4/27/2021

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Good morning and welcome to the Turning Point brand's first quarter 2021 earnings conference call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. Lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing the star key followed by zero. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Louis Raffamino, the incoming Chief Financial Officer. Please go ahead.

speaker
Louis Raffamino
Incoming Chief Financial Officer

Louis Raffamino Thank you. Good morning, everyone. This is Louis Raffamino, our incoming CFO. Joining me are Turning Point Brands President and CEO Larry Wexler, Rand Purdy, Chief Operating Officer, and Bobby Lavin, our outgoing CFO. This morning, we issued a news release covering our first quarter results. This release is located in the IR section of our website. www.turningpointbrands.com, where a replay of today's conference call will also be available. In this call, we will discuss our consolidated and second operating results and provide our perspective on our progress against our strategic plan. As discussed, may I direct your attention to the discussion of forward-looking and cautionary statements in today's press release and the risk factors in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The disclosure outlines various factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from projections or forward-looking statements that may be cited in today's discussion. These forward-looking statements and projections are not guaranteed the future performance, and you should not place undue reliance upon them, except as provided by federal securities laws. And we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements. In the call today, we will reference certain non-GAAP financial measures. These measures and reconciliations to GAAP can be found in today's earnings release, along with reasons why management believes that they provide useful information. I will now turn the call over to Larry Wexler, our CEO. Thank you, Louis, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining the call. We started the year with another strong quarter. In the first quarter, revenue was up 19% to $108 million, above our prior guidance range, and adjusted EBITDA was up 57% to $28 million. Revenue growth was led by Accord, ZigZag, and Stoker segments, which were up a combined 27% despite challenging comments from last year's lockdown-related inventory letter. A number of favorable trends that started in 2020 have continued, even as the country has begun to open up. Our zigzag product segment saw another quarter of tremendous growth as we continued to outperform a healthy market with our execution. New product SKUs and e-commerce were strong contributors to growth, and we ramped up distribution of bond wraps during the quarter. We acquired the rights to this brand in the Durford transaction last year. Canada also outperformed, with recreation marketing results now consolidated within this segment. In Stokers, MST drove our gains, as same-store sales growth continued its strong trend. Stoker's remains the fastest-growing brand in MST, according to NSAI, and continues to be well-positioned for the secular shift to the value category. NewGen saw a solid growth during the quarter, despite continued disruption resulting from industry reactions to the PMTA process. Encouragingly, the FDA has stepped up its enforcement efforts issuing warning letters to 31 manufacturers in March after issuing 29 letters in February and 19 in January. We expect continued volatility for NUGEN as the PMTA process continues. In addition, late in the quarter, they benefited from volatility as the industry responded to the looming implementation date of the PAC Act in the second quarter. Customers bought forward late in March and competitors experienced some disruption. The PACT Act is creating further barriers to entry in the vape distribution business as it has increased both the cost and logistical complexities of shipping vape products to customers. As a result, we're expecting more of our competitors to exit the market in the short term, which will create additional volatility to provide optionality for more long-term upside for our business. We were also very excited about our recent investment in Doc Light Brands, which has the global rights to the Bob Marley brand for cannabis and related use. Bob Marley is one of the most iconic brands in the cannabis space and is a perfect compliment to ZigZag. It fits well with our strategy of building one of the best brand houses in the cannabis space. We'll be rolling out the current line of Marley CBD topical products through our distribution infrastructure later this year. with an emphasis on the B2C online opportunity in the early stages. With over $180 million of liquidity in our balance sheet, we remain well capitalized to pursue further investments and acquisitions to add value to our company and enhance our growth profile. Overall, our performance to start the year enabled us to raise our guidance, and we look forward to continuing our momentum. With that, and to add some additional color and perspective on our quarter and the path forward, Let me turn the call over to Graham Purdy, Chief Operating Officer. Thank you, Larry. Let me now give you a quick snapshot of the performance from segment level. Zigzag products saw double-digit growth in the quarter, led by strong double-digit growth in both U.S. rolling papers and MYO cigar wraps. In the U.S., Zigzag Papers' position is the leading premium and overall paper brand strengthened. increasing its market share in the measured universe by 3.5 points year-over-year to 33.3% according to MSAI. This was the seventh consecutive quarter ZigZag has realized year-over-year share growth. All our major product lines contributed to this growth, supplemented by our new products and our expanding e-commerce platform. In paper cones, we were the number one brand in the MSAI measured channel with 41.4% market share in the first quarter up 21.4 points from the previous year our cone sales more than quadrupled year over year it was over 19 percent of our u.s paper sales in the first quarter and we expected to continue to ramp through the year we continue to lead the growth and penetration of product and convenience stores and are expanding our presence in the non-measured alternative channel including head shops and dispensaries where most of that market currently exists and where ZigZag is still underrepresented. As a reminder, cones are highly accretive to our business. Cones are a more convenient product for the adult consumer, and one cone effectively sells for four to ten times the price of an individual sheet of our regular rolling paper at retail, a significant increase to our addressable market on a per-usage basis. In Canada, we had a strong quarter of growth. Recreation marketing which is now being consolidated, contributed low single digit to our segment sales as their business continues to accelerate. Zigzag is now in dispensaries that cover roughly 75% of the Canadian market and is gaining share within that channel. E-commerce, which was non-existent last year, was a big driver of growth, once again accounting for double digits of our US paper sales during the quarter. Stoker's products saw double digit growth in the quarter, A majority of the growth was again driven by moist snuff same-store sales gains. Stoker's market share was up to 5.3%, a little over 50 basis points compared to a year ago, according to MSAI. Stoker's moist is now represented in stores representing 61.2% of industry volumes, 4.5 points above last year's level, which still leaves a long runway for further growth. Total company chewing tobacco sales saw low single-digit growth during the quarter. Stokers, too, gained an impressive 2.6 share points, with 24.7 share in the first quarter, according to MSAI. Stokers has continued to gain share every year we have owned the business. With the continued secular shift into the value category and Stokers positioning as a leading value brand, the chewing tobacco business is well-placed to provide us with a stable annuity stream of cash flow going forward. Moving to NUGEN, where we once again had a resilient quarter in a disruptive environment. In our vape distribution business, we saw strong growth and healthy gross margin improvement in the quarter despite continued competitive pressure in the market related to the PMTA process. The segment also benefited from advanced buying and anticipation of stricter shipping regulations around vaping as a result of the implementation of the PACT Act in the second quarter. Within NUX, Our white nicotine pouch product-free and wild hemp hemp vats contributed to our growth. While we continue to expect short-term volatility in the vape distribution business, we are optimistic about the optionality in the segment as the market begins to consolidate. The PACT Act is another catalyst as it will create challenges for our competitors by increasing logistical requirements to service vape customers. While this increased While this will increase costs and create short-term destruction as the industry adjusts to the new law, we believe this will accelerate the consolidation in the industry and position larger players like us well going forward. And with that, I'll turn it to Louie for a review of our first quarter financial performance. Louie? Thank you, Grant. Our performance in the first quarter was once again ahead of our plans. Turning to the segment reviews, zigzag product net sales of the quarter increased 41.8% to $41 million, with strong double-digit growth in U.S. rolling papers, MYO cigar wraps, and Canadian papers, which benefited from roughly 2 to 3 million of deliveries pushed into the first quarter of 2021. Total zigzag segment volume increased 36.9%, while price mix increased 4.9%. According to MSAI, first quarter industry volumes for U.S. rolling papers increased double digits with over half the growth driven by cones. Our volumes grew at two times the rate of the overall market, and if you strip us out, we drew three and a half times the rate of our competitors. This excludes the incremental volume growth we are seeing from the alternative and e-commerce channels. NYO cigar-wrapped industry volumes were up strong double digits in the quarter. During the quarter, we saw the segment's gross margin expand significantly by 490 basis points to 60.7%. This was the result of the financial benefits of eliminating royalty payments to Derfer, resulting in higher margins for our MYO cigar wrap product, and a creative contribution from our e-commerce business, which is currently trending above the segment average. ZigZag accounted for 15% of our segment operating income in the first quarter and continues to be our fastest-growing segment. Stokers products net sales increased 10.4% to $29.3 million in the quarter. Net sales for the MSP portfolio grew 17% and represented 63% of Stokers revenues in the quarter, up from 59% a year earlier. Total Stokers volume increased 5.1%, with price mix advancing 5.3%. Year-over-year industry volumes for MSP declined by approximately 2%, with chewing tobacco declining by approximately 4%. Stoker's shipments to retail continue to outpace the industry in the quarter, growing its MSAI share in both chewing tobacco and MST. Moving to our new gen segment, net sales increased 6% to $37.4 million. We continue to expect near-term volatility due to the PMTA process in 2021, along with the impact of the PACT Act. For the quarter, new gen gross profit increased 9.2% to $12.5 million. Segment gross margin expanded 100 basis points to 33.4%. Moving to the consolidated business. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was 57% to $28 million as compared to the prior year. We achieved 60% incremental margins during the quarter, reflecting the strong performance in our core segments as we leveraged our fixed cost infrastructure. In this morning's release, we also updated our 2021 guidance as follows. Net sales of $422 to $440 million. This is up from previous guidance of $412 to $432 million. This includes net sales of $103 to $109 million in the second quarter. Adjustable EBITDA for the full year is now expected to be $103 to $108 million, up from previous guidance of $99 to $105 million. For Zig-Zag, we now expect strong double-digit sales growth from double-digits previously. As a reminder, in 2020, our cigar wraps business was impacted by $5 million for manufacturing-related disruptions in the second quarter of last year, which we made up for in the fourth quarter. So the manufacturing impact was a watch for the year, but we will have an impact in comparison this upcoming quarter. We estimate that the net benefit from COVID on the overall zigzag segment last year was $7 million. For stokers, we expect high single-digit sales growth. We saw some benefit from our competitor being temporarily out of the market in the middle of the year in our loose-leaf chewing business, so we will have a tough comp for our loose-leaf business in the upcoming quarters. We estimate that the net benefit from COVID in 2020 for Stoker's was around $3 million, spread out from Key 2 to Key 4. For New Gen, we now expect a mid- to low-single-digit decline in revenue. This is up from previous guidance of mid-single-digit sales declines. This includes single-digit declines for vape distribution from previous guidance and double-digit declines offset by growth in new X. We expect the second quarter to be a challenging quarter, so we take a pragmatic view of the market in front of significantly increased logistical costs and the market impact around the PAC Act implementation. And we will also be comping against a quarter with COVID tailwinds. On COVID, we previously called out a benefit of $5 million in Q2 of last year from our competitor being offline. We also benefited from an increase in our B2C e-commerce business as more people stayed at home, especially in Q2. We estimate that the overall impact in new gen to have been $15 million from COVID in 2020, with $10 million of that in Q2. Moving to our balance sheet, we ended the quarter with $167 million of cash and $189 million of available liquidity. This puts us in an incredibly strong position to execute an active pipeline of opportunities we're currently evaluating to grow our business. With that, I'll turn the call back to Larry for closing comments. Thanks, Louis. We had a strong start to the year. Our core businesses, especially ZigZag, continue to perform exceptionally. We are optimistic about the longer-term prospects of our new-gen business as we believe that we have a competitive advantage navigating the PMTA process and the PACT Act, which are likely to be transformational events for the industry. With our business momentum and our balance sheet, we remain well positioned as a company. Our performance would not be possible without the continued efforts of our employees, and I want to personally thank them once again for their commitment and contribution to our success. I also want to take this time to thank Bobby Lavin for his contributions to the company over the last three years. Bobby has been instrumental in reshaping our balance sheet and repositioning our company for growth. We wish Bobby all the best in this next opportunity. Thank you for participating in the call today. And with that, I'd like to open up the call to questions.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, as a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please press star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. Again, ladies and gentlemen, that is star one for questions. We'll pause for just a moment to compile the Q&A roster. Again, ladies and gentlemen, that is star one to ask a question. And, sir, we have no questions at this time. One moment. Okay. One moment, sir. And we do have a question from the line of Vivian Azar with Cowan. Hi, thank you. Good morning.

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