call James is a mining engineer and is responsible for portfolio management and supports technical diligence at Triple Flag. As a background, James has over 20 years of experience across mine sites, head offices, and consulting, most recently as head of Canada at MiningPlus. Triple Flag achieved a new quarterly GEO sales record to start the year, with sales of roughly 28,000 gold equivalent ounces, resulting in 48 million US dollars of EBITDA during the quarter. The strong performance is positioned as well to achieve our 2024 geo sales guidance of 105 to 115,000 ounces. Most notably, in line with our guidance for a stronger 2024 due to higher gold grades from the E31 open pits at North Parks, a flagship asset delivered a nearly 90% increase in geo sales quarter on quarter. We continue to expect these pits to deliver high grades through at least 2024 and 2025, and look forward to a feasibility study for the E22 underground ore body, which our partner Evolution expects to complete by the end of Q2 of this year. E22 is expected to represent another source of high-grade gold ore at North Parks in the medium to long term. In March of 2024, we surfaced further value from the Mavericks portfolio with a settlement agreement reached with Queer Mining on the Kensington NSR Royalty, which has commenced paying and will be discussed later in the presentation. Finally, I'd be remiss not to mention the current favorable precious metals price environment, which on the back of sustained central bank buying, Chinese retail purchases, and seemingly never-ending geopolitical uncertainty has remained at near record levels for gold prices and solid silver prices. It's been a great time to have continued meaningful GEO growth in our portfolio coincide with a period of strong price support. We expect to deliver our eighth consecutive year of record GEO sales in 2024, and with the first quarter of high-grade growth from North Park's now achieved, we look forward to the prospect of continued higher gold and silver prices on our portfolio's cash flow per share. I'll now turn it over to Sheldon to discuss our financials for the first quarter of the year.

speaker
Sheldon Vandercoy
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Sean. As noted, we had a strong first quarter with the portfolio producing just under 28,000 GEOs, which puts Triple Flag right on track to achieve our 2024 guidance. As expected, North Parks and Cerro Lindo are the two largest contributors to Q1 production, with North Parks showing year-over-year growth due to the higher gold grades realized. In Q1, we also recorded our first revenues from the Kensington Royalty, which we acquired as part of the Mavericks portfolio. The strong Q1 production and the record quarterly gold price resulted in record levels of revenue and adjusted EBITDA, significantly higher than the prior year period. Operating cash flow per share is the metric that I am most focused on. Our operating cash flow before working capital and taxes increased over 22% as compared to the prior year period. But as a short-term timing matter, our working capital increased by $6.5 million in Q1, resulting in bottom line operating cash flow in the quarter that was unchanged from the prior year. Typically, our adjusted EBITDA and our operating cash flow track quite closely, and I expect that this will continue to be the case for 2024 as a whole, as the shorter-term working capital changes reverse. For 2024, we are well positioned to drive increases in operating cash flow per share, as we are realizing higher production levels from our existing portfolio, and the higher gold price is translating into increased cash flows. In Q1, the gold price averaged $2,070 per ounce, a quarterly record. But in Q2 to date, the gold prices averaged over $2,300 an ounce, a significant increase over Q1. We view a growing dividend as a core part of our capital allocation strategy. In this quarter, our dividend has been maintained at 21 cents on an annualized basis. I'm proud that we have increased our dividend every year since our IPO. We will continue to assess the potential for further increases going forward. In addition to our dividend, we also returned over $3.5 million to shareholders via share buybacks in Q1. Last, I'd like to comment on our balance sheet. We exited the quarter with net debt of just $30 million, or less than one quarter of cash flow. A clean balance sheet, robust cash flows, and our revolving credit facility of over $500 million gives us the financial capacity to deploy capital to drive further growth for the benefit of shareholders. Going to the next slide. We continue to highlight 3 key aspects of our investment thesis, namely asset diversification, precious metals focus and a portfolio, which is predominantly centered in Australia and the Americas. Our asset diversification is well understood. So, continuing on Sean's earlier comment about a strong precious metals environment, I would like to highlight triple flags 98% exposure to precious metals and Q1 2024. This pure play exposure ranks among the highest in the sector with a meaningful portion weighted to silver at 34%. I feel fortunate to have this level of exposure given the many favorable tailwinds for both gold and silver in the near to medium term. Finally, our portfolio is predominantly located in mining friendly jurisdictions, a key criteria as we look to expand our portfolio through acquisition. By geography, the country with the single greatest contribution remains Australia. Notably, during the quarter, another one of our Australian assets was featured as a core part of an M&A transaction, with Westgold announcing a friendly takeover of Corora to operate the Beta Hunt mine. We are pleased to have the cash flow and exploration potential for Beta Hunt spotlighted by Westgold. That's you, Sean.

speaker
Sean Osborne
Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Sheldon. The core part of the 2024 story for Triple Flag is our anchor asset at North Parks. To give the market better context to the impact of this expected grade improvement versus historical results, this slide highlights mill head grades at North Parks over the past three full years of our stream ownership from 2021 to 2023, which has ranged from 0.13 grams a ton to 0.17 grams a ton. Therefore, the Q1 2024 process grade of 0.28 grams a ton is undoubtedly a significant step up from the past, and Evolution Mining has done a great job in delivering what was promised. On the next slide, an asset that has been a clear winner for Triple Flag from prior years Mavericks transaction is the Kensington NSR. Kensington is operated by Quo Mining, which commenced production in 2010 with over a million ounces produced to date and is expected to have a minimum five-year reserve life by the end of 2024. The mine is located in Alaska, a jurisdiction that is no stranger to mining. With the settlement agreement now executed, the CNSR commenced paying in Q1 with further share consideration from CORE in settlements of royalties and arrears. As part of the settlement agreement, we received roughly 737,000 shares of CORE which we divested earlier in the second quarter of 2024 in the open market. We expect to receive a further fixed value of 3.75 million US dollars worth of shares of Quora in the first quarter of 2025, which will be the final share consideration received under the agreement. We look forward to working with Quora as operating partners for the years to come on Kensington. For the end, we have had a strong start to 2024 with a new record quarter of GEOs and earnings that puts us nicely on track to achieving our guidance of 105,000 to 115,000 GEOs for the year. This represents our eighth consecutive projected year of record growth for our business and builds on the 34% cumulative annual growth rate and operating cash flow this team has delivered over the past seven years. We highlighted at the end of the last year a period of substantial growth from our cornerstone asset in Australia, North Parks, for the next couple of years. So to be able to demonstrate a nearly 90% increase in GEOs for the first quarter from this asset while delivering another robust performance from Cerro Lindo as a top five asset in our portfolio is something we're very pleased with. We manage a large portfolio of 234 assets. The core assets as anchors to our portfolio and guidance are clearly delivering for our investors and we've seen the power of a large portfolio being demonstrated with the Kensington Royalty starting to contribute to EOS this past quarter. The two underperforming assets we've highlighted in our release today have been well communicated in the past, have been factored into our 2024 guidance, and we provided additional disclosure to make it clear that we're commercially well-placed if they continue to underperform to maximize value for our investors. So finally, with our ample firepower of roughly 670 million US dollars, in available liquidity, as well as a cornerstone base of 32 producing assets, we're nicely diversified and well positioned to benefit from the current metal price environment as we continue our relentless pursuit of growth and value per share for our owners. With the board and management team being large shareholders ourselves, we're completely aligned in ensuring the best outcomes and are excited about the significant opportunity ahead for our portfolio to deliver further value. So with that, Jericho, I'm happy to open the floor to questions.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

I'm open for your questions. So to ask a question this time, please press star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. We're going to pause for just a moment to compile the Q&A roster. First question comes from the line of Cosmos 2 with CIBC. Please, go ahead.

speaker
Cosmos 2
Analyst, CIBC

Hi, thanks, Sean, Sheldon, and team. Maybe my first question is on North Park, your anchor asset. As you mentioned, there's going to be a feasibility study to be released by the NQ2 on the E22 underground ore body. Could you maybe share with us what yours or our expectations could be And what might be the next steps for the operator and potential timeline as well, Sean?

speaker
Sean Osborne
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, Koz, hi. It's good to hear from you. Koz, I'm going to really defer this question until Evolution release their study in the middle of the year. And the reason is we've got a great new partnership. It's not really appropriate for me to front run it. I think all I can say in terms of expectations I think we covered this on the last call we had a while ago. You've got a group here with a really impeccable track record in that jurisdiction with Cal. My expectation is they've been very successful in taking their time, investing in exploration prudently. You know there's over a thousand square kilometer package here, all bodies open at depth. They've been very good at, I think, studying astutely. I think we touched on previously that Even though there's an existing study that would have inherited on E22 with yet another block cave, they were looking at a sub-level cave as an alternative. I have no knowledge at this stage which I can share, but I think that would give them perhaps earlier access and would benefit us if indeed they went that route. We're looking forward to seeing that release. I think if you look at the public disclosures, as you'd expect with Jake and Laurie, Their real focus is on just integrating the business well, which I believe they've done very successfully, getting these studies done, and then just settling into delivering. For us, what I look for is always risk on a transition, as someone who's been in a lot of mining companies over the years, and it's stabilization through integration. You can see from these results they haven't missed a beat. I think they've done very well. James, I don't know if there's anything you wish to add, but...

speaker
James Leal
Director of Mining

I think you captured that well, Sean.

speaker
Sean Osborne
Chief Executive Officer

Thanks.

speaker
James Leal
Director of Mining

Great.

speaker
Cosmos 2
Analyst, CIBC

Thanks, Sean.

speaker
Moderator
Conference Moderator

Anything else?

speaker
Cosmos 2
Analyst, CIBC

Yeah, for sure. Maybe switching gears a little bit. Sean, as you mentioned, it's good to see strength in the gold and silver prices year to date. My question is, how does that impact the opportunity set in terms of acquisitions, new stream and royalty acquisitions? As Sheldon mentioned, you have a strong balance sheet, $640 million undrawn on your line of credit. Is that sufficient? What type of size? Does that speak to the size of these opportunities that you might be looking at?

speaker
Sean Osborne
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, because it's an important and sort of evergreen question. I know some investors... look at a high gold price environment and they kind of get confused by it because they say that must mean that there's a fire hose of capital available to gold miners. And clearly there's not a lot of business, therefore, for streaming and royalty companies to do. And that's really not the reality. I think if you consider that nearly 70% of our answers come from polymetallics, that's not by accident. I think those sorts of transactions are very symbiotic, as we've discussed before. We are seeing a lot of activity of that nature. We had a board meeting yesterday, and I think we've highlighted there that I think it's fair to say it's probably the busiest deal pipeline we've seen in our eight-year existence. And a number of those, we've got some smaller transactions that are nice tuck-ins at decent rates of return where we were exclusive on. And that doesn't mean we'll conclude them, but I think we've got a good line of sight on those. And then there are larger ones out there, which really are substantial in size, many, many hundreds of millions. You can hear from Sheldon's comments that we have ample firepower, but I think part of our consideration is not only the fit for the portfolio as shareholders, but very much what does the portfolio mix look like? So I think the bulk of what we're looking at, we can easily cover with our existing financing. There are some where we would perhaps look to syndicate just purely from a portfolio mix if indeed it went that route. But my feeling at this stage is that just given this macro environment, we're seeing really good deal flow activity. And I don't believe it's an anomaly. I suspect in this environment with rates seemingly being the way they are for some time to come, I think it's a particularly good outlook for deal flow for us. Sheldon, is there anything you'd wish to add to that? I think that covers it quite well, Sean.

speaker
Cosmos 2
Analyst, CIBC

And then, Sean, maybe one last question. Going through your income statement, I saw that there was an expected credit loss of $6.851 million as a charge. You kind of touched on it. There's some operators that have had some financial issues. I'm just trying to look for more details on it and what are they related to.

speaker
Sean Osborne
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, because I'll not show them to comment, but I want to preface this a little by saying, you know, I think an organization that is only looking at your things is not, you know, we've got to balance risk and reward. And the whole focus here for us is staying true to the model, which I think we've demonstrated over years, and managing a portfolio. The numbers you're mentioning in particular are one of over 140 assets we acquired during the Mavericks transaction that we knew was problematic at the time. We're very happy with that transaction. We've announced Kensington. I think we delivered our synergies and it's gone quite well. But you know, this is one of the examples we've been working with the management team to try and support them while really focusing on value. You'll see, I think with our track record as well, we've not dallianced with the idea of providing a lot of additional equity and other kinds of financing. We really have stayed true to our model, but you know, occasionally as part of the model of the portfolio management, We do have, you know, impacts like that. And we're very clear. I mean, you would have seen in the last period with I think we took a charge at the end of of the Renard experience. And that one, we just, you know, for example, done right back. We tend to try and err on the side of conservatism. But Sean, do you want to pick it up?

speaker
Sheldon Vandercoy
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, sure. Thanks, Sean. And thanks. Thanks, guys. Because that relates, as Sean alluded to, to an expected credit loss that we recorded for reflecting our investment in the Moss mine. And it's run by Elevation Gold. Basically, Elevation has been quite public that they've experienced some cash flow difficulties and that they're actually looking at different alternatives. At the end of the day, this is a producing gold mine in the United States, a fantastic gold price environment. But they've been a little tight on cash flow as they branched up the new pad. We just wanted to be conservative. We wanted to take this allowance. We'll see how their process plays out. I can't really speak too much for that, but we continue to monitor it quite closely. And I will add that we're in first secured position on everything there. So we just wanted to be conservative and take this expected credit loss and see how this matter plays out.

speaker
Sean Osborne
Chief Executive Officer

And because I think the last thing just for materialities and context for some of the audience on the call, we're talking about one of our 234 assets that is the NAV, I believe consensus NAV is in the teens. So given a $3 billion market cap right now, that hopefully is useful context.

speaker
Cosmos 2
Analyst, CIBC

And to confirm, Sean and Sheldon, so I guess The stream and also the royalty and the promissory notes, they're all secured on the assets of Moss or Elevation Gold. So you do have a right to recover your investment, but you are just trying to be conservative.

speaker
Sheldon Vandercoy
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, that's right, Klaus. We're first secured on that. The stream, again, it's a silver stream on a gold-silver project in the United States. But when we look at the total burden on the property, we think that, you know, the credit loss is just the prudent way to go. And that's, you know, so we've taken that and we try to be quite upfront about that.

speaker
Cosmos 2
Analyst, CIBC

Yeah. And I understand your point, Sean, about materiality. So for sure. Those are my questions. And thanks once again.

speaker
Moderator
Conference Moderator

Thanks, Chris. Thank you. Great questions.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Greg Barnes with TD Securities. Please, go ahead.

speaker
Greg Barnes
Analyst, TD Securities

Yeah, thank you. Sean, can you talk a little bit about what the grade profile does look like at North Cox for the rest of 2024? And you said higher grade in 25 and 26. Just give us some idea of what we should be looking at there.

speaker
Moderator
Conference Moderator

Morning, Greg.

speaker
Sean Osborne
Chief Executive Officer

I'm going to ask James just to comment with him, you know, once this close extension gets

speaker
James Leal
Director of Mining

Yeah, thank you very much. Yes, as discussed, the E31 south and north, they're continuing to ramp up. You should see that continue into Q2 and level off plus three to four. And then south will start to continue into 2025 and then start to ramp down going into the fourth quarter of 2025. And then after that, then it's E22, which we're waiting for that study to be released. And then that'll be the next higher grade zone once that's constructed.

speaker
Sean Osborne
Chief Executive Officer

And Greg, you may recall, you know, we've shared some of the grades like E22 from memory with something like 0.39 grams a ton. You know, so that really was the, you could sort of think of that when that becomes the mainstay of the mine plan as really being at the sort of levels we expect to see this year. continuing for many years beyond. I think this year for some may have been a show me for North Park. So I think hopefully this quarter is a helpful indicator of what we've been talking about for gold generation from the asset.

speaker
Greg Barnes
Analyst, TD Securities

OK, I just, James, you broke up a little bit. I couldn't really hear what what's happening in Q2 and Q3. I think that was this year.

speaker
James Leal
Director of Mining

Oh, so for Q2 we're expecting QOs to increase again. as well as into Q3 and then leveling off and then going into 2025 before ramping down later in that year with the pits and the higher grade material.

speaker
Greg Barnes
Analyst, TD Securities

Did you get that, Greg? So higher GEOs in Q2 and Q3, then flatlining of that level in Q4, I think for 2024, and then 2025.

speaker
Sean Osborne
Chief Executive Officer

Sort of continuing on. Yeah, I think the only thing on that is, as you'd appreciate it, we get like, I don't know, was it 13 deliveries roughly? They're fairly lumpy during the year. So, you know, there are shoulder phenomena that we do get with this. We try to factor that into our guidance. So, you know, you need to see through that as you think about the year versus the quarter. Gotcha. Thank you.

speaker
Moderator
Conference Moderator

Yeah. Thanks, Greg. Anything else? Nope. Nope. That's it for me. Okay. Thank you. Our next question comes from the line with . Please go ahead.

speaker
Tanya
Analyst

Hello, is that me?

speaker
Moderator
Conference Moderator

Tonya, I think it was. Yeah, good morning.

speaker
Tanya
Analyst

Okay. All right, good morning. I just didn't know who that was, so. Thank you for taking my question, and congrats on a good quarter. I'm just going to follow up on Greg's question. Is North Park the only asset within your portfolio that is looking to have this stronger performance and everything else is relatively equal? I'm just trying to see if there's any other assets that I should think about as a stronger second half.

speaker
Sean Osborne
Chief Executive Officer

No, Sonia, I think that's a good way to look at it. You know, I think it's something we've made no bones about is You know, we don't just take the aggregation of the public guidance of the operating assets in our portfolio and sort of put those out there. You know, our guidance is sort of handicapped accordingly. And I think we telegraphed quite well in advance last year that we were expecting this sort of growth to, you know, come from E31 and from North Park this year. So, you know, it's a meaningful catalyst from a very well-established multi-decade long mine, which, you know, I think should be well celebrated and recognized. And then the growth is not coming from, you know, Hail Mary stuff we're waiting to come in later. And, you know, just to beat the dead horse on this, but, you know, I think that is the beauty of the portfolio effect on this, again, is little things like Kensington. We have over 200 of these things that it's some different time horizons that are not captured in our guidance. You know, we do expect some subset of these to also represent good growth for our investors. But I think the way you and Greg are thinking about it is exactly right.

speaker
Tanya
Analyst

Okay, thank you. And then Sheldon, can you remind me just the book value of Moss and Pumpkin Hollow, the two ones that are, you know, with not so strong operators?

speaker
Sheldon Vandercoy
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, so Tanya, Moss, the stream has a book value of just under, it's around 18, $19 million. Pumpkin Hollow, the stream, has a book value of $85 million. Okay.

speaker
Tanya
Analyst

And then how should I think of just this cash flow that you're generating? How should I think about your balance between paying off your debt, your share buyback, and potentially growing your dividends? Maybe that's over to you, Sean, for that one.

speaker
Sean Osborne
Chief Executive Officer

Tanya Kessler- Actually i'll give sheldon that my keys he's marinades in it pretty much every day.

speaker
Moderator
Conference Moderator

Tanya Kessler- yeah.

speaker
Sheldon Vandercoy
Chief Financial Officer

Tanya Kessler- yeah so so tanya. Tanya Kessler- Maybe start with like the first I think in best use of our cash flow is a creative transactions for shareholders and you know, as you know, we're always looking at things and and hoping to deploy and right now we're we're well positioned for that. The dividend, we've increased that every year since we've been public. I would expect that to continue. We're probably at a similar pace, but we'll wait for further in the year for any sort of update on that. As you get cash flow and you have net debt, it's really simple. You just pay down your net debt, but we're quite comfortable drawing on our revolver to make acquisitions and to add value to shareholders that way. We don't like share dilution, so we'd look to use the revolver strategically and then pay down over time. NCIB, we've been quite active over time, and we continue to use that to view that opportunistically. Again, it's returning capital to the shareholder, and our feedback from shareholders has been positive on that front.

speaker
Tanya
Analyst

Okay. And then maybe, Sean, to you, just on Cosmos' question on the M&A environment, transaction environment. So did I understand correctly that the larger transactions, the 500 million plus that are spoken about out there, and there's like a couple, I heard three, four, maybe even five in that sort of range. Are you looking at those in terms of your ability to do them only syndicated, or would you also look at doing those on your own?

speaker
Sean Osborne
Chief Executive Officer

no so it's a it's a great question i think firstly um you know i was looking at some of the transcripts of you know franco's calls you know they've telegraphed it and i think you may have covered the question at the time and i think what we're seeing is very very similar to you know i think what was articulated there so there's no shortage there's always development stuff um you know you've got to be very discerning how much of that exposure you want but i think for the first time in perhaps since our existence we are seeing these sort of half a billion plus or thereabouts type transactions re-emerging that I think we last saw in sort of 2014, 2015. I think the one thing that's different, which we've sort of highlighted with our board, if you take yourself back to that time, and you remember we did one of these at Barrick when I was there at CFO, rates were close to zero. And, you know, commodity prices or these gold prices were at nearly cyclical lows for quite some time. We are not in that same space. So we're spending a lot of time thinking through the risk reward and portfolio fit. I'd say with a couple that we are active on, we are comfortable that the check size is one that we would easily finance. And, you know, these are cash generating assets, so it actually adds to our funding capacity and we wouldn't be over-levered. The other one is one where it's not clear whether or not it's just a thing on cost of capital and fits. or indeed they would want to go for size. I believe we're more than covered, and if not, we may be a syndicate member. What we won't do is pursue growth for growth's sake. None of these are must-dos for us at all. I mean, you can see our growth that we have in the existing portfolio. This is purely a question of does it fit with our strategy, and will it add value over time?

speaker
Tanya
Analyst

Okay, so from that, should I be thinking that, you know, sort of these larger ones would be ones that likely could be syndicated and you would, you know, participate in that, but the majority of what you're looking at would be sub $500 million? Would that be a fair way of thinking about it?

speaker
Sean Osborne
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, I think that's a reasonable way of looking at it. It's hard on, you know, we were talking in generalities. The specifics are so different in each of these cases. each with their sort of real benefits and complexities, as you'd expect. So it's really hard for me to comment any further. But I think we are, at the size we're at and with what we have and I think what we've demonstrated, I remember we did North Parks at $550 million a few years ago. At the time, that was the largest just pure pressure streaming deal in this space. I think still to this day, we're starting to see these larger things come out. So if the North Parks emerged tomorrow, I think we'd easily cover that off. But yeah, so hopefully that gives you a flavor, Tonya.

speaker
Tanya
Analyst

All right. I gathered plus 500 you could do on your own as well.

speaker
Sean Osborne
Chief Executive Officer

All right. Yeah, yeah. That's right. Yeah.

speaker
Tanya
Analyst

Yeah. Okay. No, I think that's it from my side.

speaker
Sean Osborne
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, sorry. Maybe just to nuance on this. If this was that sort of check size and you were funding something which had a ramp associated and cash flow many years out, It's a very different prospect to an operating asset with maybe some substantial immediate cash flow.

speaker
Moderator
Conference Moderator

There's a bunch of that.

speaker
Sean Osborne
Chief Executive Officer

It's a pretty interesting environment.

speaker
Tanya
Analyst

Yeah, and I would assume that the smaller ones would be further out, non-producing development type.

speaker
Sean Osborne
Chief Executive Officer

No, actually, no, that's not the case. I hope to give you some news in the months ahead, but No, we're seeing, you know, this environment is not super supportive of single asset producers, private businesses and others. I think that even though we've perhaps seen a bit of a reduction in some of the inflation and margin compression that the sectors experience, I think there's a lot of guys out there who are looking at their equity and saying, like, what happened? You know, gold's had a run and we've been left behind. So I think we are seeing some really decent rate of return good optionality smaller opportunities that are just great tuck-ins and yeah we're active on some of those too okay good look forward to seeing more thank you yeah thanks next question comes from the line of blossom window it's boa securities please go ahead

speaker
Blossom Window
Analyst, BofA Securities

Thank you, operator, and good morning, Sean and team. Thanks for taking the question for the presentation today. I'd like to ask about Pumpkin Hollow and two points on that. I mean, one, obviously, I mean, I think they require some more financing and wanted to understand whether or not Triple Flag would consider applying additional capital to that situation. And I think in the context of you guys still believing in the asset longer term, correct me if I'm wrong, and then longer term, I mean, when should we kind of think about putting some production from that asset into our model, particularly vis-a-vis your long-term guidance?

speaker
Sean Osborne
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, Wilson, it's, yeah, as you know, this has been an asset that has been in our growth outlook for some time. It's one of our five larger projects um you know projects that we were funding into production that's it's been quite notable and it's sort of struggles with inflation and and uh liquidity from time to time so your point we we lost supported us in in you know a couple of years ago really with with the royalty and some funding that was secured in line with our model i don't see a scenario here where we look to continue to add to the burden, if you will, of the asset and to continue to fund this through. We will focus on, if we do any capital, be small in this scenario where they don't secure the funding they need. And really, it's just really to optimize value from our perspective. You know, I think there's nearly a billion dollars of sunk capital on a copper asset in a permitted situation with a fully developed underground mine and a shovel-ready open pit. I think it's an intrinsically valuable situation. So I can't tell you sitting here today whether the party or parties that they're engaged with, which would provide that remaining capital and continue to grow the asset, will come to fruition. I guess what we really wanted to communicate was update you on that and just make it clear that what our situation, our ranking would be, depending which fork in the road this was to go down. But you shouldn't expect us to be like a big equity check to get this into production or something. Sheldon, I don't know if there's anything you'd add.

speaker
Sheldon Vandercoy
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, thanks, Sean. Thanks, Lawson. Yeah, so Nevada Copper, they've disclosed that they're in discussions with another party and that they need more capital. So I think everyone knows that. We certainly do believe in the asset, Copper, United States, all the sum capital, all those reasons. But that said, we're not operators. We have no desire to be operators. So we're not going to be the source of the funding to bring this into production. You know, we just we probably we've invested our piece. And as Sean said, we don't want to add to the to the burden there. So hopefully that gives you the direction. Know that.

speaker
Sean Osborne
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. And also, I think the last thing I look forward to hearing more at your conference next week, but I think it's probably the best copper backdrop I can remember in some time. So, you know, you would think if they could solve the liquidity situations and you got a little bit acid in this backdrop. In the United States, that should be good, right?

speaker
Blossom Window
Analyst, BofA Securities

Yeah, makes sense to me and I appreciate the clarity. It's very helpful. Could I also just ask on your thinking around corporate M&A? Obviously your last experience, I mean, at least in my view, I think was was very successful. Are you still looking at that as an avenue for growth going forward? And do you see opportunity in the current environment?

speaker
Sean Osborne
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, I think to your point, I spent a large part of my career in companies like Extrata that really grew substantially through M&A. I worked on the BSV Bulletin merger, for example, and the power of people not falling in love with their assets because I think everybody likes to know more about their businesses than others. They always think that their children are smarter and better looking than everyone else's. But if you just focus on value, I think at any given time, you have a very good line of sight and you should be focusing as we all do on the organic pipeline, your ability to transact. But if you go back to your point to Mavericks, we just come through an environment of a couple of years where we'd normally do a few hundred million dollars a year. And we saw billions get deployed in mostly development stage assets with very low returns versus an M&A transaction that, you know, that was accretive, made sense for both sets of shareholders, struck at a low premium that really delivered synergies and made value. I don't know why that isn't an obvious thing more for the sector. So directly to your question, yes, we're always looking at the universe of the possible. There's only so many toys to play with. And just to reiterate the obvious, I'm very happy as a shareholder whether that means we're an acquirer or an acquiree. But I think usually the social barriers are the largest to consolidation in the sector. I do think that the investor scale requirements these days for it to be relevant are higher, like notably higher than when we started our company in 16. So I think that's a factor that should be a feature in every boardroom and every management team. And I think when we look at, you know, the sort of menu of possibilities, very small things we tend to struggle with. Like Mavericks, if you recall, had a lot of assets, but more than half the NAV that we acquired came from 14 assets. There was over 100, as you recall, which were generating cash. A lot of the really small stuff, there's a lot of NAV, which is quite long-dated, and we often struggle to see our path to value there, even though on a PNAV basis, they might seem well-discounted. And then, yeah, whether it's intermediates or seniors, You know, if there's sensible things to do, we're always open to them. But, yeah, there's barriers there. So probably more than you wanted to hear, but hopefully that gives you a sense. We're always open for business if there's business to be done.

speaker
Blossom Window
Analyst, BofA Securities

There's never too little. Let's put it that way. Thank you very much. No worries.

speaker
Moderator
Conference Moderator

Thanks, Wilson. See you next week.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Brian McArthur with Raymond James. Please go ahead.

speaker
Brian McArthur
Analyst, Raymond James

Good morning, and thank you for checking my questions. We've heard a number of people talk about these big deals potentially out there, 500 million plus, and refer back to the last cycle where it's all for debt restructuring. When people talk numbers of 500, can I assume those are true streaming deals, meaning They're not like, say, 300 of streaming and you're putting 300 of equity in or something. Because as you've mentioned, these deals are getting more hybrid, more complicated in the sector. I'm just trying to figure out to make sure that these are what I would call true streaming lower risk deals as opposed to complicated financing transactions.

speaker
Sean Osborne
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, Brian, good to hear from you. It's a really good question. It's funny, I'd say a year or so ago, I started getting questions from investors at conferences and elsewhere about, you know, is Triple Flag going to start doing more hybrid deals? Because we've seen some larger guys do it. And, you know, we've seen the private guys like Orion do that very successfully. I believe it concentrates risk and it violates the model. So it's very clear that we're not going to engage in doing that. And we haven't. So don't expect anything along those lines from us. And directly to your question, no, these are streaming deals. It isn't, hey, boy, we've got a deal for you. Here's half a billion dollars. But as you say, 300 of that is a stream, and you're going to lob in a $200 million equity check. So no, they're streaming deals. And I think that in many cases, it is stuff that just represents at a moment in time, perhaps a better alternative on cost of funding, either balance sheet repair, improving liquidity or things of that nature is just hard to think about it.

speaker
Brian McArthur
Analyst, Raymond James

Thank you. That's very clear. Also what I wanted to hear. Second question, just a different vein a little bit. Can you just go through the rationale at ATO and Step? I mean, again, we do another prepaid, which is another type of financing. Again, is that just You know, they're ramping up. Is it the seasonal working capital you're doing this for? Or, you know, I assume this is nothing like elevation or anything else to be clear for everybody. But if you could just give a little bit of rationale for that.

speaker
Sean Osborne
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, I'll show them to expand on this. But I think the important thing is, you know, from time to time, we have assisted where the capital markets for these guys is brutal. And we've done this once or twice with STEP where we've made a good return on money. It was, you know, very helpful. financing for them. Yeah, and that's a partnership as you call goes back, I think it was our second transaction. So these guys, you know, we've helped them IPO, we've helped them deliver successfully, they've got this transaction now they need some bridge funding, we're happy to assist it's a decent return. And it's a team that I think is, you know, demonstrating some ambition and growth and a very strong Mongolian champion. But Sheldon, what would you add to that?

speaker
Sheldon Vandercoy
Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Sean. Thanks, Brian. Yeah, so, so step it's actually a pretty impressive story. If you see what they've accomplished over the years, they're relatively small company and they were, you know, managed to find financing and saving amount of financing for phase 2. we benefit from that, which is fantastic. It's a bit of a, it was a heavy lift for them. Q1 is often a harder quarter for them just due to the Mongolian winter. And this particular winter in Mongolia was particularly particularly hard, and they basically asked us for some funding to help them out there. We were happy to give that because we could see the value there. And actually, since we did that prepay with STEP, the borough transaction got announced, and that's actually a real game changer for them. It's going to really give them some really good robust cash flows. that marry up quite well with the development project they have with the Phase 2 expansion. The rates of return were obviously attractive for us, so we quite frankly got a little lucky on the gold price timing, and that's just the way it worked out.

speaker
Brian McArthur
Analyst, Raymond James

Sorry, that was going to be my second question, but this was kind of independent of the Baru transaction, right? It was just a seasonal thing you were helping them get through? I mean, in a sense, I don't think of it as funding that transaction or anything. No, it's not funny that it's independent. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Okay. That's what, and maybe my third question under the category of hidden assets, or I don't know if it's hidden or not, but you obviously highlighted some good value in Kensington, which had been worked on for a year. Is there any, um, possibility of getting any value out of all Milan? Is anything happening there anymore? Or is that just totally very difficult?

speaker
Sean Osborne
Chief Executive Officer

Look, it's a great question. I mean, we've got a contractual entitlement, but as you know, we've written that down. We did that on the announcement of the transaction. We made it clear that we are not guiding investors to expect anything, but we do have a contractual entitlement that perhaps in the future could have some value. I just wouldn't want to raise any expectations to that effect. I think it's just one of those bags of things that perhaps in the future could unlock some value for shareholders.

speaker
Sheldon Vandercoy
Chief Financial Officer

Fair enough.

speaker
Sean Osborne
Chief Executive Officer

Thanks.

speaker
Sheldon Vandercoy
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. Just, you know, when we bought Mavericks, we ascribed zero value to Omelon. So there was no write-down associated with that. We just ascribed zero value to it. And, you know, we did that transaction after the Ukrainian war had started. So we kind of had some good visibility there. And like Sean said, I mean, we have a contractual entitlement. It's a great ore body. We like the mine. But obviously the Russia factor matters. means we're putting zero value on it right now. And I wouldn't encourage anyone to put any value on it right now. History is long and times may change, but I wouldn't put anything on it right now. Yeah. Great. Thanks for answering all my questions.

speaker
Moderator
Conference Moderator

No, thanks, Brent.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from the line of John Tomasos. Please, go ahead.

speaker
John Tomasos
Analyst

Good morning. Some of you smaller companies where i apologize i might not be current what percentage complete is pumpkin hollow or how much money do they need to complete the project hey john i'll um allow sheldon to comment on that one for us um yeah we'll rejoice yeah john it's it's

speaker
Sheldon Vandercoy
Chief Financial Officer

pretty difficult for us to give that figure because that's obviously Nevada Copper's value. I don't think they put that number out in the public domain and we just don't have the freedom to maneuver to give that figure.

speaker
John Tomasos
Analyst

Concerning some of your non-producing properties that are making progress, How many years out or what year or range of years do you think might be first revenue at Hope Bay, South Railroad, Tamarack, or Fen Gibb?

speaker
Sean Osborne
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, John, I think it was in our prior corporate updates that we had at the conferences. We've tried to provide some sense of a you know, five and a 10 year window for those sort of small, smaller royalties that we touch on, you would see that the 140,000 GEO, you know, bearing in mind last year was what 105 regarding 105, 115 this year. And then that 140 average on the five year, um, really is focused on mostly the producing assets with very limited contribution from any of these smaller things. So you've got that bucket of nearly 200, I think. You know, to your point, we've got some opportunity, I think, in the periods ahead to look a little bit more at the advance and be able to draw some attention from an investor point of view at those subsets. I think things like, you know, Kensington is an example where none of these are massive in their own right. But as a collective, these are things that I think can actually add over time to some meaningful CEOs and our performance. And then to your point on Hope Bay, it's been interesting. I was on an investor conference in Zurich recently. Ammar was talking about the significant progress they're making there. I know they're talking about perhaps 300,000, 400,000 ounces a year, and they're getting some good exploration results there. So our hope is certainly before the end of this decade, they're the right operator in that location. They're clearly investing significant money and time, and we've got a pretty meaningful royalty on there. So I think in that sort of timeframe, we'd hope to see a good contribution starting to come from that. It's on anything you're going to do. No, I think that covers it really well. Yeah. And John, I think to your point, it's a good match for us to also, you know, focus beyond, because we've always tried to focus on growth, risk and optionality. And I think as we've done a bit to highlight some of that optionality, I know there's a lot of guys dying out from that. But I think we need to do more to probably showcase more of that opportunity for investors.

speaker
John Tomasos
Analyst

Concerning Agbaou, Kone, and Enshi in Africa, do those operators have a target date for production? And are they in your longer-term five-year forecast?

speaker
Sean Osborne
Chief Executive Officer

Yes, they do. And we have included, you wouldn't think of them as being massive GEO contributors, but we've gone on their public guidance as we've thought about. And again, I'll draw your attention to, it's on our website. You know, we've got a short summary of a couple of those royalties and that's both in the five-year and then the sort of 10-year timeframe.

speaker
Moderator
Conference Moderator

Thank you. Thanks, John.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

There are no further questions at this time. I'll turn the call back over to Mr. Sean.

speaker
Sean Osborne
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, Jericho, thank you. And thanks, everyone. It was a great collection of questions. Look, I'll just end by saying thank you to our partners and our team. It's great to start off with a record quarter. You know, a very, I think, our busiest deal pipeline and a pretty handy commodity price backdrop for this company. So we've just turned eight. It's been an exciting eight years, a good start to 2024. And I'm really excited to see what lies in store for us for the remainder of this year. So with that, all the best for the rest of your day. We're off to our AGM. And thanks so much.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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